Net primary productivity(NPP)is the net accumulation of organic matter by vegetation through photosynthesis and serves as a key indicator for exploring vegetation responses to climate change.Considering the remote and...Net primary productivity(NPP)is the net accumulation of organic matter by vegetation through photosynthesis and serves as a key indicator for exploring vegetation responses to climate change.Considering the remote and local impacts of soil heat capacities on vegetation growth through pathways of atmospheric circulation and land–atmosphere interaction,this paper develops a statistical prediction model for NPP from April to June(AMJ)across the middle-to-high latitudes of Eurasia.The model introduces two physically meaningful predictors:the snow water equivalent(SWE)from February to March(FM)over central Europe and the FM local soil temperature(ST).The positive phase of FM SWE triggers anomalous eastward-propagating Rossby waves,leading to an anomalous low-pressure system and cooling in the middle-to-high latitudes of Eurasia.This effect persists into spring through snow feedback to the atmosphere and affects subsequent NPP changes.The ST is closely related to the AMJ temperature and precipitation.With positive ST anomalies,the AMJ temperature and precipitation exhibit an east–west dipole anomaly distribution in this region.The single-factor prediction scheme using ST as the predictor is much better than using SWE as the predictor.Independent validation results from 2009 to 2014 demonstrate that the ST scheme alone has good predictive performance for the spatial distribution and interannual variability of NPP.The predictive skills of the multi-factor prediction schemes can be improved by about 13%if the ST predictor is included.The findings confirm that local ST is a predictor that must be included for NPP prediction.展开更多
基金funded by the National Natural Science Foundation of China[grant numbers 42075115 and 41991285]the Joint Open Project of KLME&CIC-FEMD[grant number KLME201901]。
文摘Net primary productivity(NPP)is the net accumulation of organic matter by vegetation through photosynthesis and serves as a key indicator for exploring vegetation responses to climate change.Considering the remote and local impacts of soil heat capacities on vegetation growth through pathways of atmospheric circulation and land–atmosphere interaction,this paper develops a statistical prediction model for NPP from April to June(AMJ)across the middle-to-high latitudes of Eurasia.The model introduces two physically meaningful predictors:the snow water equivalent(SWE)from February to March(FM)over central Europe and the FM local soil temperature(ST).The positive phase of FM SWE triggers anomalous eastward-propagating Rossby waves,leading to an anomalous low-pressure system and cooling in the middle-to-high latitudes of Eurasia.This effect persists into spring through snow feedback to the atmosphere and affects subsequent NPP changes.The ST is closely related to the AMJ temperature and precipitation.With positive ST anomalies,the AMJ temperature and precipitation exhibit an east–west dipole anomaly distribution in this region.The single-factor prediction scheme using ST as the predictor is much better than using SWE as the predictor.Independent validation results from 2009 to 2014 demonstrate that the ST scheme alone has good predictive performance for the spatial distribution and interannual variability of NPP.The predictive skills of the multi-factor prediction schemes can be improved by about 13%if the ST predictor is included.The findings confirm that local ST is a predictor that must be included for NPP prediction.
