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Leverage International Travel Fairs to Facilitate the High-quality Development of Inbound Tourism
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作者 Zhang Li 《China & The World Cultural Exchange》 2025年第3期12-15,共4页
Since last year,China’s inbound tourism market has accelerated its recovery.With the introduction and optimization of various facilitation policies and the development of new products,the inbound tourism market has s... Since last year,China’s inbound tourism market has accelerated its recovery.With the introduction and optimization of various facilitation policies and the development of new products,the inbound tourism market has shown unlimited potential for growth.According to data from the Data Center of the Ministry of Culture and Tourism,the number of inbound tourists reached a new high during the Spring Festival in 2025.The UK became China's third largest source of inbound tourists after the Republic of Korea and Japan. 展开更多
关键词 international travel fairs market recovery introduction optimization various facilitation policies data center facilitation policies development new productsthe inbound tourism inbound tourists
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Regional Disparity and Convergence of China's Inbound Tourism Economy 被引量:40
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作者 WANG Shuxin HE Yuanqing +2 位作者 WANG Xueding ZHU Guofeng CAO Weihong 《Chinese Geographical Science》 SCIE CSCD 2011年第6期715-722,共8页
Comprehending regional characteristics and influencing factors of China's inbound tourism economy is im- portant to make effective policies that will help inbound tourism develop harmoniously and shrink regional disp... Comprehending regional characteristics and influencing factors of China's inbound tourism economy is im- portant to make effective policies that will help inbound tourism develop harmoniously and shrink regional disparity. This paper studied the regional disparity and convergence of China's inbound tourism economy during 1996-2008 with the methods of a-convergence, club convergence and r-convergence. The results indicate that 1) inbound tourism receipts per capita (ITRPC) of the whole country, the eastern, central and western regions presented the rapid increasing trend; 2) ITRPC of the whole country was characterized by convergence; 3) the eastern region presented club con- vergence, but the central and western regions did not show this trend; 4) the star-hotel levels and investment in fixed assets for the tourism industry per capita had a same trend to growth rates of ITRPC, promoting inbound tourism de- velopment, and there was no difference among the 31 provinces (municipalities) in the mainland of China; 5) but the proportion of employed persons in the tourism industry accounting for total population and the proportion of the terti- ary industry accounting for GDP had a reversal trend to growth rates of ITRPC, shrinking the provincial disparity in inbound tourism economy, and there were differences between the developed provinces and the developing provinces. Based on these analyses, we put forward some suggestions for the developing provinces to speed up inbound tourism economy. 展开更多
关键词 inbound tourism receipts regional disparity a-convergence club convergence fl-convergence China
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Analysis on inbound tourists' satisfaction in China: an empirical study based on the investigation of 5 cities 被引量:2
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作者 Jin Rong Wang Xueping 《Ecological Economy》 2009年第1期62-72,共11页
In China, the tourism industry is regarded as one means of fostering local economic development. This paper tries to examine inbound tourism development in China in the last decade and analyze inbound tourism's sa... In China, the tourism industry is regarded as one means of fostering local economic development. This paper tries to examine inbound tourism development in China in the last decade and analyze inbound tourism's satisfaction of their travel experience with tourist attractions, facilities, services and price by an empirical study based on the investigation of Lanzhou, Wuhan, Guangzhou, Shanghai and Beijing. This paper discusses the demographic characteristics of visitors from Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan, US, Korea and Japan by surveying a sample of 528 visitors in fi ve different cities. The survey showed that four provinces/autonomous region in western China ranked the top 10 popular destinations. Chinese natural landscape, culture and food were highly regarded by the tourists. At the same time, tourists expressed less satisfaction with tourist language convenience, tourist facility and nightlife in China. It was also found that only 7.4% of the tourists thought travel in China was far more than what they had paid, that 6.5% regarded they got what they paid for, and that 34.9% thought the travel cost was reasonable. Most tourists were satisfi ed with their travel experience in China; many of them would like to return to China and would like to recommend China. For the sustainable development of tourism, Chinese tourism authorities should strengthen the construction, propaganda and management of scenic spots, improve tourist facility and tourist education, especially language convenience, and strengthen the supervision of tickets, souvenir and hotel price. 展开更多
关键词 inbound tourists Tourists' satisfaction Satisfaction ratings China
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FOUNDATION AND APPLICATION OF BACKGROUND TREND LINE OF CHINA'S INBOUND TOURISM
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《Chinese Geographical Science》 SCIE CSCD 2000年第3期40-46,共2页
SUN Gen nian (Shaanxi Normal University, Xi’an 710062,P.R.China) ABSTRACE:Modern inbound tourism in China has been developing for 20 years, a trend line of inbound tourists in statistical data began to show. This pap... SUN Gen nian (Shaanxi Normal University, Xi’an 710062,P.R.China) ABSTRACE:Modern inbound tourism in China has been developing for 20 years, a trend line of inbound tourists in statistical data began to show. This paper introduces the concept of tourism background trend line, and explores its two functions as a barometer in demonstrating fluctuation in the tourism economy and as a forecaster in forecasting tourism development. The tourism background trend line is a new concept, the word "background" derived from environment science, refers to the trend line" which reflects the dynamic curve or dynamic equation of tourism development without considering the impact of unexpected incidents. The introduction of this concept was inspired by Karl Marx’s comments on the relation between value and price. Tourism background trend line reflects the summary of multiple factors involving tourism resources, tourism demand, population growth, the scale and speed of economic development, and the spatial interaction between tourism origins and destimations. It demonstrates the natural and stable trend and the temporal law of tourism development in a country or region. The tourism statistical curve is at random, susceptible to disruptions and disturbances from serious political, economic and environmental happenings, but it always fluctuates around the background line. Tourism background line can reveal the potential of a country’s tourism development. Compared with the statistical line, it can be used as a barometer" indicating ups and downs of tourism industry in the past. When naturally extended, the background trend line also can be used for forecasting the trend of tourism development in future. In this paper, 4 tourism background trend lines of China’s inbound tourists, i.e. foreign tourists, Hong Kong/Macao/Taiwan tourists, overseas Chinese tourists and total tourists from abroad, were established with statistical data from 1978 to 1996. And the impacts of the Political Event in 1989(or Tiananmen Square Incident) on China’s inbound tourism were evaluated. The result shows that the impact of the Event was not limited within one year, but it stretched over 3 years. The total loss was 20 million in tourist arrivals and $ 1620 million in foreign currency income. The paper also studied the trend of China’s inbound tourism in the next 4 years. 展开更多
关键词 inbound TOURISM BACKGROUND TREND line BAROMETER FUNCTION predictive FUNCTION application
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An analysis on Structure of Mongolia's Inbound Tourism Market
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作者 BAYARMAA BYAMBASUREN 《International English Education Research》 2018年第3期44-46,共3页
Based on the data related to the inbound tourism in Mongolia from 2007 to 2017, the structure of inbound tourist market is anatomized. As the result indicates, the inbound tourism market of Mongolia has increased year... Based on the data related to the inbound tourism in Mongolia from 2007 to 2017, the structure of inbound tourist market is anatomized. As the result indicates, the inbound tourism market of Mongolia has increased yearly in concentration index. Yourism has become an important sector that has an impact on development of Mongolia's economy. Foreigners take up the major place in the inbound tourism market of Mongolia, and tourists from China, Russia, South Korea, Japan and USA take up the most important place in the inbound tourism market in Mongolia. 展开更多
关键词 Mongolia inbound tourism Statistic SWOT analysis
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Inbound Open Innovation, Business Model Design and Firm Innovation Performance
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作者 Minghui Ma Weirong Wang +1 位作者 Pengbin Gao Zhou Zhang 《经济管理学刊(中英文版)》 2021年第2期71-80,共10页
Through systematic literature review,this study constructs a relationship model of the impact of inbound open innovation on firm innovation performance,and introduced two-dimensional business model design(novelty and ... Through systematic literature review,this study constructs a relationship model of the impact of inbound open innovation on firm innovation performance,and introduced two-dimensional business model design(novelty and efficiency)as mediation variables.It is preliminary confirmed theoretically that inbound open innovation has a positive impact on firm innovation performance,and the rationality of business model playing a mediation role in the relationship between inbound open innovation and innovation performance.Through questionnaire survey and empirical analysis,it is concluded that inbound open innovation has a positive impact on firm innovation performance;Two-dimensional business model design(novelty and efficiency)play a completely positive mediation role in the relationship between inbound open innovation and innovation performance.Based on these findings,this paper developed recommendations for future research. 展开更多
关键词 inbound Open Innovation Innovation Performance Novelty-centered Business Model Design Efficiencycentered Business Model Design
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Temporal and Spatial Characteristics and Evolution of China’s Inbound Tourism Carbon Footprint 被引量:5
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作者 HAN Zhiyong LI Tao LIU Ximei 《Journal of Resources and Ecology》 CSCD 2021年第1期56-67,共12页
Reducing carbon emissions and transitioning to a low-carbon economy are important propositions for human sustainability. Since it is closely related with high carbon emissions, international travel makes a substantial... Reducing carbon emissions and transitioning to a low-carbon economy are important propositions for human sustainability. Since it is closely related with high carbon emissions, international travel makes a substantial contribution to the global carbon emissions. To comprehensively explore the influence of international travel on carbon emissions and develop a sustainable development plan, this paper studies the temporal and spatial distribution and evolution of the carbon footprint of inbound tourism in China’s 30 provinces between 2007 and 2017. In this study, comprehensive calculations and spatial models are adopted to reveal the temporal and spatial characteristics. The results show that the carbon footprint of inbound tourism in China has been increasing continuously from 2007 to 2017. While the carbon footprint increased by 1.94-fold, from 5.623 million tons to 10.8809 million tons, it presented obvious fluctuations by initially increasing rapidly and then dropping slightly. From the perspective of the contributions of various tourism components on the carbon footprint, transportation and post and telecommunications account for the largest proportions. In the past ten years, the variations in the carbon footprint of inbound tourism in most provinces and cities in China were not very extreme, but maintained a relatively stable state. In the spatial dimension, the carbon footprint of China’s inbound tourism tends to decrease from the southeast to the northwest. The highest coefficient of variation is in Ningxia and the lowest is in Liaoning. Based on these results, recommendations are put forward for sustainable development plans in some major cities and provinces for the future. 展开更多
关键词 carbon footprint inbound tourism spatial and temporal distribution China
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使用JCA inbound实现信息流入集成 被引量:1
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作者 张建锋 《计算机与信息技术》 2006年第7期64-66,共3页
本文分析了Jboss应用服务器的资源适配器,并实现了与邮件系统的集成,提出在实际开发中高效可行的一种应用集成方法。
关键词 JCA inbound 资源适配器 集成
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China's Inbound Tourist Revenue and Beijing Olympic Games 2008
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作者 Kaisheng Zeng Xiaohui Luo 《China & World Economy》 SCIE 2008年第4期110-126,共17页
During the process of economic globalization, China's inbound tourism has developed strongly. The present paper deals with one of the core issues of the international tourism industry: inbound tourist revenue. With ... During the process of economic globalization, China's inbound tourism has developed strongly. The present paper deals with one of the core issues of the international tourism industry: inbound tourist revenue. With the aid of conventional theories and the use of empirical tests, our study identifies some decisive factors that have influenced China's inbound tourist revenue through an analysis of the global and local conditions at macro and micro levels. The findings were then linked to the Olympic Games, the mega event having impacted international tourism. The findings were also linked to further.discussions and suggestions for the interactions between the Beijing Olympic Games 2008 and China's inbound tourism. 展开更多
关键词 inbound tourist revenue international tourism Olympic Games tourism marketing
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Stochastic Joint Replenishment Optimization under Joint Inbound Operational Cost
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作者 Xiaotian Zhuang Zhenyu Gao +2 位作者 Yuli Zhang Qian Zhang Shengnan Wu 《Journal of Systems Science and Systems Engineering》 SCIE EI CSCD 2023年第5期531-552,共22页
With e-commerce concentrating retailers and customers onto one platform,logistics companies(e.g.,JD Logistics)have launched integrated supply chain solutions for corporate customers(e.g.,online retailers)with warehous... With e-commerce concentrating retailers and customers onto one platform,logistics companies(e.g.,JD Logistics)have launched integrated supply chain solutions for corporate customers(e.g.,online retailers)with warehousing,transportation,last-mile delivery,and other value-added services.The platform’s concentration of business flows leads to the consolidation of logistics resources,which allows us to coordinate supply chain operations across different corporate customers.This paper studies the stochastic joint replenishment problem of coordinating multiple suppliers and multiple products to gain the economies of scale of the replenishment setup cost and the warehouse inbound operational cost.To this end,we develop stochastic joint replenishment models based on the general-integer policy(SJRM-GIP)for the multi-supplier and multi-product problems and further reformulate the resulted nonlinear optimization models into equivalent mixed integer second-order conic programs(MISOCPs)when the inbound operational cost takes the square-root form.Then,we propose generalized Benders decomposition(GBD)algorithms to solve the MISOCPs by exploiting the Lagrangian duality,convexity,and submodularity of the sub-problems.To reduce the computational burden of the SJRM-GIP,we further propose an SJRM based on the power-of-two policy and extend the proposed GBD algorithms.Extensive numerical experiments based on practical datasets show that the stochastic joint replenishment across multiple suppliers and multiple products would deliver 13∼20%cost savings compared to the independent replenishment benchmark,and on average the proposed GBD algorithm based on the enhanced gradient cut can achieve more than 90%computational time reduction for large-size problem instances compared to the Gurobi solver.The power-of-two policy is capable of providing high-quality solutions with high computational efficiency. 展开更多
关键词 Stochastic joint replenishment stochastic demand inbound warehouse cost benders decomposition power-of-two policy
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Prediction of the high-quality development level of inbound tourism based on adaptive neural network technology
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作者 Hongxi Zhang Wei Wei Qiong Liu 《Journal of Control and Decision》 EI 2023年第1期112-125,共14页
Visitors abroad come on an inbound tourism (IT) trip. Travelling beyond one’s usual surroundingsfor no more than a year in one go, or no less than tourist culture is considered inboundtourism. A network called adapti... Visitors abroad come on an inbound tourism (IT) trip. Travelling beyond one’s usual surroundingsfor no more than a year in one go, or no less than tourist culture is considered inboundtourism. A network called adaptive neural networks (ANN) is used in dynamic tourism situations.Many methods are used to make neural networks flexible: weight adjustment, changes in neuronalcharacteristics, and changes in the network’s structural composition. One of the biggestproblems is that cultural clashes lead to many different places, which strain the transportationsystem. IT-ANN tools and technologies are discussed in this study, including the possibilities ofvisitor time and space-relationship data. As a result, inbound tourism doesn’t have to rely onweekend domestic travel because individuals who go on holiday overseas tend to return yearafter year. Finally, the neural network is equipped with a prediction model of travellers’ spatialand temporal distribution. 展开更多
关键词 Neural networks inbound tourist tourism culture transport network
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Literary Destination Familiarity and Inbound Tourism:Evidence from China's Mainland
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作者 Guodong Ju Jiankun Liu +2 位作者 Guangye He Xinyi Zhang Fei Yan 《Journal of Social Computing》 2021年第2期193-206,共14页
Destination familiarity is an important non-economic determinant of tourists’destination choice that has not been adequately studied.This study posits a literary dimension to the concept of destination familiarity—t... Destination familiarity is an important non-economic determinant of tourists’destination choice that has not been adequately studied.This study posits a literary dimension to the concept of destination familiarity—that is,the extent to which tourists have gained familiarity with a given destination through literature—and seeks to investigate the impact of this form of familiarity on inbound tourism to China's Mainland.Employing the English fiction dataset of the Google Books corpus,the New York Times annotated corpus,and the Time magazine corpus,we construct two types of destination familiarity based on literary texts:affectionbased destination familiarity and knowledge-based destination familiarity.The results from dynamic panel estimation(1994–2004)demonstrate that the higher the degree of affection-based destination familiarity with a province in the previous year,the larger the number of inbound tourists the following year.Examining the influence of literature and its consumption on tourism activities sheds light on the dynamics of sustainable tourism development in emerging markets. 展开更多
关键词 inbound tourism TOURIST destination familiarity China's Mainland Google Books
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东北亚区域旅游一体化的潜力研究 被引量:2
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作者 鲁小波 王爽 +1 位作者 戴鑫靖 陈晓颖 《海洋经济》 2025年第2期79-89,共11页
东北亚的陆地面积占世界陆地面积的10%,包含6个国家,其范围涵盖中国的吉林省、辽宁省、黑龙江省与内蒙古自治区,俄罗斯的远东与西伯利亚两个联邦管理区以及朝鲜、韩国、日本和蒙古国的全境。在东北亚人口呈现负增长和经济发展乏力的趋势... 东北亚的陆地面积占世界陆地面积的10%,包含6个国家,其范围涵盖中国的吉林省、辽宁省、黑龙江省与内蒙古自治区,俄罗斯的远东与西伯利亚两个联邦管理区以及朝鲜、韩国、日本和蒙古国的全境。在东北亚人口呈现负增长和经济发展乏力的趋势下,为了测定东北亚区域间的入境旅游发展对区域经济发展的带动作用,本文采用引力模型、回归分析和趋势线分析等方法对2025-2035年东北亚范围内入境旅游进行了4轮的预测,并对区域旅游一体化条件下的东北亚各国间入境旅游带动区域经济的效果进行测算。结果显示:(1)入境旅游将能够为东北亚各国发展带来活力;(2)朝鲜与蒙古国能够借助入境旅游实现收入翻倍的经济增长效果;(3)东北亚区域旅游一体化将能够大幅提升各国间的旅游客流规模,也能让入境旅游收入以6~9倍的规模增长;(4)东北亚区域一体化是可以实现的,不仅能够让朝鲜和蒙古国的人均GDP步入中等发达国家水平,还能为中国东北三省与内蒙古自治区、俄罗斯的远东与西伯利亚两个联邦管理区、日本和韩国带来强大的经济发展动力,摆脱经济低迷的困境。 展开更多
关键词 区域旅游 东北亚 一体化 入境旅游 旅游合作
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近20年来新疆入境旅游流质量研究
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作者 马燕 宋彩凤 《山西师范大学学报(自然科学版)》 2025年第3期92-97,共6页
运用旅游流流质指数、旅游接待指数-旅游流流质指数构建的二维矩阵,对近20年来新疆15个地州市入境旅游流质量进行了分析,结果表明:(1)从2000年到2009年,新疆入境旅游质量不高,2010年以后新疆入境旅游总体质量明显提升;(2)乌鲁木齐市属... 运用旅游流流质指数、旅游接待指数-旅游流流质指数构建的二维矩阵,对近20年来新疆15个地州市入境旅游流质量进行了分析,结果表明:(1)从2000年到2009年,新疆入境旅游质量不高,2010年以后新疆入境旅游总体质量明显提升;(2)乌鲁木齐市属于双高型,是新疆发展态势最好的;伊犁州直属县市和阿勒泰地区多属于外延增长型,高量低质;昌吉回族自治州、博尔塔拉蒙古自治州、塔城地区、克拉玛依市多属于双低型,发展态势不容乐观;石河子市在入境旅游者数量和收入上,都是极低的;喀什地区前期发展态势好,2008年后出现滑落;巴音郭楞蒙古自治州、阿克苏地区、克孜勒苏柯尔克孜自治州、和田地区多属于内生增长型,潜力大,但近年出现滑落;吐鲁番市前期发展态势好,2010年以后出现滑落;哈密市发展态势不好,但近期有所回升.并根据研究结果,提出了新疆地州市质量提升的对策建议. 展开更多
关键词 入境旅游 流质指数 二维矩阵 新疆
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运包一体化模式下汽车零部件入厂物流优化
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作者 罗浩 和剑波 孔祥天瑞 《系统管理学报》 北大核心 2025年第4期1028-1045,共18页
在运包一体化模式下,汽车零部件入厂物流面临两大核心难题:一是缺乏多周期视角的包装器具调度机制;二是单周期内重箱与空箱的配送模式及车辆调度效率不足。针对这些问题,本研究提出共享租赁循环包装运包一体化整体解决方案。该方案采用... 在运包一体化模式下,汽车零部件入厂物流面临两大核心难题:一是缺乏多周期视角的包装器具调度机制;二是单周期内重箱与空箱的配送模式及车辆调度效率不足。针对这些问题,本研究提出共享租赁循环包装运包一体化整体解决方案。该方案采用两阶段的优化框架:第1阶段构建循环包装器具多周期供需平衡调度模型,并采用改进粒子群算法求解模型,生成重箱与空箱调度方案;第2阶段依托循环包装器具供应商运作的双循环集配越库作业模式,建立带越库作业的零部件配送路径优化模型,并采用改进头脑风暴算法求解车辆调度方案。实践应用表明,所提出的方案能够实现重箱与空箱的高效协同调度,并合理规划零部件的配送路径,为汽车零部件入厂物流的降本增效提供了可行的策略参考。 展开更多
关键词 汽车零部件入厂物流 运包一体化模式 重空箱调度 越库作业 零部件配送路径
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区域国别旅游地理研究的实践探索与未来展望
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作者 席宇斌 《对外经贸》 2025年第6期92-95,共4页
区域国别学作为一门全新的交叉学科,由多学科知识共同组成,是我国对外交往发展到一定阶段的必然产物。旅游在我国双边外交、多边外交中发挥着越来越重要的作用,夯实区域国别旅游地理研究不仅能更好地服务国家战略,更能发挥地理学在区域... 区域国别学作为一门全新的交叉学科,由多学科知识共同组成,是我国对外交往发展到一定阶段的必然产物。旅游在我国双边外交、多边外交中发挥着越来越重要的作用,夯实区域国别旅游地理研究不仅能更好地服务国家战略,更能发挥地理学在区域国别研究中的传统优势。当前,区域国别旅游地理研究从边界的划分、游客的流向来看,主要有入境旅游和出境旅游两大部分,并可再从我国和国际进行细分。面向区域国别旅游地理研究未来的发展,主要提出四点建议,即全面融入区域国别学、全面加强师资队伍建设、全面开展有组织的科研、全面助力世界旅游强国建设。 展开更多
关键词 区域国别学 旅游地理 入境旅游 出境旅游 展望
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城市会展属性绩效对入境参会者满意度的非对称影响研究——以广交会为例
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作者 李晓莉 麦振雄 +1 位作者 吕柳倩 姜磊 《旅游论坛》 2025年第5期74-85,共12页
在城市会展研究中,参会者满意度受多主体协作形成的多维属性绩效影响,且“损失厌恶”会引发属性绩效对满意度的非对称影响。文章以广交会为例,针对入境参会者,通过深度访谈与境外问卷调查,提炼出城市会展属性感知绩效的6个维度,包括:可... 在城市会展研究中,参会者满意度受多主体协作形成的多维属性绩效影响,且“损失厌恶”会引发属性绩效对满意度的非对称影响。文章以广交会为例,针对入境参会者,通过深度访谈与境外问卷调查,提炼出城市会展属性感知绩效的6个维度,包括:可进入性、目的地环境、信息咨询服务、会展设施与服务、会展内容与信息和目的地吸引物。文章基于来自美国、日本和新加坡等10个国家的460份问卷调查数据,运用奖惩对比分析(PRCA)和非对称影响分析(AIPA)展开研究。结果表明:目的地吸引物作为“兴奋因素”产生正向非对称影响,其余5个维度作为“基本因素”均产生负向非对称影响。研究为我国城市会展业高质量发展及国际竞争力提升提供了理论参考。 展开更多
关键词 会展属性绩效 入境参会者 满意度 非对称影响 广交会
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China-Thailand Two-Way Tourism Boom
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作者 Ma Hongwu 《China & The World Cultural Exchange》 2025年第3期6-9,共4页
Over the past year,China has comprehensively relaxed and optimized its visa-free transit policy and introduced a number of facilitation measures to attract foreign tourists to China.The Chinese tourist image“Nihao!Ch... Over the past year,China has comprehensively relaxed and optimized its visa-free transit policy and introduced a number of facilitation measures to attract foreign tourists to China.The Chinese tourist image“Nihao!China”has been deeply rooted in the hearts of the people,and“China Travel”inbound tourism continues to be popular.China is welcoming friends from all over the world with a warm and open attitude. 展开更多
关键词 inbound tourism warm open attitude two way tourism nihao china visa free transit facilitation measures
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大型商场对城市轨道交通进出站客流发生率的影响分析 被引量:1
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作者 张笑天 苏成成 +2 位作者 王治 叶霞飞 覃素馨 《城市轨道交通研究》 北大核心 2025年第3期45-50,共6页
[目的]为揭示大型商场对城市轨道交通车站全日进出站客流量和晚高峰小时出站客流量的影响程度,构建考虑广义商业岗位的城市轨道交通进出站客流预测修正模型,并提高其预测精度。[方法]利用ArcGIS平台绘制城市轨道交通车站影响范围,以此... [目的]为揭示大型商场对城市轨道交通车站全日进出站客流量和晚高峰小时出站客流量的影响程度,构建考虑广义商业岗位的城市轨道交通进出站客流预测修正模型,并提高其预测精度。[方法]利用ArcGIS平台绘制城市轨道交通车站影响范围,以此为边界统计城市轨道交通车站影响范围内居住人口规模和就业岗位规模,利用手机信令数据平台分析提取了车站周边商场内商业岗位规模和来访人员规模、车站周边医院内医疗岗位规模和来访人员规模,提出广义商业岗位的概念用于描述顾客对城市轨道交通车站进出站客流量的贡献;分析了广义商业岗位对不同区域的城市轨道交通换乘站、非换乘站进出站客流发生率的影响,开展了城市轨道交通进出站客流发生率与广义商业岗位的单因素方差分析。[结果及结论]用广义商业岗位替代商业岗位作为模型基础参数,有助于提高城市轨道交通进出站客流量预测模型的精度;基于上海市核心区和市区的相关数据对考虑广义商业岗位的客流预测修正模型的标定结果表明,预测模型的拟合优度较高。核心区、市区换乘站因为车站换乘线路较多、车站可达性较高的原因,广义商业岗位对于城市轨道交通换乘站进出站客流发生率的影响在众多因素中并不特别显著。 展开更多
关键词 城市轨道交通 进出站客流量 进出站客流发生率 广义商业岗位
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入境旅游与旅游碳排放耦合协调关系及影响机制——以云南省为例 被引量:1
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作者 樊艳翔 贺灿飞 +2 位作者 胡文伯 赵筱青 汪小宝 《生态学报》 北大核心 2025年第11期5147-5163,共17页
随着全球入境旅游的持续推进,入境旅游与碳排放之间的协调发展问题备受关注,作为中国入境旅游大省,云南省入境旅游与旅游碳排放之间存在密切关联,深入探讨二者之间互动关系及影响机制具有重要研究意义。基于此,使用耦合协调度模型、Dagu... 随着全球入境旅游的持续推进,入境旅游与碳排放之间的协调发展问题备受关注,作为中国入境旅游大省,云南省入境旅游与旅游碳排放之间存在密切关联,深入探讨二者之间互动关系及影响机制具有重要研究意义。基于此,使用耦合协调度模型、Dagum基尼系数法对云南省入境旅游与旅游碳排放耦合协调发展水平的时空演化及差异进行分析,在此基础上整合XGBoost回归模型和随机森林回归模型识别云南省入境旅游与旅游碳排放耦合协调发展主导影响因素,并使用Tobit模型、RE模型、FE模型、OLS模型对相关主导影响因素进行偏效应分析。结果显示:(1)云南省多地耦合协调发展水平呈现波动上升的演变趋势,但区域间发展差异较大,自西向东整体呈现低(怒江)→高(大理)→低(楚雄)→高(昆明)→低(曲靖)的空间演化格局。(2)旅游产业发展因素、经济因素、人口因素、治理性因素是云南省入境旅游与旅游碳排放耦合协调发展水平的主导影响因素。(3)旅游财政支持力度显著负向影响入境旅游与旅游碳排放耦合协调发展水平,旅游发展规模、旅游基础设施、经济发展水平、产业结构优化产生显著正向影响,而人口集聚水平的效应并不显著。因此,要积极引导低碳旅游发展,优化旅游产业结构,推动地区旅游业规模经营、协同发展,优化区域旅游产业链,实现入境旅游与旅游碳排放良性互动。 展开更多
关键词 入境旅游 旅游碳排放 耦合协调关系 机器学习回归 云南省
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