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基于Holt-Winters与Erlang-C公式融合的热线接通率预测模型
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作者 王玉静 《山东通信技术》 2026年第1期38-42,共5页
提出一种热线接通率预测框架模型,通过融合Holt-Winters三重指数平滑时间序列算法和Erlang-C排队论公式,实现对客服中心热线服务接通率指标的精准预测。融合预测模型首先利用Holt-Winters算法进行时间序列分析与话务量预测;然后引入Erla... 提出一种热线接通率预测框架模型,通过融合Holt-Winters三重指数平滑时间序列算法和Erlang-C排队论公式,实现对客服中心热线服务接通率指标的精准预测。融合预测模型首先利用Holt-Winters算法进行时间序列分析与话务量预测;然后引入Erlang-C排队模型,基于预测话务量与关键参数转化为接通率指标预测,并建立动态参数修正机制,进行模型调优。真实运营数据验证,模型的预测准确率在95%以上,为客服中心的资源规划和动态调度提供了有效的决策支持。 展开更多
关键词 热线接通率 holt-winters Erlang-C公式 时间序列 融合模型
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基于灰色GM(1,1),ARIMA及Holt-Winters模型的延吉市肺结核发病率短期预测研究 被引量:4
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作者 高威 文韬 +3 位作者 王铮 李医华 翟铁民 崔洪哲 《中国卫生统计》 北大核心 2025年第2期263-266,共4页
目的 采用灰色预测模型(grey model, GM)、自回归移动平均模型(autoregressive integrated moving average model, ARIMA)和Holt-Winters模型对延吉市肺结核发病情况进行短期预测,为肺结核防控提供理论依据。方法 对2012—2022年延吉市... 目的 采用灰色预测模型(grey model, GM)、自回归移动平均模型(autoregressive integrated moving average model, ARIMA)和Holt-Winters模型对延吉市肺结核发病情况进行短期预测,为肺结核防控提供理论依据。方法 对2012—2022年延吉市肺结核发病数据进行统计,建立GM(1,1)模型,ARIMA模型和Holt-Winters模型进行短期预测,评价模型预测效果。结果 GM(1,1)模型和ARIMA模型预测结果显示,2023—2025年延吉市肺结核发病率逐渐下降。Holt-Winters模型的残差平方和(residual sum of squares, RSS)为940,均方根误差(root mean squared error, RMSE)为12.52,平均绝对百分比误差(mean absolute percentage error, MAPE)为72.33%,其模型预测效果优于ARIMA乘积季节性模型。结论 三种预测模型在一定程度上均能对肺结核发病率进行预测,其中,Holt-Winters模型对延吉市肺结核发病趋势的预测更准确。 展开更多
关键词 肺结核 发病率 GM(1 1)模型 ARIMA模型 holt-winters模型
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基于Holt-Winters的锂离子电池容量衰退预测
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作者 吴伟丽 卢双双 李磊 《太阳能学报》 北大核心 2025年第1期309-318,共10页
针对目前电池容量长期衰退趋势预测方法精度低、跟踪效果差的问题,提出一种基于序列分解和三次指数平滑的电池容量预测方法,实现电池容量快速下降阶段退化趋势的有效跟踪。对于具有容量回升现象的电池容量序列首先采用自适应白噪声完备... 针对目前电池容量长期衰退趋势预测方法精度低、跟踪效果差的问题,提出一种基于序列分解和三次指数平滑的电池容量预测方法,实现电池容量快速下降阶段退化趋势的有效跟踪。对于具有容量回升现象的电池容量序列首先采用自适应白噪声完备集成经验模态分解(CEEMDAN)将其分解为波动分量和趋势分量,再对各分量分别搭建霍尔特-温特斯(HoltWinters)季节性、线性模型进行预测,最后将预测结果叠加实现容量退化趋势预测;对容量回升现象较弱的容量序列直接搭建Holt-Winters无季节性模型进行预测。采用多种不同电池退化数据集对算法性能进行验证,结果表明所提方法的鲁棒性良好且预测精度有较大提升,可为锂离子电池容量的退化趋势预测提供技术参考。 展开更多
关键词 锂离子电池 容量预测 经验模态分解 holt-winters
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基于SARIMA模型和Holt-Winters指数平滑法的流行性出血热发病率预测
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作者 代婷婷 刘静 《预防医学情报杂志》 2025年第8期1064-1072,共9页
目的 探讨SARIMA模型和Holt-Winters指数平滑法2种模型对流行性出血热发病率预测的应用价值。方法 基于中国2016年1月至2020年12月流行性出血热月度发病率数据,利用IBM SPSS 24.0软件中的时间序列预测模块分别建立SARIMA模型和Holt-Wint... 目的 探讨SARIMA模型和Holt-Winters指数平滑法2种模型对流行性出血热发病率预测的应用价值。方法 基于中国2016年1月至2020年12月流行性出血热月度发病率数据,利用IBM SPSS 24.0软件中的时间序列预测模块分别建立SARIMA模型和Holt-Winters指数平滑模型,对流行性出血热发病率进行预测,应用MAE、MAPE、RMSE等指标评价预测效果,检验水准α=0.05。结果 最佳的SARIMA模型为SARIMA(0,1,0)(0,1,0)12,R^(2)为0.856,标准化的BIC为-8.505,该模型通过了Ljung-Box Q检验(P>0.05);Holt-Winters相乘模型为最优的指数平滑模型,R^(2)为0.895,标准化的BIC为-8.830;2个模型中,Holt-Winters相乘模型的MAE、MAPE、RMSE值均低于SARIMA(0,1,0)(0,1,0)_(12)。结论 2个模型均可用于我国流行性出血热月度发病率预测,Holt-Winters相乘模型预测效果优于SARIMA(0,1,0)(0,1,0)_(12)模型。 展开更多
关键词 SARIMA模型 holt-winters指数平滑法 流行性出血热 发病率 预测
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Holt-Winters模型在地下水水位模拟中的应用
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作者 付亚亚 冯巍 +1 位作者 雷媛 冯致远 《地下水》 2025年第4期28-30,61,共4页
地下水水位是判别地下水运动规律的重要条件,通过数值方法模拟并预测未来的地下水水位动态变化,为地下水的开发利用及保护提供客观指导。本文利用泾阳县5个典型监测站的2002-2022年逐月埋深建立Holt-Winters模型,求解参数,验证Holt-Wint... 地下水水位是判别地下水运动规律的重要条件,通过数值方法模拟并预测未来的地下水水位动态变化,为地下水的开发利用及保护提供客观指导。本文利用泾阳县5个典型监测站的2002-2022年逐月埋深建立Holt-Winters模型,求解参数,验证Holt-Winters模型在地下水水位模拟中的适用性。结果表明:(1)Holt-Winters模型可以很好的模拟实测地下水埋深的波动趋势,模拟结果相对最好的是2号测站,相对最差的是1号测站。(2)Holt-Winters加法模型和Holt-Winters乘法模型均可以很好地模拟实测埋深的波动趋势,且Holt-Winters加法模型的模拟效果优于Holt-Winters乘法模型。由此,Holt-Winters模型在地下水水位模拟中具有较强的适用性。 展开更多
关键词 holt-winters加法模型 holt-winters乘法模型 地下水水位模拟
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基于Holt-Winters-HPO-LSTM的电力系统短期负荷预测
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作者 林滔 黄俊翔 +3 位作者 王祎鎏 徐子桓 佘林昕 王赛娇 《自动化应用》 2025年第12期149-153,共5页
基于电力系统短期负荷预测在能源管理中的重要性,提出了一种结合Holt-Winters季节性分解与猎人猎物优化算法(HPO)的长短期记忆网络(Holt-Winters-HPO-LSTM)预测方法。首先,利用Holt-Winters模型对负荷时间序列进行分解,提取趋势、季节... 基于电力系统短期负荷预测在能源管理中的重要性,提出了一种结合Holt-Winters季节性分解与猎人猎物优化算法(HPO)的长短期记忆网络(Holt-Winters-HPO-LSTM)预测方法。首先,利用Holt-Winters模型对负荷时间序列进行分解,提取趋势、季节性和随机性成分,从而降低数据复杂性。随后,引入猎人猎物优化算法,对LSTM模型的超参数进行全局搜索与优化,以提升模型性能和预测准确度。基于澳大利亚某地区实际电力负荷数据进行实验,结果表明,该方法在预测精度和鲁棒性上明显优于传统预测模型,判定系数(R~2)显著升高,均方误差(MSE)和平均绝对百分比误差(MAPE)均显著降低。研究结果验证了该方法在捕捉电力负荷非线性与季节性特征方面的有效性,为电力系统负荷预测与优化提供了重要参考。 展开更多
关键词 holt-winters季节性分解 猎人猎物优化算法 长短期记忆模型 短期负荷预测
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基于Holt-Winters法的配电台区售电量预测方法
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作者 熊根鑫 石文娟 +2 位作者 李淑贤 孙亚慧 王同乐 《信息技术》 2025年第2期180-186,共7页
配电台区售电量预测过程中,只能捕捉到序列数据的级别分量和趋势分量,使得预测结果的均方根误差(RMSE)较高。因此,提出基于Holt-Winters法的配电台区售电量预测方法。采集历史售电数据,并通过小波分解重构算法,完成历史售电数据的降噪... 配电台区售电量预测过程中,只能捕捉到序列数据的级别分量和趋势分量,使得预测结果的均方根误差(RMSE)较高。因此,提出基于Holt-Winters法的配电台区售电量预测方法。采集历史售电数据,并通过小波分解重构算法,完成历史售电数据的降噪处理。利用Holt-Winters指数平滑策略对数据序列展开加权平均移动分析,以时间卷积网络为核心搭建预测模型,针对输入的特征组合进行分析即可得到配电台区售电量预测结果。实验结果表明:应用所提方法得到的配电台区售电量预测值均方根误差为0.04,基本满足了售电量精准预测要求。 展开更多
关键词 holt-winters 售电量 配电台区 相似日 小波变换
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PID Steering Control Method of Agricultural Robot Based on Fusion of Particle Swarm Optimization and Genetic Algorithm
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作者 ZHAO Longlian ZHANG Jiachuang +2 位作者 LI Mei DONG Zhicheng LI Junhui 《农业机械学报》 北大核心 2026年第1期358-367,共10页
Aiming to solve the steering instability and hysteresis of agricultural robots in the process of movement,a fusion PID control method of particle swarm optimization(PSO)and genetic algorithm(GA)was proposed.The fusion... Aiming to solve the steering instability and hysteresis of agricultural robots in the process of movement,a fusion PID control method of particle swarm optimization(PSO)and genetic algorithm(GA)was proposed.The fusion algorithm took advantage of the fast optimization ability of PSO to optimize the population screening link of GA.The Simulink simulation results showed that the convergence of the fitness function of the fusion algorithm was accelerated,the system response adjustment time was reduced,and the overshoot was almost zero.Then the algorithm was applied to the steering test of agricultural robot in various scenes.After modeling the steering system of agricultural robot,the steering test results in the unloaded suspended state showed that the PID control based on fusion algorithm reduced the rise time,response adjustment time and overshoot of the system,and improved the response speed and stability of the system,compared with the artificial trial and error PID control and the PID control based on GA.The actual road steering test results showed that the PID control response rise time based on the fusion algorithm was the shortest,about 4.43 s.When the target pulse number was set to 100,the actual mean value in the steady-state regulation stage was about 102.9,which was the closest to the target value among the three control methods,and the overshoot was reduced at the same time.The steering test results under various scene states showed that the PID control based on the proposed fusion algorithm had good anti-interference ability,it can adapt to the changes of environment and load and improve the performance of the control system.It was effective in the steering control of agricultural robot.This method can provide a reference for the precise steering control of other robots. 展开更多
关键词 agricultural robot steering PID control particle swarm optimization algorithm genetic algorithm
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TWO PARALLEL ALGORITHMS FOR A CLASS OF SPLIT COMMON SOLUTION PROBLEMS
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作者 Truong Minh TUYEN Nguyen Thi TRANG Tran Thi HUONG 《Acta Mathematica Scientia》 2026年第1期505-518,共14页
We study the split common solution problem with multiple output sets for monotone operator equations in Hilbert spaces.To solve this problem,we propose two new parallel algorithms.We establish a weak convergence theor... We study the split common solution problem with multiple output sets for monotone operator equations in Hilbert spaces.To solve this problem,we propose two new parallel algorithms.We establish a weak convergence theorem for the first and a strong convergence theorem for the second. 展开更多
关键词 iterative algorithm Hilbert space metric projection proximal point algorithm
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Gekko Japonicus Algorithm:A Novel Nature-inspired Algorithm for Engineering Problems and Path Planning
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作者 Ke Zhang Hongyang Zhao +2 位作者 Xingdong Li Chengjin Fu Jing Jin 《Journal of Bionic Engineering》 2026年第1期431-471,共41页
This paper introduces a novel nature-inspired metaheuristic algorithm called the Gekko japonicus algorithm.The algo-rithm draws inspiration mainly from the predation strategies and survival behaviors of the Gekko japo... This paper introduces a novel nature-inspired metaheuristic algorithm called the Gekko japonicus algorithm.The algo-rithm draws inspiration mainly from the predation strategies and survival behaviors of the Gekko japonicus.The math-ematical model is developed by simulating various biological behaviors of the Gekko japonicus,such as hybrid loco-motion patterns,directional olfactory guidance,implicit group advantage tendencies,and the tail autotomy mechanism.By integrating multi-stage mutual constraints and dynamically adjusting parameters,GJA maintains an optimal balance between global exploration and local exploitation,thereby effectively solving complex optimization problems.To assess the performance of GJA,comparative analyses were performed against fourteen state-of-the-art metaheuristic algorithms using the CEC2017 and CEC2022 benchmark test sets.Additionally,a Friedman test was performed on the experimen-tal results to assess the statistical significance of differences between various algorithms.And GJA was evaluated using multiple qualitative indicators,further confirming its superiority in exploration and exploitation.Finally,GJA was utilized to solve four engineering optimization problems and further implemented in robotic path planning to verify its practical applicability.Experimental results indicate that,compared to other high-performance algorithms,GJA demonstrates excep-tional performance as a powerful optimization algorithm in complex optimization problems.We make the code publicly available at:https://github.com/zhy1109/Gekko-japonicusalgorithm. 展开更多
关键词 Gekko japonicus algorithm Metaheuristic algorithm Exploration and exploitation Engineering optimization Path planning
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A Quantum-Inspired Algorithm for Clustering and Intrusion Detection
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作者 Gang Xu Lefeng Wang +5 位作者 Yuwei Huang Yong Lu Xin Liu Weijie Tan Zongpeng Li Xiu-Bo Chen 《Computers, Materials & Continua》 2026年第4期1180-1215,共36页
The Intrusion Detection System(IDS)is a security mechanism developed to observe network traffic and recognize suspicious or malicious activities.Clustering algorithms are often incorporated into IDS;however,convention... The Intrusion Detection System(IDS)is a security mechanism developed to observe network traffic and recognize suspicious or malicious activities.Clustering algorithms are often incorporated into IDS;however,conventional clustering-based methods face notable drawbacks,including poor scalability in handling high-dimensional datasets and a strong dependence of outcomes on initial conditions.To overcome the performance limitations of existing methods,this study proposes a novel quantum-inspired clustering algorithm that relies on a similarity coefficient-based quantum genetic algorithm(SC-QGA)and an improved quantum artificial bee colony algorithm hybrid K-means(IQABC-K).First,the SC-QGA algorithmis constructed based on quantum computing and integrates similarity coefficient theory to strengthen genetic diversity and feature extraction capabilities.For the subsequent clustering phase,the process based on the IQABC-K algorithm is enhanced with the core improvement of adaptive rotation gate and movement exploitation strategies to balance the exploration capabilities of global search and the exploitation capabilities of local search.Simultaneously,the acceleration of convergence toward the global optimum and a reduction in computational complexity are facilitated by means of the global optimum bootstrap strategy and a linear population reduction strategy.Through experimental evaluation with multiple algorithms and diverse performance metrics,the proposed algorithm confirms reliable accuracy on three datasets:KDD CUP99,NSL_KDD,and UNSW_NB15,achieving accuracy of 98.57%,98.81%,and 98.32%,respectively.These results affirm its potential as an effective solution for practical clustering applications. 展开更多
关键词 Intrusion detection CLUSTERING quantum artificial bee colony algorithm K-MEANS quantum genetic algorithm
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Information Diffusion Models and Fuzzing Algorithms for a Privacy-Aware Data Transmission Scheduling in 6G Heterogeneous ad hoc Networks
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作者 Borja Bordel Sánchez Ramón Alcarria Tomás Robles 《Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences》 2026年第2期1214-1234,共21页
In this paper,we propose a new privacy-aware transmission scheduling algorithm for 6G ad hoc networks.This system enables end nodes to select the optimum time and scheme to transmit private data safely.In 6G dynamic h... In this paper,we propose a new privacy-aware transmission scheduling algorithm for 6G ad hoc networks.This system enables end nodes to select the optimum time and scheme to transmit private data safely.In 6G dynamic heterogeneous infrastructures,unstable links and non-uniform hardware capabilities create critical issues regarding security and privacy.Traditional protocols are often too computationally heavy to allow 6G services to achieve their expected Quality-of-Service(QoS).As the transport network is built of ad hoc nodes,there is no guarantee about their trustworthiness or behavior,and transversal functionalities are delegated to the extreme nodes.However,while security can be guaranteed in extreme-to-extreme solutions,privacy cannot,as all intermediate nodes still have to handle the data packets they are transporting.Besides,traditional schemes for private anonymous ad hoc communications are vulnerable against modern intelligent attacks based on learning models.The proposed scheme fulfills this gap.Findings show the probability of a successful intelligent attack reduces by up to 65%compared to ad hoc networks with no privacy protection strategy when used the proposed technology.While congestion probability can remain below 0.001%,as required in 6G services. 展开更多
关键词 6G networks ad hoc networks PRIVACY scheduling algorithms diffusion models fuzzing algorithms
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Integrated diagnosis of abnormal energy consumption in converter steelmaking using GWO-SVM-K-means algorithms
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作者 Fei-Xiang Dai Xiang-Jun Bao +2 位作者 Lu Zhang Xiao-Jing Yang Guang Chen 《Journal of Iron and Steel Research International》 2026年第1期458-468,共11页
To address the issue of abnormal energy consumption fluctuations in the converter steelmaking process,an integrated diagnostic method combining the gray wolf optimization(GWO)algorithm,support vector machine(SVM),and ... To address the issue of abnormal energy consumption fluctuations in the converter steelmaking process,an integrated diagnostic method combining the gray wolf optimization(GWO)algorithm,support vector machine(SVM),and K-means clustering was proposed.Eight input parameters—derived from molten iron conditions and external factors—were selected as feature variables.A GWO-SVM model was developed to accurately predict the energy consumption of individual heats.Based on the prediction results,the mean absolute percentage error and maximum relative error of the test set were employed as criteria to identify heats with abnormal energy usage.For these heats,the K-means clustering algorithm was used to determine benchmark values of influencing factors from similar steel grades,enabling root-cause diagnosis of excessive energy consumption.The proposed method was applied to real production data from a converter in a steel plant.The analysis reveals that heat sample No.44 exhibits abnormal energy consumption,due to gas recovery being 1430.28 kg of standard coal below the benchmark level.A secondary contributing factor is a steam recovery shortfall of 237.99 kg of standard coal.This integrated approach offers a scientifically grounded tool for energy management in converter operations and provides valuable guidance for optimizing process parameters and enhancing energy efficiency. 展开更多
关键词 Converter smelting process Abnormal energy diagnosis Gray wolf optimization algorithm Support vector machine K-means clustering algorithm
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Pigeon-Inspired Optimization Algorithm:Definition,Variants,and Its Applications in Unmanned Aerial Vehicles
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作者 Yu-Xuan Zhou Kai-Qing Zhou +2 位作者 Wei-Lin Chen Zhou-Hua Liao Di-Wen Kang 《Computers, Materials & Continua》 2026年第4期186-225,共40页
ThePigeon-InspiredOptimization(PIO)algorithmconstitutes ametaheuristic method derived fromthe homing behaviour of pigeons.Initially formulated for three-dimensional path planning in unmanned aerial vehicles(UAVs),the ... ThePigeon-InspiredOptimization(PIO)algorithmconstitutes ametaheuristic method derived fromthe homing behaviour of pigeons.Initially formulated for three-dimensional path planning in unmanned aerial vehicles(UAVs),the algorithmhas attracted considerable academic and industrial interest owing to its effective balance between exploration and exploitation,coupled with advantages in real-time performance and robustness.Nevertheless,as applications have diversified,limitations in convergence precision and a tendency toward premature convergence have become increasingly evident,highlighting a need for improvement.This reviewsystematically outlines the developmental trajectory of the PIO algorithm,with a particular focus on its core applications in UAV navigation,multi-objective formulations,and a spectrum of variantmodels that have emerged in recent years.It offers a structured analysis of the foundational principles underlying the PIO.It conducts a comparative assessment of various performance-enhanced versions,including hybrid models that integrate mechanisms from other optimization paradigms.Additionally,the strengths andweaknesses of distinct PIOvariants are critically examined frommultiple perspectives,including intrinsic algorithmic characteristics,suitability for specific application scenarios,objective function design,and the rigor of the statistical evaluation methodologies employed in empirical studies.Finally,this paper identifies principal challenges within current PIO research and proposes several prospective research directions.Future work should focus on mitigating premature convergence by refining the two-phase search structure and adjusting the exponential decrease of individual numbers during the landmark operator.Enhancing parameter adaptation strategies,potentially using reinforcement learning for dynamic tuning,and advancing theoretical analyses on convergence and complexity are also critical.Further applications should be explored in constrained path planning,Neural Architecture Search(NAS),and other real-worldmulti-objective problems.For Multi-objective PIO(MPIO),key improvements include controlling the growth of the external archive and designing more effective selection mechanisms to maintain convergence efficiency.These efforts are expected to strengthen both the theoretical foundation and practical versatility of PIO and its variants. 展开更多
关键词 Pigeon-inspired optimization metaheuristic algorithm algorithmvariants swarmintelligence VARIANTS UAVS convergence analysis
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Optimizing Resource Allocation in Blockchain Networks Using Neural Genetic Algorithm
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作者 Malvinder Singh Bali Weiwei Jiang +2 位作者 Saurav Verma Kanwalpreet Kour Ashwini Rao 《Computers, Materials & Continua》 2026年第2期1580-1598,共19页
In recent years,Blockchain Technology has become a paradigm shift,providing Transparent,Secure,and Decentralized platforms for diverse applications,ranging from Cryptocurrency to supply chain management.Nevertheless,t... In recent years,Blockchain Technology has become a paradigm shift,providing Transparent,Secure,and Decentralized platforms for diverse applications,ranging from Cryptocurrency to supply chain management.Nevertheless,the optimization of blockchain networks remains a critical challenge due to persistent issues such as latency,scalability,and energy consumption.This study proposes an innovative approach to Blockchain network optimization,drawing inspiration from principles of biological evolution and natural selection through evolutionary algorithms.Specifically,we explore the application of genetic algorithms,particle swarm optimization,and related evolutionary techniques to enhance the performance of blockchain networks.The proposed methodologies aim to optimize consensus mechanisms,improve transaction throughput,and reduce resource consumption.Through extensive simulations and real-world experiments,our findings demonstrate significant improvements in network efficiency,scalability,and stability.This research offers a thorough analysis of existing optimization techniques,introduces novel strategies,and assesses their efficacy based on empirical outputs. 展开更多
关键词 Blockchain technology energy efficiency environmental impact evolutionary algorithms optimization
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Automatic Recognition Algorithm of Pavement Defects Based on S3M and SDI Modules Using UAV-Collected Road Images
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作者 Hongcheng Zhao Tong Yang +1 位作者 Yihui Hu Fengxiang Guo 《Structural Durability & Health Monitoring》 2026年第1期121-137,共17页
With the rapid development of transportation infrastructure,ensuring road safety through timely and accurate highway inspection has become increasingly critical.Traditional manual inspection methods are not only time-... With the rapid development of transportation infrastructure,ensuring road safety through timely and accurate highway inspection has become increasingly critical.Traditional manual inspection methods are not only time-consuming and labor-intensive,but they also struggle to provide consistent,high-precision detection and realtime monitoring of pavement surface defects.To overcome these limitations,we propose an Automatic Recognition of PavementDefect(ARPD)algorithm,which leverages unmanned aerial vehicle(UAV)-based aerial imagery to automate the inspection process.The ARPD framework incorporates a backbone network based on the Selective State Space Model(S3M),which is designed to capture long-range temporal dependencies.This enables effective modeling of dynamic correlations among redundant and often repetitive structures commonly found in road imagery.Furthermore,a neck structure based on Semantics and Detail Infusion(SDI)is introduced to guide cross-scale feature fusion.The SDI module enhances the integration of low-level spatial details with high-level semantic cues,thereby improving feature expressiveness and defect localization accuracy.Experimental evaluations demonstrate that theARPDalgorithm achieves a mean average precision(mAP)of 86.1%on a custom-labeled pavement defect dataset,outperforming the state-of-the-art YOLOv11 segmentation model.The algorithm also maintains strong generalization ability on public datasets.These results confirm that ARPD is well-suited for diverse real-world applications in intelligent,large-scale highway defect monitoring and maintenance planning. 展开更多
关键词 Pavement defects state space model UAV detection algorithm image processing
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Flood predictions from metrics to classes by multiple machine learning algorithms coupling with clustering-deduced membership degree
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作者 ZHAI Xiaoyan ZHANG Yongyong +5 位作者 XIA Jun ZHANG Yongqiang TANG Qiuhong SHAO Quanxi CHEN Junxu ZHANG Fan 《Journal of Geographical Sciences》 2026年第1期149-176,共28页
Accurate prediction of flood events is important for flood control and risk management.Machine learning techniques contributed greatly to advances in flood predictions,and existing studies mainly focused on predicting... Accurate prediction of flood events is important for flood control and risk management.Machine learning techniques contributed greatly to advances in flood predictions,and existing studies mainly focused on predicting flood resource variables using single or hybrid machine learning techniques.However,class-based flood predictions have rarely been investigated,which can aid in quickly diagnosing comprehensive flood characteristics and proposing targeted management strategies.This study proposed a prediction approach of flood regime metrics and event classes coupling machine learning algorithms with clustering-deduced membership degrees.Five algorithms were adopted for this exploration.Results showed that the class membership degrees accurately determined event classes with class hit rates up to 100%,compared with the four classes clustered from nine regime metrics.The nonlinear algorithms(Multiple Linear Regression,Random Forest,and least squares-Support Vector Machine)outperformed the linear techniques(Multiple Linear Regression and Stepwise Regression)in predicting flood regime metrics.The proposed approach well predicted flood event classes with average class hit rates of 66.0%-85.4%and 47.2%-76.0%in calibration and validation periods,respectively,particularly for the slow and late flood events.The predictive capability of the proposed prediction approach for flood regime metrics and classes was considerably stronger than that of hydrological modeling approach. 展开更多
关键词 flood regime metrics class prediction machine learning algorithms hydrological model
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Structural Reliability Analysis Based on Differential Evolution Algorithm and Hypersphere Integration
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作者 CHEN Zhenzhong HAN Zhuo +4 位作者 WANG Peiyu PAN Qianghua LI Xiaoke GAN Xuehui CHEN Ge 《Journal of Donghua University(English Edition)》 2026年第1期118-130,共13页
In reliability analyses,the absence of a priori information on the most probable point of failure(MPP)may result in overlooking critical points,thereby leading to biased assessment outcomes.Moreover,second-order relia... In reliability analyses,the absence of a priori information on the most probable point of failure(MPP)may result in overlooking critical points,thereby leading to biased assessment outcomes.Moreover,second-order reliability methods exhibit limited accuracy in highly nonlinear scenarios.To overcome these challenges,a novel reliability analysis strategy based on a multimodal differential evolution algorithm and a hypersphere integration method is proposed.Initially,the penalty function method is employed to reformulate the MPP search problem as a conditionally constrained optimization task.Subsequently,a differential evolution algorithm incorporating a population delineation strategy is utilized to identify all MPPs.Finally,a paraboloid equation is constructed based on the curvature of the limit-state function at the MPPs,and the failure probability of the structure is calculated by using the hypersphere integration method.The localization effectiveness of the MPPs is compared through multiple numerical cases and two engineering examples,with accuracy comparisons of failure probabilities against the first-order reliability method(FORM)and the secondorder reliability method(SORM).The results indicate that the method effectively identifies existing MPPs and achieves higher solution precision. 展开更多
关键词 reliability analysis design point positioning differential evolution algorithm hypersphere integration
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Equivalent Modeling with Passive Filter Parameter Clustering for Photovoltaic Power Stations Based on a Particle Swarm Optimization K-Means Algorithm
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作者 Binjiang Hu Yihua Zhu +3 位作者 Liang Tu Zun Ma Xian Meng Kewei Xu 《Energy Engineering》 2026年第1期431-459,共29页
This paper proposes an equivalent modeling method for photovoltaic(PV)power stations via a particle swarm optimization(PSO)K-means clustering(KMC)algorithm with passive filter parameter clustering to address the compl... This paper proposes an equivalent modeling method for photovoltaic(PV)power stations via a particle swarm optimization(PSO)K-means clustering(KMC)algorithm with passive filter parameter clustering to address the complexities,simulation time cost and convergence problems of detailed PV power station models.First,the amplitude–frequency curves of different filter parameters are analyzed.Based on the results,a grouping parameter set for characterizing the external filter characteristics is established.These parameters are further defined as clustering parameters.A single PV inverter model is then established as a prerequisite foundation.The proposed equivalent method combines the global search capability of PSO with the rapid convergence of KMC,effectively overcoming the tendency of KMC to become trapped in local optima.This approach enhances both clustering accuracy and numerical stability when determining equivalence for PV inverter units.Using the proposed clustering method,both a detailed PV power station model and an equivalent model are developed and compared.Simulation and hardwarein-loop(HIL)results based on the equivalent model verify that the equivalent method accurately represents the dynamic characteristics of PVpower stations and adapts well to different operating conditions.The proposed equivalent modeling method provides an effective analysis tool for future renewable energy integration research. 展开更多
关键词 Photovoltaic power station multi-machine equivalentmodeling particle swarmoptimization K-means clustering algorithm
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MWaOA:A Bio-Inspired Metaheuristic Algorithm for Resource Allocation in Internet of Things
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作者 Rekha Phadke Abdul Lateef Haroon Phulara Shaik +3 位作者 Dayanidhi Mohapatra Doaa Sami Khafaga Eman Abdullah Aldakheel N.Sathyanarayana 《Computers, Materials & Continua》 2026年第2期1285-1310,共26页
Recently,the Internet of Things(IoT)technology has been utilized in a wide range of services and applications which significantly transforms digital ecosystems through seamless interconnectivity between various smart ... Recently,the Internet of Things(IoT)technology has been utilized in a wide range of services and applications which significantly transforms digital ecosystems through seamless interconnectivity between various smart devices.Furthermore,the IoT plays a key role in multiple domains,including industrial automation,smart homes,and intelligent transportation systems.However,an increasing number of connected devices presents significant challenges related to efficient resource allocation and system responsiveness.To address these issue,this research proposes a Modified Walrus Optimization Algorithm(MWaOA)for effective resource management in smart IoT systems.In the proposed MWaOA,a crowding process is incorporated to maintain diversity and avoid premature convergence thereby enhancing the global search capability.During resource allocation,the MWaOA prevents early convergence,which aids in achieving a better balance between the exploration and exploitation phases during optimization.Empirical evaluations show that the MWaOA reduces energy consumption by approximately 4% to 34%and minimizes the response time by 6% to 33% across different service arrival rates.Compared to traditional optimization algorithms,MWaOA reduces energy consumption by 5% to 30%and minimizes the response time by 4% to 28% across different simulation epochs.The proposed MWaOA provides adaptive and robust resource allocation,thereby minimizing transmission cost while considering network constraints and real-time performance parameters. 展开更多
关键词 Delay GATEWAY internet of things resource allocation resource management walrus optimization algorithm
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