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On-line Modeling of Non-stationary Network Traffic with Schwarz Information Criterion
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作者 夏正敏 陆松年 +1 位作者 李建华 铁玲 《Journal of Shanghai Jiaotong university(Science)》 EI 2010年第2期213-217,共5页
Modeling of network traffic is a fundamental building block of computer science. Measurements of network traffic demonstrate that self-similarity is one of the basic properties of the network traffic possess at large ... Modeling of network traffic is a fundamental building block of computer science. Measurements of network traffic demonstrate that self-similarity is one of the basic properties of the network traffic possess at large time-scale. This paper investigates the change of non-stationary self-similarity of network traffic over time,and proposes a method of combining the discrete wavelet transform (DWT) and Schwarz information criterion (SIC) to detect change points of self-similarity in network traffic. The traffic is segmented into pieces around changing points with homogenous characteristics for the Hurst parameter,named local Hurst parameter,and then each piece of network traffic is modeled using fractional Gaussian noise (FGN) model with the local Hurst parameter. The presented experimental performance on data set from the Internet Traffic Archive (ITA) demonstrates that the method is more accurate in describing the non-stationary self-similarity of network traffic. 展开更多
关键词 network traffic model SELF-SIMILARITY Schwarz information criterion (SIC) discrete wavelet transform (DWT) fractional Gaussian noise (FGN)
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Network traffic prediction by a wavelet-based combined model 被引量:1
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作者 孙韩林 金跃辉 +1 位作者 崔毅东 程时端 《Chinese Physics B》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2009年第11期4760-4768,共9页
Network traffic prediction models can be grouped into two types, single models and combined ones. Combined models integrate several single models and thus can improve prediction accuracy. Based on wavelet transform, g... Network traffic prediction models can be grouped into two types, single models and combined ones. Combined models integrate several single models and thus can improve prediction accuracy. Based on wavelet transform, grey theory, and chaos theory, this paper proposes a novel combined model, wavelet-grey-chaos (WGC), for network traffic prediction. In the WGC model, we develop a time series decomposition method without the boundary problem by modifying the standard à trous algorithm, decompose the network traffic into two parts, the residual part and the burst part to alleviate the accumulated error problem, and employ the grey model GM(1,1) and chaos model to predict the residual part and the burst part respectively. Simulation results on real network traffic show that the WGC model does improve prediction accuracy. 展开更多
关键词 network traffic prediction wavelet transform grey model chaos model
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Simulating Network Traffic with a DWT-based Model
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作者 Jing'an Ren Jianping Li 《通讯和计算机(中英文版)》 2005年第11期34-37,共4页
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An Intrusion Alarming System Based on Self-Similarity of Network Traffic 被引量:4
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作者 YUFei ZHUMiao-liang +2 位作者 CHENYu-feng LIRen-fa XUCheng 《Wuhan University Journal of Natural Sciences》 CAS 2005年第1期169-173,共5页
Intrusion detection system ean make effective alarm for illegality of networkusers, which is absolutely necessarily and important to build security environment of communicationbase service According to the principle t... Intrusion detection system ean make effective alarm for illegality of networkusers, which is absolutely necessarily and important to build security environment of communicationbase service According to the principle that the number of network traffic can affect the degree ofself-similar traffic, the paper investigates the variety of self-similarity resulted fromunconventional network traffic. A network traffic model based on normal behaviors of user isproposed and the Hursl parameter of this model can be calculated. By comparing the Hurst parameterof normal traffic and the self-similar parameter, we ean judge whether the network is normal or notand alarm in time. 展开更多
关键词 intrusion detection SELF-SIMILARITY network traffic model: networkprocessor
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Variable bit rate video traffic modeling by multiplicative multifractal model 被引量:1
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作者 Huang Xiaodong Zhou Yuanhua Zhang Rongfu 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 2006年第1期75-79,共5页
Multiplicative multifractal process could well modal video traffic. The multiplier distributions in the multiplicatire multifractal model for video traffic are investigated and it is found that Gaussian is not suitabl... Multiplicative multifractal process could well modal video traffic. The multiplier distributions in the multiplicatire multifractal model for video traffic are investigated and it is found that Gaussian is not suitable for describing the multipliers on the small time scales. A new statistical distribution-symmetric Pareto distribution is introduced. It is applied instead of Gaussian for the multipliers on those scales. Based on that, the algorithm is updated so that symmetric pareto distribution and Gaussian distribution are used to model video traffic but on different time scales. The simulation results demonstrate that the algorithm could model video traffic more accurately. 展开更多
关键词 multiplicative multifractal model video traffic network traffic model symmetric pareto distribution
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Modeling and Generating Realistic Background Traffic by Hybrid Approach 被引量:2
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作者 QIAN Yaguan GUAN Xiaohui +1 位作者 JIANG Ming CEN Gang 《China Communications》 SCIE CSCD 2015年第10期147-157,共11页
One of the key challenges in largescale network simulation is the huge computation demand in fine-grained traffic simulation.Apart from using high-performance computing facilities and parallelism techniques,an alterna... One of the key challenges in largescale network simulation is the huge computation demand in fine-grained traffic simulation.Apart from using high-performance computing facilities and parallelism techniques,an alternative is to replace the background traffic by simplified abstract models such as fluid flows.This paper suggests a hybrid modeling approach for background traffic,which combines ON/OFF model with TCP activities.The ON/OFF model is to characterize the application activities,and the ordinary differential equations(ODEs) based on fluid flows is to describe the TCP congestion avoidance functionality.The apparent merits of this approach are(1) to accurately capture the traffic self-similarity at source level,(2) properly reflect the network dynamics,and(3) efficiently decrease the computational complexity.The experimental results show that the approach perfectly makes a proper trade-off between accuracy and complexity in background traffic simulation. 展开更多
关键词 network simulation background traffic ON/OFF models fluid flows self-similarity
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A Chain Routing Algorithm Based on Traffic Prediction in Wireless Sensor Networks 被引量:1
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作者 Yi Sun Lei Xu +1 位作者 Xin Wu Minxuan Shen 《Communications and Network》 2013年第3期504-507,共4页
As a representative of chain-based protocol in Wireless Sensor Networks (WSNs), EEPB is an elegant solution on energy efficiency. However, in the latter part of the operation of the network, there is still a big probl... As a representative of chain-based protocol in Wireless Sensor Networks (WSNs), EEPB is an elegant solution on energy efficiency. However, in the latter part of the operation of the network, there is still a big problem: reserving energy of the node frequently presents the incapacity of directly communicating with the base station, at the same time capacity of data acquisition and transmission as normal nodes. If these nodes were selected as LEADER nodes, that will accelerate the death process and unevenness of energy consumption distribution among nodes.This paper proposed a chain routing algorithm based ontraffic prediction model (CRTP).The novel algorithmdesigns a threshold judgment method through introducing the traffic prediction model in the process of election of LEADER node. The process can be dynamically adjusted according to the flow forecasting. Therefore, this algorithm lets the energy consumption tend-ing to keep at same level. Simulation results show that CRTP has superior performance over EEPB in terms of balanced network energy consumption and the prolonged network life. 展开更多
关键词 Wireless Sensor networks A CHAIN ROUTING Algorithm LEADER NODE traffic Prediction model
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A Multipath Routing Algorithm Based on Traffic Prediction in Wireless Mesh Networks
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作者 Zhiyuan LI Ruchuan WANG 《Communications and Network》 2009年第2期82-90,共9页
The technology of QoS routing has become a great challenge in Wireless Mesh Networks (WMNs). There exist a lot of literatures on QoS routing in WMNs, but the current algorithms have some deficiencies, such as high com... The technology of QoS routing has become a great challenge in Wireless Mesh Networks (WMNs). There exist a lot of literatures on QoS routing in WMNs, but the current algorithms have some deficiencies, such as high complexity, poor scalability and flexibility. To solve the problems above, a multipath routing algorithm based on traffic prediction (MRATP) is proposed in WMNs. MRATP consists of three modules including an algo-rithm on multipath routing built, a congestion discovery mechanism based on wavelet-neural network and a load balancing algorithm via multipath. Simulation results show that MRATP has some characteristics, such as better scalability, flexibility and robustness. Compared with the current algorithms, MRATP has higher success ratio, lower end to end delay and overhead. So MRATP can guarantee the end to end QoS of WMNs. 展开更多
关键词 Wireless MESH networks NON-LINEAR traffic Prediction model MULTIPATH ROUTING QoS
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Traffic chaos and its prediction based on a nonlinear car-following model 被引量:2
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作者 Hui FU Jianmin XU Lunhui XU 《控制理论与应用(英文版)》 EI 2005年第3期302-307,共6页
This paper discusses the dynamic behavior and its predictions for a simulated traffic flow based on the nonlinear response of a vehicle to the leading car's movement in a single lane. Traffic chaos is a promising fie... This paper discusses the dynamic behavior and its predictions for a simulated traffic flow based on the nonlinear response of a vehicle to the leading car's movement in a single lane. Traffic chaos is a promising field, and chaos theory has been applied to identify and predict its chaotic movement. A simulated traffic flow is generated using a car-following model( GM model), and the distance between two cars is investigated for its dynamic properties. A positive Lyapunov exponent confirms the existence of chaotic behavior in the GM model. A new algorithm using a RBF NN (radial basis function neural network) is proposed to predict this traffic chaos. The experiment shows that the chaotic degree and predictable degree are determined by the first Lyapunov exponent. The algorithm proposed in this paper can be generalized to recognize and predict the chaos of short-time traffic flow series 展开更多
关键词 Car-following model CHAOS traffic prediction Radial basis function neural network (RBF NN)
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STRUCTURAL MODELING OF WAN TRAFFIC
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作者 施建俊 诸鸿文 《Journal of Shanghai Jiaotong university(Science)》 EI 1999年第2期41-47,56,共8页
High resolution traffic measurements from modern communications networks provide unique opportunities for developing and validating mathematical models for aggregate traffic, or WAN (wide area network) traffic. To exp... High resolution traffic measurements from modern communications networks provide unique opportunities for developing and validating mathematical models for aggregate traffic, or WAN (wide area network) traffic. To exploit these opportunities, this paper emphasized the need for structural model that takes into account specific physical feature of the underlying communication network structure. This approach is in sharp contrast to the traditional black box modeling methodology from this time series analysis that ignores, in general, specific physical structure. The paper demonstrated, in particular, how the proposed structural modeling approach provides a direct link between the observed self similarity characteristic of measured aggregate network traffic and the strong empirical evidence in favor of heavy tailed, infinite variance phenomena at the level of individual network connections. 展开更多
关键词 STRUCTURAL model wide area network (WAN) network traffic HEAVY TAILED self similarity
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End-to-End Performance Evaluation of TCP Traffic under Multi-Queuing Networks 被引量:1
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作者 Jean Marie Garcia Mohamed El Hedi Boussada 《International Journal of Communications, Network and System Sciences》 2016年第6期219-233,共15页
While Internet traffic is currently dominated by elastic data transfers, it is anticipated that streaming applications will rapidly develop and contribute a significant amount of traffic in the near future. Therefore,... While Internet traffic is currently dominated by elastic data transfers, it is anticipated that streaming applications will rapidly develop and contribute a significant amount of traffic in the near future. Therefore, it is essential to understand and capture the relation between streaming and elastic traffic behavior. In this paper, we focus on developing simple yet effective approximations to capture this relationship. We study, then, an analytical model to evaluate the end-to-end performance of elastic traffic under multi-queuing system. This model is based on the fluid flow approximation. We assume that network architecture gives the head of priority to real time traffic and shares the remaining capacity between the elastic ongoing flows according to a specific weight. 展开更多
关键词 Flow-Level modelling Multi-Queuing network Quality of Service Streaming traffic Elastic traffic
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On use of the alpha stable self-similar stochastic process to model aggregated VBR video traffic
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作者 Huang Tianyun 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 2006年第3期677-684,共8页
The alpha stable self-similar stochastic process has been proved an effective model for high variable data traffic. A deep insight into some special issues and considerations on use of the process to model aggregated ... The alpha stable self-similar stochastic process has been proved an effective model for high variable data traffic. A deep insight into some special issues and considerations on use of the process to model aggregated VBR video traffic is made. Different methods to estimate stability parameter a and self-similar parameter H are compared. Processes to generate the linear fractional stable noise (LFSN) and the alpha stable random variables are provided. Model construction and the quantitative comparisons with fractional Brown motion (FBM) and real traffic are also examined. Open problems and future directions are also given with thoughtful discussions. 展开更多
关键词 network modeling alpha stable self-similar process aggregated VBR video traffic long range dependence VARIABILITY linear regression.
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时变路网下多车型电动物流车配送路径优化研究
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作者 赵志学 蔡晨光 《价值工程》 2026年第7期66-70,共5页
面临环境保护和城市物流配送的需求,电动车已成为替代传统燃油车的交通工具,路径规划是电动车配送问题的关键技术之一。在传统车辆路径问题基础上,考虑城市路网交通的时变性、在途充电排队、充电决策、多车型等影响因素,以配送总成本最... 面临环境保护和城市物流配送的需求,电动车已成为替代传统燃油车的交通工具,路径规划是电动车配送问题的关键技术之一。在传统车辆路径问题基础上,考虑城市路网交通的时变性、在途充电排队、充电决策、多车型等影响因素,以配送总成本最小为目标,建立了时变路网下的多车型电动车车辆路径优化模型,并设计了一种改进遗传算法。仿真结果表明,本文方法可以让电动车在配送过程中有效规避交通拥堵,合理调度车辆,降低总配送成本。 展开更多
关键词 时变路网 多车型 改进遗传算法
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基于图计算的网络流量分析的概念、应用与挑战
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作者 王军国 邱波 《无线互联科技》 2026年第2期93-97,共5页
随着网络攻击手段的日益复杂化与隐蔽化,传统基于统计特征和深度学习的流量分析方法已难以应对高级持续性威胁。图计算作为一种以关系为中心的分析范式,通过将网络实体及其交互建模为图结构,为网络空间安全提供了全新的视角。文章系统... 随着网络攻击手段的日益复杂化与隐蔽化,传统基于统计特征和深度学习的流量分析方法已难以应对高级持续性威胁。图计算作为一种以关系为中心的分析范式,通过将网络实体及其交互建模为图结构,为网络空间安全提供了全新的视角。文章系统阐述了网络流量数据的图建模方法、数据来源与表示形式,介绍了在网络安全领域不同场景中的应用方式,同时辩证分析了当前图计算在该领域面临的挑战和未来研究方向,为构建从被动防御向主动感知的智能安全体系提供理论支撑与技术路径。 展开更多
关键词 图计算 网络建模 流量分析
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基于大语言模型的网络攻击检测技术研究进展
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作者 陈世武 晋钢 +1 位作者 王炜 杨渝 《信息安全研究》 北大核心 2026年第1期16-23,共8页
大语言模型凭借其强大的特征学习能力、对复杂模式的识别能力以及泛化能力等优势,为网络攻击检测开辟了新的有效途径.首先阐述大语言模型在网络攻击检测中的技术优势,并提出相应的技术框架.然后结合现有文献,从原始安全数据处理、威胁... 大语言模型凭借其强大的特征学习能力、对复杂模式的识别能力以及泛化能力等优势,为网络攻击检测开辟了新的有效途径.首先阐述大语言模型在网络攻击检测中的技术优势,并提出相应的技术框架.然后结合现有文献,从原始安全数据处理、威胁特征提取、关联分析及目标环境威胁识别3个维度介绍了大语言模型在网络攻击检测中的应用现状,并剖析了基于大语言模型进行网络威胁检测时存在的问题与挑战.最后分析了基于大语言模型的网络攻击检测技术的未来研究方向.旨在为网络安全领域进一步发展基于大语言模型的网络攻击检测技术提供参考. 展开更多
关键词 大语言模型 网络流量分析 威胁特征提取 网络攻击检测 关联分析
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基于多维特征融合与残差增强的交通流量预测
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作者 张振琳 郭慧洁 +4 位作者 窦天凤 亓开元 吴栋 曲志坚 任崇广 《计算机应用研究》 北大核心 2026年第1期161-169,共9页
交通流量预测在智能交通系统中占据核心地位。针对当前交通流量预测方法在特征利用和时空依赖建模方面的不足,提出了一种新的基于多维特征融合与残差增强的交通流量预测模型MFRGCRN(multi-dimensional feature fusion and residual-enha... 交通流量预测在智能交通系统中占据核心地位。针对当前交通流量预测方法在特征利用和时空依赖建模方面的不足,提出了一种新的基于多维特征融合与残差增强的交通流量预测模型MFRGCRN(multi-dimensional feature fusion and residual-enhanced graph convolutional recurrent network)。该模型通过结合自编码器、深度可分离卷积及时间卷积全方位挖掘时空相关性,使用门控循环单元与多尺度卷积注意力结合学习数据的关联关系,同时利用多尺度残差增强机制实现对复杂模式的逐步建模。在四个真实数据集上的实验结果表明,所提出的模型在预测性能上优于对比的基线模型,尤其在PEMS08数据集的12步预测任务中,MAE、RMSE和MAPE分别降低约7.7%、2.9%和4.5%,展现出优异的长期预测能力。模型在准确性、稳定性和鲁棒性方面均表现出较强优势,为智能交通系统中的复杂交通流建模提供了有效解决方案。 展开更多
关键词 交通流量预测 动态图卷积网络 特征融合 残差建模 注意力机制
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一种基于图同构时空网络的交通流预测模型
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作者 张伟阳 陈宏敏 林兵 《福建师范大学学报(自然科学版)》 北大核心 2026年第1期1-9,共9页
准确的交通流预测对于智能交通系统的有效运作至关重要,为此提出了图同构时空网络(graph isomorphism spatio-temporal network,GISTN)模型,旨在提高交通流预测的准确性。GISTN将图同构网络应用于交通流预测任务,并创新性地与双尺度时... 准确的交通流预测对于智能交通系统的有效运作至关重要,为此提出了图同构时空网络(graph isomorphism spatio-temporal network,GISTN)模型,旨在提高交通流预测的准确性。GISTN将图同构网络应用于交通流预测任务,并创新性地与双尺度时间卷积网络和门控循环单元相结合,有效捕捉了交通数据中的复杂非线性空间依赖关系和不同尺度时间特征。基于3个公开数据集上的实验结果表明,GISTN在不同预测时间尺度下的性能均优于经典基线模型。GISTN为交通流预测提供了一个新颖且高效的解决方案,对于提高智能交通系统的性能和效率具有重要意义。 展开更多
关键词 交通流预测 图神经网络 图同构网络 时空建模 智能交通系统
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基于物理信息神经网络的高速公路动态限速控制
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作者 张军 代忠 +4 位作者 陈凌飞 包卓 郭慧慧 宋树坚 于泉 《公路交通科技》 北大核心 2026年第2期30-39,共10页
【目标】针对传统数据驱动模型存在物理一致性不足的缺陷,难以适配复杂交通场景,提出基于物理信息神经网络的动态限速控制方法,实现数据拟合与物理规律的协同优化,为智能交通管控提供可靠支撑。【方法】通过将Lighthill-Whitham-Richard... 【目标】针对传统数据驱动模型存在物理一致性不足的缺陷,难以适配复杂交通场景,提出基于物理信息神经网络的动态限速控制方法,实现数据拟合与物理规律的协同优化,为智能交通管控提供可靠支撑。【方法】通过将Lighthill-Whitham-Richards宏观交通流方程作为物理约束嵌入神经网络损失函数,构建数据与物理规律耦合的建模框架。通过敏感性参数优化平衡数据拟合与物理约束权重,结合自动微分机制动态计算导数,提升模型泛化能力与交通流演化刻画精度。【结果】基于大广高速实测数据与UC-win/Road仿真验证表明:相较固定限速策略,拥堵时间减少38.73%,通行量提升21.43%,速度方差降低55.44%;优于主流数据驱动模型,较LSTM-MPC模型拥堵时间减少26.27%,通行量增加10.12%,速度方差下降33.85%;较深度强化学习模型拥堵时间减少13.86%,通行量增加5.06%,速度方差降低28.65%。【结论】所提方法有效融合数据特征与交通流物理规律,具备良好的物理可解释性与调控有效性,为智能交通动态控制提供了数据与模型协同驱动的新途径,对提升高速公路智能化管控水平具有重要意义。 展开更多
关键词 智能交通 动态限速控制方法 物理信息神经网络 高速公路 LWR交通流模型
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基于TransModeler仿真的土石方调配装运机械配置优化 被引量:11
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作者 周瑞园 王慧 +1 位作者 宋春跃 杨兴国 《控制工程》 CSCD 北大核心 2018年第1期82-87,共6页
机械配置问题是土石方调配工程中的重点研究内容,而交通特性对装运机械的配置有很大影响。论文考虑土石方运输路网的交通特性,建立了以成本最低为目标函数,工期为约束的土石方调配装运机械配置的优化模型,然后利用仿真软件TransMode... 机械配置问题是土石方调配工程中的重点研究内容,而交通特性对装运机械的配置有很大影响。论文考虑土石方运输路网的交通特性,建立了以成本最低为目标函数,工期为约束的土石方调配装运机械配置的优化模型,然后利用仿真软件TransModeler的二次开发设计仿真控制器,建立土石方调配仿真系统。在此基础上,采用粒子群优化算法求解该非线性带约束的组合优化问题。仿真实例验证了考虑社会车辆的必要性和所提方法的有效性。 展开更多
关键词 机械配置优化模型 路网交通特性 土石方调配运输仿真系统 粒子群优化算法
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光纤光栅传感网络中异常流量动态检测方法
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作者 蒋迎霞 江义火 段瑛 《激光杂志》 北大核心 2026年第1期119-123,共5页
在光纤光栅传感网络中,流量波动导致单一时刻残差难以准确判定网络异常状态,高流量时段大残差可能属正常波动,低流量时段小残差却可能预示异常。为保障数据准确传输,提出一种异常流量动态检测方法。将归一化后的流量视为时间序列,构建... 在光纤光栅传感网络中,流量波动导致单一时刻残差难以准确判定网络异常状态,高流量时段大残差可能属正常波动,低流量时段小残差却可能预示异常。为保障数据准确传输,提出一种异常流量动态检测方法。将归一化后的流量视为时间序列,构建二阶自回归模型以拟合正常观测流量,并基于该模型预测未来正常流量序列。定义观测流量与预测流量的残差为异常流量,针对网络流量在不同时段波动大的特点,设定标准残差值,利用卡方分布及其概率密度函数反向推导出残差值的动态置信区间作为检测阈值,当流量超出阈值范围时即判定为异常流量。实验结果表明,该方法预测的正弦波信号幅值为6 V,且无异常波动,检测率高于0.93、误检率低于0.04,有效提升了光纤光栅传感网络的安全性与稳定性。 展开更多
关键词 光纤光栅传感网络 异常流量 动态检测 预测残差 二阶自回归模型 密度函数
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