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Lagged effects of risk factors on the disability of older adults:A distributed lag non-linear model approach
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作者 Yitong Mao Zhiting Guo +2 位作者 Wen Gao Yuping Zhang Jingfen Jin 《International Journal of Nursing Sciences》 2026年第1期53-60,I0004,I0005,共10页
Objectives This study aimed to explore the lagged and cumulative effects of risk factors on disability in older adults using distributed lag non-linear models(DLNMs).Methods We utilized data from the China Health and ... Objectives This study aimed to explore the lagged and cumulative effects of risk factors on disability in older adults using distributed lag non-linear models(DLNMs).Methods We utilized data from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study(CHARLS).After feature selection via Elastic Net Regularization,we applied DLNMs to evaluate the lagged effects of risk factors.Disability was defined as the presence of any difficulties in basic activities of daily living(BADL).The cumulative relative risk(CRR)was calculated by summing the lag-specific risk estimates,representing the cumulative disability risk over the specified lag period.Effect modifications and sensitivity analyses were also performed.Results This study included a total of 2,318 participants.Early-phase lag factors,such as the difficulty in stooping(CRR=3.58;95%CI:2.31-5.55;P<0.001)and walking(CRR=2.77;95%CI:1.39-5.55;P<0.001),exerted the strongest effects immediately upon occurrence.Mid-phase lag factors,such as arthritis(CRR=1.51;95%CI:1.10-2.06;P=0.001),showed a resurgence in disability risk within 2-3 years.Late-phase lag factors,including depressive symptoms(CRR=2.38;95%CI:1.30-4.35;P<0.001)and elevated systolic blood pressure(CRR=1.64;95%CI:1.06-2.79;P=0.02),exhibited significant long-term cumulative risks.Conversely,grip strength(CRR=0.80;95%CI:0.54-0.95;P=0.02)and social participation(CRR=0.89;95%CI:0.73-0.99;P=0.04)were significant protective factors.Conclusions The findings underscore the importance of tailored interventions that account for various lag characteristics of different factors to effectively mitigate disability risk.Future studies should explore the underlying biological and sociological mechanisms of these lagged effects,identify intervention strategies that target risk factors with different lagged patterns,and evaluate their effectiveness. 展开更多
关键词 Ageing DISABILITY Distributed lag non-linear models Nusing Risk factors
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Non-Linear Increase of the Real Contact Area of PMMA Blocks and the Related Contact Model
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作者 Zhijun Luo Kai Wu Shaoze Yan 《Chinese Journal of Mechanical Engineering》 2025年第1期261-272,共12页
Many experiments have supported the contact models,such as the GW and MB models,but the majority of previous validations have been performed under light loads,resulting in a linear relationship between normal force an... Many experiments have supported the contact models,such as the GW and MB models,but the majority of previous validations have been performed under light loads,resulting in a linear relationship between normal force and contact area.However,the real contact area fraction should never equal one;there must be a limit smaller than the apparent area,implying that the real contact area cannot increase linearly indefinitely.In this paper,the real contact area between two polymethylmethacrylate(PMMA)blocks under heavy load is measured using the total reflection method,and the contact area is analyzed using the image processing method.The results show that the real contact area increases with normal load linearly in light loads but non-linearly in heavy loads;the number of contact spots increases with load linearly in light loads but also non-linearly in heavy loads,synchronous with the change in the real contact area.The GW,MB,and Zhao,Maietta,and Chang(ZMC)models were used to predict the experiment results,but none of them predicted the non-linear stage.A revised GW model based on the bulk deformation hypothesis performs better in predicting the non-linear stage.The study’s findings can be applied to PMMA or other similar materials,and they can serve as a useful reference for future research on the contact mechanisms of other materials. 展开更多
关键词 Real contact area GW model MB model Total reflection non-linear increase
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Buckling morphology evolution of thin films on non-linear elastic substrates
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作者 Andi Lai Di Ou +1 位作者 Jun Liao Guo Fu 《Acta Mechanica Sinica》 2025年第2期176-183,共8页
Organisms have evolved a strain limiting mechanism,reflected as a non-linear elastic constitutive,to prevent large deformations from threatening soft tissue integrity.Compared with linear elastic substrates,the wrinkl... Organisms have evolved a strain limiting mechanism,reflected as a non-linear elastic constitutive,to prevent large deformations from threatening soft tissue integrity.Compared with linear elastic substrates,the wrinkle of films on non-linear elastic substrates has received less attention.In this article,a unique wrinkle evolution of the film-substrate system with a J-shaped non-linear stress-strain relation is reported.The result shows that a concave hexagonal array pattern is formed with the shrinkage strain of the film-substrate systems developing.As the interconnection of hexagonal arrays,a unit cell ridge network appears with properties such as chirality and helix.The subparagraph maze pattern formed with high compression is mainly composed of special single-cell ridge networks such as spiral single cores,chiral double cores,and combined multi-cores.This evolutionary model is highly consistent with the results of experiments,and it also predicts wrinkle morphology that has not yet been reported.These findings can serve as a novel explanation for the surface wrinkle of biological soft tissue,as well as provide references for the preparation of artificial biomaterials and programmable soft matter. 展开更多
关键词 non-linear elastic substrate Chiral ridge Spiral unit cell Tension-compression asymmetry Wrinkle morphological evolution
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Discussion of“Prediction of the undrained shear strength of remolded soil with non-linear regression,fuzzy logic,and artificial neural network”[J.Mt.Sci.21(9):3108–3122]
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作者 Amin SOLTANI Brendan C.O’KELLY 《Journal of Mountain Science》 2025年第7期2723-2730,共8页
This opinion article discusses the original research work of Yünkül et al.(the Authors)published in the Journal of Mountain Science 21(9):3108–3122.Employing non-linear regression,fuzzy logic and artificial... This opinion article discusses the original research work of Yünkül et al.(the Authors)published in the Journal of Mountain Science 21(9):3108–3122.Employing non-linear regression,fuzzy logic and artificial neural network modeling techniques,the Authors interrogated a large database assembled from the existing research literature to assess the performance of twelve equation rules in predicting the undrained shear strength(s_(u))mobilized for remolded fine-grained soils at different values of liquidity index(I_(L))and water content ratio.Based on their analyses,the Authors proposed a simple and reportedly reliable correlation(i.e.,Eq.9 in their paper)for predicting s_(u) over the I_(L) range of 0.15 to 3.00.This article describes various shortcomings in the Authors’assembled database(including potentially anomalous data and covering an excessively wide I_(L) range in relation to routine geotechnical and transportation engineering applications)and their proposed s_(u)=f(I_(L))correlation.Contrary to the Authors’assertions,their proposed correlation is not reliable for fine-grained soils with consistencies in the general firm to stiff range(i.e.,for 0.15<I_(L)<0.40),increasingly overestimating s_(u) for reducing I_(L),and eventually predicting s_(u)→+∞for I_(L)→0.15+(while producing mathematically undefined s_(u) for I_(L)<0.15),thus rendering their correlation unconservative and potentially leading to unsafe geotechnical designs.Exponential or regular-power type s_(u)=f(I_(L))models are more s_(u)itable when developing correlations that are applicable over the full plastic range(of 0<I_(L)<1),thereby providing reasonably conservative s_(u) predictions for use in the preliminary design for routine geotechnical engineering applications. 展开更多
关键词 Undrained shear strength Liquidity index Soil consistency non-linear regression
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Resource Allocation Method for Unmanned Aerial Vehicle-Assisted and User Cooperation Non-Linear Energy Harvesting Mobile Edge Computing System
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作者 HE Ximei ZHAO Yisheng +1 位作者 XU Zhihong CHEN Yong 《Journal of Shanghai Jiaotong university(Science)》 2025年第6期1220-1231,共12页
Aimed at the doubly near-far problems in a large range suffered by the remote user group and in a small range existing in both nearby and remote user groups during energy harvesting and computation offloading,a resour... Aimed at the doubly near-far problems in a large range suffered by the remote user group and in a small range existing in both nearby and remote user groups during energy harvesting and computation offloading,a resource allocation method for unmanned aerial vehicle(UAV)-assisted and user cooperation non-linear energy harvesting mobile edge computing(MEC)system is proposed.The UAV equipped with an MEC server is introduced to provide energy and computing services for the remote user group to alleviate the doubly near-far problem in a large range suffered by the remote user group.The doubly near-far problem in a small range existing in both nearby and remote user groups is mitigated by user cooperation.The specific user cooperation strategy is that the user near the base station or the UAV is used as a relay to transfer the computing task of the user far from the base station or the UAV to the MEC server for computing.By jointly optimizing users’offloading time,users’transmitting power,and the hovering position of the UAV,the resource allocation problem is modeled as a nonlinear programming problem with the objective of maximizing computation efficiency.The suboptimal solution is obtained by adopting the differential evolution algorithm.Simulation results show that,compared with the resource allocation method based on genetic algorithm and the without user cooperation method,the proposed method has higher computation efficiency. 展开更多
关键词 mobile edge computing(MEC) non-linear energy harvesting unmanned aerial vehicle(UAV) user cooperation resource allocation
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重庆市不同热浪定义下中暑风险的比较研究 被引量:1
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作者 黄万 张睿 +5 位作者 王霄晔 赵程 周志荣 王艳 张琳歆 李永红 《环境卫生学杂志》 2026年第2期121-128,137,共9页
目的探索适用于重庆市中暑风险评估的热浪定义并识别敏感人群。方法收集2014—2019年5—9月重庆市中暑报告病例及气象数据,采用分段回归模型、观察/预期分析及分布滞后非线性模型,确定导致中暑的热浪温度阈值。基于“阈值+持续时间”定... 目的探索适用于重庆市中暑风险评估的热浪定义并识别敏感人群。方法收集2014—2019年5—9月重庆市中暑报告病例及气象数据,采用分段回归模型、观察/预期分析及分布滞后非线性模型,确定导致中暑的热浪温度阈值。基于“阈值+持续时间”定义热浪,进一步分析不同热浪定义下的滞后效应与非线性特征,通过比较不同定义筛选最适定义,并据此识别热浪敏感人群。结果日最高温度与日中暑人数呈非线性正相关关系,当日最高温度超过34.5℃时,中暑人数会显著增加。不同定义的热浪均可显著增加中暑风险,热浪发生当日效应最强,且可持续1 d。温度超过34.5℃且持续时间2 d以上的热浪定义的Q-AIC值最小(347.15),为最适热浪定义;在此热浪定义下,总人群lag01 d的CRR值为6.74(95%CI:5.18~8.77),不同性别和年龄别人群的中暑风险均有统计学意义,但无性别和年龄差异。结论中暑的风险识别采用计算温度阈值定义热浪的方法可能更适宜;热浪环境暴露下,人群普遍存在中暑风险。 展开更多
关键词 热浪 中暑 分布滞后非线性模型
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The ridgelet transform with non-linear threshold for seismic noise attenuation in marine carbonates 被引量:5
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作者 张恒磊 宋双 刘天佑 《Applied Geophysics》 SCIE CSCD 2007年第4期271-275,共5页
Wavelet transforms have been successfully used in seismic data processing with their ability for local time - frequency analysis. However, identification of directionality is limited because wavelet transform coeffici... Wavelet transforms have been successfully used in seismic data processing with their ability for local time - frequency analysis. However, identification of directionality is limited because wavelet transform coefficients reveal only three spatial orientations. Whereas the ridgelet transform has a superior capability for direction detection and the ability to process signals with linearly changing characteristics. In this paper, we present the issue of low signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) seismic data processing based on the ridgelet transform. Actual seismic data with low SNR from south China has been processed using ridgelet transforms to improve the SNR and the continuity of seismic events. The results show that the ridgelet transform is better than the wavelet transform for these tasks. 展开更多
关键词 Ridgelet transform DENOISE marine strata south China non-linear threshold
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Microstructure evolution of Al-Zn-Mg-Cu alloy during non-linear cooling process 被引量:3
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作者 李红英 刘蛟蛟 +2 位作者 余伟琛 赵辉 李德望 《Transactions of Nonferrous Metals Society of China》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2016年第5期1191-1200,共10页
The microstructure evolution and properties of an Al-Zn-Mg-Cu alloy were investigated under different non-linear cooling processes from the solution temperature, combined with in-situ electrical resistivity measuremen... The microstructure evolution and properties of an Al-Zn-Mg-Cu alloy were investigated under different non-linear cooling processes from the solution temperature, combined with in-situ electrical resistivity measurements, selected area diffraction patterns (SADPs), transmission electron microscopy (TEM), and tensile tests. The relative resistivity was calculated to characterize the phase transformation of the experimental alloy during different cooling processes. The results show that at high temperatures, the microstructure evolutions change from the directional diffusion of Zn and Mg atoms to the precipitation of S phase, depending on the cooling rate. At medium temperatures, q phase nucleates on A13Zr dispersoids and grain boundaries under fast cooling conditions, while S phase precipitates under the slow cooling conditions. The strength and ductility of the aged alloy suffer a significant deterioration due to the heterogeneous precipitation in medium temperature range. At low temperatures, homogeneously nucleated GP zone, η′ and η phases precipitate. 展开更多
关键词 Al-Zn-Mg-Cu alloy microstructure evolution non-linear cooling electrical resistivity mechanical property
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连云港市气象因素和空气污染物与手足口病发病的关联
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作者 徐梦蝶 尹莉 +3 位作者 吕福荣 许雷 汤琼 李海朋 《环境与职业医学》 北大核心 2026年第1期51-57,64,共8页
[背景]环境因素对手足口病传播的调节作用已引起诸多关注,但现有结论并不一致,如部分学者认为高温、高湿以及高浓度的细颗粒物(PM_(2.5))和二氧化氮(NO_(2))会增加手足口病发病风险,但也有学者得出相反结论,或认为两者之间并无显著关联... [背景]环境因素对手足口病传播的调节作用已引起诸多关注,但现有结论并不一致,如部分学者认为高温、高湿以及高浓度的细颗粒物(PM_(2.5))和二氧化氮(NO_(2))会增加手足口病发病风险,但也有学者得出相反结论,或认为两者之间并无显著关联。[目的]基于分布滞后非线性模型(DLNM)研究连云港市手足口病发病与气象因素和空气污染物的关联,为早期预警提供科学依据。[方法]收集2021—2024年连云港市逐日气象因素和空气污染物数据,气象因素包括日均气温、平均风速、平均气压、相对湿度,空气污染物指标包括PM_(2.5)、可吸入颗粒物(PM_(10))、一氧化碳(CO)、二氧化硫(SO_(2))、NO_(2)和臭氧(O_(3)),采用Spearman相关分析其与手足口病的关联性,使用R 4.3.1软件的“dlnm包”构建DLNM模型。[结果]研究期间累计报告10503例,男女性别比为1.47∶1,散居儿童占比最高(49.97%)。Spearman相关分析结果显示,日均气温(r=0.40)、相对湿度(r=0.17)和O_(3)(r=0.14)与手足口病发病数呈正相关(均P<0.01),平均气压(r=-0.34)、PM_(2.5)(r=-0.24)、PM_(10)(r=-0.24)、CO(r=-0.22)和NO_(2)(r=-0.06)与之呈负相关(均P<0.05),SO_(2)和平均风速与之不存在统计学联系(均P>0.05)。日均气温在28.50℃时累积风险效应最大(CRR=4.63,95%CI:2.68~8.01),平均风速在0.50 m·s-1以下和2.50~3.50 m·s-1区间呈现急性风险效应,低压(1016.00 hPa以下)能够即时增加发病风险,相对湿度在100.00%时累积风险效应最大(CRR=3.16,95%CI:1.77~5.65)。PM_(2.5)和PM_(10)分别在浓度为158.00μg·m^(-3)(CRR=0.12,95%CI:0.01~0.99)和561.50μg·m^(-3)(CRR=0.01,95%CI:0.01~0.99)时累积保护效应最强,CO保护作用在最高浓度(67.00μg·m^(-3))时最强(RR=0.67,95%CI:0.34~0.64),SO_(2)和NO_(2)累积保护效应均在浓度为0.50μg·m^(-3)时最明显,低浓度的O_(3)(48.00μg·m^(-3)以下)表现为风险效应,而O_(3)的浓度在141.00μg·m^(-3)时单日保护效应明显。[结论]环境因素与手足口病发病存在非线性和滞后性关联,可据此构建合理有效的预警与防控体系。 展开更多
关键词 手足口病 气象因素 空气污染物 分布滞后非线性模型 累积风险
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The SPH approach to the process of container filling based on non-linear constitutive models 被引量:3
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作者 Tao Jiang Jie Ouyang +1 位作者 Lin Zhang Jin-Lian Ren 《Acta Mechanica Sinica》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2012年第2期407-418,共12页
In this work, the transient free surface of con- tainer filling with non-linear constitutive equation's fluids is numerically investigated by the smoothed particle hydrody- namics (SPH) method. Specifically, the fi... In this work, the transient free surface of con- tainer filling with non-linear constitutive equation's fluids is numerically investigated by the smoothed particle hydrody- namics (SPH) method. Specifically, the filling process of a square container is considered for non-linear polymer fluids based on the Cross model. The validity of the presented SPH is first verified by solving the Newtonian fluid and Oldroyd- B fluid jet. Various phenomena in the filling process are shown, including the jet buckling, jet thinning, splashing or spluttering, steady filling. Moreover, a new phenomenon of vortex whirling is more evidently observed for the Cross model fluid compared with the Newtonian fluid case. 展开更多
关键词 non-linear. SPH Free surface Navier-Sto- kes FILLING
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2014—2023年潍坊市日均气温与水痘发病关系:基于分布滞后非线性模型分析
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作者 李梓菡 彭鹏 +6 位作者 赵文嘉 邴瑜 殷大鹏 徐成东 胡跃华 栾桂杰 王园园 《医学新知》 2026年第2期132-137,共6页
目的 基于分布滞后非线性模型(DLNM)系统评估潍坊地区日均气温对水痘发病的非线性影响及其滞后效应。方法 收集2014年1月至2023年12月潍坊地区水痘病例监测数据和同期气象数据,运用DLNM模型分析日均气温与潍坊地区水痘发病的暴露-反应... 目的 基于分布滞后非线性模型(DLNM)系统评估潍坊地区日均气温对水痘发病的非线性影响及其滞后效应。方法 收集2014年1月至2023年12月潍坊地区水痘病例监测数据和同期气象数据,运用DLNM模型分析日均气温与潍坊地区水痘发病的暴露-反应关系。结果 研究期间潍坊市共报告水痘病例7 871例。日均气温与水痘日病例数呈负相关(rs=-0.235,P<0.001)。以日均温度的中位数15.69℃为参考值,低温情况下RR值较高。低温影响出现于滞后早期(滞后0~9 d),而高温影响则呈双阶段特征,在滞后早期(0~7 d)表现为较弱的危险因素,但在滞后后期(如14 d)则可能转变为保护因素。亚组分析发现水痘发病呈显著的季节异质性和年龄差异,3~6岁组冬季发病风险为夏季的1.9倍,表现出明显的季节性波动模式。敏感性分析表明模型结果稳健。结论 气温与潍坊市水痘就诊量之间呈非线性关系,低温对水痘发病影响显著且存在滞后效应;高温影响较为温和且呈现出双阶段特征。提示在冬春低温季节需重视预防水痘发病,特别是在学校和托幼机构等人群密集场所应加强防控措施。 展开更多
关键词 水痘 气象因素 气温 分布滞后非线性模型
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典型载荷谱下轮毂轴承寿命预测方法研究
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作者 董艳方 于伟 +3 位作者 邱明 延紫博 周文博 叶博涛 《河南科技大学学报(自然科学版)》 北大核心 2026年第1期24-33,M0003,共11页
针对实际服役过程中轮毂轴承寿命难以精准预测的难题,提出一种典型载荷谱下轮毂轴承服役寿命预测方法。首先,考虑弯矩作用的影响,构建轮毂轴承拟静力学模型,采用牛顿-拉夫森(Newton\|Raphson)迭代算法求解轴承内部接触载荷,解析不同工... 针对实际服役过程中轮毂轴承寿命难以精准预测的难题,提出一种典型载荷谱下轮毂轴承服役寿命预测方法。首先,考虑弯矩作用的影响,构建轮毂轴承拟静力学模型,采用牛顿-拉夫森(Newton\|Raphson)迭代算法求解轴承内部接触载荷,解析不同工况下各接触区接触载荷的变化规律;其次,参照机械行业标准JB/T 13353—2017,制定了用于耐久性考核的典型载荷谱,基于修正的L\|P理论得到典型载荷谱下的轴承寿命,同时为考虑多级载荷中存在的加载次序与交互作用效应,引入了一种非线性疲劳累积损伤模型,完成了试验载荷谱下轮毂轴承服役寿命的预测;最后,对比线性与非线性损伤累积模型的差异性,并通过耐久性试验验证了预测结果的准确性和方法的合理性。 展开更多
关键词 轮毂轴承 典型载荷谱 寿命预测 非线性损伤累积模型
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一种基于伴随状态方程梯度计算的AVO阻抗三参数非线性反演方法
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作者 宫菡婕 刘致水 +3 位作者 高飞 包乾宗 Honggeun Jo 张嘉豪 《地球物理学报》 北大核心 2026年第2期857-872,共16页
地震叠前反演是获取地下介质弹性参数的主要手段.常规的非线性AVO反演方法多使用梯度下降类优化算法,需要计算目标函数的梯度方程,准确性和效率较低.针对此问题,本文提出一种基于伴随状态方程梯度计算的纵、横波阻抗及密度三参数反演方... 地震叠前反演是获取地下介质弹性参数的主要手段.常规的非线性AVO反演方法多使用梯度下降类优化算法,需要计算目标函数的梯度方程,准确性和效率较低.针对此问题,本文提出一种基于伴随状态方程梯度计算的纵、横波阻抗及密度三参数反演方法,在AVO反演公式的基础上推导了目标函数梯度的伴随状态方程,引入精度、效率优于常规优化算法的有限内存的拟牛顿优化算法(Limited memory-BFGS,即L-BFGS)求解反演目标函数.通过1-D、2-D模型数据及实际测井数据测试,证实该方法能够反演获得精确的纵、横波阻抗、密度及纵-横波速度比,抗噪性测试证实该方法对噪声的容许程度为信噪比大于约8~15 dB.将该方法应用于致密砂岩储层实际地震资料,所得结果与测井数据吻合度高,且能够反映横向地层展布规律,证实了该方法的有效性. 展开更多
关键词 AVO非线性反演 三参数反演 阻抗反演 伴随状态方程 致密砂岩储层
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某超高层电视塔结构稳定性研究
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作者 张榕恬 付丹 +1 位作者 方通通 梁峰 《科学技术创新》 2026年第3期165-168,共4页
某电视塔主屋面塔高为325.8 m,为超高层超限结构,主体结构的稳定性设计是结构安全的控制因素之一。本文基于SAP2000有限元分析软件对该塔进行了稳定性分析,分析内容主要包括内外筒水平支撑、内外筒楼板、内外筒梁连接方式、风荷载的分... 某电视塔主屋面塔高为325.8 m,为超高层超限结构,主体结构的稳定性设计是结构安全的控制因素之一。本文基于SAP2000有限元分析软件对该塔进行了稳定性分析,分析内容主要包括内外筒水平支撑、内外筒楼板、内外筒梁连接方式、风荷载的分布方式、初始缺陷等影响因素对结构稳定性的敏感分析;整体结构的特征值屈曲分析以及几何非线性稳定性分析。通过稳定性敏感分析的结果,对结构模型进行了优化,提高了结构的合理性,同时通过结构整体稳定性的数值分析结果,表明在设计荷载作用下,该塔结构具有足够的整体稳定性,具备一定的安全储备。 展开更多
关键词 超高层 超限结构 特征值屈曲分析 非线性稳定性分析 敏感性分析
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Non-Linear Vibration of Rectangular Reticulated Shallow Shell Structures 被引量:1
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作者 聂国华 《Applied Mathematics and Mechanics(English Edition)》 SCIE EI 1994年第6期525-535,共11页
This paper deals with non-linear vibration of rectangular reticulated shallow shells by applying non-linear elastic theory of such structures established by the author .Us-ing the assumed (generalized)Fourier series s... This paper deals with non-linear vibration of rectangular reticulated shallow shells by applying non-linear elastic theory of such structures established by the author .Us-ing the assumed (generalized)Fourier series solutions for transverse deflection (latticejoint transverse displacement )and force function,weighted means of the trial functions lead to the relations among the coefficients related to the solutions and vibration equ-ation which determines the unknown time function,and then the amplitude -frequeney relations for free vibration and forced vibration due to harmonic force are derived withthe aid of the regular perturbation method and Galerkin procedure,respectively.Nu-merical examples are given as well. 展开更多
关键词 rectangular reticulated shallow shells .non-linear. vibration. char-acteristic amplitude -frequency relation.beam vibration eigenfunctions
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贵阳市气温对儿科呼吸系统疾病门诊就诊量的影响
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作者 程译萱 陈宣好 +2 位作者 宿敏敏 袁敏兰 张建华 《贵州医药》 2026年第2期313-318,共6页
目的 探究贵阳市气温对儿科呼吸系统疾病就诊的影响。方法 收集贵阳市2018—2023年气象、空气污染物及儿科呼吸系统疾病门诊逐日就诊量数据,建立分布滞后非线性模型(DLNM),相对危险度(RR)及95%置信区间(95%CI),评估气温对门诊就诊量的影... 目的 探究贵阳市气温对儿科呼吸系统疾病就诊的影响。方法 收集贵阳市2018—2023年气象、空气污染物及儿科呼吸系统疾病门诊逐日就诊量数据,建立分布滞后非线性模型(DLNM),相对危险度(RR)及95%置信区间(95%CI),评估气温对门诊就诊量的影响,归因人数(ANs)与归因分数(AFs)估计不同气温段对门诊就诊量的风险。结果 适宜儿童的气温为15.6℃,门诊就诊量总体受低温与高温影响。低温相关最高风险温度在滞后第7天(lag7)出现影响,RR(95%CI)为1.014(1.006~1.022);累积滞后当天至第21天(lag0~lag21)风险最高,RR(95%CI)为1.408(1.265~1.567)。高温相关最高风险温度在滞后第1天(lag1)出现影响,RR(95%CI)为1.024(1.009~1.040),滞后当天至第1天(lag0~lag1)显示风险RR(95%CI)为1.054(1.011~1.100)。中等低温与中等高温对儿科呼吸系统疾病门诊就诊量分别为48 314、36 360人次,其对应的AFs分别为8.29%、6.24%。结论 低温对儿科呼吸系统疾病门诊就诊量的影响存在滞后且持续性,高温对其影响情况存在急性且短期性,应重视气温由冷转热或由热转冷的过渡影响。 展开更多
关键词 气温 儿科门诊就诊量 儿科呼吸系统疾病 分布滞后非线性模型
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高成长企业引领我国产业转型升级:动力机制与路径选择
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作者 戴一鑫 李杏 杨兴隆 《南京邮电大学学报(社会科学版)》 2026年第1期11-21,共11页
在全球产业链深度调整与新一轮科技革命交汇的背景下,我国产业发展迈向以颠覆性技术突破、新质要素整合为特征的新质生产力驱动阶段。高成长企业作为新质生产力的微观载体,成为突破低成长企业路径依赖、推动产业跃迁的关键力量。在剖析... 在全球产业链深度调整与新一轮科技革命交汇的背景下,我国产业发展迈向以颠覆性技术突破、新质要素整合为特征的新质生产力驱动阶段。高成长企业作为新质生产力的微观载体,成为突破低成长企业路径依赖、推动产业跃迁的关键力量。在剖析高成长企业所具有的非线性技术创新、新质要素边际报酬递增、强化动态市场竞争等特征的基础上,构建了“技术突破—要素整合—市场重构”的理论分析框架,揭示高成长企业通过产业技术跃迁、打破要素配置均衡、重塑市场结构促进产业转型升级的内在机理,并进一步将大国创新供需支撑优势、完备的中间品体系赋能优势及新型举国体制协调资源能力作为当前产业转型升级的新比较优势来源。针对传统产业政策产能导向突出、产学研协同不足、要素配置路径依赖、产业链“新旧割裂”抑制企业进入等现实问题,有必要从政策功能纠偏、体制机制改革、要素体系升级三个方面入手,为培育高成长企业和推动产业转型升级提供切实可行的路径选择。 展开更多
关键词 高成长企业 非线性创新 产业转型升级 大国创新优势 要素配置
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基于滑模观测器和非线性动态逆技术的舰载机直接升力控制
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作者 甄冲 冯心钰 《北京航空航天大学学报》 北大核心 2026年第2期507-515,共9页
舰载机是航母战斗群的重要组成部分,在实际运用中有众多技术难点,而着舰技术是其中关键难点之一。针对舰载机系统的多变量耦合特点和着舰过程中环境复杂多变等问题,提出一种基于滑模观测器和非线性动态逆技术的舰载机直接升力控制系统... 舰载机是航母战斗群的重要组成部分,在实际运用中有众多技术难点,而着舰技术是其中关键难点之一。针对舰载机系统的多变量耦合特点和着舰过程中环境复杂多变等问题,提出一种基于滑模观测器和非线性动态逆技术的舰载机直接升力控制系统。为补偿舰尾流对控制精度的影响,设计一种自适应滑模观测器,可以有效估计外界干扰对舰载机运动造成的影响。为实现控制输入之间的解耦,利用非线性动态逆控制技术,建立舰载机的直接升力控制系统,并提出自调节鸽群优化(SAPIO)算法用于整定控制系统参数,提升控制精度。仿真对比实验表明:所提舰载机直接升力控制系统相比传统比例-积分-微分控制系统着舰精度更高。 展开更多
关键词 舰载机 直接升力控制 自适应滑模观测器 非线性动态逆 自调节鸽群优化
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Oscillation Criteria of second Order Non-Linear Differential Equations
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作者 Hishyar Kh. Abdullah 《Open Journal of Applied Sciences》 2012年第4期120-122,共3页
In this paper we are concerned with the oscillation criteria of second order non-linear homogeneous differential equation. Example have been given to illustrate the results.
关键词 component OSCILLATORY SECOND order DIFFERENTIAL EQUATIONS non-linear.
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基线Gensini评分对冠状动脉狭窄进展的预测价值研究
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作者 苏坜辰 段蕴真 +2 位作者 杜云飞 蒋铭扬 刘锐锋 《心血管病学进展》 2026年第1期63-69,共7页
目的探讨冠心病(CAD)患者基线Gensini评分与冠状动脉狭窄进展的相关性及其诊断价值。方法本研究为回顾性病例对照研究,纳入并匹配2018年1月—2023年12月在北京友谊医院诊断并住院治疗的333例CAD患者。收集患者基线临床资料和实验室检查... 目的探讨冠心病(CAD)患者基线Gensini评分与冠状动脉狭窄进展的相关性及其诊断价值。方法本研究为回顾性病例对照研究,纳入并匹配2018年1月—2023年12月在北京友谊医院诊断并住院治疗的333例CAD患者。收集患者基线临床资料和实验室检查结果。通过Gensini评分评估冠状动脉狭窄程度,并由专业的心内科医生确认冠状动脉狭窄是否进展(进展组222例,未进展组111例)。根据基线Gensini评分的三分位数值将患者分为3组:第1组(Gensini评分<46.00,n=117)、第2组(46.00≤Gensini评分<64.50,n=107)和第3组(Gensini评分≥64.50,n=109)。采用logistic回归模型分析基线Gensini评分与冠状动脉狭窄进展的关系,并通过限制性立方样条探讨潜在的非线性关系,同时评估基线Gensini评分对冠状动脉狭窄进展的预测性能。结果logistic回归分析显示,基线Gensini评分升高与冠状动脉狭窄进展风险增加呈正相关。在限制性立方样条分析中,基线Gensini评分与冠状动脉狭窄进展风险存在非线性关系(非线性趋势检验P<0.01)。当基线Gensini评分>54.384时,冠状动脉狭窄进展风险随Gensini评分增加先升高后降低,于基线Gensini评分为90.242时达到最大值。基线Gensini评分在54.384时预测冠状动脉狭窄进展的敏感性为86.49%,特异性为68.47%,阳性预测值为57.83%,阴性预测值为91.02%。结论当基线Gensini评分>54.384时,基线Gensini评分升高是冠状动脉狭窄进展的重要危险因素,且评分在54.384~90.242范围内,评分和风险存在正向非线性关系。基线Gensini评分可用于识别冠状动脉狭窄进展的高风险患者,为早期干预提供重要依据。 展开更多
关键词 冠心病 GENSINI评分 冠状动脉狭窄进展 非线性关系 风险预测
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