Accurately predicting environmental parameters in solar greenhouses is crucial for achieving precise environmental control.In solar greenhouses,temperature,humidity,and light intensity are crucial environmental parame...Accurately predicting environmental parameters in solar greenhouses is crucial for achieving precise environmental control.In solar greenhouses,temperature,humidity,and light intensity are crucial environmental parameters.The monitoring platform collected data on the internal environment of the solar greenhouse for one year,including temperature,humidity,and light intensity.Additionally,meteorological data,comprising outdoor temperature,outdoor humidity,and outdoor light intensity,was gathered during the same time frame.The characteristics and interrelationships among these parameters were investigated by a thorough analysis.The analysis revealed that environmental parameters in solar greenhouses displayed characteristics such as temporal variability,non-linearity,and periodicity.These parameters exhibited complex coupling relationships.Notably,these characteristics and coupling relationships exhibited pronounced seasonal variations.The multi-parameter multi-step prediction model for solar greenhouse(MPMS-SGH)was introduced,aiming to accurately predict three key greenhouse environmental parameters,and the model had certain seasonal adaptability.MPMS-SGH was structured with multiple layers,including an input layer,a preprocessing layer,a feature extraction layer,and a prediction layer.The input layer was used to generate the original sequence matrix,which included indoor temperature,indoor humidity,indoor light intensity,as well as outdoor temperature and outdoor light intensity.Then the preprocessing layer normalized,decomposed,and positionally encoded the original sequence matrix.In the feature extraction layer,the time attention mechanism and frequency attention mechanism were used to extract features from the trend component and the seasonal component,respectively.Finally,the prediction layer used a multi-layer perceptron to perform multi-step prediction of indoor environmental parameters(i.e.temperature,humidity,and light intensity).The parameter selection experiment evaluated the predictive performance of MPMS-SGH on input and output sequences of different lengths.The results indicated that with a constant output sequence length,the prediction accuracy of MPMS-SGH was firstly increased and then decreased with the increase of input sequence length.Specifically,when the input sequence length was 100,MPMS-SGH had the highest prediction accuracy,with RMSE of 0.22℃,0.28%,and 250lx for temperature,humidity,and light intensity,respectively.When the length of the input sequence remained constant,as the length of the output sequence increased,the accuracy of the model in predicting the three environmental parameters was continuously decreased.When the length of the output sequence exceeded 45,the prediction accuracy of MPMS-SGH was significantly decreased.In order to achieve the best balance between model size and performance,the input sequence length of MPMS-SGH was set to be 100,while the output sequence length was set to be 35.To assess MPMS-SGH’s performance,comparative experiments with four prediction models were conducted:SVR,STL-SVR,LSTM,and STL-LSTM.The results demonstrated that MPMS-SGH surpassed all other models,achieving RMSE of 0.15℃for temperature,0.38%for humidity,and 260lx for light intensity.Additionally,sequence decomposition can contribute to enhancing MPMS-SGH’s prediction performance.To further evaluate MPMS-SGH’s capabilities,its prediction accuracy was tested across different seasons for greenhouse environmental parameters.MPMS-SGH had the highest accuracy in predicting indoor temperature and the lowest accuracy in predicting humidity.And the accuracy of MPMS-SGH in predicting environmental parameters of the solar greenhouse fluctuated with seasons.MPMS-SGH had the highest accuracy in predicting the temperature inside the greenhouse on sunny days in spring(R^(2)=0.91),the highest accuracy in predicting the humidity inside the greenhouse on sunny days in winter(R^(2)=0.83),and the highest accuracy in predicting the light intensity inside the greenhouse on cloudy days in autumm(R^(2)=0.89).MPMS-SGH had the lowest accuracy in predicting three environmental parameters in a sunny summer greenhouse.展开更多
In this paper,a composite numerical scheme is proposed to solve the threedimensional Darcy-Forchheimer miscible displacement problem with positive semi-definite assumptions.A mixed finite element is used for the fow e...In this paper,a composite numerical scheme is proposed to solve the threedimensional Darcy-Forchheimer miscible displacement problem with positive semi-definite assumptions.A mixed finite element is used for the fow equation.The velocity and pressure are computed simultaneously.The accuracy of velocity is improved one order.The concentration equation is solved by using mixed finite element,multi-step difference and upwind approximation.A multi-step method is used to approximate time derivative for improving the accuracy.The upwind approximation and an expanded mixed finite element are adopted to solve the convection and diffusion,respectively.The composite method could compute the diffusion flux and its gradient.It possibly becomes an eficient tool for solving convection-dominated diffusion problems.Firstly,the conservation of mass holds.Secondly,the multi-step method has high accuracy.Thirdly,the upwind approximation could avoid numerical dispersion.Using numerical analysis of a priori estimates and special techniques of differential equations,we give an error estimates for a positive definite problem.Numerical experiments illustrate its computational efficiency and feasibility of application.展开更多
The advantage distillation(AD)technology has been proven to effectively improve the secret key rate and the communication distance of quantum key distribution(QKD).The mode-pairing quantum key distribution(MP-QKD)prot...The advantage distillation(AD)technology has been proven to effectively improve the secret key rate and the communication distance of quantum key distribution(QKD).The mode-pairing quantum key distribution(MP-QKD)protocol can overcome a fundamental physical limit,known as the Pirandola-Laurenza-Ottaviani-Banchi bound,without requiring global phase-locking.In this work,we propose a method based on multi-step AD to further enhance the performance of MP-QKD.The simulation results show that,compared to one-step AD,multi-step AD achieves better performance in long-distance scenarios and can tolerate a higher quantum bit error rate.Specifically,when the difference between the communication distances from Alice and Bob to Charlie is 25 km,50 km and 75 km,and the corresponding transmission distance exceeds 523 km,512 km and 496 km,respectively,the secret key rate achieved by multi-step AD surpasses that of one-step AD.Our findings indicate that the proposed method can effectively promote the application of MP-QKD in scenarios with high loss and high error rate.展开更多
Acoustic holograms can recover wavefront stored acoustic field information and produce high-fidelity complex acoustic fields. Benefiting from the huge spatial information that traditional acoustic elements cannot matc...Acoustic holograms can recover wavefront stored acoustic field information and produce high-fidelity complex acoustic fields. Benefiting from the huge spatial information that traditional acoustic elements cannot match, acoustic holograms pursue the realization of high-resolution complex acoustic fields and gradually tend to high-frequency ultrasound applications. However, conventional continuous phase holograms are limited by three-dimensional(3D) printing size, and the presence of unavoidable small printing errors makes it difficult to achieve acoustic field reconstruction at high frequency accuracy. Here, we present an optimized discrete multi-step phase hologram. It can ensure the reconstruction quality of image with high robustness, and properly lower the requirement for the 3D printing accuracy. Meanwhile, the concept of reconstruction similarity is proposed to refine a measure of acoustic field quality. In addition, the realized complex acoustic field at 20 MHz promotes the application of acoustic holograms at high frequencies and provides a new way to generate high-fidelity acoustic fields.展开更多
This paper is concerned with a novel integrated multi-step heuristic dynamic programming(MsHDP)algorithm for solving optimal control problems.It is shown that,initialized by the zero cost function,MsHDP can converge t...This paper is concerned with a novel integrated multi-step heuristic dynamic programming(MsHDP)algorithm for solving optimal control problems.It is shown that,initialized by the zero cost function,MsHDP can converge to the optimal solution of the Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman(HJB)equation.Then,the stability of the system is analyzed using control policies generated by MsHDP.Also,a general stability criterion is designed to determine the admissibility of the current control policy.That is,the criterion is applicable not only to traditional value iteration and policy iteration but also to MsHDP.Further,based on the convergence and the stability criterion,the integrated MsHDP algorithm using immature control policies is developed to accelerate learning efficiency greatly.Besides,actor-critic is utilized to implement the integrated MsHDP scheme,where neural networks are used to evaluate and improve the iterative policy as the parameter architecture.Finally,two simulation examples are given to demonstrate that the learning effectiveness of the integrated MsHDP scheme surpasses those of other fixed or integrated methods.展开更多
A new methodology for multi-step-ahead forecasting was proposed herein which combined the wavelet transform(WT), artificial neural network(ANN) and forecasting strategies based on the changing characteristics of avail...A new methodology for multi-step-ahead forecasting was proposed herein which combined the wavelet transform(WT), artificial neural network(ANN) and forecasting strategies based on the changing characteristics of available parking spaces(APS). First, several APS time series were decomposed and reconstituted by the wavelet transform. Then, using an artificial neural network, the following five strategies for multi-step-ahead time series forecasting were used to forecast the reconstructed time series: recursive strategy, direct strategy, multi-input multi-output(MIMO) strategy, DIRMO strategy(a combination of the direct and MIMO strategies), and newly proposed recursive multi-input multi-output(RECMO) strategy which is a combination of the recursive and MIMO strategies. Finally, integrating the predicted results with the reconstructed time series produced the final forecasted available parking spaces. Three findings appear to be consistently supported by the experimental results. First, applying the wavelet transform to multi-step ahead available parking spaces forecasting can effectively improve the forecasting accuracy. Second, the forecasting resulted from the DIRMO and RECMO strategies is more accurate than that of the other strategies. Finally, the RECMO strategy requires less model training time than the DIRMO strategy and consumes the least amount of training time among five forecasting strategies.展开更多
A compound neural network was constructed during the process of identification and multi-step prediction. Under the PID-type long-range predictive cost function, the control signal was calculated based on gradient alg...A compound neural network was constructed during the process of identification and multi-step prediction. Under the PID-type long-range predictive cost function, the control signal was calculated based on gradient algorithm. The nonlinear controller’s structure was similar to the conventional PID controller. The parameters of this controller were tuned by using a local recurrent neural network on-line. The controller has a better effect than the conventional PID controller. Simulation study shows the effectiveness and good performance.展开更多
Traffic flow prediction is an important part of the intelligent transportation system. Accurate multi-step traffic flow prediction plays an important role in improving the operational efficiency of the traffic network...Traffic flow prediction is an important part of the intelligent transportation system. Accurate multi-step traffic flow prediction plays an important role in improving the operational efficiency of the traffic network. Since traffic flow data has complex spatio-temporal correlation and non-linearity, existing prediction methods are mainly accomplished through a combination of a Graph Convolutional Network (GCN) and a recurrent neural network. The combination strategy has an excellent performance in traffic prediction tasks. However, multi-step prediction error accumulates with the predicted step size. Some scholars use multiple sampling sequences to achieve more accurate prediction results. But it requires high hardware conditions and multiplied training time. Considering the spatiotemporal correlation of traffic flow and influence of external factors, we propose an Attention Based Spatio-Temporal Graph Convolutional Network considering External Factors (ABSTGCN-EF) for multi-step traffic flow prediction. This model models the traffic flow as diffusion on a digraph and extracts the spatial characteristics of traffic flow through GCN. We add meaningful time-slots attention to the encoder-decoder to form an Attention Encoder Network (AEN) to handle temporal correlation. The attention vector is used as a competitive choice to draw the correlation between predicted states and historical states. We considered the impact of three external factors (daytime, weekdays, and traffic accident markers) on the traffic flow prediction tasks. Experiments on two public data sets show that it makes sense to consider external factors. The prediction performance of our ABSTGCN-EF model achieves 7.2%–8.7% higher than the state-of-the-art baselines.展开更多
Accurate multi-step PM_(2.5)(particulate matter with diameters≤2.5 um)concentration prediction is critical for humankinds’health and air populationmanagement because it could provide strong evidence for decisionmaki...Accurate multi-step PM_(2.5)(particulate matter with diameters≤2.5 um)concentration prediction is critical for humankinds’health and air populationmanagement because it could provide strong evidence for decisionmaking.However,it is very challenging due to its randomness and variability.This paper proposed a novel method based on convolutional neural network(CNN)and long-short-term memory(LSTM)with a space-shared mechanism,named space-shared CNN-LSTM(SCNN-LSTM)for multi-site dailyahead multi-step PM_(2.5)forecasting with self-historical series.The proposed SCNN-LSTM contains multi-channel inputs,each channel corresponding to one-site historical PM_(2.5)concentration series.In which,CNN and LSTM are used to extract each site’s rich hidden feature representations in a stack mode.Especially,CNN is to extract the hidden short-time gap PM_(2.5)concentration patterns;LSTM is to mine the hidden features with long-time dependency.Each channel extracted features aremerged as the comprehensive features for future multi-step PM_(2.5)concentration forecasting.Besides,the space-shared mechanism is implemented by multi-loss functions to achieve space information sharing.Therefore,the final features are the fusion of short-time gap,long-time dependency,and space information,which enables forecasting more accurately.To validate the proposed method’s effectiveness,the authors designed,trained,and compared it with various leading methods in terms of RMSE,MAE,MAPE,and R^(2)on four real-word PM_(2.5)data sets in Seoul,South Korea.The massive experiments proved that the proposed method could accurately forecast multi-site multi-step PM_(2.5)concentration only using self-historical PM_(2.5)concentration time series and running once.Specifically,the proposed method obtained averaged RMSE of 8.05,MAE of 5.04,MAPE of 23.96%,and R^(2)of 0.7 for four-site daily ahead 10-hourPM_(2.5)concentration forecasting.展开更多
Due to global energy depletion,solar energy technology has been widely used in the world.The output power of the solar energy systems is affected by solar radiation.Accurate short-term forecasting of solar radiation c...Due to global energy depletion,solar energy technology has been widely used in the world.The output power of the solar energy systems is affected by solar radiation.Accurate short-term forecasting of solar radiation can ensure the safety of photovoltaic grids and improve the utilization efficiency of the solar energy systems.In the study,a new decomposition-boosting model using artificial intelligence is proposed to realize the solar radiation multi-step prediction.The proposed model includes four parts:signal decomposition(EWT),neural network(NARX),Adaboost and ARIMA.Three real solar radiation datasets from Changde,China were used to validate the efficiency of the proposed model.To verify the robustness of the multi-step prediction model,this experiment compared nine models and made 1,3,and 5 steps ahead predictions for the time series.It is verified that the proposed model has the best performance among all models.展开更多
Based on the two-step nucleation mechanism, a multi-step thermodynamic model for alumina inclusion for- mation during aluminum deoxidation process was proposed in Fe-O-Al melt. Thermodynamic properties of metastable i...Based on the two-step nucleation mechanism, a multi-step thermodynamic model for alumina inclusion for- mation during aluminum deoxidation process was proposed in Fe-O-Al melt. Thermodynamic properties of metastable intermediates including (Al2O3)n clusters for prenucleation and α-Al2O3 nanoparticle for growth process were calculated using density functional theory. Furthermore, Gibbs free energy change of forming the intermediate by reaction between the dissolved aluminum (Al) and oxygen (O) in the melt was calculated. The results indicated that the thermodynamics of (Al2O3)n at steelmaking temperature are dependent on their structures, while that of α-Al2O3 nanoparticle are dependent on their size. The nuclei of α-Al2O3 which was originated from (Al2O3)n aggregated under a high supersaturation ratio of Al and O(Rs) in the melt. There existing excess oxygen because of the low Rs, but the secondary inclusions will be formed during the cooling process due to the excess oxygen. The nuclei lager than 20 nm can grow up spontaneously and instantaneously into primary inclusions because of thermodynamic drive. It is difficult to control the size of α-Al2O3 to be less than 20 nm, in the aluminum deoxidation process of the current conditions of steelmaking.展开更多
This paper proposes a co-evolutionary recurrent neural network (CERNN) for the multi-step-prediction of chaotic time series, it estimates the proper parameters of phase space reconstruction and optimizes the structu...This paper proposes a co-evolutionary recurrent neural network (CERNN) for the multi-step-prediction of chaotic time series, it estimates the proper parameters of phase space reconstruction and optimizes the structure of recurrent neural networks by coevolutionary strategy. The searching space was separated into two subspaces and the individuals are trained in a parallel computational procedure. It can dynamically combine the embedding method with the capability of recurrent neural network to incorporate past experience due to internal recurrence. The effectiveness of CERNN is evaluated by using three benchmark chaotic time series data sets: the Lorenz series, Mackey-Glass series and real-world sun spot series. The simulation results show that CERNN improves the performances of multi-step-prediction of chaotic time series.展开更多
Considering chaotic time series multi-step prediction, multi-step direct prediction model based on partial least squares (PLS) is proposed in this article, where PLS, the method for predicting a set of dependent var...Considering chaotic time series multi-step prediction, multi-step direct prediction model based on partial least squares (PLS) is proposed in this article, where PLS, the method for predicting a set of dependent variables forming a large set of predictors, is used to model the dynamic evolution between the space points and the corresponding future points. The model can eliminate error accumulation with the common single-step local model algorithm~ and refrain from the high multi-collinearity problem in the reconstructed state space with the increase of embedding dimension. Simulation predictions are done on the Mackey-Glass chaotic time series with the model. The satisfying prediction accuracy is obtained and the model efficiency verified. In the experiments, the number of extracted components in PLS is set with cross-validation procedure.展开更多
In this study, a reliable algorithm to develop approximate solutions for the problem of fluid flow over a stretching or shrinking sheet is proposed. It is depicted that the differential transform method (DTM) solution...In this study, a reliable algorithm to develop approximate solutions for the problem of fluid flow over a stretching or shrinking sheet is proposed. It is depicted that the differential transform method (DTM) solutions are only valid for small values of the independent variable. The DTM solutions diverge for some differential equations that extremely have nonlinear behaviors or have boundary-conditions at infinity. For this reason the governing boundary-layer equations are solved by the Multi-step Differential Transform Method (MDTM). The main advantage of this method is that it can be applied directly to nonlinear differential equations without requiring linearization, discretization, or perturbation. It is a semi analytical-numerical technique that formulizes Taylor series in a very different manner. By applying the MDTM the interval of convergence for the series solution is increased. The MDTM is treated as an algorithm in a sequence of intervals for finding accurate approximate solutions for systems of differential equations. It is predicted that the MDTM can be applied to a wide range of engineering applications.展开更多
The effects of yttrium and artificial aging on AA2024 alloy were investigated.The developed samples were further subjected to artificial aging at 190℃for 1-10 h with an interval of 1 h.The metallurgical characterizat...The effects of yttrium and artificial aging on AA2024 alloy were investigated.The developed samples were further subjected to artificial aging at 190℃for 1-10 h with an interval of 1 h.The metallurgical characterization was done by scanning electron microscope and X-ray diffraction.The mechanical characterization like hardness and tensile strength of the samples was done using computerized Vickers hardness testing machine and universal testing machine.The microstructures revealed that addition of yttrium refined theα(Al)matrix and led to the formation of Al-Cu-Y intermetallic in the shape of Chinese script which strengthened the samples.Compared to the base metal,samples with yttrium addition showed better mechanical properties.The sample reinforced with 0.3 wt.%yttrium showed the highest mechanical properties with the hardness of 66 HV,UTS of 223 MPa,YS of 180 MPa,and elongation of 20.9%.The artificially aged samples showed that the peak hardening of all the samples took place within 5 h of aging at 190℃with Al2 Cu precipitation.Aging changed the intermetallic from Chinese script to the fibrous form.The optimum amount of yttrium addition to AA2024 was found to be 0.3 wt.%.展开更多
Oblique ocean wave damping by a vertical porous structure placed on a multi-step bottom topography is studied with the help of linear water wave theory. Some portion of the oblique wave, incident on the porous structu...Oblique ocean wave damping by a vertical porous structure placed on a multi-step bottom topography is studied with the help of linear water wave theory. Some portion of the oblique wave, incident on the porous structure, gets reflected by the multi-step bottom and the porous structure, and the rest propagates into the water medium following the porous structure. Two cases are considered: first a solid vertical wall placed at a finite distance from the porous structure in the water medium following the porous structure and then a special case of an unbounded water medium following the porous structure. In both cases, boundary value problems are set up in three different media, the first medium being water, the second medium being the porous structure consisting ofp vertical regions-one above each step and the third medium being water again. By using the matching conditions along the virtualvertical boundaries, a system of linear equations is deduced. The behavior of the reflection coefficient and the dimensionless amplitude of the transmitted progressive wave due to different relevant parameters are studied. Energy loss due to the propagation of oblique water wave through the porous structure is also carried out. The effects of various parameters, such as number of evanescent modes, porosity, friction factor, structure width, number of steps and angle of incidence, on the reflection coefficient and the dimensionless amplitude of the transmitted wave are studied graphically for both cases. Number of evanescent modes merely affects the scattering phenomenon. But higher values of porosity show relatively lower reflection than that for lower porosity. Oscillation in the reflection coefficient is observed for lower values of friction factor but it disappears with an increase in the value of friction factor. Amplitude of the transmitted progressive wave is independent of the porosity of the structure. But lower value of friction factor causes higher transmission. The investigation is then carried out for the second case, i.e., when the wall is absent. The significant difference between the two cases considered here is that the reflection due to a thin porous structure is very high when the solid wall exists as compared to the case when no wall is present. Energy loss due to different porosity, friction factor, structure width and angle of incidence is also examined. Validity of our model is ascertained by matching it with an available one.展开更多
This paper is aimed at solving the nonlinear time-fractional partial differential equation with two small parameters arising from option pricing model in financial economics.The traditional reproducing kernel(RK)metho...This paper is aimed at solving the nonlinear time-fractional partial differential equation with two small parameters arising from option pricing model in financial economics.The traditional reproducing kernel(RK)method which deals with this problem is very troublesome.This paper proposes a new method by adaptive multi-step piecewise interpolation reproducing kernel(AMPIRK)method for the first time.This method has three obvious advantages which are as follows.Firstly,the piecewise number is reduced.Secondly,the calculation accuracy is improved.Finally,the waste time caused by too many fragments is avoided.Then four numerical examples show that this new method has a higher precision and it is a more timesaving numerical method than the others.The research in this paper provides a powerful mathematical tool for solving time-fractional option pricing model which will play an important role in financial economics.展开更多
A content-aware multi-step prediction control(CAMPC)algorithm is proposed to determine the bitrate of 360-degree videos,aim⁃ing to enhance the quality of experience(QoE)of users and reduce the cost of video content pr...A content-aware multi-step prediction control(CAMPC)algorithm is proposed to determine the bitrate of 360-degree videos,aim⁃ing to enhance the quality of experience(QoE)of users and reduce the cost of video content providers(VCP).The CAMPC algorithm first em⁃ploys a neural network to generate the content richness and combines it with the current field of view(FOV)to accurately predict the probability distribution of tiles being viewed.Then,for the tiles in the predicted viewport which directly affect QoE,the CAMPC algorithm utilizes a multi-step prediction for future system states,and accordingly selects the bitrates of multiple subsequent steps,instead of an instantaneous state.Meanwhile,it controls the buffer occupancy to eliminate the impact of prediction errors.We implement CAMPC on players by building a 360-degree video streaming platform and evaluating other advanced adaptive bitrate(ABR)rules through the real network.Experimental results show that CAMPC can save 83.5%of bandwidth resources compared with the scheme that completely transmits the tiles outside the viewport with the Dynamic Adaptive Streaming over HTTP(DASH)protocol.Besides,the proposed method can improve the system utility by 62.7%and 27.6%compared with the DASH official and viewport-based rules,respectively.展开更多
Flexible rolling is a forming process based on thickness reduction, and the precision of thickness reduction is the key factor affecting bending deformation. The major purpose of the present work is to solve the probl...Flexible rolling is a forming process based on thickness reduction, and the precision of thickness reduction is the key factor affecting bending deformation. The major purpose of the present work is to solve the problem of bending deformation error caused by insufficient thickness reduction. Under the condition of different rolling reductions with the same sheet thickness and the same thickness reduction with different sheet thicknesses, the thickness reduction error of sheet metal is analyzed. In addition, the bending deformation of sheet metal under the same conditions is discussed and the influence of the multi-step forming process on the thickness reduction error is studied. The results show that, under the condition of the same sheet thickness, the thickness reduction error increases with increasing rolling reduction because of an increase in work hardening. As rolling reduction increases, the longitudinal bending deformation decreases because of the decrease of the maximum thickness difference. Under the condition with the same thickness reduction, the thickness reduction error increases because of the decrease of the rolling force with increasing sheet thickness. As the sheet thickness increases, the longitudinal bending deformation increases because of the increase in the maximum thickness difference. A larger bending deformation is divided into a number of small bending deformations in a multi-step forming process, avoiding a sharp increase in the degree of work hardening; the thickness reduction error is effectively reduced in the multi-step forming process. Numerical simulation results agree with the results of the forming experiments.展开更多
文摘Accurately predicting environmental parameters in solar greenhouses is crucial for achieving precise environmental control.In solar greenhouses,temperature,humidity,and light intensity are crucial environmental parameters.The monitoring platform collected data on the internal environment of the solar greenhouse for one year,including temperature,humidity,and light intensity.Additionally,meteorological data,comprising outdoor temperature,outdoor humidity,and outdoor light intensity,was gathered during the same time frame.The characteristics and interrelationships among these parameters were investigated by a thorough analysis.The analysis revealed that environmental parameters in solar greenhouses displayed characteristics such as temporal variability,non-linearity,and periodicity.These parameters exhibited complex coupling relationships.Notably,these characteristics and coupling relationships exhibited pronounced seasonal variations.The multi-parameter multi-step prediction model for solar greenhouse(MPMS-SGH)was introduced,aiming to accurately predict three key greenhouse environmental parameters,and the model had certain seasonal adaptability.MPMS-SGH was structured with multiple layers,including an input layer,a preprocessing layer,a feature extraction layer,and a prediction layer.The input layer was used to generate the original sequence matrix,which included indoor temperature,indoor humidity,indoor light intensity,as well as outdoor temperature and outdoor light intensity.Then the preprocessing layer normalized,decomposed,and positionally encoded the original sequence matrix.In the feature extraction layer,the time attention mechanism and frequency attention mechanism were used to extract features from the trend component and the seasonal component,respectively.Finally,the prediction layer used a multi-layer perceptron to perform multi-step prediction of indoor environmental parameters(i.e.temperature,humidity,and light intensity).The parameter selection experiment evaluated the predictive performance of MPMS-SGH on input and output sequences of different lengths.The results indicated that with a constant output sequence length,the prediction accuracy of MPMS-SGH was firstly increased and then decreased with the increase of input sequence length.Specifically,when the input sequence length was 100,MPMS-SGH had the highest prediction accuracy,with RMSE of 0.22℃,0.28%,and 250lx for temperature,humidity,and light intensity,respectively.When the length of the input sequence remained constant,as the length of the output sequence increased,the accuracy of the model in predicting the three environmental parameters was continuously decreased.When the length of the output sequence exceeded 45,the prediction accuracy of MPMS-SGH was significantly decreased.In order to achieve the best balance between model size and performance,the input sequence length of MPMS-SGH was set to be 100,while the output sequence length was set to be 35.To assess MPMS-SGH’s performance,comparative experiments with four prediction models were conducted:SVR,STL-SVR,LSTM,and STL-LSTM.The results demonstrated that MPMS-SGH surpassed all other models,achieving RMSE of 0.15℃for temperature,0.38%for humidity,and 260lx for light intensity.Additionally,sequence decomposition can contribute to enhancing MPMS-SGH’s prediction performance.To further evaluate MPMS-SGH’s capabilities,its prediction accuracy was tested across different seasons for greenhouse environmental parameters.MPMS-SGH had the highest accuracy in predicting indoor temperature and the lowest accuracy in predicting humidity.And the accuracy of MPMS-SGH in predicting environmental parameters of the solar greenhouse fluctuated with seasons.MPMS-SGH had the highest accuracy in predicting the temperature inside the greenhouse on sunny days in spring(R^(2)=0.91),the highest accuracy in predicting the humidity inside the greenhouse on sunny days in winter(R^(2)=0.83),and the highest accuracy in predicting the light intensity inside the greenhouse on cloudy days in autumm(R^(2)=0.89).MPMS-SGH had the lowest accuracy in predicting three environmental parameters in a sunny summer greenhouse.
基金supported by the Natural Science Foundation of Shandong Province(ZR2021MA019)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(11871312)。
文摘In this paper,a composite numerical scheme is proposed to solve the threedimensional Darcy-Forchheimer miscible displacement problem with positive semi-definite assumptions.A mixed finite element is used for the fow equation.The velocity and pressure are computed simultaneously.The accuracy of velocity is improved one order.The concentration equation is solved by using mixed finite element,multi-step difference and upwind approximation.A multi-step method is used to approximate time derivative for improving the accuracy.The upwind approximation and an expanded mixed finite element are adopted to solve the convection and diffusion,respectively.The composite method could compute the diffusion flux and its gradient.It possibly becomes an eficient tool for solving convection-dominated diffusion problems.Firstly,the conservation of mass holds.Secondly,the multi-step method has high accuracy.Thirdly,the upwind approximation could avoid numerical dispersion.Using numerical analysis of a priori estimates and special techniques of differential equations,we give an error estimates for a positive definite problem.Numerical experiments illustrate its computational efficiency and feasibility of application.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.62171144and 62031024)Guangxi Science Foundation(Grant Nos.2025GXNSFAA069137 and GXR-1BGQ2424005)Innovation Project of Guangxi Graduate Education(Grant No.YCBZ2025064)。
文摘The advantage distillation(AD)technology has been proven to effectively improve the secret key rate and the communication distance of quantum key distribution(QKD).The mode-pairing quantum key distribution(MP-QKD)protocol can overcome a fundamental physical limit,known as the Pirandola-Laurenza-Ottaviani-Banchi bound,without requiring global phase-locking.In this work,we propose a method based on multi-step AD to further enhance the performance of MP-QKD.The simulation results show that,compared to one-step AD,multi-step AD achieves better performance in long-distance scenarios and can tolerate a higher quantum bit error rate.Specifically,when the difference between the communication distances from Alice and Bob to Charlie is 25 km,50 km and 75 km,and the corresponding transmission distance exceeds 523 km,512 km and 496 km,respectively,the secret key rate achieved by multi-step AD surpasses that of one-step AD.Our findings indicate that the proposed method can effectively promote the application of MP-QKD in scenarios with high loss and high error rate.
基金Project supported by the China Postdoctoral Science Foundation (Grant No.2023M732745)the National Natural Science Foundations of China (Grant Nos.61974110 and 62104177)+1 种基金the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities,China (Grant Nos.QTZX23022 and JBF211103)the Cooperation Program of XDU– Chongqing IC Innovation Research Institute (Grant No.CQ IRI-2022CXY-Z07)。
文摘Acoustic holograms can recover wavefront stored acoustic field information and produce high-fidelity complex acoustic fields. Benefiting from the huge spatial information that traditional acoustic elements cannot match, acoustic holograms pursue the realization of high-resolution complex acoustic fields and gradually tend to high-frequency ultrasound applications. However, conventional continuous phase holograms are limited by three-dimensional(3D) printing size, and the presence of unavoidable small printing errors makes it difficult to achieve acoustic field reconstruction at high frequency accuracy. Here, we present an optimized discrete multi-step phase hologram. It can ensure the reconstruction quality of image with high robustness, and properly lower the requirement for the 3D printing accuracy. Meanwhile, the concept of reconstruction similarity is proposed to refine a measure of acoustic field quality. In addition, the realized complex acoustic field at 20 MHz promotes the application of acoustic holograms at high frequencies and provides a new way to generate high-fidelity acoustic fields.
基金the National Key Research and Development Program of China(2021ZD0112302)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(62222301,61890930-5,62021003)the Beijing Natural Science Foundation(JQ19013).
文摘This paper is concerned with a novel integrated multi-step heuristic dynamic programming(MsHDP)algorithm for solving optimal control problems.It is shown that,initialized by the zero cost function,MsHDP can converge to the optimal solution of the Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman(HJB)equation.Then,the stability of the system is analyzed using control policies generated by MsHDP.Also,a general stability criterion is designed to determine the admissibility of the current control policy.That is,the criterion is applicable not only to traditional value iteration and policy iteration but also to MsHDP.Further,based on the convergence and the stability criterion,the integrated MsHDP algorithm using immature control policies is developed to accelerate learning efficiency greatly.Besides,actor-critic is utilized to implement the integrated MsHDP scheme,where neural networks are used to evaluate and improve the iterative policy as the parameter architecture.Finally,two simulation examples are given to demonstrate that the learning effectiveness of the integrated MsHDP scheme surpasses those of other fixed or integrated methods.
基金Project(51561135003)supported by the International Cooperation and Exchange of the National Natural Science Foundation of ChinaProject(51338003)supported by the Key Project of National Natural Science Foundation of China
文摘A new methodology for multi-step-ahead forecasting was proposed herein which combined the wavelet transform(WT), artificial neural network(ANN) and forecasting strategies based on the changing characteristics of available parking spaces(APS). First, several APS time series were decomposed and reconstituted by the wavelet transform. Then, using an artificial neural network, the following five strategies for multi-step-ahead time series forecasting were used to forecast the reconstructed time series: recursive strategy, direct strategy, multi-input multi-output(MIMO) strategy, DIRMO strategy(a combination of the direct and MIMO strategies), and newly proposed recursive multi-input multi-output(RECMO) strategy which is a combination of the recursive and MIMO strategies. Finally, integrating the predicted results with the reconstructed time series produced the final forecasted available parking spaces. Three findings appear to be consistently supported by the experimental results. First, applying the wavelet transform to multi-step ahead available parking spaces forecasting can effectively improve the forecasting accuracy. Second, the forecasting resulted from the DIRMO and RECMO strategies is more accurate than that of the other strategies. Finally, the RECMO strategy requires less model training time than the DIRMO strategy and consumes the least amount of training time among five forecasting strategies.
基金This work was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 60174021, No. 60374037)the Science and Technology Greativeness Foundation of Nankai University
文摘A compound neural network was constructed during the process of identification and multi-step prediction. Under the PID-type long-range predictive cost function, the control signal was calculated based on gradient algorithm. The nonlinear controller’s structure was similar to the conventional PID controller. The parameters of this controller were tuned by using a local recurrent neural network on-line. The controller has a better effect than the conventional PID controller. Simulation study shows the effectiveness and good performance.
基金supported by the Nation Natural Science Foundation of China(NSFC)under Grant No.61462042 and No.61966018.
文摘Traffic flow prediction is an important part of the intelligent transportation system. Accurate multi-step traffic flow prediction plays an important role in improving the operational efficiency of the traffic network. Since traffic flow data has complex spatio-temporal correlation and non-linearity, existing prediction methods are mainly accomplished through a combination of a Graph Convolutional Network (GCN) and a recurrent neural network. The combination strategy has an excellent performance in traffic prediction tasks. However, multi-step prediction error accumulates with the predicted step size. Some scholars use multiple sampling sequences to achieve more accurate prediction results. But it requires high hardware conditions and multiplied training time. Considering the spatiotemporal correlation of traffic flow and influence of external factors, we propose an Attention Based Spatio-Temporal Graph Convolutional Network considering External Factors (ABSTGCN-EF) for multi-step traffic flow prediction. This model models the traffic flow as diffusion on a digraph and extracts the spatial characteristics of traffic flow through GCN. We add meaningful time-slots attention to the encoder-decoder to form an Attention Encoder Network (AEN) to handle temporal correlation. The attention vector is used as a competitive choice to draw the correlation between predicted states and historical states. We considered the impact of three external factors (daytime, weekdays, and traffic accident markers) on the traffic flow prediction tasks. Experiments on two public data sets show that it makes sense to consider external factors. The prediction performance of our ABSTGCN-EF model achieves 7.2%–8.7% higher than the state-of-the-art baselines.
基金This work was supported by a Research Grant from Pukyong National University(2021).
文摘Accurate multi-step PM_(2.5)(particulate matter with diameters≤2.5 um)concentration prediction is critical for humankinds’health and air populationmanagement because it could provide strong evidence for decisionmaking.However,it is very challenging due to its randomness and variability.This paper proposed a novel method based on convolutional neural network(CNN)and long-short-term memory(LSTM)with a space-shared mechanism,named space-shared CNN-LSTM(SCNN-LSTM)for multi-site dailyahead multi-step PM_(2.5)forecasting with self-historical series.The proposed SCNN-LSTM contains multi-channel inputs,each channel corresponding to one-site historical PM_(2.5)concentration series.In which,CNN and LSTM are used to extract each site’s rich hidden feature representations in a stack mode.Especially,CNN is to extract the hidden short-time gap PM_(2.5)concentration patterns;LSTM is to mine the hidden features with long-time dependency.Each channel extracted features aremerged as the comprehensive features for future multi-step PM_(2.5)concentration forecasting.Besides,the space-shared mechanism is implemented by multi-loss functions to achieve space information sharing.Therefore,the final features are the fusion of short-time gap,long-time dependency,and space information,which enables forecasting more accurately.To validate the proposed method’s effectiveness,the authors designed,trained,and compared it with various leading methods in terms of RMSE,MAE,MAPE,and R^(2)on four real-word PM_(2.5)data sets in Seoul,South Korea.The massive experiments proved that the proposed method could accurately forecast multi-site multi-step PM_(2.5)concentration only using self-historical PM_(2.5)concentration time series and running once.Specifically,the proposed method obtained averaged RMSE of 8.05,MAE of 5.04,MAPE of 23.96%,and R^(2)of 0.7 for four-site daily ahead 10-hourPM_(2.5)concentration forecasting.
基金Project(2020TJ-Q06)supported by Hunan Provincial Science&Technology Talent Support,ChinaProject(KQ1707017)supported by the Changsha Science&Technology,ChinaProject(2019CX005)supported by the Innovation Driven Project of the Central South University,China。
文摘Due to global energy depletion,solar energy technology has been widely used in the world.The output power of the solar energy systems is affected by solar radiation.Accurate short-term forecasting of solar radiation can ensure the safety of photovoltaic grids and improve the utilization efficiency of the solar energy systems.In the study,a new decomposition-boosting model using artificial intelligence is proposed to realize the solar radiation multi-step prediction.The proposed model includes four parts:signal decomposition(EWT),neural network(NARX),Adaboost and ARIMA.Three real solar radiation datasets from Changde,China were used to validate the efficiency of the proposed model.To verify the robustness of the multi-step prediction model,this experiment compared nine models and made 1,3,and 5 steps ahead predictions for the time series.It is verified that the proposed model has the best performance among all models.
基金financially supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 51004054)Foundation from the Liaoning Province Education Department (No. L2013127)
文摘Based on the two-step nucleation mechanism, a multi-step thermodynamic model for alumina inclusion for- mation during aluminum deoxidation process was proposed in Fe-O-Al melt. Thermodynamic properties of metastable intermediates including (Al2O3)n clusters for prenucleation and α-Al2O3 nanoparticle for growth process were calculated using density functional theory. Furthermore, Gibbs free energy change of forming the intermediate by reaction between the dissolved aluminum (Al) and oxygen (O) in the melt was calculated. The results indicated that the thermodynamics of (Al2O3)n at steelmaking temperature are dependent on their structures, while that of α-Al2O3 nanoparticle are dependent on their size. The nuclei of α-Al2O3 which was originated from (Al2O3)n aggregated under a high supersaturation ratio of Al and O(Rs) in the melt. There existing excess oxygen because of the low Rs, but the secondary inclusions will be formed during the cooling process due to the excess oxygen. The nuclei lager than 20 nm can grow up spontaneously and instantaneously into primary inclusions because of thermodynamic drive. It is difficult to control the size of α-Al2O3 to be less than 20 nm, in the aluminum deoxidation process of the current conditions of steelmaking.
基金Project supported by the State Key Program of National Natural Science of China (Grant No 30230350)the Natural Science Foundation of Guangdong Province,China (Grant No 07006474)
文摘This paper proposes a co-evolutionary recurrent neural network (CERNN) for the multi-step-prediction of chaotic time series, it estimates the proper parameters of phase space reconstruction and optimizes the structure of recurrent neural networks by coevolutionary strategy. The searching space was separated into two subspaces and the individuals are trained in a parallel computational procedure. It can dynamically combine the embedding method with the capability of recurrent neural network to incorporate past experience due to internal recurrence. The effectiveness of CERNN is evaluated by using three benchmark chaotic time series data sets: the Lorenz series, Mackey-Glass series and real-world sun spot series. The simulation results show that CERNN improves the performances of multi-step-prediction of chaotic time series.
文摘Considering chaotic time series multi-step prediction, multi-step direct prediction model based on partial least squares (PLS) is proposed in this article, where PLS, the method for predicting a set of dependent variables forming a large set of predictors, is used to model the dynamic evolution between the space points and the corresponding future points. The model can eliminate error accumulation with the common single-step local model algorithm~ and refrain from the high multi-collinearity problem in the reconstructed state space with the increase of embedding dimension. Simulation predictions are done on the Mackey-Glass chaotic time series with the model. The satisfying prediction accuracy is obtained and the model efficiency verified. In the experiments, the number of extracted components in PLS is set with cross-validation procedure.
文摘In this study, a reliable algorithm to develop approximate solutions for the problem of fluid flow over a stretching or shrinking sheet is proposed. It is depicted that the differential transform method (DTM) solutions are only valid for small values of the independent variable. The DTM solutions diverge for some differential equations that extremely have nonlinear behaviors or have boundary-conditions at infinity. For this reason the governing boundary-layer equations are solved by the Multi-step Differential Transform Method (MDTM). The main advantage of this method is that it can be applied directly to nonlinear differential equations without requiring linearization, discretization, or perturbation. It is a semi analytical-numerical technique that formulizes Taylor series in a very different manner. By applying the MDTM the interval of convergence for the series solution is increased. The MDTM is treated as an algorithm in a sequence of intervals for finding accurate approximate solutions for systems of differential equations. It is predicted that the MDTM can be applied to a wide range of engineering applications.
文摘The effects of yttrium and artificial aging on AA2024 alloy were investigated.The developed samples were further subjected to artificial aging at 190℃for 1-10 h with an interval of 1 h.The metallurgical characterization was done by scanning electron microscope and X-ray diffraction.The mechanical characterization like hardness and tensile strength of the samples was done using computerized Vickers hardness testing machine and universal testing machine.The microstructures revealed that addition of yttrium refined theα(Al)matrix and led to the formation of Al-Cu-Y intermetallic in the shape of Chinese script which strengthened the samples.Compared to the base metal,samples with yttrium addition showed better mechanical properties.The sample reinforced with 0.3 wt.%yttrium showed the highest mechanical properties with the hardness of 66 HV,UTS of 223 MPa,YS of 180 MPa,and elongation of 20.9%.The artificially aged samples showed that the peak hardening of all the samples took place within 5 h of aging at 190℃with Al2 Cu precipitation.Aging changed the intermetallic from Chinese script to the fibrous form.The optimum amount of yttrium addition to AA2024 was found to be 0.3 wt.%.
文摘Oblique ocean wave damping by a vertical porous structure placed on a multi-step bottom topography is studied with the help of linear water wave theory. Some portion of the oblique wave, incident on the porous structure, gets reflected by the multi-step bottom and the porous structure, and the rest propagates into the water medium following the porous structure. Two cases are considered: first a solid vertical wall placed at a finite distance from the porous structure in the water medium following the porous structure and then a special case of an unbounded water medium following the porous structure. In both cases, boundary value problems are set up in three different media, the first medium being water, the second medium being the porous structure consisting ofp vertical regions-one above each step and the third medium being water again. By using the matching conditions along the virtualvertical boundaries, a system of linear equations is deduced. The behavior of the reflection coefficient and the dimensionless amplitude of the transmitted progressive wave due to different relevant parameters are studied. Energy loss due to the propagation of oblique water wave through the porous structure is also carried out. The effects of various parameters, such as number of evanescent modes, porosity, friction factor, structure width, number of steps and angle of incidence, on the reflection coefficient and the dimensionless amplitude of the transmitted wave are studied graphically for both cases. Number of evanescent modes merely affects the scattering phenomenon. But higher values of porosity show relatively lower reflection than that for lower porosity. Oscillation in the reflection coefficient is observed for lower values of friction factor but it disappears with an increase in the value of friction factor. Amplitude of the transmitted progressive wave is independent of the porosity of the structure. But lower value of friction factor causes higher transmission. The investigation is then carried out for the second case, i.e., when the wall is absent. The significant difference between the two cases considered here is that the reflection due to a thin porous structure is very high when the solid wall exists as compared to the case when no wall is present. Energy loss due to different porosity, friction factor, structure width and angle of incidence is also examined. Validity of our model is ascertained by matching it with an available one.
基金the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.71961022,11902163,12265020,and 12262024)the Natural Science Foundation of Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region of China(Grant Nos.2019BS01011 and 2022MS01003)+5 种基金2022 Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region Grassland Talents Project-Young Innovative and Entrepreneurial Talents(Mingjing Du)2022 Talent Development Foundation of Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region of China(Ming-Jing Du)the Young Talents of Science and Technology in Universities of Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region Program(Grant No.NJYT-20-B18)the Key Project of High-quality Economic Development Research Base of Yellow River Basin in 2022(Grant No.21HZD03)2022 Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region International Science and Technology Cooperation High-end Foreign Experts Introduction Project(Ge Kai)MOE(Ministry of Education in China)Humanities and Social Sciences Foundation(Grants No.20YJC860005).
文摘This paper is aimed at solving the nonlinear time-fractional partial differential equation with two small parameters arising from option pricing model in financial economics.The traditional reproducing kernel(RK)method which deals with this problem is very troublesome.This paper proposes a new method by adaptive multi-step piecewise interpolation reproducing kernel(AMPIRK)method for the first time.This method has three obvious advantages which are as follows.Firstly,the piecewise number is reduced.Secondly,the calculation accuracy is improved.Finally,the waste time caused by too many fragments is avoided.Then four numerical examples show that this new method has a higher precision and it is a more timesaving numerical method than the others.The research in this paper provides a powerful mathematical tool for solving time-fractional option pricing model which will play an important role in financial economics.
基金supported in part by ZTE Corporation under Grant No.2021420118000065.
文摘A content-aware multi-step prediction control(CAMPC)algorithm is proposed to determine the bitrate of 360-degree videos,aim⁃ing to enhance the quality of experience(QoE)of users and reduce the cost of video content providers(VCP).The CAMPC algorithm first em⁃ploys a neural network to generate the content richness and combines it with the current field of view(FOV)to accurately predict the probability distribution of tiles being viewed.Then,for the tiles in the predicted viewport which directly affect QoE,the CAMPC algorithm utilizes a multi-step prediction for future system states,and accordingly selects the bitrates of multiple subsequent steps,instead of an instantaneous state.Meanwhile,it controls the buffer occupancy to eliminate the impact of prediction errors.We implement CAMPC on players by building a 360-degree video streaming platform and evaluating other advanced adaptive bitrate(ABR)rules through the real network.Experimental results show that CAMPC can save 83.5%of bandwidth resources compared with the scheme that completely transmits the tiles outside the viewport with the Dynamic Adaptive Streaming over HTTP(DASH)protocol.Besides,the proposed method can improve the system utility by 62.7%and 27.6%compared with the DASH official and viewport-based rules,respectively.
基金financially supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.51275202)
文摘Flexible rolling is a forming process based on thickness reduction, and the precision of thickness reduction is the key factor affecting bending deformation. The major purpose of the present work is to solve the problem of bending deformation error caused by insufficient thickness reduction. Under the condition of different rolling reductions with the same sheet thickness and the same thickness reduction with different sheet thicknesses, the thickness reduction error of sheet metal is analyzed. In addition, the bending deformation of sheet metal under the same conditions is discussed and the influence of the multi-step forming process on the thickness reduction error is studied. The results show that, under the condition of the same sheet thickness, the thickness reduction error increases with increasing rolling reduction because of an increase in work hardening. As rolling reduction increases, the longitudinal bending deformation decreases because of the decrease of the maximum thickness difference. Under the condition with the same thickness reduction, the thickness reduction error increases because of the decrease of the rolling force with increasing sheet thickness. As the sheet thickness increases, the longitudinal bending deformation increases because of the increase in the maximum thickness difference. A larger bending deformation is divided into a number of small bending deformations in a multi-step forming process, avoiding a sharp increase in the degree of work hardening; the thickness reduction error is effectively reduced in the multi-step forming process. Numerical simulation results agree with the results of the forming experiments.