To decompose an unbalanced multi-stage logistic system to multipleindependent single-stage logistic systems, a new notion of parameterized interface distribution ispresented. For encoding the logistic pattern on each ...To decompose an unbalanced multi-stage logistic system to multipleindependent single-stage logistic systems, a new notion of parameterized interface distribution ispresented. For encoding the logistic pattern on each stage, the Pruefer number is used. With theimproved decoding procedure, any Pruefer number produced stochastically can be decoded to a feasiblelogistic pattern, which can match with the capacities of the nodes of the logistic system. Withthese two innovations, a new modeling method based on parameterized interface distribution and thePriifer number coding is put forward. The corresponding genetic algorithm, named as PIP-GA, can findbetter solutions and require less computational time than st-GA. Although requiring a little moreconsumption of memory, PIP-GA is still an efficient and robust method in the modeling andoptimization of unbalanced multi-stage logistic systems.展开更多
A new image encryption scheme is proposed based on a delayed fractional-order chaotic logistic system.In the process of generating a key stream,the time-varying delay and fractional derivative are embedded in the prop...A new image encryption scheme is proposed based on a delayed fractional-order chaotic logistic system.In the process of generating a key stream,the time-varying delay and fractional derivative are embedded in the proposed scheme to improve the security.Such a scheme is described in detail with security analyses including correlation analysis,information entropy analysis,run statistic analysis,mean-variance gray value analysis,and key sensitivity analysis.Experimental results show that the newly proposed image encryption scheme possesses high security.展开更多
In the era of rapid information development,with the popularity of computers,the advancement of science and technology,and the ongoing expansion of IT technology and business,the enterprise resource planning(ERP)syste...In the era of rapid information development,with the popularity of computers,the advancement of science and technology,and the ongoing expansion of IT technology and business,the enterprise resource planning(ERP)system has evolved into a platform and a guarantee for the fulfilment of company management procedures after long-term operations.Because of developments in information technology,most manual accounting procedures are being replaced by computerized Accounting Information Systems(AIS),which are quicker and more accurate.The primary factors influencing the decisions of logistics firm trading parties are investigated in order to enhance the design of decision-supporting modules and to improve the performance of logistics enterprises through AIS.This paper proposed a novel approach to calculate the weights of each information element in order to establish their important degree.The main purpose of this research is to present a quantitative analytic approach for determining the important information of logistics business collaboration response.Furthermore,the idea of total orders and the significant degrees stated above are used to identify the optimal order of all information elements.Using the three ways of marginal revenue,marginal cost,and business matching degree,the information with cumulative weights is which is deployed to form the data from the intersection of the best order.It has the ability to drastically reduce the time and effort required to create a logistics business control/decision-making system.展开更多
The paper studies the dynamical behaviors of a discrete Logistic system with feedback control. The system undergoes Flip bifurcation and Hopf bifurcation by using the center manifold theorem and the bifurcation theory...The paper studies the dynamical behaviors of a discrete Logistic system with feedback control. The system undergoes Flip bifurcation and Hopf bifurcation by using the center manifold theorem and the bifurcation theory. Numerical simulations not only illustrate our results, but also exhibit the complex dynamical behaviors of the system, such as the period-doubling bifurcation in periods 2, 4, 8 and 16, and quasi-periodic orbits and chaotic sets.展开更多
The dynamical properties of a tumor cell growth system described by the logistic system with coupling between non- Gaussian and Gaussian noise terms are investigated. The effects of the nonextensive index q on the sta...The dynamical properties of a tumor cell growth system described by the logistic system with coupling between non- Gaussian and Gaussian noise terms are investigated. The effects of the nonextensive index q on the stationary properties and the transient properties are discussed, respectively. The results show that the nonextensive index q can induce the tumor cell numbers to decrease greatly in the case of q 〉 1. Moreover, the switch from the steady stable state to the extinct state is speeded up as the increases of q, and the tumor cell numbers can be more obviously restrained for a large value of q. The numerical results are found to be in basic agreement with the theoretical predictions.展开更多
目的构建留守与非留守中学生自伤的风险预测模型,为制定针对性的干预措施提供科学依据。方法2021年9月―2023年6月采用多阶段抽样方法,在留守儿童分布相对集中的6个省份中抽取14623名<18岁的中学生(留守8471名,非留守6152名)作为研...目的构建留守与非留守中学生自伤的风险预测模型,为制定针对性的干预措施提供科学依据。方法2021年9月―2023年6月采用多阶段抽样方法,在留守儿童分布相对集中的6个省份中抽取14623名<18岁的中学生(留守8471名,非留守6152名)作为研究对象。通过问卷调查收集研究对象的一般情况、创伤性事件和自伤发生情况。分析不同特征留守与非留守中学生自伤的发生情况。采用R 4.3.0软件按照7∶3的比例分别将留守与非留守中学生随机划分为训练集与测试集,构建logistic回归分析模型和随机森林模型,通过受试者工作特征曲线、灵敏度、特异度等指标评估模型性能。结果中学生自伤总体发生率为25.7%,留守中学生自伤发生率高于非留守中学生(χ^(2)=59.266,P<0.001)。Logistic回归分析模型分析结果显示,留守与非留守中学生预测模型训练集的曲线下面积(area under the curve,AUC)分别为0.745和0.756,测试集的AUC分别为0.721和0.726,Hosmer-Lemshow拟合优度检验P>0.05。随机森林模型中,留守中学生自伤的主要预测因素为经历创伤性事件、家庭氛围、和父亲/母亲关系等,模型的灵敏度、特异度、阳性预测值、阴性预测值和F1指数分别为0.740、0.591、0.822、0.470和0.779,Brier分数为0.212,训练集和测试集的AUC分别为0.800和0.729。非留守中学生则以经历创伤性事件、家庭氛围、父母感情状况等为主,模型的灵敏度、特异度、阳性预测值、阴性预测值和F1指数分别为0.785、0.519、0.850、0.411和0.816,Brier分数为0.188,训练集和测试集的AUC分别为0.845和0.724。结论留守中学生自伤风险高于非留守中学生,二者的预测因素虽有不同,但存在高度重叠,其中创伤经历和家庭因素是关键预测变量。两种模型对自伤的识别能力良好,但随机森林模型综合性能更优,本研究构建的预测模型可为早期识别高危人群提供科学依据。展开更多
【目的】拟预测江西省吉安市森林火灾发生概率,为吉安市森林火灾精准防控提供科学依据。【方法】基于2001—2020年MODIS火点数据,结合气象、地形、植被及人类活动等多维因子,分析江西省吉安市森林火灾的时空分布特征及其驱动机制。采用...【目的】拟预测江西省吉安市森林火灾发生概率,为吉安市森林火灾精准防控提供科学依据。【方法】基于2001—2020年MODIS火点数据,结合气象、地形、植被及人类活动等多维因子,分析江西省吉安市森林火灾的时空分布特征及其驱动机制。采用多重共线性诊断和相关性分析筛选关键影响因子,构建了Logistic回归(binary logistic regression)模型,预测森林火灾发生概率,并利用混淆矩阵和曲线下面积(area under the curve,AUC)评估模型性能。【结果】(1)吉安市森林火灾年际变化呈5年周期性波动,主要发生在9月至次年4月,空间分布呈现北多南少、西多东少的特征;(2)人口密度、上月植被指数、海拔、本月降雨量、上月温度和灯光指数是火灾发生的主要驱动因子,其中本月降雨量和灯光指数与火灾风险呈正相关,其余因子呈负相关;(3)火灾发生概率在0.2~0.7,永丰县、安福县、永新县、吉安县和遂川县为高风险区;(4)模型AUC值为0.748,具有较好的预测能力。【结论】研究可为吉安市森林火灾风险管理提供科学依据,建议在高风险区域加强监测预警,并针对不同驱动因子采取差异化防控措施。展开更多
文摘To decompose an unbalanced multi-stage logistic system to multipleindependent single-stage logistic systems, a new notion of parameterized interface distribution ispresented. For encoding the logistic pattern on each stage, the Pruefer number is used. With theimproved decoding procedure, any Pruefer number produced stochastically can be decoded to a feasiblelogistic pattern, which can match with the capacities of the nodes of the logistic system. Withthese two innovations, a new modeling method based on parameterized interface distribution and thePriifer number coding is put forward. The corresponding genetic algorithm, named as PIP-GA, can findbetter solutions and require less computational time than st-GA. Although requiring a little moreconsumption of memory, PIP-GA is still an efficient and robust method in the modeling andoptimization of unbalanced multi-stage logistic systems.
基金Project supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.61004078 and 60971022)the Natural Science Foundation of Shandong Province,China(Grant Nos.ZR2009GQ009 and ZR2009GM005)+1 种基金the China Postdoctoral Science Foundationthe Special Funds for Postdoctoral Innovative Projects of Shandong Province,China
文摘A new image encryption scheme is proposed based on a delayed fractional-order chaotic logistic system.In the process of generating a key stream,the time-varying delay and fractional derivative are embedded in the proposed scheme to improve the security.Such a scheme is described in detail with security analyses including correlation analysis,information entropy analysis,run statistic analysis,mean-variance gray value analysis,and key sensitivity analysis.Experimental results show that the newly proposed image encryption scheme possesses high security.
基金This work was supported by the Researchers Supporting Project(No.RSP-2021/395),King Saud University,Riyadh,Saudi Arabia.
文摘In the era of rapid information development,with the popularity of computers,the advancement of science and technology,and the ongoing expansion of IT technology and business,the enterprise resource planning(ERP)system has evolved into a platform and a guarantee for the fulfilment of company management procedures after long-term operations.Because of developments in information technology,most manual accounting procedures are being replaced by computerized Accounting Information Systems(AIS),which are quicker and more accurate.The primary factors influencing the decisions of logistics firm trading parties are investigated in order to enhance the design of decision-supporting modules and to improve the performance of logistics enterprises through AIS.This paper proposed a novel approach to calculate the weights of each information element in order to establish their important degree.The main purpose of this research is to present a quantitative analytic approach for determining the important information of logistics business collaboration response.Furthermore,the idea of total orders and the significant degrees stated above are used to identify the optimal order of all information elements.Using the three ways of marginal revenue,marginal cost,and business matching degree,the information with cumulative weights is which is deployed to form the data from the intersection of the best order.It has the ability to drastically reduce the time and effort required to create a logistics business control/decision-making system.
基金Supported by the Scientific Research Programmes of Colleges in Anhui(KJ2013Z186)
文摘The paper studies the dynamical behaviors of a discrete Logistic system with feedback control. The system undergoes Flip bifurcation and Hopf bifurcation by using the center manifold theorem and the bifurcation theory. Numerical simulations not only illustrate our results, but also exhibit the complex dynamical behaviors of the system, such as the period-doubling bifurcation in periods 2, 4, 8 and 16, and quasi-periodic orbits and chaotic sets.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 11205006)the Science Foundation of the Education Bureau of Shaanxi Province, China (Grant No. 12JK0962)the Science Foundation of Baoji University of Arts and Sciences of China (Grant No. ZK11053)
文摘The dynamical properties of a tumor cell growth system described by the logistic system with coupling between non- Gaussian and Gaussian noise terms are investigated. The effects of the nonextensive index q on the stationary properties and the transient properties are discussed, respectively. The results show that the nonextensive index q can induce the tumor cell numbers to decrease greatly in the case of q 〉 1. Moreover, the switch from the steady stable state to the extinct state is speeded up as the increases of q, and the tumor cell numbers can be more obviously restrained for a large value of q. The numerical results are found to be in basic agreement with the theoretical predictions.
文摘目的构建留守与非留守中学生自伤的风险预测模型,为制定针对性的干预措施提供科学依据。方法2021年9月―2023年6月采用多阶段抽样方法,在留守儿童分布相对集中的6个省份中抽取14623名<18岁的中学生(留守8471名,非留守6152名)作为研究对象。通过问卷调查收集研究对象的一般情况、创伤性事件和自伤发生情况。分析不同特征留守与非留守中学生自伤的发生情况。采用R 4.3.0软件按照7∶3的比例分别将留守与非留守中学生随机划分为训练集与测试集,构建logistic回归分析模型和随机森林模型,通过受试者工作特征曲线、灵敏度、特异度等指标评估模型性能。结果中学生自伤总体发生率为25.7%,留守中学生自伤发生率高于非留守中学生(χ^(2)=59.266,P<0.001)。Logistic回归分析模型分析结果显示,留守与非留守中学生预测模型训练集的曲线下面积(area under the curve,AUC)分别为0.745和0.756,测试集的AUC分别为0.721和0.726,Hosmer-Lemshow拟合优度检验P>0.05。随机森林模型中,留守中学生自伤的主要预测因素为经历创伤性事件、家庭氛围、和父亲/母亲关系等,模型的灵敏度、特异度、阳性预测值、阴性预测值和F1指数分别为0.740、0.591、0.822、0.470和0.779,Brier分数为0.212,训练集和测试集的AUC分别为0.800和0.729。非留守中学生则以经历创伤性事件、家庭氛围、父母感情状况等为主,模型的灵敏度、特异度、阳性预测值、阴性预测值和F1指数分别为0.785、0.519、0.850、0.411和0.816,Brier分数为0.188,训练集和测试集的AUC分别为0.845和0.724。结论留守中学生自伤风险高于非留守中学生,二者的预测因素虽有不同,但存在高度重叠,其中创伤经历和家庭因素是关键预测变量。两种模型对自伤的识别能力良好,但随机森林模型综合性能更优,本研究构建的预测模型可为早期识别高危人群提供科学依据。
文摘【目的】拟预测江西省吉安市森林火灾发生概率,为吉安市森林火灾精准防控提供科学依据。【方法】基于2001—2020年MODIS火点数据,结合气象、地形、植被及人类活动等多维因子,分析江西省吉安市森林火灾的时空分布特征及其驱动机制。采用多重共线性诊断和相关性分析筛选关键影响因子,构建了Logistic回归(binary logistic regression)模型,预测森林火灾发生概率,并利用混淆矩阵和曲线下面积(area under the curve,AUC)评估模型性能。【结果】(1)吉安市森林火灾年际变化呈5年周期性波动,主要发生在9月至次年4月,空间分布呈现北多南少、西多东少的特征;(2)人口密度、上月植被指数、海拔、本月降雨量、上月温度和灯光指数是火灾发生的主要驱动因子,其中本月降雨量和灯光指数与火灾风险呈正相关,其余因子呈负相关;(3)火灾发生概率在0.2~0.7,永丰县、安福县、永新县、吉安县和遂川县为高风险区;(4)模型AUC值为0.748,具有较好的预测能力。【结论】研究可为吉安市森林火灾风险管理提供科学依据,建议在高风险区域加强监测预警,并针对不同驱动因子采取差异化防控措施。
