Climate models are essential for understanding past,present,and future changes in atmospheric circulation,with circulation modes providing key sources of seasonal predictability and prediction uncertainties for both g...Climate models are essential for understanding past,present,and future changes in atmospheric circulation,with circulation modes providing key sources of seasonal predictability and prediction uncertainties for both global and regional climates.This study assesses the performance of models participating in phase 6 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project in simulating interannual variability modes of Northern Hemisphere 500-hPa geopotential height during winter and summer,distinguishing predictable(potentially predictable on seasonal or longer timescales)and unpredictable(intraseasonal and essentially unpredictable at long range)components,using reanalysis data and a variance decomposition method.Although most models effectively capture unpredictable modes in reanalysis,their ability to reproduce dominant predictable modes-specifically the Pacific-North American pattern,Arctic Oscillation,and Western Pacific Oscillation in winter,and the East Atlantic and North Atlantic Oscillations in summer-varies notably.An optimal ensemble is identified to distinguish(a)predictable-external modes,dominated by external forcing,and(b)predictable-internal modes,associated with slow internal variability,during the historical period(1950-2014)and the SSP5-8.5 scenario(2036-2100).Under increased radiative forcing,the leading winter/summer predictable-external mode exhibits a more uniform spatial distribution,remarkably larger trend and annual variance,and enhanced height-sea surface temperature(SST)covariance under SSP5-8.5 compared to historical conditions.The dominant winter/summer predictable-internal modes also exhibit increased variance and height-SST covariance under SSP5-8.5,along with localized changes in spatial configuration.Minimal changes are observed in spatial distribution or variance for dominant winter/summer unpredictable modes under SSP5-8.5.This study,from a predictive perspective,deepens our understanding of model uncertainties and projected changes in circulations.展开更多
Andrew Wangota,a 48-year-old Ugandan farmer,has been using agrivoltaics technology,a solar technology that uses agricultural land for both food production and solar power generation,on his farm in Bunashimolo Parish,B...Andrew Wangota,a 48-year-old Ugandan farmer,has been using agrivoltaics technology,a solar technology that uses agricultural land for both food production and solar power generation,on his farm in Bunashimolo Parish,Bukyiende Subcounty in Uganda where he has been cultivating plantain,coffee and Irish potatoes for the past 16 years.展开更多
The global monsoon system,encompassing the Asian-Australian,African,and American monsoons,sustains two-thirds of the world’s population by regulating water resources and agriculture.Monsoon anomalies pose severe risk...The global monsoon system,encompassing the Asian-Australian,African,and American monsoons,sustains two-thirds of the world’s population by regulating water resources and agriculture.Monsoon anomalies pose severe risks,including floods and droughts.Recent research associated with the implementation of the Global Monsoons Model Intercomparison Project under the umbrella of CMIP6 has advanced our understanding of its historical variability and driving mechanisms.Observational data reveal a 20th-century shift:increased rainfall pre-1950s,followed by aridification and partial recovery post-1980s,driven by both internal variability(e.g.,Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation)and external forcings(greenhouse gases,aerosols),while ENSO drives interannual variability through ocean-atmosphere interactions.Future projections under greenhouse forcing suggest long-term monsoon intensification,though regional disparities and model uncertainties persist.Models indicate robust trends but struggle to quantify extremes,where thermodynamic effects(warming-induced moisture rise)uniformly boost heavy rainfall,while dynamical shifts(circulation changes)create spatial heterogeneity.Volcanic eruptions and proposed solar radiation modification(SRM)further complicate predictions:tropical eruptions suppress monsoons,whereas high-latitude events alter cross-equatorial flows,highlighting unresolved feedbacks.The emergent constraint approach is booming in terms of correcting future projections and reducing uncertainty with respect to the global monsoons.Critical challenges remain.Model biases and sparse 20th-century observational data hinder accurate attribution.The interplay between natural variability and anthropogenic forcings,along with nonlinear extreme precipitation risks under warming,demands deeper mechanistic insights.Additionally,SRM’s regional impacts and hemispheric monsoon interactions require systematic evaluation.Addressing these gaps necessitates enhanced observational networks,refined climate models,and interdisciplinary efforts to disentangle multiscale drivers,ultimately improving resilience strategies for monsoon-dependent regions.展开更多
Objective expertise evaluation of individuals,as a prerequisite stage for team formation,has been a long-term desideratum in large software development companies.With the rapid advancements in machine learning methods...Objective expertise evaluation of individuals,as a prerequisite stage for team formation,has been a long-term desideratum in large software development companies.With the rapid advancements in machine learning methods,based on reliable existing data stored in project management tools’datasets,automating this evaluation process becomes a natural step forward.In this context,our approach focuses on quantifying software developer expertise by using metadata from the task-tracking systems.For this,we mathematically formalize two categories of expertise:technology-specific expertise,which denotes the skills required for a particular technology,and general expertise,which encapsulates overall knowledge in the software industry.Afterward,we automatically classify the zones of expertise associated with each task a developer has worked on using Bidirectional Encoder Representations from Transformers(BERT)-like transformers to handle the unique characteristics of project tool datasets effectively.Finally,our method evaluates the proficiency of each software specialist across already completed projects from both technology-specific and general perspectives.The method was experimentally validated,yielding promising results.展开更多
The construction projects’ dynamic and interconnected nature requires a comprehensive understanding of complexity during pre-construction. Traditional tools such as Gantt charts, CPM, and PERT often overlook uncertai...The construction projects’ dynamic and interconnected nature requires a comprehensive understanding of complexity during pre-construction. Traditional tools such as Gantt charts, CPM, and PERT often overlook uncertainties. This study identifies 20 complexity factors through expert interviews and literature, categorising them into six groups. The Analytical Hierarchy Process evaluated the significance of different factors, establishing their corresponding weights to enhance adaptive project scheduling. A system dynamics (SD) model is developed and tested to evaluate the dynamic behaviour of identified complexity factors. The model simulates the impact of complexity on total project duration (TPD), revealing significant deviations from initial deterministic estimates. Data collection and analysis for reliability tests, including normality and Cronbach alpha, to validate the model’s components and expert feedback. Sensitivity analysis confirmed a positive relationship between complexity and project duration, with higher complexity levels resulting in increased TPD. This relationship highlights the inadequacy of static planning approaches and underscores the importance of addressing complexity dynamically. The study provides a framework for enhancing planning systems through system dynamics and recommends expanding the model to ensure broader applicability in diverse construction projects.展开更多
We propose a hybrid and contingent approach to the management of digital projects,based on the assumption that there is not an absolute best way,but the approach should fit context and environment.The pillars of our c...We propose a hybrid and contingent approach to the management of digital projects,based on the assumption that there is not an absolute best way,but the approach should fit context and environment.The pillars of our contingent framework are Agile methodologies,predictive project management,and AI.The analysis of project management methodologies is based on a layered project model.Specifically,we identify 4 project concentric layers for both Agile and predictive project management.That layered model allows us to deploy different methodologies consistently with the distinct characteristics of each project.We describe the key characteristics of each approach and,also,we map Agile methodologies on the sociotechnical profile of projects.Finally,we summarize the impact of AI on predictive and hybrid projects.展开更多
Let X be a real uniformly convex and uniformly smooth Banach space and C a nonempty closed and convex subset of X.Let Π_(C):X→C denote the generalized metric projection operator introduced by Alber in[1].In this pap...Let X be a real uniformly convex and uniformly smooth Banach space and C a nonempty closed and convex subset of X.Let Π_(C):X→C denote the generalized metric projection operator introduced by Alber in[1].In this paper,we define the Gâteaux directional differentiability of Π_(C).We investigate some properties of the Gâteaux directional differentiability of Π_(C).In particular,if C is a closed ball,or a closed and convex cone(including proper closed subspaces),or a closed and convex cylinder,then,we give the exact representations of the directional derivatives of Π_(C).By comparing the results in[12]and this paper,we see the significant difference between the directional derivatives of the generalized metric projection operator Π_(C) and the Gâteaux directional derivatives of the standard metric projection operator PC.展开更多
The Fringe Projection Profilometry(FPP)system with a single exposure time or a single projection intensity is limited by the dynamic range of the camera,which can lead to overexposure and underexposure of the image,re...The Fringe Projection Profilometry(FPP)system with a single exposure time or a single projection intensity is limited by the dynamic range of the camera,which can lead to overexposure and underexposure of the image,resulting in point cloud loss or reduced accuracy.To address this issue,unlike the pixel modulation method of projectors,we utilize the characteristics of color projectors where the intensity of the three-channel LED can be controlled independently.We propose a method for separating the projector's three-channel light intensity,combined with a color camera,to achieve single exposure and multi-intensity image acquisition.Further,the crosstalk coefficient is applied to predict the three-channel reflectance of the measured object.By integrating clustering and channel mapping,we establish a pixel-level mapping model between the projector's three-channel current and the camera's three-channel image intensity,which realizes the optimal projection current prediction and the high dynamic range(HDR)image acquisition.The proposed method allows for high-precision three-dimensional(3D)data acquisition of HDR scenes with a single exposure.The effectiveness of this method has been validated through experiments with standard planes and standard steps,showing a significant reduction in mean absolute error(44.6%)compared to existing singleexposure HDR methods.Additionally,the number of images required for acquisition is significantly reduced(by 70.8%)compared to multi-exposure fusion methods.This proposed method has great potential in various FPP-related fields.展开更多
Benefit evaluation of debris flow prevention and control projects was one of the essential contents of debris flow prevention and mitigation work.In order to scientifically and quantitatively evaluate the comprehensiv...Benefit evaluation of debris flow prevention and control projects was one of the essential contents of debris flow prevention and mitigation work.In order to scientifically and quantitatively evaluate the comprehensive benefit of debris flow prevention and control projects,this study identified nine factors as evaluation indicators from economic,social,and ecological aspects.The projection pursuit(PP) model based on the improved particle swarm optimization(IPSO) algorithm was used to construct a mathematical model to evaluate the benefit of debris flow prevention and control projects.The interpolation method was applied to divide the benefit grades.The debris flow prevention and control projects in Qipan,Taoguan,Chutou,Anjia,and Mozi gullies in Wenchuan County were chosen as typical cases for empirical analysis.The case study revealed that,among the criteria layer indicators,investment per unit of the protected area,investment per unit of the protected population,the amount of water and soil conservation,and reduction rate of accumulation fan had the most significant weights.The social and ecological benefits were found to be the more important in the target layer.The comprehensive benefit of Qipan,Taoguan,Chutou,Anjia,and Mozi gullies was found to be 4.44,4.83,1.95,3,and 2,respectively.The benefit ranking of the five gullies was consistent with their effectiveness in disaster prevention ranking in the flood season of 2019.Therefore,it could prove that the newly-built benefit evaluation model was practical and feasible,and the evaluation results of the sample could be reasonably interpreted,which verified the effectiveness of the methods.展开更多
This paper focuses on the procurement of construction projects in universities,conducting research on the influencing factors of procurement risks in such projects.By combining questionnaire surveys with expert interv...This paper focuses on the procurement of construction projects in universities,conducting research on the influencing factors of procurement risks in such projects.By combining questionnaire surveys with expert interviews,numerous factors affecting procurement are analyzed.Subsequently,these factors are refined and summarized to construct a procurement risk evaluation index system for construction projects,which includes three first-level indicators,such as process management risk and ethical/legal risk,and is further subdivided into 13 second-level indicators.展开更多
Currently,the international economic situation is becoming increasingly complex,and there is significant downward pressure on the global economy.In recent years,China’s infrastructure sector has experienced rapid gro...Currently,the international economic situation is becoming increasingly complex,and there is significant downward pressure on the global economy.In recent years,China’s infrastructure sector has experienced rapid growth,with the structure of its power engineering business gradually shifting from traditional infrastructure construction to more diversified areas such as production and operation,as well as emergency repairs.As a result,the transformation of mechanized construction in power transmission and transformation projects has become increasingly urgent.This article proposes a post-evaluation model based on game theory to improve comprehensive weighting and fuzzy grey relational projection sorting,which can be used to evaluate the optimal mechanized construction scheme for power transmission and transformation projects.The model begins by considering the entire lifecycle of power transmission and transformation projects.It constructs a post-evaluation index system that covers the planning and design stage,on-site construction stage,operation and maintenance stage,and the decommissioning and disposal stage,with corresponding calculation methods for each index.The fuzzy grey correlation projection sorting method is then employed to evaluate and rank the construction schemes.To validate the model’s effectiveness,a case study of a power transmission and transformation project in a specific region of China is used.The comprehensive benefits of three proposed mechanized construction schemes are evaluated and compared.According to the evaluation results,Scheme 1 is ranked the highest,with a membership degree of 0.870945,excelling in sustainability.These results suggest that the proposed model can effectively evaluate and make decisions regarding the optimal mechanized construction plan for power transmission and transformation projects.展开更多
Investigating the ecological impact of land use change in the context of the construction of national water network project is crucial,as it is imperative for achieving the sustainable development goals of the nationa...Investigating the ecological impact of land use change in the context of the construction of national water network project is crucial,as it is imperative for achieving the sustainable development goals of the national water network and guaranteeing regional ecological stability.Using the Danjiangkou Reservoir Area(DRA),China as the study area,this paper first examined the spatiotemporal dynamics of natural landscape patterns and ecosystem service values(ESV)in the DRA from 2000 to 2018 and then investigated the spatial clustering characteristics of the ESV using spatial statistical analysis tools.Finally,the patch-generating land use simulation(PLUS)model was used to simulate the natural landscape and future changes in the ESV of the DRA from 2018 to 2028 under four different development scenarios:business as usual(BAU),economic development(ED),ecological protection(EP),and shoreline protection(SP).The results show that:during 2000-2018,the construction of water facilities had a significant impact on regional land use/land cover(LULC)change,with a 24830 ha increase in watershed area.ESV exhibited an increasing trend,with a significant and growing spatial clustering effect.The transformation of farmland to water bodies led to accelerated ESV growth,while the transformation of forest land to farmland led to a decrease in the ESV.Normalized difference vegetation index(NDVI)had the strongest effect on the ESV.ESV exhibited a continuous increase from 2018 to 2028 under all the simulation scenarios.The EP scenario had the greatest increase in ESV,while the ED scenario had the smallest increase.The findings suggest that projected land use patterns under different scenarios have varied impacts on ecosystem services(ESs)and that the management and planning of the DRA should balance social,economic,ecological,and security benefits.nomic,ecological,and security benefits.展开更多
Background Cervical cancer is the only cancer that can be eliminated worldwide.Tracking the latest burden of cervical cancer is critical toward the targets set by World Health Organization(WHO)to eliminate cervical ca...Background Cervical cancer is the only cancer that can be eliminated worldwide.Tracking the latest burden of cervical cancer is critical toward the targets set by World Health Organization(WHO)to eliminate cervical cancer as a major public health problem.Methods All data were extracted from the Global Cancer Observatory(GLOBOCAN)2022.Age-standardized incidence rate(ASIR)and mortality rates(ASMR)of cervical cancer were compared and linked to Human Development Index(HDI)between populations.The estimated annual percentage changes(EAPCs)were used to characterize the temporal trend in ASIR/ASMR,and demographic estimates were projected up to 2050.Results Globally,an estimated 662,044 cases(ASIR:14.12/100,000)and 348,709 deaths(ASMR:7.08/100,000)from cervical cancer occurred in 2022,corresponding to the fourth cause of cancer morbidity and mortality in women worldwide.Specifically,42%of cases and 39%of deaths occurred in China(23%and 16%)and India(19%and 23%).Both ASIR and ASMR of cervical cancer decreased with HDI,and similar decreasing links were observed for both early-onset(0–39 years)and late-onset(≥40 years)cervical cancer.Both ASIR and ASMR of overall cervical cancer showed decreasing trends during 2003–2012(EAPC:0.04%and-1.03%);however,upward trends were observed for early-onset cervical cancer(EAPC:1.16%and 0.57%).If national rates in 2022 remain stable,the estimated cases and deaths from cervical cancer are projected to increase by 56.8%and 80.7%up to 2050.Moreover,the projected increase of early-onset cervical cancer is mainly observed in transitioning countries,while decreased burden is expected in transitioned countries.Conclusions Cervical cancer remains a common cause of cancer death in many countries,especially in transitioning countries.Unless scaling-up preventive interventions,human papillomavirus(HPV)vaccination and cervical cancer screening,as well as systematic cooperation within government,civil societies,and private enterprises,the global burden of cervical cancer would be expected to increase in the future.展开更多
If geodetic coordinates from an ellipsoid are included in the equations of a projection for mapping a sphere instead of geographical coordinates,the result will be a projection of the ellipsoid into a plane.This will ...If geodetic coordinates from an ellipsoid are included in the equations of a projection for mapping a sphere instead of geographical coordinates,the result will be a projection of the ellipsoid into a plane.This will slightly change the distortion distribution of the initial map projection.The question is to what extent the replacement of geographical with geodetic coordinates will affect this change.In this paper,we deal with conformal,equal-area and equidistant projections of the sphere,which we modify by using geodetic coordinates instead of geographical ones.The result will be an approximately conformal,approximately equal-area and approximately equidistant projection.It is shown that in this case the maximum distortion of the angles in approximately conformal projections will be approximately 23.09′,the maximum distortion of the area in approximately equal-area projections less than 0.7% and the maximum distortion of lengths in approximately equidistant projections less than 0.7%,therefore on the maps imperceptible.展开更多
Within the framework of the 2030 Agenda and to achieve the Sustainable Development Goals(SDGs),science,technology and innovation play an even more central role.Building on this foundation,the primary objective of this...Within the framework of the 2030 Agenda and to achieve the Sustainable Development Goals(SDGs),science,technology and innovation play an even more central role.Building on this foundation,the primary objective of this paper is to explore the potential applications of blockchain in supporting the achievement of these sustainability goals.Starting from a review of the relevant literature on this topic,the main fields in which blockchain can contribute to sustainable development will be identified.The main blockchain applications will then be analyzed and categorized according to these SDGs.This research will then critically present the main blockchain-based projects that emerged in the first stage of the study and were implemented by the United Nations.The main objectives and benefits of each project will be analyzed.This is where the originality of this paper lies.To the best of the author’s knowledge,this is one of the first attempts to present a comprehensive overview of the United Nations’projects related to SDGs 1,2,5,7,9,13,and 16.This paper,which bridges the gap between innovation management and the sustainability field,will contribute to the increasingly current debate on sustainability issues and be beneficial to scholars,practitioners,and policymakers alike.展开更多
Projective synchronization problems of a drive system and a particular response network were investigated,where the drive system is an arbitrary system with n+1 dimensions;it may be a linear or nonlinear system,and ev...Projective synchronization problems of a drive system and a particular response network were investigated,where the drive system is an arbitrary system with n+1 dimensions;it may be a linear or nonlinear system,and even a chaotic or hyperchaotic system,the response network is complex system coupled by N nodes,and every node is showed by the approximately linear part of the drive system.Only controlling any one node of the response network by designed controller can achieve the projective synchronization.Some numerical examples were employed to verify the effectiveness and correctness of the designed controller.展开更多
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.U2342210 and 42275043)the National Institute of Natural Hazards,Ministry of Emergency Management of China(Grant Nos.J2223806,ZDJ2024-25 and ZDJ2025-34)。
文摘Climate models are essential for understanding past,present,and future changes in atmospheric circulation,with circulation modes providing key sources of seasonal predictability and prediction uncertainties for both global and regional climates.This study assesses the performance of models participating in phase 6 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project in simulating interannual variability modes of Northern Hemisphere 500-hPa geopotential height during winter and summer,distinguishing predictable(potentially predictable on seasonal or longer timescales)and unpredictable(intraseasonal and essentially unpredictable at long range)components,using reanalysis data and a variance decomposition method.Although most models effectively capture unpredictable modes in reanalysis,their ability to reproduce dominant predictable modes-specifically the Pacific-North American pattern,Arctic Oscillation,and Western Pacific Oscillation in winter,and the East Atlantic and North Atlantic Oscillations in summer-varies notably.An optimal ensemble is identified to distinguish(a)predictable-external modes,dominated by external forcing,and(b)predictable-internal modes,associated with slow internal variability,during the historical period(1950-2014)and the SSP5-8.5 scenario(2036-2100).Under increased radiative forcing,the leading winter/summer predictable-external mode exhibits a more uniform spatial distribution,remarkably larger trend and annual variance,and enhanced height-sea surface temperature(SST)covariance under SSP5-8.5 compared to historical conditions.The dominant winter/summer predictable-internal modes also exhibit increased variance and height-SST covariance under SSP5-8.5,along with localized changes in spatial configuration.Minimal changes are observed in spatial distribution or variance for dominant winter/summer unpredictable modes under SSP5-8.5.This study,from a predictive perspective,deepens our understanding of model uncertainties and projected changes in circulations.
文摘Andrew Wangota,a 48-year-old Ugandan farmer,has been using agrivoltaics technology,a solar technology that uses agricultural land for both food production and solar power generation,on his farm in Bunashimolo Parish,Bukyiende Subcounty in Uganda where he has been cultivating plantain,coffee and Irish potatoes for the past 16 years.
基金supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of China(Grant No.2020YFA0608904)the International Partnership Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences(Grant Nos.060GJHZ2023079GC and 134111KYSB20160031)+1 种基金supported by the Office of Science,U.S.Department of Energy(DOE)Biological and Environmental Research as part of the Regional and Global Model Analysis program area through the Water Cycle and Climate Extremes Modeling(WACCEM)scientific focus areaoperated for DOE by Battelle Memorial Institute under contract DE-AC05-76RL01830。
文摘The global monsoon system,encompassing the Asian-Australian,African,and American monsoons,sustains two-thirds of the world’s population by regulating water resources and agriculture.Monsoon anomalies pose severe risks,including floods and droughts.Recent research associated with the implementation of the Global Monsoons Model Intercomparison Project under the umbrella of CMIP6 has advanced our understanding of its historical variability and driving mechanisms.Observational data reveal a 20th-century shift:increased rainfall pre-1950s,followed by aridification and partial recovery post-1980s,driven by both internal variability(e.g.,Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation)and external forcings(greenhouse gases,aerosols),while ENSO drives interannual variability through ocean-atmosphere interactions.Future projections under greenhouse forcing suggest long-term monsoon intensification,though regional disparities and model uncertainties persist.Models indicate robust trends but struggle to quantify extremes,where thermodynamic effects(warming-induced moisture rise)uniformly boost heavy rainfall,while dynamical shifts(circulation changes)create spatial heterogeneity.Volcanic eruptions and proposed solar radiation modification(SRM)further complicate predictions:tropical eruptions suppress monsoons,whereas high-latitude events alter cross-equatorial flows,highlighting unresolved feedbacks.The emergent constraint approach is booming in terms of correcting future projections and reducing uncertainty with respect to the global monsoons.Critical challenges remain.Model biases and sparse 20th-century observational data hinder accurate attribution.The interplay between natural variability and anthropogenic forcings,along with nonlinear extreme precipitation risks under warming,demands deeper mechanistic insights.Additionally,SRM’s regional impacts and hemispheric monsoon interactions require systematic evaluation.Addressing these gaps necessitates enhanced observational networks,refined climate models,and interdisciplinary efforts to disentangle multiscale drivers,ultimately improving resilience strategies for monsoon-dependent regions.
基金supported by the project“Romanian Hub for Artificial Intelligence-HRIA”,Smart Growth,Digitization and Financial Instruments Program,2021–2027,MySMIS No.334906.
文摘Objective expertise evaluation of individuals,as a prerequisite stage for team formation,has been a long-term desideratum in large software development companies.With the rapid advancements in machine learning methods,based on reliable existing data stored in project management tools’datasets,automating this evaluation process becomes a natural step forward.In this context,our approach focuses on quantifying software developer expertise by using metadata from the task-tracking systems.For this,we mathematically formalize two categories of expertise:technology-specific expertise,which denotes the skills required for a particular technology,and general expertise,which encapsulates overall knowledge in the software industry.Afterward,we automatically classify the zones of expertise associated with each task a developer has worked on using Bidirectional Encoder Representations from Transformers(BERT)-like transformers to handle the unique characteristics of project tool datasets effectively.Finally,our method evaluates the proficiency of each software specialist across already completed projects from both technology-specific and general perspectives.The method was experimentally validated,yielding promising results.
文摘The construction projects’ dynamic and interconnected nature requires a comprehensive understanding of complexity during pre-construction. Traditional tools such as Gantt charts, CPM, and PERT often overlook uncertainties. This study identifies 20 complexity factors through expert interviews and literature, categorising them into six groups. The Analytical Hierarchy Process evaluated the significance of different factors, establishing their corresponding weights to enhance adaptive project scheduling. A system dynamics (SD) model is developed and tested to evaluate the dynamic behaviour of identified complexity factors. The model simulates the impact of complexity on total project duration (TPD), revealing significant deviations from initial deterministic estimates. Data collection and analysis for reliability tests, including normality and Cronbach alpha, to validate the model’s components and expert feedback. Sensitivity analysis confirmed a positive relationship between complexity and project duration, with higher complexity levels resulting in increased TPD. This relationship highlights the inadequacy of static planning approaches and underscores the importance of addressing complexity dynamically. The study provides a framework for enhancing planning systems through system dynamics and recommends expanding the model to ensure broader applicability in diverse construction projects.
文摘We propose a hybrid and contingent approach to the management of digital projects,based on the assumption that there is not an absolute best way,but the approach should fit context and environment.The pillars of our contingent framework are Agile methodologies,predictive project management,and AI.The analysis of project management methodologies is based on a layered project model.Specifically,we identify 4 project concentric layers for both Agile and predictive project management.That layered model allows us to deploy different methodologies consistently with the distinct characteristics of each project.We describe the key characteristics of each approach and,also,we map Agile methodologies on the sociotechnical profile of projects.Finally,we summarize the impact of AI on predictive and hybrid projects.
文摘Let X be a real uniformly convex and uniformly smooth Banach space and C a nonempty closed and convex subset of X.Let Π_(C):X→C denote the generalized metric projection operator introduced by Alber in[1].In this paper,we define the Gâteaux directional differentiability of Π_(C).We investigate some properties of the Gâteaux directional differentiability of Π_(C).In particular,if C is a closed ball,or a closed and convex cone(including proper closed subspaces),or a closed and convex cylinder,then,we give the exact representations of the directional derivatives of Π_(C).By comparing the results in[12]and this paper,we see the significant difference between the directional derivatives of the generalized metric projection operator Π_(C) and the Gâteaux directional derivatives of the standard metric projection operator PC.
文摘The Fringe Projection Profilometry(FPP)system with a single exposure time or a single projection intensity is limited by the dynamic range of the camera,which can lead to overexposure and underexposure of the image,resulting in point cloud loss or reduced accuracy.To address this issue,unlike the pixel modulation method of projectors,we utilize the characteristics of color projectors where the intensity of the three-channel LED can be controlled independently.We propose a method for separating the projector's three-channel light intensity,combined with a color camera,to achieve single exposure and multi-intensity image acquisition.Further,the crosstalk coefficient is applied to predict the three-channel reflectance of the measured object.By integrating clustering and channel mapping,we establish a pixel-level mapping model between the projector's three-channel current and the camera's three-channel image intensity,which realizes the optimal projection current prediction and the high dynamic range(HDR)image acquisition.The proposed method allows for high-precision three-dimensional(3D)data acquisition of HDR scenes with a single exposure.The effectiveness of this method has been validated through experiments with standard planes and standard steps,showing a significant reduction in mean absolute error(44.6%)compared to existing singleexposure HDR methods.Additionally,the number of images required for acquisition is significantly reduced(by 70.8%)compared to multi-exposure fusion methods.This proposed method has great potential in various FPP-related fields.
基金financially supported by the National Key Research and Development Program(No.2018YFC1505402)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.41871174)+1 种基金the Science and Technology Department of Sichuan Province(No.2020YFSY0013)the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities Project(No.2682019CX19)。
文摘Benefit evaluation of debris flow prevention and control projects was one of the essential contents of debris flow prevention and mitigation work.In order to scientifically and quantitatively evaluate the comprehensive benefit of debris flow prevention and control projects,this study identified nine factors as evaluation indicators from economic,social,and ecological aspects.The projection pursuit(PP) model based on the improved particle swarm optimization(IPSO) algorithm was used to construct a mathematical model to evaluate the benefit of debris flow prevention and control projects.The interpolation method was applied to divide the benefit grades.The debris flow prevention and control projects in Qipan,Taoguan,Chutou,Anjia,and Mozi gullies in Wenchuan County were chosen as typical cases for empirical analysis.The case study revealed that,among the criteria layer indicators,investment per unit of the protected area,investment per unit of the protected population,the amount of water and soil conservation,and reduction rate of accumulation fan had the most significant weights.The social and ecological benefits were found to be the more important in the target layer.The comprehensive benefit of Qipan,Taoguan,Chutou,Anjia,and Mozi gullies was found to be 4.44,4.83,1.95,3,and 2,respectively.The benefit ranking of the five gullies was consistent with their effectiveness in disaster prevention ranking in the flood season of 2019.Therefore,it could prove that the newly-built benefit evaluation model was practical and feasible,and the evaluation results of the sample could be reasonably interpreted,which verified the effectiveness of the methods.
文摘This paper focuses on the procurement of construction projects in universities,conducting research on the influencing factors of procurement risks in such projects.By combining questionnaire surveys with expert interviews,numerous factors affecting procurement are analyzed.Subsequently,these factors are refined and summarized to construct a procurement risk evaluation index system for construction projects,which includes three first-level indicators,such as process management risk and ethical/legal risk,and is further subdivided into 13 second-level indicators.
文摘Currently,the international economic situation is becoming increasingly complex,and there is significant downward pressure on the global economy.In recent years,China’s infrastructure sector has experienced rapid growth,with the structure of its power engineering business gradually shifting from traditional infrastructure construction to more diversified areas such as production and operation,as well as emergency repairs.As a result,the transformation of mechanized construction in power transmission and transformation projects has become increasingly urgent.This article proposes a post-evaluation model based on game theory to improve comprehensive weighting and fuzzy grey relational projection sorting,which can be used to evaluate the optimal mechanized construction scheme for power transmission and transformation projects.The model begins by considering the entire lifecycle of power transmission and transformation projects.It constructs a post-evaluation index system that covers the planning and design stage,on-site construction stage,operation and maintenance stage,and the decommissioning and disposal stage,with corresponding calculation methods for each index.The fuzzy grey correlation projection sorting method is then employed to evaluate and rank the construction schemes.To validate the model’s effectiveness,a case study of a power transmission and transformation project in a specific region of China is used.The comprehensive benefits of three proposed mechanized construction schemes are evaluated and compared.According to the evaluation results,Scheme 1 is ranked the highest,with a membership degree of 0.870945,excelling in sustainability.These results suggest that the proposed model can effectively evaluate and make decisions regarding the optimal mechanized construction plan for power transmission and transformation projects.
基金Under the auspices of National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.42371315,41901213)Natural Science Foundation of Hubei Province(No.2020CFB856)Project of Changjiang Survey,Planning,Design and Research Co.,Ltd(No.CX2022Z23)。
文摘Investigating the ecological impact of land use change in the context of the construction of national water network project is crucial,as it is imperative for achieving the sustainable development goals of the national water network and guaranteeing regional ecological stability.Using the Danjiangkou Reservoir Area(DRA),China as the study area,this paper first examined the spatiotemporal dynamics of natural landscape patterns and ecosystem service values(ESV)in the DRA from 2000 to 2018 and then investigated the spatial clustering characteristics of the ESV using spatial statistical analysis tools.Finally,the patch-generating land use simulation(PLUS)model was used to simulate the natural landscape and future changes in the ESV of the DRA from 2018 to 2028 under four different development scenarios:business as usual(BAU),economic development(ED),ecological protection(EP),and shoreline protection(SP).The results show that:during 2000-2018,the construction of water facilities had a significant impact on regional land use/land cover(LULC)change,with a 24830 ha increase in watershed area.ESV exhibited an increasing trend,with a significant and growing spatial clustering effect.The transformation of farmland to water bodies led to accelerated ESV growth,while the transformation of forest land to farmland led to a decrease in the ESV.Normalized difference vegetation index(NDVI)had the strongest effect on the ESV.ESV exhibited a continuous increase from 2018 to 2028 under all the simulation scenarios.The EP scenario had the greatest increase in ESV,while the ED scenario had the smallest increase.The findings suggest that projected land use patterns under different scenarios have varied impacts on ecosystem services(ESs)and that the management and planning of the DRA should balance social,economic,ecological,and security benefits.nomic,ecological,and security benefits.
基金supported by the National Key R&D Program of China(grant number:2021YFC2500400)National Natural Science Foundation of China(grant numbers:82172894,82073028,82204121)China Postdoctoral Science Foundation(grant number:2023M742617).
文摘Background Cervical cancer is the only cancer that can be eliminated worldwide.Tracking the latest burden of cervical cancer is critical toward the targets set by World Health Organization(WHO)to eliminate cervical cancer as a major public health problem.Methods All data were extracted from the Global Cancer Observatory(GLOBOCAN)2022.Age-standardized incidence rate(ASIR)and mortality rates(ASMR)of cervical cancer were compared and linked to Human Development Index(HDI)between populations.The estimated annual percentage changes(EAPCs)were used to characterize the temporal trend in ASIR/ASMR,and demographic estimates were projected up to 2050.Results Globally,an estimated 662,044 cases(ASIR:14.12/100,000)and 348,709 deaths(ASMR:7.08/100,000)from cervical cancer occurred in 2022,corresponding to the fourth cause of cancer morbidity and mortality in women worldwide.Specifically,42%of cases and 39%of deaths occurred in China(23%and 16%)and India(19%and 23%).Both ASIR and ASMR of cervical cancer decreased with HDI,and similar decreasing links were observed for both early-onset(0–39 years)and late-onset(≥40 years)cervical cancer.Both ASIR and ASMR of overall cervical cancer showed decreasing trends during 2003–2012(EAPC:0.04%and-1.03%);however,upward trends were observed for early-onset cervical cancer(EAPC:1.16%and 0.57%).If national rates in 2022 remain stable,the estimated cases and deaths from cervical cancer are projected to increase by 56.8%and 80.7%up to 2050.Moreover,the projected increase of early-onset cervical cancer is mainly observed in transitioning countries,while decreased burden is expected in transitioned countries.Conclusions Cervical cancer remains a common cause of cancer death in many countries,especially in transitioning countries.Unless scaling-up preventive interventions,human papillomavirus(HPV)vaccination and cervical cancer screening,as well as systematic cooperation within government,civil societies,and private enterprises,the global burden of cervical cancer would be expected to increase in the future.
文摘If geodetic coordinates from an ellipsoid are included in the equations of a projection for mapping a sphere instead of geographical coordinates,the result will be a projection of the ellipsoid into a plane.This will slightly change the distortion distribution of the initial map projection.The question is to what extent the replacement of geographical with geodetic coordinates will affect this change.In this paper,we deal with conformal,equal-area and equidistant projections of the sphere,which we modify by using geodetic coordinates instead of geographical ones.The result will be an approximately conformal,approximately equal-area and approximately equidistant projection.It is shown that in this case the maximum distortion of the angles in approximately conformal projections will be approximately 23.09′,the maximum distortion of the area in approximately equal-area projections less than 0.7% and the maximum distortion of lengths in approximately equidistant projections less than 0.7%,therefore on the maps imperceptible.
文摘Within the framework of the 2030 Agenda and to achieve the Sustainable Development Goals(SDGs),science,technology and innovation play an even more central role.Building on this foundation,the primary objective of this paper is to explore the potential applications of blockchain in supporting the achievement of these sustainability goals.Starting from a review of the relevant literature on this topic,the main fields in which blockchain can contribute to sustainable development will be identified.The main blockchain applications will then be analyzed and categorized according to these SDGs.This research will then critically present the main blockchain-based projects that emerged in the first stage of the study and were implemented by the United Nations.The main objectives and benefits of each project will be analyzed.This is where the originality of this paper lies.To the best of the author’s knowledge,this is one of the first attempts to present a comprehensive overview of the United Nations’projects related to SDGs 1,2,5,7,9,13,and 16.This paper,which bridges the gap between innovation management and the sustainability field,will contribute to the increasingly current debate on sustainability issues and be beneficial to scholars,practitioners,and policymakers alike.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (11161027)。
文摘Projective synchronization problems of a drive system and a particular response network were investigated,where the drive system is an arbitrary system with n+1 dimensions;it may be a linear or nonlinear system,and even a chaotic or hyperchaotic system,the response network is complex system coupled by N nodes,and every node is showed by the approximately linear part of the drive system.Only controlling any one node of the response network by designed controller can achieve the projective synchronization.Some numerical examples were employed to verify the effectiveness and correctness of the designed controller.
