Predicting monsoon climate is one of the major endeavors in climate science and is becoming increasingly challenging due to global warming. The accuracy of monsoon seasonal predictions significantly impacts the lives ...Predicting monsoon climate is one of the major endeavors in climate science and is becoming increasingly challenging due to global warming. The accuracy of monsoon seasonal predictions significantly impacts the lives of billions who depend on or are affected by monsoons, as it is essential for the water cycle, food security, ecology, disaster prevention, and the economy of monsoon regions. Given the extensive literature on Asian monsoon climate prediction, we limit our focus to reviewing the seasonal prediction and predictability of the Asian Summer Monsoon (ASM). However, much of this review is also relevant to monsoon predictions in other seasons and regions. Over the past two decades, considerable progress has been made in the seasonal forecasting of the ASM, driven by an enhanced understanding of the sources of predictability and the dynamics of seasonal variability, along with advanced development in sophisticated models and technologies. This review centers on advances in understanding the physical foundation for monsoon climate prediction (section 2), significant findings and insights into the primary and regional sources of predictability arising from feedback processes among various climate components (sections 3 and 4), the effects of global warming and external forcings on predictability (section 5), developments in seasonal prediction models and techniques (section 6), the challenges and limitations of monsoon climate prediction (section 7), and emerging research trends with suggestions for future directions (section 8). We hope this review will stimulate creative activities to enhance monsoon climate prediction.展开更多
Climate models are essential for understanding past,present,and future changes in atmospheric circulation,with circulation modes providing key sources of seasonal predictability and prediction uncertainties for both g...Climate models are essential for understanding past,present,and future changes in atmospheric circulation,with circulation modes providing key sources of seasonal predictability and prediction uncertainties for both global and regional climates.This study assesses the performance of models participating in phase 6 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project in simulating interannual variability modes of Northern Hemisphere 500-hPa geopotential height during winter and summer,distinguishing predictable(potentially predictable on seasonal or longer timescales)and unpredictable(intraseasonal and essentially unpredictable at long range)components,using reanalysis data and a variance decomposition method.Although most models effectively capture unpredictable modes in reanalysis,their ability to reproduce dominant predictable modes-specifically the Pacific-North American pattern,Arctic Oscillation,and Western Pacific Oscillation in winter,and the East Atlantic and North Atlantic Oscillations in summer-varies notably.An optimal ensemble is identified to distinguish(a)predictable-external modes,dominated by external forcing,and(b)predictable-internal modes,associated with slow internal variability,during the historical period(1950-2014)and the SSP5-8.5 scenario(2036-2100).Under increased radiative forcing,the leading winter/summer predictable-external mode exhibits a more uniform spatial distribution,remarkably larger trend and annual variance,and enhanced height-sea surface temperature(SST)covariance under SSP5-8.5 compared to historical conditions.The dominant winter/summer predictable-internal modes also exhibit increased variance and height-SST covariance under SSP5-8.5,along with localized changes in spatial configuration.Minimal changes are observed in spatial distribution or variance for dominant winter/summer unpredictable modes under SSP5-8.5.This study,from a predictive perspective,deepens our understanding of model uncertainties and projected changes in circulations.展开更多
BACKGROUND Laparoscopic distal pancreatectomy(LDP)has emerged as the preferred approach for both benign and malignant lesions located in the pancreatic body and tail.Nevertheless,a notable deficiency persists in the a...BACKGROUND Laparoscopic distal pancreatectomy(LDP)has emerged as the preferred approach for both benign and malignant lesions located in the pancreatic body and tail.Nevertheless,a notable deficiency persists in the absence of a standardized,procedure-specific metric for evaluating and comparing surgical quality.A composite measure termed“textbook outcome(TO)”,which encompasses key short-term endpoints,has been validated in laparoscopic pancreatoduodenectomy but has not yet been established in dedicated LDP cohorts.The definition and prediction of TO in this context could aid in facilitating cross-institutional benchmarking and fostering advancements in quality improvement.AIM To establish procedure-specific criteria for TO and identify independent predictors of TO failure in patients undergoing LDP.METHODS Consecutive patients who underwent LDP at a single high-volume pancreatic center between January 2015 and August 2022 were retrospectively analyzed.TO was defined as the absence of clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula(grade B/C),post-pancreatectomy hemorrhage(grade B/C),severe complications(Clavien-Dindo≥III),readmission within 30 days,and in-hospital or 30-day mortality.Multivariable logistic regression was employed to identify independent predictors of TO failure,and a nomogram was constructed and internally validated.RESULTS Among 405 eligible patients,286(70.6%)attained TO.Multivariable analysis revealed that female sex[odds ratio(OR)=0.62,95%confidence interval(CI):0.39-0.99]conferred a protective effect,while preoperative endoscopic ultrasound-guided fine-needle aspiration(OR=2.66,95%CI:1.05-6.73),pancreatic portal hypertension(OR=2.81,95%CI:1.06-7.45),and cystic-solid(OR=2.51,95%CI:1.34-4.69)or solid lesions(OR=1.91,95%CI:1.06-3.44)were independently associated with TO failure(all P<0.05).The derived nomogram exhibited modest discrimination and calibration when assessed in both the training and validation datasets.CONCLUSION The proposed LDP-specific definition of TO is feasible and discriminative,and the developed nomogram provides an objective tool for individualized risk assessment.展开更多
To investigate the influence of coarse aggregate parent rock properties on the elastic modulus of concrete,the mineralogical properties and stress-strain curves of granite and dolomite parent rocks,as well as the stre...To investigate the influence of coarse aggregate parent rock properties on the elastic modulus of concrete,the mineralogical properties and stress-strain curves of granite and dolomite parent rocks,as well as the strength and elastic modulus of mortar and concrete prepared with mechanism aggregates of the corresponding lithology,and the stress-strain curves of concrete were investigated.In this paper,a coarse aggregate and mortar matrix bonding assumption is proposed,and a prediction model for the elastic modulus of mortar is established by considering the lithology of the mechanism sand and the slurry components.An equivalent coarse aggregate elastic modulus model was established by considering factors such as coarse aggregate particle size,volume fraction,and mortar thickness between coarse aggregates.Based on the elastic modulus of the equivalent coarse aggregate and the remaining mortar,a prediction model for the elastic modulus of the two and three components of concrete in series and then in parallel was established,and the predicted values differed from the measured values within 10%.It is proposed that the coarse aggregate elastic modulus in highstrength concrete is the most critical factor affecting the elastic modulus of concrete,and as the coarse aggregate elastic modulus increases by 27.7%,the concrete elastic modulus increases by 19.5%.展开更多
The integration of machine learning(ML)technology with Internet of Things(IoT)systems produces essential changes in healthcare operations.Healthcare personnel can track patients around the clock thanks to healthcare I...The integration of machine learning(ML)technology with Internet of Things(IoT)systems produces essential changes in healthcare operations.Healthcare personnel can track patients around the clock thanks to healthcare IoT(H-IoT)technology,which also provides proactive statistical findings and precise medical diagnoses that enhance healthcare performance.This study examines how ML might support IoT-based health care systems,namely in the areas of prognostic systems,disease detection,patient tracking,and healthcare operations control.The study looks at the benefits and drawbacks of several machine learning techniques for H-IoT applications.It also examines the fundamental problems,such as data security and cyberthreats,as well as the high processing demands that these systems face.Alongside this,the essay discusses the advantages of all the technologies,including machine learning,deep learning,and the Internet of Things,as well as the significant difficulties and problems that arise when integrating the technology into healthcare forecasts.展开更多
Current shipping,tourism,and resource development requirements call for more accurate predictions of the Arctic sea-ice concentration(SIC).However,due to the complex physical processes involved,predicting the spatiote...Current shipping,tourism,and resource development requirements call for more accurate predictions of the Arctic sea-ice concentration(SIC).However,due to the complex physical processes involved,predicting the spatiotemporal distribution of Arctic SIC is more challenging than predicting its total extent.In this study,spatiotemporal prediction models for monthly Arctic SIC at 1-to 3-month leads are developed based on U-Net-an effective convolutional deep-learning approach.Based on explicit Arctic sea-ice-atmosphere interactions,11 variables associated with Arctic sea-ice variations are selected as predictors,including observed Arctic SIC,atmospheric,oceanic,and heat flux variables at 1-to 3-month leads.The prediction skills for the monthly Arctic SIC of the test set(from January 2018 to December 2022)are evaluated by examining the mean absolute error(MAE)and binary accuracy(BA).Results showed that the U-Net model had lower MAE and higher BA for Arctic SIC compared to two dynamic climate prediction systems(CFSv2 and NorCPM).By analyzing the relative importance of each predictor,the prediction accuracy relies more on the SIC at the 1-month lead,but on the surface net solar radiation flux at 2-to 3-month leads.However,dynamic models show limited prediction skills for surface net solar radiation flux and other physical processes,especially in autumn.Therefore,the U-Net model can be used to capture the connections among these key physical processes associated with Arctic sea ice and thus offers a significant advantage in predicting Arctic SIC.展开更多
Amphibious vehicles are more prone to attitude instability compared to ships,making it crucial to develop effective methods for monitoring instability risks.However,large inclination events,which can lead to instabili...Amphibious vehicles are more prone to attitude instability compared to ships,making it crucial to develop effective methods for monitoring instability risks.However,large inclination events,which can lead to instability,occur frequently in both experimental and operational data.This infrequency causes events to be overlooked by existing prediction models,which lack the precision to accurately predict inclination attitudes in amphibious vehicles.To address this gap in predicting attitudes near extreme inclination points,this study introduces a novel loss function,termed generalized extreme value loss.Subsequently,a deep learning model for improved waterborne attitude prediction,termed iInformer,was developed using a Transformer-based approach.During the embedding phase,a text prototype is created based on the vehicle’s operation log data is constructed to help the model better understand the vehicle’s operating environment.Data segmentation techniques are used to highlight local data variation features.Furthermore,to mitigate issues related to poor convergence and slow training speeds caused by the extreme value loss function,a teacher forcing mechanism is integrated into the model,enhancing its convergence capabilities.Experimental results validate the effectiveness of the proposed method,demonstrating its ability to handle data imbalance challenges.Specifically,the model achieves over a 60%improvement in root mean square error under extreme value conditions,with significant improvements observed across additional metrics.展开更多
AIM:To evaluate long-term visual field(VF)prediction using K-means clustering in patients with primary open angle glaucoma(POAG).METHODS:Patients who underwent 24-2 VF tests≥10 were included in this study.Using 52 to...AIM:To evaluate long-term visual field(VF)prediction using K-means clustering in patients with primary open angle glaucoma(POAG).METHODS:Patients who underwent 24-2 VF tests≥10 were included in this study.Using 52 total deviation values(TDVs)from the first 10 VF tests of the training dataset,VF points were clustered into several regions using the hierarchical ordered partitioning and collapsing hybrid(HOPACH)and K-means clustering.Based on the clustering results,a linear regression analysis was applied to each clustered region of the testing dataset to predict the TDVs of the 10th VF test.Three to nine VF tests were used to predict the 10th VF test,and the prediction errors(root mean square error,RMSE)of each clustering method and pointwise linear regression(PLR)were compared.RESULTS:The training group consisted of 228 patients(mean age,54.20±14.38y;123 males and 105 females),and the testing group included 81 patients(mean age,54.88±15.22y;43 males and 38 females).All subjects were diagnosed with POAG.Fifty-two VF points were clustered into 11 and nine regions using HOPACH and K-means clustering,respectively.K-means clustering had a lower prediction error than PLR when n=1:3 and 1:4(both P≤0.003).The prediction errors of K-means clustering were lower than those of HOPACH in all sections(n=1:4 to 1:9;all P≤0.011),except for n=1:3(P=0.680).PLR outperformed K-means clustering only when n=1:8 and 1:9(both P≤0.020).CONCLUSION:K-means clustering can predict longterm VF test results more accurately in patients with POAG with limited VF data.展开更多
While Artificial Intelligence (AI) is leading the way in terms of hardware advancements, such as GPUs, memory, and processing power, real-time applications are still catching up. It is inevitable that when one aspect ...While Artificial Intelligence (AI) is leading the way in terms of hardware advancements, such as GPUs, memory, and processing power, real-time applications are still catching up. It is inevitable that when one aspect leads and other trails behind, they coexist in life, as is often the case. The trailing aspect cannot remain far behind because, without application and use, there would be a dead end. Everything, whether an object, software, or tool, must have a practical use for humans. Without this, it will become obsolete. We can see this in many instances, such as blockchain technology, which is superior yet faces challenges in practical implementation, leading to a decline in adoption. This publication aims to bridge the gap between AI advancements and maintenance, specifically focusing on making predictive maintenance a practical application. There are multiple building blocks that make predictive maintenance a practical application. Each block performs a function leading to an output. This output forms an input to the receiving block. There are also foundational parts for all these building blocks to perform a function. Eventually, once the building blocks are connected, they form a loop and start to lead the path to predictive maintenance. Predictive maintenance is indeed practically achievable, but one must comprehend all the building blocks necessary for its implementation. Although detailed explanations will be provided in the upcoming sections, it is important to understand that simply purchasing software and plugging it in might be a far-fetched approach.展开更多
Maintaining high groundwater level(GWL)is important for preventing fires in peatlands.This study proposes GWL prediction using machine learning methods for forest plantations in Indonesian tropical peatlands.Deep neur...Maintaining high groundwater level(GWL)is important for preventing fires in peatlands.This study proposes GWL prediction using machine learning methods for forest plantations in Indonesian tropical peatlands.Deep neural networks(DNN)have been used for prediction;however,they have not been applied to groundwater prediction in Indonesian peatlands.Tropical peatland is characterized by high permeability and forest plantations are surrounded by several canals.By predicting daily differences in GWL,the GWL can be predicted with high accuracy.DNNs,random forests,support vector regression,and XGBoost were compared,all of which indicated similar errors.The SHAP value revealed that the precipitation falling on the hill rapidly seeps into the soil and flows into the canals,which agrees with the fact that the soil has high permeability.These findings can potentially be used to alleviate and manage future fires in peatlands.展开更多
Model predictive control(MPC)has been deemed as an attractive control method in motor drives by virtue of its simple structure,convenient multi-objective optimization,and satisfactory dynamic performance.However,the s...Model predictive control(MPC)has been deemed as an attractive control method in motor drives by virtue of its simple structure,convenient multi-objective optimization,and satisfactory dynamic performance.However,the strong reliance on mathematical models seriously restrains its practical application.Therefore,improving the robustness of MPC has attained significant attentions in the last two decades,followed by which,model-free predictive control(MFPC)comes into existence.This article aims to reveal the current state of MFPC strategies for motor drives and give the categorization from the perspective of implementation.Based on this review,the principles of the reported MFPC strategies are introduced in detail,as well as the challenges encountered in technology realization.In addition,some of typical and important concepts are experimentally validated via case studies to evaluate the performance and highlight their features.Finally,the future trends of MFPC are discussed based on the current state and reported developments.展开更多
Phenotypic prediction is a promising strategy for accelerating plant breeding.Data from multiple sources(called multi-view data)can provide complementary information to characterize a biological object from various as...Phenotypic prediction is a promising strategy for accelerating plant breeding.Data from multiple sources(called multi-view data)can provide complementary information to characterize a biological object from various aspects.By integrating multi-view information into phenotypic prediction,a multi-view best linear unbiased prediction(MVBLUP)method is proposed in this paper.To measure the importance of multiple data views,the differential evolution algorithm with an early stopping mechanism is used,by which we obtain a multi-view kinship matrix and then incorporate it into the BLUP model for phenotypic prediction.To further illustrate the characteristics of MVBLUP,we perform the empirical experiments on four multi-view datasets in different crops.Compared to the single-view method,the prediction accuracy of the MVBLUP method has improved by 0.038–0.201 on average.The results demonstrate that the MVBLUP is an effective integrative prediction method for multi-view data.展开更多
Due to its synergistic effects and reduced side effects,combination therapy has become an important strategy for treating complex diseases.In traditional Chinese medicine(TCM),the“monarch,minister,assistant,envoy”co...Due to its synergistic effects and reduced side effects,combination therapy has become an important strategy for treating complex diseases.In traditional Chinese medicine(TCM),the“monarch,minister,assistant,envoy”compatibilities theory provides a systematic framework for drug compatibility and has guided the formation of a large number of classic formulas.However,due to the complex compositions and diverse mechanisms of action of TCM,it is difficult to comprehensively reveal its potential synergistic patterns using traditional methods.Synergistic prediction based on molecular compatibility theory provides new ideas for identifying combinations of active compounds in TCM.Compared to resource-intensive traditional experimental methods,artificial intelligence possesses the ability to mine synergistic patterns from multi-omics and structural data,providing an efficient means for modeling and optimizing TCM combinations.This paper systematically reviews the application progress of AI in the synergistic prediction of TCM active compounds and explores the challenges and prospects of its application in modeling combination relationships,thereby contributing to the modernization of TCM theory and methodological innovation.展开更多
Dear Editor,In this letter,a constrained networked predictive control strategy is proposed for the optimal control problem of complex nonlinear highorder fully actuated(HOFA)systems with noises.The method can effectiv...Dear Editor,In this letter,a constrained networked predictive control strategy is proposed for the optimal control problem of complex nonlinear highorder fully actuated(HOFA)systems with noises.The method can effectively deal with nonlinearities,constraints,and noises in the system,optimize the performance metric,and present an upper bound on the stable output of the system.展开更多
Stock price prediction is a typical complex time series prediction problem characterized by dynamics,nonlinearity,and complexity.This paper introduces a generative adversarial network model that incorporates an attent...Stock price prediction is a typical complex time series prediction problem characterized by dynamics,nonlinearity,and complexity.This paper introduces a generative adversarial network model that incorporates an attention mechanism(GAN-LSTM-Attention)to improve the accuracy of stock price prediction.Firstly,the generator of this model combines the Long and Short-Term Memory Network(LSTM),the Attention Mechanism and,the Fully-Connected Layer,focusing on generating the predicted stock price.The discriminator combines the Convolutional Neural Network(CNN)and the Fully-Connected Layer to discriminate between real stock prices and generated stock prices.Secondly,to evaluate the practical application ability and generalization ability of the GAN-LSTM-Attention model,four representative stocks in the United States of America(USA)stock market,namely,Standard&Poor’s 500 Index stock,Apple Incorporatedstock,AdvancedMicroDevices Incorporatedstock,and Google Incorporated stock were selected for prediction experiments,and the prediction performance was comprehensively evaluated by using the three evaluation metrics,namely,mean absolute error(MAE),root mean square error(RMSE),and coefficient of determination(R2).Finally,the specific effects of the attention mechanism,convolutional layer,and fully-connected layer on the prediction performance of the model are systematically analyzed through ablation study.The results of experiment show that the GAN-LSTM-Attention model exhibits excellent performance and robustness in stock price prediction.展开更多
The prediction of tool wear in CNC machine tools is a critical aspect of ensuring the efficient operation and longevity of manufacturing equipment.Tool wear significantly impacts machining accuracy,surface finish qual...The prediction of tool wear in CNC machine tools is a critical aspect of ensuring the efficient operation and longevity of manufacturing equipment.Tool wear significantly impacts machining accuracy,surface finish quality,and operational downtime,making its prediction essential for proactive maintenance strategies.This paper explores the integration of Digital Twin technology with tool wear prediction models to enhance the precision and reliability of wear forecasting in CNC machines.We review existing methodologies for tool wear prediction,including physics-based models,data-driven approaches,and hybrid models,with an emphasis on their strengths and limitations.Furthermore,the paper highlights the role of Digital Twin technology in creating real-time,virtual replicas of CNC machines that can dynamically monitor tool wear and provide actionable insights for optimization.By leveraging real-time data and advanced simulation techniques,Digital Twin-based prediction models offer significant improvements over traditional methods.The paper concludes by discussing future directions for integrating machine learning,deep learning,and real-time data analytics into the tool wear prediction process,ultimately contributing to the development of more intelligent and adaptive manufacturing systems.展开更多
This article proposes an algebraic model predictive control(MPC)method for automatic landing.While defining the constraint functions in the optimization problem,the tangent hyperbolic function is preferred.Therefore,t...This article proposes an algebraic model predictive control(MPC)method for automatic landing.While defining the constraint functions in the optimization problem,the tangent hyperbolic function is preferred.Therefore,the optimization problem turns into an unconstrained,continuous,and differentiable form.An analytical two-step method is also proposed to solve the rest of the problem.In the first step,it is assumed that only input constraints are active and states are unconstrained.The optimal solution for this case is calculated directly with the optimality condition.The calculated control signal is revised in the second step according to system dynamics and state constraints.Simulation results of the auto-landing system show that the MPC computation speed is significantly increased by the new algebraic MPC(AMPC)without compromising the control performance,which makes the method realistic for using MPC in systems with high-speed changing dynamics.展开更多
The Canglangpu Formation in the JT1 well area of the Sichuan Basin exhibits strong lateral heterogeneity and complex overpressure mechanisms, leading to ambiguous pore pressure distribution characteristics. Convention...The Canglangpu Formation in the JT1 well area of the Sichuan Basin exhibits strong lateral heterogeneity and complex overpressure mechanisms, leading to ambiguous pore pressure distribution characteristics. Conventional prediction methods, such as the Equivalent Depth Method, are either inapplicable or yield unsatisfactory results (e.g., Fillippone’s method), contributing to frequent drilling incidents like gas kick, overfl ow, and lost circulation, which hinder the safe and effi cient exploration of natural gas. To address these challenges, this paper integrates lithology, physical properties, and overpressure mechanisms of the Canglangpu Formation. From a petrophysical perspective, a pore pressure prediction model independent of lithology and overpressure mechanisms was developed by combining the poroelasticity theory, linear elastic Hooke’s Law, and Biot’s eff ective stress theory, with an analysis of the relationship between carbonate rock strain, external stress, and internal pore pressure. Unlike conventional methods, the model does not rely on the establishment of a normal compaction trend line. Pre-stack seismic inversion was applied to achieve 3D pore pressure prediction for the formation. Results indicate high accuracy, with a relative error of less than 5% compared to measured data, and strong consistency with actual drilling events. The proposed method provides robust technical support for pore pressure prediction in carbonate formations and drilling geological design.展开更多
Skull structures are important for biomechanical head simulations,but they are mostly reconstructed frommedical images.These reconstruction methods harmthe human body and have a long processing time.Currently,skull st...Skull structures are important for biomechanical head simulations,but they are mostly reconstructed frommedical images.These reconstruction methods harmthe human body and have a long processing time.Currently,skull structures canbe straightforwardly predictedfromthe head,but a fullheadshapemust be available.Most scanning devices can only capture the face shape.Consequently,a method that can quickly predict the full skull structures from the face is necessary.In this study,a novel face-to-skull prediction procedure is introduced.Given a threedimensional(3-D)face shape,a skull mesh could be predicted so that its shape would statistically fit the face shape.Several prediction strategies were conducted.The optimal prediction strategy with its optimal hyperparameters was experimentally selected through a ten-fold cross-validation with 329 subjects.As a result,the face-to-skull prediction strategy based on the relations between face head shape and back head shape,between face head shape and face skull shape,and between back head shape and back skull shape was optimal.The optimal mean mesh-to-mesh distance(mean±SD)between the predicted skull shapes and the ground truth skull shapes was 1.93±0.36 mm,and those between the predicted skull meshes and the ground truth skull meshes were 2.65±0.36 mm.Moreover,the prediction errors in back-skull and muscle attachment regions were 1.7432±0.5217 mm and 1.7671±0.3829 mm,respectively.These errors are within the acceptable range of facial muscle simulation.In perspective,this method will be employed in our clinical decision support system to enhance the accuracy of biomechanical head simulation based on a stereo fusion camera system.Moreover,we will also enhance the accuracy of the face-to-skull prediction by diversifying the dataset intomore varied geographical regions and genders.More types of parameters,such as BodyMass Index(BMI),coupled with head-to-skull thicknesses,will be fused with the proposed face-to-skull procedure.展开更多
Accurate and efficient prediction of the distribution of surface loads on buildings subjected to explosive effects is crucial for rapidly calculating structural dynamic responses,establishing effective protective meas...Accurate and efficient prediction of the distribution of surface loads on buildings subjected to explosive effects is crucial for rapidly calculating structural dynamic responses,establishing effective protective measures,and designing civil defense engineering solutions.Current state-of-the-art methods face several issues:Experimental research is difficult and costly to implement,theoretical research is limited to simple geometries and lacks precision,and direct simulations require substantial computational resources.To address these challenges,this paper presents a data-driven method for predicting blast loads on building surfaces.This approach increases both the accuracy and computational efficiency of load predictions when the geometry of the building changes while the explosive yield remains constant,significantly improving its applicability in complex scenarios.This study introduces an innovative encoder-decoder graph neural network model named BlastGraphNet,which uses a message-passing mechanism to predict the overpressure and impulse load distributions on buildings with conventional and complex geometries during explosive events.The model also facilitates related downstream applications,such as damage mode identification and rapid assessment of virtual city explosions.The calculation results indicate that the prediction error of the model for conventional building tests is less than 2%,and its inference speed is 3-4 orders of magnitude faster than that of state-of-the-art numerical methods.In extreme test cases involving buildings with complex geometries and building clusters,the method achieved high accuracy and excellent generalizability.The strong adaptability and generalizability of BlastGraphNet confirm that this novel method enables precise real-time prediction of blast loads and provides a new paradigm for damage assessment in protective engineering.展开更多
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.U2342208)support from NSF/Climate Dynamics Award#2025057。
文摘Predicting monsoon climate is one of the major endeavors in climate science and is becoming increasingly challenging due to global warming. The accuracy of monsoon seasonal predictions significantly impacts the lives of billions who depend on or are affected by monsoons, as it is essential for the water cycle, food security, ecology, disaster prevention, and the economy of monsoon regions. Given the extensive literature on Asian monsoon climate prediction, we limit our focus to reviewing the seasonal prediction and predictability of the Asian Summer Monsoon (ASM). However, much of this review is also relevant to monsoon predictions in other seasons and regions. Over the past two decades, considerable progress has been made in the seasonal forecasting of the ASM, driven by an enhanced understanding of the sources of predictability and the dynamics of seasonal variability, along with advanced development in sophisticated models and technologies. This review centers on advances in understanding the physical foundation for monsoon climate prediction (section 2), significant findings and insights into the primary and regional sources of predictability arising from feedback processes among various climate components (sections 3 and 4), the effects of global warming and external forcings on predictability (section 5), developments in seasonal prediction models and techniques (section 6), the challenges and limitations of monsoon climate prediction (section 7), and emerging research trends with suggestions for future directions (section 8). We hope this review will stimulate creative activities to enhance monsoon climate prediction.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.U2342210 and 42275043)the National Institute of Natural Hazards,Ministry of Emergency Management of China(Grant Nos.J2223806,ZDJ2024-25 and ZDJ2025-34)。
文摘Climate models are essential for understanding past,present,and future changes in atmospheric circulation,with circulation modes providing key sources of seasonal predictability and prediction uncertainties for both global and regional climates.This study assesses the performance of models participating in phase 6 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project in simulating interannual variability modes of Northern Hemisphere 500-hPa geopotential height during winter and summer,distinguishing predictable(potentially predictable on seasonal or longer timescales)and unpredictable(intraseasonal and essentially unpredictable at long range)components,using reanalysis data and a variance decomposition method.Although most models effectively capture unpredictable modes in reanalysis,their ability to reproduce dominant predictable modes-specifically the Pacific-North American pattern,Arctic Oscillation,and Western Pacific Oscillation in winter,and the East Atlantic and North Atlantic Oscillations in summer-varies notably.An optimal ensemble is identified to distinguish(a)predictable-external modes,dominated by external forcing,and(b)predictable-internal modes,associated with slow internal variability,during the historical period(1950-2014)and the SSP5-8.5 scenario(2036-2100).Under increased radiative forcing,the leading winter/summer predictable-external mode exhibits a more uniform spatial distribution,remarkably larger trend and annual variance,and enhanced height-sea surface temperature(SST)covariance under SSP5-8.5 compared to historical conditions.The dominant winter/summer predictable-internal modes also exhibit increased variance and height-SST covariance under SSP5-8.5,along with localized changes in spatial configuration.Minimal changes are observed in spatial distribution or variance for dominant winter/summer unpredictable modes under SSP5-8.5.This study,from a predictive perspective,deepens our understanding of model uncertainties and projected changes in circulations.
文摘BACKGROUND Laparoscopic distal pancreatectomy(LDP)has emerged as the preferred approach for both benign and malignant lesions located in the pancreatic body and tail.Nevertheless,a notable deficiency persists in the absence of a standardized,procedure-specific metric for evaluating and comparing surgical quality.A composite measure termed“textbook outcome(TO)”,which encompasses key short-term endpoints,has been validated in laparoscopic pancreatoduodenectomy but has not yet been established in dedicated LDP cohorts.The definition and prediction of TO in this context could aid in facilitating cross-institutional benchmarking and fostering advancements in quality improvement.AIM To establish procedure-specific criteria for TO and identify independent predictors of TO failure in patients undergoing LDP.METHODS Consecutive patients who underwent LDP at a single high-volume pancreatic center between January 2015 and August 2022 were retrospectively analyzed.TO was defined as the absence of clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula(grade B/C),post-pancreatectomy hemorrhage(grade B/C),severe complications(Clavien-Dindo≥III),readmission within 30 days,and in-hospital or 30-day mortality.Multivariable logistic regression was employed to identify independent predictors of TO failure,and a nomogram was constructed and internally validated.RESULTS Among 405 eligible patients,286(70.6%)attained TO.Multivariable analysis revealed that female sex[odds ratio(OR)=0.62,95%confidence interval(CI):0.39-0.99]conferred a protective effect,while preoperative endoscopic ultrasound-guided fine-needle aspiration(OR=2.66,95%CI:1.05-6.73),pancreatic portal hypertension(OR=2.81,95%CI:1.06-7.45),and cystic-solid(OR=2.51,95%CI:1.34-4.69)or solid lesions(OR=1.91,95%CI:1.06-3.44)were independently associated with TO failure(all P<0.05).The derived nomogram exhibited modest discrimination and calibration when assessed in both the training and validation datasets.CONCLUSION The proposed LDP-specific definition of TO is feasible and discriminative,and the developed nomogram provides an objective tool for individualized risk assessment.
基金Funded by State Railway Administration Research Project(No.2023JS007)National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.52438002)+1 种基金Research and Development Programs for Science and Technology of China Railways Corporation(No.J2023G003)New Cornerstone Science Foundation through the XPLORER PRIZE。
文摘To investigate the influence of coarse aggregate parent rock properties on the elastic modulus of concrete,the mineralogical properties and stress-strain curves of granite and dolomite parent rocks,as well as the strength and elastic modulus of mortar and concrete prepared with mechanism aggregates of the corresponding lithology,and the stress-strain curves of concrete were investigated.In this paper,a coarse aggregate and mortar matrix bonding assumption is proposed,and a prediction model for the elastic modulus of mortar is established by considering the lithology of the mechanism sand and the slurry components.An equivalent coarse aggregate elastic modulus model was established by considering factors such as coarse aggregate particle size,volume fraction,and mortar thickness between coarse aggregates.Based on the elastic modulus of the equivalent coarse aggregate and the remaining mortar,a prediction model for the elastic modulus of the two and three components of concrete in series and then in parallel was established,and the predicted values differed from the measured values within 10%.It is proposed that the coarse aggregate elastic modulus in highstrength concrete is the most critical factor affecting the elastic modulus of concrete,and as the coarse aggregate elastic modulus increases by 27.7%,the concrete elastic modulus increases by 19.5%.
文摘The integration of machine learning(ML)technology with Internet of Things(IoT)systems produces essential changes in healthcare operations.Healthcare personnel can track patients around the clock thanks to healthcare IoT(H-IoT)technology,which also provides proactive statistical findings and precise medical diagnoses that enhance healthcare performance.This study examines how ML might support IoT-based health care systems,namely in the areas of prognostic systems,disease detection,patient tracking,and healthcare operations control.The study looks at the benefits and drawbacks of several machine learning techniques for H-IoT applications.It also examines the fundamental problems,such as data security and cyberthreats,as well as the high processing demands that these systems face.Alongside this,the essay discusses the advantages of all the technologies,including machine learning,deep learning,and the Internet of Things,as well as the significant difficulties and problems that arise when integrating the technology into healthcare forecasts.
基金supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of China[grant number 2022YFE0106800]an Innovation Group Project of the Southern Marine Science and Engineering Guangdong Laboratory(Zhuhai)[grant number 311024001]+3 种基金a project supported by the Southern Marine Science and Engineering Guangdong Laboratory(Zhuhai)[grant number SML2023SP209]a Research Council of Norway funded project(MAPARC)[grant number 328943]a Nansen Center´s basic institutional funding[grant number 342624]the high-performance computing support from the School of Atmospheric Science at Sun Yat-sen University。
文摘Current shipping,tourism,and resource development requirements call for more accurate predictions of the Arctic sea-ice concentration(SIC).However,due to the complex physical processes involved,predicting the spatiotemporal distribution of Arctic SIC is more challenging than predicting its total extent.In this study,spatiotemporal prediction models for monthly Arctic SIC at 1-to 3-month leads are developed based on U-Net-an effective convolutional deep-learning approach.Based on explicit Arctic sea-ice-atmosphere interactions,11 variables associated with Arctic sea-ice variations are selected as predictors,including observed Arctic SIC,atmospheric,oceanic,and heat flux variables at 1-to 3-month leads.The prediction skills for the monthly Arctic SIC of the test set(from January 2018 to December 2022)are evaluated by examining the mean absolute error(MAE)and binary accuracy(BA).Results showed that the U-Net model had lower MAE and higher BA for Arctic SIC compared to two dynamic climate prediction systems(CFSv2 and NorCPM).By analyzing the relative importance of each predictor,the prediction accuracy relies more on the SIC at the 1-month lead,but on the surface net solar radiation flux at 2-to 3-month leads.However,dynamic models show limited prediction skills for surface net solar radiation flux and other physical processes,especially in autumn.Therefore,the U-Net model can be used to capture the connections among these key physical processes associated with Arctic sea ice and thus offers a significant advantage in predicting Arctic SIC.
基金Supported by the National Defense Basic Scientific Research Program of China.
文摘Amphibious vehicles are more prone to attitude instability compared to ships,making it crucial to develop effective methods for monitoring instability risks.However,large inclination events,which can lead to instability,occur frequently in both experimental and operational data.This infrequency causes events to be overlooked by existing prediction models,which lack the precision to accurately predict inclination attitudes in amphibious vehicles.To address this gap in predicting attitudes near extreme inclination points,this study introduces a novel loss function,termed generalized extreme value loss.Subsequently,a deep learning model for improved waterborne attitude prediction,termed iInformer,was developed using a Transformer-based approach.During the embedding phase,a text prototype is created based on the vehicle’s operation log data is constructed to help the model better understand the vehicle’s operating environment.Data segmentation techniques are used to highlight local data variation features.Furthermore,to mitigate issues related to poor convergence and slow training speeds caused by the extreme value loss function,a teacher forcing mechanism is integrated into the model,enhancing its convergence capabilities.Experimental results validate the effectiveness of the proposed method,demonstrating its ability to handle data imbalance challenges.Specifically,the model achieves over a 60%improvement in root mean square error under extreme value conditions,with significant improvements observed across additional metrics.
基金Supported by the Korea Health Technology R&D Project through the Korea Health Industry Development Institute(KHIDI),the Ministry of Health&Welfare,Republic of Korea(No.RS-2020-KH088726)the Patient-Centered Clinical Research Coordinating Center(PACEN),the Ministry of Health and Welfare,Republic of Korea(No.HC19C0276)the National Research Foundation of Korea(NRF),the Korea Government(MSIT)(No.RS-2023-00247504).
文摘AIM:To evaluate long-term visual field(VF)prediction using K-means clustering in patients with primary open angle glaucoma(POAG).METHODS:Patients who underwent 24-2 VF tests≥10 were included in this study.Using 52 total deviation values(TDVs)from the first 10 VF tests of the training dataset,VF points were clustered into several regions using the hierarchical ordered partitioning and collapsing hybrid(HOPACH)and K-means clustering.Based on the clustering results,a linear regression analysis was applied to each clustered region of the testing dataset to predict the TDVs of the 10th VF test.Three to nine VF tests were used to predict the 10th VF test,and the prediction errors(root mean square error,RMSE)of each clustering method and pointwise linear regression(PLR)were compared.RESULTS:The training group consisted of 228 patients(mean age,54.20±14.38y;123 males and 105 females),and the testing group included 81 patients(mean age,54.88±15.22y;43 males and 38 females).All subjects were diagnosed with POAG.Fifty-two VF points were clustered into 11 and nine regions using HOPACH and K-means clustering,respectively.K-means clustering had a lower prediction error than PLR when n=1:3 and 1:4(both P≤0.003).The prediction errors of K-means clustering were lower than those of HOPACH in all sections(n=1:4 to 1:9;all P≤0.011),except for n=1:3(P=0.680).PLR outperformed K-means clustering only when n=1:8 and 1:9(both P≤0.020).CONCLUSION:K-means clustering can predict longterm VF test results more accurately in patients with POAG with limited VF data.
文摘While Artificial Intelligence (AI) is leading the way in terms of hardware advancements, such as GPUs, memory, and processing power, real-time applications are still catching up. It is inevitable that when one aspect leads and other trails behind, they coexist in life, as is often the case. The trailing aspect cannot remain far behind because, without application and use, there would be a dead end. Everything, whether an object, software, or tool, must have a practical use for humans. Without this, it will become obsolete. We can see this in many instances, such as blockchain technology, which is superior yet faces challenges in practical implementation, leading to a decline in adoption. This publication aims to bridge the gap between AI advancements and maintenance, specifically focusing on making predictive maintenance a practical application. There are multiple building blocks that make predictive maintenance a practical application. Each block performs a function leading to an output. This output forms an input to the receiving block. There are also foundational parts for all these building blocks to perform a function. Eventually, once the building blocks are connected, they form a loop and start to lead the path to predictive maintenance. Predictive maintenance is indeed practically achievable, but one must comprehend all the building blocks necessary for its implementation. Although detailed explanations will be provided in the upcoming sections, it is important to understand that simply purchasing software and plugging it in might be a far-fetched approach.
基金supported by JSPS KAKENHI Grant Number JP21K14064 and JP23K13239.
文摘Maintaining high groundwater level(GWL)is important for preventing fires in peatlands.This study proposes GWL prediction using machine learning methods for forest plantations in Indonesian tropical peatlands.Deep neural networks(DNN)have been used for prediction;however,they have not been applied to groundwater prediction in Indonesian peatlands.Tropical peatland is characterized by high permeability and forest plantations are surrounded by several canals.By predicting daily differences in GWL,the GWL can be predicted with high accuracy.DNNs,random forests,support vector regression,and XGBoost were compared,all of which indicated similar errors.The SHAP value revealed that the precipitation falling on the hill rapidly seeps into the soil and flows into the canals,which agrees with the fact that the soil has high permeability.These findings can potentially be used to alleviate and manage future fires in peatlands.
基金supported in part by the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant 52077002。
文摘Model predictive control(MPC)has been deemed as an attractive control method in motor drives by virtue of its simple structure,convenient multi-objective optimization,and satisfactory dynamic performance.However,the strong reliance on mathematical models seriously restrains its practical application.Therefore,improving the robustness of MPC has attained significant attentions in the last two decades,followed by which,model-free predictive control(MFPC)comes into existence.This article aims to reveal the current state of MFPC strategies for motor drives and give the categorization from the perspective of implementation.Based on this review,the principles of the reported MFPC strategies are introduced in detail,as well as the challenges encountered in technology realization.In addition,some of typical and important concepts are experimentally validated via case studies to evaluate the performance and highlight their features.Finally,the future trends of MFPC are discussed based on the current state and reported developments.
基金supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China(32122066,32201855)STI2030—Major Projects(2023ZD04076).
文摘Phenotypic prediction is a promising strategy for accelerating plant breeding.Data from multiple sources(called multi-view data)can provide complementary information to characterize a biological object from various aspects.By integrating multi-view information into phenotypic prediction,a multi-view best linear unbiased prediction(MVBLUP)method is proposed in this paper.To measure the importance of multiple data views,the differential evolution algorithm with an early stopping mechanism is used,by which we obtain a multi-view kinship matrix and then incorporate it into the BLUP model for phenotypic prediction.To further illustrate the characteristics of MVBLUP,we perform the empirical experiments on four multi-view datasets in different crops.Compared to the single-view method,the prediction accuracy of the MVBLUP method has improved by 0.038–0.201 on average.The results demonstrate that the MVBLUP is an effective integrative prediction method for multi-view data.
基金supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of China(No.2024YFC3506900)Science and Technology Program of Tianjin(No.24ZXZSSS00460)Special Project for Technological Innovation in New Productive Forces of Modern Chinese Medicines(No.24ZXZKSY00010)。
文摘Due to its synergistic effects and reduced side effects,combination therapy has become an important strategy for treating complex diseases.In traditional Chinese medicine(TCM),the“monarch,minister,assistant,envoy”compatibilities theory provides a systematic framework for drug compatibility and has guided the formation of a large number of classic formulas.However,due to the complex compositions and diverse mechanisms of action of TCM,it is difficult to comprehensively reveal its potential synergistic patterns using traditional methods.Synergistic prediction based on molecular compatibility theory provides new ideas for identifying combinations of active compounds in TCM.Compared to resource-intensive traditional experimental methods,artificial intelligence possesses the ability to mine synergistic patterns from multi-omics and structural data,providing an efficient means for modeling and optimizing TCM combinations.This paper systematically reviews the application progress of AI in the synergistic prediction of TCM active compounds and explores the challenges and prospects of its application in modeling combination relationships,thereby contributing to the modernization of TCM theory and methodological innovation.
基金supported in part by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(62173255,62188101)Shenzhen Key Laboratory of Control Theory and Intelligent Systems(ZDSYS20220330161800001)
文摘Dear Editor,In this letter,a constrained networked predictive control strategy is proposed for the optimal control problem of complex nonlinear highorder fully actuated(HOFA)systems with noises.The method can effectively deal with nonlinearities,constraints,and noises in the system,optimize the performance metric,and present an upper bound on the stable output of the system.
基金funded by the project supported by the Natural Science Foundation of Heilongjiang Provincial(Grant Number LH2023F033)the Science and Technology Innovation Talent Project of Harbin(Grant Number 2022CXRCCG006).
文摘Stock price prediction is a typical complex time series prediction problem characterized by dynamics,nonlinearity,and complexity.This paper introduces a generative adversarial network model that incorporates an attention mechanism(GAN-LSTM-Attention)to improve the accuracy of stock price prediction.Firstly,the generator of this model combines the Long and Short-Term Memory Network(LSTM),the Attention Mechanism and,the Fully-Connected Layer,focusing on generating the predicted stock price.The discriminator combines the Convolutional Neural Network(CNN)and the Fully-Connected Layer to discriminate between real stock prices and generated stock prices.Secondly,to evaluate the practical application ability and generalization ability of the GAN-LSTM-Attention model,four representative stocks in the United States of America(USA)stock market,namely,Standard&Poor’s 500 Index stock,Apple Incorporatedstock,AdvancedMicroDevices Incorporatedstock,and Google Incorporated stock were selected for prediction experiments,and the prediction performance was comprehensively evaluated by using the three evaluation metrics,namely,mean absolute error(MAE),root mean square error(RMSE),and coefficient of determination(R2).Finally,the specific effects of the attention mechanism,convolutional layer,and fully-connected layer on the prediction performance of the model are systematically analyzed through ablation study.The results of experiment show that the GAN-LSTM-Attention model exhibits excellent performance and robustness in stock price prediction.
文摘The prediction of tool wear in CNC machine tools is a critical aspect of ensuring the efficient operation and longevity of manufacturing equipment.Tool wear significantly impacts machining accuracy,surface finish quality,and operational downtime,making its prediction essential for proactive maintenance strategies.This paper explores the integration of Digital Twin technology with tool wear prediction models to enhance the precision and reliability of wear forecasting in CNC machines.We review existing methodologies for tool wear prediction,including physics-based models,data-driven approaches,and hybrid models,with an emphasis on their strengths and limitations.Furthermore,the paper highlights the role of Digital Twin technology in creating real-time,virtual replicas of CNC machines that can dynamically monitor tool wear and provide actionable insights for optimization.By leveraging real-time data and advanced simulation techniques,Digital Twin-based prediction models offer significant improvements over traditional methods.The paper concludes by discussing future directions for integrating machine learning,deep learning,and real-time data analytics into the tool wear prediction process,ultimately contributing to the development of more intelligent and adaptive manufacturing systems.
文摘This article proposes an algebraic model predictive control(MPC)method for automatic landing.While defining the constraint functions in the optimization problem,the tangent hyperbolic function is preferred.Therefore,the optimization problem turns into an unconstrained,continuous,and differentiable form.An analytical two-step method is also proposed to solve the rest of the problem.In the first step,it is assumed that only input constraints are active and states are unconstrained.The optimal solution for this case is calculated directly with the optimality condition.The calculated control signal is revised in the second step according to system dynamics and state constraints.Simulation results of the auto-landing system show that the MPC computation speed is significantly increased by the new algebraic MPC(AMPC)without compromising the control performance,which makes the method realistic for using MPC in systems with high-speed changing dynamics.
基金supported by innovation consortium project of China Petroleum and Southwest Petroleum University (No.2020CX010201)Sichuan Science and Technology Program (No. 2024NSFSC0081)。
文摘The Canglangpu Formation in the JT1 well area of the Sichuan Basin exhibits strong lateral heterogeneity and complex overpressure mechanisms, leading to ambiguous pore pressure distribution characteristics. Conventional prediction methods, such as the Equivalent Depth Method, are either inapplicable or yield unsatisfactory results (e.g., Fillippone’s method), contributing to frequent drilling incidents like gas kick, overfl ow, and lost circulation, which hinder the safe and effi cient exploration of natural gas. To address these challenges, this paper integrates lithology, physical properties, and overpressure mechanisms of the Canglangpu Formation. From a petrophysical perspective, a pore pressure prediction model independent of lithology and overpressure mechanisms was developed by combining the poroelasticity theory, linear elastic Hooke’s Law, and Biot’s eff ective stress theory, with an analysis of the relationship between carbonate rock strain, external stress, and internal pore pressure. Unlike conventional methods, the model does not rely on the establishment of a normal compaction trend line. Pre-stack seismic inversion was applied to achieve 3D pore pressure prediction for the formation. Results indicate high accuracy, with a relative error of less than 5% compared to measured data, and strong consistency with actual drilling events. The proposed method provides robust technical support for pore pressure prediction in carbonate formations and drilling geological design.
基金funded by the International University,VNU-HCM,under grant number T2023-01-BME.
文摘Skull structures are important for biomechanical head simulations,but they are mostly reconstructed frommedical images.These reconstruction methods harmthe human body and have a long processing time.Currently,skull structures canbe straightforwardly predictedfromthe head,but a fullheadshapemust be available.Most scanning devices can only capture the face shape.Consequently,a method that can quickly predict the full skull structures from the face is necessary.In this study,a novel face-to-skull prediction procedure is introduced.Given a threedimensional(3-D)face shape,a skull mesh could be predicted so that its shape would statistically fit the face shape.Several prediction strategies were conducted.The optimal prediction strategy with its optimal hyperparameters was experimentally selected through a ten-fold cross-validation with 329 subjects.As a result,the face-to-skull prediction strategy based on the relations between face head shape and back head shape,between face head shape and face skull shape,and between back head shape and back skull shape was optimal.The optimal mean mesh-to-mesh distance(mean±SD)between the predicted skull shapes and the ground truth skull shapes was 1.93±0.36 mm,and those between the predicted skull meshes and the ground truth skull meshes were 2.65±0.36 mm.Moreover,the prediction errors in back-skull and muscle attachment regions were 1.7432±0.5217 mm and 1.7671±0.3829 mm,respectively.These errors are within the acceptable range of facial muscle simulation.In perspective,this method will be employed in our clinical decision support system to enhance the accuracy of biomechanical head simulation based on a stereo fusion camera system.Moreover,we will also enhance the accuracy of the face-to-skull prediction by diversifying the dataset intomore varied geographical regions and genders.More types of parameters,such as BodyMass Index(BMI),coupled with head-to-skull thicknesses,will be fused with the proposed face-to-skull procedure.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Founion of China(U2241285).
文摘Accurate and efficient prediction of the distribution of surface loads on buildings subjected to explosive effects is crucial for rapidly calculating structural dynamic responses,establishing effective protective measures,and designing civil defense engineering solutions.Current state-of-the-art methods face several issues:Experimental research is difficult and costly to implement,theoretical research is limited to simple geometries and lacks precision,and direct simulations require substantial computational resources.To address these challenges,this paper presents a data-driven method for predicting blast loads on building surfaces.This approach increases both the accuracy and computational efficiency of load predictions when the geometry of the building changes while the explosive yield remains constant,significantly improving its applicability in complex scenarios.This study introduces an innovative encoder-decoder graph neural network model named BlastGraphNet,which uses a message-passing mechanism to predict the overpressure and impulse load distributions on buildings with conventional and complex geometries during explosive events.The model also facilitates related downstream applications,such as damage mode identification and rapid assessment of virtual city explosions.The calculation results indicate that the prediction error of the model for conventional building tests is less than 2%,and its inference speed is 3-4 orders of magnitude faster than that of state-of-the-art numerical methods.In extreme test cases involving buildings with complex geometries and building clusters,the method achieved high accuracy and excellent generalizability.The strong adaptability and generalizability of BlastGraphNet confirm that this novel method enables precise real-time prediction of blast loads and provides a new paradigm for damage assessment in protective engineering.
