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Hydrodynamic Modelling of Bidong Island Vicinity Waters
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作者 Nurul Rabitah Daud Mohd Fadzil Mohd Akhir 《Open Journal of Marine Science》 2015年第3期306-323,共18页
This paper explores the dynamic of meteorological forcing on current circulation pattern in the vicinity of Bidong using an unstructured flexible mesh hydrodynamic model. The forcings were wind, tides, temperature and... This paper explores the dynamic of meteorological forcing on current circulation pattern in the vicinity of Bidong using an unstructured flexible mesh hydrodynamic model. The forcings were wind, tides, temperature and salinity. The seasonal wind monsoon, mixed tides with dominant diurnal and tropical monsoon climate is characteristics of Bidong Island. We find that this area has different current circulation patterns in response to monsoon changes. It also experienced a small scale of island wake during NE monsoon. This island wake was generated by a strong northeasterly wind. We performed a series of numerical simulations based on three dominant factors in circulation, and evaluated the model using wind, tides and density. We investigated the wind-driven circulation and residual current. This study contributes to the debates on hydrodynamic of current circulation in vicinity of Bidong Island. Specifically, this study was conducted to understand the changes of currents by seasonal wind (NE monsoon and SW monsoon), temperature and salinity. 展开更多
关键词 HYDRODYNAMIC Current CIRCULATION island modeling MONSOON
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ETAS Model Analysis on the Chang Island Earthquake Swarm in Shandong Province,China 被引量:1
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作者 WANG Peng WANG Baoshan 《Earthquake Research in China》 CSCD 2019年第4期617-631,I0002,共16页
Influenced by the layout of seismic network and the location of earthquakes,earthquake catalogs are often incomplete;such incompleteness of earthquake catalogue directly affects the analysis of sequence activity chara... Influenced by the layout of seismic network and the location of earthquakes,earthquake catalogs are often incomplete;such incompleteness of earthquake catalogue directly affects the analysis of sequence activity characteristics.In this paper,the GPU-acceleration-based g template matching method is used to scan the continuous waveforms of Chang Island earthquake swarm in Shandong Province from February 9 to August 20,2017.In total,15,286 earthquakes events were detected,which was more than 6 times compared with those in network catalogue and thus reduced the magnitude of completeness from 1.0 to 0.5.Based on the intergrated catalogue of earthquakes,the characteristics of Chang Island earthquake swarm were then analyzed using the Epidemic Type Aftershock Sequences(ETAS)model.The stochastic components in the ETAS model are used as a proxy for possible earthquake triggered by external forces(fluids).The results show that the proportion of earthquakes triggered by external forces of Chang Island swarm increases gradually(from 31.9%to 63.5%)and then decreases.The latter stage of swarm development is mainly affected by the self-excitation of earthquakes,suggesting that the fluids play an important role in the development of the Chang Island swarm.However,the triggering intensity of fluids to microseismicity is divergent in different periods,which may be related to the process of fluid permeation. 展开更多
关键词 ETAS model Chang island swarm Template matching Magnitude of completeness B-VALUE Fluid triggering
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Characteristics of porosity and permeability layer of fossil Halimeda reef mineral rock of Miocene in the Xisha Islands and its genetic model 被引量:2
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作者 XU Hong ZHU Yurui +8 位作者 EBERLI G.P. LUO Wei ZHAO Xinwei CAI Ying LIU Xinyu YAN Guijing ZHANG Bolin WEI Kai CUI Ruyong 《Acta Oceanologica Sinica》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2015年第4期74-83,共10页
Halimeda is one of the major reef-building algas in the middle Miocene of Xisha, and one of the significant reef-building algas in the algal reef oil and gas field of the South China Sea. However, there have been few ... Halimeda is one of the major reef-building algas in the middle Miocene of Xisha, and one of the significant reef-building algas in the algal reef oil and gas field of the South China Sea. However, there have been few reports regarding the characteristics of mineral rocks, reservoir porosity and permeability layers, and sedimentation-diagenetic-evolution of fossil Halimeda systems. The present paper briefly introduces the relevant studies on chlorophyta Halimeda and the research status of oil and gas exploration. Through the 1 043 m core of the Xichen-1 well, we studied the characteristics of the mineral rocks and porosity and permeability of the middle Miocene Halimeda of the Yongle Atoll, identified and described the segments of fossil Halimeda, and pointed out that most of the segment slides are vertical sections in ovular, irregular or long strips. The overwhelming majority of these fossil Halimeda found and studied are vertical sections instead of cross sections. In this paper, knowledge regarding the cross sections of fossil Halimeda is reported and proven to be similar with the microscopic characteristics of modern living Halimeda;fossil Halimeda are buried in superposition;it is shown that there are different structures present, including typical bio-segment structure, and due to its feature of coexisting with red alga, tying structure, twining structure and encrusting structure are all present;and finally, it is suggested to classify the fossil Halimeda into segment algal reef dolomites. In addition, all of the studied intervals are moderately dolomitized. Secondary microcrystalline-dolosparite dominates the original aragonite raphide zones, and aphanitic-micrite dolomite plays the leading role in the cortexes and medullas;in the aragonite raphide zones between medulla and cysts, secondary dissolved pores and intercrystalline pores are formed inside the segments, and algal frame holes are formed between segments;therefore, a pore space network system (dissolved pores+intragranular dissolved pores—intercrystalline pores+algal frame holes) is established. Segment Halimeda dolomite has a porosity of 16.2%–46.1%, a permeability of 0.203×10^–3–2 641×10^–3μm^2, and a throat radius of 23.42–90.43μm, therefore it is shown to be a good oil and gas reservoir. For the reasons mentioned above, we suggest building the neogene organic reef-modern reef sedimentation-diagenetic-evolution models for the Xisha Islands. 展开更多
关键词 Xisha islands MIOCENE fossil Halimeda segment dolostone reservoir evolution model
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Modelling and Simulation of Performance of the Microgrid Frequency Stability Control during Unplanned Islanding: The Case Study of Mwenga Hydropower
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作者 Eligard Kyaruzi Francis Arthur M. Omari John P. John 《Smart Grid and Renewable Energy》 CAS 2022年第7期160-171,共12页
A grid connected microgrid connects to the grid at a point of common coupling. Due to the great inertia of the grid which accelerates and decelerates the generator when its frequency tends to deviate, the grid connect... A grid connected microgrid connects to the grid at a point of common coupling. Due to the great inertia of the grid which accelerates and decelerates the generator when its frequency tends to deviate, the grid connected microgrid operates at a frequency of the infinity bus. Frequency instability is one of the major challenges facing the grid connected microgrid during islanding. The power demand variation causes the variation in rotor speed, resulting to frequency deviation. Frequency can be brought back to standard by varying the power generation to match with the varying load. The performance of the frequency stability control system at Mwenga hydroelectric microgrid has been studied. Through site visitation, the power demand and generation status data were collected and analysed for model preparation. The results of the study indicate that, during islanding, the Mwenga rural electrification project is observed to be subjected to power imbalance which leads to frequency instability. Although the frequency control system tries to keep the system at a nominal frequency by maintaining the continuous balance between generation and varying load demand, however the system still operates with large magnitude of overshoot, undershoot and longer settling time. 展开更多
关键词 modelLING Frequency Stability Unplanned islanding Mwenga
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Experiments on Exploration of Shallow Fine Structures and the Construction of the 1-D Velocity Model in the Pingtan Island,Fujian 被引量:1
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作者 GUO Yang XU Jiajun +4 位作者 LIN Chen JIN Xing YAO Huajian YANG Hongfeng CAI Huiteng 《Earthquake Research in China》 CSCD 2019年第2期265-275,共11页
112 short-period seismographs were set up in the 400 km^2 area of Pingtan Island and its surrounding areas in Fujian.The combined observations of the airgun source and ambient noise source were carried out using a den... 112 short-period seismographs were set up in the 400 km^2 area of Pingtan Island and its surrounding areas in Fujian.The combined observations of the airgun source and ambient noise source were carried out using a dense array to receive the 387 airgun signals excited around the island and one month of continuous ambient noise recording.The 1-D P-wave and S-wave shallow velocity model of Pingtan Island is obtained by the inversion of the airgun body wave’s first arrival time data,and the reliability of the velocity model is verified by using the surface wave phase velocity dispersion curve,which can provide initial model for subsequent 3-D imaging.The experimental results show that this experiment is a successful demonstration of local scale green non-destructive detection,which can provide basic data for shallow surface structure research and strong vibration simulation of the Pingtan Island. 展开更多
关键词 PINGTAN island Fujian DENSE array Airgun AMBIENT noise 1-D VELOCITY model
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东海陆架盆地西湖凹陷障壁滨岸沉积体系及特征——以平北地区平湖组早期为例
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作者 阴国锋 赵勇 《油气藏评价与开发》 北大核心 2026年第1期186-197,共12页
西湖凹陷是东海陆架盆地中极具油气勘探价值的富烃凹陷,其始新统平湖组在近年来的勘探工作中持续取得突破,已成为油气勘探开发的重要层位。由于以往研究多基于宏观区域开展且资料分散,致使学术界对平湖组沉积体系的认识存在诸多争议,严... 西湖凹陷是东海陆架盆地中极具油气勘探价值的富烃凹陷,其始新统平湖组在近年来的勘探工作中持续取得突破,已成为油气勘探开发的重要层位。由于以往研究多基于宏观区域开展且资料分散,致使学术界对平湖组沉积体系的认识存在诸多争议,严重影响后续勘探开发的精准度与效率。研究以西湖凹陷平北地区平湖组早期沉积为切入点,综合运用岩心、测录井、地震等多种资料,深入开展了沉积体系研究,旨在明晰其沉积特征并建立沉积模式。经研究,平湖组下段可划分为层序一、层序二共2个三级层序,二者均展现出显著的潮汐沉积特征,标志性沉积构造包括双向交错层理、再作用面、双黏土层以及脉状—波状—透镜状潮汐复合层理等。其中,层序一时期,研究区呈现典型的障壁滨岸沉积环境。北东—南西走向的障壁砂坝将区域一分为二,西侧形成潟湖—潮坪体系,发育潮道、三角洲前缘等沉积微相;东侧为开阔滨岸体系,发育与障壁岛平行的条带状沿岸砂坝。而在层序二时期,受区域海侵作用的影响,障壁岛—潟湖体系发育受到抑制,沉积环境转变为潮汐主导的开阔潮坪沉积,完整发育砂坪—混合坪—泥坪沉积序列。受潮汐作用影响,潮间带—潮下带发育北西—南东向潮道,潮下带也发育潮汐砂坝和砂坪。进一步通过对砂体类型、形态、展布规律的详细剖析,并结合沉积环境与经典沉积模式,建立了障壁滨岸—潮坪复合沉积模式。模式的建立不仅为理解西湖凹陷沉积演化过程提供了依据,而且对指导西湖凹陷自斜坡带至凹陷区的油气勘探开发具有指导意义。 展开更多
关键词 西湖凹陷 平湖组 潮坪 障壁岛 沉积模式
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基于“季节-源汇”下的山东大学主城区热环境驱动因素分析
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作者 范强 相梦雪 +1 位作者 张兵 王丽芳 《生态环境学报》 北大核心 2026年第1期75-87,共13页
地表温度(LST)作为衡量城市热环境的关键指标,其时空分异特征与驱动机制已成为当前研究的前沿方向。传统线性模型在解析热环境系统的非线性动力学特征时存在局限性,而LightGBM模型结合Shapley加性解释(SHAP)的可解释性算法为揭示复杂驱... 地表温度(LST)作为衡量城市热环境的关键指标,其时空分异特征与驱动机制已成为当前研究的前沿方向。传统线性模型在解析热环境系统的非线性动力学特征时存在局限性,而LightGBM模型结合Shapley加性解释(SHAP)的可解释性算法为揭示复杂驱动机制提供了新方法。该研究针对现有研究中“源-汇”尺度景观效应量化与季节动态机制解析的不足,创新性地构建了以局地气候区为依托的“季节-源汇”二维分析框架。以山东大学主城区为研究区,融合多源遥感数据与地理空间数据,深入探究了城市空间形态、自然环境要素及人类活动对LST的耦合影响机制,量化分析了9类驱动因子在四季“源-汇”景观中对LST的贡献度,发现自然环境因素在城市热环境调控中占据主导地位,数字高程、归一化植被指数和改进归一化水体指数是关键调控因子。城市空间形态对LST的影响虽小于自然环境因素,但建筑容积率、天空开阔度和建筑覆盖率等因素仍具有显著作用。人类活动对LST的影响相对较小,但兴趣点数据和道路密度在局部区域仍存在一定的影响。这些发现为不同季节和源汇区域的差异化规划提供了战略性建议,为城市热环境管理提供了科学依据。应充分利用自然环境资源,合理规划建筑布局,以优化城市热环境,提升城市生态宜居性。 展开更多
关键词 城市热岛效应 LightGBM模型 Shapley加性解释(SHAP) “源-汇”尺度 季节 局地气候区(LCZ)
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Hexagon-Islands Density and Size Distribution on Growing Single-Walled Carbon Nanotubes in the Kinetic 5-Vertex Model
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作者 Sènan Ida Valérie Hontinfinde Josaphat Adda +2 位作者 Joel Kple Franck Zounmenou Félix Hontinfinde 《World Journal of Condensed Matter Physics》 CAS 2024年第4期77-95,共19页
A kinetic 5-vertex model is used to investigate hexagon-islands formation on growing single-walled carbon nanotubes (SWCNT). In the model, carbon atoms adsorption and migration processes on the SWCNT edge are consider... A kinetic 5-vertex model is used to investigate hexagon-islands formation on growing single-walled carbon nanotubes (SWCNT). In the model, carbon atoms adsorption and migration processes on the SWCNT edge are considered. These two dynamic processes are assumed to be mutually independent as well as mutually dependent as far as the whole growth of the nanotube is concerned. Key physical parameters of the model are the growth time t, the diffusion length Γ defined as the ratio of the diffusion rate D to the carbon atomic flux F and the SWCNT chiral angle. The kinetic equation that describes the nanotube edge dynamics is solved using kinetic Monte Carlo simulations with the Bortz, Kalos and Lebowitz update algorithm. The behaviors of islands density and size distribution are investigated within the growth parameters’ space. Our study revealed key mechanisms that enable the formation of a new ring of hexagons at the SWCNT edge. The growth occurs either by pre-existing steps propagation or by hexagon-islands growth and coalescence on terraces located between dislocation steps, depending on values of model parameters. This should offer a road map for edge design in nanotubes production. We also found that in appropriate growth conditions, the islands density follows Gaussian and generalized Wigner distributions whereas their size distribution at a given growth time shows a decreasing exponential trend. 展开更多
关键词 Kinetic 5-Vertex model Single-Walled Carbon Nanotube Monte Carlo Simulations island Density and Size Distribution Gaussian and Wigner Distributions
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基于变权理论和灰色云模型的海岛旅游地生态安全评价——以舟山群岛为例
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作者 周彬 乔荟潼 +1 位作者 肖芳珍 虞虎 《生态学报》 北大核心 2026年第4期1976-1991,共16页
海岛旅游地生态系统面临风险日益加剧的背景下,开展海岛旅游地生态安全研究具有重要意义。为了克服传统旅游生态安全评价方法在处理权重波动性和评价过程不确定性的局限,综合运用变权理论与灰色云模型,引入承载力-支持力-吸引力-延续力... 海岛旅游地生态系统面临风险日益加剧的背景下,开展海岛旅游地生态安全研究具有重要意义。为了克服传统旅游生态安全评价方法在处理权重波动性和评价过程不确定性的局限,综合运用变权理论与灰色云模型,引入承载力-支持力-吸引力-延续力-发展力(CSAED)模型,构建海岛旅游地生态安全评价指标体系,以舟山群岛为例开展实证研究。结果表明:(1)2008—2022年,舟山群岛旅游生态安全指数总体呈波动上升趋势,从2008年的50.793提升至2022年的83.152,由“风险等级”演化至“安全等级”;(2)各子系统表现差异显著,支持力与承载力子系统安全指数持续提升,延续力与发展力呈现“先提升-后回落”的波动特征,而吸引力子系统则出现安全等级的下降趋势;(3)变权理论与灰色云模型的融合,能够提高对海岛旅游地生态安全的诊断敏感度与评价结果的可靠性。不仅拓展了旅游生态安全评价方法论体系,还可为舟山群岛旅游生态环境治理政策制定提供理论参考与决策依据。 展开更多
关键词 海岛旅游地 生态安全 变权理论 灰色云模型 舟山群岛
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基于DeepSeek-R1的生产调度优化新范式:以岛式装配为例
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作者 朱家豪 黄思翰 +2 位作者 黄铭 王国新 阎艳 《计算机集成制造系统》 北大核心 2026年第2期413-424,共12页
以ChatGPT、DeepSeek为代表的大语言模型为智能制造提供了新动力。生产调度作为智能制造的重点研究方向,如何利用大语言模型提升调度方案获取效率是当前的热点。因此,提出一种基于DeepSeek-R1的生产调度优化新范式,从大模型工具化视角... 以ChatGPT、DeepSeek为代表的大语言模型为智能制造提供了新动力。生产调度作为智能制造的重点研究方向,如何利用大语言模型提升调度方案获取效率是当前的热点。因此,提出一种基于DeepSeek-R1的生产调度优化新范式,从大模型工具化视角探索生产调度问题求解的新思路。以新能源汽车岛式装配线的生产调度作为切入点,充分利用DeepSeek-R1的自然语言处理与代码生成能力引入,构建了包含提示词设计、建模求解和迭代优化3个阶段的调度优化流程。提示词设计阶段通过将岛式装配调度问题转化为结构化提示词输入,包括问题假设、约束、优化目标等;建模求解阶段,DeepSeek-R1根据提示词自动生成求解代码得到初始调度方案;迭代优化阶段,用户基于初始调度方案,通过校验-反馈循环得到符合问题假设与约束的最终方案。案例分析表明,该方法可以实现小时级别(约8小时)的岛式装配线生产调度优化求解效率,通过多算法对比,验证了DeepSeek-R1赋能调度优化的可行性与优势。 展开更多
关键词 智能制造 岛式装配 大语言模型 DeepSeek-R1 生产调度 智能优化
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两种海水池塘生态养殖模式下中华乌塘鳢(Bostrychus sinensis)的营养及生理生化比较分析
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作者 潘煌杰 王秋荣 +11 位作者 陈政强 王秋博 李帆 徐典 赵高志 何明江 李卓然 李宛蒙 陈融斌 耿魏贤芮 郑会义 李元跃 《海洋与湖沼》 北大核心 2026年第1期239-253,共15页
在福建东山湾海水池塘利用红树植物秋茄浮岛和盐沼植物海马齿浮岛两种养殖模式养殖中华乌塘鳢,研究两种养殖模式的中华乌塘鳢营养及生理生化特征。实验设立红树植物秋茄浮岛养殖组(简称H组)和盐沼植物海马齿浮岛养殖组(简称M组),以空白... 在福建东山湾海水池塘利用红树植物秋茄浮岛和盐沼植物海马齿浮岛两种养殖模式养殖中华乌塘鳢,研究两种养殖模式的中华乌塘鳢营养及生理生化特征。实验设立红树植物秋茄浮岛养殖组(简称H组)和盐沼植物海马齿浮岛养殖组(简称M组),以空白浮岛养殖组(简称K组)(水面无种植植物)、外围环沟养殖组(简称W组)和野生捕捞组(简称Y组)为对照,养殖周期10个月,研究结果如下:(1)H组与Y组的粗蛋白含量接近(78.31%、78.63%),Y组粗脂肪含量最低(1.86%)。M组的粗灰分含量(10.01%)显著高于Y组(8.12%)。各实验组均检出16种氨基酸,其中谷氨酸(GLU)含量最高,蛋氨酸(MET)含量最低。H组的TEAA(27.77%)与Y组接近。所有组别的第一限制性氨基酸均为蛋氨酸+半胱氨酸。脂肪酸分析结果显示,中华乌塘鳢肌肉中含有17种脂肪酸,其中油酸(C18:1n-9)含量最高。H组的单不饱和脂肪酸含量(25.49%)最高。H组、M组、K组、W组的多不饱和脂肪酸含量均显著高于Y组,其中Y组的EPA+DHA含量最低。(2)各组中华乌塘鳢血清生化指标存在显著差异(P<0.05)。W组的总蛋白(TP)(47.63 g/L)、白蛋白(ALB)(15.23 g/L)和白球比例(A/G)(0.47)均显著高于其他组(P<0.05);Y组的天冬氨酸氨基转移酶(AST)(613.85 IU/L)和丙氨酸氨基转移酶(ALT)(235.6 IU/L)显著高于养殖组。血脂分析表明,M组甘油三酯(TG)最高(5.14 mmol/L),Y组高密度脂蛋白(HDL)最高(1 mmol/L)。(3)各组中华乌塘鳢肝脏抗氧化指标存在显著差异(P<0.05)。Y组总抗氧化能力(T-AOC)(0.62 nmol/g prot)和谷胱甘肽(GSH)(30.71μmol/mg prot)含量均显著高于其他组;而M组超氧化物歧化酶(SOD)活性最高(266.68 U/mg prot),显著高于Y组(186.47 U/mg prot)。K组过氧化氢酶(CAT)活性最高(48.12 U/mg prot)。H组与M组的丙二醛(MDA)水平显著低于其他组别。研究结果为海水池塘高效养殖技术与生态养殖模式的构建提供依据,对海水池塘低碳养殖和可持续发展具有重要意义。 展开更多
关键词 海水池塘 养殖模式 红树林浮岛 海马齿浮岛 中华乌塘鳢
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含虚拟惯性控制环节的孤岛微电网时滞相关频率稳定性分析
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作者 王炜 梁津铭 曾红兵 《控制理论与应用》 北大核心 2026年第1期149-158,共10页
本文研究孤岛微电网系统的时滞相关频率稳定性问题.首先引入虚拟惯性控制环节对可再生能源高渗透导致的系统惯性不足进行补偿,然后利用模型重构技术构建了孤岛微电网时滞相关负荷频率控制系统的数学模型,在此基础上,构造包含更多时滞信... 本文研究孤岛微电网系统的时滞相关频率稳定性问题.首先引入虚拟惯性控制环节对可再生能源高渗透导致的系统惯性不足进行补偿,然后利用模型重构技术构建了孤岛微电网时滞相关负荷频率控制系统的数学模型,在此基础上,构造包含更多时滞信息且充分融合模型重构技术的Lyapunov-Krasovskii泛函并利用广义自由权矩阵积分不等式和二次函数不等式的线性化条件来处理泛函导数,从而得到基于线性矩阵不等式的时滞相关稳定性判据.最后,通过仿真实验和数据分析表明本文所提方法有着更低的保守性,并且验证了引入虚拟惯性控制环节能有效地提升孤岛微电网的动态性能. 展开更多
关键词 时滞 孤岛微电网 频率控制 LYAPUNOV-KRASOVSKII泛函 虚拟惯性控制 模型重构技术
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Three-dimensional P-wave velocity structure of the crust beneath Hainan Island and its adjacent regions,China 被引量:12
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作者 李志雄 雷建设 +3 位作者 赵大鹏 武巴特尔 沈繁銮 丘学林 《地震学报》 CSCD 北大核心 2008年第5期441-448,共8页
Using over 3 500 first P arrival times recorded by nine digital seismic stations from Hainan Digital Seismic Net-work during 1999~2005,a 3-D P-wave velocity model of the crust under Hainan Island and adjacent regions... Using over 3 500 first P arrival times recorded by nine digital seismic stations from Hainan Digital Seismic Net-work during 1999~2005,a 3-D P-wave velocity model of the crust under Hainan Island and adjacent regions has been determined. The results show that the pattern of velocity anomalies in the shallower upper crust is somewhat associated with the surface geological tectonics in the region. A relative low-velocity anomaly appears north of the Wangwu-Wenjiao fault zone and a relative high-velocity anomaly appears south of the Wangwu-Wenjiao fault zone,corresponding to the depressed areas in north Hainan Island,where many volcanoes are frequently active and geothermal values are relatively higher,and the uplifted and stable regions in central and south of the Hainan Is-land. In the middle and lower crust velocities are relatively lower in east Hainan than those in west Hainan,possi-bly suggesting the existence of the upwelling of hot materials from the mantle in east Hainan. The pattern of veloc-ity anomalies also indicates that NW faults,i.e.,the Puqian-Qinglan fault,may be shallower,while the E-W Wangwu-Wenjiao fault may be deeper,which perhaps extends down to Moho depth or deeper. 展开更多
关键词 三维速度 P波 地壳结构 海南岛
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基于PLUS模型的东山岛防风生态网络构建与多情景模拟
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作者 莫凯翔 曲永季 +1 位作者 林宏阳 巫丽芸 《生态学报》 北大核心 2026年第3期1536-1550,共15页
高强度的人类活动与粗放的土地利用模式叠加,导致沿海防护林和海岛整体森林体系破碎化,使得原有防风固沙生态屏障功能严重退化,重塑海岛整体防风生态网络成为破解海岛生态安全困境的关键路径。对土地利用变化的精确模拟为准确反映海岛... 高强度的人类活动与粗放的土地利用模式叠加,导致沿海防护林和海岛整体森林体系破碎化,使得原有防风固沙生态屏障功能严重退化,重塑海岛整体防风生态网络成为破解海岛生态安全困境的关键路径。对土地利用变化的精确模拟为准确反映海岛生态系统防风功能演变及构建防风生态网络提供依据。将多情景模拟与海岛防风生态网络构建相结合,基于PLUS模型模拟东山岛2030年自然、经济、生态3种发展情景,运用形态学空间分析和最小累积阻力模型获取核心防风源地,综合考虑海岛大风风险性和森林防风功能构建海岛防风综合阻力面,提取和筛选东山岛重要防风廊道,对比2020年及2030年3种情景下东山岛防风空间要素特征与演变趋势。结果表明:(1)在2030年土地利用多情景模拟中,耕地和水域面积在3种情景下均有一定程度的减少,建设用地面积增长,林地在经济发展情景和生态保护情景下面积有所增加,符合海岛生态保护的目标。(2)2020年大风灾害中高风险区面积比例达72%,大风灾害风险仍较高;2030年的自然发展情景与经济发展情景则呈现显著风险升级趋势,较高风险区面积较2020年分别增加15%和13%,高风险区面积分别增加3.1%和3.3%。(3)相较于2020年,东山岛2030年3种情景下核心防风源地面积均有不同程度扩大,自然发展情景与经济发展情景的扩张趋势明显,面积增加均超过5km^(2),防风廊道数量亦有增加的趋势,尤其是二级防风廊道,主要集中在中部县政府驻地和东部沿海地段。提出“一核四区一带多点”的防风安全格局构建策略,为东山岛生态防风保护与社会经济协同发展之路提供科学依据。 展开更多
关键词 海岛 东山岛 防风生态网络 PLUS模型 多情景模拟
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福建海坛岛海域前进波和驻波分布特征及其机制
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作者 林旻 曾志 +2 位作者 郑越 陈智杰 官明开 《应用海洋学学报》 北大核心 2026年第2期203-213,共11页
海坛岛位于台湾海峡北口,周边海域具有独特复杂的流场特征,既有驻波也有前进波特征。本研究通过对海坛岛周边潮汐潮流实测数据的调和分析及潮流场数值模拟,分析了该区域潮流与潮汐的分布特征,研究表明海坛岛周边M2分潮流椭圆要素中最大... 海坛岛位于台湾海峡北口,周边海域具有独特复杂的流场特征,既有驻波也有前进波特征。本研究通过对海坛岛周边潮汐潮流实测数据的调和分析及潮流场数值模拟,分析了该区域潮流与潮汐的分布特征,研究表明海坛岛周边M2分潮流椭圆要素中最大流速发生时刻在3.5~5.0 h内表现出显著的前进波特征,发生时刻在1.0~2.0 h为显著的驻波。在海坛海峡中部、海坛岛东北侧长江澳和海坛岛东侧外海区域出现较为显著的前进波特征。长江澳和海坛岛东侧外海的前进波为太平洋潮波传递过来受陆地反射波影响较小而保持的前进波,而海坛海峡通过南北两个口门传入的潮波部分受近岸地形反射影响叠加形成了驻波,部分继续传播在海坛海峡中部保持前进波状态。 展开更多
关键词 前进波 驻波 潮汐和潮流 数值模拟 海坛岛
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数据缺失与孤岛问题对空间计量模型结果的影响——兼探讨对中国相关问题的启示
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作者 姜磊 《统计与管理》 2026年第1期4-15,共12页
数据缺失与孤岛问题是空间计量实证分析中常见的问题。文章系统探讨了这两种问题对空间计量模型(以空间自回归模型和空间误差模型为代表)估计结果的多维度、深层次影响。研究发现:一是随机缺失对传统非空间计量模型自变量参数估计的影... 数据缺失与孤岛问题是空间计量实证分析中常见的问题。文章系统探讨了这两种问题对空间计量模型(以空间自回归模型和空间误差模型为代表)估计结果的多维度、深层次影响。研究发现:一是随机缺失对传统非空间计量模型自变量参数估计的影响很小,但会增大标准误差,影响统计推断。二是极值地区缺失对空间自回归模型的空间自回归系数ρ和空间误差模型的空间自相关系数λ的影响尤为显著,造成明显的有偏估计。另外,空间溢出效应随着缺失数量的增多而减弱。三是孤岛问题对空间自回归模型的空间自回归系数ρ估计造成剧烈波动和严重偏差,尤其是当孤岛为极值地区时。然而,孤岛问题对空间误差模型的空间自相关系数λ影响相对较小,但会显著增大其标准误差,严重影响统计推断。基于上述研究结论结合中国实证分析中面临的实际挑战进行了深入探讨。 展开更多
关键词 缺失数据 孤岛问题 空间计量模型 实证分析
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基于SWAT模型的热带海岛流域径流模拟研究
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作者 郭辉 张闯 +3 位作者 郑婷方 夏帆 闫安 谭培影 《黄河水利职业技术大学学报》 2026年第1期9-15,共7页
用水文模型模拟流域水循环过程,是明晰水资源演变特征和开展流域水资源优化配置的重要方法。SWAT模型在干旱半干旱地区的模拟效果十分显著,然而,在以超渗产流为主、局部蓄满产流的热带海岛流域,用其进行径流模拟的实践较少。针对热带海... 用水文模型模拟流域水循环过程,是明晰水资源演变特征和开展流域水资源优化配置的重要方法。SWAT模型在干旱半干旱地区的模拟效果十分显著,然而,在以超渗产流为主、局部蓄满产流的热带海岛流域,用其进行径流模拟的实践较少。针对热带海岛复杂多变的气候条件,考虑流域河道源短流急、降雨集中以及独特植被覆盖等特点,从河网提取、子流域划分以及气象数据计算模块等方面对SWAT模型进行改进,建立海南省万泉河流域SWAT模型,并以加积(二)站作为流域出口,对模型进行参数率定和验证。结果表明,万泉河流域SWAT模型的决定性系数(R2)和纳什效率系数(NSE)在率定期(2000-2015)分别为0.95、0.95,在验证期(2016-2022)分别为0.86、0.84,汛期洪峰流量的模拟误差在15%以内。这证明了改进的SWAT模型对万泉河流域水文过程模拟具有良好的适用性。 展开更多
关键词 热带海岛流域 SWAT模型 模型改进 径流模拟 参数率定 模型验证 决定性系数 纳什效率系数
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基于参数化模型的超低温阀门结构优化研究
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作者 秦宏川 张蔚 《液压气动与密封》 2026年第1期83-89,共7页
超低温阀门是液化天然气等物质运输的关键结构,为了优化超低温阀门结构的强度与密封性,构建了超低温阀门结构的参数化模型,对超低温阀门结构的设计参数进行了分析;建立了确定性优化方程,并采用多岛遗传算法(Multi-island Genetic Algori... 超低温阀门是液化天然气等物质运输的关键结构,为了优化超低温阀门结构的强度与密封性,构建了超低温阀门结构的参数化模型,对超低温阀门结构的设计参数进行了分析;建立了确定性优化方程,并采用多岛遗传算法(Multi-island Genetic Algorithm,MIGA)与非线性二次规划(Nonlinear Quadratic Programming,NLPQL)算法,对确定性优化方程进行求解。结果显示,经过优化后,超低温阀门结构填料最低温度、密封比压、流阻系数均有所降低,其中填料最低温度下降22.8%,密封比压下降2.73%,流阻系数下降11.15%。提出的超低温阀门结构优化方法,可有效优化超低温阀门的密封性,提高超低温阀门的确定性。 展开更多
关键词 超低温阀门 参数化模型 多岛遗传算法 非线性二次规划
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含频率偏移约束的孤岛微网源-荷-储协整优化模型
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作者 黄婧杰 罗雄 +1 位作者 谢宇峥 周任军 《中国电机工程学报》 北大核心 2026年第2期559-568,I0009,共11页
微电网在孤岛运行时,由于负荷和新能源均有实时波动,因此各时刻均可能存在功率不平衡量。功率不平衡量会造成频率偏移,是系统一次调频函数。因此,将传统有功功率实时平衡等式约束扩展为含一次调频函数的实时平衡等式约束,以运行成本最... 微电网在孤岛运行时,由于负荷和新能源均有实时波动,因此各时刻均可能存在功率不平衡量。功率不平衡量会造成频率偏移,是系统一次调频函数。因此,将传统有功功率实时平衡等式约束扩展为含一次调频函数的实时平衡等式约束,以运行成本最小和新能源消纳量最大为目标,建立含频率偏移约束的孤岛微网源-荷-储协调优化模型。研究发现,传统有功功率实时平衡在其时间序列上可推论为残差序列为0的特殊协整关系。因此,将扩展后的实时平衡等式约束视为潜在协整关系,其功率不平衡量可视为不为0的残差序列,设置残差序列平稳性约束,则源-荷-储协整关系成立,因而建立含频率偏移约束的孤岛微网源-荷-储协整优化模型。仿真结果表明:含频率偏移的协调或协整优化模型均增大了可行解范围,均具有更高的经济性;因源-荷-储协整关系的约束,协整模型比协调模型更保证了孤岛微网运行时的频率安全性。两模型均反映了功率波动导致频率偏移,进而展现微网功率新平衡这一客观状态;均将频率偏移作为可利用的调频资源,扩展了模型可行解;协整模型更适于新型电力系统运行和优化建模。 展开更多
关键词 孤岛运行 微电网 功率不平衡量 协整关系 频率偏移 协整优化模型
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Evaluation of habitat quality for selected wildlife species associated with island back channels 被引量:1
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作者 James T. Anderson Andrew K. Zadnik +1 位作者 Petra Bohall Wood Kerry Bledsoe 《Open Journal of Ecology》 2013年第4期301-310,共10页
The islands and associated back channels on the Ohio River, USA, are believed to provide critical habitat features for several wildlife species. However, few studies have quantitatively evaluated habitat quality in th... The islands and associated back channels on the Ohio River, USA, are believed to provide critical habitat features for several wildlife species. However, few studies have quantitatively evaluated habitat quality in these areas. Our main objective was to evaluate the habitat quality of back and main channel areas for several species using habitat suitability index (HSI) models. To test the effectiveness of these models, we attempted to relate HSI scores and the variables measured for each model with measures of relative abundance for the model species. The mean belted kingfisher (Ceryle alcyon) HSI was greater on the main than back channel. However, the model failed to predict kingfisher abundance. The mean reproduction component of the great blue heron (Ardea herodias) HSI, total common muskrat (Ondatra zibethicus) HSI, winter cover component of the snapping turtle (Chelydra serpentina) HSI, and brood-rearing component of the wood duck (Aix sponsa) HSI were all greater on the back than main channel, and were positively related with the relative abundance of each species. We found that island back channels provide characteristics not found elsewhere on the Ohio River and warrant conservation as important riparian wildlife habitat. The effectiveness of using HSI models to predict species abundance on the river was mixed. Modifications to several of the models are needed to improve their use on the Ohio River and, likely, other large rivers. 展开更多
关键词 Habitat SUITABILITY Index island Back Channel model Validation OHIO River RIPARIAN WILDLIFE
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