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Renewable Energy-Based Solutions for Decentralized Electrification:Demand Assessment andMulti-Tier Framework Approach
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作者 Jacob Manyuon Deng Cyrus Wabuge Wekesa +1 位作者 Khan Jean De Dieu Hakizimana Joseph Nzabahimana 《Energy Engineering》 2025年第5期1839-1862,共24页
Energy access remains a critical challenge in rural South Sudan,with communities heavily relying on expensive and unfriendly environmental energy sources such as diesel generators and biomass.This study addresses the ... Energy access remains a critical challenge in rural South Sudan,with communities heavily relying on expensive and unfriendly environmental energy sources such as diesel generators and biomass.This study addresses the predicament by evaluating the feasibility of renewable energy-based decentralized electrification in the selected village ofDoleibHill,UpperNile,South Sudan.Using a demand assessment and theMulti-Tier Framework(MTF)approach,it categorizes households,public facilities,private sector,Non-GovernmentalOrganizations(NGOs)and business energy needs and designs an optimized hybrid energy system incorporating solar Photovoltaic(PV),wind turbines,batteries,and a generator.The proposed system,simulated in Hybrid Optimization Model Electric Renewable(HOMER)Pro,demonstrates strong economic viability,with a present worth of$292,145,an annual worth of$22,854,a return on investment(ROI)of 36.5%,and an internal rate of return(IRR)of 42.1%.The simple payback period is 2.31 years,and the discounted payback period is 2.62 years.The system achieves a levelized cost of energy(LCOE)of$0.276/kWh and significantly reduces dependence on diesel,producing 798,800 kWh annually fromwind energy.This research provides a replicable model for cost-effective,sustainable rural electrification,offering valuable insights for policymakers and energy planners seeking to expand electricity access in off-grid communities. 展开更多
关键词 Decentralized electrification demand assessment multi-tier framework South Sudan off-grid solutions payback period
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Enhancing Safety in Electric Vehicles:Multi-Tiered Fault Detection for Micro Short Circuits and Aging in Battery Modules
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作者 Yi-Feng Luo Jyuan-FongYen Wen-Cheng Su 《Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences》 2025年第3期3069-3087,共19页
This article proposes a multi-tiered fault detection system for series-connected lithium-ion battery modules.Improper use of batteries can lead to electrolyte decomposition,resulting in the formation of lithium dendri... This article proposes a multi-tiered fault detection system for series-connected lithium-ion battery modules.Improper use of batteries can lead to electrolyte decomposition,resulting in the formation of lithium dendrites.These dendrites may pierce the separator,leading to the failure of the insulation layer between electrodes and causing micro short circuits.When a micro short circuit occurs,the electrolyte typically undergoes exothermic reactions,leading to thermal runaway and posing a safety risk to users.Relying solely on temperature-based judgment mechanisms within the battery management system often results in delayed intervention.To address this issue,the article develops a multi-tiered fault detection algorithm for series-connected lithium-ion batteries.This algorithm can effectively diagnose micro short circuits,aging,and normal batteries using minimal battery data,thereby improving diagnostic accuracy and enhancing the flexibility of fault detection.Simulations and experiments conducted under various levels of micro short circuits validate the effectiveness of the algorithm,demonstrating its ability to distinguish between short-circuited,aged,and normal batteries under different conditions.This technology can be applied to electric vehicles and energy storage systems,enabling early warnings to ensure safety and prevent thermal runaway. 展开更多
关键词 multi-tiered fault detection micro short circuits(MSC) battery management system(BMS) lithiumion batteries electric vehicles(EV) energy storage systems(ESS)
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An Application of a Multi-Tier Data Warehouse in Oil and Gas Drilling Information Management 被引量:2
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作者 张宁生 王志伟 《Petroleum Science》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2004年第4期1-5,共5页
Expenditure on wells constitute a significant part of the operational costs for a petroleum enterprise, where most of the cost results from drilling. This has prompted drilling departments to continuously look for wa... Expenditure on wells constitute a significant part of the operational costs for a petroleum enterprise, where most of the cost results from drilling. This has prompted drilling departments to continuously look for ways to reduce their drilling costs and be as efficient as possible. A system called the Drilling Comprehensive Information Management and Application System (DCIMAS) is developed and presented here, with an aim at collecting, storing and making full use of the valuable well data and information relating to all drilling activities and operations. The DCIMAS comprises three main parts, including a data collection and transmission system, a data warehouse (DW) management system, and an integrated platform of core applications. With the support of the application platform, the DW management system is introduced, whereby the operation data are captured at well sites and transmitted electronically to a data warehouse via transmission equipment and ETL (extract, transformation and load) tools. With the high quality of the data guaranteed, our central task is to make the best use of the operation data and information for drilling analysis and to provide further information to guide later production stages. Applications have been developed and integrated on a uniform platform to interface directly with different layers of the multi-tier DW. Now, engineers in every department spend less time on data handling and more time on applying technology in their real work with the system. 展开更多
关键词 drilling information management multi-tier data warehouse information processing application system
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Multi-Tier数据库应用程序及在Delphi中的实现 被引量:3
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作者 杨滨生 李伟 夏胜利 《昆明冶金高等专科学校学报》 CAS 2002年第4期22-27,共6页
介绍了多层数据库应用程序的基本原理及其在Delphi中的实现技术,并以其在学分制教务管理系统开发的程序为原型,通过实例讲述在Delphi中实现Multi-Tier技术的步骤和要点。
关键词 multi-tier 数据库应用程序 DELPHI 教务管理 学分制
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使用Multi-Tier技术架构Web应用系统
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作者 左博新 朱莉 +1 位作者 章丽平 付晶 《计算机与现代化》 2004年第9期44-46,共3页
Web系统目前被广泛应用于Internet/Intranet,随着网络的发展,传统的CGI/ISAPI标准结构已不能满足需要,本文介绍了Delphi的InternetExpress和DatabasePooling等Multi Tier技术,通过对CGI/ISAPI结构与InternetExpress结构的比较,介绍使用I... Web系统目前被广泛应用于Internet/Intranet,随着网络的发展,传统的CGI/ISAPI标准结构已不能满足需要,本文介绍了Delphi的InternetExpress和DatabasePooling等Multi Tier技术,通过对CGI/ISAPI结构与InternetExpress结构的比较,介绍使用InternetExpress技术结合MST(MicrosoftTransactionServer)构建基于Web的三层结构系统的架构过程。并以开发实例加以说明。 展开更多
关键词 multi-tier WEB应用系统 CGI/ISAPI DELPHI Internet EXPRESS Database Pooling ISAPI
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Delphi中Multi-Tier结构的应用浅析
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作者 章丽平 朱莉 +2 位作者 左博新 付晶 汪艺 《计算机与现代化》 2004年第1期24-26,共3页
Multi Tier结构是目前分布式系统的主要应用结构,本文首先对传统的Two Tier结构数据库和Multi Tier结构数据库系统进行了比较,然后以三层数据库应用系统为例介绍Multi Tier结构应用的构建过程,并以一个实例加以说明。
关键词 DELPHI multi-tier结构 数据库系统 数据模块 应用程序
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Storage Assignment Optimization in a Multi-tier Shuttle Warehousing System 被引量:10
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作者 WANG Yanyan MOU Shandong WU Yaohua 《Chinese Journal of Mechanical Engineering》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2016年第2期421-429,共9页
The current mathematical models for the storage assignment problem are generally established based on the traveling salesman problem(TSP),which has been widely applied in the conventional automated storage and retri... The current mathematical models for the storage assignment problem are generally established based on the traveling salesman problem(TSP),which has been widely applied in the conventional automated storage and retrieval system(AS/RS).However,the previous mathematical models in conventional AS/RS do not match multi-tier shuttle warehousing systems(MSWS) because the characteristics of parallel retrieval in multiple tiers and progressive vertical movement destroy the foundation of TSP.In this study,a two-stage open queuing network model in which shuttles and a lift are regarded as servers at different stages is proposed to analyze system performance in the terms of shuttle waiting period(SWP) and lift idle period(LIP) during transaction cycle time.A mean arrival time difference matrix for pairwise stock keeping units(SKUs) is presented to determine the mean waiting time and queue length to optimize the storage assignment problem on the basis of SKU correlation.The decomposition method is applied to analyze the interactions among outbound task time,SWP,and LIP.The ant colony clustering algorithm is designed to determine storage partitions using clustering items.In addition,goods are assigned for storage according to the rearranging permutation and the combination of storage partitions in a 2D plane.This combination is derived based on the analysis results of the queuing network model and on three basic principles.The storage assignment method and its entire optimization algorithm method as applied in a MSWS are verified through a practical engineering project conducted in the tobacco industry.The applying results show that the total SWP and LIP can be reduced effectively to improve the utilization rates of all devices and to increase the throughput of the distribution center. 展开更多
关键词 multi-tier shuttle warehousing system storage assignment optimization open queuing network ant colony clustering algorithm
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Seismic assessment of two multi-tiered pagodas damaged by the 2015 Nepal earthquake 被引量:2
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作者 Yohei Endo Toshikazu Hanazato 《Earthquake Engineering and Engineering Vibration》 SCIE EI CSCD 2021年第2期453-469,共17页
A seismic assessment of two multi-tier pagodas by numerical analysis is presented herein.The Changu Narayan temple and the Kumbeshwar temple in Nepal are used as the case studies.Both pagodas are built of brick masonr... A seismic assessment of two multi-tier pagodas by numerical analysis is presented herein.The Changu Narayan temple and the Kumbeshwar temple in Nepal are used as the case studies.Both pagodas are built of brick masonry in earthen mortar,with timber columns and crossbeams.The Changu Narayan temple is a two-tier pagoda,and was seriously damaged during the 2015 Gorkha earthquake.The Kumbeshwar temple is a five-tier pagoda,and its top-tier collapsed due to the Gorkha earthquake.A seismic assessment was carried out using finite element(FE)analysis.The FE models were prepared,and dynamic identification tests and penetrometer tests were conducted.Pushover analysis and nonlinear dynamic analysis were performed as part of the seismic assessment.The main shock of the 2015 Gorkha earthquake was considered as the input accelerograms.The behavior between the two pagodas was compared with the collapse mechanisms and damage patterns observed in the actual structures.The comparison suggested common structural features of multi-tier pagodas.This study is dedicated to providing a better understanding of the seismic behavior of multi-tier pagoda-type structures and provides suggestions for their effective analysis. 展开更多
关键词 MASONRY multi-tier pagoda seismic assessment nonlinear dynamic analysis FEM analysis
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Delphi与Multi-tiered应用开发
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作者 李剑宇 周伟光 +1 位作者 唐利强 杨兴萍 《湘潭师范学院学报(自然科学版)》 2002年第3期41-44,共4页
概述了数据库应用技术的发展历程。介绍了三层应用的结构及优点。以开发工具Delphi为例阐述了三层应用的工作原理与开发。
关键词 分布式数据库系统 MIDAS multi-tiered APPLICATIONS DELPHI 三层应用结构 系统开发
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Performance Evaluation Approach for Multi-Tier Cloud Applications
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作者 Arshdeep Bahga Vijay K. Madisetti 《Journal of Software Engineering and Applications》 2013年第2期74-83,共10页
Complex multi-tier applications deployed in cloud computing environments can experience rapid changes in their workloads. To ensure market readiness of such applications, adequate resources need to be provisioned so t... Complex multi-tier applications deployed in cloud computing environments can experience rapid changes in their workloads. To ensure market readiness of such applications, adequate resources need to be provisioned so that the applications can meet the demands of specified workload levels and at the same time ensure that service level agreements are met. Multi-tier cloud applications can have complex deployment configurations with load balancers, web servers, application servers and database servers. Complex dependencies may exist between servers in various tiers. To support provisioning and capacity planning decisions, performance testing approaches with synthetic workloads are used. Accuracy of a performance testing approach is determined by how closely the generated synthetic workloads mimic the realistic workloads. Since multi-tier applications can have varied deployment configurations and characteristic workloads, there is a need for a generic performance testing methodology that allows accurately modeling the performance of applications. We propose a methodology for performance testing of complex multi-tier applications. The workloads of multi-tier cloud applications are captured in two different models-benchmark application and workload models. An architecture model captures the deployment configurations of multi-tier applications. We propose a rapid deployment prototyping methodology that can help in choosing the best and most cost effective deployments for multi-tier applications that meet the specified performance requirements. We also describe a system bottleneck detection approach based on experimental evaluation of multi-tier applications. 展开更多
关键词 PERFORMANCE Modeling Synthetic WORKLOAD BENCHMARKING multi-tier APPLICATIONS CLOUD Computing
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基于Delphi的Multi-Tier C/S结构数据库应用程序的设计
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作者 肖正新 《东莞理工学院学报》 2005年第1期37-40,共4页
Delphi是当今开发C/S结构数据库应用系统的主流工具之一。基于Two-Tier C/S结构存在的问题.本文提出了Multi-Tier C/S结构的开发模式,并就Delphi的Multi-Tier C/S结构数据库应用程序设计原理、优越性进行深入探讨,最后简单介绍了Delphi... Delphi是当今开发C/S结构数据库应用系统的主流工具之一。基于Two-Tier C/S结构存在的问题.本文提出了Multi-Tier C/S结构的开发模式,并就Delphi的Multi-Tier C/S结构数据库应用程序设计原理、优越性进行深入探讨,最后简单介绍了Delphi的Multi-Tier C/S结构数据库应用程序创建方法。 展开更多
关键词 C/S结构 数据库应用程序 数据库应用系统 创建方法 设计原理 工具 开发模式 主流 优越性
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A multi-tie points-based method for retrieving of the Arctic thin sea ice thickness from SMOS
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作者 LI Jiaxing ZHANG Shengkai +2 位作者 XIAO Feng GENG Tong LI Fei 《Advances in Polar Science》 2026年第1期43-55,共13页
The correlation between the Soil Moisture and Ocean Salinity(SMOS)L-band brightness temperature and thin sea ice thickness has been widely exploited using semi-empirical retrieval approaches based on a single-tie poin... The correlation between the Soil Moisture and Ocean Salinity(SMOS)L-band brightness temperature and thin sea ice thickness has been widely exploited using semi-empirical retrieval approaches based on a single-tie point(STP).However,due to pronounced spatial heterogeneity in seawater and sea ice properties across the Arctic,the use of an STP often leads to regionally biased.To address this limitation,this study proposes a multi-tie point(MTP)sea ice thickness retrieval method based on SMOS brightness temperature and sea ice concentration time series.Multiple seawater and sea ice tie-point values are identified through point-by-point time series analysis,quality control,and statistical hypothesis testing,allowing spatial variability in radiometric properties to be explicitly considered.The MTP-based retrieval is applied to Arctic freeze-up conditions.Validation against independent SMOS thin sea ice thickness products shows that the MTP approach yields significantly reduced bias and root mean square error compared with the conventional STP method,with statistically significant improvements confirmed by paired t-tests.While retrieval accuracy stabilizes beyond a certain number of tie points,the preprocessing cost associated with tie-point selection increases substantially.Considering both accuracy and efficiency,the MTP framework provides a practical and robust approach for large-scale Arctic thin sea ice thickness retrieval and enables improved characterization of regional freezing processes and maximum ice thickness. 展开更多
关键词 SMOS single-tie point ARCTIC multi-tie point thin sea ice thickness
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Research on resource allocation for multi-tier web applications in a virtualization environment
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作者 Shuguo YANG 《Frontiers of Computer Science》 SCIE EI CSCD 2011年第4期506-512,共7页
Resource allocation for multi-tier web appli- cations in virtualization environments is one of the most important problems in autonomous computing. On one hand, the more resources that are provisioned to a multi- tier... Resource allocation for multi-tier web appli- cations in virtualization environments is one of the most important problems in autonomous computing. On one hand, the more resources that are provisioned to a multi- tier web application, the easier it is to meet service level objectives (SLO). On the other hand, the virtual machine which hosts the multi-tier web application needs to be consolidated as much as possible in order to maintain high resource utilization. This paper presents an adaptive resource controller which consists of a feedback utiliza- tion controller and an auto-regressive and moving average model (ARMA)-based model estimator. It can meet application-level quality of service (QoS) goals while achieving high resource utilization. To evaluate the proposed controllers, simulations are performed on a testbed simulating a virtual data center using Xen virtual machines. Experimental results indicate that the control- lers can improve CPU utilization and make the best trade- off between resource utilization and performance for multi-tier web applications. 展开更多
关键词 CPU utilization resource allocation qualityof service multi-tier web applications
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More Requests,Less Cost:Uncertain Inter-Datacenter Traffic Transmission with Multi-Tier Pricing
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作者 Xiao-Dong Dong Sheng Chen +3 位作者 Lai-Ping Zhao Xiao-Bo Zhou Heng Qi Ke-Qiu Li 《Journal of Computer Science & Technology》 SCIE EI CSCD 2018年第6期1152-1163,共12页
With the multi-tier pricing scheme provided by most of the cloud service providers(CSPs),the cloud userstypically select a high enough transmission service level to ensure the quality of service(QoS),due to the severe... With the multi-tier pricing scheme provided by most of the cloud service providers(CSPs),the cloud userstypically select a high enough transmission service level to ensure the quality of service(QoS),due to the severe penalty ofmissing the transmission deadline.This leads to the so-called over-provisioning problem,which increases the transmissioncost of the cloud user.Given the fact that cloud users may not be aware of their traffic demand before accessing the network,the over-provisioning problem becomes more serious.In this paper,we investigate how to reduce the transmission cost fromthe perspective of cloud users,especially when they are not aware of their traffic demand before the transmission deadline.The key idea is to split a long-term transmission request into several short ones.By selecting the most suitable transmissionservice level for each short-term request,a cost-efiqcient inter-datacenter transmission service level selection framework isobtained.We further formulate the transmission service level selection problem as a linear programming problem andresolve it in an on-line style with Lyapunov optimization.We evaluate the proposed approach with real traffic data.Theexperimental results show that our method can reduce the transmission cost by up to 65.04%. 展开更多
关键词 trafic uncertainty inter-datacenter transmission multi-tier pricing scheme
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Data Temperature Informed Streaming for Optimising Large-Scale Multi-Tiered Storage
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作者 Dominic Davies-Tagg Ashiq Anjum +3 位作者 Ali Zahir Lu Liu Muhammad Usman Yaseen Nick Antonopoulos 《Big Data Mining and Analytics》 EI CSCD 2024年第2期371-398,共28页
Data temperature is a response to the ever-growing amount of data.These data have to be stored,but they have been observed that only a small portion of the data are accessed more frequently at any one time.This leads ... Data temperature is a response to the ever-growing amount of data.These data have to be stored,but they have been observed that only a small portion of the data are accessed more frequently at any one time.This leads to the concept of hot and cold data.Cold data can be migrated away from high-performance nodes to free up performance for higher priority data.Existing studies classify hot and cold data primarily on the basis of data age and usage frequency.We present this as a limitation in the current implementation of data temperature.This is due to the fact that age automatically assumes that all new data have priority and that usage is purely reactive.We propose new variables and conditions that influence smarter decision-making on what are hot or cold data and allow greater user control over data location and their movement.We identify new metadata variables and user-defined variables to extend the current data temperature value.We further establish rules and conditions for limiting unnecessary movement of the data,which helps to prevent wasted input output(I/O)costs.We also propose a hybrid algorithm that combines existing variables and new variables and conditions into a single data temperature.The proposed system provides higher accuracy,increases performance,and gives greater user control for optimal positioning of data within multi-tiered storage solutions. 展开更多
关键词 data temperature hot and cold data multi-tiered storage metadata variable multi-temperature system
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从“保健康”到“促发展”:多层次医疗保障赋能家庭人力资本投资研究
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作者 李聪 陈浩楠 赵正堂 《人口与发展》 北大核心 2026年第1期106-114,共9页
多层次医疗保障作为一种有效的风险分担机制,不仅具有提供经济支持的作用,更是提升人力资本水平的重要抓手。基于2017、2019年中国家庭金融调查(CHFS)数据,系统考察多层次医疗保障对家庭人力资本投资的影响及其作用机制。研究结果表明,... 多层次医疗保障作为一种有效的风险分担机制,不仅具有提供经济支持的作用,更是提升人力资本水平的重要抓手。基于2017、2019年中国家庭金融调查(CHFS)数据,系统考察多层次医疗保障对家庭人力资本投资的影响及其作用机制。研究结果表明,多层次医疗保障能够显著促进家庭人力资本投资。机制检验发现,多层次医疗保障主要通过降低医疗负担和减少预防性储蓄作用于家庭人力资本投资。异质性分析显示,对高医疗负担家庭、高收入家庭及正规就业家庭而言,多层次医疗保障对人力资本投资的促进作用更为显著。研究对推动更多资金资源“投资于人”、服务于民生有重要意义。 展开更多
关键词 多层次医疗保障 人力资本投资 医疗负担 预防性储蓄
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基于Q-learning的专家权重优化与多级共识反馈决策
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作者 杜秀丽 程伟龙 +2 位作者 高星 潘成胜 吕亚娜 《计算机应用研究》 北大核心 2026年第2期420-426,共7页
针对动态复杂多属性决策环境下大规模异构专家群体共识达成效率低、权重分配不精准的问题,提出一种基于Q-learning的权重优化与多级共识反馈方法,旨在提升共识水平与决策质量。该方法通过将专家权重动态调整建模为马尔可夫决策过程,利用... 针对动态复杂多属性决策环境下大规模异构专家群体共识达成效率低、权重分配不精准的问题,提出一种基于Q-learning的权重优化与多级共识反馈方法,旨在提升共识水平与决策质量。该方法通过将专家权重动态调整建模为马尔可夫决策过程,利用Q-learning实现权重自适应优化,并设计涵盖属性、方案、专家与群体四个层级的多级共识反馈机制,从而精准识别并协调不同来源的分歧。实验结果表明,该方法能够显著降低共识达成所需迭代次数,提升权重分配与专家专业度的匹配精度,并获得更可靠的方案排序结果,验证了其在大规模异构专家群体中的鲁棒性与计算效率。研究表明,所提方法为复杂多属性群体决策问题提供了有效的共识建模与决策支持工具。 展开更多
关键词 群体决策 Q-LEARNING 多层共识反馈 动态权重调整
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“十五五”时期推进中国特色金融创新面临的挑战和实现路径
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作者 胡海峰 刘斯诺 《经济问题》 北大核心 2026年第3期1-10,共10页
金融创新是推动金融高质量发展的内生动力,也是建设金融强国的重要支撑。“十四五”时期,我国金融创新沿金融要素、金融机构、金融业务、金融工具以及金融制度五个维度系统推进。要素维度,资金、技术、数据、人才与土地的市场化配置机... 金融创新是推动金融高质量发展的内生动力,也是建设金融强国的重要支撑。“十四五”时期,我国金融创新沿金融要素、金融机构、金融业务、金融工具以及金融制度五个维度系统推进。要素维度,资金、技术、数据、人才与土地的市场化配置机制进一步完善;机构维度,形成“资本更厚、治理更严、结构更优、开放更强”的供给主体,打造“数字更深、科创更通、期限更长、普惠更稳”的产品体系;业务维度,供应链金融、数字人民币、普惠“三农”、养老健康等场景持续拓展,业务融合与智能风控加速形成数据闭环;工具维度,结构性货币政策与政策性开发性金融工具协同发力,碳减排支持工具、科创债、可持续挂钩债等品种定向滴灌重点领域;制度维度,监管架构重塑与多层次资本市场改革并进。与此同时,金融创新仍受五方面约束:监管范式与创新节奏错位,机构数字化能力分层,绿色与普惠定价机制失衡,资本市场的资源配置与风险分担功能有待强化,跨境金融标准与规则衔接不畅。面向“十五五”,须坚持在市场化、法治化轨道上推进创新,在数据、技术、基础设施一体化框架下夯实数字金融底座,在“五篇大文章”统筹中塑造差异化与特色化金融供给,在注册制常态化与长期资本培育上做深资本市场功能,并在制度型开放与多央行协作中完善跨境规则与基础设施互联互通,构建安全、高效、可持续的现代金融创新体系。 展开更多
关键词 金融创新 “十五五”时期 长期资本培育 多层次资本市场体系
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中国多层次养老金体系的替代率结构研究
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作者 张熠 《社会保障评论》 2026年第2期50-62,共13页
养老金体系不同层次间的替代率如何合理分布,是养老金体系结构设计中最重要、影响最深远的问题。本文从理论机理、国际比较与政策优化三个维度探讨中国多层次养老金体系的替代率结构问题。研究发现:根据两基金分离理论,不同替代率结构... 养老金体系不同层次间的替代率如何合理分布,是养老金体系结构设计中最重要、影响最深远的问题。本文从理论机理、国际比较与政策优化三个维度探讨中国多层次养老金体系的替代率结构问题。研究发现:根据两基金分离理论,不同替代率结构实质上是在养老金待遇确定性和充足性之间的权衡。由于忽视了税费负担及截面工资年龄曲线等结构性因素,传统基于平均工资的替代率测度存在明显的系统性偏差,低估了我国第一层次的实际保障效能;与经济合作与发展组织成员国对比可以发现,我国第一层次净替代率水平偏高,对二、三层次产生了明显的挤出效应。本文认为,破解“一层独大”困境可以通过系统性与参量式改革予以解决,如将个人名义账户转记为国债投资以及降低养老保险缴费上限。 展开更多
关键词 多层次 养老金体系 替代率 两基金分离
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从“保基本”到“保美好”——农村多支柱养老保险的阶梯式保障效应与优化策略
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作者 薛惠元 吴欣芸 曹思远 《财经问题研究》 北大核心 2026年第3期44-60,共17页
在农村老龄化加剧、家庭养老功能弱化和土地保障功能退化的背景下,农村地区迫切需要加快构建多支柱养老保险体系,以破解养老困局。随着经济社会发展,农村老年人对生活的期望已不仅局限于“保基本”,而是逐步向“保美好”跃升,迫切需要... 在农村老龄化加剧、家庭养老功能弱化和土地保障功能退化的背景下,农村地区迫切需要加快构建多支柱养老保险体系,以破解养老困局。随着经济社会发展,农村老年人对生活的期望已不仅局限于“保基本”,而是逐步向“保美好”跃升,迫切需要更高层次、更可持续的养老保障。首先,本文从需求侧出发,运用扩展线性支出系统(ELES)模型,实证分析不同消费支出类别的基本消费金额、边际消费倾向和消费习惯系数,进而预测未来农村老年人在“保基本”“保美好”两个目标下的生活需求和需求替代率。其次,本文从供给侧出发,分别测算仅参加城乡居民基本养老保险、城乡居民基本养老保险与个人养老金协同、城乡居民基本养老保险转城镇职工基本养老保险等三种参保情形下各类方案的养老金水平和供给替代率。最后,本文基于养老金供需匹配原则,系统评估多支柱养老保险对农村老年人多元化生活需求的满足程度,揭示其阶梯式保障效应。研究结果表明:城乡居民基本养老保险仅能勉强实现“保基本”目标,而引入多支柱养老保险后,养老金待遇呈现清晰的阶梯式提升特征,有效支撑了从“保基本”向“保美好”的跃升。 展开更多
关键词 农村养老保险 多支柱养老保险 阶梯式保障 养老保障水平
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