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Online multi-target intelligent tracking using a deep long-short term memory network 被引量:3
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作者 Yongquan ZHANG Zhenyun SHI +1 位作者 Hongbing JI Zhenzhen SU 《Chinese Journal of Aeronautics》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2023年第9期313-329,共17页
Multi-target tracking is facing the difficulties of modeling uncertain motion and observation noise.Traditional tracking algorithms are limited by specific models and priors that may mismatch a real-world scenario.In ... Multi-target tracking is facing the difficulties of modeling uncertain motion and observation noise.Traditional tracking algorithms are limited by specific models and priors that may mismatch a real-world scenario.In this paper,considering the model-free purpose,we present an online Multi-Target Intelligent Tracking(MTIT)algorithm based on a Deep Long-Short Term Memory(DLSTM)network for complex tracking requirements,named the MTIT-DLSTM algorithm.Firstly,to distinguish trajectories and concatenate the tracking task in a time sequence,we define a target tuple set that is the labeled Random Finite Set(RFS).Then,prediction and update blocks based on the DLSTM network are constructed to predict and estimate the state of targets,respectively.Further,the prediction block can learn the movement trend from the historical state sequence,while the update block can capture the noise characteristic from the historical measurement sequence.Finally,a data association scheme based on Hungarian algorithm and the heuristic track management strategy are employed to assign measurements to targets and adapt births and deaths.Experimental results manifest that,compared with the existing tracking algorithms,our proposed MTIT-DLSTM algorithm can improve effectively the accuracy and robustness in estimating the state of targets appearing at random positions,and be applied to linear and nonlinear multi-target tracking scenarios. 展开更多
关键词 Data association Deep long-short term memory network Historical sequence Multi-target tracking Target tuple set Track management
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Estimation of unloading relaxation depth of Baihetan Arch Dam foundation using long-short term memory network 被引量:1
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作者 Ming-jie He Hao Li +3 位作者 Jian-rong Xu Huan-ling Wang Wei-ya Xu Shi-zhuang Chen 《Water Science and Engineering》 EI CAS CSCD 2021年第2期149-158,共10页
The unloading relaxation caused by excavation for construction of high arch dams is an important factor influencing the foundation’s integrity and strength.To evaluate the degree of unloading relaxation,the long-shor... The unloading relaxation caused by excavation for construction of high arch dams is an important factor influencing the foundation’s integrity and strength.To evaluate the degree of unloading relaxation,the long-short term memory(LSTM)network was used to estimate the depth of unloading relaxation zones on the left bank foundation of the Baihetan Arch Dam.Principal component analysis indicates that rock charac-teristics,the structural plane,the protection layer,lithology,and time are the main factors.The LSTM network results demonstrate the unloading relaxation characteristics of the left bank,and the relationships with the factors were also analyzed.The structural plane has the most significant influence on the distribution of unloading relaxation zones.Compared with massive basalt,the columnar jointed basalt experiences a more significant unloading relaxation phenomenon with a clear time effect,with the average unloading relaxation period being 50 d.The protection layer can effectively reduce the unloading relaxation depth by approximately 20%. 展开更多
关键词 Columnar jointed basalt Unloading relaxation long-short term memory(LSTM)network Principal component analysis Stability assessment Baihetan Arch Dam
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Wind Speed Short-Term Prediction Based on Empirical Wavelet Transform, Recurrent Neural Network and Error Correction 被引量:1
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作者 朱昶胜 朱丽娜 《Journal of Shanghai Jiaotong university(Science)》 EI 2024年第2期297-308,共12页
Predicting wind speed accurately is essential to ensure the stability of the wind power system and improve the utilization rate of wind energy.However,owing to the stochastic and intermittent of wind speed,predicting ... Predicting wind speed accurately is essential to ensure the stability of the wind power system and improve the utilization rate of wind energy.However,owing to the stochastic and intermittent of wind speed,predicting wind speed accurately is difficult.A new hybrid deep learning model based on empirical wavelet transform,recurrent neural network and error correction for short-term wind speed prediction is proposed in this paper.The empirical wavelet transformation is applied to decompose the original wind speed series.The long short term memory network and the Elman neural network are adopted to predict low-frequency and high-frequency wind speed sub-layers respectively to balance the calculation efficiency and prediction accuracy.The error correction strategy based on deep long short term memory network is developed to modify the prediction errors.Four actual wind speed series are utilized to verify the effectiveness of the proposed model.The empirical results indicate that the method proposed in this paper has satisfactory performance in wind speed prediction. 展开更多
关键词 wind speed prediction empirical wavelet transform deep long short term memory network Elman neural network error correction strategy
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Conditional Random Field Tracking Model Based on a Visual Long Short Term Memory Network 被引量:3
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作者 Pei-Xin Liu Zhao-Sheng Zhu +1 位作者 Xiao-Feng Ye Xiao-Feng Li 《Journal of Electronic Science and Technology》 CAS CSCD 2020年第4期308-319,共12页
In dense pedestrian tracking,frequent object occlusions and close distances between objects cause difficulty when accurately estimating object trajectories.In this study,a conditional random field tracking model is es... In dense pedestrian tracking,frequent object occlusions and close distances between objects cause difficulty when accurately estimating object trajectories.In this study,a conditional random field tracking model is established by using a visual long short term memory network in the three-dimensional(3D)space and the motion estimations jointly performed on object trajectory segments.Object visual field information is added to the long short term memory network to improve the accuracy of the motion related object pair selection and motion estimation.To address the uncertainty of the length and interval of trajectory segments,a multimode long short term memory network is proposed for the object motion estimation.The tracking performance is evaluated using the PETS2009 dataset.The experimental results show that the proposed method achieves better performance than the tracking methods based on the independent motion estimation. 展开更多
关键词 Conditional random field(CRF) long short term memory network(LSTM) motion estimation multiple object tracking(MOT)
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Long Short-Term Memory Recurrent Neural Network-Based Acoustic Model Using Connectionist Temporal Classification on a Large-Scale Training Corpus 被引量:9
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作者 Donghyun Lee Minkyu Lim +4 位作者 Hosung Park Yoseb Kang Jeong-Sik Park Gil-Jin Jang Ji-Hwan Kim 《China Communications》 SCIE CSCD 2017年第9期23-31,共9页
A Long Short-Term Memory(LSTM) Recurrent Neural Network(RNN) has driven tremendous improvements on an acoustic model based on Gaussian Mixture Model(GMM). However, these models based on a hybrid method require a force... A Long Short-Term Memory(LSTM) Recurrent Neural Network(RNN) has driven tremendous improvements on an acoustic model based on Gaussian Mixture Model(GMM). However, these models based on a hybrid method require a forced aligned Hidden Markov Model(HMM) state sequence obtained from the GMM-based acoustic model. Therefore, it requires a long computation time for training both the GMM-based acoustic model and a deep learning-based acoustic model. In order to solve this problem, an acoustic model using CTC algorithm is proposed. CTC algorithm does not require the GMM-based acoustic model because it does not use the forced aligned HMM state sequence. However, previous works on a LSTM RNN-based acoustic model using CTC used a small-scale training corpus. In this paper, the LSTM RNN-based acoustic model using CTC is trained on a large-scale training corpus and its performance is evaluated. The implemented acoustic model has a performance of 6.18% and 15.01% in terms of Word Error Rate(WER) for clean speech and noisy speech, respectively. This is similar to a performance of the acoustic model based on the hybrid method. 展开更多
关键词 acoustic model connectionisttemporal classification LARGE-SCALE trainingcorpus LONG SHORT-term memory recurrentneural network
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ART-2 neural network based on eternal term memory vector:Architecture and algorithm
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作者 赵学智 叶邦彦 《Journal of Harbin Institute of Technology(New Series)》 EI CAS 2009年第6期843-848,共6页
Aimed at the problem that the traditional ART-2 neural network can not recognize a gradually changing course, an eternal term memory (ETM) vector is introduced into ART-2 to simulate the function of human brain, i.e. ... Aimed at the problem that the traditional ART-2 neural network can not recognize a gradually changing course, an eternal term memory (ETM) vector is introduced into ART-2 to simulate the function of human brain, i.e. the deep remembrance for the initial impression.. The eternal term memory vector is determined only by the initial vector that establishes category neuron node and is used to keep the remembrance for this vector for ever. Two times of vigilance algorithm are put forward, and the posterior input vector must first pass the first vigilance of this eternal term memory vector, only succeeded has it the qualification to begin the second vigilance of long term memory vector. The long term memory vector can be revised only when both of the vigilances are passed. Results of recognition examples show that the improved ART-2 overcomes the defect of traditional ART-2 and can recognize a gradually changing course effectively. 展开更多
关键词 ART-2 neural network eternal term memory vector two times of vigilance gradually changing course pattern recognition
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Memory Analysis for Memristors and Memristive Recurrent Neural Networks 被引量:2
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作者 Gang Bao Yide Zhang Zhigang Zeng 《IEEE/CAA Journal of Automatica Sinica》 EI CSCD 2020年第1期96-105,共10页
Traditional recurrent neural networks are composed of capacitors, inductors, resistors, and operational amplifiers.Memristive neural networks are constructed by replacing resistors with memristors. This paper focuses ... Traditional recurrent neural networks are composed of capacitors, inductors, resistors, and operational amplifiers.Memristive neural networks are constructed by replacing resistors with memristors. This paper focuses on the memory analysis,i.e. the initial value computation, of memristors. Firstly, we present the memory analysis for a single memristor based on memristors’ mathematical models with linear and nonlinear drift.Secondly, we present the memory analysis for two memristors in series and parallel. Thirdly, we point out the difference between traditional neural networks and those that are memristive. Based on the current and voltage relationship of memristors, we use mathematical analysis and SPICE simulations to demonstrate the validity of our methods. 展开更多
关键词 Dopant drift memory memristive neural networks MEMRISTOR
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Deep Learning Network for Energy Storage Scheduling in Power Market Environment Short-Term Load Forecasting Model
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作者 Yunlei Zhang RuifengCao +3 位作者 Danhuang Dong Sha Peng RuoyunDu Xiaomin Xu 《Energy Engineering》 EI 2022年第5期1829-1841,共13页
In the electricity market,fluctuations in real-time prices are unstable,and changes in short-term load are determined by many factors.By studying the timing of charging and discharging,as well as the economic benefits... In the electricity market,fluctuations in real-time prices are unstable,and changes in short-term load are determined by many factors.By studying the timing of charging and discharging,as well as the economic benefits of energy storage in the process of participating in the power market,this paper takes energy storage scheduling as merely one factor affecting short-term power load,which affects short-term load time series along with time-of-use price,holidays,and temperature.A deep learning network is used to predict the short-term load,a convolutional neural network(CNN)is used to extract the features,and a long short-term memory(LSTM)network is used to learn the temporal characteristics of the load value,which can effectively improve prediction accuracy.Taking the load data of a certain region as an example,the CNN-LSTM prediction model is compared with the single LSTM prediction model.The experimental results show that the CNN-LSTM deep learning network with the participation of energy storage in dispatching can have high prediction accuracy for short-term power load forecasting. 展开更多
关键词 Energy storage scheduling short-term load forecasting deep learning network convolutional neural network CNN long and short term memory network LTSM
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Short-Term Relay Quality Prediction Algorithm Based on Long and Short-Term Memory 被引量:3
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作者 XUE Wendong CHAI Yuan +2 位作者 LI Qigan HONG Yongqiang ZHENG Gaofeng 《Instrumentation》 2018年第4期46-54,共9页
The fraction defective of semi-finished products is predicted to optimize the process of relay production lines, by which production quality and productivity are increased, and the costs are decreased. The process par... The fraction defective of semi-finished products is predicted to optimize the process of relay production lines, by which production quality and productivity are increased, and the costs are decreased. The process parameters of relay production lines are studied based on the long-and-short-term memory network. Then, the Keras deep learning framework is utilized to build up a short-term relay quality prediction algorithm for the semi-finished product. A simulation model is used to study prediction algorithm. The simulation results show that the average prediction absolute error of the fraction is less than 5%. This work displays great application potential in the relay production lines. 展开更多
关键词 RELAY Production LINE LONG and SHORT-term memory network Keras DEEP Learning Framework Quality Prediction
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Short-TermWind Power Prediction Based on Combinatorial Neural Networks
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作者 Tusongjiang Kari Sun Guoliang +2 位作者 Lei Kesong Ma Xiaojing Wu Xian 《Intelligent Automation & Soft Computing》 SCIE 2023年第8期1437-1452,共16页
Wind power volatility not only limits the large-scale grid connection but also poses many challenges to safe grid operation.Accurate wind power prediction can mitigate the adverse effects of wind power volatility on w... Wind power volatility not only limits the large-scale grid connection but also poses many challenges to safe grid operation.Accurate wind power prediction can mitigate the adverse effects of wind power volatility on wind power grid connections.For the characteristics of wind power antecedent data and precedent data jointly to determine the prediction accuracy of the prediction model,the short-term prediction of wind power based on a combined neural network is proposed.First,the Bi-directional Long Short Term Memory(BiLSTM)network prediction model is constructed,and the bi-directional nature of the BiLSTM network is used to deeply mine the wind power data information and find the correlation information within the data.Secondly,to avoid the limitation of a single prediction model when the wind power changes abruptly,the Wavelet Transform-Improved Adaptive Genetic Algorithm-Back Propagation(WT-IAGA-BP)neural network based on the combination of the WT-IAGA-BP neural network and BiLSTM network is constructed for the short-term prediction of wind power.Finally,comparing with LSTM,BiLSTM,WT-LSTM,WT-BiLSTM,WT-IAGA-BP,and WT-IAGA-BP&LSTM prediction models,it is verified that the wind power short-term prediction model based on the combination of WT-IAGA-BP neural network and BiLSTM network has higher prediction accuracy. 展开更多
关键词 Wind power prediction wavelet transform back propagation neural network bi-directional long short term memory
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State of Health Estimation of Lithium-Ion Batteries Using Support Vector Regression and Long Short-Term Memory
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作者 Inioluwa Obisakin Chikodinaka Vanessa Ekeanyanwu 《Open Journal of Applied Sciences》 CAS 2022年第8期1366-1382,共17页
Lithium-ion batteries are the most widely accepted type of battery in the electric vehicle industry because of some of their positive inherent characteristics. However, the safety problems associated with inaccurate e... Lithium-ion batteries are the most widely accepted type of battery in the electric vehicle industry because of some of their positive inherent characteristics. However, the safety problems associated with inaccurate estimation and prediction of the state of health of these batteries have attracted wide attention due to the adverse negative effect on vehicle safety. In this paper, both machine and deep learning models were used to estimate the state of health of lithium-ion batteries. The paper introduces the definition of battery health status and its importance in the electric vehicle industry. Based on the data preprocessing and visualization analysis, three features related to actual battery capacity degradation are extracted from the data. Two learning models, SVR and LSTM were employed for the state of health estimation and their respective results are compared in this paper. The mean square error and coefficient of determination were the two metrics for the performance evaluation of the models. The experimental results indicate that both models have high estimation results. However, the metrics indicated that the SVR was the overall best model. 展开更多
关键词 Support Vector Regression (SVR) Long Short-term memory (LSTM) network State of Health (SOH) Estimation
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计及铁心非线性的变压器空间动态磁场加速计算方法 被引量:2
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作者 司马文霞 孙佳琪 +3 位作者 杨鸣 邹德旭 彭庆军 王劲松 《电工技术学报》 北大核心 2025年第5期1559-1574,共16页
快速获得变压器空间磁场动态分布是构建变压器数字孪生体的基础之一,然而现有快速计算方法难以快速、准确地获得铁心饱和工况下的磁场分布特性。因此,该文提出了计及铁心非线性的变压器空间动态磁场加速计算方法。首先,构建变压器电磁... 快速获得变压器空间磁场动态分布是构建变压器数字孪生体的基础之一,然而现有快速计算方法难以快速、准确地获得铁心饱和工况下的磁场分布特性。因此,该文提出了计及铁心非线性的变压器空间动态磁场加速计算方法。首先,构建变压器电磁场路耦合仿真模型,对关键变量进行参数化扫描,仿真获得不同非线性工况下的大量磁场数据,构建涉及铁心非线性工况的主磁通和漏磁通数据集;其次,提出融合卷积神经网络(CNN)和长短期记忆网络(LSTM)的双分支深度学习模型,训练提取磁场数据的空间和时间特征,解决主、漏磁通差异大造成的模型训练难题;最后,利用模型获得输入电压、电流与内部空间磁场分布的非线性映射关系,实现空间动态磁场的加速计算,为变压器数字孪生体的构建提供了快速获得磁场数据的方法。 展开更多
关键词 非线性 卷积神经网络 长短期记忆网络 磁场 加速计算
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基于卫星遥感多光谱云图的生成式海上超短期光伏功率预测 被引量:3
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作者 王迎春 王昱栋 +2 位作者 刘洋 杨东升 解相朋 《控制与决策》 北大核心 2025年第4期1136-1144,共9页
作为可再生能源装机的重要组成部分,海上光伏发电系统受制于特殊的气象环境和有限的远海气象监测条件,相比于陆地光伏预测,海上光伏预测需要精确掌握海域上空多变的云层状况并分析海洋气象波动特征.鉴于此,提出一种基于卫星遥感数据的... 作为可再生能源装机的重要组成部分,海上光伏发电系统受制于特殊的气象环境和有限的远海气象监测条件,相比于陆地光伏预测,海上光伏预测需要精确掌握海域上空多变的云层状况并分析海洋气象波动特征.鉴于此,提出一种基于卫星遥感数据的超短期功率预测方法.首先,针对云层图像的不确定性和波动问题,采用遥感图像全波段的分段加权高斯融合和基于VAE的重构技术,提出基于多光谱云图修正的海上功率模型;然后,使用双层GAN网络预测海上光伏出力,显著降低预测误差;最后,通过新加坡柔佛海峡电站数据验证结果表明:所提出模型能够高精度实现1 h及以上的超短期功率预测,精度较传统方法提高了12%,增强了电网实时调度的可靠性和可再生能源并网消纳能力. 展开更多
关键词 海上光伏发电 超短期光伏发电预测 卫星云图 长短期记忆网络 图像融合预测 生成式模型
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基于时间卷积和长短期记忆网络的短期云资源预测模型 被引量:2
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作者 陈基漓 李海军 谢晓兰 《科学技术与工程》 北大核心 2025年第7期2856-2864,共9页
随着容器云技术的不断深入发展,通过预测分析云资源请求的整体趋势及高峰期,对于容器云资源的高效利用和合理分配具有重要意义。利用深度学习技术进行负载预测已经成为解决容器云资源利用率不平衡的关键技术。针对目前负载预测的单一模... 随着容器云技术的不断深入发展,通过预测分析云资源请求的整体趋势及高峰期,对于容器云资源的高效利用和合理分配具有重要意义。利用深度学习技术进行负载预测已经成为解决容器云资源利用率不平衡的关键技术。针对目前负载预测的单一模型和组合模型所存在的预测精度低以及捕获序列特征不充分问题,提出基于时间卷积和长短期记忆网络(temporal convolutional network-long short-term memory, TCN-LSTM)的短期云资源组合预测模型,组合模型中的空洞卷积在不减少特征尺寸的情况下增加感受野获取更长久的时间序列特征,其中残差网络可以跨层传递信息以加快网络的收敛,所获取的时间序列特征可有效提高LSTM的预测精度。利用阿里巴巴公开数据集的进行预测,实验表明所提出的模型与单一的预测模型以及其他组合模型进行对比分析,误差指标-平均绝对误差(mean absolute error, MAE)降低8%~13.7%,均方根误差(root mean squared error, RMSE)降低9.8%~13.1%,证明所提模型的有效性。 展开更多
关键词 容器云 云资源预测 时间卷积网络(TCN) 长短期记忆网络(LSTM)
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智能网联环境下城市道路多源交通数据补全方法 被引量:2
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作者 王庞伟 何昕泽 +3 位作者 张龙 董航瑞 王力 张名芳 《中国公路学报》 北大核心 2025年第1期281-293,共13页
交通状态补全方法能够为交通管理系统提供完备的全息交通路网信息,为制定城市信控策略,动态均衡交通流提供数据支持。基于智能网联技术实时获取多源交通数据优势,提出一种基于图卷积神经网络的实时交通状态补全方法。首先,构建了一种“... 交通状态补全方法能够为交通管理系统提供完备的全息交通路网信息,为制定城市信控策略,动态均衡交通流提供数据支持。基于智能网联技术实时获取多源交通数据优势,提出一种基于图卷积神经网络的实时交通状态补全方法。首先,构建了一种“端-边-云”信息交互架构的全息交通感知系统,可实现多源交通数据的特征级融合;其次,根据路网拓扑关系构建路网无向图模型,应用异常数据辨识与插补方法对原始数据进行修正构成有效数据集,并根据实际路网时空关系确定补全网络隐藏层权重;然后,通过图卷积交叉口临近关系与交通状态,将原始数据映射至空间维度,从而完成交叉口特征的空间聚类,同时由门控循环单元在时间序列上游走记忆,提取数据时间维度特征,完成状态数据补全计算;最后,在北京市高级别自动驾驶示范区选取典型智能网联交叉口群,对该方法进行实地测试。研究结果表明:长时序数据下,方法有效补全结果与真实值误差不高于10.64%,综合性能较长短期记忆神经网络等现有方法的均方根误差降低17.2%。该补全方法为未来智能网联环境下交通全息感知技术应用提供了理论基础和实现方案。 展开更多
关键词 交通工程 交通数据补全 图卷积神经网络 长短期记忆神经网络 边缘计算 智能网联交通
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基于ARIMA-LSTM的矿区地表沉降预测方法 被引量:4
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作者 王磊 马驰骋 +1 位作者 齐俊艳 袁瑞甫 《计算机工程》 北大核心 2025年第1期98-105,共8页
煤矿开采安全问题尤其是采空区地表沉降现象会对人员安全及工程安全造成威胁,研究合适的矿区地表沉降预测方法具有很大意义。矿区地表沉降影响因素复杂,单一的深度学习模型对矿区地表沉降数据拟合效果差且现有的地表沉降预测研究多是单... 煤矿开采安全问题尤其是采空区地表沉降现象会对人员安全及工程安全造成威胁,研究合适的矿区地表沉降预测方法具有很大意义。矿区地表沉降影响因素复杂,单一的深度学习模型对矿区地表沉降数据拟合效果差且现有的地表沉降预测研究多是单独进行概率预测或考虑时序特性进行点预测,难以在考虑数据的时序特征的同时对其随机性进行定量描述。针对此问题,在对数据本身性质进行观察分析后选择差分整合移动平均自回归(ARIMA)模型进行时序特征的概率预测,结合长短时记忆(LSTM)网络模型来学习复杂的且具有长期依赖性的非线性时序特征。提出基于ARIMA-LSTM的地表沉降预测模型,利用ARIMA模型对数据的时序线性部分进行预测,并将ARIMA模型预测的残差数据辅助LSTM模型训练,在考虑时序特征的同时对数据的随机性进行描述。研究结果表明,相较于单独采用ARIMA或LSTM模型,该方法具有更高的预测精度(MSE为0.262 87,MAE为0.408 15,RMSE为0.512 71)。进一步的对比结果显示,预测结果与雷达卫星影像数据(经SBAS-INSAR处理后)趋势一致,证实了该方法的有效性。 展开更多
关键词 煤矿采空区 地表沉降预测 时序概率预测 差分整合移动平均自回归 长短时记忆网络
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降水空间信息的处理策略对径流预测的影响 被引量:1
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作者 高玉芳 何川 +1 位作者 彭涛 高勇 《水科学进展》 北大核心 2025年第1期143-154,共12页
降水空间信息的精确提取对径流预测的精度至关重要。本文以赣江流域为研究对象,基于长短期记忆网络(Long Short-Term Memory,LSTM)模型,设计原始图像、小波分解、统计特征、面平均值、区域划分5种降水空间信息提取方案,研究降水空间信... 降水空间信息的精确提取对径流预测的精度至关重要。本文以赣江流域为研究对象,基于长短期记忆网络(Long Short-Term Memory,LSTM)模型,设计原始图像、小波分解、统计特征、面平均值、区域划分5种降水空间信息提取方案,研究降水空间信息不同处理策略对基于LSTM模型的径流预测性能的影响。结果表明:相较于直接使用原始图像的方案,综合运用小波分解和统计特征提取的处理方法测试期纳什效率系数分别提升了11.5%和17.9%,同时也增强了模型的稳定性和解释性;不同的区域划分方法能结合土地利用、土壤类型等下垫面因素,反映降水响应的空间差异性,展现了对各流量等级的适应能力,相较于以流域平均值作为输入的方式,能明显提高捕捉高流量和低流量特征的能力。研究表明在基于LSTM模型的降雨—径流预测模型中引入降水空间信息,可以有效改善预测效果。 展开更多
关键词 径流预测 长短期记忆网络 卷积神经网络 小波变换
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基于BP-DCKF-LSTM的锂离子电池SOC估计 被引量:2
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作者 张宇 李维嘉 吴铁洲 《电源技术》 北大核心 2025年第1期155-166,共12页
电池荷电状态(SOC)的准确估计是电池管理系统(BMS)的核心功能之一。为了提高锂电池SOC估算精度,提出了一种将反向传播神经网络(BP)、双容积卡尔曼滤波(DCKF)和长短期记忆神经网络(LSTM)相结合的SOC估计方法。针对多温度条件下传统多项... 电池荷电状态(SOC)的准确估计是电池管理系统(BMS)的核心功能之一。为了提高锂电池SOC估算精度,提出了一种将反向传播神经网络(BP)、双容积卡尔曼滤波(DCKF)和长短期记忆神经网络(LSTM)相结合的SOC估计方法。针对多温度条件下传统多项式拟合法在拟合开路电压(OCV)与SOC时效果较差的问题,提出了一种基于BP神经网络的拟合方法,通过验证表明该方法能有效提高拟合精度。针对单独使用模型法或数据驱动法估计SOC各自存在的优缺点,提出了一种将DCKF与LSTM相结合的估计方法,在提高估计精度的同时,可以减少参数调节时间和训练成本。实验验证表明,BP-DCKF-LSTM算法的均方根误差(RMSE)和平均绝对误差(MAE)分别小于0.5%和0.4%,具有较高的SOC估算精度和鲁棒性。 展开更多
关键词 荷电状态 反向传播神经网络 双容积卡尔曼滤波 长短期记忆神经网络
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基于联邦学习的海上分布式光伏超短期功率预测 被引量:2
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作者 王迎春 王志硕 +2 位作者 刘洋 杨东升 解相朋 《控制与决策》 北大核心 2025年第2期441-450,共10页
功率预测是实现电能供需平衡、维持电网稳定运行的一项重要任务.随着分布式海上光伏系统的发展,光伏利用率不断提升,同时对光伏功率预测提出了更高的要求.针对机器学习方法在光伏功率时间序列预测中存在的样本数量不足、预测精度低以及... 功率预测是实现电能供需平衡、维持电网稳定运行的一项重要任务.随着分布式海上光伏系统的发展,光伏利用率不断提升,同时对光伏功率预测提出了更高的要求.针对机器学习方法在光伏功率时间序列预测中存在的样本数量不足、预测精度低以及隐私泄露等问题,提出一种基于联邦学习和变分模态分解的长短期记忆神经网络功率预测模型(long short-term memory neural network power forecasting model based on federated learning and variational mode decomposition,FL-VMD-LSTM).利用主成分分析法和三次样条插值对气象数据进行预处理,同时利用VMD将光伏功率时间序列分解为多个分量进行分步预测,降低光伏功率时间序列的非平稳性和复杂度.通过横向联邦学习的本地训练和参数聚合方法,实现在保证数据隐私安全情况下的光伏功率预测.通过4个算例进行仿真实验,验证结果表明FL-VMD-LSTM模型在光伏功率预测方面具有较高精度,与传统算法相比,RMSE和MAE分别降低了55.7%和55.5%. 展开更多
关键词 变分模态分解 主成分分析 功率预测 长短期记忆网络 联邦学习 海上光伏
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多因素土壤墒情预测模型DA-LSTM-soil构建 被引量:1
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作者 车银超 郑光 +3 位作者 熊淑萍 张明天 马新明 席磊 《河南农业大学学报》 北大核心 2025年第4期698-710,共13页
【目的】针对土壤墒情预测时特征因素复杂、预测精度不佳的问题,构建多因素土壤墒情预测模型DA-LSTM-soil,提高土壤墒情预测精度。【方法】以包含10个特征的气象和土壤时序数据作为输入,采用LSTM网络为基本单元,构建Encoder-Decoder网... 【目的】针对土壤墒情预测时特征因素复杂、预测精度不佳的问题,构建多因素土壤墒情预测模型DA-LSTM-soil,提高土壤墒情预测精度。【方法】以包含10个特征的气象和土壤时序数据作为输入,采用LSTM网络为基本单元,构建Encoder-Decoder网络结构,分别引入特征和时间两个注意力模块。利用河南省许昌市2020—2021年冬小麦生长过程中物联网监测站的气象、土壤数据集,对DA-LSTM-soil模型进行训练和测试。同时,利用DA-LSTM-soil模型对河南省4个不同土壤类型的小麦种植区的数据集进行预测。【结果】对比试验表明,相较于LSTM、CNN-LSTM、CNN-LSTM-attention、LSTM-attention等深度学习模型,DA-LSTM-soil模型在S_(RME)、S_(ME)、A_(ME)、R^(2)评价指标更优,分别达到0.1764、0.0311、0.0466、0.9938。消融试验显示,时间注意力对模型性能的提升高于特征注意力。对时间步的试验显示,用过往3000 min的数据进行预测时,模型性能最佳;模型精度随着预测时长的增加有所下降,然而在5000 min内,决定系数R2仍保持在0.7以上。【结论】利用注意力机制,DA-LSTMsoil模型在Encoder前计算不同气象和土壤因素对墒情影响的权重,在Decoder前计算数据的时序对墒情预测的权重,双阶段注意力机制在特征提取和权重分配方面的作用显著,使模型具有更好的预测性能和泛化能力,可以为田块尺度麦田土壤墒情预测提供技术依据。 展开更多
关键词 麦田 土壤墒情预测 时序数据 长短期记忆网络 注意力机制
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