[Objectives]This study was conducted to achieve rapid and accurate detection of protein content in rice with a particle size of 1.0 mm.[Methods]A multi-model fusion strategy was proposed on the basis of Stacking ensem...[Objectives]This study was conducted to achieve rapid and accurate detection of protein content in rice with a particle size of 1.0 mm.[Methods]A multi-model fusion strategy was proposed on the basis of Stacking ensemble learning.A base learner pool was constructed,containing Partial Least Squares(PLS),Support Vector Machine(SVM),Deep Extreme Learning Machine(DELM),Random Forest(RF),Gradient Boosting Decision Tree(GBDT),and Multilayer Perceptron(MLP).PLS,DELM,and Linear Regression(LR)were used as meta-learner candidates.Employing integer coding technology,systematic dynamic combinations of base learners and meta-learners were generated,resulting in a total of 40 non-repetitive fusion models.The optimal combination was selected through a comprehensive evaluation based on multiple assessment indicators.[Results]The combination"PLS-DELM-MLP-LR"(code 1367)achieved coefficients of determination of 0.9732 and 0.9780 on the validation set and independent test set,respectively,with relative root mean square errors of 2.35%and 2.36%,and residual predictive deviations of 6.1075 and 6.7479,respectively.[Conclusions]The Stacking fusion model significantly enhances the predictive accuracy and robustness of spectral quantitative analysis,providing an efficient and feasible solution for modeling complex agricultural product spectral data.展开更多
The influence of different solution and aging conditions on the microstructure,impact toughness,and crack initiation and propagation mechanisms of the novel α+β titanium alloy Ti6422 was systematically investigated....The influence of different solution and aging conditions on the microstructure,impact toughness,and crack initiation and propagation mechanisms of the novel α+β titanium alloy Ti6422 was systematically investigated.By adjusting the furnace cooling time after solution treatment and the aging temperature,Ti6422 alloy samples were developed with a multi-level lamellar microstructure,in-cluding microscaleαcolonies and α_(p) lamellae,as well as nanoscale α_(s) phases.Extending the furnace cooling time after solution treatment at 920℃ for 1 h from 240 to 540 min,followed by aging at 600℃ for 6 h,increased the α_(p) lamella content,reduced the α_(s) phase content,expanded theαcolonies and α_(p) lamellae size,and improved the impact toughness from 22.7 to 53.8 J/cm^(2).Additionally,under the same solution treatment,raising the aging temperature from 500 to 700℃ resulted in a decrease in the α_(s) phase content and a growth in the thickness of the α_(p) lamella and α_(s) phase.The impact toughness increased significantly with these changes.Samples with high α_(p) lamellae content or large α_(s) phase size exhibited high crack initiation and propagation energies.Impact deformation caused severe kinking of the α_(p) lamellae in crack initiation and propagation areas,leading to a uniform and high-density kernel average misorientation(KAM)distribu-tion,enhancing plastic deformation coordination and uniformity.Moreover,the multidirectional arrangement of coarserαcolonies and α_(p) lamellae continuously deflect the crack propagation direction,inhibiting crack propagation.展开更多
As a key node of modern transportation network,the informationization management of road tunnels is crucial to ensure the operation safety and traffic efficiency.However,the existing tunnel vehicle modeling methods ge...As a key node of modern transportation network,the informationization management of road tunnels is crucial to ensure the operation safety and traffic efficiency.However,the existing tunnel vehicle modeling methods generally have problems such as insufficient 3D scene description capability and low dynamic update efficiency,which are difficult to meet the demand of real-time accurate management.For this reason,this paper proposes a vehicle twin modeling method for road tunnels.This approach starts from the actual management needs,and supports multi-level dynamic modeling from vehicle type,size to color by constructing a vehicle model library that can be flexibly invoked;at the same time,semantic constraint rules with geometric layout,behavioral attributes,and spatial relationships are designed to ensure that the virtual model matches with the real model with a high degree of similarity;ultimately,the prototype system is constructed and the case region is selected for the case study,and the dynamic vehicle status in the tunnel is realized by integrating real-time monitoring data with semantic constraints for precise virtual-real mapping.Finally,the prototype system is constructed and case experiments are conducted in selected case areas,which are combined with real-time monitoring data to realize dynamic updating and three-dimensional visualization of vehicle states in tunnels.The experiments show that the proposed method can run smoothly with an average rendering efficiency of 17.70 ms while guaranteeing the modeling accuracy(composite similarity of 0.867),which significantly improves the real-time and intuitive tunnel management.The research results provide reliable technical support for intelligent operation and emergency response of road tunnels,and offer new ideas for digital twin modeling of complex scenes.展开更多
The umbilical,a key component in offshore energy extraction,plays a vital role in ensuring the stable operation of the entire production system.The extensive variety of cross-sectional components creates highly comple...The umbilical,a key component in offshore energy extraction,plays a vital role in ensuring the stable operation of the entire production system.The extensive variety of cross-sectional components creates highly complex layout combinations.Furthermore,due to constraints in component quantity and geometry within the cross-sectional layout,filler bodies must be incorporated to maintain cross-section performance.Conventional design approaches based on manual experience suffer from inefficiency,high variability,and difficulties in quantification.This paper presents a multi-level automatic filling optimization design method for umbilical cross-sectional layouts to address these limitations.Initially,the research establishes a multi-objective optimization model that considers compactness,balance,and wear resistance of the cross-section,employing an enhanced genetic algorithm to achieve a near-optimal layout.Subsequently,the study implements an image processing-based vacancy detection technique to accurately identify cross-sectional gaps.To manage the variability and diversity of these vacant regions,the research introduces a multi-level filling method that strategically selects and places filler bodies of varying dimensions,overcoming the constraints of uniform-size fillers.Additionally,the method incorporates a hierarchical strategy that subdivides the complex cross-section into multiple layers,enabling layer-by-layer optimization and filling.This approach reduces manufac-turing equipment requirements while ensuring practical production process feasibility.The methodology is validated through a specific umbilical case study.The results demonstrate improvements in compactness,balance,and wear resistance compared with the initial cross-section,offering novel insights and valuable references for filler design in umbilical cross-sections.展开更多
Accurate prediction of landslide displacement is crucial for effective early warning of landslide disasters.While most existing prediction methods focus on time-series forecasting for individual monitoring points,ther...Accurate prediction of landslide displacement is crucial for effective early warning of landslide disasters.While most existing prediction methods focus on time-series forecasting for individual monitoring points,there is limited research on the spatiotemporal characteristics of landslide deformation.This paper proposes a novel Multi-Relation Spatiotemporal Graph Residual Network with Multi-Level Feature Attention(MFA-MRSTGRN)that effectively improves the prediction performance of landslide displacement through spatiotemporal fusion.This model integrates internal seepage factors as data feature enhancements with external triggering factors,allowing for accurate capture of the complex spatiotemporal characteristics of landslide displacement and the construction of a multi-source heterogeneous dataset.The MFA-MRSTGRN model incorporates dynamic graph theory and four key modules:multilevel feature attention,temporal-residual decomposition,spatial multi-relational graph convolution,and spatiotemporal fusion prediction.This comprehensive approach enables the efficient analyses of multi-source heterogeneous datasets,facilitating adaptive exploration of the evolving multi-relational,multi-dimensional spatiotemporal complexities in landslides.When applying this model to predict the displacement of the Liangshuijing landslide,we demonstrate that the MFA-MRSTGRN model surpasses traditional models,such as random forest(RF),long short-term memory(LSTM),and spatial temporal graph convolutional networks(ST-GCN)models in terms of various evaluation metrics including mean absolute error(MAE=1.27 mm),root mean square error(RMSE=1.49 mm),mean absolute percentage error(MAPE=0.026),and R-squared(R^(2)=0.88).Furthermore,feature ablation experiments indicate that incorporating internal seepage factors improves the predictive performance of landslide displacement models.This research provides an advanced and reliable method for landslide displacement prediction.展开更多
In this study,we conducted an experiment to construct multi-model ensemble(MME)predictions for the El Niño-Southern Oscillation(ENSO)using a neural network,based on hindcast data released from five coupled oceana...In this study,we conducted an experiment to construct multi-model ensemble(MME)predictions for the El Niño-Southern Oscillation(ENSO)using a neural network,based on hindcast data released from five coupled oceanatmosphere models,which exhibit varying levels of complexity.This nonlinear approach demonstrated extraordinary superiority and effectiveness in constructing ENSO MME.Subsequently,we employed the leave-one-out crossvalidation and the moving base methods to further validate the robustness of the neural network model in the formulation of ENSO MME.In conclusion,the neural network algorithm outperforms the conventional approach of assigning a uniform weight to all models.This is evidenced by an enhancement in correlation coefficients and reduction in prediction errors,which have the potential to provide a more accurate ENSO forecast.展开更多
Deep learning networks are increasingly exploited in the field of neuronal soma segmentation.However,annotating dataset is also an expensive and time-consuming task.Unsupervised domain adaptation is an effective metho...Deep learning networks are increasingly exploited in the field of neuronal soma segmentation.However,annotating dataset is also an expensive and time-consuming task.Unsupervised domain adaptation is an effective method to mitigate the problem,which is able to learn an adaptive segmentation model by transferring knowledge from a rich-labeled source domain.In this paper,we propose a multi-level distribution alignment-based unsupervised domain adaptation network(MDA-Net)for segmentation of 3D neuronal soma images.Distribution alignment is performed in both feature space and output space.In the feature space,features from different scales are adaptively fused to enhance the feature extraction capability for small target somata and con-strained to be domain invariant by adversarial adaptation strategy.In the output space,local discrepancy maps that can reveal the spatial structures of somata are constructed on the predicted segmentation results.Then thedistribution alignment is performed on the local discrepancies maps across domains to obtain a superior discrepancy map in the target domain,achieving refined segmentation performance of neuronal somata.Additionally,after a period of distribution align-ment procedure,a portion of target samples with high confident pseudo-labels are selected as training data,which assist in learning a more adaptive segmentation network.We verified the superiority of the proposed algorithm by comparing several domain adaptation networks on two 3D mouse brain neuronal somata datasets and one macaque brain neuronal soma dataset.展开更多
As we look ahead to future lunar exploration missions, such as crewed lunar exploration and establishing lunar scientific research stations, the lunar rovers will need to cover vast distances. These distances could ra...As we look ahead to future lunar exploration missions, such as crewed lunar exploration and establishing lunar scientific research stations, the lunar rovers will need to cover vast distances. These distances could range from kilometers to tens of kilometers, and even hundreds and thousands of kilometers. Therefore, it is crucial to develop effective long-range path planning for lunar rovers to meet the demands of lunar patrol exploration. This paper presents a hierarchical map model path planning method that utilizes the existing high-resolution images, digital elevation models and mineral abundance maps. The objective is to address the issue of the construction of lunar rover travel costs in the absence of large-scale, high-resolution digital elevation models. This method models the reference and semantic layers using the middle- and low-resolution remote sensing data. The multi-scale obstacles on the lunar surface are extracted by combining the deep learning algorithm on the high-resolution image, and the obstacle avoidance layer is modeled. A two-stage exploratory path planning decision is employed for long-distance driving path planning on a global–local scale. The proposed method analyzes the long-distance accessibility of various areas of scientific significance, such as Rima Bode. A high-precision digital elevation model is created using stereo images to validate the method. Based on the findings, it can be observed that the entire route spans a distance of 930.32 km. The route demonstrates an impressive ability to avoid meter-level impact craters and linear structures while maintaining an average slope of less than 8°. This paper explores scientific research by traversing at least seven basalt units, uncovering the secrets of lunar volcanic activities, and establishing ‘golden spike’ reference points for lunar stratigraphy. The final result of path planning can serve as a valuable reference for the design, mission demonstration, and subsequent project implementation of the new manned lunar rover.展开更多
Thyroid nodules,a common disorder in the endocrine system,require accurate segmentation in ultrasound images for effective diagnosis and treatment.However,achieving precise segmentation remains a challenge due to vari...Thyroid nodules,a common disorder in the endocrine system,require accurate segmentation in ultrasound images for effective diagnosis and treatment.However,achieving precise segmentation remains a challenge due to various factors,including scattering noise,low contrast,and limited resolution in ultrasound images.Although existing segmentation models have made progress,they still suffer from several limitations,such as high error rates,low generalizability,overfitting,limited feature learning capability,etc.To address these challenges,this paper proposes a Multi-level Relation Transformer-based U-Net(MLRT-UNet)to improve thyroid nodule segmentation.The MLRTUNet leverages a novel Relation Transformer,which processes images at multiple scales,overcoming the limitations of traditional encoding methods.This transformer integrates both local and global features effectively through selfattention and cross-attention units,capturing intricate relationships within the data.The approach also introduces a Co-operative Transformer Fusion(CTF)module to combine multi-scale features from different encoding layers,enhancing the model’s ability to capture complex patterns in the data.Furthermore,the Relation Transformer block enhances long-distance dependencies during the decoding process,improving segmentation accuracy.Experimental results showthat the MLRT-UNet achieves high segmentation accuracy,reaching 98.2% on the Digital Database Thyroid Image(DDT)dataset,97.8% on the Thyroid Nodule 3493(TG3K)dataset,and 98.2% on the Thyroid Nodule3K(TN3K)dataset.These findings demonstrate that the proposed method significantly enhances the accuracy of thyroid nodule segmentation,addressing the limitations of existing models.展开更多
An access control model is proposed based on the famous Bell-LaPadula （BLP） model.In the proposed model,hierarchical relationships among departments are built,a new concept named post is proposed,and assigning secur...An access control model is proposed based on the famous Bell-LaPadula （BLP） model.In the proposed model,hierarchical relationships among departments are built,a new concept named post is proposed,and assigning security tags to subjects and objects is greatly simplified.The interoperation among different departments is implemented through assigning multiple security tags to one post, and the more departments are closed on the organization tree,the more secret objects can be exchanged by the staff of the departments.The access control matrices of the department,post and staff are defined.By using the three access control matrices,a multi granularity and flexible discretionary access control policy is implemented.The outstanding merit of the BLP model is inherited,and the new model can guarantee that all the information flow is under control.Finally,our study shows that compared to the BLP model,the proposed model is more flexible.展开更多
Inspections of power transmission lines(PTLs)conducted using unmanned aerial vehicles(UAVs)are complicated by the fine structure of the lines and complex backgrounds,making accurate and efficient segmentation challeng...Inspections of power transmission lines(PTLs)conducted using unmanned aerial vehicles(UAVs)are complicated by the fine structure of the lines and complex backgrounds,making accurate and efficient segmentation challenging.This study presents the Wavelet-Guided Transformer U-Net(WGT-UNet)model,a new hybrid net-work that combines Convolutional Neural Networks(CNNs),Discrete Wavelet Transform(DWT),and Transformer architectures.The model’s primary contribution is based on spatial and channel attention mechanisms derived from wavelet subbands to guide the Transformer’s self-attention structure.Thus,low and high frequency components are separated at each stage using DWT,suppressing structural noise and making linear objects more prominent.The developed design is supported by multi-component hybrid cost functions that simultaneously solve class imbalance,edge sharpness,structural integrity,and spatial regularity issues.Furthermore,high segmentation success has been achieved in producing sharp boundaries and continuous line structures with the DWT-guided attention mechanism.Experiments conducted on the TTPLA dataset reveal that the version using the ConvNeXt backbone outperforms the current state-of-the-art approaches with an F1-Score of 79.33%and an Intersection over Union(IoU)value of 68.38%.The models and visual outputs of the developed method and all compared models can be accessed at https://github.com/burhanbarakli/WGT-UNET.展开更多
The contemporary era is characterized by rapid technological advancements,particularly in the fields of communication and multimedia.Digital media has significantly influenced the daily lives of individuals of all age...The contemporary era is characterized by rapid technological advancements,particularly in the fields of communication and multimedia.Digital media has significantly influenced the daily lives of individuals of all ages.One of the emerging domains in digital media is the creation of cartoons and animated videos.The accessibility of the internet has led to a surge in the consumption of cartoons among young children,presenting challenges in monitoring and controlling the content they view.The prevalence of cartoon videos containing potentially violent scenes has raised concerns regarding their impact,especially on young and impressionableminds.This article contributes to the growing concerns about the impact of animated media on children’s mental health and offers solutions to help mitigate these effects.To address this issue,an intelligent,multi-CNN fusion framework is proposed for detecting and predicting violent content in upcoming frames of animated videos.The framework integrates probabilistic and deep learning methodologies by leveraging a combination of visual and temporal features for violence prediction in future scenes.Two specific convolutional neural network classifiers i.e.,VGG16 and ResNet18 are employed to classify scenes from animated content as violent or non-violent.To enhance decision robustness,this study introduces a fusion strategy based on weighted averaging,combining the outputs of both Convolutional Neural Networks(CNNs)into a single decision stream.The resulting classifications are subsequently fed into Naive Bayes classifier,which analyzes sequential patterns to forecast violence in future scenes.The experimental findings demonstrate that the proposed framework achieved predictive accuracy of 92.84%,highlighting its effectiveness for intelligent content moderation.These results underscore the potential of intelligent data fusion techniques in enhancing the reliability and robustness of automated violence detection systems in animated content.This framework offers a promising solution for safeguarding young audiences by enabling proactive and accurate moderation of animated videos.展开更多
This study explores the motivations,perceived benefits,and challenges associated with the adoption of clearcutfree forestry by early adopters among non-industrial private forest(NIPF)owners in southern-central Sweden....This study explores the motivations,perceived benefits,and challenges associated with the adoption of clearcutfree forestry by early adopters among non-industrial private forest(NIPF)owners in southern-central Sweden.Clearcut-free forestry,characterized by continuous tree cover and an emphasis on biodiversity,structural diversity,and ecosystem services(ES),is increasingly seen as a sustainable alternative to conventional intensive management based on short rotations and clear-cutting practices.Based on qualitative interviews with 22 NIPF owners who have adopted this approach,the study provides insights into how these early adopters perceive the value of clearcut-free forestry.Reported motivations include environmental concerns,such as biodiversity conservation and climate resilience,as well as strong socio-cultural values linked to family traditions,aesthetic preferences,and community wellbeing.In this study,we use the multi-level perspective(MLP)framework to conceptualize NIPF owners who have adopted clearcut-free forestry as niche actors and analyze their potential contribution to the emergence of an alternative forest management regime.The findings highlight that early adopters associate multiple benefits with clearcut-free forestry,encompassing enhanced ecosystem services such as carbon sequestration,water regulation,habitat preservation,and socio-cultural enrichment through recreation and relational values.However,the interviewees identify several interrelated challenges,including knowledge gaps,lack of clear definitions and standardized practices,limited advisory services,underdeveloped value chains for high-quality timber,and market barriers,which hinder more widespread adoption.Within the multi-level perspective,owner perceptions linking clearcut-free management with improved forest multifunctionality serve as a key driver of niche-level experimentation.This suggests an alignment between these owners and evolving societal demands for more inclusive,sustainable,and diversified forest use.Policy recommendations include targeted investments in knowledge co-production,infrastructure,market incentives,and certification schemes to support the economic viability and broader adoption of clearcut-free forestry.展开更多
An effective shape signature namely multi-level included angle functions MIAFs is proposed to describe the hierarchy information ranging from global information to local variations of shape.Invariance to rotation tran...An effective shape signature namely multi-level included angle functions MIAFs is proposed to describe the hierarchy information ranging from global information to local variations of shape.Invariance to rotation translation and scaling are the intrinsic properties of the MIAFs.For each contour point the multi-level included angles are obtained based on the paired line segments derived from unequal-arc-length partitions of contour.And a Fourier descriptor derived from multi-level included angle functions MIAFD is presented for efficient shape retrieval.The proposed descriptor is evaluated with the standard performance evaluation method on three shape image databases the MPEG-7 database the Kimia-99 database and the Swedish leaf database. The experimental results of shape retrieval indicate that the MIAFD outperforms the existing Fourier descriptors and has low computational complexity.And the comparison of the MIAFD with other shape description methods also shows that the proposed descriptor has the highest precision at the same recall value which verifies its effectiveness.展开更多
The 21-yr ensemble predictions of model precipitation and circulation in the East Asian and western North Pacific （Asia-Pacific） summer monsoon region （0°-50°N, 100° 150°E） were evaluated in ni...The 21-yr ensemble predictions of model precipitation and circulation in the East Asian and western North Pacific （Asia-Pacific） summer monsoon region （0°-50°N, 100° 150°E） were evaluated in nine different AGCM, used in the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation Climate Center （APCC） multi-model ensemble seasonal prediction system. The analysis indicates that the precipitation anomaly patterns of model ensemble predictions are substantially different from the observed counterparts in this region, but the summer monsoon circulations are reasonably predicted. For example, all models can well produce the interannual variability of the western North Pacific monsoon index （WNPMI） defined by 850 hPa winds, but they failed to predict the relationship between WNPMI and precipitation anomalies. The interannual variability of the 500 hPa geopotential height （GPH） can be well predicted by the models in contrast to precipitation anomalies. On the basis of such model performances and the relationship between the interannual variations of 500 hPa GPH and precipitation anomalies, we developed a statistical scheme used to downscale the summer monsoon precipitation anomaly on the basis of EOF and singular value decomposition （SVD）. In this scheme, the three leading EOF modes of 500 hPa GPH anomaly fields predicted by the models are firstly corrected by the linear regression between the principal components in each model and observation, respectively. Then, the corrected model GPH is chosen as the predictor to downscale the precipitation anomaly field, which is assembled by the forecasted expansion coefficients of model 500 hPa GPH and the three leading SVD modes of observed precipitation anomaly corresponding to the prediction of model 500 hPa GPH during a 19-year training period. The cross-validated forecasts suggest that this downscaling scheme may have a potential to improve the forecast skill of the precipitation anomaly in the South China Sea, western North Pacific and the East Asia Pacific regions, where the anomaly correlation coefficient （ACC） has been improved by 0.14, corresponding to the reduced RMSE of 10.4% in the conventional multi-model ensemble （MME） forecast.展开更多
This study investigates multi-model ensemble forecasts of track and intensity of tropical cyclones over the western Pacific, based on forecast outputs from the China Meteorological Administration, European Centre for ...This study investigates multi-model ensemble forecasts of track and intensity of tropical cyclones over the western Pacific, based on forecast outputs from the China Meteorological Administration, European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Japan Meteorological Agency and National Centers for Environmental Prediction in the THORPEX Interactive Grand Global Ensemble(TIGGE) datasets. The multi-model ensemble schemes, namely the bias-removed ensemble mean(BREM) and superensemble(SUP), are compared with the ensemble mean(EMN) and single-model forecasts. Moreover, a new model bias estimation scheme is investigated and applied to the BREM and SUP schemes. The results showed that, compared with single-model forecasts and EMN, the multi-model ensembles of the BREM and SUP schemes can have smaller errors in most cases. However, there were also circumstances where BREM was less skillful than EMN, indicating that using a time-averaged error as model bias is not optimal. A new model bias estimation scheme of the biweight mean is introduced. Through minimizing the negative influence of singular errors, this scheme can obtain a more accurate model bias estimation and improve the BREM forecast skill. The application of the biweight mean in the bias calculation of SUP also resulted in improved skill. The results indicate that the modification of multi-model ensemble schemes through this bias estimation method is feasible.展开更多
The multi-level ditch system developed in the Sanjiang Plain,Northeast China has sped up water drainage process hence transferred more pollutants from farmlands into the rivers of this region.Understanding the seasona...The multi-level ditch system developed in the Sanjiang Plain,Northeast China has sped up water drainage process hence transferred more pollutants from farmlands into the rivers of this region.Understanding the seasonal dynamics of nitrogen (N) and phosphorus (P) transportation in the ditch system and the role of different ditch size is thus crucial for water pollution control of the rivers in the Sanjiang Plain.In this study,an investigation was conducted in the Nongjiang watershed of the Sanjiang Plain to study the nutrient variation and the correlation between water and sediments in the ditch system in terms of ditch level.Water and sediments samples were collected in each ditch level in growing season at regular intervals (once per month),and TN,NO 3--N,NH 4+-N,TP,and PO 4 3--P were analyzed.The results show that nutrient contents in water were higher in June and July,especially in July,the contents of TN and TP were 3.21mg/L and 0.84mg/L in field ditch,4.04mg/L and 1.06mg/L in lateral ditch,2.46mg/L and 0.70mg/L in branch ditch,1.92mg/L and 0.63mg/L in main ditch,respectively.In August and September,the nutrient contents in the water were relatively lower.The peak value of nutrient in ditch water had been moving from the field ditch to the main ditch over time,showing a remarkable impact of ditch system on river water environment.The nutrient transfer in ditch sediments could only be found in rainfall season.Nutrient contents in ditch sediment had effect on that in ditch water,but nutrients in ditch water and sediments had different origination.Ditch management in terms of the key fac-tors is hence very important for protecting river water environment.展开更多
In this paper, a support vector machine-based multi-model predictive control is proposed, in which SVM classification combines well with SVM regression. At first, each working environment is modeled by SVM regression ...In this paper, a support vector machine-based multi-model predictive control is proposed, in which SVM classification combines well with SVM regression. At first, each working environment is modeled by SVM regression and the support vector machine network-based model predictive control （SVMN-MPC） algorithm corresponding to each environment is developed, and then a multi-class SVM model is established to recognize multiple operating conditions. As for control, the current environment is identified by the multi-class SVM model and then the corresponding SVMN-MPC controller is activated at each sampling instant. The proposed modeling, switching and controller design is demonstrated in simulation results.展开更多
The control of ultra-supercritical(USC) power unit is a difficult issue for its characteristic of the nonlinearity, large dead time and coupling of the unit. In this paper, model predictive control(MPC) based on multi...The control of ultra-supercritical(USC) power unit is a difficult issue for its characteristic of the nonlinearity, large dead time and coupling of the unit. In this paper, model predictive control(MPC) based on multi-model and double layered optimization is introduced for coordinated control of USC unit. The linear programming(LP) combined with quadratic programming(QP) is used in steady optimization for computation of the ideal value of dynamic optimization. Three inputs(i.e. valve opening, coal flow and feedwater flow) are employed to control three outputs(i.e. load, main steam temperature and main steam pressure). The step response models for the dynamic matrix control(DMC) are constructed using the three inputs and the three outputs. Piecewise models are built at selected operation points. Double-layered multi-model predictive controller is implemented in simulation with satisfactory performance.展开更多
In order to reduce the uncertainty of offline land surface model （LSM） simulations of land evapotranspiration （ET）, we used ensemble simulations based on three meteorological forcing datasets [Princeton, ITPCAS （...In order to reduce the uncertainty of offline land surface model （LSM） simulations of land evapotranspiration （ET）, we used ensemble simulations based on three meteorological forcing datasets [Princeton, ITPCAS （Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences）, Qian] and four LSMs （BATS, VIC, CLM3.0 and CLM3.5）, to explore the trends and spatiotemporal characteristics of ET, as well as the spatiotemporal pattern of ET in response to climate factors over China's Mainland during 1982-2007. The results showed that various simulations of each member and their arithmetic mean （EnsAVlean） could capture the spatial distribution and seasonal pattern of ET sufficiently well, where they exhibited more significant spatial and seasonal variation in the ET compared with observation-based ET estimates （Obs_MTE）. For the mean annual ET, we found that the BATS forced by Princeton forcing overestimated the annual mean ET compared with Obs_MTE for most of the basins in China, whereas the VIC forced by Princeton forcing showed underestimations. By contrast, the Ens_Mean was closer to Obs_MTE, although the results were underestimated over Southeast China. Furthermore, both the Obs_MTE and Ens_Mean exhibited a significant increasing trend during 1982-98; whereas after 1998, when the last big EI Nifio event occurred, the Ens_Mean tended to decrease significantly between 1999 and 2007, although the change was not significant for Obs_MTE. Changes in air temperature and shortwave radiation played key roles in the long-term variation in ET over the humid area of China, but precipitation mainly controlled the long-term variation in ET in arid and semi-arid areas of China.展开更多
文摘[Objectives]This study was conducted to achieve rapid and accurate detection of protein content in rice with a particle size of 1.0 mm.[Methods]A multi-model fusion strategy was proposed on the basis of Stacking ensemble learning.A base learner pool was constructed,containing Partial Least Squares(PLS),Support Vector Machine(SVM),Deep Extreme Learning Machine(DELM),Random Forest(RF),Gradient Boosting Decision Tree(GBDT),and Multilayer Perceptron(MLP).PLS,DELM,and Linear Regression(LR)were used as meta-learner candidates.Employing integer coding technology,systematic dynamic combinations of base learners and meta-learners were generated,resulting in a total of 40 non-repetitive fusion models.The optimal combination was selected through a comprehensive evaluation based on multiple assessment indicators.[Results]The combination"PLS-DELM-MLP-LR"(code 1367)achieved coefficients of determination of 0.9732 and 0.9780 on the validation set and independent test set,respectively,with relative root mean square errors of 2.35%and 2.36%,and residual predictive deviations of 6.1075 and 6.7479,respectively.[Conclusions]The Stacking fusion model significantly enhances the predictive accuracy and robustness of spectral quantitative analysis,providing an efficient and feasible solution for modeling complex agricultural product spectral data.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.52090041).
文摘The influence of different solution and aging conditions on the microstructure,impact toughness,and crack initiation and propagation mechanisms of the novel α+β titanium alloy Ti6422 was systematically investigated.By adjusting the furnace cooling time after solution treatment and the aging temperature,Ti6422 alloy samples were developed with a multi-level lamellar microstructure,in-cluding microscaleαcolonies and α_(p) lamellae,as well as nanoscale α_(s) phases.Extending the furnace cooling time after solution treatment at 920℃ for 1 h from 240 to 540 min,followed by aging at 600℃ for 6 h,increased the α_(p) lamella content,reduced the α_(s) phase content,expanded theαcolonies and α_(p) lamellae size,and improved the impact toughness from 22.7 to 53.8 J/cm^(2).Additionally,under the same solution treatment,raising the aging temperature from 500 to 700℃ resulted in a decrease in the α_(s) phase content and a growth in the thickness of the α_(p) lamella and α_(s) phase.The impact toughness increased significantly with these changes.Samples with high α_(p) lamellae content or large α_(s) phase size exhibited high crack initiation and propagation energies.Impact deformation caused severe kinking of the α_(p) lamellae in crack initiation and propagation areas,leading to a uniform and high-density kernel average misorientation(KAM)distribu-tion,enhancing plastic deformation coordination and uniformity.Moreover,the multidirectional arrangement of coarserαcolonies and α_(p) lamellae continuously deflect the crack propagation direction,inhibiting crack propagation.
基金National Natural Science Foundation of China(Nos.42301473,42271424,42171397)Chinese Postdoctoral Innovation Talents Support Program(No.BX20230299)+2 种基金China Postdoctoral Science Foundation(No.2023M742884)Natural Science Foundation of Sichuan Province(Nos.24NSFSC2264,2025ZNSFSC0322)Key Research and Development Project of Sichuan Province(No.24ZDYF0633).
文摘As a key node of modern transportation network,the informationization management of road tunnels is crucial to ensure the operation safety and traffic efficiency.However,the existing tunnel vehicle modeling methods generally have problems such as insufficient 3D scene description capability and low dynamic update efficiency,which are difficult to meet the demand of real-time accurate management.For this reason,this paper proposes a vehicle twin modeling method for road tunnels.This approach starts from the actual management needs,and supports multi-level dynamic modeling from vehicle type,size to color by constructing a vehicle model library that can be flexibly invoked;at the same time,semantic constraint rules with geometric layout,behavioral attributes,and spatial relationships are designed to ensure that the virtual model matches with the real model with a high degree of similarity;ultimately,the prototype system is constructed and the case region is selected for the case study,and the dynamic vehicle status in the tunnel is realized by integrating real-time monitoring data with semantic constraints for precise virtual-real mapping.Finally,the prototype system is constructed and case experiments are conducted in selected case areas,which are combined with real-time monitoring data to realize dynamic updating and three-dimensional visualization of vehicle states in tunnels.The experiments show that the proposed method can run smoothly with an average rendering efficiency of 17.70 ms while guaranteeing the modeling accuracy(composite similarity of 0.867),which significantly improves the real-time and intuitive tunnel management.The research results provide reliable technical support for intelligent operation and emergency response of road tunnels,and offer new ideas for digital twin modeling of complex scenes.
基金financially supported by Guangdong Province Basic and Applied Basic Research Fund Project(Grant No.2022B1515250009)Liaoning Provincial Natural Science Foundation-Doctoral Research Start-up Fund Project(Grant No.2024-BSBA-05)+1 种基金Major Science and Technology Innovation Project in Shandong Province(Grant No.2024CXGC010803)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.52271269 and 12302147).
文摘The umbilical,a key component in offshore energy extraction,plays a vital role in ensuring the stable operation of the entire production system.The extensive variety of cross-sectional components creates highly complex layout combinations.Furthermore,due to constraints in component quantity and geometry within the cross-sectional layout,filler bodies must be incorporated to maintain cross-section performance.Conventional design approaches based on manual experience suffer from inefficiency,high variability,and difficulties in quantification.This paper presents a multi-level automatic filling optimization design method for umbilical cross-sectional layouts to address these limitations.Initially,the research establishes a multi-objective optimization model that considers compactness,balance,and wear resistance of the cross-section,employing an enhanced genetic algorithm to achieve a near-optimal layout.Subsequently,the study implements an image processing-based vacancy detection technique to accurately identify cross-sectional gaps.To manage the variability and diversity of these vacant regions,the research introduces a multi-level filling method that strategically selects and places filler bodies of varying dimensions,overcoming the constraints of uniform-size fillers.Additionally,the method incorporates a hierarchical strategy that subdivides the complex cross-section into multiple layers,enabling layer-by-layer optimization and filling.This approach reduces manufac-turing equipment requirements while ensuring practical production process feasibility.The methodology is validated through a specific umbilical case study.The results demonstrate improvements in compactness,balance,and wear resistance compared with the initial cross-section,offering novel insights and valuable references for filler design in umbilical cross-sections.
基金the funding support from the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.52308340)Chongqing Talent Innovation and Entrepreneurship Demonstration Team Project(Grant No.cstc2024ycjh-bgzxm0012)the Science and Technology Projects supported by China Coal Technology and Engineering Chongqing Design and Research Institute(Group)Co.,Ltd.(Grant No.H20230317).
文摘Accurate prediction of landslide displacement is crucial for effective early warning of landslide disasters.While most existing prediction methods focus on time-series forecasting for individual monitoring points,there is limited research on the spatiotemporal characteristics of landslide deformation.This paper proposes a novel Multi-Relation Spatiotemporal Graph Residual Network with Multi-Level Feature Attention(MFA-MRSTGRN)that effectively improves the prediction performance of landslide displacement through spatiotemporal fusion.This model integrates internal seepage factors as data feature enhancements with external triggering factors,allowing for accurate capture of the complex spatiotemporal characteristics of landslide displacement and the construction of a multi-source heterogeneous dataset.The MFA-MRSTGRN model incorporates dynamic graph theory and four key modules:multilevel feature attention,temporal-residual decomposition,spatial multi-relational graph convolution,and spatiotemporal fusion prediction.This comprehensive approach enables the efficient analyses of multi-source heterogeneous datasets,facilitating adaptive exploration of the evolving multi-relational,multi-dimensional spatiotemporal complexities in landslides.When applying this model to predict the displacement of the Liangshuijing landslide,we demonstrate that the MFA-MRSTGRN model surpasses traditional models,such as random forest(RF),long short-term memory(LSTM),and spatial temporal graph convolutional networks(ST-GCN)models in terms of various evaluation metrics including mean absolute error(MAE=1.27 mm),root mean square error(RMSE=1.49 mm),mean absolute percentage error(MAPE=0.026),and R-squared(R^(2)=0.88).Furthermore,feature ablation experiments indicate that incorporating internal seepage factors improves the predictive performance of landslide displacement models.This research provides an advanced and reliable method for landslide displacement prediction.
基金The fund from Southern Marine Science and Engineering Guangdong Laboratory(Zhuhai)under contract No.SML2021SP310the National Natural Science Foundation of China under contract Nos 42227901 and 42475061the Key R&D Program of Zhejiang Province under contract No.2024C03257.
文摘In this study,we conducted an experiment to construct multi-model ensemble(MME)predictions for the El Niño-Southern Oscillation(ENSO)using a neural network,based on hindcast data released from five coupled oceanatmosphere models,which exhibit varying levels of complexity.This nonlinear approach demonstrated extraordinary superiority and effectiveness in constructing ENSO MME.Subsequently,we employed the leave-one-out crossvalidation and the moving base methods to further validate the robustness of the neural network model in the formulation of ENSO MME.In conclusion,the neural network algorithm outperforms the conventional approach of assigning a uniform weight to all models.This is evidenced by an enhancement in correlation coefficients and reduction in prediction errors,which have the potential to provide a more accurate ENSO forecast.
基金supported by the Fund of Key Laboratory of Biomedical Engineering of Hainan Province(No.BME20240001)the STI2030-Major Projects(No.2021ZD0200104)the National Natural Science Foundations of China under Grant 61771437.
文摘Deep learning networks are increasingly exploited in the field of neuronal soma segmentation.However,annotating dataset is also an expensive and time-consuming task.Unsupervised domain adaptation is an effective method to mitigate the problem,which is able to learn an adaptive segmentation model by transferring knowledge from a rich-labeled source domain.In this paper,we propose a multi-level distribution alignment-based unsupervised domain adaptation network(MDA-Net)for segmentation of 3D neuronal soma images.Distribution alignment is performed in both feature space and output space.In the feature space,features from different scales are adaptively fused to enhance the feature extraction capability for small target somata and con-strained to be domain invariant by adversarial adaptation strategy.In the output space,local discrepancy maps that can reveal the spatial structures of somata are constructed on the predicted segmentation results.Then thedistribution alignment is performed on the local discrepancies maps across domains to obtain a superior discrepancy map in the target domain,achieving refined segmentation performance of neuronal somata.Additionally,after a period of distribution align-ment procedure,a portion of target samples with high confident pseudo-labels are selected as training data,which assist in learning a more adaptive segmentation network.We verified the superiority of the proposed algorithm by comparing several domain adaptation networks on two 3D mouse brain neuronal somata datasets and one macaque brain neuronal soma dataset.
基金co-supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of China(No.2022YFF0503100)the Youth Innovation Project of Pandeng Program of National Space Science Center,Chinese Academy of Sciences(No.E3PD40012S).
文摘As we look ahead to future lunar exploration missions, such as crewed lunar exploration and establishing lunar scientific research stations, the lunar rovers will need to cover vast distances. These distances could range from kilometers to tens of kilometers, and even hundreds and thousands of kilometers. Therefore, it is crucial to develop effective long-range path planning for lunar rovers to meet the demands of lunar patrol exploration. This paper presents a hierarchical map model path planning method that utilizes the existing high-resolution images, digital elevation models and mineral abundance maps. The objective is to address the issue of the construction of lunar rover travel costs in the absence of large-scale, high-resolution digital elevation models. This method models the reference and semantic layers using the middle- and low-resolution remote sensing data. The multi-scale obstacles on the lunar surface are extracted by combining the deep learning algorithm on the high-resolution image, and the obstacle avoidance layer is modeled. A two-stage exploratory path planning decision is employed for long-distance driving path planning on a global–local scale. The proposed method analyzes the long-distance accessibility of various areas of scientific significance, such as Rima Bode. A high-precision digital elevation model is created using stereo images to validate the method. Based on the findings, it can be observed that the entire route spans a distance of 930.32 km. The route demonstrates an impressive ability to avoid meter-level impact craters and linear structures while maintaining an average slope of less than 8°. This paper explores scientific research by traversing at least seven basalt units, uncovering the secrets of lunar volcanic activities, and establishing ‘golden spike’ reference points for lunar stratigraphy. The final result of path planning can serve as a valuable reference for the design, mission demonstration, and subsequent project implementation of the new manned lunar rover.
文摘Thyroid nodules,a common disorder in the endocrine system,require accurate segmentation in ultrasound images for effective diagnosis and treatment.However,achieving precise segmentation remains a challenge due to various factors,including scattering noise,low contrast,and limited resolution in ultrasound images.Although existing segmentation models have made progress,they still suffer from several limitations,such as high error rates,low generalizability,overfitting,limited feature learning capability,etc.To address these challenges,this paper proposes a Multi-level Relation Transformer-based U-Net(MLRT-UNet)to improve thyroid nodule segmentation.The MLRTUNet leverages a novel Relation Transformer,which processes images at multiple scales,overcoming the limitations of traditional encoding methods.This transformer integrates both local and global features effectively through selfattention and cross-attention units,capturing intricate relationships within the data.The approach also introduces a Co-operative Transformer Fusion(CTF)module to combine multi-scale features from different encoding layers,enhancing the model’s ability to capture complex patterns in the data.Furthermore,the Relation Transformer block enhances long-distance dependencies during the decoding process,improving segmentation accuracy.Experimental results showthat the MLRT-UNet achieves high segmentation accuracy,reaching 98.2% on the Digital Database Thyroid Image(DDT)dataset,97.8% on the Thyroid Nodule 3493(TG3K)dataset,and 98.2% on the Thyroid Nodule3K(TN3K)dataset.These findings demonstrate that the proposed method significantly enhances the accuracy of thyroid nodule segmentation,addressing the limitations of existing models.
基金The National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.60403027,60773191,70771043)the National High Technology Research and Development Program of China(863 Program)(No.2007AA01Z403)
文摘An access control model is proposed based on the famous Bell-LaPadula （BLP） model.In the proposed model,hierarchical relationships among departments are built,a new concept named post is proposed,and assigning security tags to subjects and objects is greatly simplified.The interoperation among different departments is implemented through assigning multiple security tags to one post, and the more departments are closed on the organization tree,the more secret objects can be exchanged by the staff of the departments.The access control matrices of the department,post and staff are defined.By using the three access control matrices,a multi granularity and flexible discretionary access control policy is implemented.The outstanding merit of the BLP model is inherited,and the new model can guarantee that all the information flow is under control.Finally,our study shows that compared to the BLP model,the proposed model is more flexible.
文摘Inspections of power transmission lines(PTLs)conducted using unmanned aerial vehicles(UAVs)are complicated by the fine structure of the lines and complex backgrounds,making accurate and efficient segmentation challenging.This study presents the Wavelet-Guided Transformer U-Net(WGT-UNet)model,a new hybrid net-work that combines Convolutional Neural Networks(CNNs),Discrete Wavelet Transform(DWT),and Transformer architectures.The model’s primary contribution is based on spatial and channel attention mechanisms derived from wavelet subbands to guide the Transformer’s self-attention structure.Thus,low and high frequency components are separated at each stage using DWT,suppressing structural noise and making linear objects more prominent.The developed design is supported by multi-component hybrid cost functions that simultaneously solve class imbalance,edge sharpness,structural integrity,and spatial regularity issues.Furthermore,high segmentation success has been achieved in producing sharp boundaries and continuous line structures with the DWT-guided attention mechanism.Experiments conducted on the TTPLA dataset reveal that the version using the ConvNeXt backbone outperforms the current state-of-the-art approaches with an F1-Score of 79.33%and an Intersection over Union(IoU)value of 68.38%.The models and visual outputs of the developed method and all compared models can be accessed at https://github.com/burhanbarakli/WGT-UNET.
基金funded by Princess Nourah bint Abdulrahman University Researchers Supporting Project number(PNURSP2025R138),Princess Nourah bint Abdulrahman University,Riyadh,Saudi Arabia.
文摘The contemporary era is characterized by rapid technological advancements,particularly in the fields of communication and multimedia.Digital media has significantly influenced the daily lives of individuals of all ages.One of the emerging domains in digital media is the creation of cartoons and animated videos.The accessibility of the internet has led to a surge in the consumption of cartoons among young children,presenting challenges in monitoring and controlling the content they view.The prevalence of cartoon videos containing potentially violent scenes has raised concerns regarding their impact,especially on young and impressionableminds.This article contributes to the growing concerns about the impact of animated media on children’s mental health and offers solutions to help mitigate these effects.To address this issue,an intelligent,multi-CNN fusion framework is proposed for detecting and predicting violent content in upcoming frames of animated videos.The framework integrates probabilistic and deep learning methodologies by leveraging a combination of visual and temporal features for violence prediction in future scenes.Two specific convolutional neural network classifiers i.e.,VGG16 and ResNet18 are employed to classify scenes from animated content as violent or non-violent.To enhance decision robustness,this study introduces a fusion strategy based on weighted averaging,combining the outputs of both Convolutional Neural Networks(CNNs)into a single decision stream.The resulting classifications are subsequently fed into Naive Bayes classifier,which analyzes sequential patterns to forecast violence in future scenes.The experimental findings demonstrate that the proposed framework achieved predictive accuracy of 92.84%,highlighting its effectiveness for intelligent content moderation.These results underscore the potential of intelligent data fusion techniques in enhancing the reliability and robustness of automated violence detection systems in animated content.This framework offers a promising solution for safeguarding young audiences by enabling proactive and accurate moderation of animated videos.
基金financed by a grant from Mistra[DIA 2019/28]and from Formas via the National Research Programme on Climate(2021–00416)FORMAS,Grant Nos.2022-02146 and 2021–01067Swedish Environmental Protection Agency Research Grant No.2021–00040。
文摘This study explores the motivations,perceived benefits,and challenges associated with the adoption of clearcutfree forestry by early adopters among non-industrial private forest(NIPF)owners in southern-central Sweden.Clearcut-free forestry,characterized by continuous tree cover and an emphasis on biodiversity,structural diversity,and ecosystem services(ES),is increasingly seen as a sustainable alternative to conventional intensive management based on short rotations and clear-cutting practices.Based on qualitative interviews with 22 NIPF owners who have adopted this approach,the study provides insights into how these early adopters perceive the value of clearcut-free forestry.Reported motivations include environmental concerns,such as biodiversity conservation and climate resilience,as well as strong socio-cultural values linked to family traditions,aesthetic preferences,and community wellbeing.In this study,we use the multi-level perspective(MLP)framework to conceptualize NIPF owners who have adopted clearcut-free forestry as niche actors and analyze their potential contribution to the emergence of an alternative forest management regime.The findings highlight that early adopters associate multiple benefits with clearcut-free forestry,encompassing enhanced ecosystem services such as carbon sequestration,water regulation,habitat preservation,and socio-cultural enrichment through recreation and relational values.However,the interviewees identify several interrelated challenges,including knowledge gaps,lack of clear definitions and standardized practices,limited advisory services,underdeveloped value chains for high-quality timber,and market barriers,which hinder more widespread adoption.Within the multi-level perspective,owner perceptions linking clearcut-free management with improved forest multifunctionality serve as a key driver of niche-level experimentation.This suggests an alignment between these owners and evolving societal demands for more inclusive,sustainable,and diversified forest use.Policy recommendations include targeted investments in knowledge co-production,infrastructure,market incentives,and certification schemes to support the economic viability and broader adoption of clearcut-free forestry.
基金The National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.61170116,61375010,60973064)
文摘An effective shape signature namely multi-level included angle functions MIAFs is proposed to describe the hierarchy information ranging from global information to local variations of shape.Invariance to rotation translation and scaling are the intrinsic properties of the MIAFs.For each contour point the multi-level included angles are obtained based on the paired line segments derived from unequal-arc-length partitions of contour.And a Fourier descriptor derived from multi-level included angle functions MIAFD is presented for efficient shape retrieval.The proposed descriptor is evaluated with the standard performance evaluation method on three shape image databases the MPEG-7 database the Kimia-99 database and the Swedish leaf database. The experimental results of shape retrieval indicate that the MIAFD outperforms the existing Fourier descriptors and has low computational complexity.And the comparison of the MIAFD with other shape description methods also shows that the proposed descriptor has the highest precision at the same recall value which verifies its effectiveness.
基金The National Nat-ural Science Foundation of China (NSFC), Grant Nos.90711003, 40375014the program of GYHY200706005, and the APCC Visiting Scientist Program jointly supportedthis work.
文摘The 21-yr ensemble predictions of model precipitation and circulation in the East Asian and western North Pacific （Asia-Pacific） summer monsoon region （0°-50°N, 100° 150°E） were evaluated in nine different AGCM, used in the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation Climate Center （APCC） multi-model ensemble seasonal prediction system. The analysis indicates that the precipitation anomaly patterns of model ensemble predictions are substantially different from the observed counterparts in this region, but the summer monsoon circulations are reasonably predicted. For example, all models can well produce the interannual variability of the western North Pacific monsoon index （WNPMI） defined by 850 hPa winds, but they failed to predict the relationship between WNPMI and precipitation anomalies. The interannual variability of the 500 hPa geopotential height （GPH） can be well predicted by the models in contrast to precipitation anomalies. On the basis of such model performances and the relationship between the interannual variations of 500 hPa GPH and precipitation anomalies, we developed a statistical scheme used to downscale the summer monsoon precipitation anomaly on the basis of EOF and singular value decomposition （SVD）. In this scheme, the three leading EOF modes of 500 hPa GPH anomaly fields predicted by the models are firstly corrected by the linear regression between the principal components in each model and observation, respectively. Then, the corrected model GPH is chosen as the predictor to downscale the precipitation anomaly field, which is assembled by the forecasted expansion coefficients of model 500 hPa GPH and the three leading SVD modes of observed precipitation anomaly corresponding to the prediction of model 500 hPa GPH during a 19-year training period. The cross-validated forecasts suggest that this downscaling scheme may have a potential to improve the forecast skill of the precipitation anomaly in the South China Sea, western North Pacific and the East Asia Pacific regions, where the anomaly correlation coefficient （ACC） has been improved by 0.14, corresponding to the reduced RMSE of 10.4% in the conventional multi-model ensemble （MME） forecast.
基金Special Research Program for Public Welfare(Meteorology)of China(GYHY200906009,GYHY201006015,GYHY200906007)National Natural Science Foundation of China(4107503541475044)
文摘This study investigates multi-model ensemble forecasts of track and intensity of tropical cyclones over the western Pacific, based on forecast outputs from the China Meteorological Administration, European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Japan Meteorological Agency and National Centers for Environmental Prediction in the THORPEX Interactive Grand Global Ensemble(TIGGE) datasets. The multi-model ensemble schemes, namely the bias-removed ensemble mean(BREM) and superensemble(SUP), are compared with the ensemble mean(EMN) and single-model forecasts. Moreover, a new model bias estimation scheme is investigated and applied to the BREM and SUP schemes. The results showed that, compared with single-model forecasts and EMN, the multi-model ensembles of the BREM and SUP schemes can have smaller errors in most cases. However, there were also circumstances where BREM was less skillful than EMN, indicating that using a time-averaged error as model bias is not optimal. A new model bias estimation scheme of the biweight mean is introduced. Through minimizing the negative influence of singular errors, this scheme can obtain a more accurate model bias estimation and improve the BREM forecast skill. The application of the biweight mean in the bias calculation of SUP also resulted in improved skill. The results indicate that the modification of multi-model ensemble schemes through this bias estimation method is feasible.
基金Under the auspices of Major State Basic Research Development Program of China (No.2007CB407307)National Key Technology Research and Development Program of China (No.2006BAC15B01)National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 40671182)
文摘The multi-level ditch system developed in the Sanjiang Plain,Northeast China has sped up water drainage process hence transferred more pollutants from farmlands into the rivers of this region.Understanding the seasonal dynamics of nitrogen (N) and phosphorus (P) transportation in the ditch system and the role of different ditch size is thus crucial for water pollution control of the rivers in the Sanjiang Plain.In this study,an investigation was conducted in the Nongjiang watershed of the Sanjiang Plain to study the nutrient variation and the correlation between water and sediments in the ditch system in terms of ditch level.Water and sediments samples were collected in each ditch level in growing season at regular intervals (once per month),and TN,NO 3--N,NH 4+-N,TP,and PO 4 3--P were analyzed.The results show that nutrient contents in water were higher in June and July,especially in July,the contents of TN and TP were 3.21mg/L and 0.84mg/L in field ditch,4.04mg/L and 1.06mg/L in lateral ditch,2.46mg/L and 0.70mg/L in branch ditch,1.92mg/L and 0.63mg/L in main ditch,respectively.In August and September,the nutrient contents in the water were relatively lower.The peak value of nutrient in ditch water had been moving from the field ditch to the main ditch over time,showing a remarkable impact of ditch system on river water environment.The nutrient transfer in ditch sediments could only be found in rainfall season.Nutrient contents in ditch sediment had effect on that in ditch water,but nutrients in ditch water and sediments had different origination.Ditch management in terms of the key fac-tors is hence very important for protecting river water environment.
基金the 973 Program of China (No.2002CB312200)the National Science Foundation of China (No.60574019)
文摘In this paper, a support vector machine-based multi-model predictive control is proposed, in which SVM classification combines well with SVM regression. At first, each working environment is modeled by SVM regression and the support vector machine network-based model predictive control （SVMN-MPC） algorithm corresponding to each environment is developed, and then a multi-class SVM model is established to recognize multiple operating conditions. As for control, the current environment is identified by the multi-class SVM model and then the corresponding SVMN-MPC controller is activated at each sampling instant. The proposed modeling, switching and controller design is demonstrated in simulation results.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(60974119)
文摘The control of ultra-supercritical(USC) power unit is a difficult issue for its characteristic of the nonlinearity, large dead time and coupling of the unit. In this paper, model predictive control(MPC) based on multi-model and double layered optimization is introduced for coordinated control of USC unit. The linear programming(LP) combined with quadratic programming(QP) is used in steady optimization for computation of the ideal value of dynamic optimization. Three inputs(i.e. valve opening, coal flow and feedwater flow) are employed to control three outputs(i.e. load, main steam temperature and main steam pressure). The step response models for the dynamic matrix control(DMC) are constructed using the three inputs and the three outputs. Piecewise models are built at selected operation points. Double-layered multi-model predictive controller is implemented in simulation with satisfactory performance.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.4140508391437220 and 41305066)+1 种基金the Natural Science Foundation of Hunan Province(Grant No.2015JJ3098)the Fund Project for The Education Department of Hunan Province(Grant No.14C0897)
文摘In order to reduce the uncertainty of offline land surface model （LSM） simulations of land evapotranspiration （ET）, we used ensemble simulations based on three meteorological forcing datasets [Princeton, ITPCAS （Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences）, Qian] and four LSMs （BATS, VIC, CLM3.0 and CLM3.5）, to explore the trends and spatiotemporal characteristics of ET, as well as the spatiotemporal pattern of ET in response to climate factors over China's Mainland during 1982-2007. The results showed that various simulations of each member and their arithmetic mean （EnsAVlean） could capture the spatial distribution and seasonal pattern of ET sufficiently well, where they exhibited more significant spatial and seasonal variation in the ET compared with observation-based ET estimates （Obs_MTE）. For the mean annual ET, we found that the BATS forced by Princeton forcing overestimated the annual mean ET compared with Obs_MTE for most of the basins in China, whereas the VIC forced by Princeton forcing showed underestimations. By contrast, the Ens_Mean was closer to Obs_MTE, although the results were underestimated over Southeast China. Furthermore, both the Obs_MTE and Ens_Mean exhibited a significant increasing trend during 1982-98; whereas after 1998, when the last big EI Nifio event occurred, the Ens_Mean tended to decrease significantly between 1999 and 2007, although the change was not significant for Obs_MTE. Changes in air temperature and shortwave radiation played key roles in the long-term variation in ET over the humid area of China, but precipitation mainly controlled the long-term variation in ET in arid and semi-arid areas of China.
