In this work,we demonstrated the InSnO(ITO)TFTs passivated with SiO_(2)via the PECVD process compatible with large-area production for the first time.The passivated ITO TFTs with various channel thicknesses(t_(ch)=4,5...In this work,we demonstrated the InSnO(ITO)TFTs passivated with SiO_(2)via the PECVD process compatible with large-area production for the first time.The passivated ITO TFTs with various channel thicknesses(t_(ch)=4,5,6 nm)exhibit excellent electrical performance and superior uniformity.The reliability properties of ITO TFTs were evaluated in detail under positive bias stress(PBS)conditions before and after passivation.Compared to the devices without passivation,the passivated devices have only 50%threshold voltage degradation(ΔV_(th))and 50%newly generated traps due to excellent isolation of the ambient atmosphere.The negligible performance degradation of ITO TFTs with passivation during negative bias stress(NBS)and negative bias temperature stress(NBTS)verifies the outstanding immunity to the water vapor of the SiO_(2)passivation layer.Overall,the ITO TFT with the t_(ch)of 6 nm and with SiO_(2)passivation exhibits the best performance in terms of electrical properties,uniformity,and reliability,which is promising in large-area production.展开更多
This paper investigates the reliability of internal marine combustion engines using an integrated approach that combines Fault Tree Analysis(FTA)and Bayesian Networks(BN).FTA provides a structured,top-down method for ...This paper investigates the reliability of internal marine combustion engines using an integrated approach that combines Fault Tree Analysis(FTA)and Bayesian Networks(BN).FTA provides a structured,top-down method for identifying critical failure modes and their root causes,while BN introduces flexibility in probabilistic reasoning,enabling dynamic updates based on new evidence.This dual methodology overcomes the limitations of static FTA models,offering a comprehensive framework for system reliability analysis.Critical failures,including External Leakage(ELU),Failure to Start(FTS),and Overheating(OHE),were identified as key risks.By incorporating redundancy into high-risk components such as pumps and batteries,the likelihood of these failures was significantly reduced.For instance,redundant pumps reduced the probability of ELU by 31.88%,while additional batteries decreased the occurrence of FTS by 36.45%.The results underscore the practical benefits of combining FTA and BN for enhancing system reliability,particularly in maritime applications where operational safety and efficiency are critical.This research provides valuable insights for maintenance planning and highlights the importance of redundancy in critical systems,especially as the industry transitions toward more autonomous vessels.展开更多
To study the durability of concrete in harsh environments in Northwest China,concrete was prepared with various durability-improving materials such as concrete anti-erosion inhibitor(SBT-TIA),acrylate polymer(AP),supe...To study the durability of concrete in harsh environments in Northwest China,concrete was prepared with various durability-improving materials such as concrete anti-erosion inhibitor(SBT-TIA),acrylate polymer(AP),super absorbent resin(SAP).The erosion mode and internal deterioration mechanism under salt freeze-thaw cycle and dry-wet cycle were explored.The results show that the addition of enhancing materials can effectively improve the resistance of concrete to salt freezing and sulfate erosion:the relevant indexes of concrete added with X-AP and T-AP are improved after salt freeze-thaw cycles;concrete added with SBTTIA shows optimal sulfate corrosion resistance;and concrete added with AP displays the best resistance to salt freezing.Microanalysis shows that the increase in the number of cycles decreases the generation of internal hydration products and defects in concrete mixed with enhancing materials and improves the related indexes.Based on the Wiener model analysis,the reliability of concrete with different lithologies and enhancing materials is improved,which may provide a reference for the application of manufactured sand concrete and enhancing materials in Northwest China,especially for the study of the improvement effects and mechanism of enhancing materials on the performance of concrete.展开更多
Reservoir-induced landslides in China's Three Gorges Reservoir area are prone to tensile cracks due to the influenceof their own weight and fluctuationsin water levels.The presence of cracks indicates that the ten...Reservoir-induced landslides in China's Three Gorges Reservoir area are prone to tensile cracks due to the influenceof their own weight and fluctuationsin water levels.The presence of cracks indicates that the tensile stress in the area has exceeded the tensile strength of the soil,leading to local instability.To explore the impact of tensile failure behavior on the stability and failure modes of reservoir landslides,the Huangtupo Riverside Slump#1 is taken as a case study.By considering local tensile failure,potential tensile cracks are incorporated into the analysis via the limit equilibrium method and reliability theory.The reliability of landslides under different tensile failure scenarios is quantified.Strain-softening characteristics of the soil are combined to further analyze the failure transmission path of the landslide.Finally,these potential failure modes were validated through physical model tests.The results show that cracks developing at rear positions reduce the stability of the slope and increase the probability of instability.During the destruction process,retrogressive failures with multiple sliding surfaces are likely to occur.However,tensile failure at the forefront reduces the likelihood of an individual slide mass descending.Progressive failure results in both regular and skip transmission patterns.Additionally,cracks and water level changes can also lead to shifts in the positions of the most dangerous blocks.Therefore,in practical landslide analysis and prevention,it is necessary to consider local tensile damage and identify potential tensile crack locations in advance to optimize prevention measures and accurately evaluate landslide risk.展开更多
In reliability analyses,the absence of a priori information on the most probable point of failure(MPP)may result in overlooking critical points,thereby leading to biased assessment outcomes.Moreover,second-order relia...In reliability analyses,the absence of a priori information on the most probable point of failure(MPP)may result in overlooking critical points,thereby leading to biased assessment outcomes.Moreover,second-order reliability methods exhibit limited accuracy in highly nonlinear scenarios.To overcome these challenges,a novel reliability analysis strategy based on a multimodal differential evolution algorithm and a hypersphere integration method is proposed.Initially,the penalty function method is employed to reformulate the MPP search problem as a conditionally constrained optimization task.Subsequently,a differential evolution algorithm incorporating a population delineation strategy is utilized to identify all MPPs.Finally,a paraboloid equation is constructed based on the curvature of the limit-state function at the MPPs,and the failure probability of the structure is calculated by using the hypersphere integration method.The localization effectiveness of the MPPs is compared through multiple numerical cases and two engineering examples,with accuracy comparisons of failure probabilities against the first-order reliability method(FORM)and the secondorder reliability method(SORM).The results indicate that the method effectively identifies existing MPPs and achieves higher solution precision.展开更多
Autonomous Underwater Vehicles(AUVs)are pivotal for deep-sea exploration and resource exploitation,yet their reliability in extreme underwater environments remains a critical barrier to widespread deployment.Through s...Autonomous Underwater Vehicles(AUVs)are pivotal for deep-sea exploration and resource exploitation,yet their reliability in extreme underwater environments remains a critical barrier to widespread deployment.Through systematic analysis of 150 peer-reviewed studies employing mixed-methods research,this review yields three principal advancements to the reliability analysis of AUVs.First,based on the hierarchical functional division of AUVs into six subsystems(propulsion system,navigation system,communication system,power system,environmental detection system,and emergency system),this study systematically identifies the primary failure modes and potential failure causes of each subsystem,providing theoretical support for fault diagnosis and reliability optimization.Subsequently,a comprehensive review of AUV reliability analysis methods is conducted from three perspectives:analytical methods,simulated methods,and surrogate model methods.The applicability and limitations of each method are critically analyzed to offer insights into their suitability for engineering applications.Finally,the study highlights key challenges and research hotpots in AUV reliability analysis,including reliability analysis under limited data,AI-driven reliability analysis,and human reliability analysis.Furthermore,the potential of multi-sensor data fusion,edge computing,and advanced materials in enhancing AUV environmental adaptability and reliability is explored.展开更多
Reliability-based design optimization （RBDO） is intrinsically a double-loop procedure since it involves an overall optimization and an iterative reliability assessment at each search point. Due to the double-loop pr...Reliability-based design optimization （RBDO） is intrinsically a double-loop procedure since it involves an overall optimization and an iterative reliability assessment at each search point. Due to the double-loop procedure, the computational expense of RBDO is normally very high. Current RBDO research focuses on problems with explicitly expressed performance functions and readily available gradients. This paper addresses a more challenging type of RBDO problem in which the performance functions are computation intensive. These computation intensive functions are often considered as a ＂black-box＂ and their gradients are not available or not reliable. On the basis of the reliable design space （RDS） concept proposed earlier by the authors, this paper proposes a Reliable Space Pursuing （RSP） approach, in which RDS is first identified and then gradually refined while optimization is performed. It fundamentally avoids the nested optimization and probabilistic assessment loop. Three well known RBDO problems from the literature are used for testing and demonstrating the effectiveness of the proposed RSP method.展开更多
Bonding quality at the interface of solid propellant grains is crucial for the reliability and safety of solid rocket motors.Although bonding reliability is influenced by numerous factors,the lack of quantitative char...Bonding quality at the interface of solid propellant grains is crucial for the reliability and safety of solid rocket motors.Although bonding reliability is influenced by numerous factors,the lack of quantitative characterization of interface debonding mechanisms and the challenge of identifying key factors have made precise control of process variables difficult,resulting in unpredictable failure risks.This paper presents an improved fuzzy failure probability evaluation method that combines fuzzy fault tree analysis with expert knowledge,transforming process data into fuzzy failure probability to accurately assess debonding probabilities.The predictive model is constructed through a general regression neural network and optimized using the particle swarm optimization algorithm.Sensitivity analysis is conducted to identify key decision variables,including normal force,grain rotation speed,and adhesive weight,which are verified experimentally.Compared with classical models,the maximum error margin of the constructed reliability prediction model is only 0.02%,and it has high stability.The experimental results indicate that the main factors affecting debonding are processing roughness and coating uniformity.Controlling the key decision variable as the median resulted in a maximum increase of 200.7%in bonding strength.The feasibility of the improved method has been verified,confirming that identifying key decision variables has the ability to improve bonding reliability.The proposed method simplifies the evaluation of propellant interface bonding reliability under complex conditions by quantifying the relationship between process parameters and failure risk,enabling targeted management of key decision variables.展开更多
Amorphous microwires(AMWs)are well known for their high strength and elastic limit,making them excellent candidates for various engineering applications.However,one of the key challenges in utilizing AMWs is their inh...Amorphous microwires(AMWs)are well known for their high strength and elastic limit,making them excellent candidates for various engineering applications.However,one of the key challenges in utilizing AMWs is their inherent variability in mechanical performance,particularly in achieving stable fracture strength across different compositions.This study provides critical insights into the relationship between microstructure and mechanical behavior by investigating CuZr-based AMWs with varying compositions during quasi-static tensile fracture.Specifically,uniaxial tensile tests on Cu_(48)Zr_(48)Al_(4),Cu_(45)Zr_(45)Co_(10),and Cu_(48)Zr_(47.2)Al_(4)Nb_(0.8) AMWs,combined with log-normal and Weibull statistical analysis,revealed that Cu_(48)Zr_(47.2)Al4Nb_(0.8) exhibits the highest fracture reliability(mTr=3.97)and fracture threshold(σμTr=1307 MPa),while Cu_(48)Zr_(48)Al_(4) showed the lowest performance(m_(Tr)=3.08,σ_(μTr)=1085 MPa).Moreover,a standard power-law relationship exists between the characteristic size L of the fracture surface and the degree of order O was established,linking atomic mixing enthalpy and atomic radius to structural homogeneity and fracture behavior.This study provides an important perspective for optimizing AMW compositions to achieve higher fracture strength and improve the reliability for engineering applications.展开更多
In the data transaction process within a data asset trading platform,quantifying the trustworthiness of data source nodes is challenging due to their numerous attributes and complex structures.To address this issue,a ...In the data transaction process within a data asset trading platform,quantifying the trustworthiness of data source nodes is challenging due to their numerous attributes and complex structures.To address this issue,a distributed data source trust assessment management framework,a trust quantification model,and a dynamic adjustment mechanism are proposed.Themodel integrates the Analytic Hierarchy Process(AHP)and Dempster-Shafer(D-S)evidence theory to determine attribute weights and calculate direct trust values,while the PageRank algorithm is employed to derive indirect trust values.Thedirect and indirect trust values are then combined to compute the comprehensive trust value of the data source.Furthermore,a dynamic adjustment mechanism is introduced to continuously update the comprehensive trust value based on historical assessment data.By leveraging the collaborative efforts of multiple nodes in the distributed network,the proposed framework enables a comprehensive,dynamic,and objective evaluation of data source trustworthiness.Extensive experimental analyses demonstrate that the trust quantification model effectively handles large-scale data source trust assessments,exhibiting both strong trust differentiation capability and high robustness.展开更多
The novel structural reliability methodology presented in this study is especially well suited for multidimensional structural dynamics that are physically measured or numerically simulated over a representative timel...The novel structural reliability methodology presented in this study is especially well suited for multidimensional structural dynamics that are physically measured or numerically simulated over a representative timelapse.The Gaidai multivariate reliability method is applied to an operational offshore Jacket platform that operates in Bohai Bay.This study demonstrates the feasibility of this method to accurately estimate collapse risks in dynamic systems under in situ environmental stressors.Modern reliability approaches do not cope easily with the high dimensionality of real engineering dynamic systems,as well as nonlinear intercorrelations between various structural components.The Jacket offshore platform is chosen as the case study for this reliability analysis because of the presence of various hotspot stresses that synchronously arise in its structural parts.The authors provide a straightforward,precise method for estimating overall risks of operational failure,damage,or hazard for nonlinear multidimensional dynamic systems.The latter tool is important for offshore engineers during the design stage.展开更多
Nodal pricing is a critical mechanism in electricity markets,utilized to determine the cost of power transmission to various nodes within a distribution network.As power systems evolve to incorporate higher levels of ...Nodal pricing is a critical mechanism in electricity markets,utilized to determine the cost of power transmission to various nodes within a distribution network.As power systems evolve to incorporate higher levels of renewable energy and face increasing demand fluctuations,traditional nodal pricing models often fall short to meet these new challenges.This research introduces a novel enhanced nodal pricing mechanism for distribution networks,integrating advanced optimization techniques and hybrid models to overcome these limitations.The primary objective is to develop a model that not only improves pricing accuracy but also enhances operational efficiency and system reliability.This study leverages cutting-edge hybrid algorithms,combining elements of machine learning with conventional optimization methods,to achieve superior performance.Key findings demonstrate that the proposed hybrid nodal pricing model significantly reduces pricing errors and operational costs compared to conventional methods.Through extensive simulations and comparative analysis,the model exhibits enhanced performance under varying load conditions and increased levels of renewable energy integration.The results indicate a substantial improvement in pricing precision and network stability.This study contributes to the ongoing discourse on optimizing electricity market mechanisms and provides actionable insights for policymakers and utility operators.By addressing the complexities of modern power distribution systems,our research offers a robust solution that enhances the efficiency and reliability of power distribution networks,marking a significant advancement in the field.展开更多
The network reliability is difficult to be evaluated because of the complex relationship among the network components.It can be quite different for different users running different applications on the same network.Th...The network reliability is difficult to be evaluated because of the complex relationship among the network components.It can be quite different for different users running different applications on the same network.This paper proposes a new concept and a model of application reliability.Different from the existing models that ignores the effects of applications,the proposed application reliability model considers the effects of different applications on the network performance and different types of network faults and makes the analysis of network components relationship possible.This paper also provides a method to evaluate the application reliability when the data flow satisfies Markov properties.Finally,a case study is presented to illustrate the proposed network reliability model and the analysis method.展开更多
In the structural reliability analysis,the first-order reliability method(FORM)often yields significant errors when addressing nonlinear problems.Although the second-order reliability method(SORM)can provide higher ac...In the structural reliability analysis,the first-order reliability method(FORM)often yields significant errors when addressing nonlinear problems.Although the second-order reliability method(SORM)can provide higher accuracy,the additional computation of the Hessian matrix leads to lower computational efficiency.Additionally,when the dimensionality of the random variables is high,the approximation formula of SORM can result in larger errors.To address these issues,a structural reliability analysis method based on Kriging and spherical cap area integral is proposed.Firstly,this method integrates FORM with the quasi-Newton algorithm Broyden-Fletcher-Goldfarb-Shanno(BFGS),trains the Kriging model by using sample points from the algorithm’s iteration process,and combines the Kriging model with gradient information to approximate the Hessian matrix.Then,the failure surface is approximated as a rotating paraboloid,utilizing the spherical cap to replace the complex surface.For the n-dimensional case,the hyperspherical cap area expression is combined with the integral method to calculate the failure probability.Finally,the method is validated through three examples,demonstrating improved computational accuracy and efficiency compared to traditional methods.展开更多
Thermal Protection System(TPS)with thick tiles,low thermal conductivity,and a short re-entry stage stands as a critical element within reusable aircraft,whose reliability is related to the function and changes with th...Thermal Protection System(TPS)with thick tiles,low thermal conductivity,and a short re-entry stage stands as a critical element within reusable aircraft,whose reliability is related to the function and changes with their physical properties,external conditions,and degradation.Meanwhile,due to the limitation of testing resources,epistemic uncertainties stemming from the small samples are present in TPS reliability modeling.However,current TPS reliability modeling methods face challenges in characterizing the relationships among reliability and physical properties,external conditions,degradation,and epistemic uncertainties.Therefore,under the framework of belief reliability theory,a TPS reliability model is constructed,which takes into account the physical principle,external conditions,performance degradation,and epistemic uncertainties.A reliability simulation algorithm is proposed to calculate TPS reliability.Through a case study and comparison analysis,the proposed method is validated as more effective than the existing method.Additionally,reliability sensitivity analysis is conducted to identify the sensitive factors of reliability under the condition of small samples,through which suggestions are provided for TPS functional design and improvement.展开更多
The rapid expansion of offshore wind energy necessitates robust and cost-effective electrical collector system(ECS)designs that prioritize lifetime operational reliability.Traditional optimization approaches often sim...The rapid expansion of offshore wind energy necessitates robust and cost-effective electrical collector system(ECS)designs that prioritize lifetime operational reliability.Traditional optimization approaches often simplify reliability considerations or fail to holistically integrate them with economic and technical constraints.This paper introduces a novel,two-stage optimization framework for offshore wind farm(OWF)ECS planning that systematically incorporates reliability.The first stage employs Mixed-Integer Linear Programming(MILP)to determine an optimal radial network topology,considering linearized reliability approximations and geographical constraints.The second stage enhances this design by strategically placing tie-lines using a Mixed-Integer Quadratically Constrained Program(MIQCP).This stage leverages a dynamic-aware adaptation of Multi-Source Multi-Terminal Network Reliability(MSMT-NR)assessment,with its inherent nonlinear equations successfully transformed into a solvable MIQCP form for loopy networks.A benchmark case study demonstrates the framework’s efficacy,illustrating how increasing the emphasis on reliability leads to more distributed and interconnected network topologies,effectively balancing investment costs against enhanced system resilience.展开更多
Fatigue analysis of engine turbine blade is an essential issue.Due to various uncertainties during the manufacture and operation,the fatigue damage and life of turbine blade present randomness.In this study,the random...Fatigue analysis of engine turbine blade is an essential issue.Due to various uncertainties during the manufacture and operation,the fatigue damage and life of turbine blade present randomness.In this study,the randomness of structural parameters,working condition and vibration environment are considered for fatigue life predication and reliability assessment.First,the lowcycle fatigue problem is modelled as stochastic static system with random parameters,while the high-cycle fatigue problem is considered as stochastic dynamic system under random excitations.Then,to deal with the two failure modes,the novel Direct Probability Integral Method(DPIM)is proposed,which is efficient and accurate for solving stochastic static and dynamic systems.The probability density functions of accumulated damage and fatigue life of turbine blade for low-cycle and high-cycle fatigue problems are achieved,respectively.Furthermore,the time–frequency hybrid method is advanced to enhance the computational efficiency for governing equation of system.Finally,the results of typical examples demonstrate high accuracy and efficiency of the proposed method by comparison with Monte Carlo simulation and other methods.It is indicated that the DPIM is a unified method for predication of random fatigue life for low-cycle and highcycle fatigue problems.The rotational speed,density,fatigue strength coefficient,and fatigue plasticity index have a high sensitivity to fatigue reliability of engine turbine blade.展开更多
Thetraditional first-order reliability method(FORM)often encounters challengeswith non-convergence of results or excessive calculation when analyzing complex engineering problems.To improve the global convergence spee...Thetraditional first-order reliability method(FORM)often encounters challengeswith non-convergence of results or excessive calculation when analyzing complex engineering problems.To improve the global convergence speed of structural reliability analysis,an improved coati optimization algorithm(COA)is proposed in this paper.In this study,the social learning strategy is used to improve the coati optimization algorithm(SL-COA),which improves the convergence speed and robustness of the newheuristic optimization algorithm.Then,the SL-COAis comparedwith the latest heuristic optimization algorithms such as the original COA,whale optimization algorithm(WOA),and osprey optimization algorithm(OOA)in the CEC2005 and CEC2017 test function sets and two engineering optimization design examples.The optimization results show that the proposed SL-COA algorithm has a high competitiveness.Secondly,this study introduces the SL-COA algorithm into the MPP(Most Probable Point)search process based on FORM and constructs a new reliability analysis method.Finally,the proposed reliability analysis method is verified by four mathematical examples and two engineering examples.The results show that the proposed SL-COA-assisted FORM exhibits fast convergence and avoids premature convergence to local optima as demonstrated by its successful application to problems such as composite cylinder design and support bracket analysis.展开更多
Long-term responses of floating structures pose a great concern in their design phase. Existing approaches for addressing long-term extreme responses are extremely cumbersome for adoption. This work aims to develop an...Long-term responses of floating structures pose a great concern in their design phase. Existing approaches for addressing long-term extreme responses are extremely cumbersome for adoption. This work aims to develop an approach for the long-term extreme-response analysis of floating structures. A modified gradient-based retrieval algorithm in conjunction with the inverse first-order reliability method(IFORM) is proposed to enable the use of convolution models in long-term extreme analysis of structures with an analytical formula of response amplitude operator(RAO). The proposed algorithm ensures convergence stability and iteration accuracy and exhibits a higher computational efficiency than the traditional backtracking method. However, when the RAO of general offshore structures cannot be analytically expressed, the convolutional integration method fails to function properly. A numerical discretization approach is further proposed for offshore structures in the case when the analytical expression of the RAO is not feasible. Through iterative discretization of environmental contours(ECs) and RAOs, a detailed procedure is proposed to calculate the long-term response extremes of offshore structures. The validity and accuracy of the proposed approach are tested using a floating offshore wind turbine as a numerical example. The long-term extreme heave responses of various return periods are calculated via the IFORM in conjunction with a numerical discretization approach. The environmental data corresponding to N-year structural responses are located inside the ECs, which indicates that the selection of design points directly along the ECs yields conservative design results.展开更多
The fatigue of heavy-haul railway bridges is considered a key concern due to high stress levels and cyclic loading.The evaluation of fatigue reliability is required to include factor correlations.A major challenge is ...The fatigue of heavy-haul railway bridges is considered a key concern due to high stress levels and cyclic loading.The evaluation of fatigue reliability is required to include factor correlations.A major challenge is presented by the construction of the cumulative distribution function(CDF)and the description of correlations between random variables.In this study,the copula function is used to analyze the fatigue failure probability of the Shuohuang heavy-haul railway bridge.A C-vine copula(CVC)-based joint probability density function(JPDF)is derived with eight correlated parameters.To enhance efficiency in small failure probability calculations,the subset simulation and most probable point(MPP)Monte Carlo importance sampling are introduced based on the Rosenblatt transform and C-vine model.Comparisons with traditional Monte Carlo methods confirm that high accuracy and efficiency are achieved.The results show that when parameter correlations are ignored,failure probability is underestimated,increasing safety risks in bridge assessments.展开更多
基金supported in part by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(62404110,62274033)Natural Science Foundation of Jiangsu Province(BK20221453)+1 种基金Fundamental Research Funds for the Central UniversitiesNatural Science Research Start-up Foundation of Recruiting Talents of Nanjing University of Posts and Telecommunications(NY223159)。
文摘In this work,we demonstrated the InSnO(ITO)TFTs passivated with SiO_(2)via the PECVD process compatible with large-area production for the first time.The passivated ITO TFTs with various channel thicknesses(t_(ch)=4,5,6 nm)exhibit excellent electrical performance and superior uniformity.The reliability properties of ITO TFTs were evaluated in detail under positive bias stress(PBS)conditions before and after passivation.Compared to the devices without passivation,the passivated devices have only 50%threshold voltage degradation(ΔV_(th))and 50%newly generated traps due to excellent isolation of the ambient atmosphere.The negligible performance degradation of ITO TFTs with passivation during negative bias stress(NBS)and negative bias temperature stress(NBTS)verifies the outstanding immunity to the water vapor of the SiO_(2)passivation layer.Overall,the ITO TFT with the t_(ch)of 6 nm and with SiO_(2)passivation exhibits the best performance in terms of electrical properties,uniformity,and reliability,which is promising in large-area production.
基金supported by Istanbul Technical University(Project No.45698)supported through the“Young Researchers’Career Development Project-training of doctoral students”of the Croatian Science Foundation.
文摘This paper investigates the reliability of internal marine combustion engines using an integrated approach that combines Fault Tree Analysis(FTA)and Bayesian Networks(BN).FTA provides a structured,top-down method for identifying critical failure modes and their root causes,while BN introduces flexibility in probabilistic reasoning,enabling dynamic updates based on new evidence.This dual methodology overcomes the limitations of static FTA models,offering a comprehensive framework for system reliability analysis.Critical failures,including External Leakage(ELU),Failure to Start(FTS),and Overheating(OHE),were identified as key risks.By incorporating redundancy into high-risk components such as pumps and batteries,the likelihood of these failures was significantly reduced.For instance,redundant pumps reduced the probability of ELU by 31.88%,while additional batteries decreased the occurrence of FTS by 36.45%.The results underscore the practical benefits of combining FTA and BN for enhancing system reliability,particularly in maritime applications where operational safety and efficiency are critical.This research provides valuable insights for maintenance planning and highlights the importance of redundancy in critical systems,especially as the industry transitions toward more autonomous vessels.
基金Funded by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.52178216)the Research on the Durability and Application of High-performance Concrete for Highway Engineering in the Cold and Arid Salt Areas of Northwest China(No.2022-24)the Construction Project of the Scientific Research Platform of Provincial Enterprises Supported by the Capital Operating Budget of Gansu Province(No.2023GZ018)。
文摘To study the durability of concrete in harsh environments in Northwest China,concrete was prepared with various durability-improving materials such as concrete anti-erosion inhibitor(SBT-TIA),acrylate polymer(AP),super absorbent resin(SAP).The erosion mode and internal deterioration mechanism under salt freeze-thaw cycle and dry-wet cycle were explored.The results show that the addition of enhancing materials can effectively improve the resistance of concrete to salt freezing and sulfate erosion:the relevant indexes of concrete added with X-AP and T-AP are improved after salt freeze-thaw cycles;concrete added with SBTTIA shows optimal sulfate corrosion resistance;and concrete added with AP displays the best resistance to salt freezing.Microanalysis shows that the increase in the number of cycles decreases the generation of internal hydration products and defects in concrete mixed with enhancing materials and improves the related indexes.Based on the Wiener model analysis,the reliability of concrete with different lithologies and enhancing materials is improved,which may provide a reference for the application of manufactured sand concrete and enhancing materials in Northwest China,especially for the study of the improvement effects and mechanism of enhancing materials on the performance of concrete.
基金supported by the Major Program of National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.42090055)the National Key ScientificInstruments and Equipment Development Projects of China(Grant No.41827808)the National Nature Science Foundation of China(Grant No.42207216).
文摘Reservoir-induced landslides in China's Three Gorges Reservoir area are prone to tensile cracks due to the influenceof their own weight and fluctuationsin water levels.The presence of cracks indicates that the tensile stress in the area has exceeded the tensile strength of the soil,leading to local instability.To explore the impact of tensile failure behavior on the stability and failure modes of reservoir landslides,the Huangtupo Riverside Slump#1 is taken as a case study.By considering local tensile failure,potential tensile cracks are incorporated into the analysis via the limit equilibrium method and reliability theory.The reliability of landslides under different tensile failure scenarios is quantified.Strain-softening characteristics of the soil are combined to further analyze the failure transmission path of the landslide.Finally,these potential failure modes were validated through physical model tests.The results show that cracks developing at rear positions reduce the stability of the slope and increase the probability of instability.During the destruction process,retrogressive failures with multiple sliding surfaces are likely to occur.However,tensile failure at the forefront reduces the likelihood of an individual slide mass descending.Progressive failure results in both regular and skip transmission patterns.Additionally,cracks and water level changes can also lead to shifts in the positions of the most dangerous blocks.Therefore,in practical landslide analysis and prevention,it is necessary to consider local tensile damage and identify potential tensile crack locations in advance to optimize prevention measures and accurately evaluate landslide risk.
基金National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.52375236)Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities of China(No.23D110316)。
文摘In reliability analyses,the absence of a priori information on the most probable point of failure(MPP)may result in overlooking critical points,thereby leading to biased assessment outcomes.Moreover,second-order reliability methods exhibit limited accuracy in highly nonlinear scenarios.To overcome these challenges,a novel reliability analysis strategy based on a multimodal differential evolution algorithm and a hypersphere integration method is proposed.Initially,the penalty function method is employed to reformulate the MPP search problem as a conditionally constrained optimization task.Subsequently,a differential evolution algorithm incorporating a population delineation strategy is utilized to identify all MPPs.Finally,a paraboloid equation is constructed based on the curvature of the limit-state function at the MPPs,and the failure probability of the structure is calculated by using the hypersphere integration method.The localization effectiveness of the MPPs is compared through multiple numerical cases and two engineering examples,with accuracy comparisons of failure probabilities against the first-order reliability method(FORM)and the secondorder reliability method(SORM).The results indicate that the method effectively identifies existing MPPs and achieves higher solution precision.
基金The National Key R&D Program Projects(Grant No.2022YFC2803601)the Natural Science Foundation of Shandong Province(Grant No.ZR2021YQ29)+1 种基金the Natural Science Foundation of Heilongjiang Province(Grant No.YQ2024E036)the Taishan Scholars Project(Grant No.tsqn202312317).
文摘Autonomous Underwater Vehicles(AUVs)are pivotal for deep-sea exploration and resource exploitation,yet their reliability in extreme underwater environments remains a critical barrier to widespread deployment.Through systematic analysis of 150 peer-reviewed studies employing mixed-methods research,this review yields three principal advancements to the reliability analysis of AUVs.First,based on the hierarchical functional division of AUVs into six subsystems(propulsion system,navigation system,communication system,power system,environmental detection system,and emergency system),this study systematically identifies the primary failure modes and potential failure causes of each subsystem,providing theoretical support for fault diagnosis and reliability optimization.Subsequently,a comprehensive review of AUV reliability analysis methods is conducted from three perspectives:analytical methods,simulated methods,and surrogate model methods.The applicability and limitations of each method are critically analyzed to offer insights into their suitability for engineering applications.Finally,the study highlights key challenges and research hotpots in AUV reliability analysis,including reliability analysis under limited data,AI-driven reliability analysis,and human reliability analysis.Furthermore,the potential of multi-sensor data fusion,edge computing,and advanced materials in enhancing AUV environmental adaptability and reliability is explored.
基金supported by Natural Science and Engineering Research Council (NSERC) of Canada
文摘Reliability-based design optimization （RBDO） is intrinsically a double-loop procedure since it involves an overall optimization and an iterative reliability assessment at each search point. Due to the double-loop procedure, the computational expense of RBDO is normally very high. Current RBDO research focuses on problems with explicitly expressed performance functions and readily available gradients. This paper addresses a more challenging type of RBDO problem in which the performance functions are computation intensive. These computation intensive functions are often considered as a ＂black-box＂ and their gradients are not available or not reliable. On the basis of the reliable design space （RDS） concept proposed earlier by the authors, this paper proposes a Reliable Space Pursuing （RSP） approach, in which RDS is first identified and then gradually refined while optimization is performed. It fundamentally avoids the nested optimization and probabilistic assessment loop. Three well known RBDO problems from the literature are used for testing and demonstrating the effectiveness of the proposed RSP method.
基金supported in part by the Equipment Development Pre-research Project funded by Equipment Development Department,PRC under Grant No.50923010501Fundamental Research Program of Shenyang Institute of Automation(SIA),Chinese Academy of Sciencess under Grant No.355060201。
文摘Bonding quality at the interface of solid propellant grains is crucial for the reliability and safety of solid rocket motors.Although bonding reliability is influenced by numerous factors,the lack of quantitative characterization of interface debonding mechanisms and the challenge of identifying key factors have made precise control of process variables difficult,resulting in unpredictable failure risks.This paper presents an improved fuzzy failure probability evaluation method that combines fuzzy fault tree analysis with expert knowledge,transforming process data into fuzzy failure probability to accurately assess debonding probabilities.The predictive model is constructed through a general regression neural network and optimized using the particle swarm optimization algorithm.Sensitivity analysis is conducted to identify key decision variables,including normal force,grain rotation speed,and adhesive weight,which are verified experimentally.Compared with classical models,the maximum error margin of the constructed reliability prediction model is only 0.02%,and it has high stability.The experimental results indicate that the main factors affecting debonding are processing roughness and coating uniformity.Controlling the key decision variable as the median resulted in a maximum increase of 200.7%in bonding strength.The feasibility of the improved method has been verified,confirming that identifying key decision variables has the ability to improve bonding reliability.The proposed method simplifies the evaluation of propellant interface bonding reliability under complex conditions by quantifying the relationship between process parameters and failure risk,enabling targeted management of key decision variables.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Nos.52071118,52371025,and 52171154)。
文摘Amorphous microwires(AMWs)are well known for their high strength and elastic limit,making them excellent candidates for various engineering applications.However,one of the key challenges in utilizing AMWs is their inherent variability in mechanical performance,particularly in achieving stable fracture strength across different compositions.This study provides critical insights into the relationship between microstructure and mechanical behavior by investigating CuZr-based AMWs with varying compositions during quasi-static tensile fracture.Specifically,uniaxial tensile tests on Cu_(48)Zr_(48)Al_(4),Cu_(45)Zr_(45)Co_(10),and Cu_(48)Zr_(47.2)Al_(4)Nb_(0.8) AMWs,combined with log-normal and Weibull statistical analysis,revealed that Cu_(48)Zr_(47.2)Al4Nb_(0.8) exhibits the highest fracture reliability(mTr=3.97)and fracture threshold(σμTr=1307 MPa),while Cu_(48)Zr_(48)Al_(4) showed the lowest performance(m_(Tr)=3.08,σ_(μTr)=1085 MPa).Moreover,a standard power-law relationship exists between the characteristic size L of the fracture surface and the degree of order O was established,linking atomic mixing enthalpy and atomic radius to structural homogeneity and fracture behavior.This study provides an important perspective for optimizing AMW compositions to achieve higher fracture strength and improve the reliability for engineering applications.
基金funded by Haikou Science and Technology Plan Project(2022-007),in part by key Laboratory of PK System Technologies Research of Hainan,China.
文摘In the data transaction process within a data asset trading platform,quantifying the trustworthiness of data source nodes is challenging due to their numerous attributes and complex structures.To address this issue,a distributed data source trust assessment management framework,a trust quantification model,and a dynamic adjustment mechanism are proposed.Themodel integrates the Analytic Hierarchy Process(AHP)and Dempster-Shafer(D-S)evidence theory to determine attribute weights and calculate direct trust values,while the PageRank algorithm is employed to derive indirect trust values.Thedirect and indirect trust values are then combined to compute the comprehensive trust value of the data source.Furthermore,a dynamic adjustment mechanism is introduced to continuously update the comprehensive trust value based on historical assessment data.By leveraging the collaborative efforts of multiple nodes in the distributed network,the proposed framework enables a comprehensive,dynamic,and objective evaluation of data source trustworthiness.Extensive experimental analyses demonstrate that the trust quantification model effectively handles large-scale data source trust assessments,exhibiting both strong trust differentiation capability and high robustness.
文摘The novel structural reliability methodology presented in this study is especially well suited for multidimensional structural dynamics that are physically measured or numerically simulated over a representative timelapse.The Gaidai multivariate reliability method is applied to an operational offshore Jacket platform that operates in Bohai Bay.This study demonstrates the feasibility of this method to accurately estimate collapse risks in dynamic systems under in situ environmental stressors.Modern reliability approaches do not cope easily with the high dimensionality of real engineering dynamic systems,as well as nonlinear intercorrelations between various structural components.The Jacket offshore platform is chosen as the case study for this reliability analysis because of the presence of various hotspot stresses that synchronously arise in its structural parts.The authors provide a straightforward,precise method for estimating overall risks of operational failure,damage,or hazard for nonlinear multidimensional dynamic systems.The latter tool is important for offshore engineers during the design stage.
文摘Nodal pricing is a critical mechanism in electricity markets,utilized to determine the cost of power transmission to various nodes within a distribution network.As power systems evolve to incorporate higher levels of renewable energy and face increasing demand fluctuations,traditional nodal pricing models often fall short to meet these new challenges.This research introduces a novel enhanced nodal pricing mechanism for distribution networks,integrating advanced optimization techniques and hybrid models to overcome these limitations.The primary objective is to develop a model that not only improves pricing accuracy but also enhances operational efficiency and system reliability.This study leverages cutting-edge hybrid algorithms,combining elements of machine learning with conventional optimization methods,to achieve superior performance.Key findings demonstrate that the proposed hybrid nodal pricing model significantly reduces pricing errors and operational costs compared to conventional methods.Through extensive simulations and comparative analysis,the model exhibits enhanced performance under varying load conditions and increased levels of renewable energy integration.The results indicate a substantial improvement in pricing precision and network stability.This study contributes to the ongoing discourse on optimizing electricity market mechanisms and provides actionable insights for policymakers and utility operators.By addressing the complexities of modern power distribution systems,our research offers a robust solution that enhances the efficiency and reliability of power distribution networks,marking a significant advancement in the field.
基金supported by the Beijing Natural Science Foundation(4113074)
文摘The network reliability is difficult to be evaluated because of the complex relationship among the network components.It can be quite different for different users running different applications on the same network.This paper proposes a new concept and a model of application reliability.Different from the existing models that ignores the effects of applications,the proposed application reliability model considers the effects of different applications on the network performance and different types of network faults and makes the analysis of network components relationship possible.This paper also provides a method to evaluate the application reliability when the data flow satisfies Markov properties.Finally,a case study is presented to illustrate the proposed network reliability model and the analysis method.
基金National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.52375236)Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities,China(No.23D110316)。
文摘In the structural reliability analysis,the first-order reliability method(FORM)often yields significant errors when addressing nonlinear problems.Although the second-order reliability method(SORM)can provide higher accuracy,the additional computation of the Hessian matrix leads to lower computational efficiency.Additionally,when the dimensionality of the random variables is high,the approximation formula of SORM can result in larger errors.To address these issues,a structural reliability analysis method based on Kriging and spherical cap area integral is proposed.Firstly,this method integrates FORM with the quasi-Newton algorithm Broyden-Fletcher-Goldfarb-Shanno(BFGS),trains the Kriging model by using sample points from the algorithm’s iteration process,and combines the Kriging model with gradient information to approximate the Hessian matrix.Then,the failure surface is approximated as a rotating paraboloid,utilizing the spherical cap to replace the complex surface.For the n-dimensional case,the hyperspherical cap area expression is combined with the integral method to calculate the failure probability.Finally,the method is validated through three examples,demonstrating improved computational accuracy and efficiency compared to traditional methods.
基金supported by the steady supports scientific research of Key Laboratory of Defense Science and Technology,China(No.WDZC20220105)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Nos.51775020,62073009,U20B2002)the Science Challenge Project,China(No.TZ2018007)。
文摘Thermal Protection System(TPS)with thick tiles,low thermal conductivity,and a short re-entry stage stands as a critical element within reusable aircraft,whose reliability is related to the function and changes with their physical properties,external conditions,and degradation.Meanwhile,due to the limitation of testing resources,epistemic uncertainties stemming from the small samples are present in TPS reliability modeling.However,current TPS reliability modeling methods face challenges in characterizing the relationships among reliability and physical properties,external conditions,degradation,and epistemic uncertainties.Therefore,under the framework of belief reliability theory,a TPS reliability model is constructed,which takes into account the physical principle,external conditions,performance degradation,and epistemic uncertainties.A reliability simulation algorithm is proposed to calculate TPS reliability.Through a case study and comparison analysis,the proposed method is validated as more effective than the existing method.Additionally,reliability sensitivity analysis is conducted to identify the sensitive factors of reliability under the condition of small samples,through which suggestions are provided for TPS functional design and improvement.
基金supported by the Science and Technology Project of China South Power Grid Co.,Ltd.,Grant Nos.036000KK52222044,GDKJXM20222430。
文摘The rapid expansion of offshore wind energy necessitates robust and cost-effective electrical collector system(ECS)designs that prioritize lifetime operational reliability.Traditional optimization approaches often simplify reliability considerations or fail to holistically integrate them with economic and technical constraints.This paper introduces a novel,two-stage optimization framework for offshore wind farm(OWF)ECS planning that systematically incorporates reliability.The first stage employs Mixed-Integer Linear Programming(MILP)to determine an optimal radial network topology,considering linearized reliability approximations and geographical constraints.The second stage enhances this design by strategically placing tie-lines using a Mixed-Integer Quadratically Constrained Program(MIQCP).This stage leverages a dynamic-aware adaptation of Multi-Source Multi-Terminal Network Reliability(MSMT-NR)assessment,with its inherent nonlinear equations successfully transformed into a solvable MIQCP form for loopy networks.A benchmark case study demonstrates the framework’s efficacy,illustrating how increasing the emphasis on reliability leads to more distributed and interconnected network topologies,effectively balancing investment costs against enhanced system resilience.
基金supports of the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Nos.12032008,12102080)the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities,China(No.DUT23RC(3)038)are much appreciated。
文摘Fatigue analysis of engine turbine blade is an essential issue.Due to various uncertainties during the manufacture and operation,the fatigue damage and life of turbine blade present randomness.In this study,the randomness of structural parameters,working condition and vibration environment are considered for fatigue life predication and reliability assessment.First,the lowcycle fatigue problem is modelled as stochastic static system with random parameters,while the high-cycle fatigue problem is considered as stochastic dynamic system under random excitations.Then,to deal with the two failure modes,the novel Direct Probability Integral Method(DPIM)is proposed,which is efficient and accurate for solving stochastic static and dynamic systems.The probability density functions of accumulated damage and fatigue life of turbine blade for low-cycle and high-cycle fatigue problems are achieved,respectively.Furthermore,the time–frequency hybrid method is advanced to enhance the computational efficiency for governing equation of system.Finally,the results of typical examples demonstrate high accuracy and efficiency of the proposed method by comparison with Monte Carlo simulation and other methods.It is indicated that the DPIM is a unified method for predication of random fatigue life for low-cycle and highcycle fatigue problems.The rotational speed,density,fatigue strength coefficient,and fatigue plasticity index have a high sensitivity to fatigue reliability of engine turbine blade.
基金funded by the National Key Research and Development Program(Grant No.2022YFB3706904).
文摘Thetraditional first-order reliability method(FORM)often encounters challengeswith non-convergence of results or excessive calculation when analyzing complex engineering problems.To improve the global convergence speed of structural reliability analysis,an improved coati optimization algorithm(COA)is proposed in this paper.In this study,the social learning strategy is used to improve the coati optimization algorithm(SL-COA),which improves the convergence speed and robustness of the newheuristic optimization algorithm.Then,the SL-COAis comparedwith the latest heuristic optimization algorithms such as the original COA,whale optimization algorithm(WOA),and osprey optimization algorithm(OOA)in the CEC2005 and CEC2017 test function sets and two engineering optimization design examples.The optimization results show that the proposed SL-COA algorithm has a high competitiveness.Secondly,this study introduces the SL-COA algorithm into the MPP(Most Probable Point)search process based on FORM and constructs a new reliability analysis method.Finally,the proposed reliability analysis method is verified by four mathematical examples and two engineering examples.The results show that the proposed SL-COA-assisted FORM exhibits fast convergence and avoids premature convergence to local optima as demonstrated by its successful application to problems such as composite cylinder design and support bracket analysis.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos.52088102 and 51879287)National Key Research and Development Program of China (Grant No.2022YFB2602301)。
文摘Long-term responses of floating structures pose a great concern in their design phase. Existing approaches for addressing long-term extreme responses are extremely cumbersome for adoption. This work aims to develop an approach for the long-term extreme-response analysis of floating structures. A modified gradient-based retrieval algorithm in conjunction with the inverse first-order reliability method(IFORM) is proposed to enable the use of convolution models in long-term extreme analysis of structures with an analytical formula of response amplitude operator(RAO). The proposed algorithm ensures convergence stability and iteration accuracy and exhibits a higher computational efficiency than the traditional backtracking method. However, when the RAO of general offshore structures cannot be analytically expressed, the convolutional integration method fails to function properly. A numerical discretization approach is further proposed for offshore structures in the case when the analytical expression of the RAO is not feasible. Through iterative discretization of environmental contours(ECs) and RAOs, a detailed procedure is proposed to calculate the long-term response extremes of offshore structures. The validity and accuracy of the proposed approach are tested using a floating offshore wind turbine as a numerical example. The long-term extreme heave responses of various return periods are calculated via the IFORM in conjunction with a numerical discretization approach. The environmental data corresponding to N-year structural responses are located inside the ECs, which indicates that the selection of design points directly along the ECs yields conservative design results.
基金Project supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.52278180)。
文摘The fatigue of heavy-haul railway bridges is considered a key concern due to high stress levels and cyclic loading.The evaluation of fatigue reliability is required to include factor correlations.A major challenge is presented by the construction of the cumulative distribution function(CDF)and the description of correlations between random variables.In this study,the copula function is used to analyze the fatigue failure probability of the Shuohuang heavy-haul railway bridge.A C-vine copula(CVC)-based joint probability density function(JPDF)is derived with eight correlated parameters.To enhance efficiency in small failure probability calculations,the subset simulation and most probable point(MPP)Monte Carlo importance sampling are introduced based on the Rosenblatt transform and C-vine model.Comparisons with traditional Monte Carlo methods confirm that high accuracy and efficiency are achieved.The results show that when parameter correlations are ignored,failure probability is underestimated,increasing safety risks in bridge assessments.
