The original online version https://doi.org/10.1007/s11629-024-9130-x has wrong title.The correct title for this article should be“Reactivation mechanisms of the ancient Dahekou landslide in Hanzhong City,Shaanxi Pro...The original online version https://doi.org/10.1007/s11629-024-9130-x has wrong title.The correct title for this article should be“Reactivation mechanisms of the ancient Dahekou landslide in Hanzhong City,Shaanxi Province,China”.展开更多
Slow-moving landslides are widespread in the Mediterranean area,causing damage to the exposed facilities and economic losses in many countries.The recognition of slow-moving landslides in urban areas is always a diffi...Slow-moving landslides are widespread in the Mediterranean area,causing damage to the exposed facilities and economic losses in many countries.The recognition of slow-moving landslides in urban areas is always a difficult task to deal with because the presence of buildings,infrastructures,and human activities usually conceals the morphological signs of these landslide activities.So,in the last decades,numerous researchers have shown new methodologies to deepen the studies of similar instability phenomena.The present research is based on an integrated approach to investigate the landslide boundaries,type of movement,failure surface depth,and vulnerability state of buildings in Rota Greca Village(Calabria region,southern Italy) affected by a slowmoving landslide.For this purpose,multi-source data were acquired through geological and geomorphological surveys,recognition of landslide-induced damage on the built environment,subsurface investigations(e.g.,continuous drill boreholes,Standard Penetration Test,Rock Quality Designation index and inclinometer monitoring),laboratory tests(direct shear tests on undisturbed samples),geophysical survey,and InSAR-derived map of deformation rates.The complete integration of multi-source data allowed for the construction of reliable landslide modelling with relative geotechnical properties.In addition,the cross-comparison between surface deformation data by SAR images and severity damage level collected on the exposed buildings enabled to obtain the vulnerability map of the built area.In particular,the achieved goals highlighted two failure surfaces at about-13 and-25 m depth,causing a high vulnerability value for the buildings allocated in the central portion of the Rota Greca Village.The knowledge acquired by the multi-approach can be used to manage and implement appropriate landslide risk mitigation strategies,providing helpful advice and best practices to state-run organisations and stakeholders for landslide management in urban sites.展开更多
Forecasting landslide deformation is challenging due to influence of various internal and external factors on the occurrence of systemic and localized heterogeneities.Despite the potential to improve landslide predict...Forecasting landslide deformation is challenging due to influence of various internal and external factors on the occurrence of systemic and localized heterogeneities.Despite the potential to improve landslide predictability,deep learning has yet to be sufficiently explored for complex deformation patterns associated with landslides and is inherently opaque.Herein,we developed a holistic landslide deformation forecasting method that considers spatiotemporal correlations of landslide deformation by integrating domain knowledge into interpretable deep learning.By spatially capturing the interconnections between multiple deformations from different observation points,our method contributes to the understanding and forecasting of landslide systematic behavior.By integrating specific domain knowledge relevant to each observation point and merging internal properties with external variables,the local heterogeneity is considered in our method,identifying deformation temporal patterns in different landslide zones.Case studies involving reservoir-induced landslides and creeping landslides demonstrated that our approach(1)enhances the accuracy of landslide deformation forecasting,(2)identifies significant contributing factors and their influence on spatiotemporal deformation characteristics,and(3)demonstrates how identifying these factors and patterns facilitates landslide forecasting.Our research offers a promising and pragmatic pathway toward a deeper understanding and forecasting of complex landslide behaviors.展开更多
To tackle the difficulties of the point prediction in quantifying the reliability of landslide displacement prediction,a data-driven combination-interval prediction method(CIPM)based on copula and variational-mode-dec...To tackle the difficulties of the point prediction in quantifying the reliability of landslide displacement prediction,a data-driven combination-interval prediction method(CIPM)based on copula and variational-mode-decomposition associated with kernel-based-extreme-learningmachine optimized by the whale optimization algorithm(VMD-WOA-KELM)is proposed in this paper.Firstly,the displacement is decomposed by VMD to three IMF components and a residual component of different fluctuation characteristics.The key impact factors of each IMF component are selected according to Copula model,and the corresponding WOA-KELM is established to conduct point prediction.Subsequently,the parametric method(PM)and non-parametric method(NPM)are used to estimate the prediction error probability density distribution(PDF)of each component,whose prediction interval(PI)under the 95%confidence level is also obtained.By means of the differential evolution algorithm(DE),a weighted combination model based on the PIs is built to construct the combination-interval(CI).Finally,the CIs of each component are added to generate the total PI.A comparative case study shows that the CIPM performs better in constructing landslide displacement PI with high performance.展开更多
Landslides significantly threaten lives and infrastructure, especially in seismically active regions. This study conducts a probabilistic analysis of seismic landslide runout behavior, leveraging a large-deformation f...Landslides significantly threaten lives and infrastructure, especially in seismically active regions. This study conducts a probabilistic analysis of seismic landslide runout behavior, leveraging a large-deformation finite-element (LDFE) model that accounts for the three-dimensional (3D) spatial variability and cross-correlation in soil strength — a reflection of natural soils' inherent properties. LDFE model results are validated by comparing them against previous studies, followed by an examination of the effects of univariable, uncorrelated bivariable, and cross-correlated bivariable random fields on landslide runout behavior. The study's findings reveal that integrating variability in both friction angle and cohesion within uncorrelated bivariable random fields markedly influences runout distances when compared with univariable random fields. Moreover, the cross-correlation of soil cohesion and friction angle dramatically affects runout behavior, with positive correlations enlarging and negative correlations reducing runout distances. Transitioning from two-dimensional (2D) to 3D analyses, a more realistic representation of sliding surface, landslide velocity, runout distance and final deposit morphology is achieved. The study highlights that 2D random analyses substantially underestimate the mean value and overestimate the variability of runout distance, underscoring the importance of 3D modeling in accurately predicting landslide behavior. Overall, this work emphasizes the essential role of understanding 3D cross-correlation in soil strength for landslide hazard assessment and mitigation strategies.展开更多
In the physical model test of landslides,the selection of analogous materials is the key,and it is difficult to consider the similarity of mechanical properties and seepage performance at the same time.To develop a mo...In the physical model test of landslides,the selection of analogous materials is the key,and it is difficult to consider the similarity of mechanical properties and seepage performance at the same time.To develop a model material suitable for analysing the deformation and failure of reservoir landslides,based on the existing research foundation of analogous materials,5 materials and 5 physical-mechanical parameters were selected to design an orthogonal test.The factor sensitivity of each component ratio and its influence on the physical-mechanical indices were studied by range analysis and stepwise regression analysis,and the proportioning method was determined.Finally,the model material was developed,and a model test was carried out considering Huangtupo as the prototype application.The results showed that(1)the model material composed of sand,barite powder,glass beads,clay,and bentonite had a wide distribution of physical-mechanical parameters,which could be applied to model tests under different conditions;(2)the physical-mechanical parameters of analogous materials matched the application prototype;and(3)the mechanical properties and seepage performance of the model material sample met the requirements of reservoir landslide model tests,which could be used to simulate landslide evolution and analyse the deformation process.展开更多
Landslides triggered by heavy rainfall pose a serious threat globally, endangering infrastructure and lives. Many previous landslide studies lack comprehensiveness and site specificity. Thus, a comprehensive investiga...Landslides triggered by heavy rainfall pose a serious threat globally, endangering infrastructure and lives. Many previous landslide studies lack comprehensiveness and site specificity. Thus, a comprehensive investigation is essential to understand the failure mechanisms and contributing factors for assessing potential future hazards. This study aims to investigate the debris flow landslide that occurred in Kavalappara, Kerala, India, on August 8, 2019, through an integrated approach combining geophysical test, weathering characterization, geotechnical, and numerical analyses. Shear wave velocity(V_s) was determined using the Multi-Channel Analysis of Surface Waves(MASW) test to obtain the substrata of the slope. Residual and unsaturated soil properties were obtained through ring shear and dew point potentiometer tests. The mineralogical composition of the soil was identified using Field-Emission Scanning Electron Microscopy(FE-SEM), Energy Dispersive XRay Analysis(EDAX), and X-Ray Diffraction(XRD) patterns. These investigation results focused on slope stability during rainfall infiltration using Limit Equilibrium(LEM) and Finite Element Analysis(FEM) for both low and high-intensity rainfall. Finally, the progressive failure mechanism of the landslide was analysed using the Finite Difference program(FDM). The soil profile showed a variation from loose to dense, with a V_s range of 172.85 m/s to 440.53 m/s. No rock layers were identified down to a depth of 15 m. The landslide area consists of migmatite as a parent rock, and the soil was identified as silty clay, comprising quartz and clay minerals. The FEM and LEM analyses reveal that the factor of safety was reduced to 0.83 due to increased pore water pressure and the degree of saturation. The pore water pressure ratio(r_u), estimated at 0.32, was used in the FDM. The landslide, initiated at r_u of 0.35, reached maximum velocities of 15.4 m/s horizontally and 12.4 m/s vertically. This study helps disaster management to analyse debris flow and find effective mitigation strategies for hilly areas.展开更多
The mechanism involved in deep-seated landslide-debris flow disaster chains has been studied for many years,however,it is still not completely understood.This study aims to analyze the key factors that were involved a...The mechanism involved in deep-seated landslide-debris flow disaster chains has been studied for many years,however,it is still not completely understood.This study aims to analyze the key factors that were involved and led to the geological disaster of Shaziba 62.0 m deep landslide-debris flow.Two extensive field investigations were conducted before and after the slope failure event.The study further used drilled cores,high-density resistivity method,and aerial photographs to obtain valuable insights into the disaster chain.It was found that opencast coal mining operations broke the locked segment of the front edge and heavy rainfall softened the slip zones along the faults.Mechanical calculations demonstrated that the coupling condition of the opencast coal mining and heavy rainfall triggered the landslide.A new evolution model was put forth to describe the complex mechanism of combining progressive retreat and tractive failure of hydraulic drive landslide,which was governed by the bedding-plane rock layer.Surface runoff caused the mass of the landslide to liquefy throughout the sliding process,resulting in overlapping deposits,debris-flow-barrier-lake,and erosion.These new insights led to the indication of a different triggering mechanism of landslides-debris flows,as well as laid the foundation for the proposed physical and mechanical mechanism model based on progressive retreat soil-rock mixed landslides with an upper locked segment and lower weak interlayer under heavy rainfall.展开更多
Ancient landslides with platform geomorphology occasionally reactivate,posing serious geohazards.On September 9,2021,persistent heavy rainfall triggered the reactivation of the Dahekou ancient landslide within a gentl...Ancient landslides with platform geomorphology occasionally reactivate,posing serious geohazards.On September 9,2021,persistent heavy rainfall triggered the reactivation of the Dahekou ancient landslide within a gently sloping geomorphology at the core of Zhangjiantan syncline in China's western Qinling-Daba Mountains.This event caused one death,damaged 80 houses,and blocked the Yushui River.This study reconstructs the sliding process of the Dahekou landslide and deciphers the complex landslide initiation mechanisms through field surveys,unmanned aerial vehicle(UAV)imagery analysis,drilling,electrical resistivity tomography(ERT)and small baseline subset–interferometric synthetic aperture radar(SBAS–InSAR)monitoring.We divide the sliding process of the Dahekou landslide into three stages.Two new landslides(#1 and#2)occurred at 18:30 on September 9,2021.Subsequently,the ancient landslide(#3)slid in the 230°direction at approximately 20:30 on September 9,2021,then changed the direction to 170°–240°at 22:30 on the same day,and moved in the direction of 300°at 10:00 the next day.Finally,the reactivated ancient landslide(#3)formed two partially sliding masses,with volumes of approximately 158×10^(4)m^(3)and 160×10~4 m^(3),along the directions of 170°–240°and 300°,respectively,damaging 80 houses and blocking the Yushui River.Field surveys suggest that new landslides#1 and#2 are rock landslides and soil landslides,respectively,with volumes of approximately 230×10^(4)m^(3)and 7.49×10~4 m^(3).Compared with the InSAR data,the new landslide#1 thrust the ancient landslide#3,with an uplift velocity rate of 22.68 mm/a at the rear edge,from September 2020–September 2021.An analysis of drill hole data reveals that the bedding in the landslide area has complex geological conditions,comprising mudstone prone to slipping with different degrees of weathering.Notably,the core of the Zhangjiatan syncline sits on the sliding bedding of the ancient landslide,contributing to a change in the sliding direction.This comprehensive study reveals that the landslide#1 loading and thrusting,the persistent and heavy rainfall,and the complex geological conditions influenced the reactivated ancient landslide.Considering the intricacies of landslide failure mechanisms,we advocate for giving more attention in the future to the zone of potentially slip-prone strata located at the edge of ancient landslides.展开更多
Landslide susceptibility mapping(LSM)plays a crucial role in assessing geological risks.The current LSM techniques face a significant challenge in achieving accurate results due to uncertainties associated with region...Landslide susceptibility mapping(LSM)plays a crucial role in assessing geological risks.The current LSM techniques face a significant challenge in achieving accurate results due to uncertainties associated with regional-scale geotechnical parameters.To explore rainfall-induced LSM,this study proposes a hybrid model that combines the physically-based probabilistic model(PPM)with convolutional neural network(CNN).The PPM is capable of effectively capturing the spatial distribution of landslides by incorporating the probability of failure(POF)considering the slope stability mechanism under rainfall conditions.This significantly characterizes the variation of POF caused by parameter uncertainties.CNN was used as a binary classifier to capture the spatial and channel correlation between landslide conditioning factors and the probability of landslide occurrence.OpenCV image enhancement technique was utilized to extract non-landslide points based on the POF of landslides.The proposed model comprehensively considers physical mechanics when selecting non-landslide samples,effectively filtering out samples that do not adhere to physical principles and reduce the risk of overfitting.The results indicate that the proposed PPM-CNN hybrid model presents a higher prediction accuracy,with an area under the curve(AUC)value of 0.85 based on the landslide case of the Niangniangba area of Gansu Province,China compared with the individual CNN model(AUC=0.61)and the PPM(AUC=0.74).This model can also consider the statistical correlation and non-normal probability distributions of model parameters.These results offer practical guidance for future research on rainfall-induced LSM at the regional scale.展开更多
Extensive urban areas worldwide face significant landslide hazards, impacting inhabitants, buildings, and critical infrastructures alike. In the case of slow-moving deep-seated landslides involving huge areas and char...Extensive urban areas worldwide face significant landslide hazards, impacting inhabitants, buildings, and critical infrastructures alike. In the case of slow-moving deep-seated landslides involving huge areas and characterized by complex patterns, when the cost of repairing infrastructures, relocating communities, and restoring cultural sites might be such that it is unsustainable for the community, the exposed structures require significant effort for their surveillance and protection, which can be supported by the development of innovative monitoring systems. For this purpose, a smart extenso-inclinometer, realized by equipping a conventional inclinometer tube with distributed strain and temperature transducers based on optical fiber sensing technology, is presented. In situ monitoring of the active deep-seated San Nicola landslide in Centola (Campania, southern Italy) demonstrated its ability to capture the main features of movements and reconstruct a tridimensional evolution of the landslide pattern, even when the entity of both vertical and horizontal soil strain components is comparable. Although further tests are needed to definitively ascertain the extensometer function of the new device, by interpreting the strain profiles of the landslide body and identifying the achievement of predetermined thresholds, this system could provide a warning of the trigger of a landslide event. The use of the smart extenso-inclinometer within an early warning system for slow-moving landslides holds immense potential for reducing the impact of landslide events.展开更多
Economically and effectively managing the risk of landslide-generated impulse waves(LGIWs)presents a significant challenge following the impoundment of newly constructed reservoirs in western China.To address this iss...Economically and effectively managing the risk of landslide-generated impulse waves(LGIWs)presents a significant challenge following the impoundment of newly constructed reservoirs in western China.To address this issue,we selected the Wangjiashan(WJS)landslide in the Baihetan Reservoir area as a case study to evaluate LGIW hazards and develop corresponding mitigation strategies.Using 2D physical model tests and 3D numerical simulations,we established a 3D hazard assessment method for LGIWs based on 2D experimental results.This method confirmed the effectiveness of slope-cutting engineering in mitigating LGIW hazards.Based on this assessment framework,we proposed a novel approach for LGIW risk reduction.The results showed that the maximum wave amplitude reached 19.64 m in the Jinsha River channel,and the maximum run-up was 11.5 m in the XiangBiLing(XBL)community,indicating a substantial LGIW threat to the area.By reducing the rear edge of the sliding mass to 920 m above sea level(asl),the LGIW risk to the XBL community could be lowered to a tolerable level.Compared with traditional landslide prevention and control measures,the proposed mitigation scheme can reduce excavation costs by approximately 37 million CNY,making it a more scientifically sound and economically feasible solution.We explored the concept and the implementation of LGIW risk mitigation in depth,offering new insights for global LGIW risk management.This case study enhances our understanding of LGIW hazard prevention and provides valuable guidance for policymaking and engineering practices in similar geological settings worldwide.展开更多
Selection of negative samples significantly influences landslide susceptibility assessment,especially when establishing the relationship between landslides and environmental factors in regions with complex geological ...Selection of negative samples significantly influences landslide susceptibility assessment,especially when establishing the relationship between landslides and environmental factors in regions with complex geological conditions.Traditional sampling strategies commonly used in landslide susceptibility models can lead to a misrepresentation of the distribution of negative samples,causing a deviation from actual geological conditions.This,in turn,negatively affects the discriminative ability and generalization performance of the models.To address this issue,we propose a novel approach for selecting negative samples to enhance the quality of machine learning models.We choose the Liangshan Yi Autonomous Prefecture,located in southwestern Sichuan,China,as the case study.This area,characterized by complex terrain,frequent tectonic activities,and steep slope erosion,experiences recurrent landslides,making it an ideal setting for validating our proposed method.We calculate the contribution values of environmental factors using the relief algorithm to construct the feature space,apply the Target Space Exteriorization Sampling(TSES)method to select negative samples,calculate landslide probability values by Random Forest(RF)modeling,and then create regional landslide susceptibility maps.We evaluate the performance of the RF model optimized by the Environmental Factor Selection-based TSES(EFSTSES)method using standard performance metrics.The results indicated that the model achieved an accuracy(ACC)of 0.962,precision(PRE)of 0.961,and an area under the curve(AUC)of 0.962.These findings demonstrate that the EFSTSES-based model effectively mitigates the negative sample imbalance issue,enhances the differentiation between landslide and non-landslide samples,and reduces misclassification,particularly in geologically complex areas.These improvements offer valuable insights for disaster prevention,land use planning,and risk mitigation strategies.展开更多
This study was aimed to prepare landslide susceptibility maps for the Pithoragarh district in Uttarakhand,India,using advanced ensemble models that combined Radial Basis Function Networks(RBFN)with three ensemble lear...This study was aimed to prepare landslide susceptibility maps for the Pithoragarh district in Uttarakhand,India,using advanced ensemble models that combined Radial Basis Function Networks(RBFN)with three ensemble learning techniques:DAGGING(DG),MULTIBOOST(MB),and ADABOOST(AB).This combination resulted in three distinct ensemble models:DG-RBFN,MB-RBFN,and AB-RBFN.Additionally,a traditional weighted method,Information Value(IV),and a benchmark machine learning(ML)model,Multilayer Perceptron Neural Network(MLP),were employed for comparison and validation.The models were developed using ten landslide conditioning factors,which included slope,aspect,elevation,curvature,land cover,geomorphology,overburden depth,lithology,distance to rivers and distance to roads.These factors were instrumental in predicting the output variable,which was the probability of landslide occurrence.Statistical analysis of the models’performance indicated that the DG-RBFN model,with an Area Under ROC Curve(AUC)of 0.931,outperformed the other models.The AB-RBFN model achieved an AUC of 0.929,the MB-RBFN model had an AUC of 0.913,and the MLP model recorded an AUC of 0.926.These results suggest that the advanced ensemble ML model DG-RBFN was more accurate than traditional statistical model,single MLP model,and other ensemble models in preparing trustworthy landslide susceptibility maps,thereby enhancing land use planning and decision-making.展开更多
Hong Kong has a high concentration of developments on hilly terrain in close proximity to man-made slopes and natural hillsides.Because of the high seasonal rainfall,these man-made slopes and natural hillsides would p...Hong Kong has a high concentration of developments on hilly terrain in close proximity to man-made slopes and natural hillsides.Because of the high seasonal rainfall,these man-made slopes and natural hillsides would pose a risk to the public as manifested by a death toll of 470 people due to landslides since the late 1940s.In 1977,the Government of the Hong Kong SAR embarked on a systematic programme,known as the Landslip Preventive Measure(LPM)Programme,to retroft substandard man-made slopes.From 1977 to 2010,about 4500 substandard government man-made slopes have been upgraded through engineering works.During the period,the Programme had evolved progressively in response to Government’s internal demand for continuous improvement and rising public expectation for slope safety.In 2010,the Government implemented the Landslip Prevention and Mitigation(LPMit)Programme to dovetail with the LPM Programme,with the focus on retroftting the remaining moderate-risk substandard man-made slopes and mitigating systematically the natural terrain landslide risk pursuant to the"react-to-known"hazard principle.This paper presents the evolution of the LPM and LPMit Programmes as well as the insight on landslide prevention and mitigation through engineering works.展开更多
The southeastern margin of Qinghai-Tibet Plateau(SMQTP)is of a typical large landslide-prone area due to intense tectonic activity,deeply incised valleys,high geostress and frequent earthquakes.To gain insights into l...The southeastern margin of Qinghai-Tibet Plateau(SMQTP)is of a typical large landslide-prone area due to intense tectonic activity,deeply incised valleys,high geostress and frequent earthquakes.To gain insights into large landslides in southeastern margin of Qinghai-Tibet Plateau,an area covering 3.34×105 km^(2)that extends 80e150 km on both sides of the Sichuan-Tibet traffic corridors(G318)was used to examine the spatial distribution and corresponding characteristics of landslides.The results showed that the study area contains at least 629 large landslides that are mainly concentrated on 7 zones(zones IeVII).Zones IeVII are in the southern section of the Longmenshan fault zone(with no large river)and sections with Dadu River,Jinsha River,Lancang River,Nujiang River and Yarlung Zangbo River.There are more landslides in the Jinsha River section(totaling 186 landslides)than the other sections.According to the updated Varnes classification,408 large landslides(64.9%)were recognized and divided into 4 major types,i.e.flows(275 cases),slides(58 cases),topples(44 cases)and slope deformations(31 cases).Flows,which consist of rock avalanches and iceerock avalanches,are the most common landslide type.Large landslide triggers(178 events,28.3%)are also recognized,and earthquakes may be the most common trigger.Due to the limited data,these landslide type classifications and landslide triggers are perhaps immature,and further systematic analysis is needed.展开更多
Influenced by complex external factors,the displacement-time curve of reservoir landslides demonstrates both short-term and long-term diversity and dynamic complexity.It is difficult for existing methods,including Reg...Influenced by complex external factors,the displacement-time curve of reservoir landslides demonstrates both short-term and long-term diversity and dynamic complexity.It is difficult for existing methods,including Regression models and Neural network models,to perform multi-characteristic coupled displacement prediction because they fail to consider landslide creep characteristics.This paper integrates the creep characteristics of landslides with non-linear intelligent algorithms and proposes a dynamic intelligent landslide displacement prediction method based on a combination of the Biological Growth model(BG),Convolutional Neural Network(CNN),and Long ShortTerm Memory Network(LSTM).This prediction approach improves three different biological growth models,thereby effectively extracting landslide creep characteristic parameters.Simultaneously,it integrates external factors(rainfall and reservoir water level)to construct an internal and external comprehensive dataset for data augmentation,which is input into the improved CNN-LSTM model.Thereafter,harnessing the robust feature extraction capabilities and spatial translation invariance of CNN,the model autonomously captures short-term local fluctuation characteristics of landslide displacement,and combines LSTM's efficient handling of long-term nonlinear temporal data to improve prediction performance.An evaluation of the Liangshuijing landslide in the Three Gorges Reservoir Area indicates that BG-CNN-LSTM exhibits high prediction accuracy,excellent generalization capabilities when dealing with various types of landslides.The research provides an innovative approach to achieving the whole-process,realtime,high-precision displacement predictions for multicharacteristic coupled landslides.展开更多
Shotcrete is one of the common solutions for shallow sliding.It works by forming a protective layer with high strength and cementing the loose soil particles on the slope surface to prevent shallow sliding.However,the...Shotcrete is one of the common solutions for shallow sliding.It works by forming a protective layer with high strength and cementing the loose soil particles on the slope surface to prevent shallow sliding.However,the solidification time of conventional cement paste is long when shotcrete is used to treat cohesionless soil landslide.The idea of reinforcing slope with polyurethane solidified soil(i.e.,mixture of polyurethane and sand)was proposed.Model tests and finite element analysis were carried out to study the effectiveness of the proposed new method on the emergency treatment of cohesionless soil landslide.Surcharge loading on the crest of the slope was applied step by step until landslide was triggered so as to test and compare the stability and bearing capacity of slope models with different conditions.The simulated slope displacements were relatively close to the measured results,and the simulated slope deformation characteristics were in good agreement with the observed phenomena,which verifies the accuracy of the numerical method.Under the condition of surcharge loading on the crest of the slope,the unreinforced slope slid when the surcharge loading exceeded 30 k Pa,which presented a failure mode of local instability and collapse at the shallow layer of slope top.The reinforced slope remained stable even when the surcharge loading reached 48 k Pa.The displacement of the reinforced slope was reduced by more than 95%.Overall,this study verifies the effectiveness of polyurethane in the emergency treatment of cohesionless soil landslide and should have broad application prospects in the field of geological disasters concerning the safety of people's live.展开更多
Landslide susceptibility prediction(LSP)is significantly affected by the uncertainty issue of landslide related conditioning factor selection.However,most of literature only performs comparative studies on a certain c...Landslide susceptibility prediction(LSP)is significantly affected by the uncertainty issue of landslide related conditioning factor selection.However,most of literature only performs comparative studies on a certain conditioning factor selection method rather than systematically study this uncertainty issue.Targeted,this study aims to systematically explore the influence rules of various commonly used conditioning factor selection methods on LSP,and on this basis to innovatively propose a principle with universal application for optimal selection of conditioning factors.An'yuan County in southern China is taken as example considering 431 landslides and 29 types of conditioning factors.Five commonly used factor selection methods,namely,the correlation analysis(CA),linear regression(LR),principal component analysis(PCA),rough set(RS)and artificial neural network(ANN),are applied to select the optimal factor combinations from the original 29 conditioning factors.The factor selection results are then used as inputs of four types of common machine learning models to construct 20 types of combined models,such as CA-multilayer perceptron,CA-random forest.Additionally,multifactor-based multilayer perceptron random forest models that selecting conditioning factors based on the proposed principle of“accurate data,rich types,clear significance,feasible operation and avoiding duplication”are constructed for comparisons.Finally,the LSP uncertainties are evaluated by the accuracy,susceptibility index distribution,etc.Results show that:(1)multifactor-based models have generally higher LSP performance and lower uncertainties than those of factors selection-based models;(2)Influence degree of different machine learning on LSP accuracy is greater than that of different factor selection methods.Conclusively,the above commonly used conditioning factor selection methods are not ideal for improving LSP performance and may complicate the LSP processes.In contrast,a satisfied combination of conditioning factors can be constructed according to the proposed principle.展开更多
Active landslides pose a significant threat globally,endangering lives and property.Effective monitoring and forecasting of displacements are essential for the timely warnings and mitigation of these events.Interferom...Active landslides pose a significant threat globally,endangering lives and property.Effective monitoring and forecasting of displacements are essential for the timely warnings and mitigation of these events.Interferometric synthetic aperture radar(InSAR)stands out as an efficient and prevalent tool for monitoring landslide deformation and offers new prospects for displacement prediction.However,challenges such as inherent limitation of satellite viewing geometry,long revisit cycles,and limited data volume hinder its application in displacement forecasting,notably for landslides with near-north-south deformation less detectable by InSAR.To address these issues,we propose a novel strategy for predicting three-dimensional(3D)landslide displacement,integrating InSAR and global navigation satellite system(GNSS)measurements with machine learning(ML).This framework first synergizes InSAR line-of-sight(LOS)results with GNSS horizontal data to reconstruct 3D displacement time series.It then employs ML models to capture complex nonlinear relationships between external triggers,landslide evolutionary states,and 3D displacements,thus enabling accurate future deformation predictions.Utilizing four advanced ML algorithms,i.e.random forest(RF),support vector machine(SVM),long short-term memory(LSTM),and gated recurrent unit(GRU),with Bayesian optimization(BO)for hyperparameter tuning,we applied this innovative approach to the north-facing,slow-moving Xinpu landslide in the Three Gorges Reservoir Area(TGRA)of China.Leveraging over 6.5 years of Sentinel-1 satellite data and GNSS measurements,our framework demonstrates satisfactory and robust prediction performance,with an average root mean square deviation(RMSD)of 9.62 mm and a correlation coefficient(CC)of 0.996.This study presents a promising strategy for 3D displacement prediction,illustrating the efficacy of integrating InSAR monitoring with ML forecasting in enhancing landslide early warning capabilities.展开更多
文摘The original online version https://doi.org/10.1007/s11629-024-9130-x has wrong title.The correct title for this article should be“Reactivation mechanisms of the ancient Dahekou landslide in Hanzhong City,Shaanxi Province,China”.
基金supported by the MIUR-ex 60% Project(responsibility of Fabio Ietto)。
文摘Slow-moving landslides are widespread in the Mediterranean area,causing damage to the exposed facilities and economic losses in many countries.The recognition of slow-moving landslides in urban areas is always a difficult task to deal with because the presence of buildings,infrastructures,and human activities usually conceals the morphological signs of these landslide activities.So,in the last decades,numerous researchers have shown new methodologies to deepen the studies of similar instability phenomena.The present research is based on an integrated approach to investigate the landslide boundaries,type of movement,failure surface depth,and vulnerability state of buildings in Rota Greca Village(Calabria region,southern Italy) affected by a slowmoving landslide.For this purpose,multi-source data were acquired through geological and geomorphological surveys,recognition of landslide-induced damage on the built environment,subsurface investigations(e.g.,continuous drill boreholes,Standard Penetration Test,Rock Quality Designation index and inclinometer monitoring),laboratory tests(direct shear tests on undisturbed samples),geophysical survey,and InSAR-derived map of deformation rates.The complete integration of multi-source data allowed for the construction of reliable landslide modelling with relative geotechnical properties.In addition,the cross-comparison between surface deformation data by SAR images and severity damage level collected on the exposed buildings enabled to obtain the vulnerability map of the built area.In particular,the achieved goals highlighted two failure surfaces at about-13 and-25 m depth,causing a high vulnerability value for the buildings allocated in the central portion of the Rota Greca Village.The knowledge acquired by the multi-approach can be used to manage and implement appropriate landslide risk mitigation strategies,providing helpful advice and best practices to state-run organisations and stakeholders for landslide management in urban sites.
基金supported by the Postdoctoral Fellowship Program of CPSF(Grant No.GZB20230685)the National Science Foundation of China(Grant No.42277161).
文摘Forecasting landslide deformation is challenging due to influence of various internal and external factors on the occurrence of systemic and localized heterogeneities.Despite the potential to improve landslide predictability,deep learning has yet to be sufficiently explored for complex deformation patterns associated with landslides and is inherently opaque.Herein,we developed a holistic landslide deformation forecasting method that considers spatiotemporal correlations of landslide deformation by integrating domain knowledge into interpretable deep learning.By spatially capturing the interconnections between multiple deformations from different observation points,our method contributes to the understanding and forecasting of landslide systematic behavior.By integrating specific domain knowledge relevant to each observation point and merging internal properties with external variables,the local heterogeneity is considered in our method,identifying deformation temporal patterns in different landslide zones.Case studies involving reservoir-induced landslides and creeping landslides demonstrated that our approach(1)enhances the accuracy of landslide deformation forecasting,(2)identifies significant contributing factors and their influence on spatiotemporal deformation characteristics,and(3)demonstrates how identifying these factors and patterns facilitates landslide forecasting.Our research offers a promising and pragmatic pathway toward a deeper understanding and forecasting of complex landslide behaviors.
基金financially supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Nos.42277149,41502299,41372306)the Research Planning of Sichuan Education Department,China(No.16ZB0105)+3 种基金the State Key Laboratory of Geohazard Prevention and Geoenvironment Protection Independent Research Project(Nos.SKLGP2016Z007,SKLGP2018Z017,SKLGP2020Z009)Chengdu University of Technology Young and Middle Aged Backbone Program(No.KYGG201720)Sichuan Provincial Science and Technology Department Program(No.19YYJC2087)China Scholarship Council。
文摘To tackle the difficulties of the point prediction in quantifying the reliability of landslide displacement prediction,a data-driven combination-interval prediction method(CIPM)based on copula and variational-mode-decomposition associated with kernel-based-extreme-learningmachine optimized by the whale optimization algorithm(VMD-WOA-KELM)is proposed in this paper.Firstly,the displacement is decomposed by VMD to three IMF components and a residual component of different fluctuation characteristics.The key impact factors of each IMF component are selected according to Copula model,and the corresponding WOA-KELM is established to conduct point prediction.Subsequently,the parametric method(PM)and non-parametric method(NPM)are used to estimate the prediction error probability density distribution(PDF)of each component,whose prediction interval(PI)under the 95%confidence level is also obtained.By means of the differential evolution algorithm(DE),a weighted combination model based on the PIs is built to construct the combination-interval(CI).Finally,the CIs of each component are added to generate the total PI.A comparative case study shows that the CIPM performs better in constructing landslide displacement PI with high performance.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.U22A20596)the Shenzhen Science and Technology Program(Grant No.GJHZ20220913142605010)the Jinan Lead Researcher Project(Grant No.202333051).
文摘Landslides significantly threaten lives and infrastructure, especially in seismically active regions. This study conducts a probabilistic analysis of seismic landslide runout behavior, leveraging a large-deformation finite-element (LDFE) model that accounts for the three-dimensional (3D) spatial variability and cross-correlation in soil strength — a reflection of natural soils' inherent properties. LDFE model results are validated by comparing them against previous studies, followed by an examination of the effects of univariable, uncorrelated bivariable, and cross-correlated bivariable random fields on landslide runout behavior. The study's findings reveal that integrating variability in both friction angle and cohesion within uncorrelated bivariable random fields markedly influences runout distances when compared with univariable random fields. Moreover, the cross-correlation of soil cohesion and friction angle dramatically affects runout behavior, with positive correlations enlarging and negative correlations reducing runout distances. Transitioning from two-dimensional (2D) to 3D analyses, a more realistic representation of sliding surface, landslide velocity, runout distance and final deposit morphology is achieved. The study highlights that 2D random analyses substantially underestimate the mean value and overestimate the variability of runout distance, underscoring the importance of 3D modeling in accurately predicting landslide behavior. Overall, this work emphasizes the essential role of understanding 3D cross-correlation in soil strength for landslide hazard assessment and mitigation strategies.
基金supported by the Major Program of the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.42090054)the National Key Scientific Instrument and Equipment Development Projects of China(No.41827808)+1 种基金the Major Program of the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.42090055)the National Science Foundation of China(No.42107194)。
文摘In the physical model test of landslides,the selection of analogous materials is the key,and it is difficult to consider the similarity of mechanical properties and seepage performance at the same time.To develop a model material suitable for analysing the deformation and failure of reservoir landslides,based on the existing research foundation of analogous materials,5 materials and 5 physical-mechanical parameters were selected to design an orthogonal test.The factor sensitivity of each component ratio and its influence on the physical-mechanical indices were studied by range analysis and stepwise regression analysis,and the proportioning method was determined.Finally,the model material was developed,and a model test was carried out considering Huangtupo as the prototype application.The results showed that(1)the model material composed of sand,barite powder,glass beads,clay,and bentonite had a wide distribution of physical-mechanical parameters,which could be applied to model tests under different conditions;(2)the physical-mechanical parameters of analogous materials matched the application prototype;and(3)the mechanical properties and seepage performance of the model material sample met the requirements of reservoir landslide model tests,which could be used to simulate landslide evolution and analyse the deformation process.
文摘Landslides triggered by heavy rainfall pose a serious threat globally, endangering infrastructure and lives. Many previous landslide studies lack comprehensiveness and site specificity. Thus, a comprehensive investigation is essential to understand the failure mechanisms and contributing factors for assessing potential future hazards. This study aims to investigate the debris flow landslide that occurred in Kavalappara, Kerala, India, on August 8, 2019, through an integrated approach combining geophysical test, weathering characterization, geotechnical, and numerical analyses. Shear wave velocity(V_s) was determined using the Multi-Channel Analysis of Surface Waves(MASW) test to obtain the substrata of the slope. Residual and unsaturated soil properties were obtained through ring shear and dew point potentiometer tests. The mineralogical composition of the soil was identified using Field-Emission Scanning Electron Microscopy(FE-SEM), Energy Dispersive XRay Analysis(EDAX), and X-Ray Diffraction(XRD) patterns. These investigation results focused on slope stability during rainfall infiltration using Limit Equilibrium(LEM) and Finite Element Analysis(FEM) for both low and high-intensity rainfall. Finally, the progressive failure mechanism of the landslide was analysed using the Finite Difference program(FDM). The soil profile showed a variation from loose to dense, with a V_s range of 172.85 m/s to 440.53 m/s. No rock layers were identified down to a depth of 15 m. The landslide area consists of migmatite as a parent rock, and the soil was identified as silty clay, comprising quartz and clay minerals. The FEM and LEM analyses reveal that the factor of safety was reduced to 0.83 due to increased pore water pressure and the degree of saturation. The pore water pressure ratio(r_u), estimated at 0.32, was used in the FDM. The landslide, initiated at r_u of 0.35, reached maximum velocities of 15.4 m/s horizontally and 12.4 m/s vertically. This study helps disaster management to analyse debris flow and find effective mitigation strategies for hilly areas.
基金the Key Research and Development Project of Hubei Province(No.2021BCA219)。
文摘The mechanism involved in deep-seated landslide-debris flow disaster chains has been studied for many years,however,it is still not completely understood.This study aims to analyze the key factors that were involved and led to the geological disaster of Shaziba 62.0 m deep landslide-debris flow.Two extensive field investigations were conducted before and after the slope failure event.The study further used drilled cores,high-density resistivity method,and aerial photographs to obtain valuable insights into the disaster chain.It was found that opencast coal mining operations broke the locked segment of the front edge and heavy rainfall softened the slip zones along the faults.Mechanical calculations demonstrated that the coupling condition of the opencast coal mining and heavy rainfall triggered the landslide.A new evolution model was put forth to describe the complex mechanism of combining progressive retreat and tractive failure of hydraulic drive landslide,which was governed by the bedding-plane rock layer.Surface runoff caused the mass of the landslide to liquefy throughout the sliding process,resulting in overlapping deposits,debris-flow-barrier-lake,and erosion.These new insights led to the indication of a different triggering mechanism of landslides-debris flows,as well as laid the foundation for the proposed physical and mechanical mechanism model based on progressive retreat soil-rock mixed landslides with an upper locked segment and lower weak interlayer under heavy rainfall.
基金funded by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.42077257)。
文摘Ancient landslides with platform geomorphology occasionally reactivate,posing serious geohazards.On September 9,2021,persistent heavy rainfall triggered the reactivation of the Dahekou ancient landslide within a gently sloping geomorphology at the core of Zhangjiantan syncline in China's western Qinling-Daba Mountains.This event caused one death,damaged 80 houses,and blocked the Yushui River.This study reconstructs the sliding process of the Dahekou landslide and deciphers the complex landslide initiation mechanisms through field surveys,unmanned aerial vehicle(UAV)imagery analysis,drilling,electrical resistivity tomography(ERT)and small baseline subset–interferometric synthetic aperture radar(SBAS–InSAR)monitoring.We divide the sliding process of the Dahekou landslide into three stages.Two new landslides(#1 and#2)occurred at 18:30 on September 9,2021.Subsequently,the ancient landslide(#3)slid in the 230°direction at approximately 20:30 on September 9,2021,then changed the direction to 170°–240°at 22:30 on the same day,and moved in the direction of 300°at 10:00 the next day.Finally,the reactivated ancient landslide(#3)formed two partially sliding masses,with volumes of approximately 158×10^(4)m^(3)and 160×10~4 m^(3),along the directions of 170°–240°and 300°,respectively,damaging 80 houses and blocking the Yushui River.Field surveys suggest that new landslides#1 and#2 are rock landslides and soil landslides,respectively,with volumes of approximately 230×10^(4)m^(3)and 7.49×10~4 m^(3).Compared with the InSAR data,the new landslide#1 thrust the ancient landslide#3,with an uplift velocity rate of 22.68 mm/a at the rear edge,from September 2020–September 2021.An analysis of drill hole data reveals that the bedding in the landslide area has complex geological conditions,comprising mudstone prone to slipping with different degrees of weathering.Notably,the core of the Zhangjiatan syncline sits on the sliding bedding of the ancient landslide,contributing to a change in the sliding direction.This comprehensive study reveals that the landslide#1 loading and thrusting,the persistent and heavy rainfall,and the complex geological conditions influenced the reactivated ancient landslide.Considering the intricacies of landslide failure mechanisms,we advocate for giving more attention in the future to the zone of potentially slip-prone strata located at the edge of ancient landslides.
基金funding support from the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.U22A20594,52079045)Hong-Zhi Cui acknowledges the financial support of the China Scholarship Council(Grant No.CSC:202206710014)for his research at Universitat Politecnica de Catalunya,Barcelona.
文摘Landslide susceptibility mapping(LSM)plays a crucial role in assessing geological risks.The current LSM techniques face a significant challenge in achieving accurate results due to uncertainties associated with regional-scale geotechnical parameters.To explore rainfall-induced LSM,this study proposes a hybrid model that combines the physically-based probabilistic model(PPM)with convolutional neural network(CNN).The PPM is capable of effectively capturing the spatial distribution of landslides by incorporating the probability of failure(POF)considering the slope stability mechanism under rainfall conditions.This significantly characterizes the variation of POF caused by parameter uncertainties.CNN was used as a binary classifier to capture the spatial and channel correlation between landslide conditioning factors and the probability of landslide occurrence.OpenCV image enhancement technique was utilized to extract non-landslide points based on the POF of landslides.The proposed model comprehensively considers physical mechanics when selecting non-landslide samples,effectively filtering out samples that do not adhere to physical principles and reduce the risk of overfitting.The results indicate that the proposed PPM-CNN hybrid model presents a higher prediction accuracy,with an area under the curve(AUC)value of 0.85 based on the landslide case of the Niangniangba area of Gansu Province,China compared with the individual CNN model(AUC=0.61)and the PPM(AUC=0.74).This model can also consider the statistical correlation and non-normal probability distributions of model parameters.These results offer practical guidance for future research on rainfall-induced LSM at the regional scale.
基金supported by Universita della Campania“L.Vanvitelli”,Program VALERE“VAnviteLli pEr la RicErca”(Grant No.516/2018)Italian Ministry of Economic Development#NOACRONYM Project,PoC MISE 2021.
文摘Extensive urban areas worldwide face significant landslide hazards, impacting inhabitants, buildings, and critical infrastructures alike. In the case of slow-moving deep-seated landslides involving huge areas and characterized by complex patterns, when the cost of repairing infrastructures, relocating communities, and restoring cultural sites might be such that it is unsustainable for the community, the exposed structures require significant effort for their surveillance and protection, which can be supported by the development of innovative monitoring systems. For this purpose, a smart extenso-inclinometer, realized by equipping a conventional inclinometer tube with distributed strain and temperature transducers based on optical fiber sensing technology, is presented. In situ monitoring of the active deep-seated San Nicola landslide in Centola (Campania, southern Italy) demonstrated its ability to capture the main features of movements and reconstruct a tridimensional evolution of the landslide pattern, even when the entity of both vertical and horizontal soil strain components is comparable. Although further tests are needed to definitively ascertain the extensometer function of the new device, by interpreting the strain profiles of the landslide body and identifying the achievement of predetermined thresholds, this system could provide a warning of the trigger of a landslide event. The use of the smart extenso-inclinometer within an early warning system for slow-moving landslides holds immense potential for reducing the impact of landslide events.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.U23A2045)the China Three Gorges Corporation(YM(BHT)/(22)022).
文摘Economically and effectively managing the risk of landslide-generated impulse waves(LGIWs)presents a significant challenge following the impoundment of newly constructed reservoirs in western China.To address this issue,we selected the Wangjiashan(WJS)landslide in the Baihetan Reservoir area as a case study to evaluate LGIW hazards and develop corresponding mitigation strategies.Using 2D physical model tests and 3D numerical simulations,we established a 3D hazard assessment method for LGIWs based on 2D experimental results.This method confirmed the effectiveness of slope-cutting engineering in mitigating LGIW hazards.Based on this assessment framework,we proposed a novel approach for LGIW risk reduction.The results showed that the maximum wave amplitude reached 19.64 m in the Jinsha River channel,and the maximum run-up was 11.5 m in the XiangBiLing(XBL)community,indicating a substantial LGIW threat to the area.By reducing the rear edge of the sliding mass to 920 m above sea level(asl),the LGIW risk to the XBL community could be lowered to a tolerable level.Compared with traditional landslide prevention and control measures,the proposed mitigation scheme can reduce excavation costs by approximately 37 million CNY,making it a more scientifically sound and economically feasible solution.We explored the concept and the implementation of LGIW risk mitigation in depth,offering new insights for global LGIW risk management.This case study enhances our understanding of LGIW hazard prevention and provides valuable guidance for policymaking and engineering practices in similar geological settings worldwide.
基金supported by Natural Science Research Project of Anhui Educational Committee(2023AH030041)National Natural Science Foundation of China(42277136)Anhui Province Young and Middle-aged Teacher Training Action Project(DTR2023018).
文摘Selection of negative samples significantly influences landslide susceptibility assessment,especially when establishing the relationship between landslides and environmental factors in regions with complex geological conditions.Traditional sampling strategies commonly used in landslide susceptibility models can lead to a misrepresentation of the distribution of negative samples,causing a deviation from actual geological conditions.This,in turn,negatively affects the discriminative ability and generalization performance of the models.To address this issue,we propose a novel approach for selecting negative samples to enhance the quality of machine learning models.We choose the Liangshan Yi Autonomous Prefecture,located in southwestern Sichuan,China,as the case study.This area,characterized by complex terrain,frequent tectonic activities,and steep slope erosion,experiences recurrent landslides,making it an ideal setting for validating our proposed method.We calculate the contribution values of environmental factors using the relief algorithm to construct the feature space,apply the Target Space Exteriorization Sampling(TSES)method to select negative samples,calculate landslide probability values by Random Forest(RF)modeling,and then create regional landslide susceptibility maps.We evaluate the performance of the RF model optimized by the Environmental Factor Selection-based TSES(EFSTSES)method using standard performance metrics.The results indicated that the model achieved an accuracy(ACC)of 0.962,precision(PRE)of 0.961,and an area under the curve(AUC)of 0.962.These findings demonstrate that the EFSTSES-based model effectively mitigates the negative sample imbalance issue,enhances the differentiation between landslide and non-landslide samples,and reduces misclassification,particularly in geologically complex areas.These improvements offer valuable insights for disaster prevention,land use planning,and risk mitigation strategies.
基金the University of Transport Technology under the project entitled“Application of Machine Learning Algorithms in Landslide Susceptibility Mapping in Mountainous Areas”with grant number DTTD2022-16.
文摘This study was aimed to prepare landslide susceptibility maps for the Pithoragarh district in Uttarakhand,India,using advanced ensemble models that combined Radial Basis Function Networks(RBFN)with three ensemble learning techniques:DAGGING(DG),MULTIBOOST(MB),and ADABOOST(AB).This combination resulted in three distinct ensemble models:DG-RBFN,MB-RBFN,and AB-RBFN.Additionally,a traditional weighted method,Information Value(IV),and a benchmark machine learning(ML)model,Multilayer Perceptron Neural Network(MLP),were employed for comparison and validation.The models were developed using ten landslide conditioning factors,which included slope,aspect,elevation,curvature,land cover,geomorphology,overburden depth,lithology,distance to rivers and distance to roads.These factors were instrumental in predicting the output variable,which was the probability of landslide occurrence.Statistical analysis of the models’performance indicated that the DG-RBFN model,with an Area Under ROC Curve(AUC)of 0.931,outperformed the other models.The AB-RBFN model achieved an AUC of 0.929,the MB-RBFN model had an AUC of 0.913,and the MLP model recorded an AUC of 0.926.These results suggest that the advanced ensemble ML model DG-RBFN was more accurate than traditional statistical model,single MLP model,and other ensemble models in preparing trustworthy landslide susceptibility maps,thereby enhancing land use planning and decision-making.
文摘Hong Kong has a high concentration of developments on hilly terrain in close proximity to man-made slopes and natural hillsides.Because of the high seasonal rainfall,these man-made slopes and natural hillsides would pose a risk to the public as manifested by a death toll of 470 people due to landslides since the late 1940s.In 1977,the Government of the Hong Kong SAR embarked on a systematic programme,known as the Landslip Preventive Measure(LPM)Programme,to retroft substandard man-made slopes.From 1977 to 2010,about 4500 substandard government man-made slopes have been upgraded through engineering works.During the period,the Programme had evolved progressively in response to Government’s internal demand for continuous improvement and rising public expectation for slope safety.In 2010,the Government implemented the Landslip Prevention and Mitigation(LPMit)Programme to dovetail with the LPM Programme,with the focus on retroftting the remaining moderate-risk substandard man-made slopes and mitigating systematically the natural terrain landslide risk pursuant to the"react-to-known"hazard principle.This paper presents the evolution of the LPM and LPMit Programmes as well as the insight on landslide prevention and mitigation through engineering works.
基金supported by the Second Tibetan Plateau Scientific Expedition and Research Program(STEP)(Grant No.2021QZKK0202)the China Postdoctoral Science Foundation(Grant No.2021T140650)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.42007273).The authors express their gratitude for this financial assistance.
文摘The southeastern margin of Qinghai-Tibet Plateau(SMQTP)is of a typical large landslide-prone area due to intense tectonic activity,deeply incised valleys,high geostress and frequent earthquakes.To gain insights into large landslides in southeastern margin of Qinghai-Tibet Plateau,an area covering 3.34×105 km^(2)that extends 80e150 km on both sides of the Sichuan-Tibet traffic corridors(G318)was used to examine the spatial distribution and corresponding characteristics of landslides.The results showed that the study area contains at least 629 large landslides that are mainly concentrated on 7 zones(zones IeVII).Zones IeVII are in the southern section of the Longmenshan fault zone(with no large river)and sections with Dadu River,Jinsha River,Lancang River,Nujiang River and Yarlung Zangbo River.There are more landslides in the Jinsha River section(totaling 186 landslides)than the other sections.According to the updated Varnes classification,408 large landslides(64.9%)were recognized and divided into 4 major types,i.e.flows(275 cases),slides(58 cases),topples(44 cases)and slope deformations(31 cases).Flows,which consist of rock avalanches and iceerock avalanches,are the most common landslide type.Large landslide triggers(178 events,28.3%)are also recognized,and earthquakes may be the most common trigger.Due to the limited data,these landslide type classifications and landslide triggers are perhaps immature,and further systematic analysis is needed.
基金the funding support from the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.52308340)Chongqing Talent Innovation and Entrepreneurship Demonstration Team Project(Grant No.cstc2024ycjh-bgzxm0012)the Science and Technology Projects supported by China Coal Technology and Engineering Chongqing Design and Research Institute(Group)Co.,Ltd..(Grant No.H20230317)。
文摘Influenced by complex external factors,the displacement-time curve of reservoir landslides demonstrates both short-term and long-term diversity and dynamic complexity.It is difficult for existing methods,including Regression models and Neural network models,to perform multi-characteristic coupled displacement prediction because they fail to consider landslide creep characteristics.This paper integrates the creep characteristics of landslides with non-linear intelligent algorithms and proposes a dynamic intelligent landslide displacement prediction method based on a combination of the Biological Growth model(BG),Convolutional Neural Network(CNN),and Long ShortTerm Memory Network(LSTM).This prediction approach improves three different biological growth models,thereby effectively extracting landslide creep characteristic parameters.Simultaneously,it integrates external factors(rainfall and reservoir water level)to construct an internal and external comprehensive dataset for data augmentation,which is input into the improved CNN-LSTM model.Thereafter,harnessing the robust feature extraction capabilities and spatial translation invariance of CNN,the model autonomously captures short-term local fluctuation characteristics of landslide displacement,and combines LSTM's efficient handling of long-term nonlinear temporal data to improve prediction performance.An evaluation of the Liangshuijing landslide in the Three Gorges Reservoir Area indicates that BG-CNN-LSTM exhibits high prediction accuracy,excellent generalization capabilities when dealing with various types of landslides.The research provides an innovative approach to achieving the whole-process,realtime,high-precision displacement predictions for multicharacteristic coupled landslides.
基金the financial support from the Fujian Science Foundation for Outstanding Youth(2023J06039)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.41977259,U2005205,41972268)the Independent Research Project of Technology Innovation Center for Monitoring and Restoration Engineering of Ecological Fragile Zone in Southeast China(KY-090000-04-2022-019)。
文摘Shotcrete is one of the common solutions for shallow sliding.It works by forming a protective layer with high strength and cementing the loose soil particles on the slope surface to prevent shallow sliding.However,the solidification time of conventional cement paste is long when shotcrete is used to treat cohesionless soil landslide.The idea of reinforcing slope with polyurethane solidified soil(i.e.,mixture of polyurethane and sand)was proposed.Model tests and finite element analysis were carried out to study the effectiveness of the proposed new method on the emergency treatment of cohesionless soil landslide.Surcharge loading on the crest of the slope was applied step by step until landslide was triggered so as to test and compare the stability and bearing capacity of slope models with different conditions.The simulated slope displacements were relatively close to the measured results,and the simulated slope deformation characteristics were in good agreement with the observed phenomena,which verifies the accuracy of the numerical method.Under the condition of surcharge loading on the crest of the slope,the unreinforced slope slid when the surcharge loading exceeded 30 k Pa,which presented a failure mode of local instability and collapse at the shallow layer of slope top.The reinforced slope remained stable even when the surcharge loading reached 48 k Pa.The displacement of the reinforced slope was reduced by more than 95%.Overall,this study verifies the effectiveness of polyurethane in the emergency treatment of cohesionless soil landslide and should have broad application prospects in the field of geological disasters concerning the safety of people's live.
基金funded by the Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.42377164 and 41972280)the Badong National Observation and Research Station of Geohazards(Grant No.BNORSG-202305).
文摘Landslide susceptibility prediction(LSP)is significantly affected by the uncertainty issue of landslide related conditioning factor selection.However,most of literature only performs comparative studies on a certain conditioning factor selection method rather than systematically study this uncertainty issue.Targeted,this study aims to systematically explore the influence rules of various commonly used conditioning factor selection methods on LSP,and on this basis to innovatively propose a principle with universal application for optimal selection of conditioning factors.An'yuan County in southern China is taken as example considering 431 landslides and 29 types of conditioning factors.Five commonly used factor selection methods,namely,the correlation analysis(CA),linear regression(LR),principal component analysis(PCA),rough set(RS)and artificial neural network(ANN),are applied to select the optimal factor combinations from the original 29 conditioning factors.The factor selection results are then used as inputs of four types of common machine learning models to construct 20 types of combined models,such as CA-multilayer perceptron,CA-random forest.Additionally,multifactor-based multilayer perceptron random forest models that selecting conditioning factors based on the proposed principle of“accurate data,rich types,clear significance,feasible operation and avoiding duplication”are constructed for comparisons.Finally,the LSP uncertainties are evaluated by the accuracy,susceptibility index distribution,etc.Results show that:(1)multifactor-based models have generally higher LSP performance and lower uncertainties than those of factors selection-based models;(2)Influence degree of different machine learning on LSP accuracy is greater than that of different factor selection methods.Conclusively,the above commonly used conditioning factor selection methods are not ideal for improving LSP performance and may complicate the LSP processes.In contrast,a satisfied combination of conditioning factors can be constructed according to the proposed principle.
基金jointly supported by the International Research Center of Big Data for Sustainable Development Goals(Grant No.CBAS2022GSP02)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.42072320 and 42372264).
文摘Active landslides pose a significant threat globally,endangering lives and property.Effective monitoring and forecasting of displacements are essential for the timely warnings and mitigation of these events.Interferometric synthetic aperture radar(InSAR)stands out as an efficient and prevalent tool for monitoring landslide deformation and offers new prospects for displacement prediction.However,challenges such as inherent limitation of satellite viewing geometry,long revisit cycles,and limited data volume hinder its application in displacement forecasting,notably for landslides with near-north-south deformation less detectable by InSAR.To address these issues,we propose a novel strategy for predicting three-dimensional(3D)landslide displacement,integrating InSAR and global navigation satellite system(GNSS)measurements with machine learning(ML).This framework first synergizes InSAR line-of-sight(LOS)results with GNSS horizontal data to reconstruct 3D displacement time series.It then employs ML models to capture complex nonlinear relationships between external triggers,landslide evolutionary states,and 3D displacements,thus enabling accurate future deformation predictions.Utilizing four advanced ML algorithms,i.e.random forest(RF),support vector machine(SVM),long short-term memory(LSTM),and gated recurrent unit(GRU),with Bayesian optimization(BO)for hyperparameter tuning,we applied this innovative approach to the north-facing,slow-moving Xinpu landslide in the Three Gorges Reservoir Area(TGRA)of China.Leveraging over 6.5 years of Sentinel-1 satellite data and GNSS measurements,our framework demonstrates satisfactory and robust prediction performance,with an average root mean square deviation(RMSD)of 9.62 mm and a correlation coefficient(CC)of 0.996.This study presents a promising strategy for 3D displacement prediction,illustrating the efficacy of integrating InSAR monitoring with ML forecasting in enhancing landslide early warning capabilities.
