The planetary reducer is a common type of transmission mechanism,which can provide high transmission accuracy and has been widely used,and it is usually required with high reliability of transmission characteristics i...The planetary reducer is a common type of transmission mechanism,which can provide high transmission accuracy and has been widely used,and it is usually required with high reliability of transmission characteristics in practice.During the manufacturing and usage stages of planetary reducers,uncertainties are ubiquitous and wear is inevitable,which affect the transmission characteristics and the reliability of planetary reducers.In this paper,belief reliability modeling and analysis considering multi-uncertainties and wear are proposed for planetary reducers.Firstly,based on the functional principle and the influence of wear,the performance margin degradation model is established using the hysteresis error as the key performance parameter,where the degradation is mainly caused by the accumulated wear.After that,multi-source uncertainties are analyzed and quantified separately,including manufacturing errors,uncertainties in operational and environmental conditions,and uncertainties in performance thresholds.Finally,the belief reliability model is established based on the performance margin degradation model.A case study of a planetary reducer is applied and the reliability sensitivity analysis is implemented to show the practicability of the proposed method.The results show that the proposed method can provide some suggestions to the design and manufacturing phases of the planetary reducer.展开更多
The spatial offset of bridge has a significant impact on the safety,comfort,and durability of high-speed railway(HSR)operations,so it is crucial to rapidly and effectively detect the spatial offset of operational HSR ...The spatial offset of bridge has a significant impact on the safety,comfort,and durability of high-speed railway(HSR)operations,so it is crucial to rapidly and effectively detect the spatial offset of operational HSR bridges.Drive-by monitoring of bridge uneven settlement demonstrates significant potential due to its practicality,cost-effectiveness,and efficiency.However,existing drive-by methods for detecting bridge offset have limitations such as reliance on a single data source,low detection accuracy,and the inability to identify lateral deformations of bridges.This paper proposes a novel drive-by inspection method for spatial offset of HSR bridge based on multi-source data fusion of comprehensive inspection train.Firstly,dung beetle optimizer-variational mode decomposition was employed to achieve adaptive decomposition of non-stationary dynamic signals,and explore the hidden temporal relationships in the data.Subsequently,a long short-term memory neural network was developed to achieve feature fusion of multi-source signal and accurate prediction of spatial settlement of HSR bridge.A dataset of track irregularities and CRH380A high-speed train responses was generated using a 3D train-track-bridge interaction model,and the accuracy and effectiveness of the proposed hybrid deep learning model were numerically validated.Finally,the reliability of the proposed drive-by inspection method was further validated by analyzing the actual measurement data obtained from comprehensive inspection train.The research findings indicate that the proposed approach enables rapid and accurate detection of spatial offset in HSR bridge,ensuring the long-term operational safety of HSR bridges.展开更多
Domain adaptation aims to reduce the distribution gap between the training data(source domain)and the target data.This enables effective predictions even for domains not seen during training.However,most conventional ...Domain adaptation aims to reduce the distribution gap between the training data(source domain)and the target data.This enables effective predictions even for domains not seen during training.However,most conventional domain adaptation methods assume a single source domain,making them less suitable for modern deep learning settings that rely on diverse and large-scale datasets.To address this limitation,recent research has focused on Multi-Source Domain Adaptation(MSDA),which aims to learn effectively from multiple source domains.In this paper,we propose Efficient Domain Transition for Multi-source(EDTM),a novel and efficient framework designed to tackle two major challenges in existing MSDA approaches:(1)integrating knowledge across different source domains and(2)aligning label distributions between source and target domains.EDTM leverages an ensemble-based classifier expert mechanism to enhance the contribution of source domains that are more similar to the target domain.To further stabilize the learning process and improve performance,we incorporate imitation learning into the training of the target model.In addition,Maximum Classifier Discrepancy(MCD)is employed to align class-wise label distributions between the source and target domains.Experiments were conducted using Digits-Five,one of the most representative benchmark datasets for MSDA.The results show that EDTM consistently outperforms existing methods in terms of average classification accuracy.Notably,EDTM achieved significantly higher performance on target domains such as Modified National Institute of Standards and Technolog with blended background images(MNIST-M)and Street View House Numbers(SVHN)datasets,demonstrating enhanced generalization compared to baseline approaches.Furthermore,an ablation study analyzing the contribution of each loss component validated the effectiveness of the framework,highlighting the importance of each module in achieving optimal performance.展开更多
Benthic habitat mapping is an emerging discipline in the international marine field in recent years,providing an effective tool for marine spatial planning,marine ecological management,and decision-making applications...Benthic habitat mapping is an emerging discipline in the international marine field in recent years,providing an effective tool for marine spatial planning,marine ecological management,and decision-making applications.Seabed sediment classification is one of the main contents of seabed habitat mapping.In response to the impact of remote sensing imaging quality and the limitations of acoustic measurement range,where a single data source does not fully reflect the substrate type,we proposed a high-precision seabed habitat sediment classification method that integrates data from multiple sources.Based on WorldView-2 multi-spectral remote sensing image data and multibeam bathymetry data,constructed a random forests(RF)classifier with optimal feature selection.A seabed sediment classification experiment integrating optical remote sensing and acoustic remote sensing data was carried out in the shallow water area of Wuzhizhou Island,Hainan,South China.Different seabed sediment types,such as sand,seagrass,and coral reefs were effectively identified,with an overall classification accuracy of 92%.Experimental results show that RF matrix optimized by fusing multi-source remote sensing data for feature selection were better than the classification results of simple combinations of data sources,which improved the accuracy of seabed sediment classification.Therefore,the method proposed in this paper can be effectively applied to high-precision seabed sediment classification and habitat mapping around islands and reefs.展开更多
This paper designs distributed Nash equilibrium seeking strategies for heterogeneous dynamic cyber-physical systems.In particular, we are concerned with parametric uncertainties in the control channel of the players. ...This paper designs distributed Nash equilibrium seeking strategies for heterogeneous dynamic cyber-physical systems.In particular, we are concerned with parametric uncertainties in the control channel of the players. Moreover, the weights on communication links can be compromised by time-varying uncertainties, which can result from possibly malicious attacks,faults and disturbances. To deal with the unavailability of measurement of optimization errors, an output observer is constructed,based on which adaptive laws are designed to compensate for physical uncertainties. With adaptive laws, a new distributed Nash equilibrium seeking strategy is designed by further integrating consensus protocols and gradient search algorithms.Moreover, to further accommodate compromised communication weights resulting from cyber-uncertainties, the coupling strengths of the consensus module are designed to be adaptive. As a byproduct, the coupling strengths are independent of any global information. With theoretical investigations, it is proven that the proposed strategies are resilient to these uncertainties and players' actions are convergent to the Nash equilibrium. Simulation examples are given to numerically validate the effectiveness of the proposed strategies.展开更多
Ship outfitting is a key process in shipbuilding.Efficient and high-quality ship outfitting is a top priority for modern shipyards.These activities are conducted at different stations of shipyards.The outfitting plan ...Ship outfitting is a key process in shipbuilding.Efficient and high-quality ship outfitting is a top priority for modern shipyards.These activities are conducted at different stations of shipyards.The outfitting plan is one of the crucial issues in shipbuilding.In this paper,production scheduling and material ordering with endogenous uncertainty of the outfitting process are investigated.The uncertain factors in outfitting equipment production are usually decision-related,which leads to difficulties in addressing uncertainties in the outfitting production workshops before production is conducted according to plan.This uncertainty is regarded as endogenous uncertainty and can be treated as non-anticipativity constraints in the model.To address this problem,a stochastic two-stage programming model with endogenous uncertainty is established to optimize the outfitting job scheduling and raw material ordering process.A practical case of the shipyard of China Merchants Heavy Industry Co.,Ltd.is used to evaluate the performance of the proposed method.Satisfactory results are achieved at the lowest expected total cost as the complete kit rate of outfitting equipment is improved and emergency replenishment is reduced.展开更多
Robustness against measurement uncertainties is crucial for gas turbine engine diagnosis.While current research focuses mainly on measurement noise,measurement bias remains challenging.This study proposes a novel perf...Robustness against measurement uncertainties is crucial for gas turbine engine diagnosis.While current research focuses mainly on measurement noise,measurement bias remains challenging.This study proposes a novel performance-based fault detection and identification(FDI)strategy for twin-shaft turbofan gas turbine engines and addresses these uncertainties through a first-order Takagi-Sugeno-Kang fuzzy inference system.To handle ambient condition changes,we use parameter correction to preprocess the raw measurement data,which reduces the FDI’s system complexity.Additionally,the power-level angle is set as a scheduling parameter to reduce the number of rules in the TSK-based FDI system.The data for designing,training,and testing the proposed FDI strategy are generated using a component-level turbofan engine model.The antecedent and consequent parameters of the TSK-based FDI system are optimized using the particle swarm optimization algorithm and ridge regression.A robust structure combining a specialized fuzzy inference system with the TSK-based FDI system is proposed to handle measurement biases.The performance of the first-order TSK-based FDI system and robust FDI structure are evaluated through comprehensive simulation studies.Comparative studies confirm the superior accuracy of the first-order TSK-based FDI system in fault detection,isolation,and identification.The robust structure demonstrates a 2%-8%improvement in the success rate index under relatively large measurement bias conditions,thereby indicating excellent robustness.Accuracy against significant bias values and computation time are also evaluated,suggesting that the proposed robust structure has desirable online performance.This study proposes a novel FDI strategy that effectively addresses measurement uncertainties.展开更多
Accurate estimation of understory terrain has significant scientific importance for maintaining ecosystem balance and biodiversity conservation.Addressing the issue of inadequate representation of spatial heterogeneit...Accurate estimation of understory terrain has significant scientific importance for maintaining ecosystem balance and biodiversity conservation.Addressing the issue of inadequate representation of spatial heterogeneity when traditional forest topographic inversion methods consider the entire forest as the inversion unit,this study pro⁃poses a differentiated modeling approach to forest types based on refined land cover classification.Taking Puerto Ri⁃co and Maryland as study areas,a multi-dimensional feature system is constructed by integrating multi-source re⁃mote sensing data:ICESat-2 spaceborne LiDAR is used to obtain benchmark values for understory terrain,topo⁃graphic factors such as slope and aspect are extracted based on SRTM data,and vegetation cover characteristics are analyzed using Landsat-8 multispectral imagery.This study incorporates forest type as a classification modeling con⁃dition and applies the random forest algorithm to build differentiated topographic inversion models.Experimental re⁃sults indicate that,compared to traditional whole-area modeling methods(RMSE=5.06 m),forest type-based classi⁃fication modeling significantly improves the accuracy of understory terrain estimation(RMSE=2.94 m),validating the effectiveness of spatial heterogeneity modeling.Further sensitivity analysis reveals that canopy structure parame⁃ters(with RMSE variation reaching 4.11 m)exert a stronger regulatory effect on estimation accuracy compared to forest cover,providing important theoretical support for optimizing remote sensing models of forest topography.展开更多
The continuously increasing renewable energy sources(RES)and demand response(DR)are becoming crucial sources of system flexibility.Consequently,decision-dependent uncertainties(DDUs),inter-changeably referred to as en...The continuously increasing renewable energy sources(RES)and demand response(DR)are becoming crucial sources of system flexibility.Consequently,decision-dependent uncertainties(DDUs),inter-changeably referred to as endogenous uncertainties,impose new characteristics on power system dis-patch.The DDUs faced by system operators originate from uncertain dispatchable resources such as RES units or DR,while reserve providers encounter DDUs from the uncertain reserve deployment.Thus,a systematic framework was established in this study to address robust dispatch problems with DDUs.The main contributions are drawn as follows.①The robust characterization of DDUs was unfolded with a dependency decomposition structure.②A generic DDU coping mechanism was manifested as the bilateral matching between uncertainty and flexibility.③The influence of DDU incorporation on the convexity/non-convexity of robust dispatch problems was analyzed.④Generic solution algorithms adaptive for DDUs were proposed.Under this framework,the inherent distinctions and correlations between DDUs and decision-independent uncertainties(DIUs)were revealed,laying a fundamental theoretical foundation for the economic and reliable operation of RES-dominated power systems.Illustrative applications in the source and demand sides are provided to show the significance of considering DDUs and demonstrate the proposed theoretical results.展开更多
To elucidate the fracturing mechanism of deep hard rock under complex disturbance environments,this study investigates the dynamic failure behavior of pre-damaged granite subjected to multi-source dynamic disturbances...To elucidate the fracturing mechanism of deep hard rock under complex disturbance environments,this study investigates the dynamic failure behavior of pre-damaged granite subjected to multi-source dynamic disturbances.Blasting vibration monitoring was conducted in a deep-buried drill-and-blast tunnel to characterize in-situ dynamic loading conditions.Subsequently,true triaxial compression tests incorporating multi-source disturbances were performed using a self-developed wide-low-frequency true triaxial system to simulate disturbance accumulation and damage evolution in granite.The results demonstrate that combined dynamic disturbances and unloading damage significantly accelerate strength degradation and trigger shear-slip failure along preferentially oriented blast-induced fractures,with strength reductions up to 16.7%.Layered failure was observed on the free surface of pre-damaged granite under biaxial loading,indicating a disturbance-induced fracture localization mechanism.Time-stress-fracture-energy coupling fields were constructed to reveal the spatiotemporal characteristics of fracture evolution.Critical precursor frequency bands(105-150,185-225,and 300-325 kHz)were identified,which serve as diagnostic signatures of impending failure.A dynamic instability mechanism driven by multi-source disturbance superposition and pre-damage evolution was established.Furthermore,a grouting-based wave-absorption control strategy was proposed to mitigate deep dynamic disasters by attenuating disturbance amplitude and reducing excitation frequency.展开更多
The SiO_(2) inverse opal photonic crystals(PC)with a three-dimensional macroporous structure were fabricated by the sacrificial template method,followed by infiltration of a pyrene derivative,1-(pyren-8-yl)but-3-en-1-...The SiO_(2) inverse opal photonic crystals(PC)with a three-dimensional macroporous structure were fabricated by the sacrificial template method,followed by infiltration of a pyrene derivative,1-(pyren-8-yl)but-3-en-1-amine(PEA),to achieve a formaldehyde(FA)-sensitive and fluorescence-enhanced sensing film.Utilizing the specific Aza-Cope rearrangement reaction of allylamine of PEA and FA to generate a strong fluorescent product emitted at approximately 480 nm,we chose a PC whose blue band edge of stopband overlapped with the fluorescence emission wavelength.In virtue of the fluorescence enhancement property derived from slow photon effect of PC,FA was detected highly selectively and sensitively.The limit of detection(LoD)was calculated to be 1.38 nmol/L.Furthermore,the fast detection of FA(within 1 min)is realized due to the interconnected three-dimensional macroporous structure of the inverse opal PC and its high specific surface area.The prepared sensing film can be used for the detection of FA in air,aquatic products and living cells.The very close FA content in indoor air to the result from FA detector,the recovery rate of 101.5%for detecting FA in aquatic products and fast fluorescence imaging in 2 min for living cells demonstrate the reliability and accuracy of our method in practical applications.展开更多
Due to the development of cloud computing and machine learning,users can upload their data to the cloud for machine learning model training.However,dishonest clouds may infer user data,resulting in user data leakage.P...Due to the development of cloud computing and machine learning,users can upload their data to the cloud for machine learning model training.However,dishonest clouds may infer user data,resulting in user data leakage.Previous schemes have achieved secure outsourced computing,but they suffer from low computational accuracy,difficult-to-handle heterogeneous distribution of data from multiple sources,and high computational cost,which result in extremely poor user experience and expensive cloud computing costs.To address the above problems,we propose amulti-precision,multi-sourced,andmulti-key outsourcing neural network training scheme.Firstly,we design a multi-precision functional encryption computation based on Euclidean division.Second,we design the outsourcing model training algorithm based on a multi-precision functional encryption with multi-sourced heterogeneity.Finally,we conduct experiments on three datasets.The results indicate that our framework achieves an accuracy improvement of 6%to 30%.Additionally,it offers a memory space optimization of 1.0×2^(24) times compared to the previous best approach.展开更多
Accurate monitoring of track irregularities is very helpful to improving the vehicle operation quality and to formulating appropriate track maintenance strategies.Existing methods have the problem that they rely on co...Accurate monitoring of track irregularities is very helpful to improving the vehicle operation quality and to formulating appropriate track maintenance strategies.Existing methods have the problem that they rely on complex signal processing algorithms and lack multi-source data analysis.Driven by multi-source measurement data,including the axle box,the bogie frame and the carbody accelerations,this paper proposes a track irregularities monitoring network(TIMNet)based on deep learning methods.TIMNet uses the feature extraction capability of convolutional neural networks and the sequence map-ping capability of the long short-term memory model to explore the mapping relationship between vehicle accelerations and track irregularities.The particle swarm optimization algorithm is used to optimize the network parameters,so that both the vertical and lateral track irregularities can be accurately identified in the time and spatial domains.The effectiveness and superiority of the proposed TIMNet is analyzed under different simulation conditions using a vehicle dynamics model.Field tests are conducted to prove the availability of the proposed TIMNet in quantitatively monitoring vertical and lateral track irregularities.Furthermore,comparative tests show that the TIMNet has a better fitting degree and timeliness in monitoring track irregularities(vertical R2 of 0.91,lateral R2 of 0.84 and time cost of 10 ms),compared to other classical regression.The test also proves that the TIMNet has a better anti-interference ability than other regression models.展开更多
In the heterogeneous power internet of things(IoT)environment,data signals are acquired to support different business systems to realize advanced intelligent applications,with massive,multi-source,heterogeneous and ot...In the heterogeneous power internet of things(IoT)environment,data signals are acquired to support different business systems to realize advanced intelligent applications,with massive,multi-source,heterogeneous and other characteristics.Reliable perception of information and efficient transmission of energy in multi-source heterogeneous environments are crucial issues.Compressive sensing(CS),as an effective method of signal compression and transmission,can accurately recover the original signal only by very few sampling.In this paper,we study a new method of multi-source heterogeneous data signal reconstruction of power IoT based on compressive sensing technology.Based on the traditional compressive sensing technology to directly recover multi-source heterogeneous signals,we fully use the interference subspace information to design the measurement matrix,which directly and effectively eliminates the interference while making the measurement.The measure matrix is optimized by minimizing the average cross-coherence of the matrix,and the reconstruction performance of the new method is further improved.Finally,the effectiveness of the new method with different parameter settings under different multi-source heterogeneous data signal cases is verified by using orthogonal matching pursuit(OMP)and sparsity adaptive matching pursuit(SAMP)for considering the actual environment with prior information utilization of signal sparsity and no prior information utilization of signal sparsity.展开更多
As the core of spatial planning in China,delineation of the production-living-ecological space(PLES)refers to dividing the overall land use into three functional spaces.Spatial units are optimally configured as the mo...As the core of spatial planning in China,delineation of the production-living-ecological space(PLES)refers to dividing the overall land use into three functional spaces.Spatial units are optimally configured as the most suitable functional type,while beset by various uncertainties.Weight uncertainties,being affected by subjective preferences,are highly arbitrary and seriously affect PLES.Taking Xuzhou as the study area,this paper studies the perturbation mechanism and response measure of weight uncertainties on PLES.First,weight samples are obtained through quasi-random sampling to serve as sources of uncertainties for input into the optimized delineation of PLES.Next,the Monte Carlo simulation is applied to simulate the spatial probability distribution of PLES.The global sensitivity analysis method is then adopted to identify the main sources that cause uncertainties in the delineation of PLES.Subsequently,the flexible space(FS)of PLES at a certain level of significance is formulated by comparing the distribution probabilities of spatial units for different functional spaces,acting as a countermeasure for the perturbation.The results show that weight uncertainties bring disturbances to the PLES by affecting the multi-criteria evaluation(MCE)of PLES delineation.The PLES is affected by the weight uncertainties of the factors alone or through interactions with other weights.FS is the spatial response measure of PLES when uncertainties occurred at a certain level of significance.The study introduces the perspective of uncertainty for PLES,which contributes toward improving the scientificity and reliability of PLES.展开更多
This paper deeply discusses the causes of gear howling noise,the identification and analysis of multi-source excitation,the transmission path of dynamic noise,simulation and experimental research,case analysis,optimiz...This paper deeply discusses the causes of gear howling noise,the identification and analysis of multi-source excitation,the transmission path of dynamic noise,simulation and experimental research,case analysis,optimization effect,etc.,aiming to better provide a certain guideline and reference for relevant researchers.展开更多
With the acceleration of intelligent transformation of energy system,the monitoring of equipment operation status and optimization of production process in thermal power plants face the challenge of multi-source heter...With the acceleration of intelligent transformation of energy system,the monitoring of equipment operation status and optimization of production process in thermal power plants face the challenge of multi-source heterogeneous data integration.In view of the heterogeneous characteristics of physical sensor data,including temperature,vibration and pressure that generated by boilers,steam turbines and other key equipment and real-time working condition data of SCADA system,this paper proposes a multi-source heterogeneous data fusion and analysis platform for thermal power plants based on edge computing and deep learning.By constructing a multi-level fusion architecture,the platform adopts dynamic weight allocation strategy and 5D digital twin model to realize the collaborative analysis of physical sensor data,simulation calculation results and expert knowledge.The data fusion module combines Kalman filter,wavelet transform and Bayesian estimation method to solve the problem of data time series alignment and dimension difference.Simulation results show that the data fusion accuracy can be improved to more than 98%,and the calculation delay can be controlled within 500 ms.The data analysis module integrates Dymola simulation model and AERMOD pollutant diffusion model,supports the cascade analysis of boiler combustion efficiency prediction and flue gas emission monitoring,system response time is less than 2 seconds,and data consistency verification accuracy reaches 99.5%.展开更多
Multi-source data fusion provides high-precision spatial situational awareness essential for analyzing granular urban social activities.This study used Shanghai’s catering industry as a case study,leveraging electron...Multi-source data fusion provides high-precision spatial situational awareness essential for analyzing granular urban social activities.This study used Shanghai’s catering industry as a case study,leveraging electronic reviews and consumer data sourced from third-party restaurant platforms collected in 2021.By performing weighted processing on two-dimensional point-of-interest(POI)data,clustering hotspots of high-dimensional restaurant data were identified.A hierarchical network of restaurant hotspots was constructed following the Central Place Theory(CPT)framework,while the Geo-Informatic Tupu method was employed to resolve the challenges posed by network deformation in multi-scale processes.These findings suggest the necessity of enhancing the spatial balance of Shanghai’s urban centers by moderately increasing the number and service capacity of suburban centers at the urban periphery.Such measures would contribute to a more optimized urban structure and facilitate the outward dispersion of comfort-oriented facilities such as the restaurant industry.At a finer spatial scale,the distribution of restaurant hotspots demonstrates a polycentric and symmetric spatial pattern,with a developmental trend radiating outward along the city’s ring roads.This trend can be attributed to the efforts of restaurants to establish connections with other urban functional spaces,leading to the reconfiguration of urban spaces,expansion of restaurant-dedicated land use,and the reorganization of associated commercial activities.The results validate the existence of a polycentric urban structure in Shanghai but also highlight the instability of the restaurant hotspot network during cross-scale transitions.展开更多
Accurate estimation of rockfall trajectories is essential for mitigation of rockfall hazards.Nowadays,Doppler radar technologies can measure rockfall trajectories with centimeter resolution.Calibrating a numerical mod...Accurate estimation of rockfall trajectories is essential for mitigation of rockfall hazards.Nowadays,Doppler radar technologies can measure rockfall trajectories with centimeter resolution.Calibrating a numerical model to fit these measured trajectories,i.e.back analysis,often involves manual trial-anderror processes and subjective goodness-of-fit criteria.Here,we propose a framework that uses the chi-square statistic to quantify the misfit between modeled and measured rockfall trajectories.The framework can also quantify the uncertainty bounds on the best-fit model parameters.The approach is validated using field data from an Australian copper mine under two scenarios.(1)We perform an unconstrained back-analysis where the initial position and velocity of the rock,in addition to the coefficients of restitution(COR),are free variables.This scenario yields a normal COR Rn?0.866±0.109 and tangential COR R_(t)=0.29±0.151 with 68%confidence.(2)We perform a constrained back-analysis using predetermined initial position and velocity of the rock,which further constrains Rn to 0.8±0.014 and Rt to 0.39±0.065.Both scenarios show a higher uncertainty in Rt than in Rn.We also demonstrate the adaptability of the back-analysis framework to two-dimensional(2D)rockfall modeling using the same data.To the best of our knowledge,this is the first quantitative goodness-of-fit metric for trajectorybased rockfall back analysis that supports the estimation of inherent uncertainty.The simplicity of the metric lends itself to robust model optimization of rockfall back-analysis and can be adapted to other model assumptions(e.g.rigid-body mechanics)and metrics(e.g.velocity or energy).展开更多
This study investigates the relationships between agricultural spot markets and external uncertainties through multifractal detrending moving-average cross-correlation analysis(MF-X-DMA).The dataset contains the Grain...This study investigates the relationships between agricultural spot markets and external uncertainties through multifractal detrending moving-average cross-correlation analysis(MF-X-DMA).The dataset contains the Grains&Oilseeds Index(GOI)and its five subindices for wheat,maize,soyabeans,rice,and barley.Moreover,we use three uncertainty proxies,namely,economic policy uncertainty(EPU),geopolitical risk(GPR),and Volatility Index(VIX).We observe multifractal cross-correlations between agricultural markets and uncertainties.Furthermore,statistical tests reveal that maize has intrinsic joint multifractality with all the uncertainty proxies,highly sensitive to external shocks.Additionally,intrinsic multifractality among GOI-GPR,wheat-GPR,and soyabeans-VIX is illustrated.However,other series have apparent multifractal crosscorrelations with high probabilities.Moreover,our analysis suggests that among the three types of external uncertainties,GPR has the strongest association with grain prices,excluding maize and soyabeans.展开更多
基金This work was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(51775020,51875019)the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities(YWF-20-BJ-J-515).
文摘The planetary reducer is a common type of transmission mechanism,which can provide high transmission accuracy and has been widely used,and it is usually required with high reliability of transmission characteristics in practice.During the manufacturing and usage stages of planetary reducers,uncertainties are ubiquitous and wear is inevitable,which affect the transmission characteristics and the reliability of planetary reducers.In this paper,belief reliability modeling and analysis considering multi-uncertainties and wear are proposed for planetary reducers.Firstly,based on the functional principle and the influence of wear,the performance margin degradation model is established using the hysteresis error as the key performance parameter,where the degradation is mainly caused by the accumulated wear.After that,multi-source uncertainties are analyzed and quantified separately,including manufacturing errors,uncertainties in operational and environmental conditions,and uncertainties in performance thresholds.Finally,the belief reliability model is established based on the performance margin degradation model.A case study of a planetary reducer is applied and the reliability sensitivity analysis is implemented to show the practicability of the proposed method.The results show that the proposed method can provide some suggestions to the design and manufacturing phases of the planetary reducer.
基金sponsored by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.52178100).
文摘The spatial offset of bridge has a significant impact on the safety,comfort,and durability of high-speed railway(HSR)operations,so it is crucial to rapidly and effectively detect the spatial offset of operational HSR bridges.Drive-by monitoring of bridge uneven settlement demonstrates significant potential due to its practicality,cost-effectiveness,and efficiency.However,existing drive-by methods for detecting bridge offset have limitations such as reliance on a single data source,low detection accuracy,and the inability to identify lateral deformations of bridges.This paper proposes a novel drive-by inspection method for spatial offset of HSR bridge based on multi-source data fusion of comprehensive inspection train.Firstly,dung beetle optimizer-variational mode decomposition was employed to achieve adaptive decomposition of non-stationary dynamic signals,and explore the hidden temporal relationships in the data.Subsequently,a long short-term memory neural network was developed to achieve feature fusion of multi-source signal and accurate prediction of spatial settlement of HSR bridge.A dataset of track irregularities and CRH380A high-speed train responses was generated using a 3D train-track-bridge interaction model,and the accuracy and effectiveness of the proposed hybrid deep learning model were numerically validated.Finally,the reliability of the proposed drive-by inspection method was further validated by analyzing the actual measurement data obtained from comprehensive inspection train.The research findings indicate that the proposed approach enables rapid and accurate detection of spatial offset in HSR bridge,ensuring the long-term operational safety of HSR bridges.
基金supported by the National Research Foundation of Korea(NRF)grant funded by the Korea government(MSIT)(No.RS-2024-00406320)the Institute of Information&Communica-tions Technology Planning&Evaluation(IITP)-Innovative Human Resource Development for Local Intellectualization Program Grant funded by the Korea government(MSIT)(IITP-2026-RS-2023-00259678).
文摘Domain adaptation aims to reduce the distribution gap between the training data(source domain)and the target data.This enables effective predictions even for domains not seen during training.However,most conventional domain adaptation methods assume a single source domain,making them less suitable for modern deep learning settings that rely on diverse and large-scale datasets.To address this limitation,recent research has focused on Multi-Source Domain Adaptation(MSDA),which aims to learn effectively from multiple source domains.In this paper,we propose Efficient Domain Transition for Multi-source(EDTM),a novel and efficient framework designed to tackle two major challenges in existing MSDA approaches:(1)integrating knowledge across different source domains and(2)aligning label distributions between source and target domains.EDTM leverages an ensemble-based classifier expert mechanism to enhance the contribution of source domains that are more similar to the target domain.To further stabilize the learning process and improve performance,we incorporate imitation learning into the training of the target model.In addition,Maximum Classifier Discrepancy(MCD)is employed to align class-wise label distributions between the source and target domains.Experiments were conducted using Digits-Five,one of the most representative benchmark datasets for MSDA.The results show that EDTM consistently outperforms existing methods in terms of average classification accuracy.Notably,EDTM achieved significantly higher performance on target domains such as Modified National Institute of Standards and Technolog with blended background images(MNIST-M)and Street View House Numbers(SVHN)datasets,demonstrating enhanced generalization compared to baseline approaches.Furthermore,an ablation study analyzing the contribution of each loss component validated the effectiveness of the framework,highlighting the importance of each module in achieving optimal performance.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Nos.42376185,41876111)the Shandong Provincial Natural Science Foundation(No.ZR2023MD073)。
文摘Benthic habitat mapping is an emerging discipline in the international marine field in recent years,providing an effective tool for marine spatial planning,marine ecological management,and decision-making applications.Seabed sediment classification is one of the main contents of seabed habitat mapping.In response to the impact of remote sensing imaging quality and the limitations of acoustic measurement range,where a single data source does not fully reflect the substrate type,we proposed a high-precision seabed habitat sediment classification method that integrates data from multiple sources.Based on WorldView-2 multi-spectral remote sensing image data and multibeam bathymetry data,constructed a random forests(RF)classifier with optimal feature selection.A seabed sediment classification experiment integrating optical remote sensing and acoustic remote sensing data was carried out in the shallow water area of Wuzhizhou Island,Hainan,South China.Different seabed sediment types,such as sand,seagrass,and coral reefs were effectively identified,with an overall classification accuracy of 92%.Experimental results show that RF matrix optimized by fusing multi-source remote sensing data for feature selection were better than the classification results of simple combinations of data sources,which improved the accuracy of seabed sediment classification.Therefore,the method proposed in this paper can be effectively applied to high-precision seabed sediment classification and habitat mapping around islands and reefs.
基金supported by the National Key R&D Program of China(2022ZD0119604)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(NSFC)(62173181,62222308,62221004)the Natural Science Foundation of Jiangsu Province(BK20220139)
文摘This paper designs distributed Nash equilibrium seeking strategies for heterogeneous dynamic cyber-physical systems.In particular, we are concerned with parametric uncertainties in the control channel of the players. Moreover, the weights on communication links can be compromised by time-varying uncertainties, which can result from possibly malicious attacks,faults and disturbances. To deal with the unavailability of measurement of optimization errors, an output observer is constructed,based on which adaptive laws are designed to compensate for physical uncertainties. With adaptive laws, a new distributed Nash equilibrium seeking strategy is designed by further integrating consensus protocols and gradient search algorithms.Moreover, to further accommodate compromised communication weights resulting from cyber-uncertainties, the coupling strengths of the consensus module are designed to be adaptive. As a byproduct, the coupling strengths are independent of any global information. With theoretical investigations, it is proven that the proposed strategies are resilient to these uncertainties and players' actions are convergent to the Nash equilibrium. Simulation examples are given to numerically validate the effectiveness of the proposed strategies.
基金supported in part by the High-tech ship scientific research project of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology of the People’s Republic of China,and the National Nature Science Foundation of China(Grant No.71671113)the Science and Technology Department of Shaanxi Province(No.2020GY-219)the Ministry of Education Collaborative Project of Production,Learning and Research(No.201901024016).
文摘Ship outfitting is a key process in shipbuilding.Efficient and high-quality ship outfitting is a top priority for modern shipyards.These activities are conducted at different stations of shipyards.The outfitting plan is one of the crucial issues in shipbuilding.In this paper,production scheduling and material ordering with endogenous uncertainty of the outfitting process are investigated.The uncertain factors in outfitting equipment production are usually decision-related,which leads to difficulties in addressing uncertainties in the outfitting production workshops before production is conducted according to plan.This uncertainty is regarded as endogenous uncertainty and can be treated as non-anticipativity constraints in the model.To address this problem,a stochastic two-stage programming model with endogenous uncertainty is established to optimize the outfitting job scheduling and raw material ordering process.A practical case of the shipyard of China Merchants Heavy Industry Co.,Ltd.is used to evaluate the performance of the proposed method.Satisfactory results are achieved at the lowest expected total cost as the complete kit rate of outfitting equipment is improved and emergency replenishment is reduced.
文摘Robustness against measurement uncertainties is crucial for gas turbine engine diagnosis.While current research focuses mainly on measurement noise,measurement bias remains challenging.This study proposes a novel performance-based fault detection and identification(FDI)strategy for twin-shaft turbofan gas turbine engines and addresses these uncertainties through a first-order Takagi-Sugeno-Kang fuzzy inference system.To handle ambient condition changes,we use parameter correction to preprocess the raw measurement data,which reduces the FDI’s system complexity.Additionally,the power-level angle is set as a scheduling parameter to reduce the number of rules in the TSK-based FDI system.The data for designing,training,and testing the proposed FDI strategy are generated using a component-level turbofan engine model.The antecedent and consequent parameters of the TSK-based FDI system are optimized using the particle swarm optimization algorithm and ridge regression.A robust structure combining a specialized fuzzy inference system with the TSK-based FDI system is proposed to handle measurement biases.The performance of the first-order TSK-based FDI system and robust FDI structure are evaluated through comprehensive simulation studies.Comparative studies confirm the superior accuracy of the first-order TSK-based FDI system in fault detection,isolation,and identification.The robust structure demonstrates a 2%-8%improvement in the success rate index under relatively large measurement bias conditions,thereby indicating excellent robustness.Accuracy against significant bias values and computation time are also evaluated,suggesting that the proposed robust structure has desirable online performance.This study proposes a novel FDI strategy that effectively addresses measurement uncertainties.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(42401488,42071351)the National Key Research and Development Program of China(2020YFA0608501,2017YFB0504204)+4 种基金the Liaoning Revitalization Talents Program(XLYC1802027)the Talent Recruited Program of the Chinese Academy of Science(Y938091)the Project Supported Discipline Innovation Team of the Liaoning Technical University(LNTU20TD-23)the Liaoning Province Doctoral Research Initiation Fund Program(2023-BS-202)the Basic Research Projects of Liaoning Department of Education(JYTQN2023202)。
文摘Accurate estimation of understory terrain has significant scientific importance for maintaining ecosystem balance and biodiversity conservation.Addressing the issue of inadequate representation of spatial heterogeneity when traditional forest topographic inversion methods consider the entire forest as the inversion unit,this study pro⁃poses a differentiated modeling approach to forest types based on refined land cover classification.Taking Puerto Ri⁃co and Maryland as study areas,a multi-dimensional feature system is constructed by integrating multi-source re⁃mote sensing data:ICESat-2 spaceborne LiDAR is used to obtain benchmark values for understory terrain,topo⁃graphic factors such as slope and aspect are extracted based on SRTM data,and vegetation cover characteristics are analyzed using Landsat-8 multispectral imagery.This study incorporates forest type as a classification modeling con⁃dition and applies the random forest algorithm to build differentiated topographic inversion models.Experimental re⁃sults indicate that,compared to traditional whole-area modeling methods(RMSE=5.06 m),forest type-based classi⁃fication modeling significantly improves the accuracy of understory terrain estimation(RMSE=2.94 m),validating the effectiveness of spatial heterogeneity modeling.Further sensitivity analysis reveals that canopy structure parame⁃ters(with RMSE variation reaching 4.11 m)exert a stronger regulatory effect on estimation accuracy compared to forest cover,providing important theoretical support for optimizing remote sensing models of forest topography.
基金supported by the Joint Research Fund in Smart Grid(U1966601)under cooperative agreement between the National Natural Science Foundation of China(NSFC)and State Grid Corporation of China.
文摘The continuously increasing renewable energy sources(RES)and demand response(DR)are becoming crucial sources of system flexibility.Consequently,decision-dependent uncertainties(DDUs),inter-changeably referred to as endogenous uncertainties,impose new characteristics on power system dis-patch.The DDUs faced by system operators originate from uncertain dispatchable resources such as RES units or DR,while reserve providers encounter DDUs from the uncertain reserve deployment.Thus,a systematic framework was established in this study to address robust dispatch problems with DDUs.The main contributions are drawn as follows.①The robust characterization of DDUs was unfolded with a dependency decomposition structure.②A generic DDU coping mechanism was manifested as the bilateral matching between uncertainty and flexibility.③The influence of DDU incorporation on the convexity/non-convexity of robust dispatch problems was analyzed.④Generic solution algorithms adaptive for DDUs were proposed.Under this framework,the inherent distinctions and correlations between DDUs and decision-independent uncertainties(DIUs)were revealed,laying a fundamental theoretical foundation for the economic and reliable operation of RES-dominated power systems.Illustrative applications in the source and demand sides are provided to show the significance of considering DDUs and demonstrate the proposed theoretical results.
基金supported by the National Key R&D Program of China(No.2023YFB2603602)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Nos.52222810 and 52178383).
文摘To elucidate the fracturing mechanism of deep hard rock under complex disturbance environments,this study investigates the dynamic failure behavior of pre-damaged granite subjected to multi-source dynamic disturbances.Blasting vibration monitoring was conducted in a deep-buried drill-and-blast tunnel to characterize in-situ dynamic loading conditions.Subsequently,true triaxial compression tests incorporating multi-source disturbances were performed using a self-developed wide-low-frequency true triaxial system to simulate disturbance accumulation and damage evolution in granite.The results demonstrate that combined dynamic disturbances and unloading damage significantly accelerate strength degradation and trigger shear-slip failure along preferentially oriented blast-induced fractures,with strength reductions up to 16.7%.Layered failure was observed on the free surface of pre-damaged granite under biaxial loading,indicating a disturbance-induced fracture localization mechanism.Time-stress-fracture-energy coupling fields were constructed to reveal the spatiotemporal characteristics of fracture evolution.Critical precursor frequency bands(105-150,185-225,and 300-325 kHz)were identified,which serve as diagnostic signatures of impending failure.A dynamic instability mechanism driven by multi-source disturbance superposition and pre-damage evolution was established.Furthermore,a grouting-based wave-absorption control strategy was proposed to mitigate deep dynamic disasters by attenuating disturbance amplitude and reducing excitation frequency.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(21663032 and 22061041)the Open Sharing Platform for Scientific and Technological Resources of Shaanxi Province(2021PT-004)the National Innovation and Entrepreneurship Training Program for College Students of China(S202110719044)。
文摘The SiO_(2) inverse opal photonic crystals(PC)with a three-dimensional macroporous structure were fabricated by the sacrificial template method,followed by infiltration of a pyrene derivative,1-(pyren-8-yl)but-3-en-1-amine(PEA),to achieve a formaldehyde(FA)-sensitive and fluorescence-enhanced sensing film.Utilizing the specific Aza-Cope rearrangement reaction of allylamine of PEA and FA to generate a strong fluorescent product emitted at approximately 480 nm,we chose a PC whose blue band edge of stopband overlapped with the fluorescence emission wavelength.In virtue of the fluorescence enhancement property derived from slow photon effect of PC,FA was detected highly selectively and sensitively.The limit of detection(LoD)was calculated to be 1.38 nmol/L.Furthermore,the fast detection of FA(within 1 min)is realized due to the interconnected three-dimensional macroporous structure of the inverse opal PC and its high specific surface area.The prepared sensing film can be used for the detection of FA in air,aquatic products and living cells.The very close FA content in indoor air to the result from FA detector,the recovery rate of 101.5%for detecting FA in aquatic products and fast fluorescence imaging in 2 min for living cells demonstrate the reliability and accuracy of our method in practical applications.
基金supported by Natural Science Foundation of China(Nos.62303126,62362008,author Z.Z,https://www.nsfc.gov.cn/,accessed on 20 December 2024)Major Scientific and Technological Special Project of Guizhou Province([2024]014)+2 种基金Guizhou Provincial Science and Technology Projects(No.ZK[2022]General149) ,author Z.Z,https://kjt.guizhou.gov.cn/,accessed on 20 December 2024)The Open Project of the Key Laboratory of Computing Power Network and Information Security,Ministry of Education under Grant 2023ZD037,author Z.Z,https://www.gzu.edu.cn/,accessed on 20 December 2024)Open Research Project of the State Key Laboratory of Industrial Control Technology,Zhejiang University,China(No.ICT2024B25),author Z.Z,https://www.gzu.edu.cn/,accessed on 20 December 2024).
文摘Due to the development of cloud computing and machine learning,users can upload their data to the cloud for machine learning model training.However,dishonest clouds may infer user data,resulting in user data leakage.Previous schemes have achieved secure outsourced computing,but they suffer from low computational accuracy,difficult-to-handle heterogeneous distribution of data from multiple sources,and high computational cost,which result in extremely poor user experience and expensive cloud computing costs.To address the above problems,we propose amulti-precision,multi-sourced,andmulti-key outsourcing neural network training scheme.Firstly,we design a multi-precision functional encryption computation based on Euclidean division.Second,we design the outsourcing model training algorithm based on a multi-precision functional encryption with multi-sourced heterogeneity.Finally,we conduct experiments on three datasets.The results indicate that our framework achieves an accuracy improvement of 6%to 30%.Additionally,it offers a memory space optimization of 1.0×2^(24) times compared to the previous best approach.
基金supported by the Sichuan Science and Technology Program(Nos.2024JDRC0100 and 2023YFQ0091)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Nos.U21A20167 and 52475138)the Scientific Research Foundation of the State Key Laboratory of Rail Transit Vehicle System(No.2024RVL-T08).
文摘Accurate monitoring of track irregularities is very helpful to improving the vehicle operation quality and to formulating appropriate track maintenance strategies.Existing methods have the problem that they rely on complex signal processing algorithms and lack multi-source data analysis.Driven by multi-source measurement data,including the axle box,the bogie frame and the carbody accelerations,this paper proposes a track irregularities monitoring network(TIMNet)based on deep learning methods.TIMNet uses the feature extraction capability of convolutional neural networks and the sequence map-ping capability of the long short-term memory model to explore the mapping relationship between vehicle accelerations and track irregularities.The particle swarm optimization algorithm is used to optimize the network parameters,so that both the vertical and lateral track irregularities can be accurately identified in the time and spatial domains.The effectiveness and superiority of the proposed TIMNet is analyzed under different simulation conditions using a vehicle dynamics model.Field tests are conducted to prove the availability of the proposed TIMNet in quantitatively monitoring vertical and lateral track irregularities.Furthermore,comparative tests show that the TIMNet has a better fitting degree and timeliness in monitoring track irregularities(vertical R2 of 0.91,lateral R2 of 0.84 and time cost of 10 ms),compared to other classical regression.The test also proves that the TIMNet has a better anti-interference ability than other regression models.
基金supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China(12174350)Science and Technology Project of State Grid Henan Electric Power Company(5217Q0240008).
文摘In the heterogeneous power internet of things(IoT)environment,data signals are acquired to support different business systems to realize advanced intelligent applications,with massive,multi-source,heterogeneous and other characteristics.Reliable perception of information and efficient transmission of energy in multi-source heterogeneous environments are crucial issues.Compressive sensing(CS),as an effective method of signal compression and transmission,can accurately recover the original signal only by very few sampling.In this paper,we study a new method of multi-source heterogeneous data signal reconstruction of power IoT based on compressive sensing technology.Based on the traditional compressive sensing technology to directly recover multi-source heterogeneous signals,we fully use the interference subspace information to design the measurement matrix,which directly and effectively eliminates the interference while making the measurement.The measure matrix is optimized by minimizing the average cross-coherence of the matrix,and the reconstruction performance of the new method is further improved.Finally,the effectiveness of the new method with different parameter settings under different multi-source heterogeneous data signal cases is verified by using orthogonal matching pursuit(OMP)and sparsity adaptive matching pursuit(SAMP)for considering the actual environment with prior information utilization of signal sparsity and no prior information utilization of signal sparsity.
基金Under the auspices of National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.42171248,42371273)。
文摘As the core of spatial planning in China,delineation of the production-living-ecological space(PLES)refers to dividing the overall land use into three functional spaces.Spatial units are optimally configured as the most suitable functional type,while beset by various uncertainties.Weight uncertainties,being affected by subjective preferences,are highly arbitrary and seriously affect PLES.Taking Xuzhou as the study area,this paper studies the perturbation mechanism and response measure of weight uncertainties on PLES.First,weight samples are obtained through quasi-random sampling to serve as sources of uncertainties for input into the optimized delineation of PLES.Next,the Monte Carlo simulation is applied to simulate the spatial probability distribution of PLES.The global sensitivity analysis method is then adopted to identify the main sources that cause uncertainties in the delineation of PLES.Subsequently,the flexible space(FS)of PLES at a certain level of significance is formulated by comparing the distribution probabilities of spatial units for different functional spaces,acting as a countermeasure for the perturbation.The results show that weight uncertainties bring disturbances to the PLES by affecting the multi-criteria evaluation(MCE)of PLES delineation.The PLES is affected by the weight uncertainties of the factors alone or through interactions with other weights.FS is the spatial response measure of PLES when uncertainties occurred at a certain level of significance.The study introduces the perspective of uncertainty for PLES,which contributes toward improving the scientificity and reliability of PLES.
文摘This paper deeply discusses the causes of gear howling noise,the identification and analysis of multi-source excitation,the transmission path of dynamic noise,simulation and experimental research,case analysis,optimization effect,etc.,aiming to better provide a certain guideline and reference for relevant researchers.
文摘With the acceleration of intelligent transformation of energy system,the monitoring of equipment operation status and optimization of production process in thermal power plants face the challenge of multi-source heterogeneous data integration.In view of the heterogeneous characteristics of physical sensor data,including temperature,vibration and pressure that generated by boilers,steam turbines and other key equipment and real-time working condition data of SCADA system,this paper proposes a multi-source heterogeneous data fusion and analysis platform for thermal power plants based on edge computing and deep learning.By constructing a multi-level fusion architecture,the platform adopts dynamic weight allocation strategy and 5D digital twin model to realize the collaborative analysis of physical sensor data,simulation calculation results and expert knowledge.The data fusion module combines Kalman filter,wavelet transform and Bayesian estimation method to solve the problem of data time series alignment and dimension difference.Simulation results show that the data fusion accuracy can be improved to more than 98%,and the calculation delay can be controlled within 500 ms.The data analysis module integrates Dymola simulation model and AERMOD pollutant diffusion model,supports the cascade analysis of boiler combustion efficiency prediction and flue gas emission monitoring,system response time is less than 2 seconds,and data consistency verification accuracy reaches 99.5%.
基金Under the auspices of the Key Program of National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.42030409)。
文摘Multi-source data fusion provides high-precision spatial situational awareness essential for analyzing granular urban social activities.This study used Shanghai’s catering industry as a case study,leveraging electronic reviews and consumer data sourced from third-party restaurant platforms collected in 2021.By performing weighted processing on two-dimensional point-of-interest(POI)data,clustering hotspots of high-dimensional restaurant data were identified.A hierarchical network of restaurant hotspots was constructed following the Central Place Theory(CPT)framework,while the Geo-Informatic Tupu method was employed to resolve the challenges posed by network deformation in multi-scale processes.These findings suggest the necessity of enhancing the spatial balance of Shanghai’s urban centers by moderately increasing the number and service capacity of suburban centers at the urban periphery.Such measures would contribute to a more optimized urban structure and facilitate the outward dispersion of comfort-oriented facilities such as the restaurant industry.At a finer spatial scale,the distribution of restaurant hotspots demonstrates a polycentric and symmetric spatial pattern,with a developmental trend radiating outward along the city’s ring roads.This trend can be attributed to the efforts of restaurants to establish connections with other urban functional spaces,leading to the reconfiguration of urban spaces,expansion of restaurant-dedicated land use,and the reorganization of associated commercial activities.The results validate the existence of a polycentric urban structure in Shanghai but also highlight the instability of the restaurant hotspot network during cross-scale transitions.
基金funding from NSERC Alliance Grant ALLRP 576858e22 in partnership with Rocscience Inc.
文摘Accurate estimation of rockfall trajectories is essential for mitigation of rockfall hazards.Nowadays,Doppler radar technologies can measure rockfall trajectories with centimeter resolution.Calibrating a numerical model to fit these measured trajectories,i.e.back analysis,often involves manual trial-anderror processes and subjective goodness-of-fit criteria.Here,we propose a framework that uses the chi-square statistic to quantify the misfit between modeled and measured rockfall trajectories.The framework can also quantify the uncertainty bounds on the best-fit model parameters.The approach is validated using field data from an Australian copper mine under two scenarios.(1)We perform an unconstrained back-analysis where the initial position and velocity of the rock,in addition to the coefficients of restitution(COR),are free variables.This scenario yields a normal COR Rn?0.866±0.109 and tangential COR R_(t)=0.29±0.151 with 68%confidence.(2)We perform a constrained back-analysis using predetermined initial position and velocity of the rock,which further constrains Rn to 0.8±0.014 and Rt to 0.39±0.065.Both scenarios show a higher uncertainty in Rt than in Rn.We also demonstrate the adaptability of the back-analysis framework to two-dimensional(2D)rockfall modeling using the same data.To the best of our knowledge,this is the first quantitative goodness-of-fit metric for trajectorybased rockfall back analysis that supports the estimation of inherent uncertainty.The simplicity of the metric lends itself to robust model optimization of rockfall back-analysis and can be adapted to other model assumptions(e.g.rigid-body mechanics)and metrics(e.g.velocity or energy).
基金supported by the National Social Science Fund Major Projects(22&ZD160).
文摘This study investigates the relationships between agricultural spot markets and external uncertainties through multifractal detrending moving-average cross-correlation analysis(MF-X-DMA).The dataset contains the Grains&Oilseeds Index(GOI)and its five subindices for wheat,maize,soyabeans,rice,and barley.Moreover,we use three uncertainty proxies,namely,economic policy uncertainty(EPU),geopolitical risk(GPR),and Volatility Index(VIX).We observe multifractal cross-correlations between agricultural markets and uncertainties.Furthermore,statistical tests reveal that maize has intrinsic joint multifractality with all the uncertainty proxies,highly sensitive to external shocks.Additionally,intrinsic multifractality among GOI-GPR,wheat-GPR,and soyabeans-VIX is illustrated.However,other series have apparent multifractal crosscorrelations with high probabilities.Moreover,our analysis suggests that among the three types of external uncertainties,GPR has the strongest association with grain prices,excluding maize and soyabeans.
