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基于Bootstrap-GA-ELM算法的清香型白酒发酵过程酒醅淀粉和水分含量区间预测模型
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作者 张贵宇 向星睿 +3 位作者 张磊 王怡博 严俊 张云龙 《现代食品科技》 北大核心 2026年第3期211-222,共12页
针对清香型白酒发酵过程酒醅淀粉和水分含量信息难以获取的困境,且传统点预测模型仅提供单一预测值而难以量化结果的可靠度的问题,提出一种发酵过程酒醅淀粉和水分含量区间预测模型。首先,从黄水理化参数和酒醅温度等易测潜在解释变量中... 针对清香型白酒发酵过程酒醅淀粉和水分含量信息难以获取的困境,且传统点预测模型仅提供单一预测值而难以量化结果的可靠度的问题,提出一种发酵过程酒醅淀粉和水分含量区间预测模型。首先,从黄水理化参数和酒醅温度等易测潜在解释变量中,通过相关系数、最小角回归(LARS)综合分析确定酒醅淀粉和水分预测模型的输入参数。其次,通过遗传算法(GA)优化极限学习机(ELM)的隐层权值和阈值,建立精度较高的酒醅淀粉和水分点预测模型。最后,通过4种不同自助法(Bootstrap)对点预测结果、系统误差以及随机误差进行估计,以此构建不同置信度下的酒醅淀粉和水分含量预测区间。结果表明,在99%置信度下,基于Residual Bootstrap方法建立的区间预测模型效果最好,在酒醅淀粉和水分测试集上,点预测的判定系数(R^(2))和均方根误差(RMSE)分别为0.9989、0.1091,0.9203、0.8021,预测区间的区间覆盖率(PICP)和平均预测区间宽度(MPIW)分别为100%、0.7280%,100%、4.3399%。该研究可对清香型白酒发酵过程酒醅淀粉和水分含量进行可靠预测,为白酒生产指导和发酵过程透明化提供参考。 展开更多
关键词 酒醅 淀粉 水分 黄水 相关性 点预测 区间预测 bootstrap方法
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Physiological and Biochemical Responses and Non-Parametric Transcriptome Analysis for the Curcumin-Induced Improvement of Saline-Alkali Resistance in Akebia trifoliate(Thunb.)Koidz
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作者 Xiaoqin Li Yongfu Zhang +6 位作者 Zhen Ren Jiao Chen Zuqin Qiao Xingmei Tao Xuan Yi Kai Wang Zhao Liu 《Phyton-International Journal of Experimental Botany》 2025年第8期2529-2550,共22页
Soil salinization is a major abiotic stress that hampers plant development and significantly reduces agricultural productivity,posing a serious challenge to global food security.Akebia trifoliata(Thunb.)Koidz,a specie... Soil salinization is a major abiotic stress that hampers plant development and significantly reduces agricultural productivity,posing a serious challenge to global food security.Akebia trifoliata(Thunb.)Koidz,a species within the genus Akebia Decne.,is valued for its use in food,traditionalmedicine,oil production,and as an ornamental plant.Curcumin,widely recognized for its pharmacological properties including anti-cancer,anti-neuroinflammatory,and anti-fibrotic effects,has recently drawn interest for its potential roles in plant stress responses.However,its impact on plant tolerance to saline-alkali stress remains poorly understood.In this study,the effects of curcumin on saline-alkali resistance in A.trifoliata were examined by subjecting plants to a saline-alkali solution containing 150 mmol/L sodium ions(a mixture of Na_(2)SO_(4),Na_(2)CO_(3),and NaHCO_(3)).Curcumin treatment under these stress conditions leads to anatomical improvements in leaf structure.Furthermore,A.trifoliatamaintained a favorable Na^(+)/K^(+)ratio through increased potassium uptake and reduced sodium accumulation.Biochemical analysis revealed elevated levels of proline,soluble sugars,and soluble proteins,along with improved activities of antioxidant enzymes such as superoxide dismutase(SOD),catalase(CAT),and peroxidase(POD).Similarly,the concentrations of hydrogen peroxide(H_(2)O_(2))and malondialdehyde(MDA)were significantly reduced.Transcriptome analysis under saline-alkali stress conditions showed that curcumin influenced seven keymetabolic pathways annotated in the Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes(KEGG)database,with differentially expressed unigenes primarily enriched in transcription factor families such as MYB,AP2/ERF,NAC,bHLH,and C2C2.Moreover,eight differentially expressed genes(DEGs)associated with plant hormone signal transduction were linked to the auxin and brassinosteroid pathways,critical for cell elongation and plant growth.These findings indicate that curcumin increases saline-alkali stress tolerance in A.trifoliata by modulating physiological,biochemical,and transcriptional responses,ultimately supporting improved growth under adverse conditions. 展开更多
关键词 Akebia trifoliate(Thunb.)Koidz anatomic structure CURCUMIN non-parametric transcriptome salinealkali stress
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基于Bootstrap-DEA模型的陕西省三级综合医院技术效率实证研究
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作者 张洁铭 陈鹏岗 《中国卫生信息管理杂志》 2026年第1期168-176,共9页
目的在公立医院高质量发展的政策背景下,探究陕西省三级综合医院技术效率并分析其影响因素,为完善政策和保障医院高质量发展提供决策参考。方法选取陕西省48所综合三级医院作为研究对象,运用Max DEA软件中的Bootstrap模块测算纠偏前后... 目的在公立医院高质量发展的政策背景下,探究陕西省三级综合医院技术效率并分析其影响因素,为完善政策和保障医院高质量发展提供决策参考。方法选取陕西省48所综合三级医院作为研究对象,运用Max DEA软件中的Bootstrap模块测算纠偏前后医院的相对效率值,选取的投入指标包括职工总数和实际开放床位数,产出指标包括年诊疗人次数、年出院人次数和病床使用率。运用Tobit模型分析技术效率的影响因素,选取有关医院高质量发展的医院运行管理指标,包括医院类型、城市类型、资源配置、工作负荷和工作效率,对医院的技术效率影响因素进行回归分析。结果陕西省48所综合三级医院间职工数和床位数差异较大,采用Bootstrap纠偏后,所有三级医院的技术效率得分均降低,纠偏前得分(均值0.767)高于纠偏后得分(均值0.643)。公立医院的纠偏后技术效率得分(均值0.654)高于民营医院的得分(均值0.566),但差异无统计学意义(P=0.327);位于省会城市的医院纠偏后技术效率得分(均值0.615)低于非省会城市的得分(均值0.666),但差异无统计学意义(P=0.180)。Tobit模型分析显示,资源配置维度的在职职工数与医院技术效率得分呈负相关,工作负荷与工作效率维度的总诊疗人次数、病床使用率和医院技术效率得分呈正相关。结论陕西省综合三级医院运行效率尚未达到最优,建议三级医院加强精细化管理,着重提高三级公立医院的总诊疗人次、加强医院床位管理、培育优秀临床人才。 展开更多
关键词 bootstrap-DEA模型 技术效率 陕西省 TOBIT模型 医院管理 医院信息挖掘
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A non-parametric indicator Kriging method for generating coastal sediment type map 被引量:2
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作者 刘付程 彭俊 张存勇 《Marine Science Bulletin》 2012年第1期57-67,共11页
Coastal sediment type map has been widely used in marine economic and engineering activities, but the traditional mapping methods had some limitations due to their intrinsic assumption or subjectivity. In this paper, ... Coastal sediment type map has been widely used in marine economic and engineering activities, but the traditional mapping methods had some limitations due to their intrinsic assumption or subjectivity. In this paper, a non-parametric indicator Kriging method has been proposed for generating coastal sediment map. The method can effectively avoid mapping subjectivity, has no special requirements for the sample data to meet second-order stationary or normal distribution, and can also provide useful information on the quantitative evaluation of mapping uncertainty. The application of the method in the southern sea area of Lianyungang showed that much more convincing mapping results could be obtained compared with the traditional methods such as IDW, Kriging and Voronoi diagram under the same condition, so the proposed method was applicable with great utilization value. 展开更多
关键词 sediment type non-parametric indicator Kriging UNCERTAINTY mapping
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A Short-Term Traffic Flow Forecasting Method Based on a Three-Layer K-Nearest Neighbor Non-Parametric Regression Algorithm 被引量:7
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作者 Xiyu Pang Cheng Wang Guolin Huang 《Journal of Transportation Technologies》 2016年第4期200-206,共7页
Short-term traffic flow is one of the core technologies to realize traffic flow guidance. In this article, in view of the characteristics that the traffic flow changes repeatedly, a short-term traffic flow forecasting... Short-term traffic flow is one of the core technologies to realize traffic flow guidance. In this article, in view of the characteristics that the traffic flow changes repeatedly, a short-term traffic flow forecasting method based on a three-layer K-nearest neighbor non-parametric regression algorithm is proposed. Specifically, two screening layers based on shape similarity were introduced in K-nearest neighbor non-parametric regression method, and the forecasting results were output using the weighted averaging on the reciprocal values of the shape similarity distances and the most-similar-point distance adjustment method. According to the experimental results, the proposed algorithm has improved the predictive ability of the traditional K-nearest neighbor non-parametric regression method, and greatly enhanced the accuracy and real-time performance of short-term traffic flow forecasting. 展开更多
关键词 Three-Layer Traffic Flow Forecasting K-Nearest Neighbor non-parametric Regression
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An Improved Non-Parametric Method for Multiple Moving Objects Detection in the Markov Random Field 被引量:1
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作者 Qin Wan Xiaolin Zhu +3 位作者 Yueping Xiao Jine Yan Guoquan Chen Mingui Sun 《Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences》 SCIE EI 2020年第7期129-149,共21页
Detecting moving objects in the stationary background is an important problem in visual surveillance systems.However,the traditional background subtraction method fails when the background is not completely stationary... Detecting moving objects in the stationary background is an important problem in visual surveillance systems.However,the traditional background subtraction method fails when the background is not completely stationary and involves certain dynamic changes.In this paper,according to the basic steps of the background subtraction method,a novel non-parametric moving object detection method is proposed based on an improved ant colony algorithm by using the Markov random field.Concretely,the contributions are as follows:1)A new nonparametric strategy is utilized to model the background,based on an improved kernel density estimation;this approach uses an adaptive bandwidth,and the fused features combine the colours,gradients and positions.2)A Markov random field method based on this adaptive background model via the constraint of the spatial context is proposed to extract objects.3)The posterior function is maximized efficiently by using an improved ant colony system algorithm.Extensive experiments show that the proposed method demonstrates a better performance than many existing state-of-the-art methods. 展开更多
关键词 Object detection non-parametric method markov random field
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Bootstrap抽样下基于贝叶斯估计的地震人员死亡评估研究
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作者 赵煜 魏毛毛 +2 位作者 孙艳萍 史一彤 陈文凯 《地震研究》 北大核心 2025年第1期132-140,共9页
选取1950-2022年中国内地地区历史震例数据信息,以极震区烈度、发震时间及人口密度为主要影响因素,建立三级场景,运用Bootstrap抽样方法对各场景下的历史震例进行扩充,进而采用贝叶斯估计给出不同场景下地震人员死亡变化分布函数,再根... 选取1950-2022年中国内地地区历史震例数据信息,以极震区烈度、发震时间及人口密度为主要影响因素,建立三级场景,运用Bootstrap抽样方法对各场景下的历史震例进行扩充,进而采用贝叶斯估计给出不同场景下地震人员死亡变化分布函数,再根据实际情况对此分布函数进行截断分析,以明确地震人员死亡的不确定性变化范围及死亡率区间概率值,最后随机选取历史地震灾害事件验证模型精度。结果表明:①各场景的死亡率均值及95%死亡率区间基本符合在极震区烈度相等并且人口密度条件下夜间死亡率大于白天死亡率的规律;②模型估计死亡人数区间能够较好覆盖实际上报的死亡人数。 展开更多
关键词 地震 人员死亡 bootstrap抽样 贝叶斯估计 死亡率
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基于加权bootstrap方法的交通流多变点实证分析
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作者 李扬 吴密霞 《数理统计与管理》 北大核心 2025年第3期427-435,共9页
本文研究了具有多个均值变点的噪声序列的变点估计及序列各点均值的置信区间问题。考虑到动态规划(Dynamic Programming,DP)算法可实现最优样本分割的优点,本文结合加权bootstrap和DP算法,提出了一种新的变点估计方法以及序列中各点均... 本文研究了具有多个均值变点的噪声序列的变点估计及序列各点均值的置信区间问题。考虑到动态规划(Dynamic Programming,DP)算法可实现最优样本分割的优点,本文结合加权bootstrap和DP算法,提出了一种新的变点估计方法以及序列中各点均值的置信区间方法。并将该方法应用于深圳的实际交通流数据,探索工作日和休息日南北不同方向交通流数据的特点。 展开更多
关键词 多均值变点 动态规划算法 bootstrap 置信区间 交通流变点
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Non-parametric camera calibration method using single-axis rotational target
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作者 FU Luhua REN Zeguang +2 位作者 WANG Peng SUN Changku ZHANG Baoshang 《Journal of Measurement Science and Instrumentation》 CAS CSCD 2022年第1期1-11,共11页
The ability to build an imaging process is crucial to vision measurement.The non-parametric imaging model describes an imaging process as a pixel cluster,in which each pixel is related to a spatial ray originated from... The ability to build an imaging process is crucial to vision measurement.The non-parametric imaging model describes an imaging process as a pixel cluster,in which each pixel is related to a spatial ray originated from an object point.However,a non-parametric model requires a sophisticated calculation process or high-cost devices to obtain a massive quantity of parameters.These disadvantages limit the application of camera models.Therefore,we propose a novel camera model calibration method based on a single-axis rotational target.The rotational vision target offers 3D control points with no need for detailed information of poses of the rotational target.Radial basis function(RBF)network is introduced to map 3D coordinates to 2D image coordinates.We subsequently derive the optimization formulization of imaging model parameters and compute the parameter from the given control points.The model is extended to adapt the stereo camera that is widely used in vision measurement.Experiments have been done to evaluate the performance of the proposed camera calibration method.The results show that the proposed method has superiority in accuracy and effectiveness in comparison with the traditional methods. 展开更多
关键词 camera calibration rotational target non-parametric model
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基于Bootstrap改进的机床主轴可靠性建模
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作者 张孟 李传军 +3 位作者 苗百然 董颖怀 杨保鹏 李演刚 《计算机集成制造系统》 北大核心 2025年第9期3401-3410,共10页
随着数控机床主轴故障率的下降,针对正常工况的机床来说,想要获得大量的样本故障数据愈加困难,因此针对小样本数据的主轴平均故障间隔时间(MTBF)估计尤为关键。目前已有很多Bootstrap(自助法)的改进方法研究,但是多数抽样方式集中于数... 随着数控机床主轴故障率的下降,针对正常工况的机床来说,想要获得大量的样本故障数据愈加困难,因此针对小样本数据的主轴平均故障间隔时间(MTBF)估计尤为关键。目前已有很多Bootstrap(自助法)的改进方法研究,但是多数抽样方式集中于数据区间内,没有考虑向分组区间外扩充。文中采用改进Bootstrap法在三个方向上扩充原始样本,利用扩充后的样本来估计威布尔分布的尺度参数和形状参数,进而计算机床主轴的MTBF,将其值与改进前的自助法进行比较,改进后的方法既能提升数据扩容效率,又能提高MTBF估计精度,结合相关系数法不仅拓展了初值范围,而且简化了位移参数估计过程,因此建立三参数威布尔分布模型,得到更加精确的数控机床主轴可靠性参考指标,对工程实践有较高的参考价值。 展开更多
关键词 平均故障间隔时间 数控机床主轴 小样本 bootstrap 三参数威布尔
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Exponential Continuous Non-Parametric Neural Identifier With Predefined Convergence Velocity
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作者 Mariana Ballesteros Rita Q.Fuentes-Aguilar Isaac Chairez 《IEEE/CAA Journal of Automatica Sinica》 SCIE EI CSCD 2022年第6期1049-1060,共12页
This paper addresses the design of an exponential function-based learning law for artificial neural networks(ANNs)with continuous dynamics.The ANN structure is used to obtain a non-parametric model of systems with unc... This paper addresses the design of an exponential function-based learning law for artificial neural networks(ANNs)with continuous dynamics.The ANN structure is used to obtain a non-parametric model of systems with uncertainties,which are described by a set of nonlinear ordinary differential equations.Two novel adaptive algorithms with predefined exponential convergence rate adjust the weights of the ANN.The first algorithm includes an adaptive gain depending on the identification error which accelerated the convergence of the weights and promotes a faster convergence between the states of the uncertain system and the trajectories of the neural identifier.The second approach uses a time-dependent sigmoidal gain that forces the convergence of the identification error to an invariant set characterized by an ellipsoid.The generalized volume of this ellipsoid depends on the upper bounds of uncertainties,perturbations and modeling errors.The application of the invariant ellipsoid method yields to obtain an algorithm to reduce the volume of the convergence region for the identification error.Both adaptive algorithms are derived from the application of a non-standard exponential dependent function and an associated controlled Lyapunov function.Numerical examples demonstrate the improvements enforced by the algorithms introduced in this study by comparing the convergence settings concerning classical schemes with non-exponential continuous learning methods.The proposed identifiers overcome the results of the classical identifier achieving a faster convergence to an invariant set of smaller dimensions. 展开更多
关键词 Exponential Lyapunov functions learning laws non-parametric identifier predefined convergence rate
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A Non-Parametric Scheme for Identifying Data Characteristic Based on Curve Similarity Matching
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作者 Quanbo Ge Yang Cheng +3 位作者 Hong Li Ziyi Ye Yi Zhu Gang Yao 《IEEE/CAA Journal of Automatica Sinica》 SCIE EI CSCD 2024年第6期1424-1437,共14页
For accurately identifying the distribution charac-teristic of Gaussian-like noises in unmanned aerial vehicle(UAV)state estimation,this paper proposes a non-parametric scheme based on curve similarity matching.In the... For accurately identifying the distribution charac-teristic of Gaussian-like noises in unmanned aerial vehicle(UAV)state estimation,this paper proposes a non-parametric scheme based on curve similarity matching.In the framework of the pro-posed scheme,a Parzen window(kernel density estimation,KDE)method on sliding window technology is applied for roughly esti-mating the sample probability density,a precise data probability density function(PDF)model is constructed with the least square method on K-fold cross validation,and the testing result based on evaluation method is obtained based on some data characteristic analyses of curve shape,abruptness and symmetry.Some com-parison simulations with classical methods and UAV flight exper-iment shows that the proposed scheme has higher recognition accuracy than classical methods for some kinds of Gaussian-like data,which provides better reference for the design of Kalman filter(KF)in complex water environment. 展开更多
关键词 Curve similarity matching Gaussian-like noise non-parametric scheme parzen window.
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Variable selection in identification of a high dimensional nonlinear non-parametric system
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作者 Er-Wei BAI Wenxiao ZHAO Weixing ZHENG 《Control Theory and Technology》 EI CSCD 2015年第1期1-16,共16页
The problem of variable selection in system identification of a high dimensional nonlinear non-parametric system is described. The inherent difficulty, the curse of dimensionality, is introduced. Then its connections ... The problem of variable selection in system identification of a high dimensional nonlinear non-parametric system is described. The inherent difficulty, the curse of dimensionality, is introduced. Then its connections to various topics and research areas are briefly discussed, including order determination, pattern recognition, data mining, machine learning, statistical regression and manifold embedding. Finally, some results of variable selection in system identification in the recent literature are presented. 展开更多
关键词 System identification variable selection nonlinear non-parametric system curse of dimensionality
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Oxygen uptake response to switching stairs exercise by non-parametric modeling
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作者 Hairong Yu Chenyu Zhang +2 位作者 Kai Cao Hamzah M.Alqudah Steven Weidong Su 《Control Theory and Technology》 EI CSCD 2024年第2期315-325,共11页
Oxygen uptake plays a crucial role in the evaluation of endurance performance during exercise and is extensively utilized for metabolic assessment. This study records the oxygen uptake during the exercise phase (i.e.,... Oxygen uptake plays a crucial role in the evaluation of endurance performance during exercise and is extensively utilized for metabolic assessment. This study records the oxygen uptake during the exercise phase (i.e., ascending or descending) of the stair exercise, utilizing an experimental dataset that includes ten participants and covers various exercise periods. Based on the designed experiment protocol, a non-parametric modeling method with kernel-based regularization is generally applied to estimate the oxygen uptake changes during the switching stairs exercise, which closely resembles daily life activities. The modeling results indicate the effectiveness of the non-parametric modeling approach when compared to fixed-order models in terms of accuracy, stability, and compatibility. The influence of exercise duration on estimated fitness reveals that the model of the phase-oxygen uptake system is not time-invariant related to respiratory metabolism regulation and muscle fatigue. Consequently, it allows us to study the humans’ conversion mechanism at different metabolic rates and facilitates the standardization and development of exercise prescriptions. 展开更多
关键词 non-parametric modeling Interval stair training exercise Kernel method.Cardiorespiratory response Oxygen uptake
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带趋势项序列的持久性变点的Sieve Bootstrap检验
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作者 樊璐 赵文芝 王慧敏 《高师理科学刊》 2025年第3期18-23,共6页
用Sieve Bootstrap方法检验带趋势项序列的持久性变点从短记忆到长记忆的持久性变化.对序列进行去趋势变换,基于去趋势后的序列构造Ratio型检验统计量,通过重新采样残差构建SieveBootstrap统计量,证明Mallow测度下的一致性.通过模拟研... 用Sieve Bootstrap方法检验带趋势项序列的持久性变点从短记忆到长记忆的持久性变化.对序列进行去趋势变换,基于去趋势后的序列构造Ratio型检验统计量,通过重新采样残差构建SieveBootstrap统计量,证明Mallow测度下的一致性.通过模拟研究和实例分析验证了方法的有效性. 展开更多
关键词 序列 短记忆 长记忆 持久性变点 比率 Sieve bootstrap检验
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Analysis of Trends in Drought with the Non-Parametric Approach in Vietnam: A Case Study in Ninh Thuan Province
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作者 Nguyen Hoang Tuan Truong Thanh Canh 《American Journal of Climate Change》 2021年第1期51-84,共34页
A quantitative study was used in the study of the tendency to change drought indicators in Vietnam through the Ninh Thuan province case study. The research data are temperature and precipitation data of 11 stations fr... A quantitative study was used in the study of the tendency to change drought indicators in Vietnam through the Ninh Thuan province case study. The research data are temperature and precipitation data of 11 stations from 1986 to 2016 inside and outside Ninh Thuan province. To do the research, the author uses a non-parametric analysis method and the drought index calculation method. Specifically, with the non-parametric method, the author uses the analysis, Mann-Kendall (MK) and Theil-Sen (Sen’s slope), and to analyze drought, the author uses the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) and the Moisture Index (MI). Two Softwares calculated in this study are ProUCL 5.1 and MAKENSEN 1.0 by the US Environmental Protection Agency and Finnish Meteorological Institute. The calculation results show that meteorological drought will decrease in the future with areas such as Phan Rang, Song Pha, Quan The, Ba Thap tend to increase very clearly, while Tam My and Nhi Ha tend to increase very clearly short. With the agricultural drought, the average MI results increased 0.013 per year, of which Song Pha station tended to increase the highest with 0.03 per year and lower with Nhi Ha with 0.001 per year. The forecast results also show that by the end of the 21st century, the SPI tends to decrease with SPI 1 being <span style="white-space:nowrap;">&#8722;</span>0.68, SPI 3 being <span style="white-space:nowrap;">&#8722;</span>0.40, SPI 6 being <span style="white-space:nowrap;">&#8722;</span>0.25, SPI 12 is 0.42. Along with that is the forecast that the MI index will increase 0.013 per year to 2035, the MI index is 0.93, in 2050 it is 1.13, in 2075 it will be 1.46, and by 2100 it is 1.79. Research results will be used in policymaking, environmental resources management agencies, and researchers to develop and study solutions to adapt and mitigate drought in the context of variable climate change. 展开更多
关键词 DROUGHT MANN-KENDALL Sen’s Slope non-parametric
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Bayesian Non-Parametric Mixture Model with Application to Modeling Biological Markers
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作者 Mercy K. Peter Levi Mbugua Anthony Wanjoya 《Journal of Data Analysis and Information Processing》 2019年第4期141-152,共12页
The effect of treatment on patient’s outcome can easily be determined through the impact of the treatment on biological events. Observing the treatment for patients for a certain period of time can help in determinin... The effect of treatment on patient’s outcome can easily be determined through the impact of the treatment on biological events. Observing the treatment for patients for a certain period of time can help in determining whether there is any change in the biomarker of the patient. It is important to study how the biomarker changes due to treatment and whether for different individuals located in separate centers can be clustered together since they might have different distributions. The study is motivated by a Bayesian non-parametric mixture model, which is more flexible when compared to the Bayesian Parametric models and is capable of borrowing information across different centers allowing them to be grouped together. To this end, this research modeled Biological markers taking into consideration the Surrogate markers. The study employed the nested Dirichlet process prior, which is easily peaceable on different distributions for several centers, with centers from the same Dirichlet process component clustered automatically together. The study sampled from the posterior by use of Markov chain Monte carol algorithm. The model is illustrated using a simulation study to see how it performs on simulated data. Clearly, from the simulation study it was clear that, the model was capable of clustering data into different clusters. 展开更多
关键词 BAYESIAN non-parametric Nested DIRICHLET PROCESS Biomarker Clustering Surrogate MARKERS DIRICHLET PROCESS Markov Chain MONTE Carlo
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基于Bootstrap方法对测风数据插补不确定性的分析研究 被引量:1
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作者 刘松 李伟岩 《太阳能》 2025年第7期62-70,共9页
为了准确评估风电场场区的风能资源,必须对测风塔的测风数据进行缺测与不合理数据的插补延长。测量-关联-预测(MCP)插补方法是利用测风塔短期测风数据和长期参证数据对测风塔缺测与不合理数据进行插补延长,但由此会产生数据处理不确定性... 为了准确评估风电场场区的风能资源,必须对测风塔的测风数据进行缺测与不合理数据的插补延长。测量-关联-预测(MCP)插补方法是利用测风塔短期测风数据和长期参证数据对测风塔缺测与不合理数据进行插补延长,但由此会产生数据处理不确定性,会对后续风电场发电量计算的准确性产生影响,因此需对插补不确定性进行分析。收集了位于中国不同地区、不同地形的2座测风塔的原始测风数据,采用MCP插补方法中常用的线性最小二乘(LLS)法对测风数据进行了插补,基于Bootstrap方法对LLS法带来的测风数据插补不确定性进行了定量分析,并对不同测风时长给测风数据插补不确定性带来的影响进行了分析。研究结果表明:1)残差自助法可以有效估计LLS法插补参数的不确定性,且插补参数的不确定性随着测风时长的增加而不断降低。2)LLS法插补结果受测风时长的影响较大。随着测风时长增加,LLS法带来的测风数据插补不确定性逐渐降低。测风塔测风数据与参考数据之间的相关系数越高,LLS法带来的测风数据插补不确定性越低。3)LLS法插补参数的不确定性对总预测不确定性的贡献较小,导致大量风速实测值基本落在95%置信区间之外。因此,后续需要进一步分析风速测量不确定性及不同MCP插补方法对测风数据插补不确定性的影响。 展开更多
关键词 测风数据 风电场 测量-关联-预测插补方法 bootstrap方法 线性最小二乘法 不确定性
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基于bootstrap方法的实验误差分析 被引量:2
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作者 张潮 张雁华 《质量与认证》 2025年第2期110-112,共3页
在实验测量中,通过统计学bootstrap方法对直接观察量样本重复抽样,可估计间接观察量分布并计算其误差。随着样本数量的增加,bootstrap方法和误差传递理论分析结果均会出现随机误差显著减小的特征,当样本数量固定时,改变bootstrap重复抽... 在实验测量中,通过统计学bootstrap方法对直接观察量样本重复抽样,可估计间接观察量分布并计算其误差。随着样本数量的增加,bootstrap方法和误差传递理论分析结果均会出现随机误差显著减小的特征,当样本数量固定时,改变bootstrap重复抽样次数,间接观察量误差变化并不明显,即抽样次数存在饱和值。因此,适当选取样本数量和重复抽样次数,通过bootstrap方法可有效减小实验测量次数,达到节省实验时间、空间以及计算资源等目的。 展开更多
关键词 bootstrap方法 误差传递公式 随机误差
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Comparison of Type I Error Rates of Siegel-Tukey and Savage Tests among Non-Parametric Tests
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作者 Sahib Ramazanov Hakan Çora 《Open Journal of Applied Sciences》 2024年第9期2393-2410,共18页
This study aimed to examine the performance of the Siegel-Tukey and Savage tests on data sets with heterogeneous variances. The analysis, considering Normal, Platykurtic, and Skewed distributions and a standard deviat... This study aimed to examine the performance of the Siegel-Tukey and Savage tests on data sets with heterogeneous variances. The analysis, considering Normal, Platykurtic, and Skewed distributions and a standard deviation ratio of 1, was conducted for both small and large sample sizes. For small sample sizes, two main categories were established: equal and different sample sizes. Analyses were performed using Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 repetitions for each scenario, and the simulations were evaluated using SAS software. For small sample sizes, the I. type error rate of the Siegel-Tukey test generally ranged from 0.045 to 0.055, while the I. type error rate of the Savage test was observed to range from 0.016 to 0.041. Similar trends were observed for Platykurtic and Skewed distributions. In scenarios with different sample sizes, the Savage test generally exhibited lower I. type error rates. For large sample sizes, two main categories were established: equal and different sample sizes. For large sample sizes, the I. type error rate of the Siegel-Tukey test ranged from 0.047 to 0.052, while the I. type error rate of the Savage test ranged from 0.043 to 0.051. In cases of equal sample sizes, both tests generally had lower error rates, with the Savage test providing more consistent results for large sample sizes. In conclusion, it was determined that the Savage test provides lower I. type error rates for small sample sizes and that both tests have similar error rates for large sample sizes. These findings suggest that the Savage test could be a more reliable option when analyzing variance differences. 展开更多
关键词 non-parametric Test Siegel-Tukey Test Savage Test Monte Carlo Simulation Type I Error
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