Aiming at the limitations of traditional thermal model and intelligent model, a new hybrid model is established for soft sensing of the molten steel temperature in LF. Firstly, a thermal model based on energy conserva...Aiming at the limitations of traditional thermal model and intelligent model, a new hybrid model is established for soft sensing of the molten steel temperature in LF. Firstly, a thermal model based on energy conservation is described; and then, an improved intelligent model based on process data is presented by ensemble ELM （extreme learning machine） for predicting the molten steel temperature in LF. Secondly, the self-adaptive data fusion is pro- posed as a hybrid modeling method to combine the thermal model with the intelligent model. The new hybrid model could complement mutual advantage of two models by combination. It can overcome the shortcoming of parameters obtained on-line hardly in a thermal model and the disadvantage of lacking the analysis of ladle furnace metallurgical process in an intelligent model. The new hybrid model is applied to a 300 t LF in Baoshan Iron and Steel Co Ltd for predicting the molten steel temperature. The experiments demonstrate that the hybrid model has good generalization performance and high accuracy.展开更多
In response to escalating challenges in energy conservation and emission reduction,this study delves into the complexities of heat transfer in two-phase flows and adjustments to combustion processes within coal-fired ...In response to escalating challenges in energy conservation and emission reduction,this study delves into the complexities of heat transfer in two-phase flows and adjustments to combustion processes within coal-fired boilers.Utilizing a fusion of hybrid modeling and automation technologies,we develop soft measurement models for key combustion parameters,such as the net calorific value of coal,flue gas oxygen content,and fly ash carbon content,within theDistributedControl System(DCS).Validated with performance test data,thesemodels exhibit controlled root mean square error(RMSE)and maximum absolute error(MAXE)values,both within the range of 0.203.Integrated into their respective automatic control systems,thesemodels optimize two-phase flow heat transfer,finetune combustion conditions,and mitigate incomplete combustion.Furthermore,this paper conducts an in-depth exploration of the generationmechanismof nitrogen oxides(NO_(x))and low oxygen emission reduction technology in coal-fired boilers,demonstrating a substantial reduction in furnace exit NO_(x) generation by 30%to 40%and the power supply coal consumption decreased by 1.62 g/(kW h).The research outcomes highlight the model’s rapid responsiveness,enabling prompt reflection of transient variations in various economic indicator parameters.This provides a more effective means for real-time monitoring of crucial variables in coal-fired boilers and facilitates timely combustion adjustments,underscoring notable achievements in boiler combustion.The research not only provides valuable and practical insights into the intricacies of two-phase flow heat transfer and heat exchange but also establishes a pioneering methodology for tackling industry challenges.展开更多
Ethylene glycol(EG)plays a pivotal role as a primary raw material in the polyester industry,and the syngas-to-EG route has become a significant technical route in production.The carbon monoxide(CO)gas-phase catalytic ...Ethylene glycol(EG)plays a pivotal role as a primary raw material in the polyester industry,and the syngas-to-EG route has become a significant technical route in production.The carbon monoxide(CO)gas-phase catalytic coupling to synthesize dimethyl oxalate(DMO)is a crucial process in the syngas-to-EG route,whereby the composition of the reactor outlet exerts influence on the ultimate quality of the EG product and the energy consumption during the subsequent separation process.However,measuring product quality in real time or establishing accurate dynamic mechanism models is challenging.To effectively model the DMO synthesis process,this study proposes a hybrid modeling strategy that integrates process mechanisms and data-driven approaches.The CO gas-phase catalytic coupling mechanism model is developed based on intrinsic kinetics and material balance,while a long short-term memory(LSTM)neural network is employed to predict the macroscopic reaction rate by leveraging temporal relationships derived from archived measurements.The proposed model is trained semi-supervised to accommodate limited-label data scenarios,leveraging historical data.By integrating these predictions with the mechanism model,the hybrid modeling approach provides reliable and interpretable forecasts of mass fractions.Empirical investigations unequivocally validate the superiority of the proposed hybrid modeling approach over conventional data-driven models(DDMs)and other hybrid modeling techniques.展开更多
Changes in the quality of eggs during storage relate to their shelf life and economic value.factors such as temperature,relative humidity,the operation of cleaning and microorganisms have been shown to play a role in ...Changes in the quality of eggs during storage relate to their shelf life and economic value.factors such as temperature,relative humidity,the operation of cleaning and microorganisms have been shown to play a role in the storage quality of eggs.This study thus aimed at investigating the effect of hen age on the storage quality of egg,and predicting egg shelf life using back propagation artificial neural network(bP-aNN)based models.Eggs laid by Jingfen No.1(27 and 58 weeks of age)and Jingfen No.6(26 and 57 weeks of age)hens were stored under ambient conditions and evaluated by physicochemical properties.it was found that the shelf life of the lower age group was significantly longer than that of the higher age group.a novel hybrid model combining bP-aNN,cuckoo search and adaptive boosting(Cs-bP-adaboost)was proposed for predicting the remaining egg shelf life,with the input being Haugh unit,yolk index,air cell depth,albumen pH,hen age and breed.The tuning process of hyperparameters such as learning rate,training function,and transfer function was presented in detail.results show that Cs-bP-adaboost had satisfactory performance on the test set with root mean square error(rMsE)and coefficient of determination(R^(2))of 0.68 and 0.97,respectively.and it outperformed bP-aNN by reducing rMsE by 0.39 and improving R^(2) by 0.05.The model used solved the problem that the traditional bP-aNN tends to fall into local minima.The removal of hen age from the input parameters caused a decrease in prediction accuracy(R2=0.95,rMsE=1.00),suggesting an important role of hen age in shelf life prediction.This study demonstrates the great potential of applying combinatorial modeling approaches to predict egg shelf life and the crucial impact of hen age on egg shelf life prediction.展开更多
Accurate segmentation of breast cancer in mammogram images plays a critical role in early diagnosis and treatment planning.As research in this domain continues to expand,various segmentation techniques have been propo...Accurate segmentation of breast cancer in mammogram images plays a critical role in early diagnosis and treatment planning.As research in this domain continues to expand,various segmentation techniques have been proposed across classical image processing,machine learning(ML),deep learning(DL),and hybrid/ensemble models.This study conducts a systematic literature review using the PRISMA methodology,analyzing 57 selected articles to explore how these methods have evolved and been applied.The review highlights the strengths and limitations of each approach,identifies commonly used public datasets,and observes emerging trends in model integration and clinical relevance.By synthesizing current findings,this work provides a structured overview of segmentation strategies and outlines key considerations for developing more adaptable and explainable tools for breast cancer detection.Overall,our synthesis suggests that classical and ML methods are suitable for limited labels and computing resources,while DL models are preferable when pixel-level annotations and resources are available,and hybrid pipelines are most appropriate when fine-grained clinical precision is required.展开更多
A hybrid model combining Fully Non-Linear Potential Flow Theory(FNPT)based on the Finite Element Method(FEM)and the Unified Navier-Stokes equation,using the 3D Improved Meshless Local Petrov Galerkin method with Ranki...A hybrid model combining Fully Non-Linear Potential Flow Theory(FNPT)based on the Finite Element Method(FEM)and the Unified Navier-Stokes equation,using the 3D Improved Meshless Local Petrov Galerkin method with Rankine Source(IMLPG_R),is developed to study wave interactions with a porous layer.In previous studies,the above formulations are applied to wave interaction with fixed cylindrical structures.The present study extends this framework by integrating a unified governing equation within the hybrid modeling approach to capture the dynamics of wave interaction with porous media.The porous layers are employed to replicate the wave-dissipating behavior of the structure.A weak coupling strategy is implemented within a designated buffer zone,wherein field variables from the 2D Fully Nonlinear Potential Theory(FNPT)simulations are transferred to the 3D Improved Moving Least Squares-based Petrov-Galerkin(IMLPG_R)model at each time step.This domain decomposition significantly reduces computational cost compared to a full 3D simulation by partitioning the domain into two subregions:the FNPT domain representing the far-field without structures,and the IMLPG_R domain encompassing the porous region.The Unified Navier-Stokes formulation is extended by incorporating additional drag forces governed by Darcy’s law to model the resistance introduced by the porous medium.A stationary background node framework is utilized for interpolation by fluid particles at each time step to accommodate the porous representation.To enhance numerical stability and accuracy,particularly in the presence of sloping boundaries,the Particle Shifting Technique(PST)is integrated into the IMLPG_R model.This implementation involves a modified version of the PST algorithm,where key parameters such as the weight function,velocity ratio,and radius of influence are optimized for IMLPG_R.This is the first time the application of 3D IMLPG_R for porous structure has been reported.Further,the model is subsequently validated against experimental data.展开更多
Modern industrial environments require uninterrupted machinery operation to maintain productivity standards while ensuring safety and minimizing costs.Conventional maintenance methods,such as reactive maintenance(i.e....Modern industrial environments require uninterrupted machinery operation to maintain productivity standards while ensuring safety and minimizing costs.Conventional maintenance methods,such as reactive maintenance(i.e.,run to failure)or time-based preventive maintenance(i.e.,scheduled servicing),prove ineffective for complex systems with many Internet of Things(IoT)devices and sensors because they fall short in detecting faults at early stages when it is most crucial.This paper presents a predictive maintenance framework based on a hybrid deep learning model that integrates the capabilities of Long Short-Term Memory(LSTM)Networks and Convolutional Neural Networks(CNNs).The framework integrates spatial feature extraction and temporal sequence modeling to accurately classify the health state of industrial equipment into three categories,including Normal,Require Maintenance,and Failed.The framework uses a modular pipeline that includes IoT-enabled data collection along with secure transmission methods to manage cloud storage and provide real-time fault classification.The FD004 subset of the NASA C-MAPSS dataset,containing multivariate sensor readings from aircraft engines,serves as the training and evaluation data for the model.Experimental results show that the LSTM-CNN model outperforms baseline models such as LSTM-SVM and LSTM-RNN,achieving an overall average accuracy of 86.66%,precision of 86.00%,recall of 86.33%,and F1-score of 86.33%.Contrary to the previous LSTM-CNN-based predictive maintenance models that either provide a binary classification or rely on synthetically balanced data,our paper provides a three-class maintenance state(i.e.,Normal,Require Maintenance,and Failed)along with threshold-based labeling that retains the true nature of the degradation.In addition,our work also provides an IoT-to-cloud-based modular architecture for deployment.It offers Computerized Maintenance Management System(CMMS)integration,making our proposed solution not only technically sound but also practical and innovative.The solution achieves real-world industrial deployment readiness through its reliable performance alongside its scalable system design.展开更多
The world’s increasing population requires the process industry to produce food,fuels,chemicals,and consumer products in a more efficient and sustainable way.Functional process materials lie at the heart of this chal...The world’s increasing population requires the process industry to produce food,fuels,chemicals,and consumer products in a more efficient and sustainable way.Functional process materials lie at the heart of this challenge.Traditionally,new advanced materials are found empirically or through trial-and-error approaches.As theoretical methods and associated tools are being continuously improved and computer power has reached a high level,it is now efficient and popular to use computational methods to guide material selection and design.Due to the strong interaction between material selection and the operation of the process in which the material is used,it is essential to perform material and process design simultaneously.Despite this significant connection,the solution of the integrated material and process design problem is not easy because multiple models at different scales are usually required.Hybrid modeling provides a promising option to tackle such complex design problems.In hybrid modeling,the material properties,which are computationally expensive to obtain,are described by data-driven models,while the well-known process-related principles are represented by mechanistic models.This article highlights the significance of hybrid modeling in multiscale material and process design.The generic design methodology is first introduced.Six important application areas are then selected:four from the chemical engineering field and two from the energy systems engineering domain.For each selected area,state-ofthe-art work using hybrid modeling for multiscale material and process design is discussed.Concluding remarks are provided at the end,and current limitations and future opportunities are pointed out.展开更多
An accurate long-term energy demand forecasting is essential for energy planning and policy making. However, due to the immature energy data collecting and statistical methods, the available data are usually limited i...An accurate long-term energy demand forecasting is essential for energy planning and policy making. However, due to the immature energy data collecting and statistical methods, the available data are usually limited in many regions. In this paper, on the basis of comprehensive literature review, we proposed a hybrid model based on the long-range alternative energy planning (LEAP) model to improve the accuracy of energy demand forecasting in these regions. By taking Hunan province, China as a typical case, the proposed hybrid model was applied to estimating the possible future energy demand and energy-saving potentials in different sectors. The structure of LEAP model was estimated by Sankey energy flow, and Leslie matrix and autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models were used to predict the population, industrial structure and transportation turnover, respectively. Monte-Carlo method was employed to evaluate the uncertainty of forecasted results. The results showed that the hybrid model combined with scenario analysis provided a relatively accurate forecast for the long-term energy demand in regions with limited statistical data, and the average standard error of probabilistic distribution in 2030 energy demand was as low as 0.15. The prediction results could provide supportive references to identify energy-saving potentials and energy development pathways.展开更多
The groundwater potential map is an important tool for a sustainable water management and land use planning,particularly for agricultural countries like Vietnam.In this article,we proposed new machine learning ensembl...The groundwater potential map is an important tool for a sustainable water management and land use planning,particularly for agricultural countries like Vietnam.In this article,we proposed new machine learning ensemble techniques namely AdaBoost ensemble(ABLWL),Bagging ensemble(BLWL),Multi Boost ensemble(MBLWL),Rotation Forest ensemble(RFLWL)with Locally Weighted Learning(LWL)algorithm as a base classifier to build the groundwater potential map of Gia Lai province in Vietnam.For this study,eleven conditioning factors(aspect,altitude,curvature,slope,Stream Transport Index(STI),Topographic Wetness Index(TWI),soil,geology,river density,rainfall,land-use)and 134 wells yield data was used to create training(70%)and testing(30%)datasets for the development and validation of the models.Several statistical indices were used namely Positive Predictive Value(PPV),Negative Predictive Value(NPV),Sensitivity(SST),Specificity(SPF),Accuracy(ACC),Kappa,and Receiver Operating Characteristics(ROC)curve to validate and compare performance of models.Results show that performance of all the models is good to very good(AUC:0.75 to 0.829)but the ABLWL model with AUC=0.89 is the best.All the models applied in this study can support decision-makers to streamline the management of the groundwater and to develop economy not only of specific territories but also in other regions across the world with minor changes of the input parameters.展开更多
Insulin secreted by pancreatic islet ˇ-cells is the principal regulating hormone of glucose metabolism.Disruption of insulin secretion may cause glucose to accumulate in the blood, and result in diabetes mellitus.Alt...Insulin secreted by pancreatic islet ˇ-cells is the principal regulating hormone of glucose metabolism.Disruption of insulin secretion may cause glucose to accumulate in the blood, and result in diabetes mellitus.Although deterministic models of the insulin secretion pathway have been developed, the stochastic aspect of this biological pathway has not been explored. The first step in this direction presented here is a hybrid model of the insulin secretion pathway, in which the delayed rectifying KCchannels are treated as stochastic events. This hybrid model can not only reproduce the oscillation dynamics as the deterministic model does, but can also capture stochastic dynamics that the deterministic model does not. To measure the insulin oscillation system behavior, a probability-based measure is proposed and applied to test the effectiveness of a new remedy.展开更多
Accurate estimation of evapotranspiration(ET)is crucial for efficient water resource management,particularly in the face of climate change and increasing water scarcity.This study performs a bibliometric analysis of 3...Accurate estimation of evapotranspiration(ET)is crucial for efficient water resource management,particularly in the face of climate change and increasing water scarcity.This study performs a bibliometric analysis of 352 articles and a systematic review of 35 peer-reviewed papers,selected according to PRISMA guidelines,to evaluate the performance of Hybrid Artificial Neural Networks(HANNs)in ET estimation.The findings demonstrate that HANNs,particularly those combining Multilayer Perceptrons(MLPs),Recurrent Neural Networks(RNNs),and Convolutional Neural Networks(CNNs),are highly effective in capturing the complex nonlinear relationships and tem-poral dependencies characteristic of hydrological processes.These hybrid models,often integrated with optimization algorithms and fuzzy logic frameworks,significantly improve the predictive accuracy and generalization capabilities of ET estimation.The growing adoption of advanced evaluation metrics,such as Kling-Gupta Efficiency(KGE)and Taylor Diagrams,highlights the increasing demand for more robust performance assessments beyond traditional methods.Despite the promising results,challenges remain,particularly regarding model interpretability,computational efficiency,and data scarcity.Future research should prioritize the integration of interpretability techniques,such as attention mechanisms,Local Interpretable Model-Agnostic Explanations(LIME),and feature importance analysis,to enhance model transparency and foster stakeholder trust.Additionally,improving HANN models’scalability and computational efficiency is crucial,especially for large-scale,real-world applications.Approaches such as transfer learning,parallel processing,and hyperparameter optimization will be essential in overcoming these challenges.This study underscores the transformative potential of HANN models for precise ET estimation,particularly in water-scarce and climate-vulnerable regions.By integrating CNNs for automatic feature extraction and leveraging hybrid architectures,HANNs offer considerable advantages for optimizing water management,particularly agriculture.Addressing challenges related to interpretability and scalability will be vital to ensuring the widespread deployment and operational success of HANNs in global water resource management.展开更多
Numerical models are crucial for quantifying the ocean-atmosphere interactions associated with the El Niño-Southern Oscillation(ENSO)phenomenon in the tropical Pacific.Current coupled models often exhibit signifi...Numerical models are crucial for quantifying the ocean-atmosphere interactions associated with the El Niño-Southern Oscillation(ENSO)phenomenon in the tropical Pacific.Current coupled models often exhibit significant biases and inter-model differences in simulating ENSO,underscoring the need for alternative modeling approaches.The Regional Ocean Modeling System(ROMS)is a sophisticated ocean model widely used for regional studies and has been coupled with various atmospheric models.However,its application in simulating ENSO processes on a basin scale in the tropical Pacific has not been explored.For the first time,this study presents the development of a basin-scale hybrid coupled model(HCM)for the tropical Pacific,integrating ROMS with a statistical atmospheric model that captures the interannual relationships between sea surface temperature(SST)and wind stress anomalies.The HCM is evaluated for its capability to simulate the annual mean,seasonal,and interannual variations of the oceanic state in the tropical Pacific.Results demonstrate that the model effectively reproduces the ENSO cycle,with a dominant oscillation period of approximately two years.The ROMS-based HCM developed here offers an efficient and robust tool for investigating climate variability in the tropical Pacific.展开更多
Landslide susceptibility mapping(LSM)plays a crucial role in assessing geological risks.The current LSM techniques face a significant challenge in achieving accurate results due to uncertainties associated with region...Landslide susceptibility mapping(LSM)plays a crucial role in assessing geological risks.The current LSM techniques face a significant challenge in achieving accurate results due to uncertainties associated with regional-scale geotechnical parameters.To explore rainfall-induced LSM,this study proposes a hybrid model that combines the physically-based probabilistic model(PPM)with convolutional neural network(CNN).The PPM is capable of effectively capturing the spatial distribution of landslides by incorporating the probability of failure(POF)considering the slope stability mechanism under rainfall conditions.This significantly characterizes the variation of POF caused by parameter uncertainties.CNN was used as a binary classifier to capture the spatial and channel correlation between landslide conditioning factors and the probability of landslide occurrence.OpenCV image enhancement technique was utilized to extract non-landslide points based on the POF of landslides.The proposed model comprehensively considers physical mechanics when selecting non-landslide samples,effectively filtering out samples that do not adhere to physical principles and reduce the risk of overfitting.The results indicate that the proposed PPM-CNN hybrid model presents a higher prediction accuracy,with an area under the curve(AUC)value of 0.85 based on the landslide case of the Niangniangba area of Gansu Province,China compared with the individual CNN model(AUC=0.61)and the PPM(AUC=0.74).This model can also consider the statistical correlation and non-normal probability distributions of model parameters.These results offer practical guidance for future research on rainfall-induced LSM at the regional scale.展开更多
Spatial heterogeneity refers to the variation or differences in characteristics or features across different locations or areas in space. Spatial data refers to information that explicitly or indirectly belongs to a p...Spatial heterogeneity refers to the variation or differences in characteristics or features across different locations or areas in space. Spatial data refers to information that explicitly or indirectly belongs to a particular geographic region or location, also known as geo-spatial data or geographic information. Focusing on spatial heterogeneity, we present a hybrid machine learning model combining two competitive algorithms: the Random Forest Regressor and CNN. The model is fine-tuned using cross validation for hyper-parameter adjustment and performance evaluation, ensuring robustness and generalization. Our approach integrates Global Moran’s I for examining global autocorrelation, and local Moran’s I for assessing local spatial autocorrelation in the residuals. To validate our approach, we implemented the hybrid model on a real-world dataset and compared its performance with that of the traditional machine learning models. Results indicate superior performance with an R-squared of 0.90, outperforming RF 0.84 and CNN 0.74. This study contributed to a detailed understanding of spatial variations in data considering the geographical information (Longitude & Latitude) present in the dataset. Our results, also assessed using the Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE), indicated that the hybrid yielded lower errors, showing a deviation of 53.65% from the RF model and 63.24% from the CNN model. Additionally, the global Moran’s I index was observed to be 0.10. This study underscores that the hybrid was able to predict correctly the house prices both in clusters and in dispersed areas.展开更多
In recent years,there has been a concerted effort to improve anomaly detection tech-niques,particularly in the context of high-dimensional,distributed clinical data.Analysing patient data within clinical settings reve...In recent years,there has been a concerted effort to improve anomaly detection tech-niques,particularly in the context of high-dimensional,distributed clinical data.Analysing patient data within clinical settings reveals a pronounced focus on refining diagnostic accuracy,personalising treatment plans,and optimising resource allocation to enhance clinical outcomes.Nonetheless,this domain faces unique challenges,such as irregular data collection,inconsistent data quality,and patient-specific structural variations.This paper proposed a novel hybrid approach that integrates heuristic and stochastic methods for anomaly detection in patient clinical data to address these challenges.The strategy combines HPO-based optimal Density-Based Spatial Clustering of Applications with Noise for clustering patient exercise data,facilitating efficient anomaly identification.Subsequently,a stochastic method based on the Interquartile Range filters unreliable data points,ensuring that medical tools and professionals receive only the most pertinent and accurate information.The primary objective of this study is to equip healthcare pro-fessionals and researchers with a robust tool for managing extensive,high-dimensional clinical datasets,enabling effective isolation and removal of aberrant data points.Furthermore,a sophisticated regression model has been developed using Automated Machine Learning(AutoML)to assess the impact of the ensemble abnormal pattern detection approach.Various statistical error estimation techniques validate the efficacy of the hybrid approach alongside AutoML.Experimental results show that implementing this innovative hybrid model on patient rehabilitation data leads to a notable enhance-ment in AutoML performance,with an average improvement of 0.041 in the R2 score,surpassing the effectiveness of traditional regression models.展开更多
Alcohol oxidation is a widely used green chemical reaction.The reaction process produces flammable and explosive hydrogen,so the design of the reactor must meet stringent safety requirements.Based on the limited exper...Alcohol oxidation is a widely used green chemical reaction.The reaction process produces flammable and explosive hydrogen,so the design of the reactor must meet stringent safety requirements.Based on the limited experimental data,utilizing the traditional numerical method of computational fluid dynamics(CFD)to simulate the gas-liquid two-phase flow reactor can mitigate the risk of danger under varying working conditions.However,the calculation process is highly time-consuming.Therefore,by integrating process simulation,computational fluid dynamics,and deep learning technologies,an intelligent hybrid chemical model based on machine learning was proposed to expedite CFD calculations,enhance the prediction of flow fields,conversion rates,and concentrations inside the reactor,and offer insights for designing and optimizing the reactor for the alcohol oxidation system.The results show that the hybrid model based on the long and short-term memory neural network achieves 99.8%accuracy in conversion rate prediction and 99.9%accuracy in product concentration prediction.Through validation,the hybrid model is accelerated by about 360 times compared with instrumental analysis in conversion rate prediction and about 45 times compared with CFD calculation in concentration distribution prediction.This hybrid model can quickly predict the conversion rate and product concentration distribution in the gas-liquid two-phase flow reactor and provide a model reference for fast prediction and accurate control in the actual chemical production process.展开更多
Accurate prediction of strip width is a key factor related to the quality of hot rolling manufacture.Firstly,based on strip width formation mechanism model within strip rolling process,an improved width mechanism calc...Accurate prediction of strip width is a key factor related to the quality of hot rolling manufacture.Firstly,based on strip width formation mechanism model within strip rolling process,an improved width mechanism calculation model is delineated for the optimization of process parameters via the particle swarm optimization algorithm.Subsequently,a hybrid strip width prediction model is proposed by effectively combining the respective advantages of the improved mechanism model and the data-driven model.In acknowledgment of prerequisite for positive error in strip width prediction,an adaptive width error compensation algorithm is proposed.Finally,comparative simulation experiments are designed on the actual rolling dataset after completing data cleaning and feature engineering.The experimental results show that the hybrid prediction model proposed has superior precision and robustness compared with the improved mechanism model and the other eight common data-driven models and satisfies the needs of practical applications.Moreover,the hybrid model can realize the complementary advantages of the mechanism model and the data-driven model,effectively alleviating the problems of difficult to improve the accuracy of the mechanism model and poor interpretability of the data-driven model,which bears significant practical implications for the research of strip width control.展开更多
This study addresses gaps in aftershock prediction research by proposing an interpretable hybrid machine learning model that leverages multi-source data.The model overcomes challenges related to the selection of influ...This study addresses gaps in aftershock prediction research by proposing an interpretable hybrid machine learning model that leverages multi-source data.The model overcomes challenges related to the selection of influencing factors,model types,prediction result visualization,and decision mechanism interpretability.It integrates mainshock factors,geological features,site characteristics,and terrain conditions using geospatial information system(GIS)technology.By employing the stacking algorithm to optimize and combine XGBoost and LightGBM models,the proposed model significantly improves the prediction performance.Visualization through aftershock hazard mapping offers a robust tool for aftershock warning.The Shapley additive explanations(SHAP)model is used to explain the decision-making process from both global and local perspectives.Results show that,compared to the optimized XGBoost-CMA_ES and LightGBM-CMA_ES hybrid models,the stacking model achieves area under the curve(AUC)increases of 7.71%and 5.72% on the test set,respectively,with a maximum prediction accuracy of 0.9344.The hazard zoning map identifies high-risk areas mainly around fault lines and near the epicenter.As hazard levels rise,the proportion and density of aftershocks in these areas increase.The SHAP model results highlight the distance to fault as the most critical factor.The study integrates local explanations with on-site investigations,effectively visualizing the contributions of different factors to aftershocks.This research provides new tools and methods for enhancing aftershock warning and response.展开更多
基金Item Sponsored by National Natural Science Foundation of China (50474086,60843007)
文摘Aiming at the limitations of traditional thermal model and intelligent model, a new hybrid model is established for soft sensing of the molten steel temperature in LF. Firstly, a thermal model based on energy conservation is described; and then, an improved intelligent model based on process data is presented by ensemble ELM （extreme learning machine） for predicting the molten steel temperature in LF. Secondly, the self-adaptive data fusion is pro- posed as a hybrid modeling method to combine the thermal model with the intelligent model. The new hybrid model could complement mutual advantage of two models by combination. It can overcome the shortcoming of parameters obtained on-line hardly in a thermal model and the disadvantage of lacking the analysis of ladle furnace metallurgical process in an intelligent model. The new hybrid model is applied to a 300 t LF in Baoshan Iron and Steel Co Ltd for predicting the molten steel temperature. The experiments demonstrate that the hybrid model has good generalization performance and high accuracy.
文摘In response to escalating challenges in energy conservation and emission reduction,this study delves into the complexities of heat transfer in two-phase flows and adjustments to combustion processes within coal-fired boilers.Utilizing a fusion of hybrid modeling and automation technologies,we develop soft measurement models for key combustion parameters,such as the net calorific value of coal,flue gas oxygen content,and fly ash carbon content,within theDistributedControl System(DCS).Validated with performance test data,thesemodels exhibit controlled root mean square error(RMSE)and maximum absolute error(MAXE)values,both within the range of 0.203.Integrated into their respective automatic control systems,thesemodels optimize two-phase flow heat transfer,finetune combustion conditions,and mitigate incomplete combustion.Furthermore,this paper conducts an in-depth exploration of the generationmechanismof nitrogen oxides(NO_(x))and low oxygen emission reduction technology in coal-fired boilers,demonstrating a substantial reduction in furnace exit NO_(x) generation by 30%to 40%and the power supply coal consumption decreased by 1.62 g/(kW h).The research outcomes highlight the model’s rapid responsiveness,enabling prompt reflection of transient variations in various economic indicator parameters.This provides a more effective means for real-time monitoring of crucial variables in coal-fired boilers and facilitates timely combustion adjustments,underscoring notable achievements in boiler combustion.The research not only provides valuable and practical insights into the intricacies of two-phase flow heat transfer and heat exchange but also establishes a pioneering methodology for tackling industry challenges.
基金supported in part by the National Key Research and Development Program of China(2022YFB3305300)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(62173178).
文摘Ethylene glycol(EG)plays a pivotal role as a primary raw material in the polyester industry,and the syngas-to-EG route has become a significant technical route in production.The carbon monoxide(CO)gas-phase catalytic coupling to synthesize dimethyl oxalate(DMO)is a crucial process in the syngas-to-EG route,whereby the composition of the reactor outlet exerts influence on the ultimate quality of the EG product and the energy consumption during the subsequent separation process.However,measuring product quality in real time or establishing accurate dynamic mechanism models is challenging.To effectively model the DMO synthesis process,this study proposes a hybrid modeling strategy that integrates process mechanisms and data-driven approaches.The CO gas-phase catalytic coupling mechanism model is developed based on intrinsic kinetics and material balance,while a long short-term memory(LSTM)neural network is employed to predict the macroscopic reaction rate by leveraging temporal relationships derived from archived measurements.The proposed model is trained semi-supervised to accommodate limited-label data scenarios,leveraging historical data.By integrating these predictions with the mechanism model,the hybrid modeling approach provides reliable and interpretable forecasts of mass fractions.Empirical investigations unequivocally validate the superiority of the proposed hybrid modeling approach over conventional data-driven models(DDMs)and other hybrid modeling techniques.
基金supported by the Key scientific and Technological research Projects of Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps(2022ab001)the National Natural science foundation of China(32272252)+1 种基金Wens fifth five R&D Major Project(WENs-2020-1-ZDZX-007)China scholarship Council(CsC)for the scholarship under the Grant CsC No.202006150027.
文摘Changes in the quality of eggs during storage relate to their shelf life and economic value.factors such as temperature,relative humidity,the operation of cleaning and microorganisms have been shown to play a role in the storage quality of eggs.This study thus aimed at investigating the effect of hen age on the storage quality of egg,and predicting egg shelf life using back propagation artificial neural network(bP-aNN)based models.Eggs laid by Jingfen No.1(27 and 58 weeks of age)and Jingfen No.6(26 and 57 weeks of age)hens were stored under ambient conditions and evaluated by physicochemical properties.it was found that the shelf life of the lower age group was significantly longer than that of the higher age group.a novel hybrid model combining bP-aNN,cuckoo search and adaptive boosting(Cs-bP-adaboost)was proposed for predicting the remaining egg shelf life,with the input being Haugh unit,yolk index,air cell depth,albumen pH,hen age and breed.The tuning process of hyperparameters such as learning rate,training function,and transfer function was presented in detail.results show that Cs-bP-adaboost had satisfactory performance on the test set with root mean square error(rMsE)and coefficient of determination(R^(2))of 0.68 and 0.97,respectively.and it outperformed bP-aNN by reducing rMsE by 0.39 and improving R^(2) by 0.05.The model used solved the problem that the traditional bP-aNN tends to fall into local minima.The removal of hen age from the input parameters caused a decrease in prediction accuracy(R2=0.95,rMsE=1.00),suggesting an important role of hen age in shelf life prediction.This study demonstrates the great potential of applying combinatorial modeling approaches to predict egg shelf life and the crucial impact of hen age on egg shelf life prediction.
基金funded by BK21 FOUR(Fostering Outstanding Universities for Research)(No.:5199990914048).
文摘Accurate segmentation of breast cancer in mammogram images plays a critical role in early diagnosis and treatment planning.As research in this domain continues to expand,various segmentation techniques have been proposed across classical image processing,machine learning(ML),deep learning(DL),and hybrid/ensemble models.This study conducts a systematic literature review using the PRISMA methodology,analyzing 57 selected articles to explore how these methods have evolved and been applied.The review highlights the strengths and limitations of each approach,identifies commonly used public datasets,and observes emerging trends in model integration and clinical relevance.By synthesizing current findings,this work provides a structured overview of segmentation strategies and outlines key considerations for developing more adaptable and explainable tools for breast cancer detection.Overall,our synthesis suggests that classical and ML methods are suitable for limited labels and computing resources,while DL models are preferable when pixel-level annotations and resources are available,and hybrid pipelines are most appropriate when fine-grained clinical precision is required.
基金funded by Prime Minister’s Research Fellowship(PMRF),grant number SB22230924OEPMRF008608.
文摘A hybrid model combining Fully Non-Linear Potential Flow Theory(FNPT)based on the Finite Element Method(FEM)and the Unified Navier-Stokes equation,using the 3D Improved Meshless Local Petrov Galerkin method with Rankine Source(IMLPG_R),is developed to study wave interactions with a porous layer.In previous studies,the above formulations are applied to wave interaction with fixed cylindrical structures.The present study extends this framework by integrating a unified governing equation within the hybrid modeling approach to capture the dynamics of wave interaction with porous media.The porous layers are employed to replicate the wave-dissipating behavior of the structure.A weak coupling strategy is implemented within a designated buffer zone,wherein field variables from the 2D Fully Nonlinear Potential Theory(FNPT)simulations are transferred to the 3D Improved Moving Least Squares-based Petrov-Galerkin(IMLPG_R)model at each time step.This domain decomposition significantly reduces computational cost compared to a full 3D simulation by partitioning the domain into two subregions:the FNPT domain representing the far-field without structures,and the IMLPG_R domain encompassing the porous region.The Unified Navier-Stokes formulation is extended by incorporating additional drag forces governed by Darcy’s law to model the resistance introduced by the porous medium.A stationary background node framework is utilized for interpolation by fluid particles at each time step to accommodate the porous representation.To enhance numerical stability and accuracy,particularly in the presence of sloping boundaries,the Particle Shifting Technique(PST)is integrated into the IMLPG_R model.This implementation involves a modified version of the PST algorithm,where key parameters such as the weight function,velocity ratio,and radius of influence are optimized for IMLPG_R.This is the first time the application of 3D IMLPG_R for porous structure has been reported.Further,the model is subsequently validated against experimental data.
文摘Modern industrial environments require uninterrupted machinery operation to maintain productivity standards while ensuring safety and minimizing costs.Conventional maintenance methods,such as reactive maintenance(i.e.,run to failure)or time-based preventive maintenance(i.e.,scheduled servicing),prove ineffective for complex systems with many Internet of Things(IoT)devices and sensors because they fall short in detecting faults at early stages when it is most crucial.This paper presents a predictive maintenance framework based on a hybrid deep learning model that integrates the capabilities of Long Short-Term Memory(LSTM)Networks and Convolutional Neural Networks(CNNs).The framework integrates spatial feature extraction and temporal sequence modeling to accurately classify the health state of industrial equipment into three categories,including Normal,Require Maintenance,and Failed.The framework uses a modular pipeline that includes IoT-enabled data collection along with secure transmission methods to manage cloud storage and provide real-time fault classification.The FD004 subset of the NASA C-MAPSS dataset,containing multivariate sensor readings from aircraft engines,serves as the training and evaluation data for the model.Experimental results show that the LSTM-CNN model outperforms baseline models such as LSTM-SVM and LSTM-RNN,achieving an overall average accuracy of 86.66%,precision of 86.00%,recall of 86.33%,and F1-score of 86.33%.Contrary to the previous LSTM-CNN-based predictive maintenance models that either provide a binary classification or rely on synthetically balanced data,our paper provides a three-class maintenance state(i.e.,Normal,Require Maintenance,and Failed)along with threshold-based labeling that retains the true nature of the degradation.In addition,our work also provides an IoT-to-cloud-based modular architecture for deployment.It offers Computerized Maintenance Management System(CMMS)integration,making our proposed solution not only technically sound but also practical and innovative.The solution achieves real-world industrial deployment readiness through its reliable performance alongside its scalable system design.
文摘The world’s increasing population requires the process industry to produce food,fuels,chemicals,and consumer products in a more efficient and sustainable way.Functional process materials lie at the heart of this challenge.Traditionally,new advanced materials are found empirically or through trial-and-error approaches.As theoretical methods and associated tools are being continuously improved and computer power has reached a high level,it is now efficient and popular to use computational methods to guide material selection and design.Due to the strong interaction between material selection and the operation of the process in which the material is used,it is essential to perform material and process design simultaneously.Despite this significant connection,the solution of the integrated material and process design problem is not easy because multiple models at different scales are usually required.Hybrid modeling provides a promising option to tackle such complex design problems.In hybrid modeling,the material properties,which are computationally expensive to obtain,are described by data-driven models,while the well-known process-related principles are represented by mechanistic models.This article highlights the significance of hybrid modeling in multiscale material and process design.The generic design methodology is first introduced.Six important application areas are then selected:four from the chemical engineering field and two from the energy systems engineering domain.For each selected area,state-ofthe-art work using hybrid modeling for multiscale material and process design is discussed.Concluding remarks are provided at the end,and current limitations and future opportunities are pointed out.
基金Project(51606225) supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of ChinaProject(2016JJ2144) supported by Hunan Provincial Natural Science Foundation of ChinaProject(502221703) supported by Graduate Independent Explorative Innovation Foundation of Central South University,China
文摘An accurate long-term energy demand forecasting is essential for energy planning and policy making. However, due to the immature energy data collecting and statistical methods, the available data are usually limited in many regions. In this paper, on the basis of comprehensive literature review, we proposed a hybrid model based on the long-range alternative energy planning (LEAP) model to improve the accuracy of energy demand forecasting in these regions. By taking Hunan province, China as a typical case, the proposed hybrid model was applied to estimating the possible future energy demand and energy-saving potentials in different sectors. The structure of LEAP model was estimated by Sankey energy flow, and Leslie matrix and autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models were used to predict the population, industrial structure and transportation turnover, respectively. Monte-Carlo method was employed to evaluate the uncertainty of forecasted results. The results showed that the hybrid model combined with scenario analysis provided a relatively accurate forecast for the long-term energy demand in regions with limited statistical data, and the average standard error of probabilistic distribution in 2030 energy demand was as low as 0.15. The prediction results could provide supportive references to identify energy-saving potentials and energy development pathways.
基金funded by Vietnam National Foundation for Science and Technology Development(NAFOSTED)under grant number 105.08-2019.03.
文摘The groundwater potential map is an important tool for a sustainable water management and land use planning,particularly for agricultural countries like Vietnam.In this article,we proposed new machine learning ensemble techniques namely AdaBoost ensemble(ABLWL),Bagging ensemble(BLWL),Multi Boost ensemble(MBLWL),Rotation Forest ensemble(RFLWL)with Locally Weighted Learning(LWL)algorithm as a base classifier to build the groundwater potential map of Gia Lai province in Vietnam.For this study,eleven conditioning factors(aspect,altitude,curvature,slope,Stream Transport Index(STI),Topographic Wetness Index(TWI),soil,geology,river density,rainfall,land-use)and 134 wells yield data was used to create training(70%)and testing(30%)datasets for the development and validation of the models.Several statistical indices were used namely Positive Predictive Value(PPV),Negative Predictive Value(NPV),Sensitivity(SST),Specificity(SPF),Accuracy(ACC),Kappa,and Receiver Operating Characteristics(ROC)curve to validate and compare performance of models.Results show that performance of all the models is good to very good(AUC:0.75 to 0.829)but the ABLWL model with AUC=0.89 is the best.All the models applied in this study can support decision-makers to streamline the management of the groundwater and to develop economy not only of specific territories but also in other regions across the world with minor changes of the input parameters.
基金supported by the National Science Foundation under award DMS-1225160,CCF-0726763,and CCF-0953590the National Institutes of Health under award GM078989
文摘Insulin secreted by pancreatic islet ˇ-cells is the principal regulating hormone of glucose metabolism.Disruption of insulin secretion may cause glucose to accumulate in the blood, and result in diabetes mellitus.Although deterministic models of the insulin secretion pathway have been developed, the stochastic aspect of this biological pathway has not been explored. The first step in this direction presented here is a hybrid model of the insulin secretion pathway, in which the delayed rectifying KCchannels are treated as stochastic events. This hybrid model can not only reproduce the oscillation dynamics as the deterministic model does, but can also capture stochastic dynamics that the deterministic model does not. To measure the insulin oscillation system behavior, a probability-based measure is proposed and applied to test the effectiveness of a new remedy.
文摘Accurate estimation of evapotranspiration(ET)is crucial for efficient water resource management,particularly in the face of climate change and increasing water scarcity.This study performs a bibliometric analysis of 352 articles and a systematic review of 35 peer-reviewed papers,selected according to PRISMA guidelines,to evaluate the performance of Hybrid Artificial Neural Networks(HANNs)in ET estimation.The findings demonstrate that HANNs,particularly those combining Multilayer Perceptrons(MLPs),Recurrent Neural Networks(RNNs),and Convolutional Neural Networks(CNNs),are highly effective in capturing the complex nonlinear relationships and tem-poral dependencies characteristic of hydrological processes.These hybrid models,often integrated with optimization algorithms and fuzzy logic frameworks,significantly improve the predictive accuracy and generalization capabilities of ET estimation.The growing adoption of advanced evaluation metrics,such as Kling-Gupta Efficiency(KGE)and Taylor Diagrams,highlights the increasing demand for more robust performance assessments beyond traditional methods.Despite the promising results,challenges remain,particularly regarding model interpretability,computational efficiency,and data scarcity.Future research should prioritize the integration of interpretability techniques,such as attention mechanisms,Local Interpretable Model-Agnostic Explanations(LIME),and feature importance analysis,to enhance model transparency and foster stakeholder trust.Additionally,improving HANN models’scalability and computational efficiency is crucial,especially for large-scale,real-world applications.Approaches such as transfer learning,parallel processing,and hyperparameter optimization will be essential in overcoming these challenges.This study underscores the transformative potential of HANN models for precise ET estimation,particularly in water-scarce and climate-vulnerable regions.By integrating CNNs for automatic feature extraction and leveraging hybrid architectures,HANNs offer considerable advantages for optimizing water management,particularly agriculture.Addressing challenges related to interpretability and scalability will be vital to ensuring the widespread deployment and operational success of HANNs in global water resource management.
基金Supported by the Laoshan Laboratory(No.LSKJ 202202404)the Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences(No.XDB 42000000)+1 种基金the National Natural Science Foundation of China(NSFC)(No.42030410)the Startup Foundation for Introducing Talent of NUIST,and the Jiangsu Innovation Research Group(No.JSSCTD 202346)。
文摘Numerical models are crucial for quantifying the ocean-atmosphere interactions associated with the El Niño-Southern Oscillation(ENSO)phenomenon in the tropical Pacific.Current coupled models often exhibit significant biases and inter-model differences in simulating ENSO,underscoring the need for alternative modeling approaches.The Regional Ocean Modeling System(ROMS)is a sophisticated ocean model widely used for regional studies and has been coupled with various atmospheric models.However,its application in simulating ENSO processes on a basin scale in the tropical Pacific has not been explored.For the first time,this study presents the development of a basin-scale hybrid coupled model(HCM)for the tropical Pacific,integrating ROMS with a statistical atmospheric model that captures the interannual relationships between sea surface temperature(SST)and wind stress anomalies.The HCM is evaluated for its capability to simulate the annual mean,seasonal,and interannual variations of the oceanic state in the tropical Pacific.Results demonstrate that the model effectively reproduces the ENSO cycle,with a dominant oscillation period of approximately two years.The ROMS-based HCM developed here offers an efficient and robust tool for investigating climate variability in the tropical Pacific.
基金funding support from the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.U22A20594,52079045)Hong-Zhi Cui acknowledges the financial support of the China Scholarship Council(Grant No.CSC:202206710014)for his research at Universitat Politecnica de Catalunya,Barcelona.
文摘Landslide susceptibility mapping(LSM)plays a crucial role in assessing geological risks.The current LSM techniques face a significant challenge in achieving accurate results due to uncertainties associated with regional-scale geotechnical parameters.To explore rainfall-induced LSM,this study proposes a hybrid model that combines the physically-based probabilistic model(PPM)with convolutional neural network(CNN).The PPM is capable of effectively capturing the spatial distribution of landslides by incorporating the probability of failure(POF)considering the slope stability mechanism under rainfall conditions.This significantly characterizes the variation of POF caused by parameter uncertainties.CNN was used as a binary classifier to capture the spatial and channel correlation between landslide conditioning factors and the probability of landslide occurrence.OpenCV image enhancement technique was utilized to extract non-landslide points based on the POF of landslides.The proposed model comprehensively considers physical mechanics when selecting non-landslide samples,effectively filtering out samples that do not adhere to physical principles and reduce the risk of overfitting.The results indicate that the proposed PPM-CNN hybrid model presents a higher prediction accuracy,with an area under the curve(AUC)value of 0.85 based on the landslide case of the Niangniangba area of Gansu Province,China compared with the individual CNN model(AUC=0.61)and the PPM(AUC=0.74).This model can also consider the statistical correlation and non-normal probability distributions of model parameters.These results offer practical guidance for future research on rainfall-induced LSM at the regional scale.
文摘Spatial heterogeneity refers to the variation or differences in characteristics or features across different locations or areas in space. Spatial data refers to information that explicitly or indirectly belongs to a particular geographic region or location, also known as geo-spatial data or geographic information. Focusing on spatial heterogeneity, we present a hybrid machine learning model combining two competitive algorithms: the Random Forest Regressor and CNN. The model is fine-tuned using cross validation for hyper-parameter adjustment and performance evaluation, ensuring robustness and generalization. Our approach integrates Global Moran’s I for examining global autocorrelation, and local Moran’s I for assessing local spatial autocorrelation in the residuals. To validate our approach, we implemented the hybrid model on a real-world dataset and compared its performance with that of the traditional machine learning models. Results indicate superior performance with an R-squared of 0.90, outperforming RF 0.84 and CNN 0.74. This study contributed to a detailed understanding of spatial variations in data considering the geographical information (Longitude & Latitude) present in the dataset. Our results, also assessed using the Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE), indicated that the hybrid yielded lower errors, showing a deviation of 53.65% from the RF model and 63.24% from the CNN model. Additionally, the global Moran’s I index was observed to be 0.10. This study underscores that the hybrid was able to predict correctly the house prices both in clusters and in dispersed areas.
文摘In recent years,there has been a concerted effort to improve anomaly detection tech-niques,particularly in the context of high-dimensional,distributed clinical data.Analysing patient data within clinical settings reveals a pronounced focus on refining diagnostic accuracy,personalising treatment plans,and optimising resource allocation to enhance clinical outcomes.Nonetheless,this domain faces unique challenges,such as irregular data collection,inconsistent data quality,and patient-specific structural variations.This paper proposed a novel hybrid approach that integrates heuristic and stochastic methods for anomaly detection in patient clinical data to address these challenges.The strategy combines HPO-based optimal Density-Based Spatial Clustering of Applications with Noise for clustering patient exercise data,facilitating efficient anomaly identification.Subsequently,a stochastic method based on the Interquartile Range filters unreliable data points,ensuring that medical tools and professionals receive only the most pertinent and accurate information.The primary objective of this study is to equip healthcare pro-fessionals and researchers with a robust tool for managing extensive,high-dimensional clinical datasets,enabling effective isolation and removal of aberrant data points.Furthermore,a sophisticated regression model has been developed using Automated Machine Learning(AutoML)to assess the impact of the ensemble abnormal pattern detection approach.Various statistical error estimation techniques validate the efficacy of the hybrid approach alongside AutoML.Experimental results show that implementing this innovative hybrid model on patient rehabilitation data leads to a notable enhance-ment in AutoML performance,with an average improvement of 0.041 in the R2 score,surpassing the effectiveness of traditional regression models.
基金the support from the National Natural Science Foundation of China(22478429)the Special Project Fund of Taishan-Scholars(tsqn202408101)+3 种基金the Natural Science Foundation of Shandong Province(ZR2023YQ009)CNPC Innovation Found(2024DQ02-0504)Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities,Ocean University of China(202364004)the State Key Laboratory of Heavy Oil Processing(SKLHOP202403003)。
文摘Alcohol oxidation is a widely used green chemical reaction.The reaction process produces flammable and explosive hydrogen,so the design of the reactor must meet stringent safety requirements.Based on the limited experimental data,utilizing the traditional numerical method of computational fluid dynamics(CFD)to simulate the gas-liquid two-phase flow reactor can mitigate the risk of danger under varying working conditions.However,the calculation process is highly time-consuming.Therefore,by integrating process simulation,computational fluid dynamics,and deep learning technologies,an intelligent hybrid chemical model based on machine learning was proposed to expedite CFD calculations,enhance the prediction of flow fields,conversion rates,and concentrations inside the reactor,and offer insights for designing and optimizing the reactor for the alcohol oxidation system.The results show that the hybrid model based on the long and short-term memory neural network achieves 99.8%accuracy in conversion rate prediction and 99.9%accuracy in product concentration prediction.Through validation,the hybrid model is accelerated by about 360 times compared with instrumental analysis in conversion rate prediction and about 45 times compared with CFD calculation in concentration distribution prediction.This hybrid model can quickly predict the conversion rate and product concentration distribution in the gas-liquid two-phase flow reactor and provide a model reference for fast prediction and accurate control in the actual chemical production process.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.62273234)Key Research and Development Program of Shaanxi(Program No.2022GY-306)Technology Innovation Leading Program of Shaanxi(Program No.2022QFY01-16).
文摘Accurate prediction of strip width is a key factor related to the quality of hot rolling manufacture.Firstly,based on strip width formation mechanism model within strip rolling process,an improved width mechanism calculation model is delineated for the optimization of process parameters via the particle swarm optimization algorithm.Subsequently,a hybrid strip width prediction model is proposed by effectively combining the respective advantages of the improved mechanism model and the data-driven model.In acknowledgment of prerequisite for positive error in strip width prediction,an adaptive width error compensation algorithm is proposed.Finally,comparative simulation experiments are designed on the actual rolling dataset after completing data cleaning and feature engineering.The experimental results show that the hybrid prediction model proposed has superior precision and robustness compared with the improved mechanism model and the other eight common data-driven models and satisfies the needs of practical applications.Moreover,the hybrid model can realize the complementary advantages of the mechanism model and the data-driven model,effectively alleviating the problems of difficult to improve the accuracy of the mechanism model and poor interpretability of the data-driven model,which bears significant practical implications for the research of strip width control.
基金supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of China(Grant No.2023YFC3007203).
文摘This study addresses gaps in aftershock prediction research by proposing an interpretable hybrid machine learning model that leverages multi-source data.The model overcomes challenges related to the selection of influencing factors,model types,prediction result visualization,and decision mechanism interpretability.It integrates mainshock factors,geological features,site characteristics,and terrain conditions using geospatial information system(GIS)technology.By employing the stacking algorithm to optimize and combine XGBoost and LightGBM models,the proposed model significantly improves the prediction performance.Visualization through aftershock hazard mapping offers a robust tool for aftershock warning.The Shapley additive explanations(SHAP)model is used to explain the decision-making process from both global and local perspectives.Results show that,compared to the optimized XGBoost-CMA_ES and LightGBM-CMA_ES hybrid models,the stacking model achieves area under the curve(AUC)increases of 7.71%and 5.72% on the test set,respectively,with a maximum prediction accuracy of 0.9344.The hazard zoning map identifies high-risk areas mainly around fault lines and near the epicenter.As hazard levels rise,the proportion and density of aftershocks in these areas increase.The SHAP model results highlight the distance to fault as the most critical factor.The study integrates local explanations with on-site investigations,effectively visualizing the contributions of different factors to aftershocks.This research provides new tools and methods for enhancing aftershock warning and response.
