Analysis of sensitivity of bioretention cell design elements to their hydrologic performances is meaningful in offering theoretical guidelines for proper design. Hydrologic performance of bioretention cells was facili...Analysis of sensitivity of bioretention cell design elements to their hydrologic performances is meaningful in offering theoretical guidelines for proper design. Hydrologic performance of bioretention cells was facilitated with consideration of four metrics： the overflow ratio, groundwater recharge ratio, ponding time, and runoff coefficients. The storm water management model （SWMM） and the bioretention infiltration model RECARGA were applied to generating runoff and outflow time series for calculation of hydrologic performance metrics. Using a parking lot to build a bioretention cell, as an example, the Morris method was used to conduct global sensitivity analysis for two groups of bioretention samples, one without underdrain and the other with underdrain. Results show that the surface area is the most sensitive element to most of the hydrologic metrics, while the gravel depth is the least sensitive element whether bioretention cells are installed with underdrain or not. The saturated infiltration rate of planting soil and the saturated infiltration rate of native soil are the other two most sensitive elements for bioretention cells without underdrain, while the saturated infiltration rate of native soil and underdrain size are the two most sensitive design elements for bioretention cells with underdrain.展开更多
Thrust prediction of a tunnel boring machine(TBM)is crucial for the life span of disc cutters,cost forecasting,and its design optimization.Many factors affect the thrust of a TBM.The rock pressure on the shield,advanc...Thrust prediction of a tunnel boring machine(TBM)is crucial for the life span of disc cutters,cost forecasting,and its design optimization.Many factors affect the thrust of a TBM.The rock pressure on the shield,advance speed,and cutter water pressure will all have a certain impact.In addition,geological conditions and other random factors will also influence the thrust and greatly increase the difficulty of modeling it,seriously affecting the efficiency of tunnel excavation.To overcome these challenges,this paper establishes a thrust prediction model for the TBM based on the combination of on-site quality record data and surrogate model technology.Firstly,the thrust composition and influencing factors are analyzed and the thrust is modeled using a surrogate model based on field data.After main factor screening based on the Morris method,the accuracy of the surrogate model is greatly improved.The Kriging model with the highest accuracy is selected to model the thrust and predict the thrust of the unexcavated section.The results show that the thrust model has better thrust prediction by selecting similar conditions for modeling and reasonably increasing modeling samples.The thrust prediction method of TBM based on the combination of field data and surrogate model can accurately predict the dynamic thrust of the load and can also accurately estimate its statistical characteristics and effectively improve the excavation plan.展开更多
A challenge for the development of Land Surface Models(LSMs) is improving transpiration of water exchange and photosynthesis of carbon exchange between terrestrial plants and the atmosphere, both of which are governed...A challenge for the development of Land Surface Models(LSMs) is improving transpiration of water exchange and photosynthesis of carbon exchange between terrestrial plants and the atmosphere, both of which are governed by stoma in leaves. In the photosynthesis module of these LSMs, variations of parameters arising from diversity in plant functional types(PFTs) and climate remain unclear. Identifying sensitive parameters among all photosynthetic parameters before parameter estimation can not only reduce operation cost, but also improve the usability of photosynthesis models worldwide. Here, we analyzed 13 parameters of a biochemically-based photosynthesis model(FvCB), implemented in many LSMs, using two sensitivity analysis(SA) methods(i.e., the Sobol’ method and the Morris method) for setting up the parameter ensemble. Three different model performance metrics, i.e.,Root Mean Squared Error(RMSE), Nash Sutcliffe efficiency(NSE), and Standard Deviation(STDEV) were introduced for model assessment and sensitive parameters identification. The results showed that among all photosynthetic parameters only a small portion of parameters were sensitive, and the sensitive parameters were different across plant functional types: maximum rate of Rubisco activity(Vcmax25), maximum electron transport rate(Jmax25), triose phosphate use rate(TPU) and dark respiration in light(Rd) were sensitive in broad leafevergreen trees(BET), broad leaf-deciduous trees(BDT) and needle leaf-evergreen trees(NET), while only Vcmax25and TPU are sensitive in short vegetation(SV), dwarf trees and shrubs(DTS), and agriculture and grassland(AG). The two sensitivity analysis methods suggested a strong SA coherence;in contrast, different model performance metrics led to different SA results. This misfit suggests that more accurate values of sensitive parameters, specifically, species specific and seasonal variable parameters, are required to improve the performance of the FvCB model.展开更多
Sensitivity analysis （SA） is a critical part of modeling any biological system due to the inherent uncertainty in model output, as introduced by parameter values that have not been experimentally determined. SA ther...Sensitivity analysis （SA） is a critical part of modeling any biological system due to the inherent uncertainty in model output, as introduced by parameter values that have not been experimentally determined. SA therefore provides deeper understanding of the system by painting a picture of the extent to which certain model outputs vary in rela- tionship to changes in model parameters. Here we explore two types of global SA for recently developed models of nascent focal adhesion formation, a key step in cellular movement. While many SA methods have been used for deterministic methods, we uti- lize methods for both stochastic and deterministic models, providing a more complete description of the parameters to which the focal adhesion model is most sensitive. Spe- cific recommendations for further experimentation in the process of cellular motility are proposed in response to the SA.展开更多
文摘Analysis of sensitivity of bioretention cell design elements to their hydrologic performances is meaningful in offering theoretical guidelines for proper design. Hydrologic performance of bioretention cells was facilitated with consideration of four metrics： the overflow ratio, groundwater recharge ratio, ponding time, and runoff coefficients. The storm water management model （SWMM） and the bioretention infiltration model RECARGA were applied to generating runoff and outflow time series for calculation of hydrologic performance metrics. Using a parking lot to build a bioretention cell, as an example, the Morris method was used to conduct global sensitivity analysis for two groups of bioretention samples, one without underdrain and the other with underdrain. Results show that the surface area is the most sensitive element to most of the hydrologic metrics, while the gravel depth is the least sensitive element whether bioretention cells are installed with underdrain or not. The saturated infiltration rate of planting soil and the saturated infiltration rate of native soil are the other two most sensitive elements for bioretention cells without underdrain, while the saturated infiltration rate of native soil and underdrain size are the two most sensitive design elements for bioretention cells with underdrain.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.5217052098)the National Key Research and Development Program of China(No.2020YFB2007203).
文摘Thrust prediction of a tunnel boring machine(TBM)is crucial for the life span of disc cutters,cost forecasting,and its design optimization.Many factors affect the thrust of a TBM.The rock pressure on the shield,advance speed,and cutter water pressure will all have a certain impact.In addition,geological conditions and other random factors will also influence the thrust and greatly increase the difficulty of modeling it,seriously affecting the efficiency of tunnel excavation.To overcome these challenges,this paper establishes a thrust prediction model for the TBM based on the combination of on-site quality record data and surrogate model technology.Firstly,the thrust composition and influencing factors are analyzed and the thrust is modeled using a surrogate model based on field data.After main factor screening based on the Morris method,the accuracy of the surrogate model is greatly improved.The Kriging model with the highest accuracy is selected to model the thrust and predict the thrust of the unexcavated section.The results show that the thrust model has better thrust prediction by selecting similar conditions for modeling and reasonably increasing modeling samples.The thrust prediction method of TBM based on the combination of field data and surrogate model can accurately predict the dynamic thrust of the load and can also accurately estimate its statistical characteristics and effectively improve the excavation plan.
基金supported by the CAS"Light of West China"Program (No.[2020]82)Key technology projects of Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region (Grant No.2020GG0306)+1 种基金Science and Technology Plan Projects of Alxa League (Grant No.AMY2020-18)Natural Science Foundation of Gansu Province (No.21JR7RA038).
文摘A challenge for the development of Land Surface Models(LSMs) is improving transpiration of water exchange and photosynthesis of carbon exchange between terrestrial plants and the atmosphere, both of which are governed by stoma in leaves. In the photosynthesis module of these LSMs, variations of parameters arising from diversity in plant functional types(PFTs) and climate remain unclear. Identifying sensitive parameters among all photosynthetic parameters before parameter estimation can not only reduce operation cost, but also improve the usability of photosynthesis models worldwide. Here, we analyzed 13 parameters of a biochemically-based photosynthesis model(FvCB), implemented in many LSMs, using two sensitivity analysis(SA) methods(i.e., the Sobol’ method and the Morris method) for setting up the parameter ensemble. Three different model performance metrics, i.e.,Root Mean Squared Error(RMSE), Nash Sutcliffe efficiency(NSE), and Standard Deviation(STDEV) were introduced for model assessment and sensitive parameters identification. The results showed that among all photosynthetic parameters only a small portion of parameters were sensitive, and the sensitive parameters were different across plant functional types: maximum rate of Rubisco activity(Vcmax25), maximum electron transport rate(Jmax25), triose phosphate use rate(TPU) and dark respiration in light(Rd) were sensitive in broad leafevergreen trees(BET), broad leaf-deciduous trees(BDT) and needle leaf-evergreen trees(NET), while only Vcmax25and TPU are sensitive in short vegetation(SV), dwarf trees and shrubs(DTS), and agriculture and grassland(AG). The two sensitivity analysis methods suggested a strong SA coherence;in contrast, different model performance metrics led to different SA results. This misfit suggests that more accurate values of sensitive parameters, specifically, species specific and seasonal variable parameters, are required to improve the performance of the FvCB model.
文摘Sensitivity analysis （SA） is a critical part of modeling any biological system due to the inherent uncertainty in model output, as introduced by parameter values that have not been experimentally determined. SA therefore provides deeper understanding of the system by painting a picture of the extent to which certain model outputs vary in rela- tionship to changes in model parameters. Here we explore two types of global SA for recently developed models of nascent focal adhesion formation, a key step in cellular movement. While many SA methods have been used for deterministic methods, we uti- lize methods for both stochastic and deterministic models, providing a more complete description of the parameters to which the focal adhesion model is most sensitive. Spe- cific recommendations for further experimentation in the process of cellular motility are proposed in response to the SA.
