Located downstream the Kupang Catchment in Indonesia,Pekalongan faces significant land subsidence issues,leading to severe coastal flooding.This study aimed to assess the impact of climate change on future flow regime...Located downstream the Kupang Catchment in Indonesia,Pekalongan faces significant land subsidence issues,leading to severe coastal flooding.This study aimed to assess the impact of climate change on future flow regimes and hydrological extremes to inform long-term water resources management strategies for the Kupang Catchment.Utilizing precipitation and air temperature data from general circulation models in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 6(CMIP6)and employing bias correction techniques,the Soil and Water Assessment Tool(SWAT)hydrological model was employed to analyze climate-induced changes in hydrological fluxes,specifically streamflow.Results indicated a consistent increase in monthly streamflow during the wet season,with a substantial rise of 22.8%,alongside a slight decrease of 18.0%during the dry season.Moreover,both the frequency and severity of extremely low and high flows were projected to intensify by approximately 50%and 70%,respectively,for a 20-year return period,suggesting heightened flood and drought risks in the future.The observed declining trend in low flow,by up to 11%,indicated the potential for long-term groundwater depletion exacerbating the threat of land subsidence and coastal flooding,especially in areas with inadequate surface water management policies and infrastructure.展开更多
During extensive gully land consolidation projects on China's Loess Plateau,many loess-bedrock fill slopes were formed,which frequently experience shallow landslides induced by rainfall.However,studies on loess-be...During extensive gully land consolidation projects on China's Loess Plateau,many loess-bedrock fill slopes were formed,which frequently experience shallow landslides induced by rainfall.However,studies on loess-bedrock slope failure triggered by continuous heavy rainfall are limited,and the role of the soilerock interface between the original bedrock slope and fill slope in the hydrological and failure process of the slope remains unclear.In this study,we conducted a continuous rainfall model test on a loess-bedrock fill slope.During the test,the responses of volume water content,pore pressure,micro deformation,and movement of the infiltration front were observed.The hydrological process and failure mechanism were then analysed.The findings suggest that the soilerock interface is a predominant infiltration surface within the slope.Rainfall infiltration rates at the interface reach 1.24-2.80 times those of the fill slope,with peak interfacial pore water pressure exceeding that of the loess fill.Furthermore,the infiltration front moves rapidly along the interface toward the bottom of the slope,reducing interfacial cohesion between bedrock and loess.The slope failure modes are summarised into three phases:local failure→flow slide and crack penetration→multistage block retrogressive slides.The cracks generated at the slope surface serve as key determinants of the geometry and scale of shallow landslides.Therefore,we recommend targeted engineering interventions to mitigate the instability and erosion of loessebedrock fill slopes.展开更多
Spartina alterniflora invasions seriously threaten the structure and functions of coastal wetlands in China.In this study,the Suaeda salsa community in the Yellow River Estuary wetland was monitored using long-term La...Spartina alterniflora invasions seriously threaten the structure and functions of coastal wetlands in China.In this study,the Suaeda salsa community in the Yellow River Estuary wetland was monitored using long-term Landsat satellite images acquired from 1997 to 2020 to quantify the impact of changes in hydrological connectivity induced by S.alterniflora on neighboring vegetation com-munities.The results showed that S.alterniflora rapidly expanded in the estuary area at a rate of 4.91 km^(2)/yr from 2010 to 2020.At the same time,the hydrological connectivity of the area and the distribution of S.salsa changed significantly.Small tidal creeks dominated the S.alterniflora landscape.The number of tidal creeks increased significantly,but their average length decreased and they tended to develop in a horizontal tree-like pattern.Affected by the changes in hydrological connectivity due to the S.alterniflora invasion,the area of S.salsa decreased by 41.1%,and the degree of landscape fragmentation increased from 1997 to 2020.Variations in the Largest Patch Index(LPI)indicated that the S.alterniflora landscape had become the dominant landscape type in the Yellow River Estuary.The res-ults of standard deviation ellipse(SDE)and Pearson’s correlation analyses indicated that a well-developed hydrological connectivity could promote the maintenance of the S.salsa landscape.The degradation of most S.salsa communities is caused by the influence of S.alterniflora on the morphological characteristics of the hydrological connectivity of tidal creek systems.展开更多
基金supported by the funding Riset Unggulan Daerah 2022 of the Bureau of Development Planning and Research in Central Java Province(BAPPEDA Provinsi Jawa Tengah).
文摘Located downstream the Kupang Catchment in Indonesia,Pekalongan faces significant land subsidence issues,leading to severe coastal flooding.This study aimed to assess the impact of climate change on future flow regimes and hydrological extremes to inform long-term water resources management strategies for the Kupang Catchment.Utilizing precipitation and air temperature data from general circulation models in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 6(CMIP6)and employing bias correction techniques,the Soil and Water Assessment Tool(SWAT)hydrological model was employed to analyze climate-induced changes in hydrological fluxes,specifically streamflow.Results indicated a consistent increase in monthly streamflow during the wet season,with a substantial rise of 22.8%,alongside a slight decrease of 18.0%during the dry season.Moreover,both the frequency and severity of extremely low and high flows were projected to intensify by approximately 50%and 70%,respectively,for a 20-year return period,suggesting heightened flood and drought risks in the future.The observed declining trend in low flow,by up to 11%,indicated the potential for long-term groundwater depletion exacerbating the threat of land subsidence and coastal flooding,especially in areas with inadequate surface water management policies and infrastructure.
基金supported by the National Key R&D Program of China(Grant No.2023YFC3008404)the National Key Research and Development Program,China(Grant No.2017YFD0800501)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.41790443).
文摘During extensive gully land consolidation projects on China's Loess Plateau,many loess-bedrock fill slopes were formed,which frequently experience shallow landslides induced by rainfall.However,studies on loess-bedrock slope failure triggered by continuous heavy rainfall are limited,and the role of the soilerock interface between the original bedrock slope and fill slope in the hydrological and failure process of the slope remains unclear.In this study,we conducted a continuous rainfall model test on a loess-bedrock fill slope.During the test,the responses of volume water content,pore pressure,micro deformation,and movement of the infiltration front were observed.The hydrological process and failure mechanism were then analysed.The findings suggest that the soilerock interface is a predominant infiltration surface within the slope.Rainfall infiltration rates at the interface reach 1.24-2.80 times those of the fill slope,with peak interfacial pore water pressure exceeding that of the loess fill.Furthermore,the infiltration front moves rapidly along the interface toward the bottom of the slope,reducing interfacial cohesion between bedrock and loess.The slope failure modes are summarised into three phases:local failure→flow slide and crack penetration→multistage block retrogressive slides.The cracks generated at the slope surface serve as key determinants of the geometry and scale of shallow landslides.Therefore,we recommend targeted engineering interventions to mitigate the instability and erosion of loessebedrock fill slopes.
基金Under the auspices of Key Program of the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.U2006215,U1806218)the National Key R&D Program of China(No.2017YFC0505902)。
文摘Spartina alterniflora invasions seriously threaten the structure and functions of coastal wetlands in China.In this study,the Suaeda salsa community in the Yellow River Estuary wetland was monitored using long-term Landsat satellite images acquired from 1997 to 2020 to quantify the impact of changes in hydrological connectivity induced by S.alterniflora on neighboring vegetation com-munities.The results showed that S.alterniflora rapidly expanded in the estuary area at a rate of 4.91 km^(2)/yr from 2010 to 2020.At the same time,the hydrological connectivity of the area and the distribution of S.salsa changed significantly.Small tidal creeks dominated the S.alterniflora landscape.The number of tidal creeks increased significantly,but their average length decreased and they tended to develop in a horizontal tree-like pattern.Affected by the changes in hydrological connectivity due to the S.alterniflora invasion,the area of S.salsa decreased by 41.1%,and the degree of landscape fragmentation increased from 1997 to 2020.Variations in the Largest Patch Index(LPI)indicated that the S.alterniflora landscape had become the dominant landscape type in the Yellow River Estuary.The res-ults of standard deviation ellipse(SDE)and Pearson’s correlation analyses indicated that a well-developed hydrological connectivity could promote the maintenance of the S.salsa landscape.The degradation of most S.salsa communities is caused by the influence of S.alterniflora on the morphological characteristics of the hydrological connectivity of tidal creek systems.
