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Dynamic Factor Method of Computing Dynamic Mathematical Model for System Simulation
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作者 老大中 吴娟 +1 位作者 杨策 蒋滋康 《Journal of Beijing Institute of Technology》 EI CAS 2003年第2期143-148,共6页
The computational methods of a typical dynamic mathematical model that can describe the differential element and the inertial element for the system simulation are researched. The stability of numerical solutions of t... The computational methods of a typical dynamic mathematical model that can describe the differential element and the inertial element for the system simulation are researched. The stability of numerical solutions of the dynamic mathematical model is researched. By means of theoretical analysis, the error formulas, the error sign criteria and the error relationship criterion of the implicit Euler method and the trapezoidal method are given, the dynamic factor affecting the computational accuracy has been found, the formula and the methods of computing the dynamic factor are given. The computational accuracy of the dynamic mathematical model like this can be improved by use of the dynamic factor. 展开更多
关键词 system simulation dynamic mathematical model computational method dynamic factor ERROR
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Dynamic change of agricultural energy efficiency and its influencing factors in China 被引量:1
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作者 Haipeng Li Li Luo +1 位作者 Xiong Zhang Junbiao Zhang 《Chinese Journal of Population,Resources and Environment》 2021年第4期311-320,共10页
In order to practice the concept of‘lucid waters and lush mountains are invaluable assets’and promote the green development of agriculture,it is necessary to improve the efficiency of agricultural energy utilization... In order to practice the concept of‘lucid waters and lush mountains are invaluable assets’and promote the green development of agriculture,it is necessary to improve the efficiency of agricultural energy utilization.Based on the panel data of 28 provinces from 1995 to 2018,this paper calculated China’s agricultural energy input from two categories of direct energy and indirect energy,and used EBM(Epsilon-based Measure)mixed distance function model to measure the energy efficiency of agriculture in China.The nuclear density function and spatial autocorrelation were used to analyze the dynamic evolution of agricultural energy efficiency,and the dynamic panel model was used to analyze the influencing factors of agricultural energy efficiency.The results showed that:①From 1995 to 2018,the total agricultural energy input had increased year by year in China,with an average annual growth rate of 2%.Energy input structure changed from indirect energy-based to direct energy-based.Agricultural energy efficiency showed an evolutionary trend of‘rising-stagnating-rising rapidly’in China.The agricultural energy efficiency was generally low in China,and there was a large space for improvement in agricultural energy efficiency.②From 1995 to 2018,the average annual growth rate of agricultural energy efficiency in the eastern,central and western regions was 2.7%,1.9%and 1.4%respectively.In 2018,the agricultural energy efficiency in the eastern,central and western regions was 0.81,0.71 and 0.59 respectively.The gap between regions was expanding rapidly,and the agricultural energy efficiency in the central and western regions needed to be improved.③From 1995 to 2018,the agricultural energy efficiency of each province was polarized and the absolute gap was widened.There was obvious improvement in agricultural energy efficiency in Guangdong,Shandong,Jiangxi,Jiangsu,Liaoning and Tianjin,while the agricultural energy efficiency of Xinjiang,Guizhou,Zhejiang,Shanghai,and Inner Mongolia deteriorated.④From 1995 to 2018,there was no global spatial correlation of China’s agricultural energy efficiency.However,local‘high-high’concentration gradually appeared in the eastern region since 2010.⑤The first lag of energy efficiency had a significant positive impact on agricultural energy efficiency,and agricultural energy efficiency improvement had a time lag.The level of human capital,per capita net income of farmers and the level of urbanizaton had a significant positive impact on agricultural energy efficiency.The disaster rate,the level of development of secondary and tertiary industries,and the level of opening up had a significant negative impact on agricultural energy efficiency.In the implementation of the strategy of rural revitalization,we should focus on the central and western regions,take the cultivation of professional farmers as the key,focus on improving agricultural production conditions,enhance the level of cooperation between regions,exert the leading role of the secondary and tertiary industries,and enhance the ability of agricultural disaster prevention and mitigation. 展开更多
关键词 EBM model dynamic panel model Agricultural energy efficiency dynamic change Influencing factor
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Mathematical model of dynamic imbibition in nanoporous reservoirs 被引量:1
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作者 TIAN Weibing WU Keliu +3 位作者 CHEN Zhangxing LEI Zhengdong GAO Yanling LI Jing 《Petroleum Exploration and Development》 CSCD 2022年第1期170-178,共9页
The oil-water imbibition equation in the nano-scale pores considering the dynamic contact angle effect, nanoconfinement effect, inertia effect, and inlet end effect was established, and the relation between the fricti... The oil-water imbibition equation in the nano-scale pores considering the dynamic contact angle effect, nanoconfinement effect, inertia effect, and inlet end effect was established, and the relation between the friction coefficient of solid-oil-water three-phase contact line and the fluid viscosity in the interface zone was derived. In combination with the capillary bundle model and the lognormal distribution theory, the imbibition model of tight core was obtained and key parameters affecting imbibition dynamics were analyzed. The study shows that in the process of nanopore imbibition, the dynamic contact angle effect has the most significant impact on the imbibition, followed by nanoconfinement effect(multilayer sticking effect and slippage effect), and the inertia effect and inlet end effect have the least impact;in the initial stage of imbibition, the effect of inertial force decreases, and the effect of contact line friction increases, so the dynamic contact angle gradually increases from the initial equilibrium contact angle to the maximum and then remains basically stable;in the later stage of imbibition,the effect of contact line friction decreases, and the contact angle gradually decreases from the maximum dynamic contact angle and approaches the initial equilibrium contact angle;as the pore radius decreases, the dynamic contact angle effect increases in the initial stage of imbibition and decreases in the later stage of imbibition;as the oil-water interfacial tension increases, the imbibition power increases, and the dynamic contact angle effect increases;there is a critical value for the influence of interfacial tension on the imbibition dynamics. In improving oil recovery by imbibition in tight oil reservoir, interfacial tension too low cannot achieve good imbibition effect, and the best interfacial tension needs to be obtained through optimization. 展开更多
关键词 tight reservoir NANOPORE CAPILLARY imbibition model imbibition dynamics influencing factors
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Video action recognition meets vision-language models exploring human factors in scene interaction: a review
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作者 GUO Yuping GAO Hongwei +3 位作者 YU Jiahui GE Jinchao HAN Meng JU Zhaojie 《Optoelectronics Letters》 2025年第10期626-640,共15页
Video action recognition(VAR)aims to analyze dynamic behaviors in videos and achieve semantic understanding.VAR faces challenges such as temporal dynamics,action-scene coupling,and the complexity of human interactions... Video action recognition(VAR)aims to analyze dynamic behaviors in videos and achieve semantic understanding.VAR faces challenges such as temporal dynamics,action-scene coupling,and the complexity of human interactions.Existing methods can be categorized into motion-level,event-level,and story-level ones based on spatiotemporal granularity.However,single-modal approaches struggle to capture complex behavioral semantics and human factors.Therefore,in recent years,vision-language models(VLMs)have been introduced into this field,providing new research perspectives for VAR.In this paper,we systematically review spatiotemporal hierarchical methods in VAR and explore how the introduction of large models has advanced the field.Additionally,we propose the concept of“Factor”to identify and integrate key information from both visual and textual modalities,enhancing multimodal alignment.We also summarize various multimodal alignment methods and provide in-depth analysis and insights into future research directions. 展开更多
关键词 human factors video action recognition vision language models analyze dynamic behaviors spatiotemporal granularity video action recognition var aims multimodal alignment scene interaction
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A novel approach to the dynamic response analysis of Euler-Bernoulli beams resting on a Winkler soil model and subjected to impact loads
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作者 Adolfo Foriero Filippo Santucci de Magistris Giovanni Fabbrocino 《Earthquake Engineering and Engineering Vibration》 SCIE EI CSCD 2024年第2期389-401,共13页
This work presents a novel approach to the dynamic response analysis of a Euler-Bernoulli beam resting on a Winkler soil model and subjected to an impact loading.The approach considers that damping has much less impor... This work presents a novel approach to the dynamic response analysis of a Euler-Bernoulli beam resting on a Winkler soil model and subjected to an impact loading.The approach considers that damping has much less importance in controlling the maximum response to impulsive loadings because the maximum response is reached in a very short time,before the damping forces can dissipate a significant portion of the energy input into the system.The development of two sine series solutions,relating to different types of impulsive loadings,one involving a single concentrated force and the other a distributed line load,are presented.This study revealed that when a simply supported Euler-Bernoulli beam,resting on a Winkler soil model,is subject to an impact load,the resulting vertical displacements,bending moments and shear forces produced along the span of the beam are considerably affected.In particular,the quantification of this effect is best observed,relative to the corresponding static solution,via an amplification factor.The computed impact amplification factors,for the sub-grade moduli used in this study,were in magnitude greater than 2,thus confirming the multiple-degree-of-freedom nature of the problem. 展开更多
关键词 beam-Winkler-soil model sub-grade moduli impact load impact distributed line load dynamic solution impact amplification factor
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Spatiotemporal Dynamics of Green Total-factor Water-use Efficiency and Its Influencing Factors in China
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作者 MA Dalai ZHANG Fengtai +3 位作者 GAO Lei YANG Guangming YANG Qing AN Youzhi 《Chinese Geographical Science》 SCIE CSCD 2021年第5期795-814,共20页
In this study,we developed an evaluation index system for green total-factor water-use efficiency(GTFWUE)which reflected both economic and green efficiencies of water resource utilization.Then we measured the GTFWUE o... In this study,we developed an evaluation index system for green total-factor water-use efficiency(GTFWUE)which reflected both economic and green efficiencies of water resource utilization.Then we measured the GTFWUE of 30 provinces/municipalities/autonomous regions(hereafter provinces)in China(not including Tibet,Hong Kong region,Macao region,Taiwan region of China as no data)from 2000 to 2018 using a minimum distance to the strong frontier model that contained an undesirable output.We further analyzed the regional differences and spatial correlations of GTFWUE using these values based on Global and Local Moran’s I statistics,and empirically determined the factors affecting GTFWUE using a spatial econometric model.The evaluation results revealed that the GTFWUE differed substantially between the regions.The provinces with high and low GTFWUE values were located in the coastal and inland areas of China,respectively.The eastern region had a significantly higher GTFWUE than the central and western regions.The GTFWUEs for all three regions(eastern,central,and western regions)decreased slowly from 2000 to 2011(except 2005),remained stable from 2012 to 2016,and rapidly increased in 2017 before decreasing again in 2018.We found significant spatial correlations between the provincial GTFWUEs.The GTFWUE for most provinces belonged to the high-high or low-low cluster region,revealing a significant spatial clustering effect of provincial GTFWUEs.We also found that China’s GTFWUE was highly promoted by economic growth,population size,opening-up level,and urbanization level,and was evidently hindered by water endowment,technological progress,and government influence.However,the water-use structure had little impact on GTFWUE.This study fully demonstrated that the water use mode would be improved,and water resources needed to be used more efficiently and green in China.Moreover,based on the findings of this study,several policy recommendations were proposed from the aspects of cross-regional cooperation,economy,society,and institution. 展开更多
关键词 green total-factor water-use efficiency(GTFWUE) spatiotemporal dynamics water scarcity influencing factors spatial econometric model
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Capital mobility in Latin American and Caribbean countries: new evidence from dynamic common correlated effects panel data modeling
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作者 Vasudeva N.R.Murthy Natalya Ketenci 《Financial Innovation》 2020年第1期895-911,共17页
This study investigates the degree of capital mobility in a panel of 16 Latin American and 4 Caribbean countries during 1960 to 2017 against the backdrop of the Feldstein-Horioka hypothesis by applying recent panel da... This study investigates the degree of capital mobility in a panel of 16 Latin American and 4 Caribbean countries during 1960 to 2017 against the backdrop of the Feldstein-Horioka hypothesis by applying recent panel data techniques.This is the first study on capital mobility in Latin American and Caribbean countries to employ the recently developed panel data procedure of the dynamic common correlated effects modeling technique of Chudik and Pesaran(J Econ 188:393–420,2015)and the error-correction testing of Gengenbach,Urbain,and Westerlund(Panel error correction testing with global stochastic trends,2008,J Appl Econ 31:982–1004,2016).These approaches address the serious panel data econometric issues of crosssection dependence,slope heterogeneity,nonstationarity,and endogeneity in a multifactor error-structure framework.The empirical findings of this study reveal a low average(mean)savings–retention coefficient for the panel as a whole and for most individual countries,as well as indicating a cointegration relationship between saving and investment ratios.The results indicate that there is a relatively high degree of capital mobility in the Latin American and Caribbean countries in the short run,while the long-run solvency condition is maintained,which is due to reduced frictions in goods and services markets causing increase competition.Increased capital mobility in these countries can promote economic growth and hasten the process of globalization by creating a conducive economic environment for FDI in these countries. 展开更多
关键词 dynamic common correlated effects Panel-error correction modeling Cross-sectional dependence Unobserved common factors Slope heterogeneity Capital mobility
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Dynamic model and driving strategy of corporate social responsibility
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作者 WANG Mao-xiang 《Ecological Economy》 2023年第2期192-200,共9页
Corporate social responsibility is the inevitable requirement for the survival and development of enterprises in modern society,as well as the basic guarantee for the sustainable development of economy and society.In ... Corporate social responsibility is the inevitable requirement for the survival and development of enterprises in modern society,as well as the basic guarantee for the sustainable development of economy and society.In order to analyze the driving factors of corporate social responsibility from both internal and external aspects,the dynamic model of corporate social responsibility was constructed,and the driving strategies of corporate social responsibility were also suggested.The driving factors of corporate social responsibility include not only the external constraints of policies,regulations and stakeholders,but also the internal requirements of the sustainable development of enterprises.Only when the external driving force is transformed into the spontaneous and conscious responsibility behavior of the enterprise,can the enterprise achieve its due effect.Moreover,in order to better fulfill the social responsibility,enterprise should build a management system of social responsibility,enhance the awareness of social responsibility,and promote the effective implementation of social responsibility projects.The relevant department should strengthen the all-round supervision of corporate social responsibility,and further improve the policies,laws and regulations related to social responsibility.Enterprises should strengthen communication with stakeholders,actively disclose social responsibility information,and constantly improve social responsibility behavior.By implementing social responsibility,enterprise can improve its business environment,enhance corporate brand image and core competitiveness,and promote the sustainable development of economy and society. 展开更多
关键词 corporate social responsibility dynamic factors driving model driving strategy
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Experimental Study on Free Spanning Submarine Pipeline Under Dynamic Excitation 被引量:9
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作者 李昕 刘亚坤 +2 位作者 周晶 马恒春 朱彤 《China Ocean Engineering》 SCIE EI 2002年第4期537-548,共12页
Seismic load has a significant effect on the response of a free spanning submarine pipeline when the pipeline is constructed in a seismically active region. The model experiment is performed on an underwater shaking t... Seismic load has a significant effect on the response of a free spanning submarine pipeline when the pipeline is constructed in a seismically active region. The model experiment is performed on an underwater shaking table to simulate the response of submarine pipelines under dynamic input. In consideration of the effects of the terrestrial and submarine pipeline, water depth, support condition, distance from seabed, empty and full pipeline, and span on dynamic response, 120 groups of experiments are conducted. Affecting factors are analyzed and conclusions are drawn for reference. For the control of dynamic response, the span of a submarine pipeline is by far more important than the other factors. Meanwhile, the rosponse difference between a submarine pipeline under sine excitation and that under random excitation exists in experiments. 展开更多
关键词 free spanning submarine pipeline underwater shaking table model experiment dynamic response factor analysis
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“21世纪海上丝绸之路”沿线国家商业银行全要素生产率评价研究——基于两阶段Dynamic Network Malmquist-Luenberger指数和Tobit模型 被引量:5
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作者 谭涛 吴江 +1 位作者 王旻轲 张培文 《数理统计与管理》 CSSCI 北大核心 2020年第2期289-307,共19页
现有文献对商业银行的全要素生产率进行了大量研究,但未同时考虑中间产品和结转产品对整个经营过程的影响,得到的测算结果存在一定的偏差。本文使用"21世纪海上丝绸之路"沿线29个国家2011-2016年的商业银行数据,将商业银行的... 现有文献对商业银行的全要素生产率进行了大量研究,但未同时考虑中间产品和结转产品对整个经营过程的影响,得到的测算结果存在一定的偏差。本文使用"21世纪海上丝绸之路"沿线29个国家2011-2016年的商业银行数据,将商业银行的经营过程看成是一个两阶段的动态网络结构,采用动态网络方向距离函数构造了一种新的动态网络Malmquist-Luenberger指数研究商业银行整体和子阶段的全要素生产率变化,并进行了影响因素分析和β收敛检验。得到的结论有:(1)"21世纪海上丝绸之路"沿线国家商业银行整体全要素生产率年均下降0.61%,呈现N型趋势,两个子阶段的全要素生产率年均下降0.06%,呈现V型趋势,技术进步是整体和子阶段全要素生产率增长的主要动力。(2)四个地区和四种收入类型国家整体的全要素生产率都是下降的,各子阶段全要素生产率变化有所差异。(3)人均GDP水平、信贷市场结构、外商投资、银行经营年限、银行规模、银行资产配置等因素会对全要素生产率产生影响。(4)"21世纪海上丝绸之路"沿线国家商业银行整体和子阶段的全要素生产率都存在绝对β收敛和条件β收敛,不同地区和不同收入类型国家的收敛特征不尽相同。 展开更多
关键词 21世纪海上丝绸之路 dynamic Network Malmquist-Luenberger指数 两阶段DEA 全要素生产率 TOBIT模型
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Multistable Spatiotemporal Dynamics in the Driven Frenkel-Kontorova Lattice 被引量:1
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作者 ZHENG Zhi-Gang 《Communications in Theoretical Physics》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2001年第7期37-43,共7页
Spatiotemporal dynamics of the damped dc-driven Frenkel-Kontorova lattice is studied. Multistable topologies are shown. Intermittency of the dynamical contraction factor is found, and this behavior is a consequence of... Spatiotemporal dynamics of the damped dc-driven Frenkel-Kontorova lattice is studied. Multistable topologies are shown. Intermittency of the dynamical contraction factor is found, and this behavior is a consequence of the collisions of kinks and antikinks. Fast kinks and antikinks are unstable. The transition from the localized kink to the whirling mode is found to be a temporal bifurcation cascade of generations of kink-antikink pairs and the collision-induced avalanche dynamics. Noise-induced topology transition is observed and discussed. 展开更多
关键词 Frenkel-Kontorova model kink-antikink pair dynamicAL CONTRACTION factor
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Numerical study on dynamic properties of rubberised concrete with different rubber contents 被引量:1
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作者 Lei Pan Hong Hao +1 位作者 Jian Cui Thong M.Pham 《Defence Technology(防务技术)》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2023年第6期228-240,共13页
As a green environmentally-friendly material,rubberised concrete(Ru C),which has the characteristics of low elastic modulus,large deformation capacity,high damping,good energy dissipation and good crack resistance,has... As a green environmentally-friendly material,rubberised concrete(Ru C),which has the characteristics of low elastic modulus,large deformation capacity,high damping,good energy dissipation and good crack resistance,has attracted extensive attention and research in the civil engineering discipline.However,most of existing studies are based on experimental tests on Ru C material properties,and there has been no numerical study based on meso-scale modelling of Ru C yet.To more comprehensively investigate the Ru C dynamic material properties without conducting intensive experimental tests,this study developed a high-fidelity meso-scale model considering coarse and fine aggregates and rubber crumbs to numerically investigate the mechanical properties of rubberised concrete under different strain rates.The meso-scale model was verified against both quasi-static compressive testing data and Split Hopkinson Pressure Bar(SHPB)dynamic testing data.Using the verified numerical model,the dynamic properties of rubberised concrete with various rubber content(0%-30%)under different strain rates were studied.The numerical results show that the developed meso-scale model can use to predict the static and dynamic properties of rubberised concrete with high accuracy.The dynamic compressive strength of the rubberised concrete increases with the increment of the strain rate,and the strain rate sensitivity increases with the rubber content ranging from 0 to 30%.Based on intensive numerical simulation data,empirical DIFs is used as a function of strain rate and rubber content to predict the dynamic strength of rubberised concrete. 展开更多
关键词 Rubberised concrete Meso-scale model Numerical simulation Strain rate effect dynamic increase factor
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Dynamic behaviors of pretensioned cable AERORail structure
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作者 李方元 吴培峰 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2015年第6期2267-2276,共10页
The AERORail, a new aerial transport platform, was chosen as the object of this work. Following a review of the literature on static behaviors, model tests on the basic dynamic mechanical characteristics were conducte... The AERORail, a new aerial transport platform, was chosen as the object of this work. Following a review of the literature on static behaviors, model tests on the basic dynamic mechanical characteristics were conducted. A series of 90 tests were completed with different factors, including tension force, vehicle load and vehicle speed. With regard to the proper tension and vehicle load, at a certain speed range, the tension increments of the rail's cable were proved relatively small. It can be assumed that the change of tension is small and can be reasonably ignored when the tension of an entire span is under a dynamic load. When the tension reaches a certain range, the calculation of the cable track structure using classical cable theory is acceptable. The tests prove that the average maximum dynamic amplification factor of the deflection is small, generally no more than 1.2. However, when the vehicle speed reaches a certain value, the amplified factor will reach 2.0. If the moving loads increase, the dynamic amplification factor of dynamic deflection will also increase. The tension will change the rigidity of the structure and the vibration frequency; furthermore, the resonance speed will change at a certain tension. The vibration is noticeable when vehicles pass through at the resonance speed, and this negative impact on driving comfort requires the right velocity to avoid the resonance. The results demonstrate that more design details are required for the AERORail structure. 展开更多
关键词 pretensioned cable AERORail structure dynamic bchavior model test vibration characteristic dynamic amplification factor influence line
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中国区域金融稳定的时空演进动态与“双支柱”政策调控效应
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作者 邓创 杨晨龙 谢敬轩 《中央财经大学学报》 北大核心 2026年第2期5-21,共17页
党的二十届四中全会明确指出“要增强区域发展协调性,促进区域联动发展”。区域金融稳定作为金融支持区域协调发展的重要基础,事关民生福祉与宏观稳定。本文运用MF-DFM模型实现了对31个省份区域金融稳定指数的混频测度,并在通过Dagum基... 党的二十届四中全会明确指出“要增强区域发展协调性,促进区域联动发展”。区域金融稳定作为金融支持区域协调发展的重要基础,事关民生福祉与宏观稳定。本文运用MF-DFM模型实现了对31个省份区域金融稳定指数的混频测度,并在通过Dagum基尼系数分解方法刻画其区域异质性特征、通过面板马尔科夫区制转移模型和Moran指数捕捉其时空演进动态的基础上,构建PVAR模型进一步实证检验了“双支柱”政策对区域金融稳定的调控效果。研究发现:中国区域金融稳定具有显著的空间分异特征与跨区制转移黏性,而区域间差异与交叉重叠效应是演化差异的主要来源。此外,价格型货币政策与宏观审慎政策搭配的政策组合能够有效维护区域金融稳定,并且该组合对东部地区的协同调控效果相对更为显著。本文研究或可为切实维护区域金融稳定,推动跨域金融协同治理提供有益的政策启示。 展开更多
关键词 区域金融稳定 混频动态因子模型 区域异质性 “双支柱”政策
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饱和黏土动剪切模量和阻尼比研究现状分析
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作者 蔡润 王兰民 +2 位作者 郭鹏 彭涛 王谦 《地震工程学报》 北大核心 2026年第1期1-14,共14页
随着海上风电和油气作业的发展,饱和黏土的动剪切模量和阻尼比对海洋基础场地动力稳定性评价至关重要。近年来,针对饱和黏土动剪切模量和阻尼比的研究取得了一系列重要成果。通过对前人的研究成果进行整理和分析,分别从动剪切模量和阻... 随着海上风电和油气作业的发展,饱和黏土的动剪切模量和阻尼比对海洋基础场地动力稳定性评价至关重要。近年来,针对饱和黏土动剪切模量和阻尼比的研究取得了一系列重要成果。通过对前人的研究成果进行整理和分析,分别从动剪切模量和阻尼比的室内测试方法、影响因素及变化规律、预测模型等方面,系统地总结饱和黏土动剪切模量和阻尼比的国内外研究进展;同时,对比分析循环拉伸应力状态和不同循环应力路径对其的影响,并采用神经网络技术对现有研究成果进行厘定。综述可为海洋基础场地动力稳定性评价相关研究的深入开展提供参考。 展开更多
关键词 饱和黏土 动剪切模量 阻尼比 影响因素 预测模型
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融合时序InSAR形变的石棉县滑坡易发性评价
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作者 秦佳松 李为乐 +2 位作者 单云锋 周胜森 郁文龙 《地质科技通报》 北大核心 2026年第1期199-211,共13页
滑坡作为一种对自然和社会环境造成极大破坏的地质灾害,其易发性评价对防灾减灾至关重要。现有的滑坡数据库常作为滑坡易发性评价的数据基础,由于更新不及时,存在时效性差和不全面等问题。此外,传统的滑坡易发性评价方法主要依赖于静态... 滑坡作为一种对自然和社会环境造成极大破坏的地质灾害,其易发性评价对防灾减灾至关重要。现有的滑坡数据库常作为滑坡易发性评价的数据基础,由于更新不及时,存在时效性差和不全面等问题。此外,传统的滑坡易发性评价方法主要依赖于静态数据(如地形、地质、水文),缺乏动态数据(如地表形变),难以全面捕捉正在变形的滑坡特征,导致评价的可靠性较差。结合光学遥感技术和合成孔径雷达干涉测量(InSAR)技术识别研究区滑坡并获取地表形变作为动态评价因子,结合静态评价因子,采用联合训练和加权叠加2种方法,耦合最大熵(MaxEnt)模型,并使用迭代自组织(ISO)聚类算法对石棉县进行了滑坡易发性评价及分区。结果表明:(1)综合光学遥感技术和InSAR技术2种方法,在研究区共识别出139处滑坡,研究区滑坡灾害高易发区主要分布于河流和道路两侧,滑坡灾害点的分布与所划分区域有很好的吻合性。(2)补充InSAR形变因子在一定程度上提高了6.1%的易发性精度(受试者工作特征曲线(ROC)下面积AUC=0.921),同时显著地降低了评估结果中出现假阳性和假阴性的情况,提高了模型的精确性。该研究突出了将InSAR形变信息融入滑坡易发性模型中的优势,可为石棉县滑坡灾害预防提供重要支撑。 展开更多
关键词 石棉县 滑坡易发性评价 时序合成孔径雷达干涉测量(InSAR) 动态评价因子 最大熵模型
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基于动态参与因子和自适应模型预测控制的电池储能二次调频控制策略
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作者 朱振山 翁凯亮 欧阳海涛 《电工技术学报》 北大核心 2026年第1期343-358,共16页
针对火储联合系统参与电网二次调频,该文提出一种考虑电池储能荷电状态恢复的动态参与因子与自适应模型预测控制策略。首先,基于灵敏度原理获取区域控制偏差模式下储能参与因子与系统频率偏差的对应关系,并根据负荷状态采用模糊控制方... 针对火储联合系统参与电网二次调频,该文提出一种考虑电池储能荷电状态恢复的动态参与因子与自适应模型预测控制策略。首先,基于灵敏度原理获取区域控制偏差模式下储能参与因子与系统频率偏差的对应关系,并根据负荷状态采用模糊控制方法获得动态储能参与因子,由此界定频率调节不同阶段储能与火电机组调频责任大小;其次,通过模型预测控制实时优化储能出力深度,提高频率控制质量;然后,将区域控制偏差信号与储能荷电状态进行分区,综合不同区间特性调节模型预测控制目标函数中荷电状态恢复相关项的权重系数,在改善频率偏差的同时对恢复荷电状态;最后,在Matlab/Simulink中搭建含电池储能和火电机组的双区域互联电网仿真模型,并结合两种典型应用场景对该文所提控制策略的有效性进行验证。结果表明,该文策略在提升调频效果与恢复荷电状态方面具有良好的性能。 展开更多
关键词 电池储能 二次调频 动态参与因子 自适应模型预测控制 荷电状态
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基于DynNom动态评分构建心脏搭桥术后压力性损伤的风险预测模型
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作者 朱鑫玥 徐天宁 +2 位作者 司林杰 徐文婷 耿丹丹 《局解手术学杂志》 2026年第2期93-98,共6页
目的分析心脏搭桥术后压力性损伤的危险因素,建立心脏搭桥术后压力性损伤的列线图模型。方法选取2021年2月至2024年12月我院收治的262例心脏搭桥术患者作为研究对象,根据心脏搭桥术后压力性损伤发生情况将其分为压力性损伤组和无压力性... 目的分析心脏搭桥术后压力性损伤的危险因素,建立心脏搭桥术后压力性损伤的列线图模型。方法选取2021年2月至2024年12月我院收治的262例心脏搭桥术患者作为研究对象,根据心脏搭桥术后压力性损伤发生情况将其分为压力性损伤组和无压力性损伤组。比较2组患者的临床资料。采用LASSO分析筛选心脏搭桥术后压力性损伤的预测因素,采用Logistic回归模型筛选心脏搭桥术后压力性损伤的危险因素,采用R4.2.3软件建立心脏搭桥术后压力性损伤的列线图模型,并对心脏搭桥术后压力性损伤的列线图模型进行验证。结果262例心脏搭桥术患者中,有73例(27.86%)发生压力性损伤。2组患者的体外循环、使用血管活性药物、手术时间、肾功能不全、糖尿病、肥胖等资料比较,差异均有统计学意义(P<0.05)。Logistic回归分析结果显示,体外循环、使用血管活性药物、手术时间≥4 h、肾功能不全、糖尿病、肥胖均是心脏搭桥术后压力性损伤的危险因素(P<0.05)。心脏搭桥术后压力性损伤的列线图模型的受试者工作特征曲线下面积是0.796(95%CI:0.738~0.854);Hosmer-Lemeshow检验结果显示χ^(2)=2.128,P=0.952,校正曲线的预测值和实际值基本拟合;决策曲线分析显示阈值概率是5%~100%时,列线图对心脏搭桥术后压力性损伤的预测具有良好的获益值。结论体外循环、使用血管活性药物、手术时间≥4 h、肾功能不全、糖尿病、肥胖均是心脏搭桥术后压力性损伤的危险因素,心脏搭桥术后压力性损伤的列线图模型准确性尚可。 展开更多
关键词 心脏搭桥术 压力性损伤 危险因素 动态列线图模型
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中国新质生产力水平动态演进及影响因素
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作者 张忠杰 梁航瑞 《石家庄学院学报》 2026年第1期42-53,共12页
发展和培育新质生产力是推动经济高质量发展的核心着力点。本文构建了新质生产力评价指标体系,运用熵权TOPSIS法测度了2014-2023年中国30个省区市新质生产力水平,利用核密度估计和空间分异刻画其时空演变特征,并通过空间杜宾模型(SDM)... 发展和培育新质生产力是推动经济高质量发展的核心着力点。本文构建了新质生产力评价指标体系,运用熵权TOPSIS法测度了2014-2023年中国30个省区市新质生产力水平,利用核密度估计和空间分异刻画其时空演变特征,并通过空间杜宾模型(SDM)分析其影响因素。结果表明:新质生产力水平呈逐年上升态势,三大区域呈“东部—中部—西部”递减状态。全国及三大区域新质生产力水平均有提升,但区域间差距逐步扩大;新质生产力发展存在显著的空间相关性,其影响因素呈现出明显的区域异质性。现阶段经济发展、产业结构升级与科技投入是新质生产力水平提升的重要驱动力。 展开更多
关键词 新质生产力 动态演进 空间杜宾模型 影响因素
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河西走廊县域耕地利用生态效率时空动态性及影响因素
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作者 李佳青 程文仕 《国土与自然资源研究》 2026年第2期26-31,共6页
运用非期望Super-SBM模型、标准差椭圆重心迁移、趋势面分析、热点分析和Tobit模型等探讨河西走廊县域耕地利用生态效率的时空动态变化及其影响因素。结果表明,(1)时间动态性。河西走廊县域耕地利用生态效率总体处于波动状态,“西北-东... 运用非期望Super-SBM模型、标准差椭圆重心迁移、趋势面分析、热点分析和Tobit模型等探讨河西走廊县域耕地利用生态效率的时空动态变化及其影响因素。结果表明,(1)时间动态性。河西走廊县域耕地利用生态效率总体处于波动状态,“西北-东南”方向地区效率增速更快,提升趋势更为显著。(2)空间动态性。耕地利用生态效率空间分异性显著,整体呈“中部高于东南部高于西北部”的空间格局特征;空间集聚特征及演变规律,耕地利用生态效率冷热点格局保持相对稳定,变化缓慢。(3)影响因素。农作物播种面积和公共财政支出对耕地利用生态效率有正向影响,农业机械总动力呈负向影响。最后,农业技术水平、耕地自身特征、政策环境规制等方面提出相关的政策建议。 展开更多
关键词 耕地利用生态效率 非期望Surper-SBM模型 时空动态性 影响因素
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