An undersea volcano at Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha'apai(HTHH)near the South Pacific island nation of Tonga,erupted violently on 15 January 2022.Potential climate impact of the HTHH volcanic eruption is of great concern t...An undersea volcano at Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha'apai(HTHH)near the South Pacific island nation of Tonga,erupted violently on 15 January 2022.Potential climate impact of the HTHH volcanic eruption is of great concern to the public;here,we intend to size up the impact of the HTHH eruption from a historical perspective.The influence of historical volcanic eruptions on the global climate are firstly reviewed,which are thought to have contributed to decreased surface temperature,increased stratospheric temperature,suppressed global water cycle,weakened monsoon circulation and El Niño-like sea surface temperature.Our understanding of the impacts of past volcanic eruptions on global-scale climate provides potential implication to evaluate the impact of the HTHH eruption.Based on historical simulations,we estimate that the current HTHH eruption with an intensity of 0.4 Tg SO_(2)injection will decrease the global mean surface temperature by only 0.004℃in the first year after eruption,which is within the amplitude of internal variability at the interannual time scale and thus not strong enough to have significant impacts on the global climate.展开更多
We present a narrative of the eruptive events culminating in the cataclysmic January 15, 2022 eruption of Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha’apai Volcano by synthesizing diverse preliminary seismic, volcanological, sound wave, and...We present a narrative of the eruptive events culminating in the cataclysmic January 15, 2022 eruption of Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha’apai Volcano by synthesizing diverse preliminary seismic, volcanological, sound wave, and lightning data available within the first few weeks after the eruption occurred. The first hour of eruptive activity produced fast-propagating tsunami waves, long-period seismic waves, loud audible sound waves, infrasonic waves, exceptionally intense volcanic lightning and an unsteady volcanic plume that transiently reached-at 58km-the Earth’s mesosphere. Energetic seismic signals were recorded worldwide and the globally stacked seismogram showed episodic seismic events within the most intense periods of phreatoplinian activity, and they correlated well with the infrasound pressure waveform recorded in Fiji. Gravity wave signals were strong enough to be observed over the entire planet in just the first few hours, with some circling the Earth multiple times subsequently. These large-amplitude, long-wavelength atmospheric disturbances come from the Earth’s atmosphere being forced by the magmatic mixture of tephra, melt and gasses emitted by the unsteady but quasicontinuous eruption from 0402±1–1800 UTC on January 15, 2022. Atmospheric forcing lasted much longer than rupturing from large earthquakes recorded on modern instruments, producing a type of shock wave that originated from the interaction between compressed air and ambient(wavy) sea surface. This scenario differs from conventional ideas of earthquake slip, landslides, or caldera collapse-generated tsunami waves because of the enormous(~1000x) volumetric change due to the supercritical nature of volatiles associated with the hot,volatile-rich phreatoplinian plume. The time series of plume altitude can be translated to volumetric discharge and mass flow rate. For an eruption duration of ~12 h, the eruptive volume and mass are estimated at 1.9 km^(3) and~2 900 Tg, respectively, corresponding to a VEI of 5–6 for this event. The high frequency and intensity of lightning was enhanced by the production of fine ash due to magma-seawater interaction with concomitant high charge per unit mass and the high pre-eruptive concentration of dissolved volatiles. Analysis of lightning flash frequencies provides a rapid metric for plume activity and eruption magnitude. Many aspects of this eruption await further investigation by multidisciplinary teams. It represents a unique opportunity for fundamental research regarding the complex, non-linear behavior of high energetic volcanic eruptions and attendant phenomena, with critical implications for hazard mitigation, volcano forecasting, and first-response efforts in future disasters.展开更多
The Hunga Tonga Hunga Ha’apai submarine volcano has experienced repeated eruptions in the latest decades.The recent one,in January 2022,released an enormous amount of energy inducing global perturbations,as tsunamis ...The Hunga Tonga Hunga Ha’apai submarine volcano has experienced repeated eruptions in the latest decades.The recent one,in January 2022,released an enormous amount of energy inducing global perturbations,as tsunamis and atmospheric waves.The structure of the volcano is poorly understood,especially its internal structure.Deep-seated magmatic connections are difficult to define or visualize.We use a high-resolution gravity data set obtained via satellite to calculate the Bouguer anomaly over its structure,to perform a preliminary exploration of its interior.Executing 3D gravity inversions,we find a complex plumbing system with various exhaust trajectories and multiple surface pockets of low-density material within the volcanic edifice;some appear to be associated with ring fractures.This is in line with the report of the 2009 eruption,described as beginning from multiple vents.We found no signs of a magma chamber within 6 km depth,although several volcanic conduits are identified from such depth to the surface.Density variations occur within a plumbing conduit or may vary from one conduit to another in the same volcano.These models yield quantitative estimates for areas of magma-water interaction,constituting a baseline to compare with structural changes to be induced in future eruptions.展开更多
Volcanic eruptions release large amounts of ash clouds and gas aerosols into the atmosphere,which can be simulated by air quality prediction models.However,the performance of these models remains unsatisfactory,even t...Volcanic eruptions release large amounts of ash clouds and gas aerosols into the atmosphere,which can be simulated by air quality prediction models.However,the performance of these models remains unsatisfactory,even though both relevant physics and chemistry are considered.Hence,exploring the approaches for improvement such as inclusion of data assimilation is significative.In this study,we depict the modeling of the volcanic ash dispersion from the Hunga Tonga–Hunga Ha’apai underwater volcano,which erupted in a series of large explosions in late December 2021 and early January 2022.On 15 January 2022,a particularly significant explosion sent a massive ash cloud high into the atmosphere.We used the inline Weather Research and Forecasting model coupled with chemistry(WRF-Chem)and incorporated meteorological data assimilation within the Flux Adjusting Surface Data Assimilation System(FASDAS).We compared three forecast scenarios:one with only meteorology and no chemistry(OMET),one with gas and aerosol chemistry and no assimilation(NODA),and one with both chemistry and assimilation(FASDAS).We found that FASDAS resulted in lower planetary boundary layer height(PBLH),downward surface shortwave flux,and 2-m temperature by up to 800 m,200 W m^(−2),and 6℃ on the land portion,respectively,while the opposite was observed near the eruption site.We validated the model against the observations and the results showed that FASDAS significantly enhanced the model performance in retrieving meteorological variables.However,the simulations also revealed significant biases in the concentration of volcanic ash around the ash clouds.Data from the Copernicus TROPOspheric Monitoring Instrument Sentinel-5 Precursor(TROPOMI-S5P)showed a westward trend of the total SO2 emissions.This work demonstrates the significant contribution of data assimilation to the results of operational air quality predictions during violent volcanic eruption events.展开更多
The Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha’apai eruption on January 15,2022 was one of the most explosive volcanic eruptions of the 21st century and has attracted global attention.Here we show that large numbers of the volcanic aeroso...The Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha’apai eruption on January 15,2022 was one of the most explosive volcanic eruptions of the 21st century and has attracted global attention.Here we show that large numbers of the volcanic aerosols from the eruption broke through the tropopause into the lower stratosphere,forming an ash plume with an overshooting top at 25-30 km altitude.In the four days following the eruption,the ash plume moved rapidly westward for nearly 10,000 km under stable stratospheric conditions characterized by strong tropical easterlies,weak meridional winds and weak vertical motion.The intrusion of the ash plume into the stratosphere resulted in a marked increase in atmospheric aerosol loading across northern Australia,with the aerosol optical depth(AOD)observed by satellites and sun-photometers peaking at 1.5 off the coast of northeastern Australia;these effects lasted for nearly three days.The ash plume was characterized by fine-mode particles clustered at a radius of about 0.26μm,with an observed peak volume of 0.25μm^(3)μm^(-2).The impact of the ash plume associated with the Hunga Tonga eruption on the stratospheric AOD and radiative balance in the tropical southern hemisphere is remarkable,with an observed volcanic-induced perturbation of the regional stratospheric AOD of up to 0.6.This perturbation largely explains an instantaneous bottom(top)of the atmosphere radiative forcing of-105.0(-65.0)W m^(-2)on a regional scale.展开更多
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.41988101,,42105047).
文摘An undersea volcano at Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha'apai(HTHH)near the South Pacific island nation of Tonga,erupted violently on 15 January 2022.Potential climate impact of the HTHH volcanic eruption is of great concern to the public;here,we intend to size up the impact of the HTHH eruption from a historical perspective.The influence of historical volcanic eruptions on the global climate are firstly reviewed,which are thought to have contributed to decreased surface temperature,increased stratospheric temperature,suppressed global water cycle,weakened monsoon circulation and El Niño-like sea surface temperature.Our understanding of the impacts of past volcanic eruptions on global-scale climate provides potential implication to evaluate the impact of the HTHH eruption.Based on historical simulations,we estimate that the current HTHH eruption with an intensity of 0.4 Tg SO_(2)injection will decrease the global mean surface temperature by only 0.004℃in the first year after eruption,which is within the amplitude of internal variability at the interannual time scale and thus not strong enough to have significant impacts on the global climate.
基金partially supported by US Department of Energy Grant DE-SC0019759National Science Foundation (NSF) Grants EAR-1918126, EAR-2027150, EAR-1925965, and OCE-1842989。
文摘We present a narrative of the eruptive events culminating in the cataclysmic January 15, 2022 eruption of Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha’apai Volcano by synthesizing diverse preliminary seismic, volcanological, sound wave, and lightning data available within the first few weeks after the eruption occurred. The first hour of eruptive activity produced fast-propagating tsunami waves, long-period seismic waves, loud audible sound waves, infrasonic waves, exceptionally intense volcanic lightning and an unsteady volcanic plume that transiently reached-at 58km-the Earth’s mesosphere. Energetic seismic signals were recorded worldwide and the globally stacked seismogram showed episodic seismic events within the most intense periods of phreatoplinian activity, and they correlated well with the infrasound pressure waveform recorded in Fiji. Gravity wave signals were strong enough to be observed over the entire planet in just the first few hours, with some circling the Earth multiple times subsequently. These large-amplitude, long-wavelength atmospheric disturbances come from the Earth’s atmosphere being forced by the magmatic mixture of tephra, melt and gasses emitted by the unsteady but quasicontinuous eruption from 0402±1–1800 UTC on January 15, 2022. Atmospheric forcing lasted much longer than rupturing from large earthquakes recorded on modern instruments, producing a type of shock wave that originated from the interaction between compressed air and ambient(wavy) sea surface. This scenario differs from conventional ideas of earthquake slip, landslides, or caldera collapse-generated tsunami waves because of the enormous(~1000x) volumetric change due to the supercritical nature of volatiles associated with the hot,volatile-rich phreatoplinian plume. The time series of plume altitude can be translated to volumetric discharge and mass flow rate. For an eruption duration of ~12 h, the eruptive volume and mass are estimated at 1.9 km^(3) and~2 900 Tg, respectively, corresponding to a VEI of 5–6 for this event. The high frequency and intensity of lightning was enhanced by the production of fine ash due to magma-seawater interaction with concomitant high charge per unit mass and the high pre-eruptive concentration of dissolved volatiles. Analysis of lightning flash frequencies provides a rapid metric for plume activity and eruption magnitude. Many aspects of this eruption await further investigation by multidisciplinary teams. It represents a unique opportunity for fundamental research regarding the complex, non-linear behavior of high energetic volcanic eruptions and attendant phenomena, with critical implications for hazard mitigation, volcano forecasting, and first-response efforts in future disasters.
基金support from the Consejo Nacional de Ciencia y Tecnología(CONACYT,México)supported by Instituto de Investigaciones en Matemáticas Aplicadas y en Sistemas,Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México。
文摘The Hunga Tonga Hunga Ha’apai submarine volcano has experienced repeated eruptions in the latest decades.The recent one,in January 2022,released an enormous amount of energy inducing global perturbations,as tsunamis and atmospheric waves.The structure of the volcano is poorly understood,especially its internal structure.Deep-seated magmatic connections are difficult to define or visualize.We use a high-resolution gravity data set obtained via satellite to calculate the Bouguer anomaly over its structure,to perform a preliminary exploration of its interior.Executing 3D gravity inversions,we find a complex plumbing system with various exhaust trajectories and multiple surface pockets of low-density material within the volcanic edifice;some appear to be associated with ring fractures.This is in line with the report of the 2009 eruption,described as beginning from multiple vents.We found no signs of a magma chamber within 6 km depth,although several volcanic conduits are identified from such depth to the surface.Density variations occur within a plumbing conduit or may vary from one conduit to another in the same volcano.These models yield quantitative estimates for areas of magma-water interaction,constituting a baseline to compare with structural changes to be induced in future eruptions.
基金Supported by the Research Supporting Project(PNURSP2024R503)of Princess Nourah Bint Abdulrahman University,Saudi Arabia.
文摘Volcanic eruptions release large amounts of ash clouds and gas aerosols into the atmosphere,which can be simulated by air quality prediction models.However,the performance of these models remains unsatisfactory,even though both relevant physics and chemistry are considered.Hence,exploring the approaches for improvement such as inclusion of data assimilation is significative.In this study,we depict the modeling of the volcanic ash dispersion from the Hunga Tonga–Hunga Ha’apai underwater volcano,which erupted in a series of large explosions in late December 2021 and early January 2022.On 15 January 2022,a particularly significant explosion sent a massive ash cloud high into the atmosphere.We used the inline Weather Research and Forecasting model coupled with chemistry(WRF-Chem)and incorporated meteorological data assimilation within the Flux Adjusting Surface Data Assimilation System(FASDAS).We compared three forecast scenarios:one with only meteorology and no chemistry(OMET),one with gas and aerosol chemistry and no assimilation(NODA),and one with both chemistry and assimilation(FASDAS).We found that FASDAS resulted in lower planetary boundary layer height(PBLH),downward surface shortwave flux,and 2-m temperature by up to 800 m,200 W m^(−2),and 6℃ on the land portion,respectively,while the opposite was observed near the eruption site.We validated the model against the observations and the results showed that FASDAS significantly enhanced the model performance in retrieving meteorological variables.However,the simulations also revealed significant biases in the concentration of volcanic ash around the ash clouds.Data from the Copernicus TROPOspheric Monitoring Instrument Sentinel-5 Precursor(TROPOMI-S5P)showed a westward trend of the total SO2 emissions.This work demonstrates the significant contribution of data assimilation to the results of operational air quality predictions during violent volcanic eruption events.
基金supported by the National Science Fund for Distinguished Young Scholars(41825011)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(42175153 and 42030608)the Basic Research Fund of Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences(2021Y001)。
文摘The Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha’apai eruption on January 15,2022 was one of the most explosive volcanic eruptions of the 21st century and has attracted global attention.Here we show that large numbers of the volcanic aerosols from the eruption broke through the tropopause into the lower stratosphere,forming an ash plume with an overshooting top at 25-30 km altitude.In the four days following the eruption,the ash plume moved rapidly westward for nearly 10,000 km under stable stratospheric conditions characterized by strong tropical easterlies,weak meridional winds and weak vertical motion.The intrusion of the ash plume into the stratosphere resulted in a marked increase in atmospheric aerosol loading across northern Australia,with the aerosol optical depth(AOD)observed by satellites and sun-photometers peaking at 1.5 off the coast of northeastern Australia;these effects lasted for nearly three days.The ash plume was characterized by fine-mode particles clustered at a radius of about 0.26μm,with an observed peak volume of 0.25μm^(3)μm^(-2).The impact of the ash plume associated with the Hunga Tonga eruption on the stratospheric AOD and radiative balance in the tropical southern hemisphere is remarkable,with an observed volcanic-induced perturbation of the regional stratospheric AOD of up to 0.6.This perturbation largely explains an instantaneous bottom(top)of the atmosphere radiative forcing of-105.0(-65.0)W m^(-2)on a regional scale.
