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Stability analysis of distributed Kalman filtering algorithm for stochastic regression model
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作者 Siyu Xie Die Gan Zhixin Liu 《Control Theory and Technology》 2025年第2期161-175,共15页
The work proposes a distributed Kalman filtering(KF)algorithm to track a time-varying unknown signal process for a stochastic regression model over network systems in a cooperative way.We provide the stability analysi... The work proposes a distributed Kalman filtering(KF)algorithm to track a time-varying unknown signal process for a stochastic regression model over network systems in a cooperative way.We provide the stability analysis of the proposed distributed KF algorithm without independent and stationary signal assumptions,which implies that the theoretical results are able to be applied to stochastic feedback systems.Note that the main difficulty of stability analysis lies in analyzing the properties of the product of non-independent and non-stationary random matrices involved in the error equation.We employ analysis techniques such as stochastic Lyapunov function,stability theory of stochastic systems,and algebraic graph theory to deal with the above issue.The stochastic spatio-temporal cooperative information condition shows the cooperative property of multiple sensors that even though any local sensor cannot track the time-varying unknown signal,the distributed KF algorithm can be utilized to finish the filtering task in a cooperative way.At last,we illustrate the property of the proposed distributed KF algorithm by a simulation example. 展开更多
关键词 Distributed kalman filtering algorithm Stochastic cooperative information condition Sensor networks (L_(p))-exponential stability Stochastic regression model
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Short-term Wind Power Forecasting Using Interval A2-C1 Type-2 TSK FLS Method with Extended Kalman Filter Algorithm
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作者 Jun Li Mingdi Miao 《Chinese Journal of Electrical Engineering》 2025年第3期191-215,共25页
For short-term wind power forecasting,an interval A2-C1 type-2(IT2)Takagi-Sugeno-Kang(TSK)fuzzy logic system(FLS)method(“A”means antecedent and“C”consequent)based on an extended Kalman filter(EKF)optimization algo... For short-term wind power forecasting,an interval A2-C1 type-2(IT2)Takagi-Sugeno-Kang(TSK)fuzzy logic system(FLS)method(“A”means antecedent and“C”consequent)based on an extended Kalman filter(EKF)optimization algorithm is proposed.Compared with the type-1(T1)FLS model,the IT2 TSK FLS method can simultaneously model both intra-and inter-individual uncertainty and further optimize the antecedent and consequent parameters using the EKF to improve forecasting performance further.The proposed IT2 A2-C1 FLS method is applied to Mackey-Glass chaotic time series and wind power forecasting instances in a certain region,under the same conditions.It is also compared with the T1 TSK FLS and IT2 TSK FLS methods with back propagation(BP)and particle swarm optimization(PSO)algorithms,as well as IT2 A2-C0 TSK FLS methods with EKF.The experimental results confirm that the proposed IT2 A2-C1 FLS method is superior to the other FLS methods regarding performance,which demonstrates its effectiveness and application potential. 展开更多
关键词 Wind power forecasting interval type-2 TSK fuzzy logic system extended kalman filter(EKF)algorithm A2-C1
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Stability and performance analysis of the compressed Kalman filter algorithm for sparse stochastic systems 被引量:2
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作者 LI RongJiang GAN Die +1 位作者 XIE SiYu LüJinHu 《Science China(Technological Sciences)》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2024年第2期380-394,共15页
This paper considers the problem of estimating unknown sparse time-varying signals for stochastic dynamic systems.To deal with the challenges of extensive sparsity,we resort to the compressed sensing method and propos... This paper considers the problem of estimating unknown sparse time-varying signals for stochastic dynamic systems.To deal with the challenges of extensive sparsity,we resort to the compressed sensing method and propose a compressed Kalman filter(KF)algorithm.Our algorithm first compresses the original high-dimensional sparse regression vector via the sensing matrix and then obtains a KF estimate in the compressed low-dimensional space.Subsequently,the original high-dimensional sparse signals can be well recovered by a reconstruction technique.To ensure stability and establish upper bounds on the estimation errors,we introduce a compressed excitation condition without imposing independence or stationarity on the system signal,and therefore suitable for feedback systems.We further present the performance of the compressed KF algorithm.Specifically,we show that the mean square compressed tracking error matrix can be approximately calculated by a linear deterministic difference matrix equation,which can be readily evaluated,analyzed,and optimized.Finally,a numerical example demonstrates that our algorithm outperforms the standard uncompressed KF algorithm and other compressed algorithms for estimating high-dimensional sparse signals. 展开更多
关键词 sparse signal compressed sensing kalman filter algorithm compressed excitation condition stochastic stability tracking performance
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Research on Kalman Filtering Algorithmfor Deformation Information Series ofSimilar Single-Difference Model 被引量:10
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作者 吕伟才 徐绍铨 《Journal of China University of Mining and Technology》 2004年第2期189-194,199,共7页
Using similar single-difference methodology(SSDM) to solve the deformation values of the monitoring points, there is unstability of the deformation information series, at sometimes.In order to overcome this shortcomin... Using similar single-difference methodology(SSDM) to solve the deformation values of the monitoring points, there is unstability of the deformation information series, at sometimes.In order to overcome this shortcoming, Kalman filtering algorithm for this series is established,and its correctness and validity are verified with the test data obtained on the movable platform in plane. The results show that Kalman filtering can improve the correctness, reliability and stability of the deformation information series. 展开更多
关键词 similar single-difference methodology GPS deformation monitoring single epoch deformation information series kalman filtering algorithm
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Multi-sensor Hybrid Fusion Algorithm Based on Adaptive Square-root Cubature Kalman Filter 被引量:6
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作者 Xiaogong Lin Shusheng Xu Yehai Xie 《Journal of Marine Science and Application》 2013年第1期106-111,共6页
In the normal operation condition, a conventional square-root cubature Kalman filter (SRCKF) gives sufficiently good estimation results. However, if the measurements are not reliable, the SRCKF may give inaccurate r... In the normal operation condition, a conventional square-root cubature Kalman filter (SRCKF) gives sufficiently good estimation results. However, if the measurements are not reliable, the SRCKF may give inaccurate results and diverges by time. This study introduces an adaptive SRCKF algorithm with the filter gain correction for the case of measurement malfunctions. By proposing a switching criterion, an optimal filter is selected from the adaptive and conventional SRCKF according to the measurement quality. A subsystem soft fault detection algorithm is built with the filter residual. Utilizing a clear subsystem fault coefficient, the faulty subsystem is isolated as a result of the system reconstruction. In order to improve the performance of the multi-sensor system, a hybrid fusion algorithm is presented based on the adaptive SRCKF. The state and error covariance matrix are also predicted by the priori fusion estimates, and are updated by the predicted and estimated information of subsystems. The proposed algorithms were applied to the vessel dynamic positioning system simulation. They were compared with normal SRCKF and local estimation weighted fusion algorithm. The simulation results show that the presented adaptive SRCKF improves the robustness of subsystem filtering, and the hybrid fusion algorithm has the better performance. The simulation verifies the effectiveness of the proposed algorithms. 展开更多
关键词 hybrid fusion algorithm square-root cubature kalman filter adaptive filter fault detection
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TEC and Instrumental Bias Estimation of GAGAN Station Using Kalman Filter and SCORE Algorithm 被引量:1
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作者 Dhiraj Sunehra 《Positioning》 2016年第1期41-50,共10页
The standalone Global Positioning System (GPS) does not meet the higher accuracy requirements needed for approach and landing phase of an aircraft. To meet the Category-I Precision Approach (CAT-I PA) requirements of ... The standalone Global Positioning System (GPS) does not meet the higher accuracy requirements needed for approach and landing phase of an aircraft. To meet the Category-I Precision Approach (CAT-I PA) requirements of civil aviation, satellite based augmentation system (SBAS) has been planned by various countries including USA, Europe, Japan and India. The Indian SBAS is named as GPS Aided Geo Augmented Navigation (GAGAN). The GAGAN network consists of several dual frequency GPS receivers located at various airports around the Indian subcontinent. The ionospheric delay, which is a function of the total electron content (TEC), is one of the main sources of error affecting GPS/SBAS accuracy. A dual frequency GPS receiver can be used to estimate the TEC. However, line-of-sight TEC derived from dual frequency GPS data is corrupted by the instrumental biases of the GPS receiver and satellites. The estimation of receiver instrumental bias is particularly important for obtaining accurate estimates of ionospheric delay. In this paper, two prominent techniques based on Kalman filter and Self-Calibration Of pseudo Range Error (SCORE) algorithm are used for estimation of instrumental biases. The estimated instrumental bias and TEC results for the GPS Aided Geo Augmented Navigation (GAGAN) station at Hyderabad (78.47°E, 17.45°N), India are presented. 展开更多
关键词 GPS Aided Geo Augmented Navigation Total Electron Content Instrumental Biases kalman filter Score algorithm
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基于自适应Kalman滤波与GWO-LSTM-Attention的温室温湿度预测方法
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作者 蔡玉琴 刘大铭 +2 位作者 徐琴 李波洋 刘博杰 《智慧农业(中英文)》 2026年第1期148-155,共8页
[目的/意义]针对温室温湿度预测中多传感器数据融合可靠性低、传统模型忽略温湿度动态耦合,以及参数调优依赖人工经验等问题。[方法]首先,对传统卡尔曼(Kalman)滤波算法实施改进,通过动态调整过程噪声协方差和观测噪声协方差,结合新息... [目的/意义]针对温室温湿度预测中多传感器数据融合可靠性低、传统模型忽略温湿度动态耦合,以及参数调优依赖人工经验等问题。[方法]首先,对传统卡尔曼(Kalman)滤波算法实施改进,通过动态调整过程噪声协方差和观测噪声协方差,结合新息方差动态分配多传感器权重。其次,针对温湿度的强耦合性及其协同控制的需求,构建多输出长短期记忆-注意力机制(Long Short-Term Memory-Attention,LSTM-Attention)模型,以温湿度协同预测为目标,引入注意力机制自适应加权关键环境因子,并采用灰狼优化算法(Grey Wolf Optimizer,GWO)自动对超参数进行寻优。[结果和讨论]提出的自适应卡尔曼滤波算法在多点温湿度融合中的平均绝对偏差分别为1.59℃和8.64%,比传统卡尔曼滤波算法分别降低1.24%、8.57%。以该算法融合结果作为模型训练集,模型在温湿度预测中决定系数R2分别达到98.2%和99.3%,比传统Kalman提升4.7%和4.3%。GWO-LSTM-Atten⁃tion模型的温湿度预测均方根误差分别为0.7768℃和2.0564%,比LSTM、LSTM-Attention时间序列预测模型分别降低15.6%、6.6%,湿度分别降低29.2%、5.7%。[结论]提出的自适应卡尔曼融合算法能够有效抑制异常值影响,可在非平稳环境变化下实现多传感器数据可靠融合。在温室多环境因子预测中,GWO-LSTM-Attention模型温湿度预测值在未来可作为控制温室环境的重要参考,进而实现对温室环境的实时调控。 展开更多
关键词 日光温室 卡尔曼滤波 灰狼优化算法 长短期记忆神经网络 注意力机制
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Assimilation of Remote Sensing and Crop Model for LAI Estimation Based on Ensemble Kalman Filter 被引量:4
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作者 LI Rui LI Cun-jun +4 位作者 DONG Ying-ying LIU Feng WANG Ji-hua YANG Xiao-dong PAN Yu-chun 《Agricultural Sciences in China》 CAS CSCD 2011年第10期1595-1602,共8页
Data assimilation in agricultural remote sensing research is of great significance to integrate with remote sensing observations and model simulations for parameters estimation. The present investigation not only desi... Data assimilation in agricultural remote sensing research is of great significance to integrate with remote sensing observations and model simulations for parameters estimation. The present investigation not only designed and realized the Ensemble Kalman Filtering algorithm (EnKF) assimilation by combing the crop growth model (CERES-Wheat) with remote sensing data, but also optimized and updated the key parameters (LAI) of winter wheat by using remote sensing data. Results showed that the assimilation LAI and the observation ones agreed with each other, and the R2 reached 0.8315. So assimilation remote sensing and crop model could provide reference data for the agricultural production. 展开更多
关键词 crop model ASSIMILATION Ensemble kalman filter algorithm leaf area index
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NONLINEAR FILTER METHOD OF GPS DYNAMIC POSITIONING BASED ON BANCROFT ALGORITHM 被引量:4
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作者 ZHANG Qin TAO Ben-zao +1 位作者 ZHAO Chao-ying WANG Li 《Transactions of Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics》 EI 2005年第2期170-176,共7页
Because of the ignored items after linearization,the extended Kalman filter(EKF)becomes a form of suboptimal gradient descent algorithm.The emanative tendency exists in GPS solution when the filter equations are ill-p... Because of the ignored items after linearization,the extended Kalman filter(EKF)becomes a form of suboptimal gradient descent algorithm.The emanative tendency exists in GPS solution when the filter equations are ill-posed.The deviation in the estimation cannot be avoided.Furthermore,the true solution may be lost in pseudorange positioning because the linearized pseudorange equations are partial solutions.To solve the above problems in GPS dynamic positioning by using EKF,a closed-form Kalman filter method called the two-stage algorithm is presented for the nonlinear algebraic solution of GPS dynamic positioning based on the global nonlinear least squares closed algorithm--Bancroft numerical algorithm of American.The method separates the spatial parts from temporal parts during processing the GPS filter problems,and solves the nonlinear GPS dynamic positioning,thus getting stable and reliable dynamic positioning solutions. 展开更多
关键词 GPS dynamic positioning Bancroft algorithm extended kalman filter algorithm
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融合改进的Camshift与Kalman滤波的复杂环境下隔震支座位移测量研究
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作者 杜永峰 熊小桥 +2 位作者 范宁 韩博 李虎 《地震工程学报》 北大核心 2025年第4期767-780,共14页
为解决传统的Camshift算法在隔震工程应用时过度依赖颜色信息、易受周围环境干扰的问题,提出一种基于视觉的隔震支座位移测量方法。首先,对采集到的视频进行图像预处理。然后,通过调节由Canny算子获取的目标边缘信息和由Camshift算法得... 为解决传统的Camshift算法在隔震工程应用时过度依赖颜色信息、易受周围环境干扰的问题,提出一种基于视觉的隔震支座位移测量方法。首先,对采集到的视频进行图像预处理。然后,通过调节由Canny算子获取的目标边缘信息和由Camshift算法得到的颜色信息的权重,生成融合信息直方图,从而增强算法在目标跟踪时的稳定性。当目标未被遮挡时,直接使用改进的Camshift算法来获取目标位置;当目标发生遮挡时,通过目标被遮挡面积判断遮挡程度,引入Kalman增益来预测目标位置,将预测和观测结果融合后得到目标新的位置状态估计。随后,通过坐标转换获取真实位移信息。该方法准确性通过三层钢框架结构模型的振动台试验得以验证,结果表明,采用视觉方法测量与拉线式位移计测量的结果所得最大位移误差均小于6.84%,两者相关性也均在0.91之上。最后,将该视觉方法应用到某实际工程中,通过对比一个监测点视觉位移测量与拉线式位移计的数据,发现二者误差值仅为0.15 mm,精度达到了98.56%,进一步表明该方法能够适应光照变化、灰尘和遮挡等复杂的隔震层环境,具有良好的准确性和鲁棒性。 展开更多
关键词 隔震支座位移 CAMSHIFT算法 kalman滤波 复杂环境
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A novel strong tracking cubature Kalman filter and its application in maneuvering target tracking 被引量:29
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作者 An ZHANG Shuida BAO +1 位作者 Fei GAO Wenhao BI 《Chinese Journal of Aeronautics》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2019年第11期2489-2502,共14页
The fading factor exerts a significant role in the strong tracking idea. However, traditional fading factor introduction method hinders the accuracy and robustness advantages of current strong-tracking-based nonlinear... The fading factor exerts a significant role in the strong tracking idea. However, traditional fading factor introduction method hinders the accuracy and robustness advantages of current strong-tracking-based nonlinear filtering algorithms such as Cubature Kalman Filter(CKF) since traditional fading factor introduction method only considers the first-order Taylor expansion. To this end, a new fading factor idea is suggested and introduced into the strong tracking CKF method.The new fading factor introduction method expanded the number of fading factors from one to two with reselected introduction positions. The relationship between the two fading factors as well as the general calculation method can be derived based on Taylor expansion. Obvious superiority of the newly suggested fading factor introduction method is demonstrated according to different nonlinearity of the measurement function. Equivalent calculation method can also be established while applied to CKF. Theoretical analysis shows that the strong tracking CKF can extract the thirdorder term information from the residual and thus realize second-order accuracy. After optimizing the strong tracking algorithm process, a Fast Strong Tracking CKF(FSTCKF) is finally established. Two simulation examples show that the novel FSTCKF improves the robustness of traditional CKF while minimizing the algorithm time complexity under various conditions. 展开更多
关键词 algorithm time complexity Cubature kalman filter Nonlinear filtering ROBUSTNESS Strong tracking filter
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Real-time localization estimator of mobile node in wireless sensor networks based on extended Kalman filter
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作者 田金鹏 郑国莘 《Journal of Shanghai University(English Edition)》 CAS 2011年第2期128-131,共4页
Localization of the sensor nodes is a key supporting technology in wireless sensor networks (WSNs). In this paper, a real-time localization estimator of mobile node in WSNs based on extended Kalman filter (KF) is ... Localization of the sensor nodes is a key supporting technology in wireless sensor networks (WSNs). In this paper, a real-time localization estimator of mobile node in WSNs based on extended Kalman filter (KF) is proposed. Mobile node movement model is analyzed and online sequential iterative method is used to compute location result. The detailed steps of mobile sensor node self-localization adopting extended Kalman filter (EKF) is designed. The simulation results show that the accuracy of the localization estimator scheme designed is better than those of maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) and traditional KF algorithm. 展开更多
关键词 wireless sensor networks (WSNs) node location localization algorithm kalman filter (KF)
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代理模型和Kalman滤波偏差估计增强的个性化差分进化算法
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作者 孙晓燕 李帅 金耀初 《控制理论与应用》 北大核心 2025年第11期2386-2396,共11页
基于用户交互的进化优化算法可有效提高个性化推荐的性能,但已有研究忽略了编码个体与解码样本间的偏差,往往导致算法搜索方向出现较大偏离,搜索效率低;此外,用户交互评价的定量化表示也是较大挑战.针对此,本文提出了融合Kalman滤波偏... 基于用户交互的进化优化算法可有效提高个性化推荐的性能,但已有研究忽略了编码个体与解码样本间的偏差,往往导致算法搜索方向出现较大偏离,搜索效率低;此外,用户交互评价的定量化表示也是较大挑战.针对此,本文提出了融合Kalman滤波偏差估计和代理模型的个性化差分进化算法.首先,构建了基于用户评价、商品属性等的深度信念网络代理模型,实现对用户交互的定量评价;然后,设计Kalman滤波偏差估计器,跟踪进化过程中基因型和表现型之间的偏差,并基于该偏差设计差分进化算子,改变种群分布并引导搜索方向;最后,将该算法应用于亚马逊个性化搜索数据集,验证了其有效性. 展开更多
关键词 个性化搜索 差分进化算法 kalman滤波器 代理模型 偏差估计
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Kalman滤波算法在外测数据处理中的应用研究
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作者 娄广国 顾梓仪 +3 位作者 曹怡 何定坤 李杨 赵军杰 《电子技术应用》 2025年第12期62-66,共5页
在应用Kalman滤波算法对测量数据进行实时处理时,常采用调整滤波增益矩阵的方法解决滤波发散问题。在实时数据处理中,不能通过后验方式确定调整滤波增益矩阵的增益系数,需要设计一种针对数据的自适应确定方法。通过检验数据序列的误差特... 在应用Kalman滤波算法对测量数据进行实时处理时,常采用调整滤波增益矩阵的方法解决滤波发散问题。在实时数据处理中,不能通过后验方式确定调整滤波增益矩阵的增益系数,需要设计一种针对数据的自适应确定方法。通过检验数据序列的误差特性,调整滤波记忆衰减步长,确定滤波记忆衰减系数,采用tanh函数计算增益系数。仿真结果表明,采用自适应增益系数的Kalman滤波算法能够较好地适应常见测量数据,可以应用于测量数据的实时处理。 展开更多
关键词 kalman滤波 自适应 增益系数
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多传感器数据融合下齿轮箱轴心轨迹跟踪方法
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作者 熊强强 齐志艺 樊鑫 《机械设计与制造》 北大核心 2026年第1期212-217,共6页
在齿轮箱中,振动源可能包含多种频率成分,导致轴心轨迹呈现出复杂的多频特征。而单一传感器在捕捉和分离这些多频成分时存在局限性,容易产生多频成分混叠现象,影响轴心轨迹跟踪效果。因此,提出多传感器数据融合下齿轮箱轴心轨迹跟踪方... 在齿轮箱中,振动源可能包含多种频率成分,导致轴心轨迹呈现出复杂的多频特征。而单一传感器在捕捉和分离这些多频成分时存在局限性,容易产生多频成分混叠现象,影响轴心轨迹跟踪效果。因此,提出多传感器数据融合下齿轮箱轴心轨迹跟踪方法。分析齿轮箱转子运动状态,获取齿轮箱轴心轨迹图,并利用多传感器数据融合技术采集齿轮箱轴心轨迹图中所示的转子4种典型运动状态的特征信息,将不同通道的特征信息加权融合,生成反映轴心轨迹变化的特征信息图,突出不同频率成分的特征。通过全局平均池化模块降维,提取最具代表性的频率成分,利用Softmax函数归一化处理,动态调整权重,生成加权特征图,有效分离多频成分,最终输出多传感器数据融合结果。将多传感器数据融合结果带入卡尔曼滤波算法中,通过观测矩阵和观测噪声协方差矩阵,动态调整预测值,使其更接近真实值,避免多频成分混叠。实现当前时刻轴心轨迹的有效跟踪。实验结果表明,经由所提方法融合后的轴心轨迹与其各自对应的故障完全吻合,且轴心轨迹简洁清晰,信噪比可以保持在40dB以上。说明所提方法可以有效跟踪齿轮箱轴心轨迹,为齿轮箱状态监测提供了新的技术手段。 展开更多
关键词 多传感器数据融合 轴心轨迹跟踪 转子运动状态 多频成分分离 卡尔曼滤波算法
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基于改进协方差交叉融合算法的低空协同监视技术
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作者 张强 员腾蛟 林智奇 《科学技术与工程》 北大核心 2026年第2期841-847,共7页
为了满足未来智慧空中交通的发展对低空协同监视技术的迫切需求,提出了一种基于互协方差补偿机制的改进协方差交叉融合算法。该算法通过将互协方差信息引入传统协方差交叉(covariance intersection,CI)融合框架,有效降低了融合误差方差... 为了满足未来智慧空中交通的发展对低空协同监视技术的迫切需求,提出了一种基于互协方差补偿机制的改进协方差交叉融合算法。该算法通过将互协方差信息引入传统协方差交叉(covariance intersection,CI)融合框架,有效降低了融合误差方差阵估计的保守性。再结合无迹卡尔曼滤波(unscented Kalman filter,UKF)搭建双层滤波融合框架,融合了ADS-B、5G数据链和“北斗”短报文的监视数据。实验结果表明利用改进CI融合算法融合的航迹均方根误差在经纬度和高度上均有减小,证明了改进CI融合算法的有效性。这为目标跟踪、航迹预测等任务提供了更精准、更可靠的数据基础,有助于提升低空空域的安全性和运行效率。 展开更多
关键词 低空监视 无迹卡尔曼滤波 数据融合 协方差交叉融合算法
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Kalman算法在纯电动汽车SOC估算中的应用误差分析 被引量:16
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作者 温家鹏 姜久春 +1 位作者 文锋 张维戈 《汽车工程》 EI CSCD 北大核心 2010年第3期188-192,227,共6页
针对纯电动汽车电池组的工作状态和输出特性,分析了模型参数的变化对Kalman算法估算精度的影响。指出了纯电动汽车应用Kalman滤波算法估算SOC应考虑的因素,并结合电池模型参数的变化提出了Kal-man方程修正方案。最后通过电池的城市工况... 针对纯电动汽车电池组的工作状态和输出特性,分析了模型参数的变化对Kalman算法估算精度的影响。指出了纯电动汽车应用Kalman滤波算法估算SOC应考虑的因素,并结合电池模型参数的变化提出了Kal-man方程修正方案。最后通过电池的城市工况模拟试验,验证了分析的正确和可行性。 展开更多
关键词 纯电动汽车 kalman滤波算法 电池组 SOC估算 模型参数
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基于季节模型及Kalman滤波的道路行程时间 被引量:8
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作者 孙健 张纯 +2 位作者 陈书恺 薛睿 彭仲仁 《长安大学学报(自然科学版)》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2014年第6期145-151,共7页
道路行程时间是影响城市交通出行行为的重要因素。当前大多数出行时间研究基于路段进行,假设驾驶人沿着理想最短路径或最快路径行驶,难以对交叉口排队延误等相关时间参数进行精确估计。针对城市任意OD间的出行时间进行分析,采用Kalman... 道路行程时间是影响城市交通出行行为的重要因素。当前大多数出行时间研究基于路段进行,假设驾驶人沿着理想最短路径或最快路径行驶,难以对交叉口排队延误等相关时间参数进行精确估计。针对城市任意OD间的出行时间进行分析,采用Kalman滤波方法,利用历史数据对总行程时间进行有效预测。鉴于总行程时间分布存在比较明显的周期性特点,单一Kalman滤波算法难以反映出这种周期性,引入基于季节模型的Kalman滤波算法进行建模和优化。最后,利用深圳浮动车2011年12月连续3d的数据进行实证。研究结果表明:相对于传统的SARIMA模型及普通Kalman滤波算法,优化模型同时考虑总行程时间分布的周期性和时变性,具有较小误差及更好的拟合度;所得预测时间的平均绝对误差(MAE)分别在传统SARIMA模型及普通Kalman滤波算法结果基础上降低了37%和52%,其余误差指标,如均方根误差(RMSE)及最大相对误差(MRE)均有较大下降,从而证明了研究模型的有效性。 展开更多
关键词 交通工程 城市交通 总行程时间预测 季节时间序列 kalman滤波算法 浮动车数据
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一种快速Kalman滤波算法实现及效果评估 被引量:9
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作者 李彦鹏 黎湘 庄钊文 《电子与信息学报》 EI CSCD 北大核心 2005年第1期153-154,共2页
该文介绍了一种新的快速Kalman滤波算法实现方法。对于某些不能够采取离线计算的滤波过程来说,它可以在保证一定精度的同时极大地提高计算速度和减少计算占用资源。文中以仿真实验的跟踪数据做出了对比仿真。
关键词 kalman滤波 算法
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时变系统的Laguerre模型辨识及设计变量(2)——Kalman滤波法 被引量:4
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作者 丁肇红 沙泉 袁震东 《华东师范大学学报(自然科学版)》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2003年第1期25-30,共6页
 文章考虑动态线性系统的时变参数是平稳的AR(1)变量,系统为时变的Laguerre模型时的传递函数估计的均方误差(MSE)。在缓慢时变和高阶模型下,利用Kalman滤波算法,得到MSE的近似表达式。最后得到了Kalman滤波算法的设计变量的最优解。
关键词 时变系统 MSE Laguerre模型 kalman滤波算法 设计变量
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