In winter 2018,an aerosol physicochemical experiment was conducted in the Western Pacific Ocean(WPO)aboard the Research Vessel KEXUE of Chinese Academy of Sciences.This study systematically investigated both natural a...In winter 2018,an aerosol physicochemical experiment was conducted in the Western Pacific Ocean(WPO)aboard the Research Vessel KEXUE of Chinese Academy of Sciences.This study systematically investigated both natural and anthropogenic effects on marine aerosols optical properties,as well as the applicability of multi-satellite products and IMPROVE equation.The averaged aerosol optical depth(AOD500 nm)was 0.31±0.16 andÅngström exponent440–675 nm was 0.29±0.30.In offshore China,significant anthropogenic emissions affected the marine environment.In remote WPO,dust aerosols transported from northern China,Siberia,Central Asia,and those settling from the upper troposphere originating from north Africa,Arabian peninsula,and western India,were dominant.The spatial trends of AOD were opposite in the mid-latitude and southern seas of WPO.The highest AOD,0.32±0.23,appeared along the coast of South Asia at mid-latitude,decreasing from offshore seas to remote oceans.In low-latitude and equatorial seas,AOD significantly increased from coast to remote oceans.Ångström exponent dropped significantly from the coast to remote oceans as anthropogenic influence diminished across the entire WPO.Correlation analysis showed that both MODIS-C6 and Himawari AOD prod-ucts showed similar applicability in coastal urban areas,while Himawari AOD is highly recommended for coastal background and marine environment due to its finer resolution.The extinction coefficient derived from PM_(2.5) chemical compositions using IMPROVE algorithm exhibited a significant correlation(R^(2)=0.58)with the con-currently measured AOD in the absence of long-distance transport,suggesting that the IMPROVE is a reasonable proxy of the columnar average of marine aerosol extinctions free from transport influences.展开更多
This study investigates the distinct impacts of eastern Pacific(EP)and central Pacific(CP)El Niño events on winter shortwave solar radiation(SSR)in southern China,revealing different spatial distributions and und...This study investigates the distinct impacts of eastern Pacific(EP)and central Pacific(CP)El Niño events on winter shortwave solar radiation(SSR)in southern China,revealing different spatial distributions and underlying mechanisms.The results show that,during the developing winter of EP El Niño,significant SSR reductions occur in southwestern China and the east coast of southern China due to a strong,zonally extended Northwest Pacific anticyclone that transports moisture from the tropical Northwest Pacific and North Indian Ocean,while the northeast of southern China experiences a weak increase in SSR.In contrast,during the developing winter of CP El Niño,SSR decreases in the east of southern China with a significant decrease in the lower basin of the Yangtze River but an increase in the west of southern China with a remarkable increase in eastern Yunnan.The pronounced east-west dipole pattern in SSR anomalies is driven by a meridionally elongated Northwest Pacific anticyclone,which enhances northward moisture transport to the east of southern China while leaving western areas drier.Further research reveals that distinct moisture anomalies during the developing winter of EP and CP events result in divergent SSR distributions across southern China,primarily through modulating the total cloud cover.These findings highlight the critical need to differentiate between El Niño types when predicting medium and long-term variability of radiation in southern China.展开更多
During the boreal summer,intraseasonal oscillations exhibit significant interannual variations in intensity over two key regions:the central-western equatorial Pacific(5°S-5°N,150°E-150°W)and the s...During the boreal summer,intraseasonal oscillations exhibit significant interannual variations in intensity over two key regions:the central-western equatorial Pacific(5°S-5°N,150°E-150°W)and the subtropical Northwestern Pacific(10°-20°N,130°E-175°W).The former is well-documented and considered to be influenced by the ENSO,while the latter has received comparatively less attention and is likely influenced by the Pacific Meridional Mode(PMM),as suggested by partial correlation analysis results.To elucidate the physical processes responsible for the enhanced(weakened)intraseasonal convection over the subtropical northwestern Pacific during warm(cold)PMM years,the authors employed a moisture budget analysis.The findings reveal that during warm PMM years,there is an increase in summer-mean moisture over the subtropical northwestern Pacific.This increase interacts with intensified vertical motion perturbations in the region,leading to greater vertical moisture advection in the lower troposphere and consequently resulting in convective instability.Such a process is pivotal in amplifying intraseasonal convection anomalies.The observational findings were further verified by model experiments forced by PMM-like sea surface temperature patterns.展开更多
BACKGROUND The burden of mental disorders(MD)in the Western Pacific Region(WPR)re-mains a critical public health concern,with substantial variations across demogra-phics and countries.AIM To analyze the burden of MD i...BACKGROUND The burden of mental disorders(MD)in the Western Pacific Region(WPR)re-mains a critical public health concern,with substantial variations across demogra-phics and countries.AIM To analyze the burden of MD in the WPR from 1990 to 2021,along with associated risk factors,to reveal changing trends and emerging challenges.METHODS We used data from the Global Burden of Disease 2021,analyzing prevalence,incidence,and disability-adjusted life years(DALYs)of MD from 1990 to 2021.Statistical methods included age-standardisation and uncertainty analysis to address variations in population structure and data completeness.RESULTS Between 1990 and 2021,the prevalence of MD rose from 174.40 million cases[95%uncertainty interval(UI):160.17-189.84]to 234.90 million cases(95%UI:219.04-252.50),with corresponding DALYs increasing from 22.8 million(95%UI:17.22-28.79)to 32.07 million(95%UI:24.50-40.68).During this period,the burden of MD shifted towards older age groups.Depressive and anxiety disorders were predominant,with females showing higher DALYs for depressive and anxiety disorders,and males more affected by conduct disorders,attention-deficit hyperactivity disorder,and autism spectrum disorders.Australia,New Zealand,and Malaysia reported the highest burdens,whereas Vietnam,China,and Brunei Darussalam reported the lowest.Additionally,childhood sexual abuse and bullying,and intimate partner violence emerged as significant risk factors.CONCLUSION This study highlights the significant burden of MD in the WPR,with variations by age,gender,and nation.The coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic has exacerbated the situation,emphasizing the need for a coordinated response.展开更多
The black coral genus Bathypathes Brook,1889 represents a relatively diverse and ecologically important assemblage comprising the deep-sea hard substrate communities.Recent phylogenetic investigations have revealed th...The black coral genus Bathypathes Brook,1889 represents a relatively diverse and ecologically important assemblage comprising the deep-sea hard substrate communities.Recent phylogenetic investigations have revealed the polyphyletic nature of Bathypathes,urging further morphological analysis to understand its systematics.By combing morphological and molecular data,we describe Bathypathes multifurcata sp.nov.and report B.pseudoalternata Molodtsova,Opresko&Wagner,2022based on the specimens collected from the tropical western Pacific.The phylogenetic topology reconstructed using nuclear ITS1-5.8S-ITS2 and three mitochondrial fragments suggests the separation of Bathypathes into four groups.Our analysis of morphological characters,particularly the colony branch and pinnule patterns also roughly classify Bathypathes into four morphological groups A–D.Group A is characterized by the unbranched colony and the subopposite arrangement of pinnules.In contrast to Group A,Groups B–D have the alternately arranged pinnules.Among these,Group C exhibits a distinctly long unpinnulated stem compared to Groups B and D.Group B has unbranched colony,relatively short unpinnulated stem,and spines on pinnules have blunt apex.Within Group D,large colonies(higher than 40 cm)have one or a few branches,small colonies(less than 40 cm)are unbranched,and spines on pinnules have acute apex.Further data particularly those species without sequences are necessary to verify the classification of these groups.展开更多
During the expedition to an unnamed seamount of Caroline Ridge in the northwest Pacific Ocean,one Thalassometra specimen was sampled,and careful morphological assessment suggested that this specimen represents a new s...During the expedition to an unnamed seamount of Caroline Ridge in the northwest Pacific Ocean,one Thalassometra specimen was sampled,and careful morphological assessment suggested that this specimen represents a new species within the genus Thalassometra:Thalassometra brachia sp.nov.This new species was collected at a depth of 688 m and is characterized by the dome-like centrodorsal,large number of arms(43 in total),irregularly arranged sockets with three per radial area,P 2 and P 3,similar in size and character and smaller than P 1,spinous median carination on the first and second ossicles of the division series and on the first two brachials,and dense spicules in brachial bases.展开更多
Tropical cyclones(TCs)have profound impacts on socioeconomic conditions and pose substantial risks to lives and property.However,it is still unclear whether the multitimescale changes in TC activity over the past 2000...Tropical cyclones(TCs)have profound impacts on socioeconomic conditions and pose substantial risks to lives and property.However,it is still unclear whether the multitimescale changes in TC activity over the past 2000 years in the Northwestern Pacific(NWP)were regulated by Asian dust forcing.Here,we assessed the impact of Asian dust on TC activity using observational data and reconstructed records from the northern and southern NWP.Our correlation analysis of instrumental data from 1954 to 2017 reveals no significant relationship between observed TC activity and Asian dust forcing.Furthermore,we found a meridional dipole pattern of TC variation across the NWP in observations and reconstructions.These finding challenges current explanations that are based on the synchronous changes in TC activity and Asian dust forcing.Alternatively,we propose that the Western Pacific Subtropical High(WPSH)plays a crucial role in driving these meridional dipole patterns in TC variations,as supported by observations and reconstructions.The southwestward extension of an enhanced WPSH intensifies easterly flow,steering TCs westward along its southern edge.This leads to more TC activity in the southern NWP but less in the north,and vice versa when the WPSH is weakened.With the expected strengthening of the WPSH due to global warming,it is vital to consider its impact on NWP TC activity for effective risk-mitigation strategies.展开更多
Pelagic fish are the most abundant species in upwelling regions,contributing 25%of total global fisheries production.Climate-driven changes in the marine environment play a crucial role in their population dynamics.Us...Pelagic fish are the most abundant species in upwelling regions,contributing 25%of total global fisheries production.Climate-driven changes in the marine environment play a crucial role in their population dynamics.Using Chilean jack mackerel(Trachurus murphyi)as an example,this study conducted simulations to quantify the impacts of environmental variations on the stock assessment.A habitat-based surplus production model was developed by integrating suitable habitat area into the model parameters carrying capacity(K)and intrinsic growth rate(r),with a suitable habitat area serving as the proxy for the environmental conditions for Chilean jack mackerel in the Southeast Pacific Ocean.The dynamics of Chilean jack mackerel stock and fisheries data were simulated,and four assessment models with different configurations were built to fit simulated data,with or without considering environmental effects.The results indicated that Joint K-r model,which integrated both parameters with the suitable habitat area index,outperformed the others by coming closest to the‘true'population dynamics.Ignoring habitat variations in the estimation model tended to overestimate biomass and underestimate harvest rate and reference points.Without observation and process error,the results were estimated with bias,while FMSY is relatively sensitive.This research illustrates the importance to consider random errors and environmental influences on populations,and provides foundation guidelines for future stock assessment.展开更多
To explore the geochemical characteristics and genesis of the elements in ferromanganese nodules from the Northwest Pacific,this study analyses the mineral composition,elemental content,occurrence phase and genetic me...To explore the geochemical characteristics and genesis of the elements in ferromanganese nodules from the Northwest Pacific,this study analyses the mineral composition,elemental content,occurrence phase and genetic mechanisms of samples by X-ray diffraction(XRD),inductively coupled plasma-optical emission spectrometry(ICP-OES),inductively coupled plasma-mass spectrometry(ICP-MS)and phase analysis methods.The results show that ferromanganese nodules are mainly hydrogenetic,and Mn/Fe content ratio ranges from 0.95 to 2.05.The major minerals are vernadite(δ-MnO_(2))and amorphous ferric oxyhydroxide(FeOOH),and the secondary minerals include todorokite,birnessite,quartz and plagioclase.Ferromanganese nodules contain high contents of Co(0.24%-0.42%),Cu(0.23%-0.73%),Ni(0.33%-0.86%)and rare earth elements(REEs,1192-1990μg/g),which have positive Ce and negative Y anomalies but no Eu anomaly.A cluster analysis suggests that the elements in ferromanganese nodules can be divided into three groups:hydrogenetic components,including Fe,Ti,Zr,P,Pb,Co,Ba,Sr,V and REEs;diagenetic components,including Mn,Ni,Mg,Zn and Cu;and detrital components,including Al,Na,K and Ca.According to chemical leaching,ferromanganese nodules can be divided into four phases:Na,Ca,Mg and Sr are mainly enriched in the carbonate phase;Mn,Co,Ni and Ba are mainly enriched in the Mn-oxide phase;Fe,P,Ti,Cu,Pb,V,Zn,Zr and REEs are mainly enriched in the Fe-oxide phase;and Al and K are mainly enriched in the residual phase.A combination of the two different methods reveal selective enrichment of metal elements from seawater by ferromanganese nodules,featuring multisource mineralization.Moreover,through ion exchange and adsorption,approximately 71.2%of REEs are enriched in the Fe-oxide phase,15.4%in the Mn-oxide phase and 12.4%in the residual phase,while REE contents in the carbonate phase are relatively low.In addition,under the oxic conditions of seawater,the oxidation of soluble Ce^(3+)to insoluble CeO_(2)together with Fe-Mn minerals results in Ce enrichment in ferromanganese nodules.This study provides a reference for the metallogenesis of ferromanganese nodules from the Northwest Pacific.展开更多
The thaw-freezing transition period is crucial to determine the initial sea ice status prior to the freezing season.The heat and mass balance at ice-ocean interface is the major driving process.In this study,we analyz...The thaw-freezing transition period is crucial to determine the initial sea ice status prior to the freezing season.The heat and mass balance at ice-ocean interface is the major driving process.In this study,we analyze heat fluxes profile through the ice from ice surface down to basal ice-ocean interface using the data measured by 11 thermistor stringbased ice mass balance buoys(IMBs)between September and December 2018 in the Pacific sector of Arctic Ocean.The conductive heat fluxes gradually decreased from surface downward through the lower ice layers due to the thermal inertia and energy storage in the brine pockets.At the ice bottom,the oceanic heat flux decreased from(5.9±1.3)W/m^(2)in mid-September to(1.8±0.8)W/m^(2)by the end of December in response to the decreasing of available absorbed solar radiation regulated by the latitude and sea ice concentration.The initial ice thicknesses can explain the onset of ice basal growth by 44.8%(R^(2)).From 15 September to the average onset of ice basal growth by 13 November,the accumulated heat fluxes released from the ice surface to the atmosphere,caused by the cooling of the ice layer,and from the ocean to the ice bottom were estimated as 25.73 MJ/m^(2),6.49 MJ/m^(2),and 20.30 MJ/m^(2),respectively.The latter two components mainly play the roles in buffering the onset of ice basal growth.展开更多
Microplastic contamination is considered a major threat to the marine environment.Although microplastic pollution in the Pacific Ocean has been studied,its abundance,distribution,composition,and origin in the western ...Microplastic contamination is considered a major threat to the marine environment.Although microplastic pollution in the Pacific Ocean has been studied,its abundance,distribution,composition,and origin in the western Pacific Ocean remain unclear.Here,we investigated the abundance and distribution characteristics of microplastics in surface waters of the western Pacific Ocean and analyzed their potential sources.Results show that microplastics were widespread in the western Pacific Ocean,with abundance ranging from 0.03 to 2.36 particles/m^(3)(average 0.37±0.47 particles/m^(3)).Fibers/filaments and fragments were the main shapes of microplastics(71.6%)and the most abundant microplastic size class was<1.0 mm(42.4%).Significant differences in microplastic abundance were observed in different regions,with the lowest abundance in the South China Sea(0.03 particles/m^(3))and highest abundance in the seamount area in the western Pacific Ocean(0.58 particles/m^(3)).This study provides baseline data and insights into the fate and transportation of microplastics in the western Pacific region.展开更多
The duration of the extratropical transition(ET)of tropical cyclones(TCs)is often closely associated with disaster intensity.Therefore,it is essential to understand the key factors that influence ET duration.Using the...The duration of the extratropical transition(ET)of tropical cyclones(TCs)is often closely associated with disaster intensity.Therefore,it is essential to understand the key factors that influence ET duration.Using the TC best-track data and reanalysis data,this study investigates the structural characteristics and key influencing factors of ET duration in the western North Pacific(WNP)during 1981–2022.Results show that,compared to TCs that undergo ET rapidly(≤12 h),TCs that experience ET slowly(≥24 h)undergo a more prolonged and complex ET process,maintaining a warm core and an upright structure for extended periods.By contrast,TCs undergoing rapid transition experience structural disintegration within 6–12 h after ET onset.Further analysis reveals that TCs with longer ET durations are characterized by stronger warm cores,more abundant moisture,weaker environmental vertical wind shear,slower translation speeds,and a longer residence time over warmer sea surface temperatures(SSTs),all of which support the maintenance of axisymmetric structures with strong warm cores.Environmental and structural factors,including cold-air intensity,vertical wind shear,TC translation speed,SST,relative humidity,TC intensity,the radius of 17 m s^(-1)wind,mean sea level pressure,and the radius of maximum wind,are found to exist significant correlation with ET duration.Cold-air intensity exhibited the highest correlation(r=–0.35),followed by TC translation speed and SST.A relative importance analysis shows that the environmental factors play a more substantial role than the internal TC structure,accounting for about 19.23%of the variance,with TC translation speed and cold-air effects explaining 11.68%.Based on the nine factors,a statistical forecasting model was developed,which shows considerable skill in predicting ET duration.展开更多
Weijia Guyot,located in the western Pacific Ocean,has become a research focus due to its abundant cobalt-rich ferromanganese(Fe-Mn)crusts.While most studies on Fe-Mn crusts on seamounts have focused on the exposed var...Weijia Guyot,located in the western Pacific Ocean,has become a research focus due to its abundant cobalt-rich ferromanganese(Fe-Mn)crusts.While most studies on Fe-Mn crusts on seamounts have focused on the exposed variety,less attention has been paid to potential buried crusts.This study presents a preliminary geochemical and chronological study of buried Fe-Mn crusts at Weijia Guyot.The findings suggest that these buried crusts began to form around 57.5 Ma and ceased growing at approximately 46.3 Ma.Following the formation of Weijia Guyot through volcanic eruption,it did not experience continuous and steady subsidence to its current depth.Instead,an exhumation process took place from deep to shallow depths between 46.3 and 11.6 Ma.This process brought the Fe-Mn crusts into shallow water environments,halting their growth.During this time,Weijia Guyot was located near the equatorial Pacific Ocean and was exposed to an extended period of phosphatization.This exposure led to a depletion of key metallogenic elements,such as Co,Ni and Cu,within the Fe-Mn crusts,while P2O5 and CaO levels increased significantly.Since the Middle Miocene,the crusts have been progressively buried by pelagic sediments.展开更多
The intricate network of bilateral trade relationships among Pacific Rim countries(PRCs),along with the associated embodied carbon flows plays a pivotal role in shaping global carbon emission patterns and dynamics.Thi...The intricate network of bilateral trade relationships among Pacific Rim countries(PRCs),along with the associated embodied carbon flows plays a pivotal role in shaping global carbon emission patterns and dynamics.This study employs a multi-regional inputoutput analysis and a symbiotic degree model to explore the symbiotic effects of trade-embodied carbon flows between China and PRCs.We show that between 2009 and 2021,China's trade-embodied carbon exports to PRCs surged from 214.20 million tons to 614.80 million tons,driven largely by mechanical and electronic equipment.The share of the United States,Japan,and South Korea in China's total embodied carbon exports to PRCs has declined,whereas Southeast Asian countries have emerged as the primary source of China's embodied carbon imports.The degree of symbiosis in trade-embodied carbon between China and PRCs shifted from negative to positive,indicating a gradual trend toward positive asymmetric symbiosis.Moreover,China's role in regional trade-embodied carbon flows has transitioned from passive to active,with its influence particularly pronounced in countries such as Vietnam,Thailand,Japan,South Korea,and Russia.展开更多
The Asia-Pacific region is the most dynamic part of the global economy.After over 50 years of continuously expanding trade,investment and industrial cooperation,the region has formed a highly-tied multi-level labor di...The Asia-Pacific region is the most dynamic part of the global economy.After over 50 years of continuously expanding trade,investment and industrial cooperation,the region has formed a highly-tied multi-level labor division system covering vertical integration and horizontal complementarity of industrial chains.From the V-shaped development model in the twentieth century to the East Asian production network in the twenty-first century,the intra-industry and intra-product division of labor in the Asia-Pacific region has been ever deepening.However,due to the region’s high dependence on the U.S.market,the division of labor model in the Asia-Pacific suffers structural problems and is relatively fragile.Under the shock of Trump 1.0,countries in the Asia-Pacific region were forced to make adaptive adjustments,causing short-term turmoil in the regional economic order.Trump’s strong return in 2025,driven by the“America First”principle,brought forth a series of policies with strong unilateralism,isolationism and protectionism tendencies within just a few months。展开更多
The rapid intensification(RI)magnitude of tropical cyclones(TCs)over the western North Pacific(WNP)exhibits significant interannual variability and is influenced by multiple factors across various scales.These factors...The rapid intensification(RI)magnitude of tropical cyclones(TCs)over the western North Pacific(WNP)exhibits significant interannual variability and is influenced by multiple factors across various scales.These factors primarily include:interannual factors—sea surface temperature(SST)in key regions of the WNP,eastern Indian Ocean SST,El Niño-Southern Oscillation(ENSO),South Pacific Subtropical Dipole(SPSD),and western Pacific teleconnection;decadal factors—Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation(AMO)and Pacific Decadal Oscillation(PDO);and longer-term factor—global warming.This study systematically analyzes these factors and their potential impacts,quantitatively assessing their relative importance.A statistical prediction model for the WNP TC-RI magnitude is developed based on ridge regression methods.The results indicate that the influence of these factors on the RI magnitude is closely related to the large-scale thermodynamic and dynamic conditions.Among them,the SPSD plays the most critical role in the interannual variability of the RI magnitude,followed by global warming and the AMO.Further analysis reveals that the statistical prediction model based on multiple factors demonstrates good predictive skill for the interannual variability of the TC RI magnitude.展开更多
Sea surface temperature(SST)is an important ocean variable affecting climate change.It plays an important role in the interactions between the ocean and the atmosphere,and it also has an effect on the transport of hea...Sea surface temperature(SST)is an important ocean variable affecting climate change.It plays an important role in the interactions between the ocean and the atmosphere,and it also has an effect on the transport of heat,freshwater,and carbon.Therefore,accurate SST prediction is necessary for understanding climate change and protecting ocean ecosystems.In this study,we proposed a hybrid model to predict SST in the tropical Pacific Ocean based on two single deep-learning models.Results indicate that the proposed hybrid model shows superior prediction accuracy at all lead times compared to the single model.Specifically,during El Niño periods,the root mean square error,mean absolute error,and Pearson correlation coefficient of the hybrid model forecasts were approximately 0.54℃,0.40℃,and 0.98,respectively,while during La Niña periods,these metrics were 0.55℃,0.39℃,and 0.98,respectively.Notably,the hybrid model was able to capture the spatial distribution of SSTs during the El Niño-Southern Oscillation(ENSO)events more accurately relative to a single model.Moreover,the prediction results of the hybrid model in different ocean regions exhibited lower prediction errors and higher correlations.The ablation experiments showed that sea surface wind(SSW)had different effects on SST at different times.By combining SST and SSW data,the model can make more-accurate predictions under different climatic conditions.The proposed hybrid model is able to predict SSTs quickly and accurately with better robustness during ENSO.展开更多
The Pacific Meridional Mode(PMM)and the Atlantic Meridional Mode(AMM)are key modes of interannual sea surface temperature(SST)variability in the Pacific and Atlantic Oceans,respectively.Analysis of CMIP6 model outputs...The Pacific Meridional Mode(PMM)and the Atlantic Meridional Mode(AMM)are key modes of interannual sea surface temperature(SST)variability in the Pacific and Atlantic Oceans,respectively.Analysis of CMIP6 model outputs reveals a robust intensification of the PMM under global warming,whereas the AMM exhibits no consensus among models.These different responses are attributed to mid-to-high latitude atmospheric forcing and subtropical feedback mechanisms.Changes in the upper-level westerly jet drive distinct atmospheric variability over the North Pacific and Atlantic,amplifying sea-level pressure variations associated with the PMM but weakening those linked to the AMM.The SST response to atmospheric forcing shows an increase in the Pacific and a decrease in the Atlantic,both of which are significantly positively correlated with the respective changes in each mode.The enhanced wind-evaporation-SST(WES)feedback,primarily driven by rising background SSTs,positively impacts the intensification of both modes.In the subtropical Pacific,the PMM is further strengthened by an increasing latent heat flux response.The enhancement of the PMM is principally connected to intensified atmospheric forcing and strengthened subtropical feedback.Although the WES feedback is enhanced to some extent,wind anomalies that oppose the climatological state reduce latent heat flux.Combined with the weakening of atmospheric forcing over the Atlantic,this phenomenon contributes to the uncertainty in the AMM's response to global warming.展开更多
Bomb cyclones are rapidly deepening extratropical cyclones predominantly found in midlatitude regions.These extreme events are particularly frequent over the North Pacific(NP),posing significant societal and environme...Bomb cyclones are rapidly deepening extratropical cyclones predominantly found in midlatitude regions.These extreme events are particularly frequent over the North Pacific(NP),posing significant societal and environmental risks.Currently,our understanding of the variability of bomb cyclones over the NP remains limited.This study analyzes the variations in multiple NP bomb cyclone characteristics from 1980 onward using four major reanalysis datasets.The results show a weakening trend of bomb cyclones since the beginning of the 21st century,which is characterized by significant reductions in maximum near-surface wind speeds,increases in minimum sea level pressure,and slower deepening rates.Further analysis reveals that the observed weakening trend of bomb cyclones is closely linked to a reduction in maximum 850 hPa Eady growth rate,driven primarily by reduced vertical wind shear within the 30°-45°N latitudinal band.Furthermore,our findings indicate that the Aleutian Low acts to modulate the meridional air temperature gradient over the midlatitude NP,which is corroborated by climate model outputs.This modulation provides a pathway for the Aleutian Low to affect low-level baroclinicity and thus bomb cyclone characteristics.These results have important implications for future projections of bomb cyclone activity over the NP,aiding in risk assessment and mitigating the impacts of these extreme events.展开更多
This study identified the relationship between tropical cyclone(TC)activity and extreme Pacific–Japan(PJ)teleconnection patterns in August and September.In the East China Sea(ECS)and Mariana Islands(MI)regions,where ...This study identified the relationship between tropical cyclone(TC)activity and extreme Pacific–Japan(PJ)teleconnection patterns in August and September.In the East China Sea(ECS)and Mariana Islands(MI)regions,where the edge of the western North Pacific subtropical high(WNPSH)is located,approximately 60%–75%of TCs migrate to Far East Asian countries.A significant positive correlation existed between the frequency of northward migration of TCs and PJ patterns,since the TC frequency in the ECS and MI regions was significantly higher in the positive compared with the negative phase.In the positive phase,the main reason for the large number of TCs occurring was the monsoon trough’s location and strength.The strong and northeastward-shifted monsoon trough in the positive phase leads to more TCs in the ECS and MI regions.Other large-scale environments associated with TC formation also favored TC genesis around the ECS and MI regions.The higher PDI(power dissipation index)during the positive PJ phase can potentially lead to significant impacts in the Far East Asian countries.These characteristics were particularly more notable in August compared with September.展开更多
基金supported by the CAS Strategic Priority Research Program(No.XDB0760102),the Ministry of Science and Technology of China(No.2022YFF0802501)the Major Science and Technology Infrastructure Maintenance and Transformation Project of the Chinese Academy of Sciences,Shanghai Science and Technology Innovation Action Plan-Phospherus Project(No.23YF1426200)the National Key Research and Development Program of China(No.2024YFE0212200).
文摘In winter 2018,an aerosol physicochemical experiment was conducted in the Western Pacific Ocean(WPO)aboard the Research Vessel KEXUE of Chinese Academy of Sciences.This study systematically investigated both natural and anthropogenic effects on marine aerosols optical properties,as well as the applicability of multi-satellite products and IMPROVE equation.The averaged aerosol optical depth(AOD500 nm)was 0.31±0.16 andÅngström exponent440–675 nm was 0.29±0.30.In offshore China,significant anthropogenic emissions affected the marine environment.In remote WPO,dust aerosols transported from northern China,Siberia,Central Asia,and those settling from the upper troposphere originating from north Africa,Arabian peninsula,and western India,were dominant.The spatial trends of AOD were opposite in the mid-latitude and southern seas of WPO.The highest AOD,0.32±0.23,appeared along the coast of South Asia at mid-latitude,decreasing from offshore seas to remote oceans.In low-latitude and equatorial seas,AOD significantly increased from coast to remote oceans.Ångström exponent dropped significantly from the coast to remote oceans as anthropogenic influence diminished across the entire WPO.Correlation analysis showed that both MODIS-C6 and Himawari AOD prod-ucts showed similar applicability in coastal urban areas,while Himawari AOD is highly recommended for coastal background and marine environment due to its finer resolution.The extinction coefficient derived from PM_(2.5) chemical compositions using IMPROVE algorithm exhibited a significant correlation(R^(2)=0.58)with the con-currently measured AOD in the absence of long-distance transport,suggesting that the IMPROVE is a reasonable proxy of the columnar average of marine aerosol extinctions free from transport influences.
基金funded by a Project from China Southern Power Grid Company Ltd.(Nos.ZBKJXM20232481 and ZBKJXM20232482)。
文摘This study investigates the distinct impacts of eastern Pacific(EP)and central Pacific(CP)El Niño events on winter shortwave solar radiation(SSR)in southern China,revealing different spatial distributions and underlying mechanisms.The results show that,during the developing winter of EP El Niño,significant SSR reductions occur in southwestern China and the east coast of southern China due to a strong,zonally extended Northwest Pacific anticyclone that transports moisture from the tropical Northwest Pacific and North Indian Ocean,while the northeast of southern China experiences a weak increase in SSR.In contrast,during the developing winter of CP El Niño,SSR decreases in the east of southern China with a significant decrease in the lower basin of the Yangtze River but an increase in the west of southern China with a remarkable increase in eastern Yunnan.The pronounced east-west dipole pattern in SSR anomalies is driven by a meridionally elongated Northwest Pacific anticyclone,which enhances northward moisture transport to the east of southern China while leaving western areas drier.Further research reveals that distinct moisture anomalies during the developing winter of EP and CP events result in divergent SSR distributions across southern China,primarily through modulating the total cloud cover.These findings highlight the critical need to differentiate between El Niño types when predicting medium and long-term variability of radiation in southern China.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China [grant number 42088101]。
文摘During the boreal summer,intraseasonal oscillations exhibit significant interannual variations in intensity over two key regions:the central-western equatorial Pacific(5°S-5°N,150°E-150°W)and the subtropical Northwestern Pacific(10°-20°N,130°E-175°W).The former is well-documented and considered to be influenced by the ENSO,while the latter has received comparatively less attention and is likely influenced by the Pacific Meridional Mode(PMM),as suggested by partial correlation analysis results.To elucidate the physical processes responsible for the enhanced(weakened)intraseasonal convection over the subtropical northwestern Pacific during warm(cold)PMM years,the authors employed a moisture budget analysis.The findings reveal that during warm PMM years,there is an increase in summer-mean moisture over the subtropical northwestern Pacific.This increase interacts with intensified vertical motion perturbations in the region,leading to greater vertical moisture advection in the lower troposphere and consequently resulting in convective instability.Such a process is pivotal in amplifying intraseasonal convection anomalies.The observational findings were further verified by model experiments forced by PMM-like sea surface temperature patterns.
基金Supported by National Key Research and Development Program of China,No.2022YFC3600903Key Discipline Project under Shanghai's Three-Year Action Plan for Strengthening the Public Health System(2023-2025),No.GWVI-11.1-44.
文摘BACKGROUND The burden of mental disorders(MD)in the Western Pacific Region(WPR)re-mains a critical public health concern,with substantial variations across demogra-phics and countries.AIM To analyze the burden of MD in the WPR from 1990 to 2021,along with associated risk factors,to reveal changing trends and emerging challenges.METHODS We used data from the Global Burden of Disease 2021,analyzing prevalence,incidence,and disability-adjusted life years(DALYs)of MD from 1990 to 2021.Statistical methods included age-standardisation and uncertainty analysis to address variations in population structure and data completeness.RESULTS Between 1990 and 2021,the prevalence of MD rose from 174.40 million cases[95%uncertainty interval(UI):160.17-189.84]to 234.90 million cases(95%UI:219.04-252.50),with corresponding DALYs increasing from 22.8 million(95%UI:17.22-28.79)to 32.07 million(95%UI:24.50-40.68).During this period,the burden of MD shifted towards older age groups.Depressive and anxiety disorders were predominant,with females showing higher DALYs for depressive and anxiety disorders,and males more affected by conduct disorders,attention-deficit hyperactivity disorder,and autism spectrum disorders.Australia,New Zealand,and Malaysia reported the highest burdens,whereas Vietnam,China,and Brunei Darussalam reported the lowest.Additionally,childhood sexual abuse and bullying,and intimate partner violence emerged as significant risk factors.CONCLUSION This study highlights the significant burden of MD in the WPR,with variations by age,gender,and nation.The coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic has exacerbated the situation,emphasizing the need for a coordinated response.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Nos.41930533,42176128)the Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences(No.XDB42000000)+1 种基金the Senior User Project of R/V Kexue(No.KEXUE2020GZ02)the Science and Technology Program of Nanji Islands National Marine Nature Reserve Administration(No.JJZB-PYCG-2021112901)。
文摘The black coral genus Bathypathes Brook,1889 represents a relatively diverse and ecologically important assemblage comprising the deep-sea hard substrate communities.Recent phylogenetic investigations have revealed the polyphyletic nature of Bathypathes,urging further morphological analysis to understand its systematics.By combing morphological and molecular data,we describe Bathypathes multifurcata sp.nov.and report B.pseudoalternata Molodtsova,Opresko&Wagner,2022based on the specimens collected from the tropical western Pacific.The phylogenetic topology reconstructed using nuclear ITS1-5.8S-ITS2 and three mitochondrial fragments suggests the separation of Bathypathes into four groups.Our analysis of morphological characters,particularly the colony branch and pinnule patterns also roughly classify Bathypathes into four morphological groups A–D.Group A is characterized by the unbranched colony and the subopposite arrangement of pinnules.In contrast to Group A,Groups B–D have the alternately arranged pinnules.Among these,Group C exhibits a distinctly long unpinnulated stem compared to Groups B and D.Group B has unbranched colony,relatively short unpinnulated stem,and spines on pinnules have blunt apex.Within Group D,large colonies(higher than 40 cm)have one or a few branches,small colonies(less than 40 cm)are unbranched,and spines on pinnules have acute apex.Further data particularly those species without sequences are necessary to verify the classification of these groups.
基金Supported by the Science and Technology Innovation Project of Laoshan Laboratory(No.LSKJ 202203100)the Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences(No.XDB 42000000)。
文摘During the expedition to an unnamed seamount of Caroline Ridge in the northwest Pacific Ocean,one Thalassometra specimen was sampled,and careful morphological assessment suggested that this specimen represents a new species within the genus Thalassometra:Thalassometra brachia sp.nov.This new species was collected at a depth of 688 m and is characterized by the dome-like centrodorsal,large number of arms(43 in total),irregularly arranged sockets with three per radial area,P 2 and P 3,similar in size and character and smaller than P 1,spinous median carination on the first and second ossicles of the division series and on the first two brachials,and dense spicules in brachial bases.
基金National Natural Science Foundation of China,No.42225105,No.42201176National Natural Science Foundation of China Basic Science Center for Tibetan Plateau Earth System Project(NSFC BSCTPES Project),No.41988101。
文摘Tropical cyclones(TCs)have profound impacts on socioeconomic conditions and pose substantial risks to lives and property.However,it is still unclear whether the multitimescale changes in TC activity over the past 2000 years in the Northwestern Pacific(NWP)were regulated by Asian dust forcing.Here,we assessed the impact of Asian dust on TC activity using observational data and reconstructed records from the northern and southern NWP.Our correlation analysis of instrumental data from 1954 to 2017 reveals no significant relationship between observed TC activity and Asian dust forcing.Furthermore,we found a meridional dipole pattern of TC variation across the NWP in observations and reconstructions.These finding challenges current explanations that are based on the synchronous changes in TC activity and Asian dust forcing.Alternatively,we propose that the Western Pacific Subtropical High(WPSH)plays a crucial role in driving these meridional dipole patterns in TC variations,as supported by observations and reconstructions.The southwestward extension of an enhanced WPSH intensifies easterly flow,steering TCs westward along its southern edge.This leads to more TC activity in the southern NWP but less in the north,and vice versa when the WPSH is weakened.With the expected strengthening of the WPSH due to global warming,it is vital to consider its impact on NWP TC activity for effective risk-mitigation strategies.
基金supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of China(No.2019YFD0901404)。
文摘Pelagic fish are the most abundant species in upwelling regions,contributing 25%of total global fisheries production.Climate-driven changes in the marine environment play a crucial role in their population dynamics.Using Chilean jack mackerel(Trachurus murphyi)as an example,this study conducted simulations to quantify the impacts of environmental variations on the stock assessment.A habitat-based surplus production model was developed by integrating suitable habitat area into the model parameters carrying capacity(K)and intrinsic growth rate(r),with a suitable habitat area serving as the proxy for the environmental conditions for Chilean jack mackerel in the Southeast Pacific Ocean.The dynamics of Chilean jack mackerel stock and fisheries data were simulated,and four assessment models with different configurations were built to fit simulated data,with or without considering environmental effects.The results indicated that Joint K-r model,which integrated both parameters with the suitable habitat area index,outperformed the others by coming closest to the‘true'population dynamics.Ignoring habitat variations in the estimation model tended to overestimate biomass and underestimate harvest rate and reference points.Without observation and process error,the results were estimated with bias,while FMSY is relatively sensitive.This research illustrates the importance to consider random errors and environmental influences on populations,and provides foundation guidelines for future stock assessment.
基金The Fund of Laoshan Laboratory under contract No.LSKJ202203602the National key R&D Program of China under contract No.2022YFC2803600the Taishan Scholarship from Shandong Province.
文摘To explore the geochemical characteristics and genesis of the elements in ferromanganese nodules from the Northwest Pacific,this study analyses the mineral composition,elemental content,occurrence phase and genetic mechanisms of samples by X-ray diffraction(XRD),inductively coupled plasma-optical emission spectrometry(ICP-OES),inductively coupled plasma-mass spectrometry(ICP-MS)and phase analysis methods.The results show that ferromanganese nodules are mainly hydrogenetic,and Mn/Fe content ratio ranges from 0.95 to 2.05.The major minerals are vernadite(δ-MnO_(2))and amorphous ferric oxyhydroxide(FeOOH),and the secondary minerals include todorokite,birnessite,quartz and plagioclase.Ferromanganese nodules contain high contents of Co(0.24%-0.42%),Cu(0.23%-0.73%),Ni(0.33%-0.86%)and rare earth elements(REEs,1192-1990μg/g),which have positive Ce and negative Y anomalies but no Eu anomaly.A cluster analysis suggests that the elements in ferromanganese nodules can be divided into three groups:hydrogenetic components,including Fe,Ti,Zr,P,Pb,Co,Ba,Sr,V and REEs;diagenetic components,including Mn,Ni,Mg,Zn and Cu;and detrital components,including Al,Na,K and Ca.According to chemical leaching,ferromanganese nodules can be divided into four phases:Na,Ca,Mg and Sr are mainly enriched in the carbonate phase;Mn,Co,Ni and Ba are mainly enriched in the Mn-oxide phase;Fe,P,Ti,Cu,Pb,V,Zn,Zr and REEs are mainly enriched in the Fe-oxide phase;and Al and K are mainly enriched in the residual phase.A combination of the two different methods reveal selective enrichment of metal elements from seawater by ferromanganese nodules,featuring multisource mineralization.Moreover,through ion exchange and adsorption,approximately 71.2%of REEs are enriched in the Fe-oxide phase,15.4%in the Mn-oxide phase and 12.4%in the residual phase,while REE contents in the carbonate phase are relatively low.In addition,under the oxic conditions of seawater,the oxidation of soluble Ce^(3+)to insoluble CeO_(2)together with Fe-Mn minerals results in Ce enrichment in ferromanganese nodules.This study provides a reference for the metallogenesis of ferromanganese nodules from the Northwest Pacific.
基金The National Key Research and Development Program of China under contract No.2021YFC2803300the National Natural Science Foundation of China under contract No.42325604+1 种基金the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology of China under contract No.CBG2N21-2-1Program of Shanghai Academic/Technology Research Leader under contract No.22XD1403600.
文摘The thaw-freezing transition period is crucial to determine the initial sea ice status prior to the freezing season.The heat and mass balance at ice-ocean interface is the major driving process.In this study,we analyze heat fluxes profile through the ice from ice surface down to basal ice-ocean interface using the data measured by 11 thermistor stringbased ice mass balance buoys(IMBs)between September and December 2018 in the Pacific sector of Arctic Ocean.The conductive heat fluxes gradually decreased from surface downward through the lower ice layers due to the thermal inertia and energy storage in the brine pockets.At the ice bottom,the oceanic heat flux decreased from(5.9±1.3)W/m^(2)in mid-September to(1.8±0.8)W/m^(2)by the end of December in response to the decreasing of available absorbed solar radiation regulated by the latitude and sea ice concentration.The initial ice thicknesses can explain the onset of ice basal growth by 44.8%(R^(2)).From 15 September to the average onset of ice basal growth by 13 November,the accumulated heat fluxes released from the ice surface to the atmosphere,caused by the cooling of the ice layer,and from the ocean to the ice bottom were estimated as 25.73 MJ/m^(2),6.49 MJ/m^(2),and 20.30 MJ/m^(2),respectively.The latter two components mainly play the roles in buffering the onset of ice basal growth.
基金Supported by the National Key Research and Development Program(No.2016YFC1402201)the China Ocean Mineral Resources R&D Association Project(No.DY135-E2-2-04)。
文摘Microplastic contamination is considered a major threat to the marine environment.Although microplastic pollution in the Pacific Ocean has been studied,its abundance,distribution,composition,and origin in the western Pacific Ocean remain unclear.Here,we investigated the abundance and distribution characteristics of microplastics in surface waters of the western Pacific Ocean and analyzed their potential sources.Results show that microplastics were widespread in the western Pacific Ocean,with abundance ranging from 0.03 to 2.36 particles/m^(3)(average 0.37±0.47 particles/m^(3)).Fibers/filaments and fragments were the main shapes of microplastics(71.6%)and the most abundant microplastic size class was<1.0 mm(42.4%).Significant differences in microplastic abundance were observed in different regions,with the lowest abundance in the South China Sea(0.03 particles/m^(3))and highest abundance in the seamount area in the western Pacific Ocean(0.58 particles/m^(3)).This study provides baseline data and insights into the fate and transportation of microplastics in the western Pacific region.
基金National Key R&D Program of China(2022YFC3004200)Science and Technology Commission of Shanghai Municipality,China(23DZ1204703)。
文摘The duration of the extratropical transition(ET)of tropical cyclones(TCs)is often closely associated with disaster intensity.Therefore,it is essential to understand the key factors that influence ET duration.Using the TC best-track data and reanalysis data,this study investigates the structural characteristics and key influencing factors of ET duration in the western North Pacific(WNP)during 1981–2022.Results show that,compared to TCs that undergo ET rapidly(≤12 h),TCs that experience ET slowly(≥24 h)undergo a more prolonged and complex ET process,maintaining a warm core and an upright structure for extended periods.By contrast,TCs undergoing rapid transition experience structural disintegration within 6–12 h after ET onset.Further analysis reveals that TCs with longer ET durations are characterized by stronger warm cores,more abundant moisture,weaker environmental vertical wind shear,slower translation speeds,and a longer residence time over warmer sea surface temperatures(SSTs),all of which support the maintenance of axisymmetric structures with strong warm cores.Environmental and structural factors,including cold-air intensity,vertical wind shear,TC translation speed,SST,relative humidity,TC intensity,the radius of 17 m s^(-1)wind,mean sea level pressure,and the radius of maximum wind,are found to exist significant correlation with ET duration.Cold-air intensity exhibited the highest correlation(r=–0.35),followed by TC translation speed and SST.A relative importance analysis shows that the environmental factors play a more substantial role than the internal TC structure,accounting for about 19.23%of the variance,with TC translation speed and cold-air effects explaining 11.68%.Based on the nine factors,a statistical forecasting model was developed,which shows considerable skill in predicting ET duration.
基金financial support from the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.U2244222,42576244,42072324,42442603)the Guangzhou Basic and Applied Basic Research Foundation(Grant No.202201011367,202201011487).
文摘Weijia Guyot,located in the western Pacific Ocean,has become a research focus due to its abundant cobalt-rich ferromanganese(Fe-Mn)crusts.While most studies on Fe-Mn crusts on seamounts have focused on the exposed variety,less attention has been paid to potential buried crusts.This study presents a preliminary geochemical and chronological study of buried Fe-Mn crusts at Weijia Guyot.The findings suggest that these buried crusts began to form around 57.5 Ma and ceased growing at approximately 46.3 Ma.Following the formation of Weijia Guyot through volcanic eruption,it did not experience continuous and steady subsidence to its current depth.Instead,an exhumation process took place from deep to shallow depths between 46.3 and 11.6 Ma.This process brought the Fe-Mn crusts into shallow water environments,halting their growth.During this time,Weijia Guyot was located near the equatorial Pacific Ocean and was exposed to an extended period of phosphatization.This exposure led to a depletion of key metallogenic elements,such as Co,Ni and Cu,within the Fe-Mn crusts,while P2O5 and CaO levels increased significantly.Since the Middle Miocene,the crusts have been progressively buried by pelagic sediments.
基金National Natural Science Foundation of China,No.42201258,No.42571214Ministry of Education Humanities and Social Sciences Research Youth Fund Project,No.22YJCZH057+2 种基金National Key Research and Development Program of China,No.2024YFE0214000The Project of Jinhua City’s Deepening of Local Cooperation between China and Africa in 2025,No.SXZF202548ZSpecial Major Project of National Influence Building Think Tank,No.ZKZD2024011。
文摘The intricate network of bilateral trade relationships among Pacific Rim countries(PRCs),along with the associated embodied carbon flows plays a pivotal role in shaping global carbon emission patterns and dynamics.This study employs a multi-regional inputoutput analysis and a symbiotic degree model to explore the symbiotic effects of trade-embodied carbon flows between China and PRCs.We show that between 2009 and 2021,China's trade-embodied carbon exports to PRCs surged from 214.20 million tons to 614.80 million tons,driven largely by mechanical and electronic equipment.The share of the United States,Japan,and South Korea in China's total embodied carbon exports to PRCs has declined,whereas Southeast Asian countries have emerged as the primary source of China's embodied carbon imports.The degree of symbiosis in trade-embodied carbon between China and PRCs shifted from negative to positive,indicating a gradual trend toward positive asymmetric symbiosis.Moreover,China's role in regional trade-embodied carbon flows has transitioned from passive to active,with its influence particularly pronounced in countries such as Vietnam,Thailand,Japan,South Korea,and Russia.
文摘The Asia-Pacific region is the most dynamic part of the global economy.After over 50 years of continuously expanding trade,investment and industrial cooperation,the region has formed a highly-tied multi-level labor division system covering vertical integration and horizontal complementarity of industrial chains.From the V-shaped development model in the twentieth century to the East Asian production network in the twenty-first century,the intra-industry and intra-product division of labor in the Asia-Pacific region has been ever deepening.However,due to the region’s high dependence on the U.S.market,the division of labor model in the Asia-Pacific suffers structural problems and is relatively fragile.Under the shock of Trump 1.0,countries in the Asia-Pacific region were forced to make adaptive adjustments,causing short-term turmoil in the regional economic order.Trump’s strong return in 2025,driven by the“America First”principle,brought forth a series of policies with strong unilateralism,isolationism and protectionism tendencies within just a few months。
基金Guangdong Major Project of Basic and Applied Basic Research(2020B0301030004)National Natural Science Foundation of China(41875114)Science and Technology Commission of Shanghai Municipality,China(23DZ1204703)。
文摘The rapid intensification(RI)magnitude of tropical cyclones(TCs)over the western North Pacific(WNP)exhibits significant interannual variability and is influenced by multiple factors across various scales.These factors primarily include:interannual factors—sea surface temperature(SST)in key regions of the WNP,eastern Indian Ocean SST,El Niño-Southern Oscillation(ENSO),South Pacific Subtropical Dipole(SPSD),and western Pacific teleconnection;decadal factors—Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation(AMO)and Pacific Decadal Oscillation(PDO);and longer-term factor—global warming.This study systematically analyzes these factors and their potential impacts,quantitatively assessing their relative importance.A statistical prediction model for the WNP TC-RI magnitude is developed based on ridge regression methods.The results indicate that the influence of these factors on the RI magnitude is closely related to the large-scale thermodynamic and dynamic conditions.Among them,the SPSD plays the most critical role in the interannual variability of the RI magnitude,followed by global warming and the AMO.Further analysis reveals that the statistical prediction model based on multiple factors demonstrates good predictive skill for the interannual variability of the TC RI magnitude.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Nos.42476024,42176010)the National Key Research and Development Program of China(No.2022YFF0801400)。
文摘Sea surface temperature(SST)is an important ocean variable affecting climate change.It plays an important role in the interactions between the ocean and the atmosphere,and it also has an effect on the transport of heat,freshwater,and carbon.Therefore,accurate SST prediction is necessary for understanding climate change and protecting ocean ecosystems.In this study,we proposed a hybrid model to predict SST in the tropical Pacific Ocean based on two single deep-learning models.Results indicate that the proposed hybrid model shows superior prediction accuracy at all lead times compared to the single model.Specifically,during El Niño periods,the root mean square error,mean absolute error,and Pearson correlation coefficient of the hybrid model forecasts were approximately 0.54℃,0.40℃,and 0.98,respectively,while during La Niña periods,these metrics were 0.55℃,0.39℃,and 0.98,respectively.Notably,the hybrid model was able to capture the spatial distribution of SSTs during the El Niño-Southern Oscillation(ENSO)events more accurately relative to a single model.Moreover,the prediction results of the hybrid model in different ocean regions exhibited lower prediction errors and higher correlations.The ablation experiments showed that sea surface wind(SSW)had different effects on SST at different times.By combining SST and SSW data,the model can make more-accurate predictions under different climatic conditions.The proposed hybrid model is able to predict SSTs quickly and accurately with better robustness during ENSO.
基金the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Nos.42230405,41975092)the National Key R&D Program of China(No.2023YFF0805100)+1 种基金the Shandong Natural Science Foundation Project(No.ZR2019ZD12)the Taishan Scholars Project of Shandong Province(No.tsqn202306095)。
文摘The Pacific Meridional Mode(PMM)and the Atlantic Meridional Mode(AMM)are key modes of interannual sea surface temperature(SST)variability in the Pacific and Atlantic Oceans,respectively.Analysis of CMIP6 model outputs reveals a robust intensification of the PMM under global warming,whereas the AMM exhibits no consensus among models.These different responses are attributed to mid-to-high latitude atmospheric forcing and subtropical feedback mechanisms.Changes in the upper-level westerly jet drive distinct atmospheric variability over the North Pacific and Atlantic,amplifying sea-level pressure variations associated with the PMM but weakening those linked to the AMM.The SST response to atmospheric forcing shows an increase in the Pacific and a decrease in the Atlantic,both of which are significantly positively correlated with the respective changes in each mode.The enhanced wind-evaporation-SST(WES)feedback,primarily driven by rising background SSTs,positively impacts the intensification of both modes.In the subtropical Pacific,the PMM is further strengthened by an increasing latent heat flux response.The enhancement of the PMM is principally connected to intensified atmospheric forcing and strengthened subtropical feedback.Although the WES feedback is enhanced to some extent,wind anomalies that oppose the climatological state reduce latent heat flux.Combined with the weakening of atmospheric forcing over the Atlantic,this phenomenon contributes to the uncertainty in the AMM's response to global warming.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.42030410)the Laoshan Laboratory(Grant Nos.LSKJ202202404 and LSKJ202202403)+1 种基金the Startup Foundation for Introducing Tal-ent of NUIST,Jiangsu Innovation Research Group(Grant No.JSS-CTD202346)the Jiangsu Funding Program for Excellent Post-doctoral Talent(Grant No.2023ZB690).
文摘Bomb cyclones are rapidly deepening extratropical cyclones predominantly found in midlatitude regions.These extreme events are particularly frequent over the North Pacific(NP),posing significant societal and environmental risks.Currently,our understanding of the variability of bomb cyclones over the NP remains limited.This study analyzes the variations in multiple NP bomb cyclone characteristics from 1980 onward using four major reanalysis datasets.The results show a weakening trend of bomb cyclones since the beginning of the 21st century,which is characterized by significant reductions in maximum near-surface wind speeds,increases in minimum sea level pressure,and slower deepening rates.Further analysis reveals that the observed weakening trend of bomb cyclones is closely linked to a reduction in maximum 850 hPa Eady growth rate,driven primarily by reduced vertical wind shear within the 30°-45°N latitudinal band.Furthermore,our findings indicate that the Aleutian Low acts to modulate the meridional air temperature gradient over the midlatitude NP,which is corroborated by climate model outputs.This modulation provides a pathway for the Aleutian Low to affect low-level baroclinicity and thus bomb cyclone characteristics.These results have important implications for future projections of bomb cyclone activity over the NP,aiding in risk assessment and mitigating the impacts of these extreme events.
基金the Korea Meteorological Administration Research and Development Program under Grant KMI(Grant No.RS-2023-00241809)conducted under the framework of the research and development program of the Korea Institute of Energy Research(C5-2422).
文摘This study identified the relationship between tropical cyclone(TC)activity and extreme Pacific–Japan(PJ)teleconnection patterns in August and September.In the East China Sea(ECS)and Mariana Islands(MI)regions,where the edge of the western North Pacific subtropical high(WNPSH)is located,approximately 60%–75%of TCs migrate to Far East Asian countries.A significant positive correlation existed between the frequency of northward migration of TCs and PJ patterns,since the TC frequency in the ECS and MI regions was significantly higher in the positive compared with the negative phase.In the positive phase,the main reason for the large number of TCs occurring was the monsoon trough’s location and strength.The strong and northeastward-shifted monsoon trough in the positive phase leads to more TCs in the ECS and MI regions.Other large-scale environments associated with TC formation also favored TC genesis around the ECS and MI regions.The higher PDI(power dissipation index)during the positive PJ phase can potentially lead to significant impacts in the Far East Asian countries.These characteristics were particularly more notable in August compared with September.
