Fifty-three larch interspecific hybrid clones（Larix kaempferi × L.gmelini） and their parent clones were used for growth curve analysis of height variations.The growth curves of the 55 clones were ＇S＇-shaped a...Fifty-three larch interspecific hybrid clones（Larix kaempferi × L.gmelini） and their parent clones were used for growth curve analysis of height variations.The growth curves of the 55 clones were ＇S＇-shaped and 36 exhibited similar curves as the male parent.The coefficients of the logistic models were higher than 0.943,indicating that our results were effective in the simulation of the growth curves.ANOVA analysis showed significant differences in height of different clones （P／0.01）.Average date of maximum height growth was Day 173,and average duration of rapid growth lasted for 50 days.Annual average increase in height was 9.7cm d^（-1） and daily average increase was 0.2 cm.The ratio of GR to the total annual increase in height ranged from 51.2 to 68.8%,with the average being 59.8%.There was a positive correlation between k values and plant heights which benefited from the evaluation of early plant height.There was also a positive correlation between GR（growth stage）,GD（plant height） and annual increase in height.These results are informative to the evaluation of the elite clone selection and provide a theoretical basis for breeding and management.展开更多
The surge of large-scale models in recent years has led to breakthroughs in numerous fields,but it has also introduced higher computational costs and more complex network architectures.These increasingly large and int...The surge of large-scale models in recent years has led to breakthroughs in numerous fields,but it has also introduced higher computational costs and more complex network architectures.These increasingly large and intricate networks pose challenges for deployment and execution while also exacerbating the issue of network over-parameterization.To address this issue,various network compression techniques have been developed,such as network pruning.A typical pruning algorithm follows a three-step pipeline involving training,pruning,and retraining.Existing methods often directly set the pruned filters to zero during retraining,significantly reducing the parameter space.However,this direct pruning strategy frequently results in irreversible information loss.In the early stages of training,a network still contains much uncertainty,and evaluating filter importance may not be sufficiently rigorous.To manage the pruning process effectively,this paper proposes a flexible neural network pruning algorithm based on the logistic growth differential equation,considering the characteristics of network training.Unlike other pruning algorithms that directly reduce filter weights,this algorithm introduces a three-stage adaptive weight decay strategy inspired by the logistic growth differential equation.It employs a gentle decay rate in the initial training stage,a rapid decay rate during the intermediate stage,and a slower decay rate in the network convergence stage.Additionally,the decay rate is adjusted adaptively based on the filter weights at each stage.By controlling the adaptive decay rate at each stage,the pruning of neural network filters can be effectively managed.In experiments conducted on the CIFAR-10 and ILSVRC-2012 datasets,the pruning of neural networks significantly reduces the floating-point operations while maintaining the same pruning rate.Specifically,when implementing a 30%pruning rate on the ResNet-110 network,the pruned neural network not only decreases floating-point operations by 40.8%but also enhances the classification accuracy by 0.49%compared to the original network.展开更多
Bangladesh has a denser population in comparison with many other countries. Though the rate of population increase has been regarded as a concerning issue, estimation of the population instability in the upcoming year...Bangladesh has a denser population in comparison with many other countries. Though the rate of population increase has been regarded as a concerning issue, estimation of the population instability in the upcoming years may be useful for national planning. To predict Bangladesh’s future population, this study compares the estimated populations of two popular population models, the Malthusian and the logistic population models, with the country’s census population published by BBS. We also tried to find out which model gives a better approximation for forecasting the past, present, and future population between these two models.展开更多
Internal solitary wave propagation over a submarine ridge results in energy dissipation, in which the hydrodynamic interaction between a wave and ridge affects marine environment. This study analyzes the effects of ri...Internal solitary wave propagation over a submarine ridge results in energy dissipation, in which the hydrodynamic interaction between a wave and ridge affects marine environment. This study analyzes the effects of ridge height and potential energy during wave-ridge interaction with a binary and cumulative logistic regression model. In testing the Global Null Hypothesis, all values are p 〈0.001, with three statistical methods, such as Likelihood Ratio, Score, and Wald. While comparing with two kinds of models, tests values obtained by cumulative logistic regression models are better than those by binary logistic regression models. Although this study employed cumulative logistic regression model, three probability functions p^1, p^2 and p^3, are utilized for investigating the weighted influence of factors on wave reflection. Deviance and Pearson tests are applied to cheek the goodness-of-fit of the proposed model. The analytical results demonstrated that both ridge height （X1 ） and potential energy （X2 ） significantly impact （p 〈 0. 0001 ） the amplitude-based refleeted rate; the P-values for the deviance and Pearson are all 〉 0.05 （0.2839, 0.3438, respectively）. That is, the goodness-of-fit between ridge height （ X1 ） and potential energy （X2） can further predict parameters under the scenario of the best parsimonious model. Investigation of 6 predictive powers （ R2, Max-rescaled R^2, Sorners＇ D, Gamma, Tau-a, and c, respectively） indicate that these predictive estimates of the proposed model have better predictive ability than ridge height alone, and are very similar to the interaction of ridge height and potential energy. It can be concluded that the goodness-of-fit and prediction ability of the cumulative logistic regression model are better than that of the binary logistic regression model.展开更多
We present and discuss the partial oscillation with respect to equilibrium state ofm-dimensional Logistic delay ecologic models, and obtain some simple criteria.
The catch and effort data of Sillago sihama fishery in Pakistani waters were used to investigate the performance of two closely related stock assessment models: logistic and generalized surplus-production models. Comp...The catch and effort data of Sillago sihama fishery in Pakistani waters were used to investigate the performance of two closely related stock assessment models: logistic and generalized surplus-production models. Compared with the generalized production model, the logistic model produced more reasonable estimates for parameters such as maximum sustainable yield. The Akaike's Information Criterion values estimated at 4.265 and -51.152 respectively by the logistic and generalized models. Simulation analyses of the S. sihama fishery showed that the estimated and observed abundance indices for the logistic model were closer than those for the generalized production model. Standardized residuals were distributed closer for logistic model, but exhibited a slightly increasing trend for the generalized model. Statistical outliers were seen in 1989 and 1993 for the logistic model, and in 1981 and 1999 for the generalized model. Simulated results revealed that the logistic estimates were close to the true value for low CVs (coefficients of variation) but widely dispersed for high CVs. In contrast, the generalized model estimates were loose for all CV levels. The estimated production model curve parameter was not reasonable at all the tested levels of white noise. With the increase in white noise R2 for the catch per unit effort decreased. Therefore, we conclude that the logistic model performs more reasonably than the generalized production model.展开更多
Logistic models have been widely used for modelling the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic.This study used the data for Kuwait to assess the adequacy of the two most commonly used logistic models(Verhulst and Richards models)f...Logistic models have been widely used for modelling the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic.This study used the data for Kuwait to assess the adequacy of the two most commonly used logistic models(Verhulst and Richards models)for describing the dynamics COVID-19.Specifically,the study assessed the predictive performance of these two models and the practical identifiability of their parameters.Two model calibration approaches were adopted.In the first approach,all the data was used to fit the models as per the heuristic model fitting method.In the second approach,only the first half of the data was used for calibrating the models,while the other half was left for validating the models.Analysis of the obtained calibration and validation results have indicated that parameters of the two models cannot be identified with high certainty from COVID-19 data.Further,the models shown to have structural problems as they could not predict reasonably the validation data.Therefore,they should not be used for long-term predictions of COVID-19.Suggestion have been made for improving the performances of the models.展开更多
BACKGROUND Congenital heart disease is most commonly seen in neonates and it is a major cause of pediatric illness and childhood morbidity and mortality.AIM To identify and build the best predictive model for predicti...BACKGROUND Congenital heart disease is most commonly seen in neonates and it is a major cause of pediatric illness and childhood morbidity and mortality.AIM To identify and build the best predictive model for predicting cyanotic and acyanotic congenital heart disease in children during pregnancy and identify their potential risk factors.METHODS The data were collected from the Pediatric Cardiology Department at Chaudhry Pervaiz Elahi Institute of Cardiology Multan,Pakistan from December 2017 to October 2019.A sample of 3900 mothers whose children were diagnosed with identify the potential outliers.Different machine learning models were compared,and the best-fitted model was selected using the area under the curve,sensitivity,and specificity of the models.RESULTS Out of 3900 patients included,about 69.5%had acyanotic and 30.5%had cyanotic congenital heart disease.Males had more cases of acyanotic(53.6%)and cyanotic(54.5%)congenital heart disease as compared to females.The odds of having cyanotic was 1.28 times higher for children whose mothers used more fast food frequently during pregnancy.The artificial neural network model was selected as the best predictive model with an area under the curve of 0.9012,sensitivity of 65.76%,and specificity of 97.23%.CONCLUSION Children having a positive family history are at very high risk of having cyanotic and acyanotic congenital heart disease.Males are more at risk and their mothers need more care,good food,and physical activity during pregnancy.The best-fitted model for predicting cyanotic and acyanotic congenital heart disease is the artificial neural network.The results obtained and the best model identified will be useful for medical practitioners and public health scientists for an informed decision-making process about the earlier diagnosis and improve the health condition of children in Pakistan.展开更多
Malware is an ever-present and dynamic threat to networks and computer systems in cybersecurity,and because of its complexity and evasiveness,it is challenging to identify using traditional signature-based detection a...Malware is an ever-present and dynamic threat to networks and computer systems in cybersecurity,and because of its complexity and evasiveness,it is challenging to identify using traditional signature-based detection approaches.The study article discusses the growing danger to cybersecurity that malware hidden in PDF files poses,highlighting the shortcomings of conventional detection techniques and the difficulties presented by adversarial methodologies.The article presents a new method that improves PDF virus detection by using document analysis and a Logistic Model Tree.Using a dataset from the Canadian Institute for Cybersecurity,a comparative analysis is carried out with well-known machine learning models,such as Credal Decision Tree,Naïve Bayes,Average One Dependency Estimator,Locally Weighted Learning,and Stochastic Gradient Descent.Beyond traditional structural and JavaScript-centric PDF analysis,the research makes a substantial contribution to the area by boosting precision and resilience in malware detection.The use of Logistic Model Tree,a thorough feature selection approach,and increased focus on PDF file attributes all contribute to the efficiency of PDF virus detection.The paper emphasizes Logistic Model Tree’s critical role in tackling increasing cybersecurity threats and proposes a viable answer to practical issues in the sector.The results reveal that the Logistic Model Tree is superior,with improved accuracy of 97.46%when compared to benchmark models,demonstrating its usefulness in addressing the ever-changing threat landscape.展开更多
In view of the composition analysis and identification of ancient glass products, L1 regularization, K-Means cluster analysis, elbow rule and other methods were comprehensively used to build logical regression, cluste...In view of the composition analysis and identification of ancient glass products, L1 regularization, K-Means cluster analysis, elbow rule and other methods were comprehensively used to build logical regression, cluster analysis, hyper-parameter test and other models, and SPSS, Python and other tools were used to obtain the classification rules of glass products under different fluxes, sub classification under different chemical compositions, hyper-parameter K value test and rationality analysis. Research can provide theoretical support for the protection and restoration of ancient glass relics.展开更多
[ Objectlve] Impulsive Logistic Model was used to simulate epidemic process of Gray Leaf Spots caused by C. zeae-maydi. [ Method] The pathogen was inoculated in different maize varieties, and the incidence were observ...[ Objectlve] Impulsive Logistic Model was used to simulate epidemic process of Gray Leaf Spots caused by C. zeae-maydi. [ Method] The pathogen was inoculated in different maize varieties, and the incidence were observed and recorded. Impulsive Logistic Model was used to simulate the development process of the disease, which was compared with actual incidence. [ Result] Artificial inoculation tests showed that impulsive Logistic Model could reflect time dynamic of C. zeae-maydi. Through derivation, exponential growth phase was from maize seedling emergence to eady July in each year, logistic phase was from early July to late August, terminal phase was from eady September to the end of maize growth stage. [ Conclusion] The derivation result from model was consistent with the development biological laws of C. zeae-maydi.展开更多
This study examined gender differences in modal choice among residents of coastal communities of Yenagoa metropolis in Bayelsa State, Nigeria. The Four-Step model of transportation planning and modal choice provided t...This study examined gender differences in modal choice among residents of coastal communities of Yenagoa metropolis in Bayelsa State, Nigeria. The Four-Step model of transportation planning and modal choice provided the theoretical basis for this study. A survey research design involving a stratified sampling technique was adopted. The descriptives on transport modes, amount and time spent revealed that 10 (76.9%) males and 3 (23.1%) females preferred bicycle as means of transportation, 7 (58.3%) males and 5 (41.7%) females preferred motorcycle, while a significant proportion 90 (53.9%) males and 77 (46.1%) females preferred tricycle, 80 (63.0%) males and 47 (37.0%) females preferred cars/taxis, and 12 (46.2%) males and 14 (53.8%) females preferred mass transit bus. However, 14 (46.7%) males and 16 (53.3%) females in marshy terrain and coastal locations preferred canoes and boats. The result of the logistic regression model revealed that gender modal preference is more likely to be influenced by mode of transportation with a beta weight of 1.140, safety considerations 1.139, ownership of transport 1.135 and distance to place of work 1.073. Hence, this study recommends that a combination of these factors should be incorporated into transport planning to achieve effective transport planning and sustainable development in the Yenagoa metropolis.展开更多
In this paper,we propose a Bayesian PG-INLA algorithm which is tailored to both one-dimensional and multidimensional 2-PL IRT models.The proposed PG-INLA algorithm utilizes a computationally efficient data augmentatio...In this paper,we propose a Bayesian PG-INLA algorithm which is tailored to both one-dimensional and multidimensional 2-PL IRT models.The proposed PG-INLA algorithm utilizes a computationally efficient data augmentation strategy via the Pólya-Gamma variables,which can avoid low computational efficiency of traditioanl Bayesian MCMC algorithms for IRT models with a logistic link function.Meanwhile,combined with the advanced and fast INLA algorithm,the PG-INLA algorithm is both accurate and computationally efficient.We provide details on the derivation of posterior and conditional distributions of IRT models,the method of introducing the Pólya-Gamma variable into Gibbs sampling,and the implementation of the PG-INLA algorithm for both onedimensional and multidimensional cases.Through simulation studies and an application to the data analysis of the IPIP-NEO personality inventory,we assess the performance of the PG-INLA algorithm.Extensions of the proposed PG-INLA algorithm to other IRT models are also discussed.展开更多
Gully erosion is a disruptive phenomenon which extensively affects the Iranian territory,especially in the Northern provinces.A number of studies have been recently undertaken to study this process and to predict it o...Gully erosion is a disruptive phenomenon which extensively affects the Iranian territory,especially in the Northern provinces.A number of studies have been recently undertaken to study this process and to predict it over space and ultimately,in a broader national effort,to limit its negative effects on local communities.We focused on the Bastam watershed where 9.3%of its surface is currently affected by gullying.Machine learning algorithms are currently under the magnifying glass across the geomorphological community for their high predictive ability.However,unlike the bivariate statistical models,their structure does not provide intuitive and quantifiable measures of environmental preconditioning factors.To cope with such weakness,we interpret preconditioning causes on the basis of a bivariate approach namely,Index of Entropy.And,we performed the susceptibility mapping procedure by testing three extensions of a decision tree model namely,Alternating Decision Tree(ADTree),Naive-Bayes tree(NBTree),and Logistic Model Tree(LMT).We dichotomized the gully information over space into gully presence/absence conditions,which we further explored in their calibration and validation stages.Being the presence/absence information and associated factors identical,the resulting differences are only due to the algorithmic structures of the three models we chose.Such differences are not significant in terms of performances;in fact,the three models produce outstanding predictive AUC measures(ADTree=0.922;NBTree=0.939;LMT=0.944).However,the associated mapping results depict very different patterns where only the LMT is associated with reasonable susceptibility patterns.This is a strong indication of what model combines best performance and mapping for any natural hazard-oriented application.展开更多
Remotely sensing images are now available for monitoring vegetation dynamics over large areas.In this paper,an improved logistic model that combines double logistic model and global function was developed.Using this m...Remotely sensing images are now available for monitoring vegetation dynamics over large areas.In this paper,an improved logistic model that combines double logistic model and global function was developed.Using this model with SPOT/NDVI data,three key vegetation phenology metrics,the start of growing season (SOS),the end of growing season (EOS) and the length of growing season (LOS),were extracted and mapped in the Changbai Mountains,and the relationship between the key phenology metrics and elevation were established.Results show that average SOS of forest,cropland and grassland in the Changbai Mountains are on the 119th,145th,and 133rd day of year,respectively.The EOS of forest and grassland are similar,with the average on the 280th and 278th,respectively.In comparison,average EOS of the cropland is relatively earlier.The LOS of forest is mainly from the 160th to 180th,that of the grassland extends from the 140th to the 160th,and that of cropland stretches from the 110th to the 130th.As the latitude increases for the same land cover in the study area,the SOS significantly delays and the EOS becomes earlier.The SOS delays approximately three days as the elevation increases 100 m in the areas with elevation higher than 900 m above sea level (a.s.l.).The EOS is slightly earlier as the elevation increases especially in the areas with elevation below 1200 m a.s.l.The LOS shortens approximately four days as the elevation increases 100 m in the areas with elevation higher than 900 m a.s.l.The relationships between vegetation phenology metrics and elevation may be greatly influenced by the land covers.Validation by comparing with the field data and previous research results indicates that the improved logistic model is reliable and effective for extracting vegetation phenology metrics.展开更多
Mine accidents and injuries are complex and generally characterized by several factors starting from personal to technical, and technical to social characteristics.In this study, an attempt has been made to identify t...Mine accidents and injuries are complex and generally characterized by several factors starting from personal to technical, and technical to social characteristics.In this study, an attempt has been made to identify the various factors responsible for work related injuries in mines and to estimate the risk of work injury to mine workers.The prediction of work injury in mines was done by a step-by-step multivariate logistic regression modeling with an application to case study mines in India.In total, 18 variables were considered in this study.Most of the variables are not directly quantifiable.Instruments were developed to quantify them through a questionnaire type survey.Underground mine workers were randomly selected for the survey.Responses from 300 participants were used for the analysis.Four variables, age, negative affectivity, job dissatisfaction, and physical hazards, bear significant discriminating power for risk of injury to the workers, comparing between cases and controls in a multivariate situation while controlling all the personal and socio-technical variables.The analysis reveals that negatively affected workers are 2.54 times more prone to injuries than the less negatively affected workers and this factor is a more important risk factor for the case-study mines.Long term planning through identification of the negative individuals, proper counseling regarding the adverse effects of negative behaviors and special training is urgently required.Care should be taken for the aged and experienced workers in terms of their job responsibility and training requirements.Management should provide a friendly atmosphere during work to increase the confidence of the injury prone miners.展开更多
A stochastic logistic model with delays and impulsive perturbation is proposed and investigated. Sufficient conditions for extinction are established as well as nonpersistence in the mean, weak persistence and stochas...A stochastic logistic model with delays and impulsive perturbation is proposed and investigated. Sufficient conditions for extinction are established as well as nonpersistence in the mean, weak persistence and stochastic permanence. The threshold between weak persistence and extinction is obtained. Furthermore, the theoretical analysis results are also derivated with the help of numerical simulations.展开更多
The current measuring methods of walkability,such as the walk score,consider that walking distance decay laws for all amenities are the same,which is not applicable to typical communities in China with plentiful resou...The current measuring methods of walkability,such as the walk score,consider that walking distance decay laws for all amenities are the same,which is not applicable to typical communities in China with plentiful resources.Therefore,the walking distance decay laws of multi-type and multi-scale facilities are studied.Firstly,based on the residents'amenity selection survey,the walking distance decay law of residents'choice of amenity was studied from three aspects,including the law of all amenities,the laws of different types of amenities and the laws of different scales of amenities.It was proved that the walking distance decay laws of different kinds of amenities showed a significant difference.Secondly,different amenities'acceptable walking distance and optimum walking distance were obtained according to previous studies and the decay curve.Amenities with higher attraction and/or a larger scale showed a longer acceptable walking distance and optimum walking distance.Finally,the binary logistic model was used to describe the relationships between walking distance,amenity type,amenity scale and the probability of one amenity being selected,the prediction accuracy of which reached 80.4%.The calculated probability obtained from the model can be used as the decay coefficient of amenities in the measurement of walkability,providing a reference for the site selection and evaluation of amenities.展开更多
With unified colored noise approximation, the logistic growth model is used to analyze cancer cell population when colored noise is included. It is found that both the coupling between noise terms and the noise color...With unified colored noise approximation, the logistic growth model is used to analyze cancer cell population when colored noise is included. It is found that both the coupling between noise terms and the noise color can induce continuous first-order-like and re-entrance-like phase transitions in the system. The coupling and the noise color can also increase tumor cell growth for small number of cell mass and repress tumor cell growth for large number of cell mass. It is shown that the approximate analytic expressions are consistent with the numerical simulations.展开更多
Objective:To identify the predictors of mortality among in-hospital melioidosis patients.Methods:A total of 453 patients in Hospital Sultanah Bahiyah,Kedah,and Hospital Tuanku Fauziah,Perlis with culture-confirmed mel...Objective:To identify the predictors of mortality among in-hospital melioidosis patients.Methods:A total of 453 patients in Hospital Sultanah Bahiyah,Kedah,and Hospital Tuanku Fauziah,Perlis with culture-confirmed melioidosis were retrospectively included in the study.Advanced multiple logistic regression was used to obtain the final model of predictors of mortality from melioidosis.The analysis was performed using STATA/SE 14.0.Results:A total of 50.11%(227/453)of the patients died at the hospital,and a majority(86.75%,393/453)of cases were bacteremic.The logistic regression estimated that the bacteremic type of melioidosis,low platelet count,abnormal white blood cell counts,and increased urea value were predictors of mortality.The results showed that bacteremic melioidosis increased the risk of death by 4.39 times(OR 4.39,95%CI 1.83-10.55,P=0.001)compared to non-bacteremic melioidosis.Based on laboratory test,the adjusted ORs from the final model showed that all three blood investigations were included as the associated factors of mortality for the disease[high white blood cell(>10×10^(9)/L):OR 2.43,95%CI1.41-4.17,P<0.001;low white blood cell(<4×10^(9)/L):OR 3.82,95%CI 1.09-13.34,P=0.036;low platelet(<100×10^(9)/L):OR 4.19,95%CI 1.89-9.30,P<0.001;high urea(>7800μmol/L):OR 5.53,95%CI 2.50-12.30,P<0.001;and low level of urea(<2500μmol/L):OR 3.52,95%CI 1.71-7.23,P=0.001].Conclusions:Routine blood investigations during a hospital admission can early identify predictors of mortality in melioidosis patients.展开更多
基金supported by Grants from the National Science and Technology Pillar Program of China(No.2015DAD09B01)
文摘Fifty-three larch interspecific hybrid clones（Larix kaempferi × L.gmelini） and their parent clones were used for growth curve analysis of height variations.The growth curves of the 55 clones were ＇S＇-shaped and 36 exhibited similar curves as the male parent.The coefficients of the logistic models were higher than 0.943,indicating that our results were effective in the simulation of the growth curves.ANOVA analysis showed significant differences in height of different clones （P／0.01）.Average date of maximum height growth was Day 173,and average duration of rapid growth lasted for 50 days.Annual average increase in height was 9.7cm d^（-1） and daily average increase was 0.2 cm.The ratio of GR to the total annual increase in height ranged from 51.2 to 68.8%,with the average being 59.8%.There was a positive correlation between k values and plant heights which benefited from the evaluation of early plant height.There was also a positive correlation between GR（growth stage）,GD（plant height） and annual increase in height.These results are informative to the evaluation of the elite clone selection and provide a theoretical basis for breeding and management.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant No.62172132.
文摘The surge of large-scale models in recent years has led to breakthroughs in numerous fields,but it has also introduced higher computational costs and more complex network architectures.These increasingly large and intricate networks pose challenges for deployment and execution while also exacerbating the issue of network over-parameterization.To address this issue,various network compression techniques have been developed,such as network pruning.A typical pruning algorithm follows a three-step pipeline involving training,pruning,and retraining.Existing methods often directly set the pruned filters to zero during retraining,significantly reducing the parameter space.However,this direct pruning strategy frequently results in irreversible information loss.In the early stages of training,a network still contains much uncertainty,and evaluating filter importance may not be sufficiently rigorous.To manage the pruning process effectively,this paper proposes a flexible neural network pruning algorithm based on the logistic growth differential equation,considering the characteristics of network training.Unlike other pruning algorithms that directly reduce filter weights,this algorithm introduces a three-stage adaptive weight decay strategy inspired by the logistic growth differential equation.It employs a gentle decay rate in the initial training stage,a rapid decay rate during the intermediate stage,and a slower decay rate in the network convergence stage.Additionally,the decay rate is adjusted adaptively based on the filter weights at each stage.By controlling the adaptive decay rate at each stage,the pruning of neural network filters can be effectively managed.In experiments conducted on the CIFAR-10 and ILSVRC-2012 datasets,the pruning of neural networks significantly reduces the floating-point operations while maintaining the same pruning rate.Specifically,when implementing a 30%pruning rate on the ResNet-110 network,the pruned neural network not only decreases floating-point operations by 40.8%but also enhances the classification accuracy by 0.49%compared to the original network.
文摘Bangladesh has a denser population in comparison with many other countries. Though the rate of population increase has been regarded as a concerning issue, estimation of the population instability in the upcoming years may be useful for national planning. To predict Bangladesh’s future population, this study compares the estimated populations of two popular population models, the Malthusian and the logistic population models, with the country’s census population published by BBS. We also tried to find out which model gives a better approximation for forecasting the past, present, and future population between these two models.
基金This paper was financially supported by NSC96-2628-E-366-004-MY2 and NSC96-2628-E-132-001-MY2
文摘Internal solitary wave propagation over a submarine ridge results in energy dissipation, in which the hydrodynamic interaction between a wave and ridge affects marine environment. This study analyzes the effects of ridge height and potential energy during wave-ridge interaction with a binary and cumulative logistic regression model. In testing the Global Null Hypothesis, all values are p 〈0.001, with three statistical methods, such as Likelihood Ratio, Score, and Wald. While comparing with two kinds of models, tests values obtained by cumulative logistic regression models are better than those by binary logistic regression models. Although this study employed cumulative logistic regression model, three probability functions p^1, p^2 and p^3, are utilized for investigating the weighted influence of factors on wave reflection. Deviance and Pearson tests are applied to cheek the goodness-of-fit of the proposed model. The analytical results demonstrated that both ridge height （X1 ） and potential energy （X2 ） significantly impact （p 〈 0. 0001 ） the amplitude-based refleeted rate; the P-values for the deviance and Pearson are all 〉 0.05 （0.2839, 0.3438, respectively）. That is, the goodness-of-fit between ridge height （ X1 ） and potential energy （X2） can further predict parameters under the scenario of the best parsimonious model. Investigation of 6 predictive powers （ R2, Max-rescaled R^2, Sorners＇ D, Gamma, Tau-a, and c, respectively） indicate that these predictive estimates of the proposed model have better predictive ability than ridge height alone, and are very similar to the interaction of ridge height and potential energy. It can be concluded that the goodness-of-fit and prediction ability of the cumulative logistic regression model are better than that of the binary logistic regression model.
文摘We present and discuss the partial oscillation with respect to equilibrium state ofm-dimensional Logistic delay ecologic models, and obtain some simple criteria.
基金supported by the special research fund of the Ocean University of China (No.201022001)
文摘The catch and effort data of Sillago sihama fishery in Pakistani waters were used to investigate the performance of two closely related stock assessment models: logistic and generalized surplus-production models. Compared with the generalized production model, the logistic model produced more reasonable estimates for parameters such as maximum sustainable yield. The Akaike's Information Criterion values estimated at 4.265 and -51.152 respectively by the logistic and generalized models. Simulation analyses of the S. sihama fishery showed that the estimated and observed abundance indices for the logistic model were closer than those for the generalized production model. Standardized residuals were distributed closer for logistic model, but exhibited a slightly increasing trend for the generalized model. Statistical outliers were seen in 1989 and 1993 for the logistic model, and in 1981 and 1999 for the generalized model. Simulated results revealed that the logistic estimates were close to the true value for low CVs (coefficients of variation) but widely dispersed for high CVs. In contrast, the generalized model estimates were loose for all CV levels. The estimated production model curve parameter was not reasonable at all the tested levels of white noise. With the increase in white noise R2 for the catch per unit effort decreased. Therefore, we conclude that the logistic model performs more reasonably than the generalized production model.
文摘Logistic models have been widely used for modelling the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic.This study used the data for Kuwait to assess the adequacy of the two most commonly used logistic models(Verhulst and Richards models)for describing the dynamics COVID-19.Specifically,the study assessed the predictive performance of these two models and the practical identifiability of their parameters.Two model calibration approaches were adopted.In the first approach,all the data was used to fit the models as per the heuristic model fitting method.In the second approach,only the first half of the data was used for calibrating the models,while the other half was left for validating the models.Analysis of the obtained calibration and validation results have indicated that parameters of the two models cannot be identified with high certainty from COVID-19 data.Further,the models shown to have structural problems as they could not predict reasonably the validation data.Therefore,they should not be used for long-term predictions of COVID-19.Suggestion have been made for improving the performances of the models.
文摘BACKGROUND Congenital heart disease is most commonly seen in neonates and it is a major cause of pediatric illness and childhood morbidity and mortality.AIM To identify and build the best predictive model for predicting cyanotic and acyanotic congenital heart disease in children during pregnancy and identify their potential risk factors.METHODS The data were collected from the Pediatric Cardiology Department at Chaudhry Pervaiz Elahi Institute of Cardiology Multan,Pakistan from December 2017 to October 2019.A sample of 3900 mothers whose children were diagnosed with identify the potential outliers.Different machine learning models were compared,and the best-fitted model was selected using the area under the curve,sensitivity,and specificity of the models.RESULTS Out of 3900 patients included,about 69.5%had acyanotic and 30.5%had cyanotic congenital heart disease.Males had more cases of acyanotic(53.6%)and cyanotic(54.5%)congenital heart disease as compared to females.The odds of having cyanotic was 1.28 times higher for children whose mothers used more fast food frequently during pregnancy.The artificial neural network model was selected as the best predictive model with an area under the curve of 0.9012,sensitivity of 65.76%,and specificity of 97.23%.CONCLUSION Children having a positive family history are at very high risk of having cyanotic and acyanotic congenital heart disease.Males are more at risk and their mothers need more care,good food,and physical activity during pregnancy.The best-fitted model for predicting cyanotic and acyanotic congenital heart disease is the artificial neural network.The results obtained and the best model identified will be useful for medical practitioners and public health scientists for an informed decision-making process about the earlier diagnosis and improve the health condition of children in Pakistan.
基金This research work was funded by Institutional Fund Projects under Grant No.(IFPIP:211-611-1443).
文摘Malware is an ever-present and dynamic threat to networks and computer systems in cybersecurity,and because of its complexity and evasiveness,it is challenging to identify using traditional signature-based detection approaches.The study article discusses the growing danger to cybersecurity that malware hidden in PDF files poses,highlighting the shortcomings of conventional detection techniques and the difficulties presented by adversarial methodologies.The article presents a new method that improves PDF virus detection by using document analysis and a Logistic Model Tree.Using a dataset from the Canadian Institute for Cybersecurity,a comparative analysis is carried out with well-known machine learning models,such as Credal Decision Tree,Naïve Bayes,Average One Dependency Estimator,Locally Weighted Learning,and Stochastic Gradient Descent.Beyond traditional structural and JavaScript-centric PDF analysis,the research makes a substantial contribution to the area by boosting precision and resilience in malware detection.The use of Logistic Model Tree,a thorough feature selection approach,and increased focus on PDF file attributes all contribute to the efficiency of PDF virus detection.The paper emphasizes Logistic Model Tree’s critical role in tackling increasing cybersecurity threats and proposes a viable answer to practical issues in the sector.The results reveal that the Logistic Model Tree is superior,with improved accuracy of 97.46%when compared to benchmark models,demonstrating its usefulness in addressing the ever-changing threat landscape.
文摘In view of the composition analysis and identification of ancient glass products, L1 regularization, K-Means cluster analysis, elbow rule and other methods were comprehensively used to build logical regression, cluster analysis, hyper-parameter test and other models, and SPSS, Python and other tools were used to obtain the classification rules of glass products under different fluxes, sub classification under different chemical compositions, hyper-parameter K value test and rationality analysis. Research can provide theoretical support for the protection and restoration of ancient glass relics.
基金Supported by Doctoral Fundation of Liaoning Province(20081064)Liaoning BaiQianWan Talents Program(2009921072)Ministry of Agriculture,National Research Subject(2004BA520A11)~~
文摘[ Objectlve] Impulsive Logistic Model was used to simulate epidemic process of Gray Leaf Spots caused by C. zeae-maydi. [ Method] The pathogen was inoculated in different maize varieties, and the incidence were observed and recorded. Impulsive Logistic Model was used to simulate the development process of the disease, which was compared with actual incidence. [ Result] Artificial inoculation tests showed that impulsive Logistic Model could reflect time dynamic of C. zeae-maydi. Through derivation, exponential growth phase was from maize seedling emergence to eady July in each year, logistic phase was from early July to late August, terminal phase was from eady September to the end of maize growth stage. [ Conclusion] The derivation result from model was consistent with the development biological laws of C. zeae-maydi.
文摘This study examined gender differences in modal choice among residents of coastal communities of Yenagoa metropolis in Bayelsa State, Nigeria. The Four-Step model of transportation planning and modal choice provided the theoretical basis for this study. A survey research design involving a stratified sampling technique was adopted. The descriptives on transport modes, amount and time spent revealed that 10 (76.9%) males and 3 (23.1%) females preferred bicycle as means of transportation, 7 (58.3%) males and 5 (41.7%) females preferred motorcycle, while a significant proportion 90 (53.9%) males and 77 (46.1%) females preferred tricycle, 80 (63.0%) males and 47 (37.0%) females preferred cars/taxis, and 12 (46.2%) males and 14 (53.8%) females preferred mass transit bus. However, 14 (46.7%) males and 16 (53.3%) females in marshy terrain and coastal locations preferred canoes and boats. The result of the logistic regression model revealed that gender modal preference is more likely to be influenced by mode of transportation with a beta weight of 1.140, safety considerations 1.139, ownership of transport 1.135 and distance to place of work 1.073. Hence, this study recommends that a combination of these factors should be incorporated into transport planning to achieve effective transport planning and sustainable development in the Yenagoa metropolis.
基金supported by theNationalNatural Science Foundation of China[grant number 12271168]the 111 Project of China[grant number B14019].
文摘In this paper,we propose a Bayesian PG-INLA algorithm which is tailored to both one-dimensional and multidimensional 2-PL IRT models.The proposed PG-INLA algorithm utilizes a computationally efficient data augmentation strategy via the Pólya-Gamma variables,which can avoid low computational efficiency of traditioanl Bayesian MCMC algorithms for IRT models with a logistic link function.Meanwhile,combined with the advanced and fast INLA algorithm,the PG-INLA algorithm is both accurate and computationally efficient.We provide details on the derivation of posterior and conditional distributions of IRT models,the method of introducing the Pólya-Gamma variable into Gibbs sampling,and the implementation of the PG-INLA algorithm for both onedimensional and multidimensional cases.Through simulation studies and an application to the data analysis of the IPIP-NEO personality inventory,we assess the performance of the PG-INLA algorithm.Extensions of the proposed PG-INLA algorithm to other IRT models are also discussed.
文摘Gully erosion is a disruptive phenomenon which extensively affects the Iranian territory,especially in the Northern provinces.A number of studies have been recently undertaken to study this process and to predict it over space and ultimately,in a broader national effort,to limit its negative effects on local communities.We focused on the Bastam watershed where 9.3%of its surface is currently affected by gullying.Machine learning algorithms are currently under the magnifying glass across the geomorphological community for their high predictive ability.However,unlike the bivariate statistical models,their structure does not provide intuitive and quantifiable measures of environmental preconditioning factors.To cope with such weakness,we interpret preconditioning causes on the basis of a bivariate approach namely,Index of Entropy.And,we performed the susceptibility mapping procedure by testing three extensions of a decision tree model namely,Alternating Decision Tree(ADTree),Naive-Bayes tree(NBTree),and Logistic Model Tree(LMT).We dichotomized the gully information over space into gully presence/absence conditions,which we further explored in their calibration and validation stages.Being the presence/absence information and associated factors identical,the resulting differences are only due to the algorithmic structures of the three models we chose.Such differences are not significant in terms of performances;in fact,the three models produce outstanding predictive AUC measures(ADTree=0.922;NBTree=0.939;LMT=0.944).However,the associated mapping results depict very different patterns where only the LMT is associated with reasonable susceptibility patterns.This is a strong indication of what model combines best performance and mapping for any natural hazard-oriented application.
基金Under the auspices of Major State Basic Research Development Program of China (No.2009CB426305)Cultivation Foundation of Science and Technology Innovation Platform of Northeast Normal University (No.106111065202)
文摘Remotely sensing images are now available for monitoring vegetation dynamics over large areas.In this paper,an improved logistic model that combines double logistic model and global function was developed.Using this model with SPOT/NDVI data,three key vegetation phenology metrics,the start of growing season (SOS),the end of growing season (EOS) and the length of growing season (LOS),were extracted and mapped in the Changbai Mountains,and the relationship between the key phenology metrics and elevation were established.Results show that average SOS of forest,cropland and grassland in the Changbai Mountains are on the 119th,145th,and 133rd day of year,respectively.The EOS of forest and grassland are similar,with the average on the 280th and 278th,respectively.In comparison,average EOS of the cropland is relatively earlier.The LOS of forest is mainly from the 160th to 180th,that of the grassland extends from the 140th to the 160th,and that of cropland stretches from the 110th to the 130th.As the latitude increases for the same land cover in the study area,the SOS significantly delays and the EOS becomes earlier.The SOS delays approximately three days as the elevation increases 100 m in the areas with elevation higher than 900 m above sea level (a.s.l.).The EOS is slightly earlier as the elevation increases especially in the areas with elevation below 1200 m a.s.l.The LOS shortens approximately four days as the elevation increases 100 m in the areas with elevation higher than 900 m a.s.l.The relationships between vegetation phenology metrics and elevation may be greatly influenced by the land covers.Validation by comparing with the field data and previous research results indicates that the improved logistic model is reliable and effective for extracting vegetation phenology metrics.
文摘Mine accidents and injuries are complex and generally characterized by several factors starting from personal to technical, and technical to social characteristics.In this study, an attempt has been made to identify the various factors responsible for work related injuries in mines and to estimate the risk of work injury to mine workers.The prediction of work injury in mines was done by a step-by-step multivariate logistic regression modeling with an application to case study mines in India.In total, 18 variables were considered in this study.Most of the variables are not directly quantifiable.Instruments were developed to quantify them through a questionnaire type survey.Underground mine workers were randomly selected for the survey.Responses from 300 participants were used for the analysis.Four variables, age, negative affectivity, job dissatisfaction, and physical hazards, bear significant discriminating power for risk of injury to the workers, comparing between cases and controls in a multivariate situation while controlling all the personal and socio-technical variables.The analysis reveals that negatively affected workers are 2.54 times more prone to injuries than the less negatively affected workers and this factor is a more important risk factor for the case-study mines.Long term planning through identification of the negative individuals, proper counseling regarding the adverse effects of negative behaviors and special training is urgently required.Care should be taken for the aged and experienced workers in terms of their job responsibility and training requirements.Management should provide a friendly atmosphere during work to increase the confidence of the injury prone miners.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(11271101)the NNSF of Shandong Province(ZR2010AQ021)
文摘A stochastic logistic model with delays and impulsive perturbation is proposed and investigated. Sufficient conditions for extinction are established as well as nonpersistence in the mean, weak persistence and stochastic permanence. The threshold between weak persistence and extinction is obtained. Furthermore, the theoretical analysis results are also derivated with the help of numerical simulations.
文摘The current measuring methods of walkability,such as the walk score,consider that walking distance decay laws for all amenities are the same,which is not applicable to typical communities in China with plentiful resources.Therefore,the walking distance decay laws of multi-type and multi-scale facilities are studied.Firstly,based on the residents'amenity selection survey,the walking distance decay law of residents'choice of amenity was studied from three aspects,including the law of all amenities,the laws of different types of amenities and the laws of different scales of amenities.It was proved that the walking distance decay laws of different kinds of amenities showed a significant difference.Secondly,different amenities'acceptable walking distance and optimum walking distance were obtained according to previous studies and the decay curve.Amenities with higher attraction and/or a larger scale showed a longer acceptable walking distance and optimum walking distance.Finally,the binary logistic model was used to describe the relationships between walking distance,amenity type,amenity scale and the probability of one amenity being selected,the prediction accuracy of which reached 80.4%.The calculated probability obtained from the model can be used as the decay coefficient of amenities in the measurement of walkability,providing a reference for the site selection and evaluation of amenities.
基金The project supported by the Natural Science Foundation of Jiangsu Province of China under Grant No. BK2001138
文摘With unified colored noise approximation, the logistic growth model is used to analyze cancer cell population when colored noise is included. It is found that both the coupling between noise terms and the noise color can induce continuous first-order-like and re-entrance-like phase transitions in the system. The coupling and the noise color can also increase tumor cell growth for small number of cell mass and repress tumor cell growth for large number of cell mass. It is shown that the approximate analytic expressions are consistent with the numerical simulations.
基金supported by Universiti Sultan Zainal Abidin(grant number:Uni SZA/2018/DPU/16)
文摘Objective:To identify the predictors of mortality among in-hospital melioidosis patients.Methods:A total of 453 patients in Hospital Sultanah Bahiyah,Kedah,and Hospital Tuanku Fauziah,Perlis with culture-confirmed melioidosis were retrospectively included in the study.Advanced multiple logistic regression was used to obtain the final model of predictors of mortality from melioidosis.The analysis was performed using STATA/SE 14.0.Results:A total of 50.11%(227/453)of the patients died at the hospital,and a majority(86.75%,393/453)of cases were bacteremic.The logistic regression estimated that the bacteremic type of melioidosis,low platelet count,abnormal white blood cell counts,and increased urea value were predictors of mortality.The results showed that bacteremic melioidosis increased the risk of death by 4.39 times(OR 4.39,95%CI 1.83-10.55,P=0.001)compared to non-bacteremic melioidosis.Based on laboratory test,the adjusted ORs from the final model showed that all three blood investigations were included as the associated factors of mortality for the disease[high white blood cell(>10×10^(9)/L):OR 2.43,95%CI1.41-4.17,P<0.001;low white blood cell(<4×10^(9)/L):OR 3.82,95%CI 1.09-13.34,P=0.036;low platelet(<100×10^(9)/L):OR 4.19,95%CI 1.89-9.30,P<0.001;high urea(>7800μmol/L):OR 5.53,95%CI 2.50-12.30,P<0.001;and low level of urea(<2500μmol/L):OR 3.52,95%CI 1.71-7.23,P=0.001].Conclusions:Routine blood investigations during a hospital admission can early identify predictors of mortality in melioidosis patients.
