The reliability of post grouting pile axial resistance was studied by proposing a design method for its probabilistic limit state,which is represented by the partial coefficients of load,end,and side resistance.The hy...The reliability of post grouting pile axial resistance was studied by proposing a design method for its probabilistic limit state,which is represented by the partial coefficients of load,end,and side resistance.The hyperbolic,modified hyperbolic,and polynomial models were employed to predict the ultimate bearing capacity of test piles that were not loaded to damage in field tests.The results were used for the calculation and calibration of the reliability index.The reliability of the probabilistic limit state design method was verified by an engineering case.The results show that the prediction results obtained from the modified hyperbolic model are closest to those obtained through the static load test.The proposed corresponding values of total,side,and end resistance partial coefficients are 1.84,1.66,and 2.73 when the dead and live load partial coefficients are taken as 1.1 and 1.4,respectively.Meanwhile,the corresponding partial coefficients of total,side,and end resistance are 1.70,1.56,and 2.34 when the dead and live load partial coefficients are taken as 1.2 and 1.4,respectively.展开更多
The objective is to develop an approach for the determination of the target reliability index for serviceability limit state(SLS) of single piles. This contributes to conducting the SLS reliability-based design(RBD) o...The objective is to develop an approach for the determination of the target reliability index for serviceability limit state(SLS) of single piles. This contributes to conducting the SLS reliability-based design(RBD) of piles. Based on a two-parameter,hyperbolic curve-fitting equation describing the load-settlement relation of piles, the SLS model factor is defined. Then, taking into account the uncertainties of load-settlement model, load and bearing capacity of piles, the formula for computing the SLS reliability index(βsls) is obtained using the mean value first order second moment(MVFOSM) method. Meanwhile, the limit state function for conducting the SLS reliability analysis by the Monte Carlo simulation(MCS) method is established. These two methods are finally applied to determine the SLS target reliability index. Herein, the limiting tolerable settlement(slt) is treated as a random variable. For illustration, four load test databases from South Africa are compiled again to conduct reliability analysis and present the recommended target reliability indices. The results indicate that the MVFOSM method overestimates βsls compared to that computed by the MCS method. Besides, both factor of safety(FS) and slt are key factors influencing βsls, so the combination of FS and βsls is welcome to be used for the SLS reliability analysis of piles when slt is determined. For smaller slt, pile types and soils conditions have significant influence on the SLS target reliability indices; for larger slt, slt is the major factor having influence on the SLS target reliability indices. This proves that slt is the most key parameter for the determination of the SLS target reliability index.展开更多
Based on the classical response surface method （RSM）, a novel RSM using improved experimental points （EPs） is presented for reliability analysis. Two novel points are included in the presented method. One is the u...Based on the classical response surface method （RSM）, a novel RSM using improved experimental points （EPs） is presented for reliability analysis. Two novel points are included in the presented method. One is the use of linear interpolation, from which the total EPs for determining the RS are selected to be closer to the actual failure surface; the other is the application of sequential linear interpolation to control the distance be- tween the surrounding EPs and the center EP, by which the presented method can ensure that the RS fits the actual failure surface in the region of maximum likelihood as the center EPs converge to the actual most probable point （MPP）. Since the fitting precision of the RS to the actual failure surface in the vicinity of the MPP, which has significant contribution to the probability of the failure surface being exceeded, is increased by the presented method, the precision of the failure probability calculated by RS is increased as well. Numerical examples illustrate the accuracy and efficiency of the presented method.展开更多
我国陆上天然气管道规模庞大,管道路由地形、地貌和气候特征复杂多样。面对管道及管道所处环境的复杂性,提高油气管道的本质安全水平是行业和民众的共同需求,保证陆上天然气管道安全和可靠运行也越来越成为行业关注的焦点。为达到这个目...我国陆上天然气管道规模庞大,管道路由地形、地貌和气候特征复杂多样。面对管道及管道所处环境的复杂性,提高油气管道的本质安全水平是行业和民众的共同需求,保证陆上天然气管道安全和可靠运行也越来越成为行业关注的焦点。为达到这个目标,可以采用从源头上对陆上天然气管道的设计方法进行改进的办法。目前天然气管道设计大多普遍利用传统的基于应力的设计方法,该方法由于采用单一的安全系数导致油气管道的安全裕度难以考量,针对此问题,基于可靠性的油气管道设计和评估方法(Reliability Based Design and Assessment,简称RBDA)正成为现代陆上天然气管道设计的趋向,该方法可量化管道全生命周期中的风险,避免采用不合理或过于保守的设计标准。故本研究综合CSAZ662《油气管道系统》标准规范的油气管道可靠性设计方法,并结合国内部分机构根据我国国情而修正的可靠性研究,利用RBDA方法流程,根据某段实际天然气管道确定该管道失效的主要原因(以腐蚀和第三方破坏为主),设计了管道在其生命周期内的极限状态,根据极限状态选择对应的极限状态方程类型,并利用多种数据统计分析方法和软件确定方程中所涉及各个随机变量参数的分布类型,之后利用蒙特卡洛法(Monte-Carlo法)计算设计壁厚条件下得到天然气管道失效概率,统筹考虑其他失效原因的权重,进而得到该管道的可靠度,将该可靠度数据与国内外标准规范确定的目标可靠度进行对比,检验是否满足可靠度目标。由此,对大口径天然气管段完成壁厚设计,实现了使用RBDA方法对1016 mm大口径天然气管道设计的整体流程。展开更多
基金The National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.51878160,52008100,52078128).
文摘The reliability of post grouting pile axial resistance was studied by proposing a design method for its probabilistic limit state,which is represented by the partial coefficients of load,end,and side resistance.The hyperbolic,modified hyperbolic,and polynomial models were employed to predict the ultimate bearing capacity of test piles that were not loaded to damage in field tests.The results were used for the calculation and calibration of the reliability index.The reliability of the probabilistic limit state design method was verified by an engineering case.The results show that the prediction results obtained from the modified hyperbolic model are closest to those obtained through the static load test.The proposed corresponding values of total,side,and end resistance partial coefficients are 1.84,1.66,and 2.73 when the dead and live load partial coefficients are taken as 1.1 and 1.4,respectively.Meanwhile,the corresponding partial coefficients of total,side,and end resistance are 1.70,1.56,and 2.34 when the dead and live load partial coefficients are taken as 1.2 and 1.4,respectively.
基金Projects(51278216,51308241)supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of ChinaProject(2013BS010)supported by the Funds of Henan University of Technology for High-level Talents,China
文摘The objective is to develop an approach for the determination of the target reliability index for serviceability limit state(SLS) of single piles. This contributes to conducting the SLS reliability-based design(RBD) of piles. Based on a two-parameter,hyperbolic curve-fitting equation describing the load-settlement relation of piles, the SLS model factor is defined. Then, taking into account the uncertainties of load-settlement model, load and bearing capacity of piles, the formula for computing the SLS reliability index(βsls) is obtained using the mean value first order second moment(MVFOSM) method. Meanwhile, the limit state function for conducting the SLS reliability analysis by the Monte Carlo simulation(MCS) method is established. These two methods are finally applied to determine the SLS target reliability index. Herein, the limiting tolerable settlement(slt) is treated as a random variable. For illustration, four load test databases from South Africa are compiled again to conduct reliability analysis and present the recommended target reliability indices. The results indicate that the MVFOSM method overestimates βsls compared to that computed by the MCS method. Besides, both factor of safety(FS) and slt are key factors influencing βsls, so the combination of FS and βsls is welcome to be used for the SLS reliability analysis of piles when slt is determined. For smaller slt, pile types and soils conditions have significant influence on the SLS target reliability indices; for larger slt, slt is the major factor having influence on the SLS target reliability indices. This proves that slt is the most key parameter for the determination of the SLS target reliability index.
基金Project supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No.10572117)the Program for New Century Excellent Talents in University (No.05-0868)
文摘Based on the classical response surface method （RSM）, a novel RSM using improved experimental points （EPs） is presented for reliability analysis. Two novel points are included in the presented method. One is the use of linear interpolation, from which the total EPs for determining the RS are selected to be closer to the actual failure surface; the other is the application of sequential linear interpolation to control the distance be- tween the surrounding EPs and the center EP, by which the presented method can ensure that the RS fits the actual failure surface in the region of maximum likelihood as the center EPs converge to the actual most probable point （MPP）. Since the fitting precision of the RS to the actual failure surface in the vicinity of the MPP, which has significant contribution to the probability of the failure surface being exceeded, is increased by the presented method, the precision of the failure probability calculated by RS is increased as well. Numerical examples illustrate the accuracy and efficiency of the presented method.
文摘我国陆上天然气管道规模庞大,管道路由地形、地貌和气候特征复杂多样。面对管道及管道所处环境的复杂性,提高油气管道的本质安全水平是行业和民众的共同需求,保证陆上天然气管道安全和可靠运行也越来越成为行业关注的焦点。为达到这个目标,可以采用从源头上对陆上天然气管道的设计方法进行改进的办法。目前天然气管道设计大多普遍利用传统的基于应力的设计方法,该方法由于采用单一的安全系数导致油气管道的安全裕度难以考量,针对此问题,基于可靠性的油气管道设计和评估方法(Reliability Based Design and Assessment,简称RBDA)正成为现代陆上天然气管道设计的趋向,该方法可量化管道全生命周期中的风险,避免采用不合理或过于保守的设计标准。故本研究综合CSAZ662《油气管道系统》标准规范的油气管道可靠性设计方法,并结合国内部分机构根据我国国情而修正的可靠性研究,利用RBDA方法流程,根据某段实际天然气管道确定该管道失效的主要原因(以腐蚀和第三方破坏为主),设计了管道在其生命周期内的极限状态,根据极限状态选择对应的极限状态方程类型,并利用多种数据统计分析方法和软件确定方程中所涉及各个随机变量参数的分布类型,之后利用蒙特卡洛法(Monte-Carlo法)计算设计壁厚条件下得到天然气管道失效概率,统筹考虑其他失效原因的权重,进而得到该管道的可靠度,将该可靠度数据与国内外标准规范确定的目标可靠度进行对比,检验是否满足可靠度目标。由此,对大口径天然气管段完成壁厚设计,实现了使用RBDA方法对1016 mm大口径天然气管道设计的整体流程。
