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Incorporating causal notions to forecasting time series:a case study
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作者 Werner Kristjanpoller Kevin Michell +1 位作者 Cristian Llanos Marcel C.Minutolo 《Financial Innovation》 2025年第1期671-692,共22页
Financial time series have been analyzed with a wide variety of models and approaches,some of which can forecast with great accuracy.However,most of these models,especially the machine learning ones,cannot show additi... Financial time series have been analyzed with a wide variety of models and approaches,some of which can forecast with great accuracy.However,most of these models,especially the machine learning ones,cannot show additional information for the decision maker or the financial analyst.The notion of causality is a concept that provides a more complete understanding of a problem beyond improved forecasts.In this study,we propose integrating the treatment/control concept of causality into a forecasting framework to better predict financial time series.Our results show that the proposed methodology outperforms classic econometric approaches such as ARIMA and Random Walk,as well as machine learning approaches without the proposed methodology.This improvement is statistically significant,as indicated by the Model Confidence Set test in the complete test set and quarterly analysis. 展开更多
关键词 ECONOMETRICS Machine learning FORECAST Causal notions
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Basic Notions of Classical Physics
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作者 Vladimir S. Netchitailo 《Journal of High Energy Physics, Gravitation and Cosmology》 2023年第4期1187-1207,共21页
Classical Physics is a branch of Physics that should be described by classical notions, which define emergent phenomena. An Emergent Phenomenon is a property that is a result of simple interactions that work cooperati... Classical Physics is a branch of Physics that should be described by classical notions, which define emergent phenomena. An Emergent Phenomenon is a property that is a result of simple interactions that work cooperatively to create a more complex interaction. Physically, simple interactions occur at a microscopic level, and the collective result can be observed at a macroscopic level. The developed Hypersphere World-Universe Model (WUM) introduces classical notions, when the very first ensemble of particles was created at the cosmological time π<sub>M</sub> ≅ 10<sup>-18</sup> and become possible to introduce the notion “Medium of the World”. We emphasize that Classical Physics is principally different from Quantum Physics that describes quantum objects, which have four-momenta only. Classical Physics is dealing with ensembles of quantum objects! The present paper discusses the Basic Notions of Classical Physics considering a principally different cosmological model WUM, which is, in fact, a Paradigm Shift for Cosmology. WUM is a natural continuation of Classical Physics, and it can already serve as a basis for a New Cosmology proposed by Paul Dirac in 1937. 展开更多
关键词 World-Universe Model Space and Time Aether Dark Matter GRAVITY GRAVITOMAGNETISM Fundamental Physical Constants Creation of Matter Primary notions
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R-Technology of Programming: Basic Notions and Implementation 被引量:1
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作者 I. V. Vel'bitsky A. L. Kovalev +1 位作者 I.V. Kasatkina 王镭 《Journal of Computer Science & Technology》 SCIE EI CSCD 1992年第4期345-355,共11页
This paper presents a kind of visual programming, which is called R-technology of programming. The R-technology is independent of any programming language or operating system and the R-chart is in accord with internat... This paper presents a kind of visual programming, which is called R-technology of programming. The R-technology is independent of any programming language or operating system and the R-chart is in accord with international standard (ISO 8631H). The package of R-technology has been applied to the high level languages such as PASCAL, C, ASSEMBLER, FORTRAN, PL/1, MODULA-2 and RTRAN. This package is applied to computers ranging from mainframes (IBM 370) and minis (VAX) to micros (IBM/PC). 展开更多
关键词 Basic notions and Implementation DATA R-Technology of Programming
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How Teachers' Beliefs Are in Accordance with Major SLA Notions 被引量:1
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作者 WANG Chaochang 《Chinese Journal of Applied Linguistics》 2016年第3期354-373,375,共21页
Current SLA theories have delivered important language-learning notions. This paper will report the results of a study into 64 high school English teachers' beliefs about language learning and their instructional pra... Current SLA theories have delivered important language-learning notions. This paper will report the results of a study into 64 high school English teachers' beliefs about language learning and their instructional practices, with a focus on two of them. A questionnaire was developed on the basis of major tenets of second language learning and administered to the 64 participants. In addition, classroom observations and interviews were employed to explore the two focal teachers' beliefs and their actual classroom instruction practices. Results show both consistencies and inconsistencies between the participants' beliefs and major SLA notions and between the two focal participants' beliefs and their classroom practices. 展开更多
关键词 SLA notions teacher beliefs teacher education teaching EFL in Taiwan
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Compactness and Diversity:Core Notions of Sustainable Urban Development for China
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作者 QIU Baoxing,Deputy Minister of Housing and Urban-Rural Development,PhD of Economics,and PhD of Urban Planning,Beijing,P.R.China. 《China City Planning Review》 2009年第1期10-18,共9页
Upon celebrating the 50<sup>th</sup> anniversary of the Urban Planning Society of China,it is particularly important to learn from the foreign lessons,to summarize the historical experiences, to confront t... Upon celebrating the 50<sup>th</sup> anniversary of the Urban Planning Society of China,it is particularly important to learn from the foreign lessons,to summarize the historical experiences, to confront the current challenges and to look out into the future,so as to seriously examine what exactly are the notions to be cherished by China’s urban planning profes- 展开更多
关键词 URBANIZATION notions seriously CHALLENGES sustaina
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2021 Cyber Buzzwords——Trending slang reflects the modern notions of China’s youth
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作者 Tao Xing 《Beijing Review》 2022年第1期44-45,共2页
In summer 2021, veteran sprinte Su Bingtian, endearingly dubbed the "flying man" by fans, set a new Asian record at 9.83 seconds in the men’s 100-meter dash during the Tokyo Olympics semifinals, making him ... In summer 2021, veteran sprinte Su Bingtian, endearingly dubbed the "flying man" by fans, set a new Asian record at 9.83 seconds in the men’s 100-meter dash during the Tokyo Olympics semifinals, making him the firs Chinese athlete to qualify for the event’s final. Following his achievement, some people in China hailed Su as YYDS, acro nym for yongyuan di shen. 展开更多
关键词 FIR notions RECORD
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Multi-disciplinary evidence illuminates the speciation history of a monophyletic yet dimorphic lily group
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作者 Yu Feng Chaochao Yan +5 位作者 Wen-Qin Tu Yu-Mei Yuan Jing-Bo Wang Xiao-Juan Chen Chang-Qiu Liu Yundong Gao 《Plant Diversity》 2025年第2期189-200,共12页
Species boundaries are dynamic and constantly challenged by gene flow.Understanding the strategies different lineages adopt to maintain ecological and genetic distinctiveness requires employing an integrative species ... Species boundaries are dynamic and constantly challenged by gene flow.Understanding the strategies different lineages adopt to maintain ecological and genetic distinctiveness requires employing an integrative species concept that incorporates data from a variety of sources.In this study,we incorporated genetic,ecological,and environmental evidence to assess the extent of speciation or evolutionary divergence within a monophyletic yet dimorphic group(i.e.,clade Leucolirion consisting of six species)within the genus Lilium.This clade consists of two lineages that exhibit unexpectedly distinct perianth appearances:whitish trumpet(funnel form,encompassing four species)and orange recurved(reflex form,including two species),respectively,which are separated by completely different pollination syndromes.Transcriptome-based nuclear and plastome datasets indicate that these two lineages are isolated,with only weak ancient gene flow between them.Within each lineage,several taxa with incomplete isolation have diverged,as indicated by weak genetic structure,strong gene flow,and conflicts between nuclear and chloroplast phylogenies,especially in the trumpet lineage.Although these taxa are not entirely independent,our evidence indicates that they are diverging,with recent gene flow disappearing and multiple isolation strategies emerging,such as differences in flowering time and niche specialization.Taken together,our findings suggest that species divergence and maintenance in Lilium are driven by a combination of adaptive and non-adaptive processes,highlighting the complex interplay of historical climate changes,ecological adaptation,and gene flow in shaping biodiversity within this genus. 展开更多
关键词 SPECIATION Species boundary Interspecific gene flow Integrated species notion LILIUM Isolation
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Development of a Notion of Limit as Proximity From Discourse Analysis in Secondary-School Function Classes
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作者 Kenji Shigeno 《Cultural and Religious Studies》 2020年第11期585-593,共9页
Mathematical teaching and learning of an introductory calculus conception of limit in secondary school before students learn the formal definition of limit in higher education are discussed.In this study,applications ... Mathematical teaching and learning of an introductory calculus conception of limit in secondary school before students learn the formal definition of limit in higher education are discussed.In this study,applications of the theory of instruction based on“Formalizing Introductory Notions(FIN)”(Nagle,2013),in which a theory incorporating new pedagogical approaches was introduced to describe static notions of limit,without ignoring dynamic notions of limit,are presented to help foster an informal limit conception better aligned with the formal definition.A qualitative discourse analysis based on students’utterances,including students’drawing pictures on graphs,was done.In the results of the investigation,it was found that the students’utterances drawings on a graph of the secants(segments)used static notions of limit supported by dynamic notions of limit according to the operating activities.There were learning activities in which students developed a notion of limit as the proximity of the predicted tangent line of a function.Consequently,students’discussions changed focus to the validation of limit candidates with static notions of limit.To overcome the contradiction of their explanations of the operating activities with dynamic notions of limit,the students changed to an explanation with static notions of limit.In light of the findings,this study suggests adapting the pedagogical approach used by the Nagle(2013). 展开更多
关键词 limit conception Nagle’s(2013)theory static notions of limit dynamic notions of limit learning activities
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外位结构的逻辑关系——汉译英时常被忽略的问题 被引量:3
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作者 周邦友 《上海翻译》 CSSCI 北大核心 1999年第2期14-16,共3页
外位结构(SeparateConstruction),是英语语言中的一种重要的句法手段。这种结构在英语语言里的应用随处可见。英语中常见的外位结构有:动词非谓语形式、形容词短语、介词短语、名词短语、状语从句省略形式等。... 外位结构(SeparateConstruction),是英语语言中的一种重要的句法手段。这种结构在英语语言里的应用随处可见。英语中常见的外位结构有:动词非谓语形式、形容词短语、介词短语、名词短语、状语从句省略形式等。这些结构的应用,能够使得语言表达达... 展开更多
关键词 separate CONSTRUCTION C E TRANSLATION notional SUBJECT dangling
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西方金融工具税收有关掉期的几个概念的探讨 被引量:1
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作者 李纯璞 宫亚利 《扬州大学税务学院学报》 2007年第4期30-32,53,共4页
the two legs of a swap,notional principal和underlying是西方金融工具的术语,本文试图对其概念以及相关的税收问题作一些探讨。
关键词 the TWO LEGS of a SWAP notional principal undedying 金融工具税收 掉期
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ON UNIFORM CONVERGENCE OF LINEAR OPERATORS ON THE PROBABILISTIC NORMED SPACE
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作者 魏勇 《Applied Mathematics and Mechanics(English Edition)》 SCIE EI 1989年第7期655-663,共9页
In this paper, we introduced the notion of uniform convergence of the linear operators on the probabilistic nornied space, and the notion of probabilistic distance between the operators, which describes the above conv... In this paper, we introduced the notion of uniform convergence of the linear operators on the probabilistic nornied space, and the notion of probabilistic distance between the operators, which describes the above convergence completely. In terms of these notions, we obtained the essential features of the continuity of operators, and of the uniform convergence of operator sequences, and we also obtained the closure of continuity and complete continuity under the operation of the limit of uniform convergence. 展开更多
关键词 probabilistic continuity notions operators UNIFORMLY TRIANGLE CONVERGENT NORMED SIMPLICITY SUBSET
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Singular Propositions, Truth and Reference
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作者 何朝安 《逻辑学研究》 CSSCI 2015年第3期88-100,共13页
单称命题观念的可理解性和合法性是当代弗雷格主义语义学与罗素主义语义学争论的焦点问题。在模态结构下,单称命题观念与一系列强有力的基本假设相冲突。普兰廷加等人发展了一个专门针对单称命题的标准论证,试图通过归谬论证来证明单称... 单称命题观念的可理解性和合法性是当代弗雷格主义语义学与罗素主义语义学争论的焦点问题。在模态结构下,单称命题观念与一系列强有力的基本假设相冲突。普兰廷加等人发展了一个专门针对单称命题的标准论证,试图通过归谬论证来证明单称命题观念是不融贯的。面对之于单称命题理论的这一挑战,一种颇具潜力的应对策略是区分两种真理观念,即命题在"世界里"为真与命题在"世界上"为真的区分。此策略试图表明,承诺单称命题"在世界上为真"并不导致与基本假设相冲突。本文在此专门考察这一策略的可行性。基于真理问题与指称问题的内在联系,即语句指称(真值)是语词指称的函项,我们力图证明,两种真理观念的区分实际上可还原为著名的顽固指称固定性和持续指称固定性的区分。而后一区分可以相当严格地在卡普兰的二维语义学框架下得到说明。此框架的实质基础是指称纳入的概念。文章基于对空名语义学的相关分析,通过借鉴埃文斯的描述性名称构造方式,构造了一种独特的绝对空名。最后,以此为基础,我们试图表明卡普兰框架下的指称"纳入"概念难以贯彻到底,继而,以之为基础来为单称命题观念提供辩护的策略也难以维系。 展开更多
关键词 单称命题 PROPOSITION 归谬论证 TRUTH 可理解性 notion 弗雷格 NAMES
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Huzhu and Minhe Autonomous County,Qinghai Province
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《China Population Today》 2005年第Z1期27-27,共1页
关键词 QINGHAI DAUGHTER MARRIAGE counties notions Prefere
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Female Foeticide,Infanticide and Girl Child Trafficking-Challenges and Strategies to Overcome
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作者 Arunima Kumari Wangshitula Longchar Parul Saini 《Journal of Health Science》 2019年第2期110-114,共5页
Women are the backbone of our rural as well as national economy.Agriculture is the main occupation for more than 60%of Indian population and half of its population is sufficed by women.They play pivot role in the tota... Women are the backbone of our rural as well as national economy.Agriculture is the main occupation for more than 60%of Indian population and half of its population is sufficed by women.They play pivot role in the total GDP,but how far their role is paid attention or measured is a major question all over the nation.In fact,conferences,seminars and workshops are taking places on this vital issue genuinely and even policies come in the form of proceedings but on ground level reality is something different.Still in some part of the country girls are not being provided equal rights for their health,education and in decision making process.Women play multipronged role starting from dawn to dusk but due to illiteracy,poverty and pre-occupied notions in some societies(that girl child are cursed not boon)female infanticide and their trafficking for prostitution or for domestic help.Not only in India but it’s a matter of concern across the world.Across the world women faces more or less same challenges and problems.Although they play a major role in nurturing their kids,agricultural production and its post harvest management but when it comes to their right and participation in decision making process,it comes minimum or negligent ratio as compared to their male counterparts.It’s said that they are equal to boys but in reality they are not. 展开更多
关键词 GDP=Gross Domestic Product Multipronged=Various role Pre-occupied notions=Pre-Idea
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应用Notion AI辅助编校中文科技期刊论文 被引量:20
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作者 刘俏亮 张洁 刘东亮 《编辑学报》 CSSCI 北大核心 2023年第5期550-553,共4页
编辑加工和校对是一个耗时且烦琐的过程,而传统的校对软件设计僵化刻板,存在大量误报现象。为了减轻编辑在编校论文时的工作量,提升编校效率,本文将最新发布的人工智能文本处理工具Notion AI引入中文科技期刊的编校工作中,提出了用Notio... 编辑加工和校对是一个耗时且烦琐的过程,而传统的校对软件设计僵化刻板,存在大量误报现象。为了减轻编辑在编校论文时的工作量,提升编校效率,本文将最新发布的人工智能文本处理工具Notion AI引入中文科技期刊的编校工作中,提出了用Notion AI编校论文的方法步骤,并且提供了一个使用示例做具体展示。Notion AI能结合上下文“理解”句子和段落的语义,通过使用Notion AI可实现对论文的自动编辑润色,提高字词、语法和标点等使用的准确性和论文的流畅性。此方法可显著节省期刊编辑的时间和精力,提升工作质量和效率。 展开更多
关键词 编辑校对 人工智能 Notion AI ChatGPT 智能编校
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Snake Worsbip among the Dong Nationality
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《China & The World Cultural Exchange》 1993年第3期21-21,共1页
THE beautiful area of mountains and rivers atthe juncture of Hunan, Gulzhou and GuangxiZhuang Autonomous Region is irthabited byover 1 million Dong people. Because of the area’sgeographic remoteness, this minority et... THE beautiful area of mountains and rivers atthe juncture of Hunan, Gulzhou and GuangxiZhuang Autonomous Region is irthabited byover 1 million Dong people. Because of the area’sgeographic remoteness, this minority ethnic groupformed its own notions on nature over the centuries.The Dong ancestors worshiped snakes, a tradition thathas not entirely died out today.In the traditional concept of the Dong people,snakes are not ordinary reptiles but supernatural 展开更多
关键词 SNAKE entirely notions ETHNIC TRADITION MOUNTAINS TODAY SNAKE ordinary MINORITY
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语法一致(grammatical conaord)与概念一致(notional concord)
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作者 陆健龄 《梧州学院学报》 2003年第1期37-38,共2页
根据“概念一致”的原则,there's+复数名词是“'s”用法的一种发展趋势。
关键词 语法(grammatical concord) 概念(notional concord) 一致
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An Analysis of the Place of CLT in Chinese Higher Institutions
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作者 兰卉卉 《海外英语》 2016年第13期239-240,共2页
CLT in China has experienced a lot of ups and downs, which has given rise to some skepticism and criticisms from some Chinese ESL/EFL instructors and learners. drawing on the theoretical notions of symbolic violence, ... CLT in China has experienced a lot of ups and downs, which has given rise to some skepticism and criticisms from some Chinese ESL/EFL instructors and learners. drawing on the theoretical notions of symbolic violence, and correlations between identity, language and representation, this paper tends to explore the main constrains that result in the failure of using CLT in Chinese ESL/EFL classroom and figure out whether CLT could be a viable approach for ESL/EFL teaching and learning in Chinese higher education. 展开更多
关键词 classroom SPEAKER COMPETENCE PROFICIENCY notions viable experienced FIGURE indispensable LEARNER
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Translation on Discoures Level 被引量:3
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作者 石淑芳 《上海翻译》 CSSCI 北大核心 1993年第4期7-12,共6页
The whole paper advocates translating on discourse level to achieveequivalence between the source language and the receptor language.As thetitle suggests,there would be no understanding of equivalent translation witho... The whole paper advocates translating on discourse level to achieveequivalence between the source language and the receptor language.As thetitle suggests,there would be no understanding of equivalent translation withoutunderstanding first what discourse is.Upon this assumption,the paper dealswith the notion of discourse first.1.The definition of discourse1.1 What is meant by“discourse”Linguists have various opinions on the term“discourse”.S.J.Schmidtregards discourse as the part that contains a theme of communicative 展开更多
关键词 discourse SENTENCES TRANSLATING TRANSLATOR situational LINGUISTICS notion semantic STYLISTIC TEXTUAL
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