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台风Lekima(1909)登陆前后动热力结构变化对浙江极端降水的影响 被引量:11
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作者 韩芙蓉 鹿翔 +2 位作者 冯晓钰 吴天贻 黄嘉仪 《热带气象学报》 CSCD 北大核心 2021年第1期34-48,共15页
利用NCEP FNL 1°×1°的全球再分析资料、FY-2F卫星相当黑体亮温TBB资料、中国自动站与CMORPH降水产品融合的逐时降水资料和多普勒天气雷达资料,重点分析了台风Lekima(2019)发展演变过程中的动热力结构变化和水汽分布特征... 利用NCEP FNL 1°×1°的全球再分析资料、FY-2F卫星相当黑体亮温TBB资料、中国自动站与CMORPH降水产品融合的逐时降水资料和多普勒天气雷达资料,重点分析了台风Lekima(2019)发展演变过程中的动热力结构变化和水汽分布特征与浙江极端强降水之间的关系。台风Lekima(2019)近海急剧加强为具有特殊双眼壁结构的超强台风,登陆前后环境水平风垂直切变维持较小值是主导台风高强度维持的重要原因。浙江上空维持着强盛的低层辐合和高层辐散场,高低层辐散风的高强度维持使得次级环流抽吸作用强,低层旋转风和辐散风对水汽、动量和热量的输送和分布起到显著的再分配作用,而中层的辐散风风向和风速变化对螺旋云带中的中尺度对流性降水具有重要的指示意义。登陆前后台风低层东北侧(超)低空急流和中层的辐合线是此次浙江台风暴雨的关键点,业务中需密切关注登陆前后台风东北侧的低空急流的影响区域及其变化。此外,700 hPa上非地转湿Q矢量散度场能较好指示未来1小时短时强降水的落区和强度变化,同时结合垂直速度场和低层水汽辐合场来综合判断台风降水落区的效果更佳。 展开更多
关键词 台风lekima 动热力结构 水汽分布 风场分解 非地转湿Q矢量
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Distribution and Oceanic Dynamic Mechism of Precipitation Induced by Typhoon Lekima
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作者 Linxu Huang Ruixue Cao Shuwen Zhang 《American Journal of Climate Change》 2022年第2期133-154,共22页
Air-sea interaction usually affects the distribution of precipitation during typhoon period, but whether typhoon precipitation distribution is affected by ocean eddies is still unclear. In this study, based on a multi... Air-sea interaction usually affects the distribution of precipitation during typhoon period, but whether typhoon precipitation distribution is affected by ocean eddies is still unclear. In this study, based on a multi-source satellite database, reanalysis data and in-situ data were used to study the precipitation characteristics of Typhoon Lekima (2019) as well as its physical causes. The results showed that the precipitation of Lekima presents an asymmetric structure, exhibiting heavier precipitation on the left side of the typhoon path before 7 August, and with the typhoon strengthened, precipitation was evenly distributed around the typhoon center. The typhoon cloud system, characteristics of the typhoon, and ocean factors could be responsible for the asymmetric structure of precipitation during the typhoon period. The change in the typhoon cloud system during the typhoon influenced the distribution of precipitation. And there have been some oceanic processes that influenced the distribution of precipitation. Anticyclonic eddies and thick mixing level depths (MLDs) play important roles in typhoon precipitation. The anticyclonic eddies with thick MLD exist to reduce the mixing of the upper ocean to maintain the SST. Therefore, the SST and air-sea exchange can be sustained to influence typhoon precipitation. This study provides a new understanding of the impact of ocean processes on typhoon precipitation distribution. 展开更多
关键词 Typhoon lekima Ekman Pumping Ocean Mixing Mesoscale Eddies PRECIPITATION
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A Simulation Study on the Clouds Microphysical Processes of Heavy Precipitation in Hebei Area Caused by"Lekima"
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作者 Min PENG Wenxia YANG +3 位作者 Zhihui WU Jiannan ZHANG Yang YANG Shaoyu HOU 《Meteorological and Environmental Research》 CAS 2023年第4期24-31,共8页
During the period of the super typhoon"Lekima"(No.1909)landed on the coast of North China,a high-resolution numerical simulation study was carried out with the WRF model on the clouds microphysical process o... During the period of the super typhoon"Lekima"(No.1909)landed on the coast of North China,a high-resolution numerical simulation study was carried out with the WRF model on the clouds microphysical process of heavy precipitation.The results showed that(1)the water vapor convergence tended to develop and strengthen on the way forward of typhoon center,and the evolution of water vapor convergence zone was closely related to the development of typhoon asymmetric structure,and had a good corresponding relationship with the falling zone of the rainstorm.(2)The eastern coast of Hebei was located in the big-value area of water vapor transport belt in the northwest quadrant of the typhoon.Below 850 hPa,northeast wind appeared,and warm humid water vapor was transported from marine area to terrestrial by typhoon.Affected by upper-level westerly trough,westerly wind was dominated above 700 hPa,and water vapor convergence was transported from low level to upper level,and several rainstorm center appeared.(3)In the spiral rain bands of typhoon,the big-value center of graupel particles cooperated with the warm cloud enriched with water content,and the ground would produce a center of heavy precipitation,and the precipitation center of pure warm cloud appeared in 117.5°E.This phenomenon rarely occurred during continental cloud precipitation.Therefore,the contribution of warm cloud precipitation mechanism to the typhoon spiral rain belt should be emphasized. 展开更多
关键词 lekima Simulated diagnosis Microphysical structure
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Validation of Doppler Wind Lidar during Super Typhoon Lekima (2019) 被引量:3
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作者 Shengming TANG Yun GUO +5 位作者 Xu WANG Jie TANG Tiantian LI Bingke ZHAO Shuai ZHANG Yongping LI 《Frontiers of Earth Science》 SCIE CSCD 2022年第1期75-89,共15页
This study undertook verification of the applicability and accuracy of wind data measured using a WindCube V2 Doppler Wind Lidar(DWL).The data were collected as part of a field experiment in Zhoushan,Zhejiang Province... This study undertook verification of the applicability and accuracy of wind data measured using a WindCube V2 Doppler Wind Lidar(DWL).The data were collected as part of a field experiment in Zhoushan,Zhejiang Province(China),which was conducted by Shanghai Typhoon Institute of China Meteorological Administration during the passage of Super Typhoon Lekima(2019).The DWL measurements were compared with balloon-borne GPS radiosonde(GPS sonde)data,which were acquired using balloons launched from the DWL location.Results showed that wind speed measured by GPS sonde at heights of<100 m is unreliable owing to the drift effect.Optimal agreement(at heights of>100 m)was found for DWL-measured wind speed time-averaged during the ascent of the GPS sonde from the ground surface to the height of 270 m(correlation coefficient:0.82;root mean square(RMS):2.19 m·h^(-1)).Analysis revealed that precipitation intensity(PI)exerts considerable influence on both the carrier-to-noise ratio and the rate of missing DWL data;however,PI has minimal effect on the wind speed bias of DWL measurements.Specifically,the rate of missing DWL data increased with increasing measurement height and PI.For PI classed as heavy rain or less(PI<12 mm·h^(-1)),the DWL data below 300 m were considered valid,whereas for PI classed as a severe rainstorm(PI>90 m·h^(-1)),only data below 100 m were valid.Up to the height of 300 m,the RMS of the DWL measurements was nearly half that of wind profile radar(WPR)estimates(4.32 m·s^(-1)),indicating that DWL wind data are more accurate than WPR data under typhoon conditions. 展开更多
关键词 LIDAR WindCube GPS sonde Super Typhoon lekima PRECIPITATION
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Typhoon Risk Perception: A Case Study of Typhoon Lekima in China 被引量:3
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作者 Jiting Tang Saini Yang +2 位作者 Yimeng Liu Kezhen Yao Guofu Wang 《International Journal of Disaster Risk Science》 SCIE CSCD 2022年第2期261-274,共14页
The typhoon is one major threat to human societies and natural ecosystems, and its risk perception is crucial for contextualizing and managing disaster risks in different social settings. Social media data are a new d... The typhoon is one major threat to human societies and natural ecosystems, and its risk perception is crucial for contextualizing and managing disaster risks in different social settings. Social media data are a new data source for studying risk perception, because such data are timely, widely distributed, and sensitive to emergencies.However, few studies have focused on crowd sensitivity variation in social media data-based typhoon risk perception. Based on the regional disaster system theory, a framework of analysis for crowd risk perception was established to explore the feasibility of using social media data for typhoon risk perception analysis and crowd sensitivity variation. The goal was to quantitatively analyze the impact of hazard intensity and social and geographical environments on risk perception and its variation among population groups. Taking the Sina Weibo data during Typhoon Lekima of 2019 as an example, we found that:(1)Typhoon Lekima-related Weibo public attention changed in accordance with the evolution of the typhoon track and the number of Weibo posts shows a significantly positive correlation with disaster losses, while socioeconomic factors,including population, gross domestic product, and land area, are not explanatory factors of the spatial distribution of disaster-related Weibo posts;(2) Females, nonlocals with travel plans, and people living in areas with high hazard intensity, low elevation, or near waterbodies affected by Lekima paid more attention to the typhoon disaster;and(3)Descriptions of rainfall intensity by females are closer to the meteorological observation data. 展开更多
关键词 China Crowd sensitivity Regional disaster system theory Risk perception Social media Typhoon lekima
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Rainfall forecast errors in different landfall stages of Super Typhoon Lekima (2019) 被引量:2
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作者 Bin HE Zifeng YU +2 位作者 Yan TAN Yan SHEN Yingjun CHEN 《Frontiers of Earth Science》 SCIE CSCD 2022年第1期34-51,共18页
The rainfall forecast performance of the Tropical Cyclone(TC)version Model of Global and Regional Assimilation PrEdiction System(GRAPESTCM)of the China Meteorological Administration for landfalling Super Typhoon Lekim... The rainfall forecast performance of the Tropical Cyclone(TC)version Model of Global and Regional Assimilation PrEdiction System(GRAPESTCM)of the China Meteorological Administration for landfalling Super Typhoon Lekima(2019)is studied by using the object-oriented verification method of contiguous rain area(CRA).The major error sources and possible reasons for the rainfall forecast uncertainties in different landfall stages(including near landfall and moving further inland)are compared.Results show that different performance and errors of rainfall forecast exist in the different TC stages.In the near landfall stage the asymmetric rainfall distribution is hard to be simulated,which might be related to the too strong forecasted TC intensity and too weak vertical wind shear accompanied.As Lekima moves further inland,the rain pattern and volume errors gradually increase.The Equitable Threat Score of the 24 h forecasted rainfall over 100 mm declines quickly with the time-length over land.The diagnostic analysis shows that there exists an interaction between the TC and the mid-latitude westerlies,but too weak frontogenesis is simulated.The results of this research indicate that for the current numerical model,the forecast ability of persistent heavy rainfall is very limited,especially when the weakened landing TC moves further inland. 展开更多
关键词 landing tropical cyclone rainfall forecast verification contiguous rain area lekima
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The impact of Typhoon Lekima (2019) on East China: a postevent survey in Wenzhou City and Taizhou City 被引量:2
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作者 Cong ZHOU Peiyan CHEN +8 位作者 Shifang YANG Feng ZHENG Hui YU Jie TANG Yi LU Guoming CHEN Xiaoqing LU Xiping ZHANG Jing SUN 《Frontiers of Earth Science》 SCIE CSCD 2022年第1期109-120,共12页
Typhoon Lekima(2019)struck Zhejiang Province on 10 August 2019 as a supertyphoon,which severely impacted Zhejiang Province.The typhoon killed 45 people and left three others missing,and the total economic loss reached... Typhoon Lekima(2019)struck Zhejiang Province on 10 August 2019 as a supertyphoon,which severely impacted Zhejiang Province.The typhoon killed 45 people and left three others missing,and the total economic loss reached 40.71 billion yuan.This paper reports a postdisaster survey that focuses on the storm precipitation,flooding,landslides,and weather services associated with Typhoon Lekima(2019)along the southeastern coastline of Zhejiang Province.The survey was conducted by a joint survey team from the Shanghai Typhoon Institute and local meteorological bureaus from 26 to 28 August,2019,approximately two weeks after the disaster.Based on this survey and subsequent analyses of the results,we hope to develop countermeasures to prevent future tragedies. 展开更多
关键词 Typhoon lekima(2019) Zhejiang Province disaster assessment postdisaster survey
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Evaluation of forecast performance for Super Typhoon Lekima in 2019 被引量:1
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作者 Guomin CHEN Xiping ZHANG +1 位作者 Qing CAO Zhihua ZENG 《Frontiers of Earth Science》 SCIE CSCD 2022年第1期17-33,共17页
The predictions for Super Typhoon Lekima(2019)have been evaluated from official forecasts,global models,regional models and ensemble prediction systems(EPSs)at lead times of 1–5 days.Track errors from most determinis... The predictions for Super Typhoon Lekima(2019)have been evaluated from official forecasts,global models,regional models and ensemble prediction systems(EPSs)at lead times of 1–5 days.Track errors from most deterministic forecasts are smaller than their annual mean errors in 2019.Compared to the propagation speed,the propagation direction of Lekima(2019)was much easier to determine for the official agency and numerical weather prediction(NWP)models.The National Centers for Environmental Prediction Global Ensemble Forecast System(NCEP-GEFS),Japan Meteorological Agency Global Ensemble Prediction System(JMA-GEPS)and Meteorological Service of Canada Ensemble System(MSC-CENS)are underdispersed,and the Shanghai Typhoon Institute Typhoon Ensemble Data Assimilation and Prediction System(STI-TEDAPS)is overdispersed,while the ensemble prediction system from European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts(ECMWF)shows adequate dispersion at all lead times.Most deterministic forecasting methods underestimated the intensity of Lekima(2019),especially for the rapid intensification period after Lekima(2019)entered the East China Sea.All of the deterministic forecasts performed well at predicting the first landfall point at Wenling,Zhejiang Province with a lead time of 24 and 48 h. 展开更多
关键词 Typhoon lekima(2019) TRACK INTENSITY landfall point forecast verification
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Drastic change in dynamics as Typhoon Lekima experiences an eyewall replacement cycle 被引量:1
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作者 Fen XU X.San LIANG 《Frontiers of Earth Science》 SCIE CSCD 2022年第1期121-131,共11页
Why does the 1909 typhoon,Lekima,become so destructive after making landfall in China?Using a newly developed mathematical apparatus,the multiscale window transform(MWT),and the MWT-based localized mutliscale energeti... Why does the 1909 typhoon,Lekima,become so destructive after making landfall in China?Using a newly developed mathematical apparatus,the multiscale window transform(MWT),and the MWT-based localized mutliscale energetics analysis and theory of canonical transfer,this study is intended to give a partial answer from a dynamical point of view.The ECMWF reanalysis fields are first reconstructed onto the background window,the TC-scale window,and the convection-scale window.A localized energetics analysis is then performed,which reveals to us distinctly different scenarios before and after August 8–9,2019,when an eyewall replacement cycle takes place.Before that,the energy supply in the upper layer is mainly via a strong upper layer-limited baroclinic instability;the available potential energy thus-gained is then converted into the TC-scale kinetic energy,with a portion to fuel Lekima’s upper part,another portion carried downward via pressure work flux to maintain the cyclone’s lower part.After the eyewall replacement cycle,a drastic change in dynamics occurs.First,the pressure work is greatly increased in magnitude.A positive baroclinic transfer almost spreads throughout the troposphere,and so does barotropic transfer;in other words,the whole air column is now both barotropically and baroclinically unstable.These newly occurred instabilities help compensate the increasing consumption of the TC-scale kinetic energy,and hence help counteract the dissipation of Lekima after making landfalls. 展开更多
关键词 Typhoon lekima multiscale window transform canonical transfer multiscale energetics barotropic/baroclinic instability
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Modelling morphodynamic responses of a natural embayed beach to Typhoon Lekima encountering different tide types
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作者 Xu Liu Cuiping Kuang +1 位作者 Shichang Huang Weiliang Dong 《Anthropocene Coasts》 2022年第1期27-37,共11页
Recent developments in process-based coastal area models such as XBeach provide new opportunities to predict coastal responses to primary forcing mechanisms such as storm hydrodynamic by using 2DH grids.However,due to... Recent developments in process-based coastal area models such as XBeach provide new opportunities to predict coastal responses to primary forcing mechanisms such as storm hydrodynamic by using 2DH grids.However,due to the lack of measured data,there are few application scenarios of the models.Therefore,more measurement and research are needed.In this paper,the Typhoon Lekima that hitting Zhejiang Province during neap tide period was selected to simulate morphodynamic responses of the Huangcheng Beach by assuming encountering with different tide types.Cross shore measurements with eight cross-shore profiles(named S1~S8 from north to south)of the Huangcheng Beach pre-and post-the Typhoon Lekima respectively were presented.Then a 2DH storm surge and wave coupled model was established with Delft3D Flow/Wave.The model was well calibrated with measured water levels and wave data and provided hydrodynamic boundary conditions of different typhoon and tide types coupling situations for a refined model.The refined model was built using XBeach and simulated the morphological responses of the Huangcheng beach with well verifications.On basis of the numerical results,bed level changes at the eight profiles were analyzed,and the character of erosion and deposition under different tide conditions were illustrated.The net sand volume changes were got smaller under the spring tide condition rather than middle tide and neap tide conditions.Further study of the distribution of wave induced current at different stages of collision,inundation and ebb shown that the stronger current under spring tide condition would increase the sediment transport rate and reduce the deposition volume at profiles S3 and S6~S8,and the total amount of sediment involved in transportation had increased for the whole beach,leading to the reduction of net erosion volume at profiles S1,S2,S4 and S5. 展开更多
关键词 Morphology change Huangcheng Beach Typhoon lekima XBeach Storm impact Numerical modelling
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超强台风“利奇马”(1909)近海路径预报误差的关键影响机制
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作者 张彤彤 李涵 +4 位作者 郝冰洁 童劲 朱磊 葛旭阳 马旭林 《气象学报》 北大核心 2025年第5期1241-1257,共17页
尽管台风路径和强度的数值预报已取得显著进展,但依然难以满足业务预报的需求。利用高分辨率中尺度数值预报模式WRF,通过不同的模式初值、起报时间和微物理参数化方案的8组组合试验,揭示模式初值对台风“利奇马”(1909)路径预报的敏感性... 尽管台风路径和强度的数值预报已取得显著进展,但依然难以满足业务预报的需求。利用高分辨率中尺度数值预报模式WRF,通过不同的模式初值、起报时间和微物理参数化方案的8组组合试验,揭示模式初值对台风“利奇马”(1909)路径预报的敏感性,并将最大和最小路径误差的模拟结果作为代表性试验,构建了改进模式初值的敏感性试验,以此进一步研究不同模式初值导致台风路径预报差异的影响机制。结果表明:西太平洋副热带高压(简称副高)强度和范围的准确预报对台风路径的预报起重要作用,初始场中副高偏强将导致模式预报的副高偏强,致使台风沿副高西移、北上受阻且移速偏慢,从而导致路径预报误差显著增大。其次,台风移动路径与不同阶段台风内核结构的预报误差密切相关,而大尺度环流形势背景下的风垂直切变可能是导致这一误差的重要原因。此外,副高范围和强度偏大,台风中心附近水平风速非对称分布为对流触发提供了有利条件,进一步使得台风强度增大,是模拟台风移速偏慢的重要原因。 展开更多
关键词 西太平洋副热带高压 引导气流 台风路径 风垂直切变 台风“利奇马”
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西北太平洋海浪模型构建与台风浪分析
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作者 姜贺 陈学恩 +3 位作者 张佳琳 李延刚 曹兵 何佩东 《海洋湖沼通报(中英文)》 北大核心 2025年第2期23-29,共7页
本文基于WAVEWATCHⅢ(WW3)海浪模式构建了西北太平洋海浪模型,并对2019年8月8日—8月9日“利奇马”台风期间的海浪有效波高进行了模拟和分析。利用再分析数据和浮标观测数据分别评估了WW3模式在西北太平洋海域的适用性。结果表明:再分... 本文基于WAVEWATCHⅢ(WW3)海浪模式构建了西北太平洋海浪模型,并对2019年8月8日—8月9日“利奇马”台风期间的海浪有效波高进行了模拟和分析。利用再分析数据和浮标观测数据分别评估了WW3模式在西北太平洋海域的适用性。结果表明:再分析有效波高与WW3模式模拟有效波高的相关系数均在0.9以上,说明二者的一致性较好,浮标观测有效波高与模式模拟结果的变化趋势一致,表明本文所建立的海浪模型可以较好再现西北太平洋海域的台风浪变化特征。 展开更多
关键词 西北太平洋海域 有效波高 WAVEWATCHⅢ模式 “利奇马”台风
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台风“利奇马”对莱州湾水质变化的影响
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作者 杨子仪 杨雪娜 +2 位作者 于晓霞 梁生康 宋德海 《海洋学报》 北大核心 2025年第10期41-54,共14页
在全球变暖的背景下,台风的活动强度呈增加趋势,其伴随的强降雨和强风会在短时间内改变近海动力环境,引发强烈的生态响应。本文基于非结构化有限体积海洋模型(FVCOM)构建三维水动力-水质耦合模型,研究了台风“利奇马”(编号:1909)对莱... 在全球变暖的背景下,台风的活动强度呈增加趋势,其伴随的强降雨和强风会在短时间内改变近海动力环境,引发强烈的生态响应。本文基于非结构化有限体积海洋模型(FVCOM)构建三维水动力-水质耦合模型,研究了台风“利奇马”(编号:1909)对莱州湾余流、盐度和水质变化及营养盐输运的影响,并通过敏感性实验量化了台风期间河流输入和风场对水质的贡献。结果表明,台风过境时,黄河口以南形成一支强西南沿岸流,海湾余流整体呈现西入东出的格局。强降雨过程导致环湾河流径流量和溶解态无机氮(DIN)入海通量急剧增加,黄河口和湾西南岸河口附近表层盐度骤降,DIN质量浓度升高。表层盐度于台风过境后2 d降至最低值25.91,较台风前下降1.57;表层DIN质量浓度于台风过境后8 d升至最高值0.61 mg/L,是台风前的1.51倍。湾口断面通量的计算结果显示,台风期间莱州湾与渤海的DIN交换经历了强入流和强出流两个阶段,共有1.88 kt DIN从莱州湾向渤海输运。其中,河流输入和风场对水质的贡献分别为70.15%和-18.47%,即河流输入是引发海湾水质剧烈变化的关键因素,而台风风场使余流向陆偏转,不利于DIN向渤海输运。本研究强调了台风在调控海湾水质变化中起到的关键作用,为沿海区域的可持续发展和生态环境保护提供科学支持。 展开更多
关键词 台风“利奇马” 莱州湾 营养盐输运 近海水质 数值模拟
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2019年超强台风“利奇马”外雨带降水精细结构分析
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作者 彭成祥 端义宏 冯佳宁 《中国海洋大学学报(自然科学版)》 北大核心 2025年第3期1-12,共12页
本文利用中国地面高时空分辨率的降水资料,分析台风“利奇马”(Lekima)登陆期间,其外雨带在浙江沿海地区产生的降水特征。结果表明,“利奇马”外雨带影响下浙江地区降水过程的累计降水、分钟雨强均呈现显著极端性,强降水中心呈现带状分... 本文利用中国地面高时空分辨率的降水资料,分析台风“利奇马”(Lekima)登陆期间,其外雨带在浙江沿海地区产生的降水特征。结果表明,“利奇马”外雨带影响下浙江地区降水过程的累计降水、分钟雨强均呈现显著极端性,强降水中心呈现带状分布特征,在空间和时间上具有明显的非均匀性。同时,本次降水呈现出多种时间尺度的波动特征,周期128~192 min的波动信号贯穿了整个降水过程。外雨带主要位于台风移动方向前侧,其不同位置的降水波动特征有所不同,雨带外边缘降水小波功率谱有两个明显的大值中心,即除周期128~192 min波动信号外,还有准周期16~64 min的波动特征;雨带内侧则分为周期128~256 min的波动信号和多个周期在16 min以下的高频波动信号。本文的研究对提高登陆台风的降水精细化预测水平有重要意义。 展开更多
关键词 台风 利奇马 降水 时空演变 波动特征
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中低纬度系统相互作用引发极端降水的中尺度系统结构分析
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作者 李君 邹瑾 +4 位作者 高留喜 胡晓琳 毕陟 邱粲 贾瑞 《气象科学》 2025年第3期320-330,共11页
采用多普勒雷达、风廓线、自动气象站等监测资料,结合NCEP/NCAR(美国国家环境预报中心)1°×1°再分析资料和双多普勒雷达反演风场资料,分析台风”利奇马”引发的中α尺度暴雨形成过程,研究中低纬度系统相互作用造成极端暴... 采用多普勒雷达、风廓线、自动气象站等监测资料,结合NCEP/NCAR(美国国家环境预报中心)1°×1°再分析资料和双多普勒雷达反演风场资料,分析台风”利奇马”引发的中α尺度暴雨形成过程,研究中低纬度系统相互作用造成极端暴雨的中α尺度系统动力结构及其演变,结果表明:(1)低纬度台风环流北侧的东南气流与中纬度西风槽后偏北气流之间的切变引发的中α尺度辐合区是造成极端降水的中尺度系统;(2)东南急流增强触发对流,高空急流随之增强,高空急流加深了中尺度辐合区的发展,其传播引起的变压风与东南急流叠加并与槽前偏南急流打通,形成一条长长的海上暖湿输送带,提供丰富的水汽和不稳定能量;(3)双多普勒雷达反演的三维精细风场显示,初始对流由高度1~4 km、风速大于16 m·s^(-1)的不连续东南风脉冲触发;当低层东北气流加厚到4 km高度时,风垂直切变的增大导致降水强度增加超过20 mm·h^(-1);(4)冷空气从减弱的西风槽高层下沉,向东南侵入低层,是切变形成、加强并长时间维持不可缺少的条件,促进上升运动和对流加强,增加风的垂直切变,造成降水增幅,是极端降水的重要因素。 展开更多
关键词 中低纬度系统相互作用 中α尺度系统 台风“利奇马” 冷空气
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超强台风“利奇马”(1909)极端降水研究回顾
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作者 王雯静 任福民 +1 位作者 贾莉 马蕴琦 《海洋气象学报》 2025年第1期90-103,共14页
1909号台风“利奇马”是1949—2019年登陆浙江的第三强台风,影响中国中东部大部分省份,风雨强度大、极端性显著、灾害损失严重。台风降水主要影响浙江和山东两地,分别对应两大降水阶段。为更全面地认识此次过程,从大尺度天气形势、台风... 1909号台风“利奇马”是1949—2019年登陆浙江的第三强台风,影响中国中东部大部分省份,风雨强度大、极端性显著、灾害损失严重。台风降水主要影响浙江和山东两地,分别对应两大降水阶段。为更全面地认识此次过程,从大尺度天气形势、台风自身强度、动热力因子、云微物理、水汽和能量输送以及地形等方面对“利奇马”引发的两个阶段极端降水的异同成因进行回顾总结。稳定的环流形势及其良好配置、充足的水汽和能量以及双台风作用均是贯穿整个极端降水过程的有利因子。台风自身高强度、地形增幅作用、良好的动热力条件以及云微物理过程的有利影响是造成第一阶段浙江极端降水的独特成因;而第二阶段山东极端降水的独特成因是西风槽冷空气入侵和台风长时间影响。此外,对“利奇马”极端降水过程进一步研究方向进行讨论。 展开更多
关键词 台风“利奇马” 极端降水 成因 研究回顾
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台风“利奇马”对渤海风暴潮影响研究 被引量:10
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作者 李健 侯一筠 +2 位作者 刘清容 姜涛 焦艳 《海洋预报》 CSCD 北大核心 2021年第1期35-43,共9页
利用实测资料对比和FVCOM数值模拟等方法,研究了"利奇马"台风风暴潮在渤海的演变规律。研究表明:渤海沿岸的风暴潮过程是由局地风"直接作用"及外部天气系统"间接影响"共同作用引起的,且它们引起的风暴潮... 利用实测资料对比和FVCOM数值模拟等方法,研究了"利奇马"台风风暴潮在渤海的演变规律。研究表明:渤海沿岸的风暴潮过程是由局地风"直接作用"及外部天气系统"间接影响"共同作用引起的,且它们引起的风暴潮时空分布明显不同。在"利奇马"台风风暴潮中,"直接作用"引起的风暴增水在渤海湾和莱州湾沿岸分别约占总风暴增水的2/3和1/2。 展开更多
关键词 台风“利奇马” 渤海 台风风暴潮 FVCOM
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山东省区域性暴雨事件时空变化特征及个例分析——以台风“利奇马”暴雨过程为例 被引量:6
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作者 邱粲 陈艳春 +2 位作者 刘焕彬 李娟 曹洁 《气象科学》 北大核心 2021年第2期183-190,共8页
利用山东省123个国家地面气象观测站1961—2019年逐日、逐小时降水量资料,在定义区域性暴雨事件的基础上,选取最大过程降水量、最大日降水量、最大1 h降水量、暴雨站数和过程持续时间作为评估指标,构建山东省区域暴雨事件和单站暴雨事... 利用山东省123个国家地面气象观测站1961—2019年逐日、逐小时降水量资料,在定义区域性暴雨事件的基础上,选取最大过程降水量、最大日降水量、最大1 h降水量、暴雨站数和过程持续时间作为评估指标,构建山东省区域暴雨事件和单站暴雨事件综合强度评估模型。针对判别出的545次区域暴雨事件,进行时空特征分析。结果表明,山东省区域暴雨事件发生次数呈现波动变化、缓慢下降趋势,但平均综合强度呈现缓慢上升趋势,且2011年以来上升趋势显著。区域暴雨事件集中发生于7、8月,其中以7月发生次数最多,8月平均综合强度最高。降雨中心主要分布于半岛东部和鲁南地区,不同时段分布配置略有不同,但差别不大。历史回算结果与灾情记录一致性较高,以台风“利奇马”暴雨过程为例,通过分县灾情验证表明暴雨事件综合评估模型评估结果较为合理,尤其对历史重大暴雨事件吻合效果理想。 展开更多
关键词 区域暴雨事件 综合强度 时空变化 台风“利奇马”
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超强台风“利奇马”(1909)的闪电活动特征 被引量:8
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作者 魏凌翔 邱学兴 +2 位作者 童金 胡玥琦 袁松 《气象科学》 北大核心 2020年第1期123-129,共7页
利用风云四号A星(FY-4A)装载的闪电成像仪探测到的闪电实时定位资料和中央气象台提供的台风定位资料,分析了2019年第9号超强台风“利奇马”的闪电时空演变特征。结果表明:“利奇马”在强台风阶段的日平均闪电密度最大,其次是超强台风阶... 利用风云四号A星(FY-4A)装载的闪电成像仪探测到的闪电实时定位资料和中央气象台提供的台风定位资料,分析了2019年第9号超强台风“利奇马”的闪电时空演变特征。结果表明:“利奇马”在强台风阶段的日平均闪电密度最大,其次是超强台风阶段。处于增强阶段(△V>0 m·s^-1)时的闪电活动强于减弱阶段(△V<0 m·s^-1),气旋强度稳定时(-5 m·s^-1≤△V<5 m·s^-1),闪电活动最弱。台风成熟以后闪电密度基本呈现出三圈结构。闪电的空间分布具有不对称性,在台风移动方向左侧的闪电数量明显多于右侧。台风外围雨带中的闪电远远多于台风中心发生的闪电,台风中心发生的闪电所占比例不到总数的1%。在台风两次增强阶段均出现闪电的爆发,在台风最强阶段也有较多的闪电发生。在台风最强时期的前半段,眼壁闪电数明显爆发至最大,在台风减弱阶段,眼壁闪电发生很少。 展开更多
关键词 台风 利奇马 闪电 FY-4A
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台风利奇马(1909)双眼墙特征及长时间维持机制 被引量:11
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作者 刘涛 端义宏 +1 位作者 冯佳宁 王慧 《应用气象学报》 CSCD 北大核心 2021年第3期289-301,共13页
利用CIMSS微波卫星产品和多普勒天气雷达资料,分析超强台风利奇马(1909)的长时间双眼墙特征,并采用集合卡尔曼滤波方法同化雷达径向风资料,诊断利奇马双眼墙的三维结构演变特征。结果表明:在双眼墙演变过程初期,受强垂直风切变和中高层... 利用CIMSS微波卫星产品和多普勒天气雷达资料,分析超强台风利奇马(1909)的长时间双眼墙特征,并采用集合卡尔曼滤波方法同化雷达径向风资料,诊断利奇马双眼墙的三维结构演变特征。结果表明:在双眼墙演变过程初期,受强垂直风切变和中高层干空气入侵的影响,外眼墙对流减弱,呈非对称特征。Sawyer-Eliassen方程诊断结果显示:台风利奇马(1909)内、外眼墙次级环流之间的相互作用不明显,不同于发生眼墙替换过程的台风,其外眼墙处非绝热加热引起的下沉运动发生在内眼的眼心,内眼墙的上升运动并未受到外眼墙次级环流抑制。另外,在强垂直风切变条件下,非对称的外眼墙不能持续增强收缩并取代内眼墙,因此双眼墙结构得以长时间维持。可见,台风利奇马(1909)外眼墙的非对称结构和特殊的次级环流分布是其双眼墙能够长期维持的重要原因。 展开更多
关键词 台风利奇马(1909) 双眼墙 同化分析
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