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Combining Random Forest and Monte Carlo Method to Determine the Driving Factors and Uncertainty of Forest Age Prediction in Northwest China
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作者 ZENG Jia LIU Jincheng +1 位作者 LI Limin KHAN Tauheed Ullah 《Chinese Geographical Science》 2026年第1期144-156,I0004-I0007,共17页
Stand age plays a crucial role in forest biomass estimation and carbon cycle modeling.Assessing the uncertainty of stand age prediction models and identifying the key driving factors in the modeling process have becom... Stand age plays a crucial role in forest biomass estimation and carbon cycle modeling.Assessing the uncertainty of stand age prediction models and identifying the key driving factors in the modeling process have become major challenges in forestry research.In this study,we selected the Shaanxi-Gansu-Ningxia region of Northeast China as the research area and utilized multi-source datasets from the summer of 2019 to extract information on spectral,textural,climatic,water balance,and stand characteristics.By integrating the Random Forest(RF)model with Monte Carlo(MC)simulation,we constructed six regression models based on different combina-tions of features and evaluated the uncertainty of each model.Furthermore,we investigated the driving factors influencing stand age modeling by analyzing the effects of different types of features on age inversion.Model performance and accuracy were assessed using the root mean square error(RMSE),mean absolute error(MAE),and the coefficient of determination(R^(2)),while the relative root mean square error(rRMSE)was employed to quantify model uncertainty.The results indicate that the scenarios with more obvious improve-ment in accuracy and effective reduction in uncertainty were Scenario 3 with the inclusion of climate and water balance information(RMSE=25.54 yr,MAE=18.03 yr,R^(2)=0.51,rRMSE=19.17%)and Scenario 5 with the inclusion of stand characterization informa-tion(RMSE=18.47 yr,MAE=13.05 yr,R^(2)=0.74,rRMSE=16.99%).Scenario 6,incorporating all feature types,achieved the highest accuracy(RMSE=17.60 yr,MAE=12.06 yr,R^(2)=0.77,rRMSE=14.19%).In this study,elevation,minimum temperature,and diameter at breast height(DBH)emerged as the key drivers of stand-age modeling.The proposed method can be used to identify drivers and to quantify uncertainty in stand-age estimation,providing a useful reference for improving model accuracy and uncertainty assessment. 展开更多
关键词 stand age Randon Forest(RF)model monte carlo(MC)method Sentinel-2 National Forest Inventory(NFI) Shaanxi-Gansu-Ningxia(SGN) Northwest China
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A novel method for EPID transmission dose generation using Monte Carlo simulation and deep learning
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作者 Tao Qiu Ning Gao +3 位作者 Yan-Kui Chang Xi Pei Huan-Li Luo Fu Jin 《Nuclear Science and Techniques》 2026年第4期41-52,共12页
This study aimed to integrate Monte Carlo(MC)simulation with deep learning(DL)-based denoising techniques to achieve fast and accurate prediction of high-quality electronic portal imaging device(EPID)transmission dose... This study aimed to integrate Monte Carlo(MC)simulation with deep learning(DL)-based denoising techniques to achieve fast and accurate prediction of high-quality electronic portal imaging device(EPID)transmission dose(TD)for patientspecific quality assurance(PSQA).A total of 100 lung cases were used to obtain the noisy EPID TD by the ARCHER MC code under four kinds of particle numbers(1×10^(6),1×10^(7),1×10^(8)and 1×10^(9)),and the original EPID TD was denoised by the SUNet neural network.The denoised EPID TD was assessed both qualitatively and quantitatively using the structural similarity(SSIM),peak signal-to-noise ratio(PSNR),and gamma passing rate(GPR)with respect to 1×10^(9)as a reference.The computation times for both the MC simulation and DL-based denoising were recorded.As the number of particles increased,both the quality of the noisy EPID TD and computation time increased significantly(1×10^(6):1.12 s,1×10^(7):1.72 s,1×10^(8):8.62 s,and 1×10^(9):73.89 s).In contrast,the DL-based denoising time remained at 0.13-0.16 s.The denoised EPID TD shows a smoother visual appearance and profile curves,but differences between 1×10^(6)and 1×10^(9)still remain.SSIM improves from 0.61 to 0.95 for 1×10^(6),0.70 to 0.96 for 1×10^(7),and 0.90 to 0.97 for 1×10^(8).PSNR increases by>20%for 1×10^(6)and 1×10^(7),and>10%for 1×10^(8).GPR improves from 48.47%to 89.10%for 1×10^(6),61.04%to 94.35%for 1×10^(7),and 91.88%to 99.55%for 1×10^(8).The method that combines MC simulation with DL-based denoising for EPID TD generation can accelerate TD prediction and maintain high accuracy,offering a promising solution for efficient PSQA. 展开更多
关键词 PSQA EPID monte carlo Deep learning
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Mie-T矩阵耦合的沙尘多次散射效应表征与Monte Carlo验证
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作者 汤牧云 朝克夫 +1 位作者 华文成 崔存森 《中国光学(中英文)》 北大核心 2026年第1期85-95,共11页
为精确量化沙尘天气对城市光电系统可见光传输的衰减影响,本研究以呼和浩特地区为例,构建了融合非球形粒子修正的光传输预测模型。基于Mie散射理论,结合本地沙尘样品的扫描电镜与能谱分析数据,计算三基色红绿蓝波段的沙尘粒子消光特性;... 为精确量化沙尘天气对城市光电系统可见光传输的衰减影响,本研究以呼和浩特地区为例,构建了融合非球形粒子修正的光传输预测模型。基于Mie散射理论,结合本地沙尘样品的扫描电镜与能谱分析数据,计算三基色红绿蓝波段的沙尘粒子消光特性;进而采用T矩阵法对非球形粒子的散射参数进行修正,并利用Monte Carlo方法模拟光子的多次散射过程,系统比较单次与多次散射模型下的衰减率差异。结果表明,单次散射模型会系统性高估衰减率,蓝光波段最大误差达18.3%;经多次散射修正后,衰减率平均降低12.4%。在本例中,能见度为400 m,蓝光衰减率约为95 dB/km,显著高于红光的衰减率(约70 dB/km)。本研究构建的混合模型显著提升了沙尘环境下可见光衰减的预测精度,明确多次散射效应的关键影响,为城市光电系统在沙尘天气下的可见光传输提供了可靠的理论依据与数据支持。 展开更多
关键词 沙尘天气 消光系数 MIE散射理论 T矩阵法 monte carlo模拟 可见光
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基于Monte-Carlo的弃渣场可靠度分析
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作者 董福 李鹏 王武钢 《陕西水利》 2026年第2期6-9,共4页
弃渣在堆积过程中由于其颗粒大小不均匀,致使其不同部位取样测得的参数值具有空间差异性。为研究降雨对紫阳县一处弃渣场稳定性的影响,在现场勘查及取样试验的基础上考虑弃渣在堆积过程中内摩擦角和粘聚力的随机性,并借助Geo-Studio软... 弃渣在堆积过程中由于其颗粒大小不均匀,致使其不同部位取样测得的参数值具有空间差异性。为研究降雨对紫阳县一处弃渣场稳定性的影响,在现场勘查及取样试验的基础上考虑弃渣在堆积过程中内摩擦角和粘聚力的随机性,并借助Geo-Studio软件对边坡在不同降雨条件下的稳定性进行可靠度分析。得出不同条件下该边坡失效的概率及稳定系数,以此来弥补单纯数值计算的缺陷,提高边坡稳定性预测的准确性,可为该弃渣场后续治理工程提供一定的参考依据。 展开更多
关键词 弃渣场 可靠度分析 monte-carlo Geo-Studio
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基于Monte-Carlo的菠萝根区氧气模拟与缺氧时空特征识别
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作者 汪春 于珍珍 +3 位作者 王宏轩 李海亮 孙海天 赵云龙 《热带作物学报》 北大核心 2026年第2期417-432,共16页
为识别菠萝根区缺氧时段、掌握氧气变化机制,并为增氧灌溉技术管理与土壤调控提供充足的反应时间,以应对菠萝根区含氧量的异常波动,本研究基于Monte-Carlo方法,融合多物理场过程,构建土壤氧气扩散-消耗耦合模型,利用参数扰动与不确定性... 为识别菠萝根区缺氧时段、掌握氧气变化机制,并为增氧灌溉技术管理与土壤调控提供充足的反应时间,以应对菠萝根区含氧量的异常波动,本研究基于Monte-Carlo方法,融合多物理场过程,构建土壤氧气扩散-消耗耦合模型,利用参数扰动与不确定性采样,引入实测边界条件与深度分层的初始浓度设定,结合多层土壤剖面监测数据,对壤土、沙土、黏土三类典型土壤在10~40 cm深度范围内的含氧量变化进行模拟,建立了相应的模拟体系。然后通过2025年春季田间试验数据对模型进行验证。结果表明:该模型在多种土壤与深度条件下均具备较强预测能力(R^(2)>0.95,RMSE最低为0.214 mol/m^(3)),误差分布随土层深度增加略有波动,但整体维持在可接受范围。进一步研究表明,该模型能够成功识别灌溉与降雨事件后3~12 h内易发生缺氧的时段,在缺氧识别中,模型对临界浓度(1.5 mol/m^(3))以下的响应判断准确率超过90%。上述结果验证所构建模型在根区氧气动态模拟与风险预警中的有效性,研究结果旨在为菠萝大田智能化增氧管理提供理论依据与预测基础。 展开更多
关键词 菠萝根区 缺氧识别 monte-carlo 不确定性采样 氧气扩散-消耗耦合
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Multi-function and generalized intelligent code-bench based on Monte Carlo method(MagicMC)for nuclear applications 被引量:1
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作者 Zhen-Ping Chen Ai-Kou Sun +5 位作者 Ji-Chong Lei Cheng-Wei Liu Yi-Qing Zhang Chao Yang Jin-Sen Xie Tao Yu 《Nuclear Science and Techniques》 2025年第4期199-219,共21页
The Monte Carlo(MC)method offers significant advantages in handling complex geometries and physical processes in particle transport problems and has become a widely used approach in reactor physics analysis,radiation ... The Monte Carlo(MC)method offers significant advantages in handling complex geometries and physical processes in particle transport problems and has become a widely used approach in reactor physics analysis,radiation shielding design,and medical physics.However,with the rapid advancement of new nuclear energy systems,the Monte Carlo method faces challenges in efficiency,accuracy,and adaptability,limiting its effectiveness in meeting modern design requirements.Overcoming technical obstacles related to high-fidelity coupling,high-resolution computation,and intelligent design is essential for using the Monte Carlo method as a reliable tool in numerical analysis for these new nuclear energy systems.To address these challenges,the Nuclear Energy and Application Laboratory(NEAL)team at the University of South China developed a multifunctional and generalized intelligent code platform called MagicMC,based on the Monte Carlo particle transport method.MagicMC is a developing tool dedicated to nuclear applications,incorporating intelligent methodologies.It consists of two primary components:a basic unit and a functional unit.The basic unit,which functions similarly to a standard Monte Carlo particle transport code,includes seven modules:geometry,source,transport,database,tally,output,and auxiliary.The functional unit builds on the basic unit by adding functional modules to address complex and diverse applications in nuclear analysis.MagicMC introduces a dynamic Monte Carlo particle transport algorithm to address time-space particle transport problems within emerging nuclear energy systems and incorporates a CPU-GPU heterogeneous parallel framework to enable high-efficiency,high-resolution simulations for large-scale computational problems.Anticipating future trends in intelligent design,MagicMC integrates several advanced features,including CAD-based geometry modeling,global variance reduction methods,multi-objective shielding optimization,high-resolution activation analysis,multi-physics coupling,and radiation therapy.In this paper,various numerical benchmarks-spanning reactor transient simulations,material activation analysis,radiation shielding optimization,and medical dosimetry analysis-are presented to validate MagicMC.The numerical results demonstrate MagicMC's efficiency,accuracy,and reliability in these preliminary applications,underscoring its potential to support technological advancements in developing high-fidelity,high-resolution,and high-intelligence MC-based tools for advanced nuclear applications. 展开更多
关键词 monte carlo Particle transport Intelligent design Nuclear application
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AquaTree:Deep Reinforcement Learning-Driven Monte Carlo Tree Search for Underwater Image Enhancement
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作者 Chao Li Jianing Wang +1 位作者 Caichang Ding Zhiwei Ye 《Computers, Materials & Continua》 2026年第3期1444-1464,共21页
Underwater images frequently suffer from chromatic distortion,blurred details,and low contrast,posing significant challenges for enhancement.This paper introduces AquaTree,a novel underwater image enhancement(UIE)meth... Underwater images frequently suffer from chromatic distortion,blurred details,and low contrast,posing significant challenges for enhancement.This paper introduces AquaTree,a novel underwater image enhancement(UIE)method that reformulates the task as a Markov Decision Process(MDP)through the integration of Monte Carlo Tree Search(MCTS)and deep reinforcement learning(DRL).The framework employs an action space of 25 enhancement operators,strategically grouped for basic attribute adjustment,color component balance,correction,and deblurring.Exploration within MCTS is guided by a dual-branch convolutional network,enabling intelligent sequential operator selection.Our core contributions include:(1)a multimodal state representation combining CIELab color histograms with deep perceptual features,(2)a dual-objective reward mechanism optimizing chromatic fidelity and perceptual consistency,and(3)an alternating training strategy co-optimizing enhancement sequences and network parameters.We further propose two inference schemes:an MCTS-based approach prioritizing accuracy at higher computational cost,and an efficient network policy enabling real-time processing with minimal quality loss.Comprehensive evaluations on the UIEB Dataset and Color correction and haze removal comparisons on the U45 Dataset demonstrate AquaTree’s superiority,significantly outperforming nine state-of-the-art methods across five established underwater image quality metrics. 展开更多
关键词 Underwater image enhancement(UIE) monte carlo tree search(MCTS) deep reinforcement learning(DRL) Markov decision process(MDP)
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Adaptive reverse Monte Carlo method and evaluation for infrared radiation characteristics of scramjet
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作者 Xinyuan LIU Yongqiang SHI +3 位作者 Qingzhen YANG Huicheng YANG Xubo DU Xufei WANG 《Chinese Journal of Aeronautics》 2025年第8期187-203,共17页
Scramjet is the most promising propulsion system for Air-breathing Hypersonic Vehicle(AHV),and the Infrared(IR)radiation it emits is critical for early warning,detection,and identification of such weapons.This work pr... Scramjet is the most promising propulsion system for Air-breathing Hypersonic Vehicle(AHV),and the Infrared(IR)radiation it emits is critical for early warning,detection,and identification of such weapons.This work proposes an Adaptive Reverse Monte Carlo(ARMC)method and develops an analytical model for the IR radiation of scramjet considering gaseous kerosene and hydrogen fueled conditions.The evaluation studies show that at a global equivalence ratio of 0.8,the IR radiation from hydrogen-fueled plume is predominantly from H_(2)O and spectral peak is 1.53 kW·Sr^(-1)·μm^(-1)at the 2.7μm band,while the kerosene-fueled plume exhibits a spectral intensity approaching 7.0 kW·Sr^(-1)·μm^(-1)at the 4.3μm band.At the backward detection angle,both types of scramjets exhibit spectral peaks within the 1.3-1.4μm band,with intensities around10 kW·Sr^(-1)·μm^(-1).The integral radiation intensity of hydrogen-fueled scramjet is generally higher than kerosene-fueled scramjet,particularly in 1-3μm band.Meanwhile,at wide detection angles,the solid walls become the predominant radiation source.The radiation intensity is highest in1-3μm and weakest in 8-14μm band,with values of 21.5 kW·Sr^(-1)and 0.57 kW·Sr^(-1)at the backward detection angles,respectively.Significant variations in the radiation contributions from gases and solids are observed across different bands under the two fuel conditions,especially within 3-5μm band.This research provides valuable insights into the IR radiation characteristics of scramjets,which can aid in the development of IR detection systems for AHV. 展开更多
关键词 HYPERSONIC Infrared radiation monte carlo methods SCRAMJET Statistical variance
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Probabilistic Rock Slope Stability Assessment of Heterogeneous Pyroclastic Slopes Considering Collapse Using Monte Carlo Methodology
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作者 Miguel A.Millán Rubén A.Galindo Fausto Molina-Gómez 《Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences》 2025年第9期2923-2941,共19页
Volcanic terrains exhibit a complex structure of pyroclastic deposits interspersed with sedimentary processes,resulting in irregular lithological sequences that lack lateral continuity and distinct stratigraphic patte... Volcanic terrains exhibit a complex structure of pyroclastic deposits interspersed with sedimentary processes,resulting in irregular lithological sequences that lack lateral continuity and distinct stratigraphic patterns.This complexity poses significant challenges for slope stability analysis,requiring the development of specialized techniques to address these issues.This research presents a numerical methodology that incorporates spatial variability,nonlinear material characterization,and probabilistic analysis using a Monte Carlo framework to address this issue.The heterogeneous structure is represented by randomly assigning different lithotypes across the slope,while maintaining predefined global proportions.This contrasts with the more common approach of applying probabilistic variability to mechanical parameters within a homogeneous slope model.The material behavior is defined using complex nonlinear failure criteria,such as the Hoek-Brown model and a parabolic model with collapse,both implemented through linearization techniques.The Discontinuity Layout Optimization(DLO)method,a novel numerical approach based on limit analysis,is employed to efficiently incorporate these advances and compute the factor of safety of the slope.Within this framework,the Monte Carlo procedure is used to assess slope stability by conducting a large number of simulations,each with a different lithotype distribution.Based on the results,a hybrid method is proposed that combines probabilistic modeling with deterministic design principles for the slope stability assessment.As a case study,the methodology is applied to a 20-m-high vertical slope composed of three lithotypes(altered scoria,welded scoria,and basalt)randomly distributed in proportions of 15%,60%,and 25%,respectively.The results show convergence of mean values after approximately 400 simulations and highlight the significant influence of spatial heterogeneity,with variations of the factor of safety between 5 and 12 in 85%of cases.They also reveal non-circular and mid-slope failure wedges not captured by traditional stability methods.Finally,an equivalent normal probability distribution is proposed as a reliable approximation of the factor of safety for use in risk analysis and engineering decision-making. 展开更多
关键词 Pyroclast monte carlo rock slope volcanic rock discontinuity layout optimization method non-homogeneous slope spatial variability
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A new model for determining the effective permeability of tight reservoirs based on Fractal-Monte Carlo method
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作者 You Zhou Song-Tao Wu +2 位作者 Ru-Kai Zhu Xiao-Hua Jiang Gan-Lin Hua 《Petroleum Science》 2025年第8期3101-3118,共18页
In contrast to conventional reservoirs,tight formations have more complex pore structures and significant boundary layer effect,making it difficult to determine the effective permeability.To address this,this paper fi... In contrast to conventional reservoirs,tight formations have more complex pore structures and significant boundary layer effect,making it difficult to determine the effective permeability.To address this,this paper first proposes a semi-empirical model for calculating boundary layer thickness based on dimensional analysis,using published experimental data on microcapillary flow.Furthermore,considering the non-uniform distribution of fluid viscosity in the flow channels of tight reservoirs,a theoretical model for boundary layer thickness is established based on fractal theory,and permeability predictions are conducted through Monte Carlo simulations.Finally,sensitivity analyses of various influencing parameters are performed.The results show that,compared to other fractal-based analytical models,the proposed permeability probabilistic model integrates parameters affecting fluid flow with random numbers,reflecting both the fractal and randomness characteristics of capillary size distribution.The computational results exhibit the highest consistency with experimental data.Among the factors affecting the boundary layer,in addition to certain conventional physical and mechanical parameters,different microstructure parameters significantly influence the boundary layer as well.A higher tortuosity fractal dimension results in a thicker boundary layer,while increases in pore fractal dimension,porosity,and maximum capillary size help mitigate the boundary layer effect.It is also observed that the permeability of large pores exhibits greater sensitivity to changes in various influencing parameters.Considering micro-scale flow effects,the proposed model enhances the understanding of the physical mechanisms of fluid transport in dense porous media. 展开更多
关键词 Tight reservoirs Boundary layer Permeability model Fractal theory monte carlo
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Auxiliary-field Monte Carlo method for frustrated spin systems
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作者 Ning Cai Yuan Gao +1 位作者 Wei Li Yang Qi 《Chinese Physics B》 2025年第2期118-122,共5页
We extend a semiclassical numerical method, bosonic auxiliary-field Monte Carlo, to quantum spin systems. This method breaks the lattice into clusters, solves each cluster precisely and couples them with classical aux... We extend a semiclassical numerical method, bosonic auxiliary-field Monte Carlo, to quantum spin systems. This method breaks the lattice into clusters, solves each cluster precisely and couples them with classical auxiliary fields through classical Monte Carlo simulation. We test the method with antiferromagnetic spin models in one-dimensional chains, square lattices and triangular lattices, and obtain reasonable results at finite temperatures. This algorithm builds a bridge between classical Monte Carlo method and quantum methods. The algorithm can be improved with either progress in classical Monte Carlo sampling or the development of quantum solvers, and can also be further applied to systems with different lattices or interactions. 展开更多
关键词 monte carlo quantum many-body system frustrated magnets
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应用Monte-Carlo模拟的MSD结构失效概率预测方法 被引量:1
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作者 卢翔 宋挺 刘兆鹏 《机械设计与制造》 北大核心 2025年第7期354-359,共6页
针对多部位损伤(Multiple Site Damage,MSD)结构安全性评估问题,通过Monte-Carlo方法对MSD结构的失效概率进行预测和分析。首先,基于多孔铝板的多裂纹萌生试验,得出裂纹萌生寿命服从对数正态分布,为多裂纹萌生分析提供支持;通过多孔铝... 针对多部位损伤(Multiple Site Damage,MSD)结构安全性评估问题,通过Monte-Carlo方法对MSD结构的失效概率进行预测和分析。首先,基于多孔铝板的多裂纹萌生试验,得出裂纹萌生寿命服从对数正态分布,为多裂纹萌生分析提供支持;通过多孔铝板的剩余强度试验得到铆钉孔直径、铆钉孔间距和裂纹萌生位置对结构剩余强度均有一定影响。其次,通过对裂纹萌生寿命分布进行随机抽样生成初始裂纹并使用组合法结合Paris公式,实现多裂纹随机扩展的模拟;在试验数据基础上,对传统的Irwin塑性区连通准则进行改进,发现改进的Irwin塑性区连通准则在孔间距大于10mm时的误差大大降低,并结合净截面屈服准则以获得更好的剩余强度预测结果;将随机性的裂纹萌生和扩展过程与确定性的剩余强度预测方法相结合,建立基于Monte-Carlo方法的MSD结构的失效概率预测模型。最后,通过算例分析,该模型能够得到MSD结构的失效概率曲线,实现结构安全性评估。结果表明MSD结构的失效概率会在短时间内迅速增加,需要在裂纹萌生寿命附近进行限制。 展开更多
关键词 结构安全性评估 多部位损伤 剩余强度 monte-carlo方法
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Direct Tunneling Effect in Metal-Semiconductor Contacts Simulated with Monte Carlo Method 被引量:2
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作者 孙雷 杜刚 +1 位作者 刘晓彦 韩汝琦 《Journal of Semiconductors》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2001年第11期1364-1368,共5页
Considering the tunneling effect and the Schottky effect,the metal semiconductor contact is simulated by using self consistent ensemble Monte Carlo method.Under different biases or at different barrier heights,the i... Considering the tunneling effect and the Schottky effect,the metal semiconductor contact is simulated by using self consistent ensemble Monte Carlo method.Under different biases or at different barrier heights,the investigation into the tunneling current indicates that the tunneling effect is of great importance under reverse biases.The Schottky barrier diode current due to Schottky effect is in agreement with the theoretical one.The barrier lowering is found a profound effect on the current transport at the metal semiconductor interface. 展开更多
关键词 monte carlo device simulation metal semiconductor contact direct tunneling Schottky effect
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Application of the Monte Carlo Method in Simulative Generation Test Problems Simulative Generation Test Problems
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作者 黄心渊 万耀青 《Journal of Beijing Institute of Technology》 EI CAS 1992年第2期158-165,共8页
An approach for generating test problems by a computer using the Monte Carlo method based upon user-given characterizations is described.A single point X~* is prespocified by the user to be a solution of the test prob... An approach for generating test problems by a computer using the Monte Carlo method based upon user-given characterizations is described.A single point X~* is prespocified by the user to be a solution of the test problems.The approach is flex- ible enough to specify function values,gradients,Hesse,degeneracy degree and ill- conditioned degree at the point X~*.Other numerical features such as indefiniteness, convexity are also under user's control. 展开更多
关键词 Optimization algorithms monte carlo method CONVEX optimum value ill-conditioned matrices
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基于Monte Carlo法的高温尾焰红外偏振辐射传输特性仿真
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作者 周瑾 陈雪琦 +6 位作者 孔筱芳 曹姝清 梁彦 张硕 顾国华 陈钱 万敏杰 《物理学报》 北大核心 2025年第11期213-223,共11页
飞行器目标经过高温尾焰传输后的红外偏振辐射是红外探测设备对飞行器进行探测、识别、跟踪、告警的重要依据.在目标与背景红外辐射强度对比度低的情况下,将偏振特性差异结合到强度探测中可显著提高系统的探测与识别能力.本文基于Monte ... 飞行器目标经过高温尾焰传输后的红外偏振辐射是红外探测设备对飞行器进行探测、识别、跟踪、告警的重要依据.在目标与背景红外辐射强度对比度低的情况下,将偏振特性差异结合到强度探测中可显著提高系统的探测与识别能力.本文基于Monte Carlo法建立了高温尾焰红外偏振辐射传输特性仿真模型,根据尾焰空间气体组分的红外吸收系数谱,模拟光子在尾焰空间的多次散射过程,统计最终接收到的光子特性,分析了传输距离、尾焰温度和压强、气体组分浓度和探测波长对红外偏振光传输特性的影响.研究结果表明:本文研究方法和HITRAN库关于辐亮度透过率的计算结果误差基本保持在2%以内;随着距离增大,温度和压强对光波偏振辐射传输特性的影响更为显著.压强与透过率和偏振度呈负相关,温度的影响与气体的类型、温度范围等因素有关;辐亮度透过率和偏振度与尾焰空间气体的吸收系数和传输距离呈指数衰减关系;探测波长不同,光波的偏振辐射传输特性也存在差异. 展开更多
关键词 偏振辐射传输 高温尾焰 红外吸收光谱 monte carlo
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苯乙烯-丙烯腈多分散体系的Monte Carlo模拟
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作者 徐燕红 王为初 +2 位作者 丛梅 刘纪昌 赵基钢 《石油学报(石油加工)》 北大核心 2025年第6期1485-1498,共14页
基于苯乙烯-丙烯腈共聚物组成及分子量分布的均匀性对其最终共聚产物的性质及应用具有重要意义,建立二元共聚多链生长模型,采用Monte Carlo方法对苯乙烯-丙烯腈共聚多链合成过程进行模拟,分析了苯乙烯/丙烯腈质量比、引发剂摩尔分数对... 基于苯乙烯-丙烯腈共聚物组成及分子量分布的均匀性对其最终共聚产物的性质及应用具有重要意义,建立二元共聚多链生长模型,采用Monte Carlo方法对苯乙烯-丙烯腈共聚多链合成过程进行模拟,分析了苯乙烯/丙烯腈质量比、引发剂摩尔分数对共聚物组成和分子量分布的影响,并模拟了分批进料对改善共聚产物组成均匀性的作用。结果表明:苯乙烯/丙烯腈质量比越大,共聚产物的分子量分布均匀性越好,当苯乙烯/丙烯腈质量比为70/30和69/31时,产物组成均匀性表现最佳;引发剂摩尔分数越低,共聚产物的组成均匀性越好,但其分子量分布均匀性越差;通过分批进料可以调整体系反应物浓度,改善共聚产物组成和分子量分布均匀性,丙烯腈平均结合率的变化幅度在分批进料质量分数为3%时达到最小值(0.04%),共聚产物分子量分散度在分批进料质量分数为10%时达到最小值(1.189)。研究成果为改进共聚产物的组成与调控提供了理论依据和技术参考。 展开更多
关键词 聚合物多元醇 monte carlo方法 二元共聚 多链模拟 分批进料
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分批投料模式下非等活性抗体-抗原体系凝胶化区域的动态Monte Carlo模拟
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作者 张子茹 李江涛 +1 位作者 顾芳 王海军 《高等学校化学学报》 北大核心 2025年第12期124-130,共7页
通过动态Monte Carlo模拟方法对兼具多批次反应和非等活性的抗体-抗原体系的凝胶化区域进行了研究.模拟不同投料次数和非等活性条件下的[Ag]_(3)-[Ab]_(2)体系,给出了临界反应程度与基团(抗原表位和抗体对位)摩尔比之间的变化关系.在此... 通过动态Monte Carlo模拟方法对兼具多批次反应和非等活性的抗体-抗原体系的凝胶化区域进行了研究.模拟不同投料次数和非等活性条件下的[Ag]_(3)-[Ab]_(2)体系,给出了临界反应程度与基团(抗原表位和抗体对位)摩尔比之间的变化关系.在此基础上,进一步计算了不同条件下相邻批次间的临界反应程度增量,从而明确了抗体-抗原体系的等价区为1~1.5.研究结果表明,当体系中大尺寸抗体-抗原复合物的生长占据主导地位时,等价区内各批次间的临界反应程度增量基本一致,因此相应各批次的凝集反应均可用于免疫应答的定量化分析.如果体系中以小尺寸复合物的生长为主,则各批次的凝集反应仅可进行定性或半定量的免疫测试.本文旨在揭示相关因素对体系凝胶化进程的调控机制,为精准研究抗体和抗原分子的生物活性、免疫性的定量评价及药物靶向治疗提供可借鉴的理论线索. 展开更多
关键词 抗体-抗原复合物 凝胶化区域 分批投料 非等活性 动态monte carlo模拟
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Application of Monte Carlo method in rudder control precision 被引量:2
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作者 凡永磊 陈国光 《Journal of Measurement Science and Instrumentation》 CAS CSCD 2015年第4期378-383,共6页
After the trajectory simulation model of rudder control rocket with six degrees of freedom is established by Matlab/ Simulink, the simulated targeting of rudder control rocket with rudder angle error and starting cont... After the trajectory simulation model of rudder control rocket with six degrees of freedom is established by Matlab/ Simulink, the simulated targeting of rudder control rocket with rudder angle error and starting control moment error is carried out respectively by means of Monte Carlo method and the distribution of impact points of rudder control rocket is counted from all the successful subsamples. In the case of adding interference errors associated with rudder angle error and starting time error, the simulation analysis of impact point dispersion is done and its lateral and longitudinal correction abilities at different targeting angles are simulated to identify the effects of these factors on characteristics and control precision of the rudder control rocket, which provides the relevant reference for high-precision design of rudder control system. 展开更多
关键词 rudder control precision rudder angle error starting control time error monte carlo method
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Study of the Conductance Characteristic of Doped Polymer by Monte Carlo Method
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作者 缪江平 徐进 +4 位作者 周立新 吴宗汉 Raymand Hii ChaiKoh Hoong 林义华 《Journal of Southeast University(English Edition)》 EI CAS 2002年第2期188-190,共3页
The conduct mechanism of the doped polymer is considered. In an asymmetrysystem composed of high polymer and doping conductive matte, chain or congeries framework will beformed between the conductive particles to impr... The conduct mechanism of the doped polymer is considered. In an asymmetrysystem composed of high polymer and doping conductive matte, chain or congeries framework will beformed between the conductive particles to improve the conductance characteristic. In thisprocession, the conductive particles interact to each other. In this paper, we describe theconductance of the doped polymer by Monte Carlo method. The results accord with the experimentsquite well. It can be concluded that there is an evident change of doped polymer from nonconductorto metal. 展开更多
关键词 CONDUCTANCE DOPING POLYMER monte carlo method
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基于Monte-Carlo模拟对辽宁高粱镉、铬的健康风险评估
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作者 彭天舒 吴限鑫 +3 位作者 李丽娜 林秋君 郭春景 王建忠 《现代食品科技》 北大核心 2025年第8期316-325,共10页
采用电感耦合等离子体质谱法(ICP-MS)测定辽宁省五个地区49份高粱样品中Cd、Cr含量,基于蒙特卡罗(Monte-Carlo)模拟评估高粱的非致癌风险指数(HQ)、综合非致癌风险指数(HI)、致癌风险指数(CR)和综合致癌风险指数(TCR),并对存在的健康风... 采用电感耦合等离子体质谱法(ICP-MS)测定辽宁省五个地区49份高粱样品中Cd、Cr含量,基于蒙特卡罗(Monte-Carlo)模拟评估高粱的非致癌风险指数(HQ)、综合非致癌风险指数(HI)、致癌风险指数(CR)和综合致癌风险指数(TCR),并对存在的健康风险进行消费引导。辽宁五个地区49份高粱样品中Cd、Cr含量范围分别为0.002~0.056 mg/kg、0.116~0.782 mg/kg;五个地区高粱对成人的HQ和HI均小于1,CR和TCR均小于1×10^(-4);五个地区高粱对儿童的HQ和HI均小于1,CR小于1×10^(-4),双塔、铁岭地区的TCR小于1×10^(-4),但沈河、建平、阜蒙地区的TCR分别为1.04×10^(-4)、1.16×10^(-4)、1.06×10^(-4),略大于1×10^(-4)。辽宁省五个地区高粱样品的整体污染情况较轻,Cd、Cr含量均符合国家标准;五个地区高粱对成人的HQ、HI、CR和TCR均处于安全水平;五个地区高粱对儿童的HQ、HI和CR均处于安全水平,只有沈河、建平、阜蒙三个地区存在较低的综合致癌风险,但当沈河、建平、阜蒙三个地区暴露频率分别控制在58、52、57 d/a以下时,可规避综合致癌风险。 展开更多
关键词 高粱 重金属 健康风险评估 monte-carlo模拟
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