为了明晰人类活动对冶木河流域水文情势的影响效果,基于冶力关水文站1981—2020年的年径流量和日均流量数据,采用曼宁肯德尔-彭曼(Mann-Kendall-Pettitt,MK-P)突变点检测、水文指标(Indicators of Hydrologic Alteration,IHA)和动态时...为了明晰人类活动对冶木河流域水文情势的影响效果,基于冶力关水文站1981—2020年的年径流量和日均流量数据,采用曼宁肯德尔-彭曼(Mann-Kendall-Pettitt,MK-P)突变点检测、水文指标(Indicators of Hydrologic Alteration,IHA)和动态时间弯曲(Dynamic Time Warping,DTW)算法计算了基准期和黄河流域生态保护和高质量发展重大国家战略实施影响期的水文指标变化情况及两个时期的水文情势相似度。基于全球陆面数据同化系统(Global Land Data Assimilation System,GLDAS)提取冶木河陆地水储量,分析其与径流量的相关关系及变化时间点。研究结果表明:1)冶木河径流量平稳变化点和陆地水储量变化点均为2018年。2)战略实施影响期的径流量大于基准期,径流量平均增大29.79%。3)基准期和战略实施影响期5组水文情势指标的相似度分别为0.025、0.025、0.25、0.1、0,说明冶木河流量极值出现的次数增加,小流量持续情况有所好转。4)战略实施影响期实施的水源涵养措施袭夺了河川基流,减水效果较明显。5)陆地水储量与径流量相关关系较弱。展开更多
Streamflow in the Kuye River basin has been sharply reduced by the effects of climate change and human activities.Since 1997,the intensification of coal mining has resulted in substantial reductions to streamflow alon...Streamflow in the Kuye River basin has been sharply reduced by the effects of climate change and human activities.Since 1997,the intensification of coal mining has resulted in substantial reductions to streamflow alongside an ever-increasing demand for water.In this study,we present a derived statistical method,incorporating the Mann-Kendall and Pettitt method(MK-P) and the Soil and Water Assessment Tool(SWAT),and apply it to estimating the streamflow reductions caused by underground mining for coal in the Kuye River basin.The results show that underground mining is an important cause of the streamflow reductions observed since1997,being responsible for reductions of 21.15 mm/yr(~56%of the total) during 1997-2009.The results of the SWAT simulation were assessed by several performance criteria:Nash-Suttcliffe Efficiency(Nse),correlation coefficient(R^2),relative error(RE),P-factor and Pv-factor.The close match between the simulations and observed data supports the reasonability of our findings.We suggest that engineering strategies be adopted to limit streamflow loss into goafs via fractured zones in the coalfield.展开更多
文摘为了明晰人类活动对冶木河流域水文情势的影响效果,基于冶力关水文站1981—2020年的年径流量和日均流量数据,采用曼宁肯德尔-彭曼(Mann-Kendall-Pettitt,MK-P)突变点检测、水文指标(Indicators of Hydrologic Alteration,IHA)和动态时间弯曲(Dynamic Time Warping,DTW)算法计算了基准期和黄河流域生态保护和高质量发展重大国家战略实施影响期的水文指标变化情况及两个时期的水文情势相似度。基于全球陆面数据同化系统(Global Land Data Assimilation System,GLDAS)提取冶木河陆地水储量,分析其与径流量的相关关系及变化时间点。研究结果表明:1)冶木河径流量平稳变化点和陆地水储量变化点均为2018年。2)战略实施影响期的径流量大于基准期,径流量平均增大29.79%。3)基准期和战略实施影响期5组水文情势指标的相似度分别为0.025、0.025、0.25、0.1、0,说明冶木河流量极值出现的次数增加,小流量持续情况有所好转。4)战略实施影响期实施的水源涵养措施袭夺了河川基流,减水效果较明显。5)陆地水储量与径流量相关关系较弱。
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.51309107,E090105,41130639 and 51179045)the Public Welfare Program(Grant Nos.201501022 and 201301068)+1 种基金the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Public Welfare Research Institutes(Grant No.HKY-JBYW-2013-19)the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities(Grant Nos.2014B34914 and 2015B28514)
文摘Streamflow in the Kuye River basin has been sharply reduced by the effects of climate change and human activities.Since 1997,the intensification of coal mining has resulted in substantial reductions to streamflow alongside an ever-increasing demand for water.In this study,we present a derived statistical method,incorporating the Mann-Kendall and Pettitt method(MK-P) and the Soil and Water Assessment Tool(SWAT),and apply it to estimating the streamflow reductions caused by underground mining for coal in the Kuye River basin.The results show that underground mining is an important cause of the streamflow reductions observed since1997,being responsible for reductions of 21.15 mm/yr(~56%of the total) during 1997-2009.The results of the SWAT simulation were assessed by several performance criteria:Nash-Suttcliffe Efficiency(Nse),correlation coefficient(R^2),relative error(RE),P-factor and Pv-factor.The close match between the simulations and observed data supports the reasonability of our findings.We suggest that engineering strategies be adopted to limit streamflow loss into goafs via fractured zones in the coalfield.
