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Intelligent Parameter Decision-Making and Multi-objective Prediction for Multi-layer and Multi-pass LDED Process
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作者 Li Yaguan Nie Zhenguo +2 位作者 Li Huilin Wang Tao Huang Qingxue 《稀有金属材料与工程》 北大核心 2026年第1期47-58,共12页
The key parameters that characterize the morphological quality of multi-layer and multi-pass metal laser deposited parts are the surface roughness and the error between the actual printing height and the theoretical m... The key parameters that characterize the morphological quality of multi-layer and multi-pass metal laser deposited parts are the surface roughness and the error between the actual printing height and the theoretical model height.The Taguchi method was employed to establish the correlations between process parameter combinations and multi-objective characterization of metal deposition morphology(height error and roughness).Results show that using the signal-to-noise ratio and grey relational analysis,the optimal parameter combination for multi-layer and multi-pass deposition is determined as follows:laser power of 800 W,powder feeding rate of 0.3 r/min,step distance of 1.6 mm,and scanning speed of 20 mm/s.Subsequently,a Genetic Bayesian-back propagation(GB-BP)network is constructed to predict multi-objective responses.Compared with the traditional back propagation network,the GB-back propagation network improves the prediction accuracy of height error and surface roughness by 43.14%and 71.43%,respectively.This network can accurately predict the multi-objective characterization of morphological quality of multi-layer and multi-pass metal deposited parts. 展开更多
关键词 multi-layer and multi-pass laser cladding Taguchi method grey relational analysis GB-BP network
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Leveraging Bayesian methods for addressing multi-uncertainty in data-driven seismic liquefaction assessment
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作者 Zhihui Wang Roberto Cudmani +2 位作者 Andrés Alfonso Peña Olarte Chaozhe Zhang Pan Zhou 《Journal of Rock Mechanics and Geotechnical Engineering》 2025年第4期2474-2491,共18页
When assessing seismic liquefaction potential with data-driven models,addressing the uncertainties of establishing models,interpreting cone penetration tests(CPT)data and decision threshold is crucial for avoiding bia... When assessing seismic liquefaction potential with data-driven models,addressing the uncertainties of establishing models,interpreting cone penetration tests(CPT)data and decision threshold is crucial for avoiding biased data selection,ameliorating overconfident models,and being flexible to varying practical objectives,especially when the training and testing data are not identically distributed.A workflow characterized by leveraging Bayesian methodology was proposed to address these issues.Employing a Multi-Layer Perceptron(MLP)as the foundational model,this approach was benchmarked against empirical methods and advanced algorithms for its efficacy in simplicity,accuracy,and resistance to overfitting.The analysis revealed that,while MLP models optimized via maximum a posteriori algorithm suffices for straightforward scenarios,Bayesian neural networks showed great potential for preventing overfitting.Additionally,integrating decision thresholds through various evaluative principles offers insights for challenging decisions.Two case studies demonstrate the framework's capacity for nuanced interpretation of in situ data,employing a model committee for a detailed evaluation of liquefaction potential via Monte Carlo simulations and basic statistics.Overall,the proposed step-by-step workflow for analyzing seismic liquefaction incorporates multifold testing and real-world data validation,showing improved robustness against overfitting and greater versatility in addressing practical challenges.This research contributes to the seismic liquefaction assessment field by providing a structured,adaptable methodology for accurate and reliable analysis. 展开更多
关键词 Data-driven method bayes analysis Seismic liquefaction UNCERTAINTY Neural network
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Numerical Exploration on Load Transfer Characteristics and Optimization of Multi-Layer Composite Pavement Structures Based on Improved Transfer Matrix Method
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作者 Guo-Zhi Li Hua-Ping Wang +2 位作者 Si-Kai Wang Jing-Cheng Zhou Ping Xiang 《Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences》 2025年第12期3165-3195,共31页
Transportation structures such as composite pavements and railway foundations typically consist of multi-layered media designed to withstand high bearing capacity.A theoretical understanding of load transfer mechanism... Transportation structures such as composite pavements and railway foundations typically consist of multi-layered media designed to withstand high bearing capacity.A theoretical understanding of load transfer mechanisms in these multi-layer composites is essential,as it offers intuitive insights into parametric influences and facilitates enhanced structural performance.This paper employs an improved transfer matrix method to address the limitations of existing theoretical approaches for analyzing multi-layer composite structures.By establishing a twodimensional composite pavement model,it investigates load transfer characteristics and validates the accuracy through finite element simulation.The proposed method offers a straightforward analytical approach for examining internal interactions between structural layers.Case studies indicate that the concrete surface layer is the main load-bearing layer for most vertical normal and shear stresses.The soil base layer reduces the overall mechanical response of the substructure,while horizontal actions increase the risk of interfacial slip and cracking.Structural optimization analysis demonstrates that increasing the thickness of the concrete surface layer,enhancing the thickness and stiffness of the soil base layer,or incorporating gradient layers can significantly mitigate these risks of interfacial slip and cracking.The findings of this study can guide the optimization design,parameter analysis,and damage prevention of multi-layer composite structures. 展开更多
关键词 multi-layer composite pavement improved theoretical analysis transfer matrix method structural optimization damage prevention
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Aerodynamic optimization of rotor airfoil based on multi-layer hierarchical constraint method 被引量:9
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作者 Zhao Ke Gao Zhenghong +1 位作者 Huang Jiangtao Li Quan 《Chinese Journal of Aeronautics》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2016年第6期1541-1552,共12页
Rotor airfoil design is investigated in this paper. There are many difficulties for this highdimensional multi-objective problem when traditional multi-objective optimization methods are used. Therefore, a multi-layer... Rotor airfoil design is investigated in this paper. There are many difficulties for this highdimensional multi-objective problem when traditional multi-objective optimization methods are used. Therefore, a multi-layer hierarchical constraint method is proposed by coupling principal component analysis(PCA) dimensionality reduction and e-constraint method to translate the original high-dimensional problem into a bi-objective problem. This paper selects the main design objectives by conducting PCA to the preliminary solution of original problem with consideration of the priority of design objectives. According to the e-constraint method, the design model is established by treating the two top-ranking design goals as objective and others as variable constraints. A series of bi-objective Pareto curves will be obtained by changing the variable constraints, and the favorable solution can be obtained by analyzing Pareto curve spectrum. This method is applied to the rotor airfoil design and makes great improvement in aerodynamic performance. It is shown that the method is convenient and efficient, beyond which, it facilitates decision-making of the highdimensional multi-objective engineering problem. 展开更多
关键词 multi-layer hierarchical constraint method Multi-objective optimization NSGA II Pareto front Principal component analysis Rotor airfoil
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Assessment Method of Heavy NC Machine Reliability Based on Bayes Theory 被引量:1
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作者 张雷 王太勇 胡占齐 《Transactions of Tianjin University》 EI CAS 2016年第2期105-109,共5页
It is difficult to collect the prior information for small-sample machinery products when their reliability is assessed by using Bayes method. In this study, an improved Bayes method with gradient reliability(GR) resu... It is difficult to collect the prior information for small-sample machinery products when their reliability is assessed by using Bayes method. In this study, an improved Bayes method with gradient reliability(GR) results as prior information was proposed to solve the problem. A certain type of heavy NC boring and milling machine was considered as the research subject, and its reliability model was established on the basis of its functional and structural characteristics and working principle. According to the stress-intensity interference theory and the reliability model theory, the GR results of the host machine and its key components were obtained. Then the GR results were deemed as prior information to estimate the probabilistic reliability(PR) of the spindle box, the column and the host machine in the present method. The comparative studies demonstrated that the improved Bayes method was applicable in the reliability assessment of heavy NC machine tools. 展开更多
关键词 heavy NC machine reliability assessment bayes method prior information
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Prediction of Logistics Demand via Least Square Method and Multi-Layer Perceptron 被引量:1
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作者 WEI Leqin ZHANG Anguo 《Journal of Donghua University(English Edition)》 EI CAS 2020年第6期526-533,共8页
To implement the prediction of the logistics demand capacity of a certain region,a comprehensive index system is constructed,which is composed of freight volume and other eight relevant economic indices,such as gross ... To implement the prediction of the logistics demand capacity of a certain region,a comprehensive index system is constructed,which is composed of freight volume and other eight relevant economic indices,such as gross domestic product(GDP),consumer price index(CPI),total import and export volume,port's cargo throughput,total retail sales of consumer goods,total fixed asset investment,highway mileage,and resident population,to form the foundation for the model calculation.Based on the least square method(LSM)to fit the parameters,the study obtains an accurate mathematical model and predicts the changes of each index in the next five years.Using artificial intelligence software,the research establishes the logistics demand model of multi-layer perceptron(MLP)neural network,makes an empirical analysis on the logistics demand of Quanzhou City,and predicts its logistics demand in the next five years,which provides some references for formulating logistics planning and development strategy. 展开更多
关键词 logistics demand least square method(LSM) multi-layer perceptron(MLP) PREDICTION strategic planning
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Application of response surface method for optimal transfer conditions of multi-layer ceramic capacitor alignment system
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作者 PARK Su-seong KIM Jae-min +1 位作者 CHUNG Won-jee SHIN O-chul 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS 2011年第3期726-730,共5页
The multi-layer ceramic capacitor (MLCC) alignment system aims at the inter-process automation between the first and the second plastic processes.As a result of testing performance verification of MLCC alignment syste... The multi-layer ceramic capacitor (MLCC) alignment system aims at the inter-process automation between the first and the second plastic processes.As a result of testing performance verification of MLCC alignment system,the average alignment rates are 95% for 3216 chip,88.5% for 2012 chip and 90.8% for 3818 chip.The MLCC alignment system can be accepted for practical use because the average manual alignment is just 80%.In other words,the developed MLCC alignment system has been upgraded to a great extent,compared with manual alignment.Based on the successfully developed MLCC alignment system,the optimal transfer conditions have been explored by using RSM.The simulations using ADAMS has been performed according to the cube model of CCD.By using MiniTAB,the model of response surface has been established based on the simulation results.The optimal conditions resulted from the response optimization tool of MiniTAB has been verified by being assigned to the prototype of MLCC alignment system. 展开更多
关键词 multi-layer ceramic capacitor (MLCC) alignment system response surface method (RSM) MiniTAB ADAMS
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基于随机加权法的BAYES精度评定 被引量:13
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作者 张湘平 张金槐 +3 位作者 谢红卫 曹国敏 张振泰 钟世勇 《国防科技大学学报》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2001年第3期98-102,共5页
从工程应用的角度出发 ,在极小现场子样条件下 ,讨论了如何利用验前信息与现场子样来对导弹的命中精度进行评定 ,将随机加权法与BAYES方法结合起来 ,提出了基于随机加权法的BAYES精度评定方法 。
关键词 随机加权法 小子样 bayes方法 武器系统 试验鉴定
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边坡稳定性预测的Bayes判别分析方法及应用 被引量:29
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作者 史秀志 周健 +2 位作者 郑纬 胡海燕 王怀勇 《四川大学学报(工程科学版)》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2010年第3期63-68,共6页
边坡稳定性的分析是一个复杂的系统工程问题。基于Bayes判别分析(BDA)理论并结合工程实际,选用边坡岩体的重度黏聚力、摩擦角、边坡角、边坡高度及孔隙压力比等6个指标作为边坡稳定性预测的判别因子,建立边坡稳定性预测的Bayes判别分析... 边坡稳定性的分析是一个复杂的系统工程问题。基于Bayes判别分析(BDA)理论并结合工程实际,选用边坡岩体的重度黏聚力、摩擦角、边坡角、边坡高度及孔隙压力比等6个指标作为边坡稳定性预测的判别因子,建立边坡稳定性预测的Bayes判别分析模型;以32组边坡实测数据作为学习样本进行训练,建立Bayes线性判别函数;以交差确认估计法对判别准则进行评价以检验模型的优良性,以Bayes线性判别函数计算7个待判样品的Bayes判别函数值。研究表明:Bayes判别分类性能良好,与支持向量机方法有较好的一致性,且预测精度高,交差确认估计的误判率较低,为边坡稳定性预测提供了一种新思路。 展开更多
关键词 边坡稳定性 预测 bayes判别分析(BDA) 交差确认估计法
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鱼雷可靠性评定中的 Bayes 方法 被引量:8
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作者 宋保维 严卫生 徐德民 《机械科学与技术》 EI CSCD 北大核心 1998年第3期371-374,共4页
Bayes方法是在小子样产品可靠性评定中应用较多的一种方法,但产品验前分布确定得是否合理,将直接影响评定结果。在采用Bayes方法对鱼雷可靠性进行评定时,常常是将成败型分系统试验的验前分布取为β(0,0)。这种对鱼雷... Bayes方法是在小子样产品可靠性评定中应用较多的一种方法,但产品验前分布确定得是否合理,将直接影响评定结果。在采用Bayes方法对鱼雷可靠性进行评定时,常常是将成败型分系统试验的验前分布取为β(0,0)。这种对鱼雷的成败型分系统验前分布的取法是不够科学的。本文从理论上和工程实践上说明了鱼雷产品的成败型分系统验前分布应取为β(1/2,1/2),从而给出了由分系统试验数据折合成系统试验数据的Bayes方法修正公式。 展开更多
关键词 可靠性评定 bayes方法 鱼雷 产品验前分布
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岩土参数概率分布推断的模糊BAYES方法探讨 被引量:39
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作者 徐军 雷用 郑颖人 《岩土力学》 EI CAS CSCD 2000年第4期394-396,400,共4页
探讨了如何在有限的少量样本条件下,利用已有的经验和试验资料确定岩土参数的概率分布。用模糊综合评判方法与BAYES理论相结合,给出由小样本试验数据确定岩土参数的概率分布。
关键词 岩土参数 概率分布 模型综合评判 bayes方法
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基于Bayes-GO的复杂系统可靠性评估模型 被引量:6
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作者 尹宗润 李俊山 +1 位作者 苏东 孙衍欣 《计算机工程》 CAS CSCD 2013年第11期276-279,284,共5页
针对复杂系统可靠性评估困难问题,提出一种基于Bayes-GO方法的复杂系统可靠性评估模型。采用Bayes方法融合多源先验信息,建立单元级可靠性模型,再用GO方法综合单元级可靠性参数,获得系统可靠性模型。通过某复杂电子设备可靠性评估实例,... 针对复杂系统可靠性评估困难问题,提出一种基于Bayes-GO方法的复杂系统可靠性评估模型。采用Bayes方法融合多源先验信息,建立单元级可靠性模型,再用GO方法综合单元级可靠性参数,获得系统可靠性模型。通过某复杂电子设备可靠性评估实例,验证模型的有效性。结果表明,该方法既有Bayes方法充分利用先验信息的优点,又兼具GO方法直观、简便的特点,在相关领域应用中具有较高的参考价值。 展开更多
关键词 bayes方法 GO方法 可靠性评估 复杂系统 先验信息
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利用相似产品信息的成败型产品Bayes可靠性评估 被引量:14
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作者 杨军 黄金 +1 位作者 申丽娟 赵宇 《北京航空航天大学学报》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2009年第7期786-788,847,共4页
在成败型产品的可靠性评估中,为提高估计精度,经常利用历史数据来确定先验分布.但在工程实际中,历史样本和样本本质上属于不同的总体,这对可靠性评估结果有着显著影响.为此,采用相似系统分析确定历史样本和样本的相似程度,将其归纳为继... 在成败型产品的可靠性评估中,为提高估计精度,经常利用历史数据来确定先验分布.但在工程实际中,历史样本和样本本质上属于不同的总体,这对可靠性评估结果有着显著影响.为此,采用相似系统分析确定历史样本和样本的相似程度,将其归纳为继承因子;然后,根据历史样本信息确定产品可靠性的历史后验,基于无信息先验得到产品可靠性的更新后验;最后通过继承因子,综合历史后验和更新后验,得到产品可靠性的融合后验,并在此基础上进行可靠性推断.该方法不仅充分利用了相似产品信息,而且突出了产品的独有特性. 展开更多
关键词 二项分布 可靠性评估 bayes方法 相似系统分析 继承因子
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岩体结构面倾向参数概率分布函数改进的Bayes推断方法 被引量:10
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作者 严春风 宋建波 朱可善 《工程地质学报》 CSCD 1999年第4期349-354,共6页
三峡船闸是世界上最大的船闸。该地区断层及节理比较发育,且具有一定的随机统计性,它对岩体力学性质起重要的控制作用。为了研究节理倾向的概率分布特征,本文引入以Bayes 最小熵优度比较检验为基础的概率分布的改进Bayes ... 三峡船闸是世界上最大的船闸。该地区断层及节理比较发育,且具有一定的随机统计性,它对岩体力学性质起重要的控制作用。为了研究节理倾向的概率分布特征,本文引入以Bayes 最小熵优度比较检验为基础的概率分布的改进Bayes 统计推断方法,基于三峡工程永久船闸节理岩体3373 条结构面的实测参数,就对岩体力学性质起控制作用的各组结构面的倾向参数的概率分布进行了研究。文章最后还讨论了推断的最优分布参数,估计了结构面参数的检验误差范围。 展开更多
关键词 岩体 结构面 倾向 概率分布 估计 bayes方法
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岩石参数Bayes估计中验前样本可信度的研究 被引量:6
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作者 毕忠伟 丁德馨 +1 位作者 饶龙 张志军 《水利学报》 EI CSCD 北大核心 2006年第8期1000-1003,共4页
针对岩石试验属破坏性试验,不易取得大量样本数据这一特点,提出在利用验前信息对岩石力学参数进行Bayes估计时,应首先考虑验前信息的可信度。通过统计学假设检验中二类错误理论推导了正态分布下验前信息与验后信息的相容性和可信度的公... 针对岩石试验属破坏性试验,不易取得大量样本数据这一特点,提出在利用验前信息对岩石力学参数进行Bayes估计时,应首先考虑验前信息的可信度。通过统计学假设检验中二类错误理论推导了正态分布下验前信息与验后信息的相容性和可信度的公式,并结合康家湾矿的岩石单轴抗压强度数据进行计算。结果表明,运用该公式计算验前信息可信度是可行的,为利用验前信息进行参数估计提供了理论依据。 展开更多
关键词 岩石力学 bayes 可信度 验前信息 力学参数
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利用相似产品信息的电子产品可靠性Bayes综合评估 被引量:10
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作者 杨军 申丽娟 +1 位作者 黄金 赵宇 《航空学报》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2008年第6期1550-1553,共4页
在电子产品试验的可靠性评估中,为提高估计精度,经常利用历史样本数据来确定先验分布。但在工程实际中,历史样本和样本实际上属于不同的总体,这对可靠性评估结果有显著的影响。为此,采用相似系统分析确定历史样本和样本的相似程度,将其... 在电子产品试验的可靠性评估中,为提高估计精度,经常利用历史样本数据来确定先验分布。但在工程实际中,历史样本和样本实际上属于不同的总体,这对可靠性评估结果有显著的影响。为此,采用相似系统分析确定历史样本和样本的相似程度,将其归纳为继承因子;然后根据历史样本信息确定产品可靠性的历史后验,基于无信息先验得到产品可靠性的更新后验;最后通过继承因子,综合历史后验和更新后验,得到产品可靠性的融合后验,并在此基础上进行可靠性推断。该方法不仅充分利用了相似产品的信息,而且突出了产品的独有特性。 展开更多
关键词 指数分布 可靠性评估 bayes分析 相似系统分析 继承因子
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基于Bayes方法的四川主要河流水质综合评价 被引量:14
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作者 廖杰 王文圣 丁晶 《水文》 CSCD 北大核心 2007年第1期33-35,共3页
给出了Bayes方法(Bayes Method)的思路和计算方法。据四川8条河12个站点的多年水质监测数据,选择了6个水质指标,以GB3838-2002为评价标准,首次以抽样误差正态分布原理估计Bayes公式中的似然概率,进而基于Bayes公式做水质评价。评价结果... 给出了Bayes方法(Bayes Method)的思路和计算方法。据四川8条河12个站点的多年水质监测数据,选择了6个水质指标,以GB3838-2002为评价标准,首次以抽样误差正态分布原理估计Bayes公式中的似然概率,进而基于Bayes公式做水质评价。评价结果表明多年平均情况下水质为Ⅰ、Ⅱ、Ⅲ类,但以Ⅰ类为主,少数为Ⅲ类。 展开更多
关键词 bayes 正态分布 河流水质评价 四川
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Bayes法鉴定武器系统射击精度研究 被引量:6
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作者 刘玉文 马建华 +1 位作者 薛晓中 廖晓斌 《南京理工大学学报》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2005年第4期407-410,共4页
为了在武器系统鉴定精度指标满足的条件下,减少试验弹药消耗量,降低鉴定成本,给出了一种数学模型和方法:对武器系统射击精度进行仿真,将仿真结果作为系统分析的验前信息,再进行适当规模的实弹试验,将试验结果作为检验子样,根据验前信息... 为了在武器系统鉴定精度指标满足的条件下,减少试验弹药消耗量,降低鉴定成本,给出了一种数学模型和方法:对武器系统射击精度进行仿真,将仿真结果作为系统分析的验前信息,再进行适当规模的实弹试验,将试验结果作为检验子样,根据验前信息和检验子样采用Bayes统计决策方法对武器系统的射击精度进行鉴定。获得了Bayes决策不等式、Bayes决策风险计算公式和验前概率公式。该模型和方法应用于新型武器鉴定之中,降低了武器鉴定成本。 展开更多
关键词 武器系统 射击精度 bayes方法 验前信息
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基于Probit-Bayes方法的储罐地震易损性研究 被引量:7
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作者 魏利军 王向阳 +1 位作者 罗艾民 向阳 《中国安全生产科学技术》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2017年第11期17-21,共5页
为了研究地震对储罐造成的影响,结合历史上储罐的震害资料,将储罐的损伤程度进行分级,通过采用Bayes方法估计Probit模型参数,再转化成储罐的损伤概率,给出了各个损伤状态下的模型参数及给定地震加速度下储罐的损伤概率,提出了1种基于Pro... 为了研究地震对储罐造成的影响,结合历史上储罐的震害资料,将储罐的损伤程度进行分级,通过采用Bayes方法估计Probit模型参数,再转化成储罐的损伤概率,给出了各个损伤状态下的模型参数及给定地震加速度下储罐的损伤概率,提出了1种基于Probit-Bayes方法估计储罐易损性的计算方法。结果表明:所提出的地震损伤计算方法,能够有效的评估储罐在不同地震加速度下的损伤程度,可为震后储罐的安全评估提供理论依据。 展开更多
关键词 储罐 PROBIT模型 bayes方法 地震 易损性曲线
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验前信息可信度及其在Bayes评估中的应用 被引量:7
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作者 姚志军 王国平 王广伟 《火力与指挥控制》 CSCD 北大核心 2007年第7期51-53,共3页
验前信息的计算与合理应用是Bayes方法在武器系统射击密集度评估中的关键问题之一。对验前信息可信度定义、计算及其在Bayes评估中的应用进行了阐述,提出了考虑验前信息可信度的射击密集度Bayes评估新方法,为武器系统射击密集度评估提... 验前信息的计算与合理应用是Bayes方法在武器系统射击密集度评估中的关键问题之一。对验前信息可信度定义、计算及其在Bayes评估中的应用进行了阐述,提出了考虑验前信息可信度的射击密集度Bayes评估新方法,为武器系统射击密集度评估提出了新思路。 展开更多
关键词 验前信息 可信度 bayes方法 射击密集度
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