With the increasing severity of arsenic(As)pollution,quantifying the environmental behavior of pollutant based on numerical model has become an important approach to determine the potential impacts and finalize the pr...With the increasing severity of arsenic(As)pollution,quantifying the environmental behavior of pollutant based on numerical model has become an important approach to determine the potential impacts and finalize the precise control strategies.Taking the industrialintensive Jinsha River Basin as typical area,a two-dimensional hydrodynamic water quality model coupled with Soil andWater Assessment Tool(SWAT)model was developed to accurately simulate the watershed-scale distribution and transport of As in the terrestrial and aquatic environment at high spatial and temporal resolution.The effects of hydro-climate change,hydropower station construction and non-point source emissions on Aswere quantified based on the coupled model.The result indicated that higher As concentration areas mainly centralized in urban districts and concentration slowly decreased from upstream to downstream.Due to the enhanced rainfall,the As concentration was significantly higher during the rainy season than the dry season.Hydro-climate change and the construction of hydropower station not only affected the dissolved As concentration,but also affected the adsorption and desorption of As in sediment.Furthermore,As concentration increased with the input of non-point source pollution,with the maximum increase about 30%,resulting that non-point sources contributed important pollutant impacts to waterways.The coupled model used in pollutant behavior analysis is generalwith high potential application to predict and mitigate water pollution.展开更多
In this paper,we propose an RLC equivalent circuit model theory which can accurately predict the spectral response and resonance characteristics of metamaterial absorption structures,extend its design,and characterize...In this paper,we propose an RLC equivalent circuit model theory which can accurately predict the spectral response and resonance characteristics of metamaterial absorption structures,extend its design,and characterize the parameters of the model in detail.By employing this model,we conducted computations to characterize the response wavelength and bandwidth of variously sized metamaterial absorbers.A comparative analysis with Finite Difference Time Domain(FDTD)simulations demonstrated a remarkable level of consistency in the results.The designed absorbers were fabricated using micro-nano fabrication processes,and were experimentally tested to demonstrate absorption rates exceeding 90%at a wavelength of 9.28μm.The predicted results are then compared with test results.The comparison reveals good consistency in two aspects of the resonance responses,thereby confirming the rationality and accuracy of this model.展开更多
Metamorphic mechanism has the advantages of variable topology and variable degrees of freedom, which can realize the requirements of multi-conditions and multi-tasks, and has a good application prospect. The configura...Metamorphic mechanism has the advantages of variable topology and variable degrees of freedom, which can realize the requirements of multi-conditions and multi-tasks, and has a good application prospect. The configuration transformation is prominent feature of the metamorphic mechanism. The number of constraints or properties of the kinematic pairs provided by the metamorphic kinematic pairs will change under certain conditions, its dynamic performance is much more complex than that of traditional kinematic pairs with immutable constraints. However, the clearance model about traditional kinematic pairs with immutable constraints established by long-term research is difficult to be directly applied to the metachromatic kinematic pairs. Referring to the experience of the traditional kinematic pairs with immutable constraints, the continuous contact model of Metamorphic Groove pin pair with clearance is established. According to the traditional continuous contact model of the kinematic pairs with immutable constraints, the forces between the elements of kinematic pair of the mechanism with clearance and the ideal mechanism without clearance are regarded as the same, and the inertia force and inertia moment of the components are also calculated according to the acceleration of the ideal mechanism. The clearance is regarded as a massless virtual bar with length r. For the rotating pair part, the massless virtual bar length r is the difference between the radius of the shaft and the hole, and for the sliding pair part, the massless virtual bar length r is half of the difference between the height of the slider and the guide groove. According to the new mechanism without gap after adding the imaginary bar, kinetic energy and potential energy of the system are calculated for the two configurations of mechanism with metamorphic Groove pin pair with clearance. The kinetic energy and potential energy of the system are calculated according to the new mechanism without clearance after adding the massless virtual bar. The kinetic energy, potential energy and generalized force are substituted into the Lagrangian equation to obtain the motion equation of the metamorphic mechanism, which lays the foundation for the dynamic performance study of the mechanism with metamorphic groove pin pair with clearance.展开更多
Sand-bentonite(SB)cutoff walls are commonly used as barriers in polluted areas.The embedded part of an SB wall in an aquitard is crucial for its performance.In this study,a centrifuge modeling test was carried out to ...Sand-bentonite(SB)cutoff walls are commonly used as barriers in polluted areas.The embedded part of an SB wall in an aquitard is crucial for its performance.In this study,a centrifuge modeling test was carried out to investigate the effect of contact between the key and the aquitard on the migration behavior of contaminants within an SB cutoff wall.The centrifuge was accelerated to 100g(gravitational acceleration)and maintained in-flight for 36 h,equivalent to 41 years of transport time in the prototype.Results showed that the contaminant concentration within the SB wall was higher downstream than in the middle in the thickness direction,and deeper regions exhibited a greater concentration than shallower ones.This concentration distribution indicated that contaminants were transported along the interface between the SB wall and the aquitard,bypassing the base of the SB wall to reach the downstream aquifer rapidly.An improved numerical simulation considering preferential interface migration was performed,which agreed with the centrifuge test results.The simulation results indicated that preferential interface migration,as a defect,significantly accelerated the speed of contaminant migration,reducing the breakthrough time of the SB wall to 1/9 of that without preferential interface migration.展开更多
This study focuses on empirical modeling of the strength characteristics of urban soils contaminated with heavy metals using machine learning tools and their subsequent stabilization with ordinary Portland cement(OPC)...This study focuses on empirical modeling of the strength characteristics of urban soils contaminated with heavy metals using machine learning tools and their subsequent stabilization with ordinary Portland cement(OPC).For dataset collection,an extensive experimental program was designed to estimate the unconfined compressive strength(Qu)of heavy metal-contaminated soils collected from awide range of land use pattern,i.e.residential,industrial and roadside soils.Accordingly,a robust comparison of predictive performances of four data-driven models including extreme learning machines(ELMs),gene expression programming(GEP),random forests(RFs),and multiple linear regression(MLR)has been presented.For completeness,a comprehensive experimental database has been established and partitioned into 80%for training and 20%for testing the developed models.Inputs included varying levels of heavy metals like Cd,Cu,Cr,Pb and Zn,along with OPC.The results revealed that the GEP model outperformed its counterparts:explaining approximately 96%of the variability in both training(R2=0.964)and testing phases(R^(2)=0.961),and thus achieving the lowest RMSE and MAE values.ELM performed commendably but was slightly less accurate than GEP whereas MLR had the lowest performance metrics.GEP also provided the benefit of traceable mathematical equation,enhancing its applicability not just as a predictive but also as an explanatory tool.Despite its insights,the study is limited by its focus on a specific set of heavy metals and urban soil samples of a particular region,which may affect the generalizability of the findings to different contamination profiles or environmental conditions.The study recommends GEP for predicting Qu in heavy metal-contaminated soils,and suggests further research to adapt these models to different environmental conditions.展开更多
安全生产事故往往由多组织交互、多因素耦合造成,事故原因涉及多个组织。为预防和遏制多组织生产安全事故的发生,基于系统理论事故建模与过程模型(Systems-Theory Accident Modeling and Process,STAMP)、24Model,构建一种用于多组织事...安全生产事故往往由多组织交互、多因素耦合造成,事故原因涉及多个组织。为预防和遏制多组织生产安全事故的发生,基于系统理论事故建模与过程模型(Systems-Theory Accident Modeling and Process,STAMP)、24Model,构建一种用于多组织事故分析的方法,并以青岛石油爆炸事故为例进行事故原因分析。结果显示:STAMP-24Model可以分组织,分层次且有效、全面、详细地分析涉及多个组织的事故原因,探究多组织之间的交互关系;对事故进行动态演化分析,可得到各组织不安全动作耦合关系与形成的事故失效链及管控失效路径,进而为预防多组织事故提供思路和参考。展开更多
Multilayered van der Waals(vdW)materials have attracted increasing interest because of the manipulability of their superior optical,electrical,thermal,and mechanical properties.A mass-spring model(MSM)for elastic wave...Multilayered van der Waals(vdW)materials have attracted increasing interest because of the manipulability of their superior optical,electrical,thermal,and mechanical properties.A mass-spring model(MSM)for elastic wave propagation in multilayered vdW metamaterials is reported in this paper.Molecular dynamics(MD)simulations are adopted to simulate the propagation of elastic waves in multilayered vdW metamaterials.The results show that the graphene/MoS_(2)metamaterials have an elastic wave bandgap in the terahertz range.The MSM for the multilayered vdW metamaterials is proposed,and the numerical simulation results show that this model can well describe the dispersion and transmission characteristics of the multilayered vdW metamaterials.The MSM can predict elastic wave transmission characteristics in multilayered vdW metamaterials stacked with different two-dimensional(2D)materials.The results presented in this paper offer theoretical help for the vibration reduction of multilayered vdW semiconductors.展开更多
BACKGROUND Rebleeding after recovery from esophagogastric variceal bleeding(EGVB)is a severe complication that is associated with high rates of both incidence and mortality.Despite its clinical importance,recognized p...BACKGROUND Rebleeding after recovery from esophagogastric variceal bleeding(EGVB)is a severe complication that is associated with high rates of both incidence and mortality.Despite its clinical importance,recognized prognostic models that can effectively predict esophagogastric variceal rebleeding in patients with liver cirrhosis are lacking.AIM To construct and externally validate a reliable prognostic model for predicting the occurrence of esophagogastric variceal rebleeding.METHODS This study included 477 EGVB patients across 2 cohorts:The derivation cohort(n=322)and the validation cohort(n=155).The primary outcome was rebleeding events within 1 year.The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator was applied for predictor selection,and multivariate Cox regression analysis was used to construct the prognostic model.Internal validation was performed with bootstrap resampling.We assessed the discrimination,calibration and accuracy of the model,and performed patient risk stratification.RESULTS Six predictors,including albumin and aspartate aminotransferase concentrations,white blood cell count,and the presence of ascites,portal vein thrombosis,and bleeding signs,were selected for the rebleeding event prediction following endoscopic treatment(REPET)model.In predicting rebleeding within 1 year,the REPET model ex-hibited a concordance index of 0.775 and a Brier score of 0.143 in the derivation cohort,alongside 0.862 and 0.127 in the validation cohort.Furthermore,the REPET model revealed a significant difference in rebleeding rates(P<0.01)between low-risk patients and intermediate-to high-risk patients in both cohorts.CONCLUSION We constructed and validated a new prognostic model for variceal rebleeding with excellent predictive per-formance,which will improve the clinical management of rebleeding in EGVB patients.展开更多
基金supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of China(No.2017YFC1502504)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.41877531).
文摘With the increasing severity of arsenic(As)pollution,quantifying the environmental behavior of pollutant based on numerical model has become an important approach to determine the potential impacts and finalize the precise control strategies.Taking the industrialintensive Jinsha River Basin as typical area,a two-dimensional hydrodynamic water quality model coupled with Soil andWater Assessment Tool(SWAT)model was developed to accurately simulate the watershed-scale distribution and transport of As in the terrestrial and aquatic environment at high spatial and temporal resolution.The effects of hydro-climate change,hydropower station construction and non-point source emissions on Aswere quantified based on the coupled model.The result indicated that higher As concentration areas mainly centralized in urban districts and concentration slowly decreased from upstream to downstream.Due to the enhanced rainfall,the As concentration was significantly higher during the rainy season than the dry season.Hydro-climate change and the construction of hydropower station not only affected the dissolved As concentration,but also affected the adsorption and desorption of As in sediment.Furthermore,As concentration increased with the input of non-point source pollution,with the maximum increase about 30%,resulting that non-point sources contributed important pollutant impacts to waterways.The coupled model used in pollutant behavior analysis is generalwith high potential application to predict and mitigate water pollution.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(62174092)the Open Fund of State Key Laboratory of Infrared Physics(SITP-NLIST-ZD-2023-04)the Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences(XDB0580000)。
文摘In this paper,we propose an RLC equivalent circuit model theory which can accurately predict the spectral response and resonance characteristics of metamaterial absorption structures,extend its design,and characterize the parameters of the model in detail.By employing this model,we conducted computations to characterize the response wavelength and bandwidth of variously sized metamaterial absorbers.A comparative analysis with Finite Difference Time Domain(FDTD)simulations demonstrated a remarkable level of consistency in the results.The designed absorbers were fabricated using micro-nano fabrication processes,and were experimentally tested to demonstrate absorption rates exceeding 90%at a wavelength of 9.28μm.The predicted results are then compared with test results.The comparison reveals good consistency in two aspects of the resonance responses,thereby confirming the rationality and accuracy of this model.
文摘Metamorphic mechanism has the advantages of variable topology and variable degrees of freedom, which can realize the requirements of multi-conditions and multi-tasks, and has a good application prospect. The configuration transformation is prominent feature of the metamorphic mechanism. The number of constraints or properties of the kinematic pairs provided by the metamorphic kinematic pairs will change under certain conditions, its dynamic performance is much more complex than that of traditional kinematic pairs with immutable constraints. However, the clearance model about traditional kinematic pairs with immutable constraints established by long-term research is difficult to be directly applied to the metachromatic kinematic pairs. Referring to the experience of the traditional kinematic pairs with immutable constraints, the continuous contact model of Metamorphic Groove pin pair with clearance is established. According to the traditional continuous contact model of the kinematic pairs with immutable constraints, the forces between the elements of kinematic pair of the mechanism with clearance and the ideal mechanism without clearance are regarded as the same, and the inertia force and inertia moment of the components are also calculated according to the acceleration of the ideal mechanism. The clearance is regarded as a massless virtual bar with length r. For the rotating pair part, the massless virtual bar length r is the difference between the radius of the shaft and the hole, and for the sliding pair part, the massless virtual bar length r is half of the difference between the height of the slider and the guide groove. According to the new mechanism without gap after adding the imaginary bar, kinetic energy and potential energy of the system are calculated for the two configurations of mechanism with metamorphic Groove pin pair with clearance. The kinetic energy and potential energy of the system are calculated according to the new mechanism without clearance after adding the massless virtual bar. The kinetic energy, potential energy and generalized force are substituted into the Lagrangian equation to obtain the motion equation of the metamorphic mechanism, which lays the foundation for the dynamic performance study of the mechanism with metamorphic groove pin pair with clearance.
基金supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of China(No.2018YFC1802304)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Nos.51988101 and 42077241)the Natural Science Foundation of Zhejiang Province(No.LCZ19E080002),China.
文摘Sand-bentonite(SB)cutoff walls are commonly used as barriers in polluted areas.The embedded part of an SB wall in an aquitard is crucial for its performance.In this study,a centrifuge modeling test was carried out to investigate the effect of contact between the key and the aquitard on the migration behavior of contaminants within an SB cutoff wall.The centrifuge was accelerated to 100g(gravitational acceleration)and maintained in-flight for 36 h,equivalent to 41 years of transport time in the prototype.Results showed that the contaminant concentration within the SB wall was higher downstream than in the middle in the thickness direction,and deeper regions exhibited a greater concentration than shallower ones.This concentration distribution indicated that contaminants were transported along the interface between the SB wall and the aquitard,bypassing the base of the SB wall to reach the downstream aquifer rapidly.An improved numerical simulation considering preferential interface migration was performed,which agreed with the centrifuge test results.The simulation results indicated that preferential interface migration,as a defect,significantly accelerated the speed of contaminant migration,reducing the breakthrough time of the SB wall to 1/9 of that without preferential interface migration.
基金funded by the Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.52090084)was partially supported by the Sand Hazards and Opportunities for Resilience,Energy,and Sustainability(SHORES)Center,funded by Tamkeen under the NYUAD Research Institute Award CG013.
文摘This study focuses on empirical modeling of the strength characteristics of urban soils contaminated with heavy metals using machine learning tools and their subsequent stabilization with ordinary Portland cement(OPC).For dataset collection,an extensive experimental program was designed to estimate the unconfined compressive strength(Qu)of heavy metal-contaminated soils collected from awide range of land use pattern,i.e.residential,industrial and roadside soils.Accordingly,a robust comparison of predictive performances of four data-driven models including extreme learning machines(ELMs),gene expression programming(GEP),random forests(RFs),and multiple linear regression(MLR)has been presented.For completeness,a comprehensive experimental database has been established and partitioned into 80%for training and 20%for testing the developed models.Inputs included varying levels of heavy metals like Cd,Cu,Cr,Pb and Zn,along with OPC.The results revealed that the GEP model outperformed its counterparts:explaining approximately 96%of the variability in both training(R2=0.964)and testing phases(R^(2)=0.961),and thus achieving the lowest RMSE and MAE values.ELM performed commendably but was slightly less accurate than GEP whereas MLR had the lowest performance metrics.GEP also provided the benefit of traceable mathematical equation,enhancing its applicability not just as a predictive but also as an explanatory tool.Despite its insights,the study is limited by its focus on a specific set of heavy metals and urban soil samples of a particular region,which may affect the generalizability of the findings to different contamination profiles or environmental conditions.The study recommends GEP for predicting Qu in heavy metal-contaminated soils,and suggests further research to adapt these models to different environmental conditions.
文摘安全生产事故往往由多组织交互、多因素耦合造成,事故原因涉及多个组织。为预防和遏制多组织生产安全事故的发生,基于系统理论事故建模与过程模型(Systems-Theory Accident Modeling and Process,STAMP)、24Model,构建一种用于多组织事故分析的方法,并以青岛石油爆炸事故为例进行事故原因分析。结果显示:STAMP-24Model可以分组织,分层次且有效、全面、详细地分析涉及多个组织的事故原因,探究多组织之间的交互关系;对事故进行动态演化分析,可得到各组织不安全动作耦合关系与形成的事故失效链及管控失效路径,进而为预防多组织事故提供思路和参考。
基金supported by the National Science Fund for Distinguished Young Scholars of China(No.11925205)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Nos.51921003 and U2341230)。
文摘Multilayered van der Waals(vdW)materials have attracted increasing interest because of the manipulability of their superior optical,electrical,thermal,and mechanical properties.A mass-spring model(MSM)for elastic wave propagation in multilayered vdW metamaterials is reported in this paper.Molecular dynamics(MD)simulations are adopted to simulate the propagation of elastic waves in multilayered vdW metamaterials.The results show that the graphene/MoS_(2)metamaterials have an elastic wave bandgap in the terahertz range.The MSM for the multilayered vdW metamaterials is proposed,and the numerical simulation results show that this model can well describe the dispersion and transmission characteristics of the multilayered vdW metamaterials.The MSM can predict elastic wave transmission characteristics in multilayered vdW metamaterials stacked with different two-dimensional(2D)materials.The results presented in this paper offer theoretical help for the vibration reduction of multilayered vdW semiconductors.
基金Supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China,No.81874390 and No.81573948Shanghai Natural Science Foundation,No.21ZR1464100+1 种基金Science and Technology Innovation Action Plan of Shanghai Science and Technology Commission,No.22S11901700the Shanghai Key Specialty of Traditional Chinese Clinical Medicine,No.shslczdzk01201.
文摘BACKGROUND Rebleeding after recovery from esophagogastric variceal bleeding(EGVB)is a severe complication that is associated with high rates of both incidence and mortality.Despite its clinical importance,recognized prognostic models that can effectively predict esophagogastric variceal rebleeding in patients with liver cirrhosis are lacking.AIM To construct and externally validate a reliable prognostic model for predicting the occurrence of esophagogastric variceal rebleeding.METHODS This study included 477 EGVB patients across 2 cohorts:The derivation cohort(n=322)and the validation cohort(n=155).The primary outcome was rebleeding events within 1 year.The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator was applied for predictor selection,and multivariate Cox regression analysis was used to construct the prognostic model.Internal validation was performed with bootstrap resampling.We assessed the discrimination,calibration and accuracy of the model,and performed patient risk stratification.RESULTS Six predictors,including albumin and aspartate aminotransferase concentrations,white blood cell count,and the presence of ascites,portal vein thrombosis,and bleeding signs,were selected for the rebleeding event prediction following endoscopic treatment(REPET)model.In predicting rebleeding within 1 year,the REPET model ex-hibited a concordance index of 0.775 and a Brier score of 0.143 in the derivation cohort,alongside 0.862 and 0.127 in the validation cohort.Furthermore,the REPET model revealed a significant difference in rebleeding rates(P<0.01)between low-risk patients and intermediate-to high-risk patients in both cohorts.CONCLUSION We constructed and validated a new prognostic model for variceal rebleeding with excellent predictive per-formance,which will improve the clinical management of rebleeding in EGVB patients.
