期刊文献+
共找到998篇文章
< 1 2 50 >
每页显示 20 50 100
Multi-Scenario Probabilistic Load Flow Calculation Considering Wind Speed Correlation
1
作者 Xueqian Wang Hongsheng Su 《Energy Engineering》 2025年第2期667-680,共14页
As the proportion of newenergy increases,the traditional cumulant method(CM)produces significant errorswhen performing probabilistic load flow(PLF)calculations with large-scale wind power integrated.Considering the wi... As the proportion of newenergy increases,the traditional cumulant method(CM)produces significant errorswhen performing probabilistic load flow(PLF)calculations with large-scale wind power integrated.Considering the wind speed correlation,a multi-scenario PLF calculation method that combines random sampling and segmented discrete wind farm power was proposed.Firstly,based on constructing discrete scenes of wind farms,the Nataf transform is used to handle the correlation between wind speeds.Then,the random sampling method determines the output probability of discrete wind power scenarios when wind speed exhibits correlation.Finally,the PLF calculation results of each scenario areweighted and superimposed following the total probability formula to obtain the final power flow calculation result.Verified in the IEEE standard node system,the absolute percent error(APE)for the mean and standard deviation(SD)of the node voltages and branch active power are all within 1%,and the average root mean square(AMSR)values of the probability curves are all less than 1%. 展开更多
关键词 Wind speed correlation probabilistic load flow multi-scenario PIECEWISE cumulant method
在线阅读 下载PDF
Multi-scenario Simulation for 2060 and Driving Factors of the Eco-spatial Carbon Sink in the Beibu Gulf Urban Agglomeration, China 被引量:10
2
作者 QIN Menglin ZHAO Yincheng +3 位作者 LIU Yuting JIANG Hongbo LI Hang ZHU Ziming 《Chinese Geographical Science》 SCIE CSCD 2023年第1期85-101,共17页
Since China announced its goal of becoming carbon-neutral by 2060, carbon neutrality has become a major target in the development of China's urban agglomerations. This study applied the Future Land Use Simulation(... Since China announced its goal of becoming carbon-neutral by 2060, carbon neutrality has become a major target in the development of China's urban agglomerations. This study applied the Future Land Use Simulation(FLUS) model to predict the land use pattern of the ecological space of the Beibu Gulf urban agglomeration, in 2060 under ecological priority, agricultural priority and urbanized priority scenarios. The Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Trade-offs(In VEST) model was employed to analyse the spatial changes in ecological space carbon storage in each scenario from 2020 to 2060. Then, this study used a Geographically Weighted Regression(GWR) model to determine the main driving factors that influence the changes in land carbon sinking capacity. The results of the study can be summarised as follows: firstly, the agricultural and ecological priority scenarios will achieve balanced urban expansion and environmental protection of resources in an ecological space. The urbanized priority scenario will reduce the carbon sinking capacity. Among the simulation scenarios for 2060, carbon storage in the urbanized priority scenario will decrease by 112.26 × 10^(6) t compared with that for 2020 and the average carbon density will decrease by 0.96 kg/m^(2) compared with that for 2020. Carbon storage in the agricultural priority scenario will increase by 84.11 × 10^(6) t, and the average carbon density will decrease by 0.72 kg/m^(2). Carbon storage in the ecological priority scenario will increase by 3.03 × 10^(6) t, and the average carbon density will increase by 0.03 kg/m^(2). Under the premise that the population of the town will increases continuously, the ecological priority development approach may be a wise choice.Secondly, slope, distance to river and elevation are the most important factors that influence the carbon sink pattern of the ecological space in the Beibu Gulf urban agglomeration, followed by GDP, population density, slope direction and distance to traffic infrastructure.At the same time, urban space expansion is the main cause of the changes of this natural factors. Thirdly, the decreasing trend of ecological space is difficult to reverse, so reasonable land use policy to curb the spatial expansion of cities need to be made. 展开更多
关键词 Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Trade-offs(InVEST)model carbon sink multi-scenario simulation ecological space driving factor Beibu Gulf urban agglomeration
在线阅读 下载PDF
Simulation and prediction of multi-scenario evolution of ecological space based on FLUS model: A case study of the Yangtze River Economic Belt, China 被引量:6
3
作者 LIU Xiaoqiong WANG Xu +1 位作者 CHEN Kunlun LI Dan 《Journal of Geographical Sciences》 SCIE CSCD 2023年第2期373-391,共19页
Building the Yangtze River Economic Belt(YREB)is one of China’s three national development policies in the new era.The ecological environment of the Yangtze River Economic Belt must be protected not only for regional... Building the Yangtze River Economic Belt(YREB)is one of China’s three national development policies in the new era.The ecological environment of the Yangtze River Economic Belt must be protected not only for regional economic development but also for regional ecological security and ecological progress in this region.This paper takes the ecological space of the Yangtze River Economic Belt as the research object,based on land use data in 2010 and 2015,and uses the FLUS model to simulate and predict the ecological space of the research area in 2035.The variation of the research area’s ecological space area and its four sub-zones has remarkable stability under diverse situations.Both the production space priority scenarios(S1)and living space priority scenarios(S2)saw a fall in ecological space area,with the former experiencing the highest reduction(a total reduction of 25,212 km^(2)).Under the ecological space priority scenarios(S3)and comprehensive space optimization scenario(S4),the ecological space area increased,and the ecological space area expanded even more under the former scenario(a total growth of 23,648 km^(2)).In Yunnan-Guizhou,the ecological space is relatively stable,with minimal signs of change.In Sichuan-Chongqing,the Sichuan Basin,Zoige Grassland,and Longmen Mountains were significant regions of area changes in ecological space.In the middle reaches of the Yangtze River,the ecological space changes mainly occur in the Wuyi Mountains,Mufu Mountains,and Dabie Mountains,as well as the surrounding waters of Dongting Lake.The Yangtze River Delta’s changes were mainly observed in the eastern Dabie Mountains and Jianghuai Hills. 展开更多
关键词 ecological space multi-scenario simulation prediction FLUS model Yangtze River Economic Belt extensive protection of the Yangtze River
原文传递
Multi-scenario Simulation and Spatial-temporal Analysis of LUCC in China's Coastal Zone Based on Coupled SD-FLUS Model 被引量:2
4
作者 HOU Xiyong SONG Baiyuan +2 位作者 ZHANG Xueying WANG Xiaoli LI Dong 《Chinese Geographical Science》 SCIE CSCD 2024年第4期579-598,共20页
Increased human activities in China's coastal zone have resulted in the depletion of ecological land resources.Thus,conducting current and future multi-scenario simulation research on land use and land cover chang... Increased human activities in China's coastal zone have resulted in the depletion of ecological land resources.Thus,conducting current and future multi-scenario simulation research on land use and land cover change(LUCC)is crucial for guiding the healthy and sustainable development of coastal zones.System dynamic(SD)-future land use simulation(FLUS)model,a coupled simulation model,was developed to analyze land use dynamics in China's coastal zone.This model encompasses five scenarios,namely,SSP1-RCP2.6(A),SSP2-RCP4.5(B),SSP3-RCP4.5(C),SSP4-RCP4.5(D),and SSP5-RCP8.5(E).The SD model simulates land use demand on an annual basis up to the year 2100.Subsequently,the FLUS model determines the spatial distribution of land use for the near term(2035),medium term(2050),and long term(2100).Results reveal a slowing trend in land use changes in China's coastal zone from 2000–2020.Among these changes,the expansion rate of construction land was the highest and exhibited an annual decrease.By 2100,land use predictions exhibit high accuracy,and notable differences are observed in trends across scenarios.In summary,the expansion of production,living,and ecological spaces toward the sea remains prominent.Scenario A emphasizes reduced land resource dependence,benefiting ecological land protection.Scenario B witnesses an intensified expansion of artificial wetlands.Scenario C sees substantial land needs for living and production,while Scenario D shows coastal forest and grassland shrinkage.Lastly,in Scenario E,the conflict between humans and land intensifies.This study presents pertinent recommendations for the future development,utilization,and management of coastal areas in China.The research contributes valuable scientific support for informed,long-term strategic decision making within coastal regions. 展开更多
关键词 land use and land cover change(LUCC) multi-scenario simulation system dynamic-future land use simulation(SD-FLUS)model SSP-RCP scenarios model coupling China's coastal zone
在线阅读 下载PDF
Impacts of multi-scenario land use change on ecosystem services and ecological security pattern: A case study of the Yellow River Delta 被引量:1
5
作者 XueHua Cen Hua Zhang 《Research in Cold and Arid Regions》 CSCD 2024年第1期30-44,共15页
The Yellow River Delta(YRD), a critical economic zone along China's eastern coast, also functions as a vital ecological reserve in the lower Yellow River. Amidst rapid industrialization and urbanization, the regio... The Yellow River Delta(YRD), a critical economic zone along China's eastern coast, also functions as a vital ecological reserve in the lower Yellow River. Amidst rapid industrialization and urbanization, the region has witnessed significant land use/cover changes(LUCC), impacting ecosystem services(ES) and ecological security patterns(ESP). Investigating LUCC's effects on ES and ESP in the YRD is crucial for ecological security and sustainable development. This study utilized the PLUS model to simulate 2030 land use scenarios, including natural development(NDS), economic development(EDS), and ecological protection scenarios(EPS). Subsequently, the InVEST model and circuit theory were applied to assess ES and ESP under varying LUCC scenarios from 2010 to 2030. Findings indicate:(1) Notable LUCC from 2010 to 2030, marked by decreasing cropland and increasing construction land and water bodies.(2) From 2010 to 2020, improvements were observed in carbon storage,water yield, soil retention, and habitat quality, whereas 2020–2030 saw increases in water yield and soil retention but declines in habitat quality and carbon storage. Among the scenarios, EPS showed superior performance in all four ES.(3) Between 2010 and 2030, ecological sources, corridors, and pinchpoints expanded, displaying significant spatial heterogeneity. The EPS scenario yielded the most substantial increases in ecological sources,corridors, and pinchpoints, totaling 582.89 km^(2), 645.03 km^(2),and 64.43 km^(2), respectively. This study highlights the importance of EPS, offering insightful scientific guidance for the YRD's sustainable development. 展开更多
关键词 Land use change multi-scenario simulation Ecosystem services Ecological security pattern The Yellow River Delta Circuit theory
在线阅读 下载PDF
多情景下中国省域建筑业碳达峰的时空特征
6
作者 徐水太 熊斌斌 徐丝美 《环境科学》 北大核心 2026年第1期64-74,共11页
在“双碳”目标下,对我国省域建筑业碳排放测算和碳达峰多情景预测具有重要意义.以中国省域建筑业为切入点,利用IPCC系数法测算各省域2001~2020年建筑业碳排放,在STIRPAT模型的基础上,借助WOA-BP神经网络模型,模拟不同情景下各省域2021~... 在“双碳”目标下,对我国省域建筑业碳排放测算和碳达峰多情景预测具有重要意义.以中国省域建筑业为切入点,利用IPCC系数法测算各省域2001~2020年建筑业碳排放,在STIRPAT模型的基础上,借助WOA-BP神经网络模型,模拟不同情景下各省域2021~2050年建筑业碳排放及其时空演变.结果表明:(1)2001~2020年,中国建筑业人均碳排放逐渐升高,东、中部的省域为高人均碳排放,西、北部的省域为低人均碳排放.(2)人口数是2021~2050年各省域建筑业碳排放最重要的影响因素,且省域影响力各不同.(3)2021~2050年,不同情景建筑业碳排放达峰时间各异,约束受限情景碳达峰最早.其中有17个省域可以在2030年前实现碳达峰,常态均衡情景5个省域,宽松激进情景则无.北部和东南沿海达峰较早,华中其次,西南较晚,陕西和辽宁最晚.西部大开发战略会推迟西部建筑业碳达峰,需要增强碳排放强度约束. 展开更多
关键词 建筑业 省域 碳达峰 多情景预测 时空特征
原文传递
苏南城镇碳汇空间时空演变与多情景模拟
7
作者 范凌云 汤宇轩 田永兵 《风景园林》 北大核心 2026年第1期23-33,共11页
【目的】为保护并优化高度城镇化地区的碳汇空间,有必要系统研究其时空演变特征及规律。【方法】本研究聚焦苏南地区“城镇尺度”的碳汇空间,在研究其时空演变特征的基础上,结合斑块生成土地利用变化模拟(patch-generating land use sim... 【目的】为保护并优化高度城镇化地区的碳汇空间,有必要系统研究其时空演变特征及规律。【方法】本研究聚焦苏南地区“城镇尺度”的碳汇空间,在研究其时空演变特征的基础上,结合斑块生成土地利用变化模拟(patch-generating land use simulation,PLUS)模型和聚类分析法研判不同城镇综合响应状态,并提出差异化的碳汇空间管控策略。【结果】1)2000—2020年苏南地区碳汇空间面积大幅减少,减少区域高度集中于高价值碳汇空间。碳汇空间格局在城镇尺度上未因城镇化而全面瓦解,表现出较强的稳定性。2)通过对自然增长情景、碳汇保护情景、碳汇强化情景3种情景的模拟,发现加大碳汇空间保护力度能够实现高质量碳汇空间扩张,但需要警惕生态功能单一化风险,避免盲目追求“高碳汇系数”。3)在3种模拟情景下,大部分城镇碳汇空间结构较稳定,建议通过存量挖潜与功能置换等方式优化碳汇空间;而部分敏感型城镇则呈现差异化演变路径,需根据其具体风险类型,实施更具针对性的管控策略。【结论】快速城镇化地区碳汇空间面积虽然呈现缩减趋势,但在城镇尺度表现出稳定性与敏感性共存的特征。这一特性可通过多情景模拟研判,从而为制定差异化的城镇碳汇空间管控策略提供科学依据。 展开更多
关键词 风景园林 碳汇空间 PLUS模型 多情景模拟 苏南地区 城镇尺度
在线阅读 下载PDF
重构YOLOv11的无人机小目标检测算法
8
作者 孟昱煜 孔垂乐 +1 位作者 火久元 武泽宇 《浙江大学学报(工学版)》 北大核心 2026年第2期303-312,331,共11页
无人机视角下目标偏小、背景复杂、场景包含多尺度信息,现有算法在小目标检测中特征提取不充分、检测效果不佳,为此提出面向多尺度复杂场景、无人机视角下基于重构YOLOv11的小目标检测算法DLSRF-Net.提出自适应深度可分离感受野注意力... 无人机视角下目标偏小、背景复杂、场景包含多尺度信息,现有算法在小目标检测中特征提取不充分、检测效果不佳,为此提出面向多尺度复杂场景、无人机视角下基于重构YOLOv11的小目标检测算法DLSRF-Net.提出自适应深度可分离感受野注意力卷积模块(DSRFAConv),提升模型对小目标感受野特征的提取能力并降低模型负载;设计多分支轻量化多尺度线性注意力机制,提升模型对小目标的关注度;设计RSCDI模块作为模型的上采样层和全连接层,解决特征信息丢失问题并抑制无用信息,提升模型的检测精度.按照参数量和计算量将模型尺寸分为2类,并在VisDrone2021数据集上进行实验验证,结果表明,所提算法在2类模型尺寸下均取得了最优性能.在DOTA和SSDD数据集上验证了所提算法的泛化能力. 展开更多
关键词 小目标检测 复杂场景 YOLOv11 多尺度线性注意力 RSCDI
在线阅读 下载PDF
Multi-objective spatial optimization by considering land use suitability in the Yangtze River Delta region
9
作者 CHENG Qianwen LI Manchun +4 位作者 LI Feixue LIN Yukun DING Chenyin XIAO Lishan LI Weiyue 《Journal of Geographical Sciences》 2026年第1期45-78,共34页
Rapid urbanization in China has led to spatial antagonism between urban development and farmland protection and ecological security maintenance.Multi-objective spatial collaborative optimization is a powerful method f... Rapid urbanization in China has led to spatial antagonism between urban development and farmland protection and ecological security maintenance.Multi-objective spatial collaborative optimization is a powerful method for achieving sustainable regional development.Previous studies on multi-objective spatial optimization do not involve spatial corrections to simulation results based on the natural endowment of space resources.This study proposes an Ecological Security-Food Security-Urban Sustainable Development(ES-FS-USD)spatial optimization framework.This framework combines the non-dominated sorting genetic algorithm II(NSGA-II)and patch-generating land use simulation(PLUS)model with an ecological protection importance evaluation,comprehensive agricultural productivity evaluation,and urban sustainable development potential assessment and optimizes the territorial space in the Yangtze River Delta(YRD)region in 2035.The proposed sustainable development(SD)scenario can effectively reduce the destruction of landscape patterns of various land-use types while considering both ecological and economic benefits.The simulation results were further revised by evaluating the land-use suitability of the YRD region.According to the revised spatial pattern for the YRD in 2035,the farmland area accounts for 43.59%of the total YRD,which is 5.35%less than that in 2010.Forest,grassland,and water area account for 40.46%of the total YRD—an increase of 1.42%compared with the case in 2010.Construction land accounts for 14.72%of the total YRD—an increase of 2.77%compared with the case in 2010.The ES-FS-USD spatial optimization framework ensures that spatial optimization outcomes are aligned with the natural endowments of land resources,thereby promoting the sustainable use of land resources,improving the ability of spatial management,and providing valuable insights for decision makers. 展开更多
关键词 multi-objective spatial optimization multi-scenario simulation ecological protection importance comprehensive agricultural productivity urban sustainable development land-use suitability
原文传递
Scalable and Healable Gradient Textiles for Multi‑Scenario Radiative Cooling via Bicomponent Blow Spinning
10
作者 Baiyu Ji Yufeng Wang +6 位作者 Ying Liu Yongxu Zhao Fankun Xu Jian Huang Yue‑EMiao Chao Zhang Tianxi Liu 《Nano-Micro Letters》 2026年第3期338-353,共16页
Radiative cooling textiles with spectrally selective surfaces offer a promising energy-efficient approach for sub-ambient cooling of outdoor objects and individuals.However,the spectrally selective mid-infrared emissi... Radiative cooling textiles with spectrally selective surfaces offer a promising energy-efficient approach for sub-ambient cooling of outdoor objects and individuals.However,the spectrally selective mid-infrared emission of these textiles significantly hinders their efficient radiative heat exchange with self-heated objects,thereby posing a significant challenge to their versatile cooling applicability.Herein,we present a bicomponent blow spinning strategy for the production of scalable,ultra-flexible,and healable textiles featuring a tailored dual gradient in both chemical composition and fiber diameter.The gradient in the fiber diameter of this textile introduces a hierarchically porous structure across the sunlight incident area,thereby achieving a competitive solar reflectivity of 98.7%on its outer surface.Additionally,the gradient in the chemical composition of this textile contributes to the formation of Janus infrared-absorbing surfaces:The outer surface demonstrates a high mid-infrared emission,whereas the inner surface shows a broad infrared absorptivity,facilitating radiative heat exchange with underlying self-heated objects.Consequently,this textile demonstrates multi-scenario radiative cooling capabilities,enabling versatile outdoor cooling for unheated objects by 7.8℃ and self-heated objects by 13.6℃,compared to commercial sunshade fabrics. 展开更多
关键词 Gradient cooling textile Bicomponent blow spinning Janus spectral selectivity Radiative heat exchange multi-scenario radiative cooling
在线阅读 下载PDF
基于PLUS-Geodetector模型的赤水河流域(云南段)土地利用驱动分析及未来发展预测
11
作者 李建忠 李云梅 +4 位作者 余艳红 吕恒 董宪章 王高伦 李俊达 《环境科学》 北大核心 2026年第1期517-530,共14页
长江流域生态保护和高质量发展是党中央的重大战略部署.作为长江上游的重要支流,赤水河是维系区域生态安全的重要组成部分,研究其流域土地利用的时空演变及其未来情景预测,不仅对研究区的发展规划具有重要指导意义,同时也可为长江流域... 长江流域生态保护和高质量发展是党中央的重大战略部署.作为长江上游的重要支流,赤水河是维系区域生态安全的重要组成部分,研究其流域土地利用的时空演变及其未来情景预测,不仅对研究区的发展规划具有重要指导意义,同时也可为长江流域及其他类似区域的生态保护与高效土地利用提供参考.以赤水河流域(云南段)为典型案例,分析其土地利用演变规律及驱动因素,探究不同发展情景下未来土地利用变化趋势,为维持流域生态安全及土地资源的合理利用提供科学依据.基于1985~2020年Landsat系列遥感影像和2022~2023年实际调查数据,采用监督分类方法获取1985~2020年土地利用数据并分析其时空动态变化;采用PLUS模型和地理探测器模型对土地利用变化的驱动因子进行定量分析,以揭示其影响机制;最后使用PLUS模型预测不同发展情景下2035年土地利用分布格局.结果表明:(1) 1985~2020年该流域内土地利用类型变化的总体趋势为耕地先增加后减少;草地先减少后保持稳定;有林地和灌木林地先减少后增加;水域保持稳定状态;建设用地持续增加.(2)建设用地的扩张主要受到距次要道路的距离和坡度的影响.距行政中心的距离是对土地利用变化决定力最高的因素,同时因子之间存在协同增强的交互作用,自然环境和区域可达性的交互作用最为显著.(3)在自然发展情景下,耕地和有林地面积减少,建设用地与水域面积增加.生态保护情景下,生态用地面积普遍增加.耕地保护情景下,耕地快速增长显著侵占其他土地类型.不同情景下,未来土地利用格局呈现出显著的差异,作为长江源头区域,流域未来土地利用规划和发展应以生态保护和可持续健康发展为目标,注重生态环境保护与经济的协同发展.研究结果可为长江流域及其他生态敏感区土地利用规划和生态保护政策制定提供科学参考. 展开更多
关键词 PLUS模型 土地利用变化 多情景模拟 地理探测器 驱动因素
原文传递
基于PLUS-InVEST模型的川渝地区碳储量变化及多情景预测
12
作者 陈红香 辛存林 +4 位作者 陈宁 马新淑 白元 康利刚 辛顺杰 《环境科学》 北大核心 2026年第1期360-371,共12页
陆地生态系统的碳储量受土地利用/覆盖变化(LUCC)的影响显著,探讨LUCC对区域陆地生态系统碳储量的作用,对于改进土地利用结构和实现碳达峰及碳中和目标具有极其重要的意义.研究利用2000~2020年间的土地利用数据,综合考虑了13项关键驱动... 陆地生态系统的碳储量受土地利用/覆盖变化(LUCC)的影响显著,探讨LUCC对区域陆地生态系统碳储量的作用,对于改进土地利用结构和实现碳达峰及碳中和目标具有极其重要的意义.研究利用2000~2020年间的土地利用数据,综合考虑了13项关键驱动因素,建立了自然发展(ND)、生态保护(EP)、经济发展(ED)和综合发展(CD)这4种发展情景.结合PLUS和InVEST模型,模拟了川渝地区土地利用类型的动态调整与碳储量的时空演变.结果表明:(1)2000~2020年,草地和耕地面积分别减少了83.65×10^(4) hm^(2)和46.41×10^(4) hm^(2),而林地、建设用地和水域面积则分别增加了65.37×10^(4)、50.55×10^(4)和13.41×10^(4) hm^(2),未利用地面积基本保持稳定.(2)在2000年、2010年和2020年,碳储量分别为1 968.88×10^(7)、1 996.90×10^(7)和1 998.59×10^(7) t,总碳储量增加了29.71×10^(7) t,耕地和草地向林地的转变是碳储量增加的主要因素.(3)相较于2020年,ND、ED、EP和CD情景下的碳储量分别增加1.48×10^(7)、27.75×10^(7)、43.62×10^(7)和50.32×10^(7) t.在CD情景下,碳储量及其总价值均超过其他情景,是最优的发展模式.研究结果从土地利用的角度为生态系统碳储量优化决策提供参考,这将为未来土地利用政策的制定以及“双碳”战略目标的实现提供有力支持. 展开更多
关键词 土地利用/覆盖变化(LUCC) 碳储量 PLUS-InVEST模型 多情景预测 川渝地区
原文传递
基于PLUS模型的黄河流域甘肃段土地利用多情景模拟研究
13
作者 王嘉鑫 杜森 +1 位作者 王丽宁 胥德泽 《国土与自然资源研究》 2026年第1期32-37,共6页
本文以黄河流域甘肃段为例,分析2010-2020年土地利用类型动态时空变化趋势,基于PLUS模型进行多情景模拟预测2035年土地利用变化。结果表明,(1)2010-2020年间,黄河流域甘肃段土地利用呈现耕地、林地和未利用地减少,草地、水域和建设用地... 本文以黄河流域甘肃段为例,分析2010-2020年土地利用类型动态时空变化趋势,基于PLUS模型进行多情景模拟预测2035年土地利用变化。结果表明,(1)2010-2020年间,黄河流域甘肃段土地利用呈现耕地、林地和未利用地减少,草地、水域和建设用地增加的趋势;土地类型间转移频繁,耕地转移量最大,占总转出量的96.93%。(2)利用PLUS模型对研究区土地利用模拟结果的Kappa系数为0.91,适用于模拟研究区未来土地利用变化的发展情况。(3)通过对3种不同情景模拟结果发现,生态优先情景通过加强生态保护措施,合理增加林地、草地和水域面积,约束建设用地的无限扩张,更有利于流域的可持续发展。 展开更多
关键词 PLUS模型 土地利用 多情景模拟 黄河流域甘肃段
在线阅读 下载PDF
政策导向下攀西干热河谷区碳储量变化模拟与预测
14
作者 成鑫 肖作林 +2 位作者 代琳 胡馨怡 谭耀湛 《环境科学》 北大核心 2026年第1期384-395,共12页
区域碳储量受土地利用变化的深刻影响,在“双碳”目标的背景下,政策导向的土地利用变化预测对于优化土地利用格局和提升固碳能力具有重要意义.基于“双评价”结果和乡镇主体功能划分,研究划定了城镇建设适宜区与不适宜区,并利用PLUS模... 区域碳储量受土地利用变化的深刻影响,在“双碳”目标的背景下,政策导向的土地利用变化预测对于优化土地利用格局和提升固碳能力具有重要意义.基于“双评价”结果和乡镇主体功能划分,研究划定了城镇建设适宜区与不适宜区,并利用PLUS模型模拟了2035年攀西干热河谷区的土地利用变化.基于以上模拟结果,构建了政策导向情景,进一步测算了不同情景下碳储量的变化,并结合空间自相关分析探讨了碳储量的时空分布特征.结果表明:(1)攀西干热河谷区西部以生态保护为主,中部以农业生产和城镇发展为主,空间格局较为明显;(2)到2035年,虽然两种情景下土地利用格局总体相似,但自然发展情景下建设用地扩张显著,而政策导向情景有效遏制了建设用地的扩张,并增加了林地和耕地,显示了政策对生态用地保护的积极作用;(3)2035年,政策导向情景下的碳储量为6 517.22×10^(5)t,相较自然发展情景的6 494.75×10^(5)t,增加了3.50×10^(5)t,而自然发展情景相比2020年减少了18.95×10^(5)t;(4)局部空间自相关分析表明,两种情景下的碳储量空间分布特征总体一致,高值区零散分布,低值区则主要集中于河流及其沿岸的低海拔区域.研究结果为攀西干热河谷区“天府第二粮仓”建设及“碳达峰、碳中和”战略的实施提供了科学支撑. 展开更多
关键词 多情景模拟 InVEST模型 干热河谷 PLUS模型 碳储量
原文传递
基于InVEST-PLUS模型的多情景下辽宁省生态安全格局预测
15
作者 刘浦东 黄丽 +2 位作者 孟飞 赵辉辉 刘建涛 《环境科学》 北大核心 2026年第1期467-480,共14页
顾及政策因素构建生态安全格局对助力生态文明战略实现具有重要意义.以辽宁省为例,以“核心-区域-带状-多点”为研究思路,基于2000~2020年5期土地利用数据,耦合InVEST-PLUS模型预测2030年自然发展情景(SN)、水资源约束情景(SW)、耕地保... 顾及政策因素构建生态安全格局对助力生态文明战略实现具有重要意义.以辽宁省为例,以“核心-区域-带状-多点”为研究思路,基于2000~2020年5期土地利用数据,耦合InVEST-PLUS模型预测2030年自然发展情景(SN)、水资源约束情景(SW)、耕地保护情景(CLD)及生态保护情景(SE)下的土地利用及碳储量变化,并结合MSPA及MCR模型构建生态安全格局,依托辽宁省宏观政策规划,提出相应省域尺度生态建设新思路.结果表明:(1)2000~2030年,土地利用均以农田和森林为主,农田面积缓慢减少、森林面积持续增加.(2)碳储量空间分布以东部为主,东部是重点保护林区,碳储量变化趋势较平稳,西部碳储量呈持续增长趋势.(3)SE情景下的生态安全网络结构复杂、连通性高,识别出30个生态源地,97个断裂点,56条生态廊道且总长度为211 km,呈东北-东南方向带状延伸态势,中西部密集、东部沿海地区稀缺的网状结构.(4)比较不同情景下生态安全网络的结构性及连通性,顾及政策规划,选取SE情景提出“一核三区三带多点”生态安全格局构建策略,并提出生态管理政策建议,推动辽宁省可持续发展. 展开更多
关键词 土地利用 InVEST-PLUS模型 MSPA模型 MCR模型 多情景预测 碳储量 生态安全格局
原文传递
User Satisfaction-Aware Edge Computation Offloading in 5G Multi-Scenario
16
作者 Xiaochuan Sun Xiaoyu Niu +1 位作者 Yutong Wang Yingqi Li 《Journal of Communications and Information Networks》 EI CSCD 2023年第3期271-282,共12页
Edge computation offloading has made some progress in the fifth generation mobile network(5G).However,load balancing in edge computation offloading is still a challenging problem.Meanwhile,with the continuous pursuit ... Edge computation offloading has made some progress in the fifth generation mobile network(5G).However,load balancing in edge computation offloading is still a challenging problem.Meanwhile,with the continuous pursuit of low execution latency in 5G multi-scenario,the functional requirements of edge computation offloading are further exacerbated.Given the above challenges,we raise a unique edge computation offloading method in 5G multi-scenario,and consider user satisfaction.The method consists of three functional parts:offloading strategy generation,offloading strategy update,and offloading strategy optimization.First,the offloading strategy is generated by means of a deep neural network(DNN),then update the offloading strategy by updating the DNN parameters.Finally,we optimize the offloading strategy based on changes in user satisfaction.In summary,compared to existing optimization methods,our proposal can achieve performance close to the optimum.Massive simulation results indicate the latency of the execution of our method on the CPU is under 0.1 seconds while improving the average computation rate by about 10%. 展开更多
关键词 DNN user satisfaction 5G multi-scenario edge computation offloading
原文传递
海外油田多场景应急管理体系评估与优化研究
17
作者 王培 《化工管理》 2026年第1期97-100,共4页
随着“一带一路”建设的推进,中资企业在海外油田项目中面临自然灾害、设备故障、社会冲突等多元复杂风险,一些企业在应急管理体系上仍存在响应滞后、预案碎片化、演练流于形式等问题。文章在分析现状与问题的基础上,构建了基于PDCA循环... 随着“一带一路”建设的推进,中资企业在海外油田项目中面临自然灾害、设备故障、社会冲突等多元复杂风险,一些企业在应急管理体系上仍存在响应滞后、预案碎片化、演练流于形式等问题。文章在分析现状与问题的基础上,构建了基于PDCA循环与OGP国际标准的多场景应急管理体系评估模型,涵盖响应效率、信息通报、资源调配、恢复能力、培训演练和闭环改进六大维度,通过引入多维量化评分矩阵,模型实现了系统性评估、横向对比与纵向追踪。结合某中资海外油田火灾案例进行实证分析,识别出响应滞后、语言障碍、资源联动薄弱等关键短板,并提出从多场景预案设计、本地协同机制、信息路径优化到事故知识沉淀的优化路径。研究表明,该模型不仅能识别体系漏洞,还可指导应急体系从“静态管理”向“动态治理”转型,为海外油田构建本地化、现代化HSE应急体系提供了理论支持与实践方向。 展开更多
关键词 海外油田 应急管理 多场景预案 PDCA循环
在线阅读 下载PDF
多场景应用的RFID智能工具柜
18
作者 杨博 刘爱玲 +3 位作者 路庆辉 张浩 逯洪波 李鹏 《计算机应用文摘》 2026年第2期203-205,208,共4页
为适应多场景下的精细化管控需求,文章提出一种基于射频识别(RFID)技术的智能工具柜解决方案。该系统集成高频RFID读写模块与STM32嵌入式控制单元,设计了具备双向抽屉结构和螺旋形置物架的工具存储机构,并配备多级权限管理机制,可实现... 为适应多场景下的精细化管控需求,文章提出一种基于射频识别(RFID)技术的智能工具柜解决方案。该系统集成高频RFID读写模块与STM32嵌入式控制单元,设计了具备双向抽屉结构和螺旋形置物架的工具存储机构,并配备多级权限管理机制,可实现非接触式工具识别、自助借还、库存实时监测等功能,具有识别准确率高、响应速度快等特点,显著提升了工具管理的效率与安全性。 展开更多
关键词 RFID技术 智能工具柜 多场景应用 自助管理 嵌入式系统
在线阅读 下载PDF
基于PLUS模型的太湖县土地利用多情景模拟与可持续发展路径研究
19
作者 肖铁桥 许云强 +1 位作者 张少杰 干申启 《湖南城市学院学报(自然科学版)》 2026年第1期25-34,共10页
基于山区县尖锐的人地矛盾,探索如何优化土地利用,协调耕地保护、经济发展与生态修复三者之间的关系尤为重要。本研究以安徽省安庆市太湖县为例,首先,基于多维度评价体系构建可持续发展指数(I_(SDI))并利用PLUS模型进行多情景模拟;然后... 基于山区县尖锐的人地矛盾,探索如何优化土地利用,协调耕地保护、经济发展与生态修复三者之间的关系尤为重要。本研究以安徽省安庆市太湖县为例,首先,基于多维度评价体系构建可持续发展指数(I_(SDI))并利用PLUS模型进行多情景模拟;然后,采用转移矩阵分析2000—2020年及预测期土地变化特征;最后,将地形约束下的土地利用变化格局与多维度、多情景评价结合,综合分析了多情景发展适宜性,并揭示土地利用变化对可持续发展的影响。结果表明:1)2000—2020年,太湖县以林地为主要土地利用类型(地类),建设用地的显著扩张源于对耕地的侵占;山区地形约束下,生态用地集中分布于中西部山区,建设用地与耕地争夺东南部平缓的优质土地资源。2)多情景模拟下,2030年土地利用格局及多维度发展适宜性不同。自然发展情景下,建设用地的大幅扩张挤压了耕地与水体空间,I_(SDI)最小;耕地保护情景下,耕地和建设用地的增长导致林地减少、生态空间碎片化、水资源压力等问题凸显,I_(SDI)相较于自然发展情景下小幅增加;生态保护情景下,各地类的扩张得到有效控制,I_(SDI)最大。3)太湖县土地利用受地形影响较大,生态保护路径能有效平衡粮食安全、经济发展与生态安全,是太湖县及同类地区实现可持续发展的科学路径。 展开更多
关键词 PLUS模型 土地可持续发展 多情景模拟预测 土地利用变化 山区县
在线阅读 下载PDF
Multi-scenario deep learning-based framework to estimate the remaining charge time of lithium-ion power batteries
20
作者 Jianhui Mou Chengcheng Yu +6 位作者 Peiyong Duan Junjie Li Chunjiang Zhang Yuhui Liu Xinhua Liu Akhil GARG Shaosen Su 《Chain》 2024年第3期229-248,共20页
The accurate estimation of the remaining charge time(RCT)is essential in a battery management system(BMS),because it guarantees the safety and dependability of the power battery systems of new energy vehicles.However,... The accurate estimation of the remaining charge time(RCT)is essential in a battery management system(BMS),because it guarantees the safety and dependability of the power battery systems of new energy vehicles.However,the direct estimation of RCT is challenging because of the variability of actual charging scenarios and the complex charging process,which complicates the estimation of RCT in actual scenarios.Hence,this paper proposes an estimation framework based on deep learning for multi-scenario charging data to estimate the remaining charging times.Through an in-depth analysis of multi-scenario charging data,the RCT of the charging process is estimated using the temporal convolutional network(TCN)model,which has a strong generalization ability.Additionally,a dynamic learning rate(DLR)mechanism and an early stopping strategy(ES)are designed in the TCN model(DLR-ES TCN)for the nonlinear characteristics of the battery system to balance the relationship between model convergence speed and accuracy.Finally,compared with the traditional TCN model and four common deep learning models under three different scenarios,the experimental results show the mean absolute percentage error(MAPE)of the proposed method is less than 2%,indicating better accuracy and stability.This research can improve the safety monitoring of power batteries when applied to various target domains. 展开更多
关键词 new energy vehicles lithium-ion power battery multi-scenario temporal convolution network remaining charging time dynamic learning rate and early stopping
原文传递
上一页 1 2 50 下一页 到第
使用帮助 返回顶部