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Multi-Item Fuzzy Inventory Model Involving Three Constraints: A Karush-Kuhn-Tucker Conditions Approach
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作者 R. Kasthuri P. Vasanthi +1 位作者 S. Ranganayaki C. V. Seshaiah 《American Journal of Operations Research》 2011年第3期155-159,共5页
In this paper, a multi-item inventory model with storage space, number of orders and production cost as constraints are developed in both crisp and fuzzy environment. In most of the real world situations the cost para... In this paper, a multi-item inventory model with storage space, number of orders and production cost as constraints are developed in both crisp and fuzzy environment. In most of the real world situations the cost parameters, the objective functions and constraints of the decision makers are imprecise in nature. This model is solved with shortages and the unit cost dependent demand is assumed. Hence the cost parameters are imposed here in fuzzy environment. This model has been solved by Kuhn-Tucker conditions method. The results for the model without shortages are obtained as a particular case. The model is illustrated with numerical example. 展开更多
关键词 multi-item inventory model MEMBERSHIP Function Karush-Kuhn-Tucker CONDITION
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Establish of air pollutants and greenhouse gases emission inventory and co-benefits of their reduction of transportation sector in Central China
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作者 Xinran Zhang Shasha Yin +7 位作者 Xuan Lu Yali Liu Tiantian Wang Binglin Zhang Zhuo Li Wenju Wang Mengdi Kong Keying Chen 《Journal of Environmental Sciences》 2025年第4期604-621,共18页
Recently,the transportation sector in China has gradually become the main source of urban air pollution and primary driver of carbon emissions growth.Considering air pollutants and greenhouse gases come from the same ... Recently,the transportation sector in China has gradually become the main source of urban air pollution and primary driver of carbon emissions growth.Considering air pollutants and greenhouse gases come from the same emission sources,it is necessary to establish an updated high-resolution emission inventory for the transportation sector in Central China,themost polluted region in China.The inventory includes on-road mobile,non-roadmobile,oil storage and transportation,and covers 9 types of air pollutants and 3 types of greenhouse gases.Based on the Long-range Energy Alternatives Planning System(LEAP)model,the emissions of pollutants were predicted for the period from2020 to 2035 in different scenarios.Results showed that in 2020,emissions of SO_(2),NO_(x),CO,PM_(10),PM_(2.5),VOCs,NH_(3),BC,OC,CO_(2),CH_(4),and N_(2)O in Henan Province were 27.5,503.2,878.6,20.1,17.4,222.1,21.5,9.4,2.9,92,077.9,6.0,and 10.4 kilotons,respectively.Energy demand and pollutant emissions in Henan Province are simulated under four scenarios(Baseline Scenario(BS),Pollution Abatement Scenario(PA),Green Transportation Scenario(GT),and Reinforcing Low Carbon Scenario(RLC)).The collaborative emission reduction effect is most significant in the RLC scenario,followed by the GT scenario.By 2035,under the RLC scenario,energy consumption and emissions of SO_(2),NO_(x),CO,PM_(10),PM_(2.5),VOCs,NH_(3),CO_(2),CH_(4),and N_(2)O are projected to decrease by 72.0%,30.0%,55.6%,56.0%,38.6%,39.7%,51.5%,66.1%,65.5%,55.4%,and 52.8%,respectively.This study provides fundamental data support for subsequent numerical simulations. 展开更多
关键词 Emission inventory Transport sector LEAP model Co-benefit emission reduction Scenario analysis
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Comparative research on three-echelon and two-echelon medicine inventory model with positive lead-time
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作者 朱莉 王海燕 赵林度 《Journal of Southeast University(English Edition)》 EI CAS 2005年第4期500-505,共6页
According to the principle of minimizing total cost, the three-echelon optimized medical inventory model with stochastic lead-time and two-echelon optimized medicine inventory model with fixed lead-time are establishe... According to the principle of minimizing total cost, the three-echelon optimized medical inventory model with stochastic lead-time and two-echelon optimized medicine inventory model with fixed lead-time are established. The relationship between lead-time and inventory cost is studied by Matlab software. It shows that the variety of lead-time has an important effect on medicine inventory systems. Numerical simulation and sensitivity analysis of two models are presented by Lingo software. Based on analysis, it is concluded that the two-echelon model with lead-time results in inventory cost savings, and keeps the quality of care as reflected in service levels when compared with the three-echelon network structure. 展开更多
关键词 healthcare supply chain inventory management LEAD-TIME optimization model
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An integrated chemical mass balance and source emission inventory model for the source apportionment of PM2.5 in typical coastal areas 被引量:8
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作者 Nana Cheng Cheng Zhang +4 位作者 Deji Jing Wei Li Tianjiao Guo Qiaoli Wang Sujing Li 《Journal of Environmental Sciences》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2020年第6期118-128,共11页
The source apportionment of PM2.5 is essential for pollution prevention.In view of the weaknesses of individual models,we proposed an integrated chemical mass balancesource emission inventory(CMB-SEI)model to acquire ... The source apportionment of PM2.5 is essential for pollution prevention.In view of the weaknesses of individual models,we proposed an integrated chemical mass balancesource emission inventory(CMB-SEI)model to acquire more accurate results.First,the SEI of secondary component precursors(SO2,NOx,NH3,and VOCs)was compiled to acquire the emission ratios of these sources for the precursors.Then,a regular CMB simulation was executed to obtain the contributions of primary particle sources and secondary components(SO4^2-,NO3^-3,NH4^+,and SOC).Afterwards,the contributions of secondary components were apportioned into primary sources according to the source emission ratios.The final source apportionment results combined the contributions of primary sources by CMB and SEI.This integrated approach was carried out via a case study of three coastal cities(Zhoushan,Taizhou,and Wenzhou;abbreviated WZ,TZ,and ZS)in Zhejiang Province,China.The regular CMB simulation results showed that PM2.5 pollution was mainly affected by secondary components and mobile sources.The SEI results indicated that electricity,industrial production and mobile sources were the largest contributors to the emission of PM2.5 gaseous precursors.The simulation results of the CMB-SEI model showed that PM2.5 pollution in the coastal areas of Zhejiang Province presented complex pollution characteristics dominated by mobile sources,electricity production sources and industrial production sources.Compared to the results of the CMB and SEI models alone,the CMB-SEI model completely apportioned PM2.5 to primary sources and simultaneously made the results more accurate and reliable in accordance with local industrial characteristics. 展开更多
关键词 Integrated model Chemical mass balance Source emission inventory Source apportionment PM2.5
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Infinitesimal dividing modeling method for dual suppliers inventory model with random lead times 被引量:2
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作者 Ji Pengcheng Song Shiji Wu Cheng 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 2009年第3期527-536,共10页
As one of the basic inventory cost models, the (Q, τ)inventory cost model of dual suppliers with random procurement lead time is mostly formulated by using the concepts of "effective lead time" and "lead time de... As one of the basic inventory cost models, the (Q, τ)inventory cost model of dual suppliers with random procurement lead time is mostly formulated by using the concepts of "effective lead time" and "lead time demand", which may lead to an imprecise inventory cost. Through the real-time statistic of the inventory quantities, this paper considers the precise (Q, τ) inventory cost model of dual supplier procurement by using an infinitesimal dividing method. The traditional modeling method of the inventory cost for dual supplier procurement includes complex procedures. To reduce the complexity effectively, the presented method investigates the statistics properties in real-time of the inventory quantities with the application of the infinitesimal dividing method. It is proved that the optimal holding and shortage costs of dual supplier procurement are less than those of single supplier procurement respectively. With the assumption that both suppliers have the same distribution of lead times, the convexity of the cost function per unit time is proved. So the optimal solution can be easily obtained by applying the classical convex optimization methods. The numerical examples are given to verify the main conclusions. 展开更多
关键词 inventory precise model random lead times dual supplier infinitesimal dividing method optimiza- tion.
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Multi-objective linear fractional inventory model with possibility and necessity constraints under generalised intuitionistic fuzzy set environment 被引量:1
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作者 Totan Garai Harish Garg 《CAAI Transactions on Intelligence Technology》 2019年第3期175-181,共7页
This study presented a multi-objective linear fractional inventory (LFI) problem with generalised intuitionistic fuzzy numbers. In modelling, the authors have assumed the ambiances where generalised trapezoidal intuit... This study presented a multi-objective linear fractional inventory (LFI) problem with generalised intuitionistic fuzzy numbers. In modelling, the authors have assumed the ambiances where generalised trapezoidal intuitionistic fuzzy numbers (GTIFNs) used to handle the uncertain information in the data. Then, the given multi-objective generalised intuitionistic fuzzy LFI model was transformed into its equivalent deterministic linear fractional programming problem by employing the possibility and necessity measures. Finally, the applicability of the model is demonstrated with a numerical example and the sensitivity analysis under several parameters is investigated to explore the study. 展开更多
关键词 MULTI-OBJECTIVE linear fractional inventory model POSSIBILITY and NECESSITY CONSTRAINTS generalised intuitionistic fuzzy set ENVIRONMENT
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Inventory Model with Supply Disruption Risk and Service Level Constraint
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作者 WANG Quan-qing LI Zhen-guo LI Xiao-shen 《Chinese Quarterly Journal of Mathematics》 CSCD 2014年第3期412-418,共7页
We develop a newsvender model with service level constraint for oneproduct and multi-supplier system, where the supplies are susceptible to disruption risks. We prove the convexity of the programming problem,and provi... We develop a newsvender model with service level constraint for oneproduct and multi-supplier system, where the supplies are susceptible to disruption risks. We prove the convexity of the programming problem,and provide the necessary and sufficient conditions for the optimal order quantities. Through analysis or numerical experiments we observe the effects of the disrupt risk and the service level constraint on the optimal policy. We propose some managerial insights in managing the multi-source supply chain with disruption risks. 展开更多
关键词 inventory model disruption risk optimal policy service level
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Research on Three-Echelon Inventory Model and Algorithm for Valuable Spare Parts in Weapon Equipment 被引量:1
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作者 孙江生 赵方庚 +1 位作者 吕艳梅 连光耀 《Defence Technology(防务技术)》 CAS 2012年第1期52-58,共7页
According to the current situation of repair and supply for valuable spare parts in the weapon equipment of the PLA,using the research results of the repairable spare parts inventory theory,an inventory model of the v... According to the current situation of repair and supply for valuable spare parts in the weapon equipment of the PLA,using the research results of the repairable spare parts inventory theory,an inventory model of the valuable spare parts in three-echelon repair and supply system is established by expanding the classical METRIC model and theory,and the genetic algorithm is utilized to solve the model.In the algorithm,the chromosome representation and initial population production,the crossover and mutation operators are designed.By using an example,a simulation analysis is carried out to verify the model's correctness. 展开更多
关键词 库存模型 遗传算法 武器装备 备件 库存理论 研究成果 度量模型 供电系统
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Mathematical Modelling for a Multi-Product Inventory Routing Problem with Split Delivery
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作者 Yuling Yeh Chinyao Low 《Journal of Applied Mathematics and Physics》 2017年第9期1607-1612,共6页
In this article, a multi-product inventory routing problem is studied. One-depot and many retailers in a finite time period are considered, and split delivery is allowed as well for the addressed problem. The objectiv... In this article, a multi-product inventory routing problem is studied. One-depot and many retailers in a finite time period are considered, and split delivery is allowed as well for the addressed problem. The objective is to minimize the overall cost including vehicle cost, inventory holding cost and transportation cost while the delivery schedule and the quantity of each product for each retailer have to be decided simultaneously. A mathematical model is presented for solving the addressed optimally and example is illustrated as well. 展开更多
关键词 inventory ROUTING PROBLEM SPLIT Delivery MATHEMATICAL model
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Impact of Capacity Parameters on Flexible Inventory Control Decision Model
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作者 WANG Yi LE Meilong 《Transactions of Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics》 EI CSCD 2020年第S01期124-132,共9页
From the mathematical point of view,the flexible inventory control model is proved in the practical problem application and the rationality of the capacity parameter selection and calculation.The purpose is to activel... From the mathematical point of view,the flexible inventory control model is proved in the practical problem application and the rationality of the capacity parameter selection and calculation.The purpose is to actively respond to demand fluctuations when there is a demand forecast error or a missing part of the demand information,and to avoid the risk of passive variable demand forecasting to set the immutable inventory capacity.At the same time,the game is controlled by the flexible and variable inventory control strategy and the customer’s willingness to demand.The paper mainly studies the influence of the setting of capacity parameters on the booking-limit decision and its benefits under the control of flexible space with variable total capacity.Through the two trends of capacity increase flexibility and capacity reduction flexibility in the flexible inventory control model,the mathematical performance and marginal utility methods are introduced to change the performance of the booking-limit control decision model under different scenarios.The correlation analysis between the capacity limit level and the return under the optimal Bookinglimit decision,and the above two flexibility parameters are obtained. 展开更多
关键词 flexible inventory control capacity parameter booking-limit control decision model revenue management
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Field-Based Automated Survey for Extracting Tree Inventory Attributes and 3-D Models in a Forested Area
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作者 Jasmee Jaafar Juazer Rizal Abdul Hamid Roslina ldris Azman All M. Habib 《Journal of Earth Science and Engineering》 2012年第9期561-570,共10页
Acquisition of tree inventory parameters such as tree position with respect to a local reference coordinate system, tree height, dbh (diameter breast height) and other associated tree attributes is a tedious process... Acquisition of tree inventory parameters such as tree position with respect to a local reference coordinate system, tree height, dbh (diameter breast height) and other associated tree attributes is a tedious process, time consuming, costly and labour intensive. An automatic collection and processing in the field could expedite the process of tree inventory survey and data management. The advent of handheld laser equipments such as the MDL LaserAce 300, should allow rapid acquisition of tree attributes. The instrument measures distances, differences in height and horizontal bearing automatically. This paper describes a study about the automated process of retrieving tree positions, their respective attributes and the creation of 3-D model (three-dimensional model). A software developed in-house known as ASSIST (automated spatial survey information system) was utilized together with the MI)I, LaserAce 300, being the hardware component of the automated system. The capability of MDL LaserAce 9300 in extracting information regarding tree inventory attributes and the 3-D model encompassing the study area was investigated. The results were checked against the data sets acquired by a total station traversing and tacheometric survey respectively. The accuracy of the horizontal and vertical position of points gathered was critically assessed. The accuracy of the MDL LaserAce 300 was found to be less than ±2 m for both planimetric (horizontal) and vertical (height) in the construction of the 3-D model. The study demonstrates the effectiveness of a field-based automation system as a viable option to support forest application requirement. 展开更多
关键词 Measuring laser tree inventory 3-D model.
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An Improved Inventory Coordination Model in a Multi-stage Multi-customer Supply Chain
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作者 Hanwu Hu Chunlin Xing 《Chinese Business Review》 2006年第3期15-20,34,共7页
To solve the inventory coordination model in a multi-stage, multi-customer supply chain, this paper first analyzes the third model (integer powers of two multipliers at each firm) studied by Moutaz Khouja (2003), ... To solve the inventory coordination model in a multi-stage, multi-customer supply chain, this paper first analyzes the third model (integer powers of two multipliers at each firm) studied by Moutaz Khouja (2003), and the authors take a numerical example to prove that the third model is irrational to miss feasible solution. Then this paper puts up a new improved model (integer multiplier at each firm), and takes the example to prove it gives better results than the integer powers of two multipliers at each firm. 展开更多
关键词 inventory coordination model supply chain cycle time improve
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Analysis of the inflection points of height-diameter models
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作者 Tzeng Yih Lam Mark J.Ducey 《Forest Ecosystems》 SCIE CSCD 2024年第4期414-422,共9页
The inflection point is an important feature of sigmoidal height-diameter(H-D)models.It is often cited as one of the properties favoring sigmoidal model forms.However,there are very few studies analyzing the inflectio... The inflection point is an important feature of sigmoidal height-diameter(H-D)models.It is often cited as one of the properties favoring sigmoidal model forms.However,there are very few studies analyzing the inflection points of H-D models.The goals of this study were to theoretically and empirically examine the behaviors of inflection points of six common H-D models with a regional dataset.The six models were the Wykoff(WYK),Schumacher(SCH),Curtis(CUR),HossfeldⅣ(HOS),von Bertalanffy-Richards(VBR),and Gompertz(GPZ)models.The models were first fitted in their base forms with tree species as random effects and were then expanded to include functional traits and spatial distribution.The distributions of the estimated inflection points were similar between the two-parameter models WYK,SCH,and CUR,but were different between the threeparameter models HOS,VBR,and GPZ.GPZ produced some of the largest inflection points.HOS and VBR produced concave H-D curves without inflection points for 12.7%and 39.7%of the tree species.Evergreen species or decreasing shade tolerance resulted in larger inflection points.The trends in the estimated inflection points of HOS and VBR were entirely opposite across the landscape.Furthermore,HOS could produce concave H-D curves for portions of the landscape.Based on the studied behaviors,the choice between two-parameter models may not matter.We recommend comparing seve ral three-parameter model forms for consistency in estimated inflection points before deciding on one.Believing sigmoidal models to have inflection points does not necessarily mean that they will produce fitted curves with one.Our study highlights the need to integrate analysis of inflection points into modeling H-D relationships. 展开更多
关键词 CONCAVITY Forest inventory and analysis Generalized height-diameter models Growth functions Height-diameter functions Mixed-effects modeling Points of inflection Species-specific models
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Dominant woody plant species recognition with a hierarchical model based on multimodal geospatial data for subtropical forests
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作者 Xin Chen Yujun Sun 《Journal of Forestry Research》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2024年第3期111-130,共20页
Since the launch of the Google Earth Engine(GEE)cloud platform in 2010,it has been widely used,leading to a wealth of valuable information.However,the potential of GEE for forest resource management has not been fully... Since the launch of the Google Earth Engine(GEE)cloud platform in 2010,it has been widely used,leading to a wealth of valuable information.However,the potential of GEE for forest resource management has not been fully exploited.To extract dominant woody plant species,GEE combined Sen-tinel-1(S1)and Sentinel-2(S2)data with the addition of the National Forest Resources Inventory(NFRI)and topographic data,resulting in a 10 m resolution multimodal geospatial dataset for subtropical forests in southeast China.Spectral and texture features,red-edge bands,and vegetation indices of S1 and S2 data were computed.A hierarchical model obtained information on forest distribution and area and the dominant woody plant species.The results suggest that combining data sources from the S1 winter and S2 yearly ranges enhances accuracy in forest distribution and area extraction compared to using either data source independently.Similarly,for dominant woody species recognition,using S1 winter and S2 data across all four seasons was accurate.Including terrain factors and removing spatial correlation from NFRI sample points further improved the recognition accuracy.The optimal forest extraction achieved an overall accuracy(OA)of 97.4%and a maplevel image classification efficacy(MICE)of 96.7%.OA and MICE were 83.6%and 80.7%for dominant species extraction,respectively.The high accuracy and efficacy values indicate that the hierarchical recognition model based on multimodal remote sensing data performed extremely well for extracting information about dominant woody plant species.Visualizing the results using the GEE application allows for an intuitive display of forest and species distribution,offering significant convenience for forest resource monitoring. 展开更多
关键词 Google Earth Engine SENTINEL Forest resource inventory data Dominant woody plant species SUBTROPICS model performance
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Generalized Height-Diameter Models for Pinus montezumae Lamb. and Pinus pseudostrobus Lindl. Plantations in Michoacan, Mexico
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作者 Jonathan Hernández-Ramos Valentín José Reyes-Hernández +3 位作者 Héctor Manuel De los Santos-Posadas Aurelio Manuel Fierros-González Enrique Buendía-Rodríguez Gerónimo Quiñonez-Barraza 《Open Journal of Forestry》 2024年第3期214-232,共19页
Tree height (H) in a natural stand or forest plantation is a fundamental variable in management, and the use of mathematical expressions that estimate H as a function of diameter at breast height (d) or variables at t... Tree height (H) in a natural stand or forest plantation is a fundamental variable in management, and the use of mathematical expressions that estimate H as a function of diameter at breast height (d) or variables at the stand level is a valuable support tool in forest inventories. The objective was to fit and propose a generalized H-d model for Pinus montezumae and Pinus pseudostrobus established in forest plantations of Nuevo San Juan Parangaricutiro, Michoacan, Mexico. Using nonlinear least squares (NLS), 10 generalized H-d models were fitted to 883 and 1226 pairs of H-d data from Pinus montezumae and Pinus pseudostrobus, respectively. The best model was refitted with the maximum likelihood mixed effects model (MEM) approach by including the site as a classification variable and a known variance structure. The Wang and Tang equation was selected as the best model with NLS;the MEM with an additive effect on two of its parameters and an exponential variance function improved the fit statistics for Pinus montezumae and Pinus pseudostrobus, respectively. The model validation showed equality of means among the estimates for both species and an independent subsample. The calibration of the MEM at the plot level was efficient and might increase the applicability of these results. The inclusion of dominant height in the MEM approach helped to reduce bias in the estimates and also to better explain the variability among plots. 展开更多
关键词 Random Covariate Random Effects Variance Structure Forest Inventories Forest Management Mixed models
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基于实时交通流量机动车污染物排放对O_(3)影响的研究——以2023年6月苏州为例
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作者 司蔚 郁建桥 +3 位作者 丁剑 马茜雅 张祺杰 钟声 《环境监控与预警》 2025年第3期76-83,共8页
以2023年6月江苏省苏州市为研究区域,开展道路交通流量模型搭建、机动车污染物排放量计算分析工作。基于道路遥测点位数据、路网信息和本地机动车统计数据,建立50 m×50 m的高空间分辨率小时道路移动源排放清单。结果表明,2023年6... 以2023年6月江苏省苏州市为研究区域,开展道路交通流量模型搭建、机动车污染物排放量计算分析工作。基于道路遥测点位数据、路网信息和本地机动车统计数据,建立50 m×50 m的高空间分辨率小时道路移动源排放清单。结果表明,2023年6月苏州市道路移动源二氧化硫(SO_(2))、氮氧化物(NO_(X))、二氧化碳(CO_(2))、一氧化碳(CO)、挥发性有机物(VOCs)、可吸入颗粒物(PM_(10))和细颗粒物(PM_(2.5))的排放量分别为520.3,6826.8,7967.9,21098.2,2099.3,201.6和187.9 t;其中机动车CO、VOCs和PM_(2.5)排放主要集中在城市中心及外围,而NO_(X)排放量主要位于市中心。通过对中心城区的国控站点臭氧(O_(3))浓度与NO_(X)排放量、交通流量分析表明,工作日与非工作日O_(3)浓度受机动车尾气排放的影响存在显著差别;对于远离工业区的监测站点,工作日时间段在西北风风速较高的情况下,可以降低O_(3)污染。O_(3)的产生受交通源排放以及气象条件的影响较为明显。 展开更多
关键词 排放源清单 苏州市 交通流量模型 机动车 高分辨率
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不同海拔机场大气污染物及噪声排放清单的评估
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作者 唐卫贞 代杰 +1 位作者 薛子涵 陈晟 《安全与环境学报》 北大核心 2025年第10期4043-4052,共10页
研究基于国际民航组织(International Civil Aviation Organization,ICAO)标准排放模型,对燃油流量、飞行时间和排放指数进行修正。以2016—2017年为基准时段,选取某高(>1 524 m)、中(457~1 524 m)、低(<457 m)海拔机场各一个进... 研究基于国际民航组织(International Civil Aviation Organization,ICAO)标准排放模型,对燃油流量、飞行时间和排放指数进行修正。以2016—2017年为基准时段,选取某高(>1 524 m)、中(457~1 524 m)、低(<457 m)海拔机场各一个进行研究,以代表从低海拔到高海拔机场的海拔范围。基于标准着陆和起飞循环(Landing and Take-off,LTO)阶段计算不同海拔机场的大气污染物和噪声排放清单。结果显示:高海拔机场的单位LTO氮氧化物排放量最高,达到0.029 5 t,而低海拔机场的噪声水平最高,为71.1 dB。在不同海拔机场的各个LTO循环阶段,排放特性存在显著差异。以爬升阶段为例,高海拔机场的NOx排放量占比高达71.8%,而低海拔机场仅为45.6%。此外,随着海拔升高,主要机型的气体污染物排放量也呈增加趋势。对于A320机型,从低海拔到高海拔,NOx排放量从10.55 kg/循环增加到20.48 kg/循环,CO排放量从10.88 kg/循环增至22.89 kg/循环。研究揭示了不同海拔机场的大气污染物及噪声排放特征,为评估机场环境影响提供了新的科学依据。 展开更多
关键词 环境工程学 海拔 大气污染物 噪声 排放清单 修正模型评估
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剖宫产术中寒战风险预测模型及列线图的构建
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作者 胡欣 夏园园 林优优 《中国现代医生》 2025年第10期6-10,15,共6页
目的构建剖宫产术中产妇寒战风险预测模型并验证模型的预测效果。方法选取2023年1月至4月于温州医科大学附属第二医院行剖宫产手术的225例产妇为研究对象,根据术中是否发生寒战,将其分为寒战组(101例)和非寒战组(124例)。采用多因素Logi... 目的构建剖宫产术中产妇寒战风险预测模型并验证模型的预测效果。方法选取2023年1月至4月于温州医科大学附属第二医院行剖宫产手术的225例产妇为研究对象,根据术中是否发生寒战,将其分为寒战组(101例)和非寒战组(124例)。采用多因素Logistic回归分析影响因素并构建列线图预测模型。结果寒战组产妇的产次、术中有保温措施占比均显著少于非寒战组,糖尿病占比、球蛋白、状态焦虑量表(state anxiety inventory,S-AI)评分、特质焦虑量表评分均显著高于非寒战组,麻醉后体温下降幅度显著大于非寒战组(P<0.05)。多因素Logistic回归分析结果显示,糖尿病病史、S-AI评分、麻醉方式、麻醉后体温下降幅度、术中有保温措施均是剖宫产术中产妇寒战的影响因素(P<0.05)。构建的预测模型预测剖宫产术中产妇寒战的曲线下面积(area under the curve,AUC)为0.831,十折内部交叉验证得出的最大AUC为0.934,提示模型具有较好的拟合效果及鉴别效度。结论该模型能较好地预测剖宫产术中产妇寒战的发生风险,为医护人员及时对高危产妇采取预防性管理措施提供参考。 展开更多
关键词 剖宫产 寒战 预测模型 状态焦虑量表评分
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考虑数据波动的智能预测库存管理集成模型
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作者 李卓群 左婷婷 《计算机仿真》 2025年第6期220-224,378,共6页
需求预测作为库存管理中的重要部分,往往被视为最终目的,而忽略了预测后续的库存决策阶段。利用系统动力学将预测模型和库存决策模型相结合,从系统观念出发,建立了基于智能预测算法和系统动力学的供应链集成库存模型,同时选取不同预测... 需求预测作为库存管理中的重要部分,往往被视为最终目的,而忽略了预测后续的库存决策阶段。利用系统动力学将预测模型和库存决策模型相结合,从系统观念出发,建立了基于智能预测算法和系统动力学的供应链集成库存模型,同时选取不同预测模型进行多组仿真,发现集成模型的库存成本总是优于分散的预测和决策模型。此外,为解决实际生产活动中的数据波动问题,通过三种平滑模型对数据进行处理,结果表明,平滑模型能有效降低供应链中的库存成本。 展开更多
关键词 需求预测 库存决策 集成模型 系统动力学
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SPD模式与PDCA结合提升医院后勤物资管理水平路径研究 被引量:3
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作者 王烜 陆文晶 +3 位作者 陈潇君 柯佳 樊茗玥 沈安娜 《中国医院》 北大核心 2025年第6期75-78,共4页
目的:研究SPD模式与PDCA循环相结合的医院后勤物资管理路径和成效,为提升医院后勤物资精细化管理水平提供有益参考。方法:分析案例医院后勤物资SPD模式与PDCA循环相结合的管理模式和实践做法,并选取新模式运行前后的同期数据作对比,从... 目的:研究SPD模式与PDCA循环相结合的医院后勤物资管理路径和成效,为提升医院后勤物资精细化管理水平提供有益参考。方法:分析案例医院后勤物资SPD模式与PDCA循环相结合的管理模式和实践做法,并选取新模式运行前后的同期数据作对比,从供应效率和运营成本两个角度评价新模式的成效。结果:SPD模式与PDCA循环相结合的管理模式在供应效率和运营成本方面都有明显优势,有效提升了工作质效,降低了成本和消耗。结论:SPD模式与PDCA循环相结合的管理模式有助于提升后勤物资的精细化管理水平,提高供应效率的同时能够降低医院成本。 展开更多
关键词 医院后勤 物资管理 SPD模式 PDCA循环 库存控制模型
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