The discrepancy in the trends of the global zonal mean(GZM)intensity of the Hadley circulation(HCI)between reanalysis data and model simulations has been a problem for understanding the changes in HCI and the influenc...The discrepancy in the trends of the global zonal mean(GZM)intensity of the Hadley circulation(HCI)between reanalysis data and model simulations has been a problem for understanding the changes in HCI and the influence of external forcings.To understand the reason for this discrepancy,this study investigates the trends of intensity of regional HCI of the Northern Hemisphere over the eastern Pacific(EPA),western Pacific(WPA),Atlantic(ATL),Africa(AFR),the Indian Ocean(IDO),and residual area(RA),based on six reanalysis datasets and 13 CMIP6 models.In reanalysis data,the trends in regional HCI over EPA and ATL(WPA and AFR)contribute to(partially offset)the increasing trend in GZM HCI,while the trends in regional HCI over IDO are different in different reanalysis data.The CMIP6 models skillfully reproduce the trends in regional HCI over EPA,ATL,WPA,and AFR,but simulate notable decreasing trends in regional HCI over IDO,which is a key reason for the opposite trends in GZM HCI between reanalysis data and models.The discrepancy in IDO can be attributed to differences in the simulation of diabatic heating and zonal friction between reanalysis data and models.Optimal fingerprint analysis indicates that anthropogenic(ANT)and non-greenhouse gas(NOGHG)forcings are the dominant drivers of the HCI trends in the EPA and ATL regions.In the WPA(AFR)region,NOGHG(ANT)forcing serves as the primary driver.The findings contribute to improving the representation of regional HCI trends in models and improving the attribution of external forcings.展开更多
The Hadley Circulation(HC),a fundamental component of global atmospheric circulation,plays an important role in the global energy balance and transport of moisture.The interaction between ENSO and the HC significantly...The Hadley Circulation(HC),a fundamental component of global atmospheric circulation,plays an important role in the global energy balance and transport of moisture.The interaction between ENSO and the HC significantly impacts tropical climate and has broad implications for global climate variability through atmospheric teleconnections.The HC is usually represented by the mass stream function.As a result,it can rarely be observed through in-situ measurement.Reanalysis datasets and CMIP models are frequently used to investigate the properties of the HC.Previous studies systematically assess the capability of these CMIP models to represent the spatial distribution and intensity of the HC anomalies associated with ENSO events.However,most of these studies investigate the HC anomaly from a global perspective.In this work,we focus on evaluating the ability of CMIP6 models to capture the three-dimensional features of ENSO-related HC anomalies in comparison to that in six reanalysis datasets.Results show a consistent westward shift of the ENSO-related HC over the tropical Central-Eastern Pacific in almost all CMIP6 models,accompanied by a weakening of the asymmetric component of the ENSO-related HC over the equatorial Pacific.The former is mainly attributed to the westward extension of the Pacific cold tongue in CMIP models,while the latter is more related to the southward shift of the ENSO-related SST and precipitation anomalies in CMIP models.One should be aware of these biases when studying the ENSO-related atmospheric circulation changes.Our study has broad implications for ENSO simulations and the predictability of ENSO-related global climate variabilities.展开更多
Based on NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data, the interdecadal variability of Hadley circulation （HC） and its association with East Asian temperature in winter are investigated. Results indicate that the Northern Hemisphere w...Based on NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data, the interdecadal variability of Hadley circulation （HC） and its association with East Asian temperature in winter are investigated. Results indicate that the Northern Hemisphere winter HC underwent apparent change in the 1970s, with transition occurring around 1976/77. Along with interdecadal variability of HC, its linkage to surface air temperature （SAT） in East Asia also varied decadally, from weak relations to strong relations. Such a change may be related to the interaction between HC and the atmospheric circulation system over the Philippines, which is associated with the East Asian winter monsoon （EAWM）. Before the 1970s, the connection between HC and the anticyclonic circulation around the Philippines was insignificant, but after the late 1970s their linkage entered a strong regime. The intensification of this connection may therefore be responsible for the strong relations between HC and East Asian winter temperatures after the late 1970s.展开更多
How the Hadley circulation changes in response to global climate change and how its change impacts upon regional and global climates has generated a lot of interest in the literature in the past few years. In this pap...How the Hadley circulation changes in response to global climate change and how its change impacts upon regional and global climates has generated a lot of interest in the literature in the past few years. In this paper, consistent and statistically significant poleward expansion of the Hadley circulation in the past few decades is demonstrated, using independent observational datasets as proxy measures of the Hadley circulation. Both observational outgoing longwave radiation and precipitation datasets show an annual average total poleward expansion of the Hadley cells of about 3.6° latitude. Sea level pressure from observational and reanalysis datasets show smaller magnitudes of poleward expansion, of about 1.2° latitude. Ensemble general circulation model simulations forced by observed time-varying sea surface temperatures were found to generate a total poleward expansion of about 1.23°latitude. Possible mechanisms behind the changes in the horizontal extent of the Hadley circulation are discussed.展开更多
Observational analyses have demonstrated that the Hadley circulation has expanded poleward in recent decades. Important issues are what caused the widening of the Hadley circulation and whether the observed widening i...Observational analyses have demonstrated that the Hadley circulation has expanded poleward in recent decades. Important issues are what caused the widening of the Hadley circulation and whether the observed widening is related to anthropogenic forcing. In the present study, we use currently available simulations of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase-5 （CMIP5） to analyze changes in the width of the Hadley circulation. It is found that CMIP5 historical simulations with greenhouse gas （GHG） forcing generate a total widening of ,-0.15°±0.06°in latitude （10 yr）-1 for the period 1979-2005, and the widening in CMIP5 historical simulations with all forcings is -0.17°± 0.06° per decade. Similar to that in CMIP3, the simulated poleward expansion in CMIP5 is much weaker than the observational reanalyses. In CMIP5 projection simulations for the 21st century, magnitudes of widening of the Hadley circulation increase with radiative forcing. For the extreme projected radiative forcing of RCP8.5, the total annual-mean widening of the Hadley circulation is -0.27°±0.04° （10 yr）-1 in the 21st century. Although CMIP5 underestimates observed poleward expansion of the Hadley circulation, the results of this study suggest that the observed trends in the width of the Hadley circulation are caused by anthropogenic forcing and that increasing GHGs play an important role in the observed poleward expansion of the Hadley circulation, in addition to other foreings emphasized in previous studies.展开更多
The tropical Hadley circulation （HC） plays an important role in influencing the climate in the tropics and extra-tropics. The realism of the climatological characteristics, spatial structure, and temporal evolution ...The tropical Hadley circulation （HC） plays an important role in influencing the climate in the tropics and extra-tropics. The realism of the climatological characteristics, spatial structure, and temporal evolution of the long-term variation of the principal mode of the annual mean HC （i.e., the equatorially asymmetric mode, EAM） was examined in model simulations from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 （CMIP5）. The results showed that all the models are moderately successful in capturing the HC＇s climatological features, including the spatial pattern, meridional extent, and intensity, but not the spatial or temporal variation of the EAM. The possible reasons for the poor simulation of the long-term variability of the EAM were explored. None of the models can successfully capture the differences in the warming rate between the tropical Southern Hemisphere （SH） and Northern Hemisphere （NH）, which is considered to be an important driver for the variation of the AM. Most of the models produce a faster warming in the NH than in the SH, which is the reverse of the observed trend. This leads to a reversed trend in the meridional gradient between the SH and NH, and contributes to the poor simulation of EAM variability. Thus, this aspect of the models should be improved to provide better simulations of the variability of the HC. This study suggests a possible reason for the poor simulation of the HC, which may be helpful for improving the skill of the CMIP5 models in the future.展开更多
A discussion of the mass transport of the Hadley circulation is presented, with regard to its longitudinal structure. Data from the NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data set for the period 1948-2005 is examined, focusing on the s...A discussion of the mass transport of the Hadley circulation is presented, with regard to its longitudinal structure. Data from the NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data set for the period 1948-2005 is examined, focusing on the solsticial seasons of June-August and December-February. Quantitative estimates have been extracted from the data to observe connections between the zonal mean of the upper tropospheric north/south mass transports and their relationship to the driving factor of tropical precipitation （implying latent heat release） and subsidence in the subtropical high pressure belts. The longitudinal structure of this flow is then examined with regard to these three main variables. The poleward upper tropospheric transport has four （JJA） or three （DJF） main branches, which link regions of major precipitation with corresponding regions of large subsidence, and one （June, July, August） or two （December, January, February） reverse branches. This structure has remained stable over the past sixty years. Although the total upper tropospheric transport in each season is less than the total sinking transport in the target subtropical high pressure belt, this does not apply to the individual branches, the balance being made up by the upper tropospheric reverse transports. An analysis of correlations between all of these various components shows, however, that the complete picture is more complex, with some precipitation regions being linked to subsidence regions outside their own branch.展开更多
The 1979-2001 ERA-40 monthly mean meridional winds are used to calculate the mass streamfunctions in the monsoon region (60-140° E) and Nio zone (160° E-120° W),with which the climate characteristics an...The 1979-2001 ERA-40 monthly mean meridional winds are used to calculate the mass streamfunctions in the monsoon region (60-140° E) and Nio zone (160° E-120° W),with which the climate characteristics and intensity variation of the localized Hadley circulation (LHC) are analyzed over the two regions and the linkage of this LHC to Pacific SST is explored.Evidence suggests as follows.1) The climatological LHC is stronger in the monsoon than in the Nio zone,with its position in the former northward of the latter,especially in the summer half-year.The resulting difference is due mainly to the land-sea heterogeneous distribution and the existence of a cold pool in the equatorial eastern Pacific.2) The LHC experiences a distinct interannual variability in intensity and during 1979-2001 the LHC strength of the two regions changes broadly in an anti-phase manner.3) The LHC has its intensity associated closely with Pacific SST in such a way that its strength anomaly in the monsoon (Nio) band in January is correlated negatively (positively) with the SSTA over the all-Nio (1-4) zone (ANZ) in the equatorial middle and eastern Pacific but positively (negatively) correlated to SSTA in the C-shaped area that surrounds the ANZ.The pattern of July is in rough agreement with that of January,except for more feeble correlativity in July,especially over the monsoon region;4) The ENSO episode has different impacts on the LHC vigor in the two regions.With the occurrence of an El Nio,the LHC is weakened (strengthened) in the monsoon (Nio) region,and the reversal takes place during the La Nia year,with greater anomaly in the Nio area.展开更多
The interannual variability of the boreal winter Hadley circulation extents during the period of 1979e2014 and its links to El Ni^no-Southern Oscillation(ENSO) were investigated by using reanalysis datasets. Results s...The interannual variability of the boreal winter Hadley circulation extents during the period of 1979e2014 and its links to El Ni^no-Southern Oscillation(ENSO) were investigated by using reanalysis datasets. Results showed that the El Ni^no(La Ni^na) events can induce the shrinking(expansion) of Hadley circulation extent in the Southern Hemisphere. For the Northern Hemisphere, El Ni^no(La Ni^na) mainly leads to shrinking(expansion) of the Hadley circulation extent in the middle and lower troposphere and expansion(shrinking) of the Hadley circulation extent in the upper troposphere. The ENSO associated meridional temperature gradients have close relationship with the Hadley circulation extents in both Hemispheres. But in the Northern Hemisphere, the ENSO associated eddy momentum flux divergence plays more important role in affecting the Hadley circulation extent than the meridional temperature gradient because of the small local Rossby number. In the Southern Hemisphere, as the ENSO induced eddy momentum flux divergence is small, the meridional temperature gradient dominates the change of the Hadley circulation extent.展开更多
The seasonal and interannual variability of zonal mean Hadley circulation are analyzed, and the important effects of sea surface temperature(SST), especially the tropical Pacific SST, on the meridional circulation are...The seasonal and interannual variability of zonal mean Hadley circulation are analyzed, and the important effects of sea surface temperature(SST), especially the tropical Pacific SST, on the meridional circulation are discussed. Following results are obtained: 1) the Hadley circulation presents a single clockwise(anticlockwise) cross-equator circulation in the Northern(Southern) Hemisphere winter,while it is a double-ring-shaped circulation quasi-symmetric about the equator in spring and autumn. The annual mean state just indicates the residual of the Hadley cell in winter and summer. 2) The first mode of interannual anomalies shows a single cell crossing the equator like the climatology in winter and summer but with narrower width. The second mode shows a double ring-shaped cell quasi-symmetric about the equator which is similar to the Hadley cell in spring or autumn. 3) Vertical motion of the Hadley circulation is driven by sea surface temperature(SST) through latent and sensible heat in the tropics, and the interannual anomalies are mainly driven by the SST anomaly(SSTa) in the tropical Pacific. 4) The meridional gradient of SSTa is well consistent with the lower meridional wind of Hadley circulation in the interannual part. For the spatial distribution, the meridional gradient of SSTa in the Pacific plays a major role for the first two modes while the effects of the Indian Ocean and the Atlantic Ocean can be ignored.展开更多
Using 26 climate models from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5(CMIP5), climatology and the interannual variability of the annual mean Hadley circulation are evaluated. The results show that most of 26 ...Using 26 climate models from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5(CMIP5), climatology and the interannual variability of the annual mean Hadley circulation are evaluated. The results show that most of 26 models perform well in simulating the spatial structure of the climatology of the annual mean Hadley circulation, but the results derived from these models are generally weaker than that derived from the reanalysis dataset. Eighteen models can properly simulate well the asymmetric mode and symmetric mode of the annual mean Hadley circulation variability. Two models can only simulate asymmetric mode or symmetric mode and the other two models simulate reversed sequences of asymmetric mode and symmetric mode.The possible reason why some models cannot properly simulate the asymmetric mode and symmetric mode is that these models do not properly simulate the structure of zonal mean sea surface temperature(SST). Especially, not properly simulating variances of symmetric and asymmetric components of the SSTA will lead to reversed sequence of symmetric mode and asymmetric mode. And not properly simulated either symmetric or asymmetric component of the SSTA will lead to inability in simulating symmetric mode or asymmetric mode. On the other hand, some models properly simulate the asymmetric mode and symmetric mode, but do not properly simulate the responses to SST change.These models can not reflect the air sea coupling processes in associated with the Hadley circulation, therefore they should be taken more care when classify the models into groups.展开更多
Based on the three-pattern decomposition of global atmospheric circulation(TPDGAC), this study investigates the double-layer structure of the Hadley circulation(HC) and its interdecadal evolution characteristics by us...Based on the three-pattern decomposition of global atmospheric circulation(TPDGAC), this study investigates the double-layer structure of the Hadley circulation(HC) and its interdecadal evolution characteristics by using monthly horizontal wind field from NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data from 1948—2011. The following major conclusions are drawn: First, the double-layer structure of the HC is an objective fact, and it constantly exists in April,May, June, October and November in the Southern Hemisphere. Second, the double-layer structure is more obvious in the Southern than in the Northern Hemisphere. Since the double-layer structure is sloped in the vertical direction, it should be taken into consideration when analyzing the variations of the strength and location of the center of the HC.Third, the strength of the double-layer structure of the HC in the Southern Hemisphere consistently exhibits decadal variations with a strong, weak and strong pattern in all five months(April, May, June, October, and November), with cycles of 20-30 a and 40-60 a. Fourth, the center of the HC(mean position of the double-layer structure) in the Southern Hemisphere consistently and remarkably shifts southward in all the five months. The net poleward shifts over the 64 years are 5.18°, 2.11°, 2.50°, 1.79° and 5.76° for the five respective months, with a mean shift of 3.47°.展开更多
El Nino-Southern Oscillation(ENSO),the leading mode of global interannual variability,usually intensifies the Hadley Circulation(HC),and meanwhile constrains its meridional extension,leading to an equatorward movement...El Nino-Southern Oscillation(ENSO),the leading mode of global interannual variability,usually intensifies the Hadley Circulation(HC),and meanwhile constrains its meridional extension,leading to an equatorward movement of the jet system.Previous studies have investigated the response of HC to ENSO events using different reanalysis datasets and evaluated their capability in capturing the main features of ENSO-associated HC anomalies.However,these studies mainly focused on the global HC,represented by a zonal-mean mass stream function(MSF).Comparatively fewer studies have evaluated HC responses from a regional perspective,partly due to the prerequisite of the Stokes MSF,which prevents us from integrating a regional HC.In this study,we adopt a recently developed technique to construct the three-dimensional structure of HC and evaluate the capability of eight state-of-the-art reanalyses in reproducing the regional HC response to ENSO events.Results show that all eight reanalyses reproduce the spatial structure of HC responses well,with an intensified HC around the central-eastern Pacific but weakened circulations around the Indo-Pacific warm pool and tropical Atlantic.The spatial correlation coefficient of the three-dimensional HC anomalies among the different datasets is always larger than 0.93.However,these datasets may not capture the amplitudes of the HC responses well.This uncertainty is especially large for ENSO-associated equatorially asymmetric HC anomalies,with the maximum amplitude in Climate Forecast System Reanalysis(CFSR)being about 2.7 times the minimum value in the Twentieth Century Reanalysis(20CR).One should be careful when using reanalysis data to evaluate the intensity of ENSO-associated HC anomalies.展开更多
The performance of climate models in simulating the linkage of the spring Hadley circulation (HC) to the vertical zonal wind shear and atmospheric divergence in the lower and upper troposphere, which are related to th...The performance of climate models in simulating the linkage of the spring Hadley circulation (HC) to the vertical zonal wind shear and atmospheric divergence in the lower and upper troposphere, which are related to the tropical cyclone frequency over the western North Pacific (WNPTCF) during June-September (JJAS), is evaluated on the basis of the 20th century climate simulations (20C3M). It is found that four models can simulta-neously reproduce the pattern revealed in the observation, with the spring HC in the Northern Hemisphere being positively correlated to the vertical zonal wind shear in the major tropical cyclone (TC) genesis region and negatively (positively) correlated to the atmospheric diver- gence in the upper (lower) troposphere over the western North Pacific (WNP) in the following JJAS. These four models are further used to project their relationship in the late 21st century under the A1B scenario. The results show that the association of spring HC with the vertical zonal wind shear and the upper-and lower-tropospheric divergence over the WNP will weaken in the late 21st century, thereby resulting in a weak relationship between the spring HC and the JJAS WNPTCF.展开更多
Previous studies suggest a robust intensification of the zonally averaged hadley circulation(HC)during boreal winter in recent decades,but little is known regarding the regional HC.This study investigates long-term tr...Previous studies suggest a robust intensification of the zonally averaged hadley circulation(HC)during boreal winter in recent decades,but little is known regarding the regional HC.This study investigates long-term trends of the winter regional HC over the western pacific(WPHC)since 1979 using six reanalysis datasets.It is found that there are large discrepancies in the long-term trends of WPHC intensity among the six datasets.Specifically,three of the six reanalyses(erainterim,20CR and CFSR)show no discernible long-term trends,whereas NCEP-1,NCEP-2 and JRA-55 display pronounced intensification tendencies.Results in this study suggest that,although the warming trend of SST in the western tropical pacific identified in previous studies is robust,uncertainty remains regarding the long-term trends in the WPHC intensity.This raises a question about the factors involved in changes of the WPHC intensity.展开更多
Two numerical simulations of forced local Hadley circulation are carried out based on a linear diagnostic equation to provide an insight into the mechanisms of monsoon evolution in different monsoon regions. One simul...Two numerical simulations of forced local Hadley circulation are carried out based on a linear diagnostic equation to provide an insight into the mechanisms of monsoon evolution in different monsoon regions. One simulation is for the zonal mean Hadley circulation over East Asia (from 95°E to 122.5°E), another over India (from 70°E to 85°E). With the NCEP/ NCAR re-analysis data re—processed by Chinese Academy of Science in Beijing, the former simulation displays a dominant anti—Hadley circulation pattern over East Asia at 1200 UTC May 1, 1994. The simulated circulation pattern is consistent well enough with the circulation pattern plotted directly from the data for lack of the radiation information at each level. Although the simulation over India is not as good as that over East Asia, a dominant Hadley circulation pattern is obvious as data show. Further analysis shows that the defective simulation over India is due to the presence of statically unstable condition at some grid points in the lower troposphere. This circumstance slightly violates the hydrodynamic stability criterion required by the elliptic diagnostic equation for the forced circulation. Since the simulations are reliable enough compared with the given data, the linear equation facilitates a systematic assessment of relative importance of each internally forcing process. The assessment shows that among the internal processes, the horizontal temperature advections account obviously for the Hadley (anti—Hadley) circulation over India (East Asia) at 1200 UTC May 1, 1994 in addition to the process associated with the latent heat releasing. The calculation of latent heat energy is a little bit unreliable due to the unclear cloud physics in the convection processes and the less accurate humidity data. These preliminary results are consistent with the results of previous studies which show that the feature of the seasonal warming in the upper troposphere and the corresponding processes are part of key processes closely related to the evolution of the summer monsoon over East Asia and India. Key words Monsoon circulation - Hadley circulation - Forced meridional circulation This work was supported by the “ National key programme of China for developing basic science” G 1998040900 part 1, NSFC 49675264 and NSFC 49875021.展开更多
There have been extensive studies on poleward expansion of the Hadley cells and the associated poleward shift of subtropical dry zones in the past decade.In the present study,we study the trends in the width and stren...There have been extensive studies on poleward expansion of the Hadley cells and the associated poleward shift of subtropical dry zones in the past decade.In the present study,we study the trends in the width and strength of the Hadley cells,using currently available simulation results of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase-6(CMIP6),and compare the trends with that in CMIP5 simulations.Our results show that the total annual-mean trend in the width of the Hadley cells is 0.13°±0.02°per decade over 1970–2014 in CMIP6 historical All-forcing simulations.It is almost the same as that in CMIP5.The trend in the strength of the Northern-Hemisphere(NH)cell shows much greater weakening in CMIP6 than in CMIP5,while the strength trend in the Southern-Hemisphere(SH)cell shows slight strengthening.Single-forcing simulations demonstrate that increasing greenhouse gases cause widening and weakening of both the NH and SH Hadley cells,while anthropogenic aerosols and stratospheric ozone changes cause weak strengthening trends in the SH cell.CMIP6 projection simulation results show that both the widening and weakening trends increase with radiative forcing.展开更多
The interannual variability of the boreal winter （DJF） Hadley Cell strength during 1979-2008 is investigated using NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data. The results of AMIP simulation of LASG/IAP AGCM GAMIL2.0 are compared aga...The interannual variability of the boreal winter （DJF） Hadley Cell strength during 1979-2008 is investigated using NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data. The results of AMIP simulation of LASG/IAP AGCM GAMIL2.0 are compared against the re- analysis data. Both the reanalysis data and the simulation show that the interannual variability of the Hadley Cell strength has a non-uniform spatial distribution, as evidenced by the 1st Empirical Orthogonal Function （EOF） mode. The change of Hadley cell strength in the tropics is opposite to that in the subtropical regions. Our analysis indicates that a positive phase of EOF1 is associated with an E1 Nifio-like warmer equatorial central and eastern Pacific and a warmer southern Indian Ocean. Above features are also seen in the results of GAMIL2.0 simulation, indicating that the interannual variability of the Hadley Cell strength is driven by the tropical ocean variability. Our analysis also demonstrates that the contribution of the warmer cen- tral-eastern Pacific to the 1st EOF mode is larger than that of the South Indian Ocean. The SST forcing enhances the local Hadley circulation strength in the central Pacific and Africa （30°S-30°N, 150°E-90°W）, while it weakens the local Hadley circulation in other regions （30°S-30°N, 90°-10°W）. The western Pacific anticyclone remotely driven by the E1 Nifio forcing leads to a weakened local Hadley cell in the Northern Hemisphere, while the South Indian Ocean anticyclone driven by the remote E1 Nifio forcing and the local warmer SST anomalies in the southern Indian Ocean results in a weakened local Hadley Cell in the Southern Hemisphere. The enhancement of the Pacific local Hadley Cell is stronger （weaker） than that of the Atlan- tic, the western Pacific, and the southern Indian Ocean in the tropical （subtropical） part, thus for the zonal mean condition the strength of the total Hadley Cell is stronger （weaker） in the tropical （subtropical） limb. The amplitude of the Hadley Cell change in the Northern Hemisphere is stronger than that in the Southern Hemisphere. Hence the leading interannual variability mode of boreal winter Hadley Cell exhibits a non-uniform spatial pattern.展开更多
The Hadley circulation is one of the most important atmospheric circulations.Widening of the Hadley circulation has drawn extensive studies in the past decade.The key concern is that widening of the Hadley circulation...The Hadley circulation is one of the most important atmospheric circulations.Widening of the Hadley circulation has drawn extensive studies in the past decade.The key concern is that widening of the Hadley circulation would cause poleward shift of the subtropical dry zone.Various metrics have been applied to measure the widening of the tropics.What are responsible for the observed widening trends of the Hadley circulation? How anthropogenic and natural forcings caused the widening? How the widening results in regional climatic effects? These are the major questions in studing the widening of the Hadley circulation.While both observations and simulations all show widening of the Hadley circulation in the past few decades,there are no general agreements of changes in the strength of the Hadley circulation.Although some reanalysis datasets show strengthening of the Hadley circulation,it was shown that the strengthening trend could be artificial,and simulations show weakening of the Hadley circulation for global greenhouse warming.In the present paper,we shall briefly review the major progresses of studies in trends in width and strength of the Hadley circulation.We address answers to these questions,clarify inconsistent results,and propose ideas for future studies.展开更多
Based on the simulations of 31 global models in CMIP5, the performance of the models in simulating the Hadley and Walker circulations is evaluated. In addition, their change in intensity by the end of the 21st century...Based on the simulations of 31 global models in CMIP5, the performance of the models in simulating the Hadley and Walker circulations is evaluated. In addition, their change in intensity by the end of the 21st century （2080-2099） under the RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios, relative to 1986-2005, is analyzed from the perspective of 200 hPa velocity potential. Validation shows good performance of the individual CMIP5 models and the multi-model ensemble mean （MME） in re- producing the meridional （zonal） structure and magnitude of Hadley （Walker） circulation. The MME can also capture the observed strengthening tendency of the winter Hadley circulation and weakening tendency of the Walker circulation. Such secular trends can be simulated by 39% and 74% of the models, respectively. The MME projection indicates that the winter Hadley circulation and the Walker circulation will weaken under both scenarios by the end of the 21st century. The weak- ening amplitude is larger under RCP8.5 than RCP4.5, due to stronger external forcing. The majority of the CMIP5 models show the same projection as the MME. However, for the summer Hadley circulation, the MME shows little change under RCP4.5 and large intermodel spread is apparent. Around half of the models project an increase, and the other half project a decrease. Under the RCP8.5 scenario, the MME and 65% of the models project a weakening of the summer southern Hadley circulation.展开更多
基金the National Key Research and Development Program of China[grant number 2022YFF0801704].
文摘The discrepancy in the trends of the global zonal mean(GZM)intensity of the Hadley circulation(HCI)between reanalysis data and model simulations has been a problem for understanding the changes in HCI and the influence of external forcings.To understand the reason for this discrepancy,this study investigates the trends of intensity of regional HCI of the Northern Hemisphere over the eastern Pacific(EPA),western Pacific(WPA),Atlantic(ATL),Africa(AFR),the Indian Ocean(IDO),and residual area(RA),based on six reanalysis datasets and 13 CMIP6 models.In reanalysis data,the trends in regional HCI over EPA and ATL(WPA and AFR)contribute to(partially offset)the increasing trend in GZM HCI,while the trends in regional HCI over IDO are different in different reanalysis data.The CMIP6 models skillfully reproduce the trends in regional HCI over EPA,ATL,WPA,and AFR,but simulate notable decreasing trends in regional HCI over IDO,which is a key reason for the opposite trends in GZM HCI between reanalysis data and models.The discrepancy in IDO can be attributed to differences in the simulation of diabatic heating and zonal friction between reanalysis data and models.Optimal fingerprint analysis indicates that anthropogenic(ANT)and non-greenhouse gas(NOGHG)forcings are the dominant drivers of the HCI trends in the EPA and ATL regions.In the WPA(AFR)region,NOGHG(ANT)forcing serves as the primary driver.The findings contribute to improving the representation of regional HCI trends in models and improving the attribution of external forcings.
基金supported by the National Science Fund for Distinguished Young Scholars(Grant No.42325605)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.42176243)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.42222501)。
文摘The Hadley Circulation(HC),a fundamental component of global atmospheric circulation,plays an important role in the global energy balance and transport of moisture.The interaction between ENSO and the HC significantly impacts tropical climate and has broad implications for global climate variability through atmospheric teleconnections.The HC is usually represented by the mass stream function.As a result,it can rarely be observed through in-situ measurement.Reanalysis datasets and CMIP models are frequently used to investigate the properties of the HC.Previous studies systematically assess the capability of these CMIP models to represent the spatial distribution and intensity of the HC anomalies associated with ENSO events.However,most of these studies investigate the HC anomaly from a global perspective.In this work,we focus on evaluating the ability of CMIP6 models to capture the three-dimensional features of ENSO-related HC anomalies in comparison to that in six reanalysis datasets.Results show a consistent westward shift of the ENSO-related HC over the tropical Central-Eastern Pacific in almost all CMIP6 models,accompanied by a weakening of the asymmetric component of the ENSO-related HC over the equatorial Pacific.The former is mainly attributed to the westward extension of the Pacific cold tongue in CMIP models,while the latter is more related to the southward shift of the ENSO-related SST and precipitation anomalies in CMIP models.One should be aware of these biases when studying the ENSO-related atmospheric circulation changes.Our study has broad implications for ENSO simulations and the predictability of ENSO-related global climate variabilities.
文摘Based on NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data, the interdecadal variability of Hadley circulation （HC） and its association with East Asian temperature in winter are investigated. Results indicate that the Northern Hemisphere winter HC underwent apparent change in the 1970s, with transition occurring around 1976/77. Along with interdecadal variability of HC, its linkage to surface air temperature （SAT） in East Asia also varied decadally, from weak relations to strong relations. Such a change may be related to the interaction between HC and the atmospheric circulation system over the Philippines, which is associated with the East Asian winter monsoon （EAWM）. Before the 1970s, the connection between HC and the anticyclonic circulation around the Philippines was insignificant, but after the late 1970s their linkage entered a strong regime. The intensification of this connection may therefore be responsible for the strong relations between HC and East Asian winter temperatures after the late 1970s.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (40875042, 41025018)the National Basic Research Program of China (2007CB411801)+2 种基金the Ministry of Education of China (20070001002)J Liu is supported by the National Basic Research Program of China(2006CB403605)NSFC (40876099)
文摘How the Hadley circulation changes in response to global climate change and how its change impacts upon regional and global climates has generated a lot of interest in the literature in the past few years. In this paper, consistent and statistically significant poleward expansion of the Hadley circulation in the past few decades is demonstrated, using independent observational datasets as proxy measures of the Hadley circulation. Both observational outgoing longwave radiation and precipitation datasets show an annual average total poleward expansion of the Hadley cells of about 3.6° latitude. Sea level pressure from observational and reanalysis datasets show smaller magnitudes of poleward expansion, of about 1.2° latitude. Ensemble general circulation model simulations forced by observed time-varying sea surface temperatures were found to generate a total poleward expansion of about 1.23°latitude. Possible mechanisms behind the changes in the horizontal extent of the Hadley circulation are discussed.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(NSFC Grant No.41025018)the National Basic Research Program of China(973 Program,Grant No.2010CB428606)supported by NSFC(Grant No.41176169)
文摘Observational analyses have demonstrated that the Hadley circulation has expanded poleward in recent decades. Important issues are what caused the widening of the Hadley circulation and whether the observed widening is related to anthropogenic forcing. In the present study, we use currently available simulations of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase-5 （CMIP5） to analyze changes in the width of the Hadley circulation. It is found that CMIP5 historical simulations with greenhouse gas （GHG） forcing generate a total widening of ,-0.15°±0.06°in latitude （10 yr）-1 for the period 1979-2005, and the widening in CMIP5 historical simulations with all forcings is -0.17°± 0.06° per decade. Similar to that in CMIP3, the simulated poleward expansion in CMIP5 is much weaker than the observational reanalyses. In CMIP5 projection simulations for the 21st century, magnitudes of widening of the Hadley circulation increase with radiative forcing. For the extreme projected radiative forcing of RCP8.5, the total annual-mean widening of the Hadley circulation is -0.27°±0.04° （10 yr）-1 in the 21st century. Although CMIP5 underestimates observed poleward expansion of the Hadley circulation, the results of this study suggest that the observed trends in the width of the Hadley circulation are caused by anthropogenic forcing and that increasing GHGs play an important role in the observed poleward expansion of the Hadley circulation, in addition to other foreings emphasized in previous studies.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos. 41205046 and 41475076)the 973 Program (Grant No. 2013CB 430203)
文摘The tropical Hadley circulation （HC） plays an important role in influencing the climate in the tropics and extra-tropics. The realism of the climatological characteristics, spatial structure, and temporal evolution of the long-term variation of the principal mode of the annual mean HC （i.e., the equatorially asymmetric mode, EAM） was examined in model simulations from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 （CMIP5）. The results showed that all the models are moderately successful in capturing the HC＇s climatological features, including the spatial pattern, meridional extent, and intensity, but not the spatial or temporal variation of the EAM. The possible reasons for the poor simulation of the long-term variability of the EAM were explored. None of the models can successfully capture the differences in the warming rate between the tropical Southern Hemisphere （SH） and Northern Hemisphere （NH）, which is considered to be an important driver for the variation of the AM. Most of the models produce a faster warming in the NH than in the SH, which is the reverse of the observed trend. This leads to a reversed trend in the meridional gradient between the SH and NH, and contributes to the poor simulation of EAM variability. Thus, this aspect of the models should be improved to provide better simulations of the variability of the HC. This study suggests a possible reason for the poor simulation of the HC, which may be helpful for improving the skill of the CMIP5 models in the future.
文摘A discussion of the mass transport of the Hadley circulation is presented, with regard to its longitudinal structure. Data from the NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data set for the period 1948-2005 is examined, focusing on the solsticial seasons of June-August and December-February. Quantitative estimates have been extracted from the data to observe connections between the zonal mean of the upper tropospheric north/south mass transports and their relationship to the driving factor of tropical precipitation （implying latent heat release） and subsidence in the subtropical high pressure belts. The longitudinal structure of this flow is then examined with regard to these three main variables. The poleward upper tropospheric transport has four （JJA） or three （DJF） main branches, which link regions of major precipitation with corresponding regions of large subsidence, and one （June, July, August） or two （December, January, February） reverse branches. This structure has remained stable over the past sixty years. Although the total upper tropospheric transport in each season is less than the total sinking transport in the target subtropical high pressure belt, this does not apply to the individual branches, the balance being made up by the upper tropospheric reverse transports. An analysis of correlations between all of these various components shows, however, that the complete picture is more complex, with some precipitation regions being linked to subsidence regions outside their own branch.
基金Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC,40975057)The Structure of Tibetan Heat Sources and Oscillation Properties in Conjunction with the Mechanism for the Heat Propagating and Influencing as a key project of the NSFC (40633018)Hadley Circulation Anomaly with Its relation to the Anomaly of Summer Climate in China (E3000008098005)
文摘The 1979-2001 ERA-40 monthly mean meridional winds are used to calculate the mass streamfunctions in the monsoon region (60-140° E) and Nio zone (160° E-120° W),with which the climate characteristics and intensity variation of the localized Hadley circulation (LHC) are analyzed over the two regions and the linkage of this LHC to Pacific SST is explored.Evidence suggests as follows.1) The climatological LHC is stronger in the monsoon than in the Nio zone,with its position in the former northward of the latter,especially in the summer half-year.The resulting difference is due mainly to the land-sea heterogeneous distribution and the existence of a cold pool in the equatorial eastern Pacific.2) The LHC experiences a distinct interannual variability in intensity and during 1979-2001 the LHC strength of the two regions changes broadly in an anti-phase manner.3) The LHC has its intensity associated closely with Pacific SST in such a way that its strength anomaly in the monsoon (Nio) band in January is correlated negatively (positively) with the SSTA over the all-Nio (1-4) zone (ANZ) in the equatorial middle and eastern Pacific but positively (negatively) correlated to SSTA in the C-shaped area that surrounds the ANZ.The pattern of July is in rough agreement with that of January,except for more feeble correlativity in July,especially over the monsoon region;4) The ENSO episode has different impacts on the LHC vigor in the two regions.With the occurrence of an El Nio,the LHC is weakened (strengthened) in the monsoon (Nio) region,and the reversal takes place during the La Nia year,with greater anomaly in the Nio area.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (41530424)
文摘The interannual variability of the boreal winter Hadley circulation extents during the period of 1979e2014 and its links to El Ni^no-Southern Oscillation(ENSO) were investigated by using reanalysis datasets. Results showed that the El Ni^no(La Ni^na) events can induce the shrinking(expansion) of Hadley circulation extent in the Southern Hemisphere. For the Northern Hemisphere, El Ni^no(La Ni^na) mainly leads to shrinking(expansion) of the Hadley circulation extent in the middle and lower troposphere and expansion(shrinking) of the Hadley circulation extent in the upper troposphere. The ENSO associated meridional temperature gradients have close relationship with the Hadley circulation extents in both Hemispheres. But in the Northern Hemisphere, the ENSO associated eddy momentum flux divergence plays more important role in affecting the Hadley circulation extent than the meridional temperature gradient because of the small local Rossby number. In the Southern Hemisphere, as the ENSO induced eddy momentum flux divergence is small, the meridional temperature gradient dominates the change of the Hadley circulation extent.
基金jointly supported by the National Basic Research Program(973 ProgramNos.2012CB417402 and 2013CB956201)
文摘The seasonal and interannual variability of zonal mean Hadley circulation are analyzed, and the important effects of sea surface temperature(SST), especially the tropical Pacific SST, on the meridional circulation are discussed. Following results are obtained: 1) the Hadley circulation presents a single clockwise(anticlockwise) cross-equator circulation in the Northern(Southern) Hemisphere winter,while it is a double-ring-shaped circulation quasi-symmetric about the equator in spring and autumn. The annual mean state just indicates the residual of the Hadley cell in winter and summer. 2) The first mode of interannual anomalies shows a single cell crossing the equator like the climatology in winter and summer but with narrower width. The second mode shows a double ring-shaped cell quasi-symmetric about the equator which is similar to the Hadley cell in spring or autumn. 3) Vertical motion of the Hadley circulation is driven by sea surface temperature(SST) through latent and sensible heat in the tropics, and the interannual anomalies are mainly driven by the SST anomaly(SSTa) in the tropical Pacific. 4) The meridional gradient of SSTa is well consistent with the lower meridional wind of Hadley circulation in the interannual part. For the spatial distribution, the meridional gradient of SSTa in the Pacific plays a major role for the first two modes while the effects of the Indian Ocean and the Atlantic Ocean can be ignored.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (41530424 and 41475076)
文摘Using 26 climate models from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5(CMIP5), climatology and the interannual variability of the annual mean Hadley circulation are evaluated. The results show that most of 26 models perform well in simulating the spatial structure of the climatology of the annual mean Hadley circulation, but the results derived from these models are generally weaker than that derived from the reanalysis dataset. Eighteen models can properly simulate well the asymmetric mode and symmetric mode of the annual mean Hadley circulation variability. Two models can only simulate asymmetric mode or symmetric mode and the other two models simulate reversed sequences of asymmetric mode and symmetric mode.The possible reason why some models cannot properly simulate the asymmetric mode and symmetric mode is that these models do not properly simulate the structure of zonal mean sea surface temperature(SST). Especially, not properly simulating variances of symmetric and asymmetric components of the SSTA will lead to reversed sequence of symmetric mode and asymmetric mode. And not properly simulated either symmetric or asymmetric component of the SSTA will lead to inability in simulating symmetric mode or asymmetric mode. On the other hand, some models properly simulate the asymmetric mode and symmetric mode, but do not properly simulate the responses to SST change.These models can not reflect the air sea coupling processes in associated with the Hadley circulation, therefore they should be taken more care when classify the models into groups.
基金National Natural Science Foundation of China(41475068,40805034)Special Scientific Research Project for Public Interest(GYHY201206009)Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities of China(lzujbky-2014-203)
文摘Based on the three-pattern decomposition of global atmospheric circulation(TPDGAC), this study investigates the double-layer structure of the Hadley circulation(HC) and its interdecadal evolution characteristics by using monthly horizontal wind field from NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data from 1948—2011. The following major conclusions are drawn: First, the double-layer structure of the HC is an objective fact, and it constantly exists in April,May, June, October and November in the Southern Hemisphere. Second, the double-layer structure is more obvious in the Southern than in the Northern Hemisphere. Since the double-layer structure is sloped in the vertical direction, it should be taken into consideration when analyzing the variations of the strength and location of the center of the HC.Third, the strength of the double-layer structure of the HC in the Southern Hemisphere consistently exhibits decadal variations with a strong, weak and strong pattern in all five months(April, May, June, October, and November), with cycles of 20-30 a and 40-60 a. Fourth, the center of the HC(mean position of the double-layer structure) in the Southern Hemisphere consistently and remarkably shifts southward in all the five months. The net poleward shifts over the 64 years are 5.18°, 2.11°, 2.50°, 1.79° and 5.76° for the five respective months, with a mean shift of 3.47°.
基金supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of China(Grant No.2018YFA0605703)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.42176243,41976193 and 41676190)supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.41975079)。
文摘El Nino-Southern Oscillation(ENSO),the leading mode of global interannual variability,usually intensifies the Hadley Circulation(HC),and meanwhile constrains its meridional extension,leading to an equatorward movement of the jet system.Previous studies have investigated the response of HC to ENSO events using different reanalysis datasets and evaluated their capability in capturing the main features of ENSO-associated HC anomalies.However,these studies mainly focused on the global HC,represented by a zonal-mean mass stream function(MSF).Comparatively fewer studies have evaluated HC responses from a regional perspective,partly due to the prerequisite of the Stokes MSF,which prevents us from integrating a regional HC.In this study,we adopt a recently developed technique to construct the three-dimensional structure of HC and evaluate the capability of eight state-of-the-art reanalyses in reproducing the regional HC response to ENSO events.Results show that all eight reanalyses reproduce the spatial structure of HC responses well,with an intensified HC around the central-eastern Pacific but weakened circulations around the Indo-Pacific warm pool and tropical Atlantic.The spatial correlation coefficient of the three-dimensional HC anomalies among the different datasets is always larger than 0.93.However,these datasets may not capture the amplitudes of the HC responses well.This uncertainty is especially large for ENSO-associated equatorially asymmetric HC anomalies,with the maximum amplitude in Climate Forecast System Reanalysis(CFSR)being about 2.7 times the minimum value in the Twentieth Century Reanalysis(20CR).One should be careful when using reanalysis data to evaluate the intensity of ENSO-associated HC anomalies.
基金supported by the National Basic Research Program of China(2009CB421407)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(41275078)the Special Fund for Public Welfare Industry (Meteorology) (GYHY200906018)
文摘The performance of climate models in simulating the linkage of the spring Hadley circulation (HC) to the vertical zonal wind shear and atmospheric divergence in the lower and upper troposphere, which are related to the tropical cyclone frequency over the western North Pacific (WNPTCF) during June-September (JJAS), is evaluated on the basis of the 20th century climate simulations (20C3M). It is found that four models can simulta-neously reproduce the pattern revealed in the observation, with the spring HC in the Northern Hemisphere being positively correlated to the vertical zonal wind shear in the major tropical cyclone (TC) genesis region and negatively (positively) correlated to the atmospheric diver- gence in the upper (lower) troposphere over the western North Pacific (WNP) in the following JJAS. These four models are further used to project their relationship in the late 21st century under the A1B scenario. The results show that the association of spring HC with the vertical zonal wind shear and the upper-and lower-tropospheric divergence over the WNP will weaken in the late 21st century, thereby resulting in a weak relationship between the spring HC and the JJAS WNPTCF.
基金supported jointly by the National Key Research and Development Program [grant number 2016YFA0600604]the National Natural Science Foundation of China [grant numbers 41605050,41230527,and 41661144016]+2 种基金the Jiangsu Collaborative Innovation Center for Climate Changethe Young Elite Scientists Sponsorship Program by CAST [grant number 2016QNRC001]the China Postdoctoral Science Foundation [grant number 2017T100102]
文摘Previous studies suggest a robust intensification of the zonally averaged hadley circulation(HC)during boreal winter in recent decades,but little is known regarding the regional HC.This study investigates long-term trends of the winter regional HC over the western pacific(WPHC)since 1979 using six reanalysis datasets.It is found that there are large discrepancies in the long-term trends of WPHC intensity among the six datasets.Specifically,three of the six reanalyses(erainterim,20CR and CFSR)show no discernible long-term trends,whereas NCEP-1,NCEP-2 and JRA-55 display pronounced intensification tendencies.Results in this study suggest that,although the warming trend of SST in the western tropical pacific identified in previous studies is robust,uncertainty remains regarding the long-term trends in the WPHC intensity.This raises a question about the factors involved in changes of the WPHC intensity.
基金This work was supported by the" National key programme of China for developing basic science" !G 1998040900 part 1, NSFC 496752
文摘Two numerical simulations of forced local Hadley circulation are carried out based on a linear diagnostic equation to provide an insight into the mechanisms of monsoon evolution in different monsoon regions. One simulation is for the zonal mean Hadley circulation over East Asia (from 95°E to 122.5°E), another over India (from 70°E to 85°E). With the NCEP/ NCAR re-analysis data re—processed by Chinese Academy of Science in Beijing, the former simulation displays a dominant anti—Hadley circulation pattern over East Asia at 1200 UTC May 1, 1994. The simulated circulation pattern is consistent well enough with the circulation pattern plotted directly from the data for lack of the radiation information at each level. Although the simulation over India is not as good as that over East Asia, a dominant Hadley circulation pattern is obvious as data show. Further analysis shows that the defective simulation over India is due to the presence of statically unstable condition at some grid points in the lower troposphere. This circumstance slightly violates the hydrodynamic stability criterion required by the elliptic diagnostic equation for the forced circulation. Since the simulations are reliable enough compared with the given data, the linear equation facilitates a systematic assessment of relative importance of each internally forcing process. The assessment shows that among the internal processes, the horizontal temperature advections account obviously for the Hadley (anti—Hadley) circulation over India (East Asia) at 1200 UTC May 1, 1994 in addition to the process associated with the latent heat releasing. The calculation of latent heat energy is a little bit unreliable due to the unclear cloud physics in the convection processes and the less accurate humidity data. These preliminary results are consistent with the results of previous studies which show that the feature of the seasonal warming in the upper troposphere and the corresponding processes are part of key processes closely related to the evolution of the summer monsoon over East Asia and India. Key words Monsoon circulation - Hadley circulation - Forced meridional circulation This work was supported by the “ National key programme of China for developing basic science” G 1998040900 part 1, NSFC 49675264 and NSFC 49875021.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(41530423,41761144072)supported by the Second Tibetan Plateau Scientific Expedition and Research Program(2019QZKK0604)。
文摘There have been extensive studies on poleward expansion of the Hadley cells and the associated poleward shift of subtropical dry zones in the past decade.In the present study,we study the trends in the width and strength of the Hadley cells,using currently available simulation results of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase-6(CMIP6),and compare the trends with that in CMIP5 simulations.Our results show that the total annual-mean trend in the width of the Hadley cells is 0.13°±0.02°per decade over 1970–2014 in CMIP6 historical All-forcing simulations.It is almost the same as that in CMIP5.The trend in the strength of the Northern-Hemisphere(NH)cell shows much greater weakening in CMIP6 than in CMIP5,while the strength trend in the Southern-Hemisphere(SH)cell shows slight strengthening.Single-forcing simulations demonstrate that increasing greenhouse gases cause widening and weakening of both the NH and SH Hadley cells,while anthropogenic aerosols and stratospheric ozone changes cause weak strengthening trends in the SH cell.CMIP6 projection simulation results show that both the widening and weakening trends increase with radiative forcing.
基金supported by National High-tech R&D Program of China(Grant No. 2010AA012304)National Basic Research Program of China(Grant No. 2010CB951904)National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 40890054)
文摘The interannual variability of the boreal winter （DJF） Hadley Cell strength during 1979-2008 is investigated using NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data. The results of AMIP simulation of LASG/IAP AGCM GAMIL2.0 are compared against the re- analysis data. Both the reanalysis data and the simulation show that the interannual variability of the Hadley Cell strength has a non-uniform spatial distribution, as evidenced by the 1st Empirical Orthogonal Function （EOF） mode. The change of Hadley cell strength in the tropics is opposite to that in the subtropical regions. Our analysis indicates that a positive phase of EOF1 is associated with an E1 Nifio-like warmer equatorial central and eastern Pacific and a warmer southern Indian Ocean. Above features are also seen in the results of GAMIL2.0 simulation, indicating that the interannual variability of the Hadley Cell strength is driven by the tropical ocean variability. Our analysis also demonstrates that the contribution of the warmer cen- tral-eastern Pacific to the 1st EOF mode is larger than that of the South Indian Ocean. The SST forcing enhances the local Hadley circulation strength in the central Pacific and Africa （30°S-30°N, 150°E-90°W）, while it weakens the local Hadley circulation in other regions （30°S-30°N, 90°-10°W）. The western Pacific anticyclone remotely driven by the E1 Nifio forcing leads to a weakened local Hadley cell in the Northern Hemisphere, while the South Indian Ocean anticyclone driven by the remote E1 Nifio forcing and the local warmer SST anomalies in the southern Indian Ocean results in a weakened local Hadley Cell in the Southern Hemisphere. The enhancement of the Pacific local Hadley Cell is stronger （weaker） than that of the Atlan- tic, the western Pacific, and the southern Indian Ocean in the tropical （subtropical） part, thus for the zonal mean condition the strength of the total Hadley Cell is stronger （weaker） in the tropical （subtropical） limb. The amplitude of the Hadley Cell change in the Northern Hemisphere is stronger than that in the Southern Hemisphere. Hence the leading interannual variability mode of boreal winter Hadley Cell exhibits a non-uniform spatial pattern.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(41530423,and 41761144072)
文摘The Hadley circulation is one of the most important atmospheric circulations.Widening of the Hadley circulation has drawn extensive studies in the past decade.The key concern is that widening of the Hadley circulation would cause poleward shift of the subtropical dry zone.Various metrics have been applied to measure the widening of the tropics.What are responsible for the observed widening trends of the Hadley circulation? How anthropogenic and natural forcings caused the widening? How the widening results in regional climatic effects? These are the major questions in studing the widening of the Hadley circulation.While both observations and simulations all show widening of the Hadley circulation in the past few decades,there are no general agreements of changes in the strength of the Hadley circulation.Although some reanalysis datasets show strengthening of the Hadley circulation,it was shown that the strengthening trend could be artificial,and simulations show weakening of the Hadley circulation for global greenhouse warming.In the present paper,we shall briefly review the major progresses of studies in trends in width and strength of the Hadley circulation.We address answers to these questions,clarify inconsistent results,and propose ideas for future studies.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation (Grant No. 41275078)the Special Fund for Public Welfare Industry (Meteorology) (Grant No. GYHY201306026)the National Science & Technology Pillar Program (Grant No. 2012BAC20B05) of China
文摘Based on the simulations of 31 global models in CMIP5, the performance of the models in simulating the Hadley and Walker circulations is evaluated. In addition, their change in intensity by the end of the 21st century （2080-2099） under the RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios, relative to 1986-2005, is analyzed from the perspective of 200 hPa velocity potential. Validation shows good performance of the individual CMIP5 models and the multi-model ensemble mean （MME） in re- producing the meridional （zonal） structure and magnitude of Hadley （Walker） circulation. The MME can also capture the observed strengthening tendency of the winter Hadley circulation and weakening tendency of the Walker circulation. Such secular trends can be simulated by 39% and 74% of the models, respectively. The MME projection indicates that the winter Hadley circulation and the Walker circulation will weaken under both scenarios by the end of the 21st century. The weak- ening amplitude is larger under RCP8.5 than RCP4.5, due to stronger external forcing. The majority of the CMIP5 models show the same projection as the MME. However, for the summer Hadley circulation, the MME shows little change under RCP4.5 and large intermodel spread is apparent. Around half of the models project an increase, and the other half project a decrease. Under the RCP8.5 scenario, the MME and 65% of the models project a weakening of the summer southern Hadley circulation.
