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Machine Learning Analysis of Impact of Western US Fires on Central US Hailstorms 被引量:1
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作者 Xinming LIN Jiwen FAN +1 位作者 Yuwei ZHANG ZJason HOU 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2024年第7期1450-1462,共13页
Fires,including wildfires,harm air quality and essential public services like transportation,communication,and utilities.These fires can also influence atmospheric conditions,including temperature and aerosols,potenti... Fires,including wildfires,harm air quality and essential public services like transportation,communication,and utilities.These fires can also influence atmospheric conditions,including temperature and aerosols,potentially affecting severe convective storms.Here,we investigate the remote impacts of fires in the western United States(WUS)on the occurrence of large hail(size:≥2.54 cm)in the central US(CUS)over the 20-year period of 2001–20 using the machine learning(ML),Random Forest(RF),and Extreme Gradient Boosting(XGB)methods.The developed RF and XGB models demonstrate high accuracy(>90%)and F1 scores of up to 0.78 in predicting large hail occurrences when WUS fires and CUS hailstorms coincide,particularly in four states(Wyoming,South Dakota,Nebraska,and Kansas).The key contributing variables identified from both ML models include the meteorological variables in the fire region(temperature and moisture),the westerly wind over the plume transport path,and the fire features(i.e.,the maximum fire power and burned area).The results confirm a linkage between WUS fires and severe weather in the CUS,corroborating the findings of our previous modeling study conducted on case simulations with a detailed physics model. 展开更多
关键词 WILDFIRE severe convective storm hailstorm machine learning
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Analysis of Doppler Radar Data about a Super Monomer Hailstorms in the Northeastern Qinghai-Tibet Plateau
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作者 ZHANG Kai-jun 《Meteorological and Environmental Research》 CAS 2011年第8期33-37,共5页
[Objective] The Doppler radar data about a super monomer hailstorms in the northeastern Qinghai-Tibet Plateau in the Zhongchuan Airport in the Lanzhou City on September 6,2010 was studied.[Method] By dint of routine d... [Objective] The Doppler radar data about a super monomer hailstorms in the northeastern Qinghai-Tibet Plateau in the Zhongchuan Airport in the Lanzhou City on September 6,2010 was studied.[Method] By dint of routine data and radar data,the low vortex shear line type and the super monomer hailstorm around the Zhongchuan Airport in the Lanzhou City on September 6,2010 were expounded.Basic product and secondary product of Doppler radar were used in this process to reflect the characteristics of strong convection weather.Some characteristics of this process shall be explored.[Result] A small gush of cold air from the cold vortex of 500 hPa in the middle and high layer provided impacts.The warm shear line provided water vapor and energy in the 700 hPa.There was strong convective weather in the upper air.Such 10 minutes of hailstorm was rarely seen in the drought land in the northwest.The characteristics of the strong convection were distinct and typical.The front showed no echo form.However,it can not be reflected in 'strong wedge' in another form.In this process,characteristics of BWER and middle scale cyclone were distinct.And this was a typical hailstorm process caused by super monomer.[Conclusion] The study provided some helpful references for the forecast of strong convection weather in the Zhongchuan Airport in Lanzhou City. 展开更多
关键词 Super monomer hailstorm Doppler radar data Northeastern of Qinghai-Tibet Plateau China
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Downward Trend in the Frequency of Destructive Hailstorms and Maximum Hailstone Size in England and Wales
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作者 Colin Clark 《Journal of Geoscience and Environment Protection》 2020年第4期57-70,共14页
By their definition, destructive hailstorms cause a great deal of damage to property and have been known to be fatal to humans. At present the long term changes in the frequency of these storms are unknown. Records of... By their definition, destructive hailstorms cause a great deal of damage to property and have been known to be fatal to humans. At present the long term changes in the frequency of these storms are unknown. Records of destructive hailstorms from many different sources in England and Wales go back for several centuries. Recently discovered records of over 30 destructive hailstorms have allowed a better description of hailstorm history since 1780. The data were grouped into 30, 40, and 50 year non-overlapping time periods in relation to time. Increases in their frequency in the 17th and 18th centuries were probably due to an increase in population and better recording. Since 1900 the frequency has significantly declined so that in the present 50 year time period only 22 have been recorded as compared with an average of 49 in both halves of the 19th century. The decline in frequency may be partly due to the big increase in particulate matter from aviation, which leads to a much higher concentration of ice and cloud condensation nuclei, resulting in fewer destructive hailstorms. 展开更多
关键词 Destructive hailstormS DOWNWARD TREND
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构建用户为中心的体验Microsoft“HailStorm”介绍
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作者 陈华 《实用无线电》 2001年第6期47-50,共4页
挑战在过去的25年中,信息技术给我们用户和商业带来了令人难以置信的价值。但即使这样,提高的空间还是很大。人们往往把注意力放在单个程序或设备上,从而忽视了周围的世界,今天,人们都不得不去适应大量的新技术,然而有没有想过,我们应... 挑战在过去的25年中,信息技术给我们用户和商业带来了令人难以置信的价值。但即使这样,提高的空间还是很大。人们往往把注意力放在单个程序或设备上,从而忽视了周围的世界,今天,人们都不得不去适应大量的新技术,然而有没有想过,我们应该让技术来适应我们。人们不禁感到了疑惑和沮丧,有时候好像每个程序、每个站点、每个设备都有其独立的一种规则。比如,在一台PC上输入一个朋友的电话号码时,你必须按照特定的顺序使用键盘和鼠标。而要在Palm Pilot、Pocket 展开更多
关键词 hailstorm 计算机网络 Mircrosoft.NET 软件
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Isotopic Analysis for Tracing Vertical Growth Trajectories of Hailstones
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作者 Xiangyu LIN Haifan ZHANG +6 位作者 Xiaofei LI Qinghong ZHANG Andrew HEYMSFIELD Kai BI Chan-Pang NG Chong WU Dianli GONG 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 2025年第6期1195-1211,共17页
The growth trajectory of hailstones within clouds has remained elusive due to the inability to trace them directly,impeding the comprehension of their underlying growth mechanisms.This study investigated hailstone ver... The growth trajectory of hailstones within clouds has remained elusive due to the inability to trace them directly,impeding the comprehension of their underlying growth mechanisms.This study investigated hailstone vertical growth trajectories by detecting the stable isotope signatures(2H and 18O compositions)of different shells in 27 hailstones from 9hailstorms,which allowed us to capture the ambient temperature during hailstone growth.The vertical growth trajectories were obtained by comparing the isotopic compositions of water condensate in clouds,derived from the Adiabatic Model,with those measured in hailstones.Although hailstone growth was primarily observed in the–10°C to–30°C temperature layer,the embryo formation height and subsequent growth trajectories significantly varied among hailstones.Embryos formed over a wide range of temperatures(–8.7°C to–33.4°C);four originated at temperatures above–15°C and 16originated at temperatures below–20°C,suggesting ice nuclei composed of bioproteins and mineral dust,respectively.Among the 27 measured hailstones,3 exhibited minimal vertical movement,16 exhibited a monotonic rise or fall,and the remaining 8 exhibited alternating up-down trajectories;only one experienced“recycling”during up-down drifting.Trajectory analysis revealed that similar-sized hailstones from a single storm tended to form at similar heights,whereas those larger than 25 mm in diameter exhibited at least one period of upward growth.Vertical trajectories derived from isotopic analysis were corroborated by radar hydrometeor observations. 展开更多
关键词 growth trajectory hailstone hailstorm isotopic analysis RADAR
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Lightning activity and precipitation structure of hailstorms 被引量:24
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作者 FENG GuiLi1,2, QIE XiuShu3,1, YUAN Tie1 & NIU ShuZhen4 1 Laboratory of Lightning and Thunderstorm, Cold and Arid Regions Environmental and Engineering Research Institute, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Lanzhou 730000, China 2 Shandong Research Institute of Meteorology, Jinan 250031, China +1 位作者 3 Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029, China 4 The Meteorological Observatory of Henan Province, Zhengzhou 450003, China 《Science China Earth Sciences》 SCIE EI CAS 2007年第4期629-639,共11页
By using the cloud-to-ground (CG) lightning location data from the lightning detection network of He- nan Province, surface Doppler radar data and standard orbit data of PR, TMI and LIS on TRMM satellite, the spatial ... By using the cloud-to-ground (CG) lightning location data from the lightning detection network of He- nan Province, surface Doppler radar data and standard orbit data of PR, TMI and LIS on TRMM satellite, the spatial and temporal characteristics of CG lightning flashes in 10 severe hailstorms are analyzed. The results show that the percentage of +CG lightning in these hailstorms is high with an average value of 45.5%. There is a distinct increase in CG flash rate during the rapid development stage of hailstorms. The hailstone falling corresponds to an active positive flash period, and the increase of +CG flash rate is generally accompanied with a decrease of –CG flash rate. The flash rate declines rapidly during the dissipating stage of hailstorms. The precipitation structure and lightning activity in two typical hail- storms are studied in detail. It is found that strong convective cells with reflectivity greater than 30dBZ mainly are situated in the front region of hailstorms, whereas the trailing stratiform region is in the rear part of the hailstorms. The maximum heights of echo top are higher than 14 km. Convective rain con- tributes much more rainfall to the total than stratiform rain, and the convective rain takes about 85% and 97% of the total in the two cases, respectively. Total lightning in the hailstorms is very active with the flash rate up to 183 fl/min and 55 fl/min, respectively. The results also indicate that most lightning flashes occurred in the echo region greater than 30 dBZ and its immediate periphery. The probability of lightning occurrence is 20 times higher in the convective region than in the stratiform region. The result suggests that the lightning information is helpful to the identification of convective rain region. The linear relationship between flash rate and ice water content is disclosed primarily. 展开更多
关键词 total LIGHTNING activity positive CG LIGHTNING hailstorm CONVECTIVE RAIN ice water content
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应用风廓线雷达资料对成都山区春季一次冰雹天气的风场分析 被引量:1
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作者 倪成诚 李国平 +2 位作者 张净雯 牛金龙 陈洪 《沙漠与绿洲气象》 2025年第1期130-136,共7页
应用边界层风廓线雷达等多源资料,对2022年3月16日成都西部出现的一次冰雹天气触发机制及风场特征进行分析。结果表明:高层干冷空气侵入与中上层干线(露点锋)是强对流天气的触发机制;风廓线雷达可以捕捉对流性天气的风场演变特征;利用... 应用边界层风廓线雷达等多源资料,对2022年3月16日成都西部出现的一次冰雹天气触发机制及风场特征进行分析。结果表明:高层干冷空气侵入与中上层干线(露点锋)是强对流天气的触发机制;风廓线雷达可以捕捉对流性天气的风场演变特征;利用风廓线雷达计算得到的风场诊断量对冰雹过程有较好的指示意义;垂直风切变峰值与低层风暴相对螺旋度谷值出现时间较冰雹发生有一定提前量;低空急流指数达峰时间与冰雹发生时间具有一致性。 展开更多
关键词 风场 风廓线雷达 强对流天气 冰雹 成都山区
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Characteristics of the Two Active Stages of Lightning Activity in Two Hailstorms 被引量:9
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作者 徐爽 郑栋 +1 位作者 王咏青 胡鹏宇 《Journal of Meteorological Research》 SCIE CSCD 2016年第2期265-281,共17页
Two hailstorms that occurred in Beijing and Tianjin,respectively,are investigated,based mainly on the total lightning data observed by the System d'Alerte Fondre par Interferometric Radioelecctrique(SAFIR3000),the ... Two hailstorms that occurred in Beijing and Tianjin,respectively,are investigated,based mainly on the total lightning data observed by the System d'Alerte Fondre par Interferometric Radioelecctrique(SAFIR3000),the cloud-to-ground(CG) lightning data of a CG lightning location system,and the echo data of a Doppler radar.Both hailstorms exhibited two lightning frequency peaks:the first was before the hailfall and the second was after the hailfall,with the second peak greater than the first.The dominant polarity of the CG lightning was positive in the stage around the first frequency peak,but changed to negative in the stage around the second frequency peak.The evolution of radar echoes and the height distribution of lightning radiation sources are explored,revealing that both hailstorms had stronger convection and the main positive charge occurred at mid levels during the stage around the first frequency peak.However,whilst the Beijing hailstorm experienced the enhancement of convection,with the main positive charge at upper levels around the second frequency peak,the Tianjin hailstorm generated its second frequency peak during the period when the convection kept weakening and the main positive charge dropped to mid-lower levels.Through evaluation of the radar parameters,we investigate the mechanisms responsible for the second stage of active lightning discharge.Furthermore,the lightning activity exhibited a close relationship with radar echo parameters and hailfall.Lightning jump signals were found before the hailfall and were associated with the change ratio of the 40-dBZ echo volume above the-15℃ level,which demonstrates the application value of lightning data in severe weather warning. 展开更多
关键词 hailstorm total lightning electric structure
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NUMERICAL SIMULATION OF MICROPHYSICAL PROCESSES IN CUMULONIMBUS——PART Ⅱ CASE STUDIES OF SHOWER,HAILSTORM AND TORRENTIAL RAIN 被引量:4
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作者 胡志晋 何观芳 《Acta meteorologica Sinica》 SCIE 1989年第2期185-199,共15页
A shower cloud observed in Jiangxi,a hailstorm observed in Hebei and“75.8”torrential rain in Henan are simulated with our microphysical model in a one-dimensional framework.The model,using the radio- sonde data as i... A shower cloud observed in Jiangxi,a hailstorm observed in Hebei and“75.8”torrential rain in Henan are simulated with our microphysical model in a one-dimensional framework.The model,using the radio- sonde data as input,gets its output which shows agreement in many aspects as compared with observations in each case.The glaciation of small cumulus cloud,low precipitation efficiency of hailstorm and the per- sistence of torrential rain are demonstrated.It is also shown that the Bergeron process has little influence, but the warm-rain process plays an important role in the formation of precipitation in cumulonimbus with a warm cloud base. 展开更多
关键词 PART CASE STUDIES OF SHOWER hailstorm AND TORRENTIAL RAIN NUMERICAL SIMULATION OF MICROPHYSICAL PROCESSES IN CUMULONIMBUS
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复杂地形区域一次雹暴过程的观测及模拟研究
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作者 任薪儒 周筠珺 +3 位作者 罗喜平 曾勇 杨哲 邹书平 《成都信息工程大学学报》 2025年第1期85-93,共9页
为提高中国西南复杂地形区域雹暴预报水平,对该区域内一次典型雹暴过程中的地形作用、微物理过程及成雹机制进行系统分析,并采用全弹性三维对流云模式进行数值模拟。结果表明:(1)雹暴过程为冷空气侵入型,地形对低层暖湿气流的阻拦导致... 为提高中国西南复杂地形区域雹暴预报水平,对该区域内一次典型雹暴过程中的地形作用、微物理过程及成雹机制进行系统分析,并采用全弹性三维对流云模式进行数值模拟。结果表明:(1)雹暴过程为冷空气侵入型,地形对低层暖湿气流的阻拦导致水汽的积累,同时高原槽引导的冷空气触发雹暴。(2)近地面层或500~300 hPa高度层的>8×10^(-5)/s的涡度中心、750 hPa高度存在散度<-8×10^(-5)/s的辐合中心且在500 hPa或以上层次转为辐散、近地面层水汽通量散度<-12×10^(-8)g/(s·cm^(2)·hPa)、假相当位温梯度>4 K/km、0~6 km垂直风切变>15 m/s这几个阈值可以为西南复杂地形区域的雹暴过程提供预警。(3)32.03 m/s的强垂直风切变和旋转速度达19.85 m/s、厚度超3 km的强中气旋是降雹单体的主要维持机制。(4)雹胚主要由雪晶撞冻过冷雨滴产生,低密度霰在沉降过程中凇附云水和过冷雨滴增长成雹是主要的成雹机制。对贵州地区雹暴过程的预报具有一定指导作用。 展开更多
关键词 雹暴 大气物理 云模式 微物理 地形作用
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中国天眼“FAST”区域一次冰雹天气过程的成因分析
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作者 罗雄 张小娟 +2 位作者 罗喜平 李国平 李皓 《沙漠与绿洲气象》 2025年第1期120-129,共10页
利用常规观测资料、ERA5再分析资料、FY-2G卫星TBB资料和多普勒天气雷达资料,对2020年3月2日发生在“中国天眼”500m口径球面射电望远镜“FAST”所在区域(贵州平塘县)一次冰雹天气过程的成因进行分析。结果表明:短波槽、中低空西南急流... 利用常规观测资料、ERA5再分析资料、FY-2G卫星TBB资料和多普勒天气雷达资料,对2020年3月2日发生在“中国天眼”500m口径球面射电望远镜“FAST”所在区域(贵州平塘县)一次冰雹天气过程的成因进行分析。结果表明:短波槽、中低空西南急流、低层切变线、地面静止锋及辐合线是形成冰雹天气的有利环流背景,冷暖空气交汇加剧了大气不稳定度。降雹区位于地面锋区后部叠加次级环流上升支的层结不稳定区域;气旋式涡度配合风场的低层辐合—中高层辐散增强了大气的抽吸作用,为降雹区水汽的抬升提供了强烈的动力条件;不稳定能量的持续释放和“上干下湿”的层结分布,为对流形成提供了良好的能量和水汽条件。视热源Q1和视水汽汇Q2的垂直输送作用是加热的主要贡献项,水汽凝结释放潜热使低层大气增温在中层形成热源中心,促进上升运动,利于对流的维持发展。此次过程由中尺度对流云团(MCS)所致,冰雹云发展旺盛阶段TBB达-55℃,65dBZ回波顶高超-20℃层,云顶高度>14km,回波悬垂结构和VIL跃增特征显著。 展开更多
关键词 冰雹 物理量诊断 成因
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A Case Study of Cloud-to-Ground Lightning Activities in Hailstorms under Cold Eddy Synoptic Situation
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作者 冯桂力 郄秀书 +1 位作者 袁铁 周筠珺 《Acta meteorologica Sinica》 SCIE 2006年第4期489-499,共11页
There were three hailstorms in Shandong Province, caused by a same northeast cold eddy situation on 1 June 2002. Cloud-to-ground (CG) flashes occurring in the weather event were observed by Shandong Lightning Detect... There were three hailstorms in Shandong Province, caused by a same northeast cold eddy situation on 1 June 2002. Cloud-to-ground (CG) flashes occurring in the weather event were observed by Shandong Lightning Detection Network (SLDN), which consists of 10 sensors covering all over Shandong Province. The temporal and spatial distributions of CG lightning are investigated for the three hailstorms by using the data from SLDN, Doppler radar and satellite. The results show that different thunderstorms present different lightning features even if under the same synoptic situation. The percentage of positive CG lightning is very high during the period of hail falling. CG flashes mainly occurred in the region with a cloud top brightness temperature lower than -50℃. Negative CG flashes usually clustered in the lower temperature region and tended to occur in the region with maximum temperature gradient, while the positive ones usually spread discretely. Negative CG flashes usually occurred in intense echo regions with reflectivity greater than 50 dBz, while the positive CG flashes often occurred in weak and stable echo regions (10-30 dBz) or cloud anvils, although they can be observed in strong convective regions sometimes. Almost all haft falling took place in the stage with active positive flashes, and the peak positive flash rate is a little prior to the hail events. The thunderstorm could lead to disastrous weather when positive CG lightning activities occur in cluster. Severe thunderstorms sometimes present a low flash rate at its vigorous stage, which is probably caused by the "mechanism of chargeregion lift" through investigating the reflectivity evolution. Combined with the total lightning (intracloud and CG) data obtained by LIS onboard TRMM, the phenomenon of high ratio of intracloud flash to CG flash in severe hailstorm has been discussed. The competition of the same charge sources between different lightning types can also be helpful for explaining the cause of low CG lightning activities in severe storms. 展开更多
关键词 hailstorm cloud-to-ground (CG) lightning echo intensity brightness temperature distribution characteristics
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Variations of Precipitation Structure and Microwave Tbs During the Evolution of a Hailstorm from TRMM Observations
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作者 何文英 陈洪滨 《Acta meteorologica Sinica》 SCIE 2007年第2期153-167,共15页
In this paper, a hailstorm occurring on 9 May 1999 in Huanghuai region was studied by using the combined data from the precipitation radar (PR), microwave image (TMI), and visible infrared scanner (VIRS) on the ... In this paper, a hailstorm occurring on 9 May 1999 in Huanghuai region was studied by using the combined data from the precipitation radar (PR), microwave image (TMI), and visible infrared scanner (VIRS) on the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) satellite. According to the 3-orbit observations of 5- h duration from the TRMM satellite, the variation characteristics of the precipitation structures as well as cloud top temperature and microwave signals of the precipitating cloud were comprehensively analyzed during the evolution of hailstorm. The results show that the precipitation is obviously converted from early hail cloud with strong convection into the later storm cloud with weak convection. For hail cloud, there exists some strong convective cells, and the heavy solid precipitation is shown at the middle-top levels so that the contribution of rainfall amount above the freezing-layer to the column precipitation amount is rather larger than that within the melting-layer. However, for storm cloud, the convective cells are surrounded by the large area of stratiform precipitation, and the precipitation thickness gradually decreases, and the rainfall above the freezing-layer obviously reduces and the contribution of rainfall amount within the melting-layer rapidly increases. Therefore, the larger ratio of rainfall amount above the freezing layer to column precipitation amount is, the more convective the cloud is; reversely, the larger proportion of rainfall below the melting layer is, the more stable the stratiform cloud is. The different changing trends of microwave signals at different precipitation stages show that it is better to consider the structures and stages of precipitating cloud to choose the optimal microwave channels to retrieve surface rainfall. 展开更多
关键词 Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) precipitation radar (PR) hailstorm precipitation structure microwave brightness temperature
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The effects of giant cloud condensation nuclei on the structure of precipitation in hailstorm clouds
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作者 YANG HuiLing XIAO Hui HONG YanChao 《Science China Earth Sciences》 SCIE EI CAS 2012年第1期126-142,共17页
The Regional Atmospheric Modeling System (RAMS) has been used to investigate the effects of varied giant cloud condensation nuclei (GCCN) concentrations on precipitation characteristics of the spring hailstorms in a s... The Regional Atmospheric Modeling System (RAMS) has been used to investigate the effects of varied giant cloud condensation nuclei (GCCN) concentrations on precipitation characteristics of the spring hailstorms in a semi-arid region. The simulation result shows that this variation has significant effects on the storm microphysical processes as well as on the surface precipitation. The coverage of hail and hail mixing ratio maxima in cloud increases with greater GCCN concentrations. The accumulation zone structure benefits the growth of hail particles. Higher GCCN concentrations lead to more supercooled rain water and cloud water available for freezing. This simulation also shows that increasing GCCN concentrations may produce more rainfall on the surface but less hail precipitation, and the total accumulated precipitation increases while the ice phase precipitation decreases. This effect is stronger in polluted air than in clean air. The surface flow field changes with different GCCN concentrations. The identification index of spring hailstorm is different from that of summer hailstorm with a different aerosol background. 展开更多
关键词 AEROSOL giant cloud condensation nuclei (GCCN) micro-physics hailstorm PRECIPITATION
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Hailstorm Formation Enhanced by Meso-γ Vortices along a Low-Level Convergence Line
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作者 Honglei ZHANG Hangfeng SHEN Guoqing ZHAI 《Journal of Meteorological Research》 SCIE CSCD 2020年第6期1271-1286,共16页
During a hailstorm event,near-surface meso-γvortices along a convergence line interact with hail cells.Herein we investigate this interaction by using observational data and a high-resolution simulation of a hailstor... During a hailstorm event,near-surface meso-γvortices along a convergence line interact with hail cells.Herein we investigate this interaction by using observational data and a high-resolution simulation of a hailstorm that occurred over Taizhou(Zhejiang,China)on 19 March 2014.The 10-m surface wind data from automatic weather stations show that several meso-γvortices or vortex-like disturbances existed over the convergence zone and played a vital role in the evolution of the hailstorm and the location of the hail.The model results agree with the observations and present a closer correlation between the hail and the low-level meso-γvortices than those observed.The model simulation indicates that such low-level meso-γvortices can be used to predict the next 10-min hail fallout zone.The lowlevel meso-γvortices originated over the convergence zone and then fed back into the convergence field and provoked a stronger updraft.Vorticity was initiated primarily by stretching and was extended by tilting.A three-dimensional(3-D)flow analysis shows that the existence of low-level meso-γvortices could help enhance a local updraft.Furthermore,the simulation reveals that the low-level meso-γvortices formed in the bounded weak echo region(WER)at the front of the hail cell,enhancing convergence and strengthening updrafts.Graupel was broadly located between the 0°C isothermal line and the top of the clouds,roughly between the 0 and-20°C isothermal lines.Accordingly,the hailstones grew rapidly.The suitable environment and the positive effect of the meso-γvortices on the updrafts enabled hailstorm formation. 展开更多
关键词 hailstorm meso-γvortices special terrain high-resolution simulation strong updraft
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吉安一次罕见风雹天气过程分析
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作者 王文娟 彭永泰 《气象水文海洋仪器》 2025年第3期95-98,共4页
利用高空、地面和雷达等多源观测资料和ERA5再分析资料,对2019-03-21吉安市风雹天气过程的形成机理进行天气学诊断分析。结果表明:此次过程属典型斜压锋生类,高空强干冷平流叠置于低层强盛暖湿气流之上,锋面强迫抬升,低层辐合、高层辐散... 利用高空、地面和雷达等多源观测资料和ERA5再分析资料,对2019-03-21吉安市风雹天气过程的形成机理进行天气学诊断分析。结果表明:此次过程属典型斜压锋生类,高空强干冷平流叠置于低层强盛暖湿气流之上,锋面强迫抬升,低层辐合、高层辐散,导致上升运动强烈发展;干侵入特征异常明显,干层厚度达9 km,其中400 hPa高达40℃,强烈的热力不稳定加剧了大气层结的不稳定性;地面辐合线锋生和冷空气的作用,触发了大气不稳定能量的释放,导致大范围强风雹天气的发生;中等偏强的垂直风切变十分有利于高度有组织化的对流系统发展;雷达回波成熟阶段呈明显悬垂结构,有高悬的强回波及低层弱回波区,垂直累积液态水含量异常大(≥72 kg/m^(2)),消亡阶段反射率因子核心快速下降。通过与历史风雹个例进行对比分析,找出了一般风雹和极端风雹天气的异同点,提炼出预报特征指标阈值,建立吉安市极端风雹天气预报着眼点。 展开更多
关键词 极端风雹 形成机理 雷达回波 预报着眼点
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长沙1次深秋超大冰雹的成因及预警初探
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作者 彭听听 胡媚 +2 位作者 唐明晖 苏涛 徐靖宇 《山地气象学报》 2025年第4期69-77,共9页
【目的】湖南秋季冰雹少见,2023年11月9日长沙出现罕见深秋超大冰雹,为探究其成因及演变过程。【方法】基于观测资料、再分析资料及长沙双偏振雷达资料,分析对流发生前的环境场特征及对流演变的雷达回波特征,并探讨风暴参数演变对此次... 【目的】湖南秋季冰雹少见,2023年11月9日长沙出现罕见深秋超大冰雹,为探究其成因及演变过程。【方法】基于观测资料、再分析资料及长沙双偏振雷达资料,分析对流发生前的环境场特征及对流演变的雷达回波特征,并探讨风暴参数演变对此次过程的预警指示意义。【结果】1)强降雹发生在高空槽和低层低涡东移的环流背景下,大气为条件性不稳定层结,低层辐合线的上升运动将气块抬升到自由对流高度以上,强对流触发,同时适宜的-20℃和湿球0℃层高度有利于强降雹发生。2)热力条件一般,对流发生前K指数、850 hPa和500 hPa的温差低于春季降雹的经验阈值;水汽条件和动力条件较好,伴随差分反射率因子(Z_(DR)柱)上升气流的发展和维持是本次大冰雹过程的驱动因子之一。3)Z_(DR)柱与上升气流区对应,Z_(DR)低值带和“差分相移率因子(K_(DP))足”对应的下沉气流扩展至近地面,结合K_(DP)和相关系数(CC)等双偏振参数有利于判断冰雹相态及尺寸。4)发展阶段最大反射率因子(DBZM)增大、DBZM高度(HT)发展到冰雹的有效增长层、回波顶高(TOP)增高和垂直液态含水量(VIL)跃增,其中HT较DBZM和VIL对此次过程具有提前2~3个体扫的指示意义。【结论】研究结果为湖南秋季冰雹的短临预警提供了参考。 展开更多
关键词 超大冰雹 热力条件 双偏振雷达 偏振参数
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“2020.5.4”雹暴超级单体回波分层结构特征分析
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作者 邹书平 李丽丽 +2 位作者 黄钰 蒋汉开 龙安华 《高原山地气象研究》 2025年第1期57-67,共11页
选取2020年5月4日贵州东部一次持续时间长达6 h以上的雹暴超级单体天气过程,分析了该雹暴超级单体回波分层特征。结果表明:(1)雹暴单体从块状回波发展成为勾状回波,从东偏北向东偏南方向移动,移动速度达到50 km·h^(−1),回波强度最... 选取2020年5月4日贵州东部一次持续时间长达6 h以上的雹暴超级单体天气过程,分析了该雹暴超级单体回波分层特征。结果表明:(1)雹暴单体从块状回波发展成为勾状回波,从东偏北向东偏南方向移动,移动速度达到50 km·h^(−1),回波强度最大值达到71.5 dBZ,45 dBZ、55 dBZ回波高度最大值分别达到了15.2 km、12.1 km;(2)降雹集中期和大冰雹的发生与45 dBZ高度、55 dBZ高度扩展到−20℃层高度密切相关,大冰雹出现时间与55 dBZ高度大于−20℃层高度的集中时段较为一致。(3)降雹集中时段VIL值始终处于45 kg·m^(−2)以上的高值区,冰雹概率为100%,但冰雹尺寸大小与实际地面冰雹大小相差较大。(4)雹暴单体高空风随高度增大从偏西南风转为偏西北风,高空风的前沿出现强径向速度梯度带,最大平均径向速度达到了19 m·s^(−1),强回波中心出现正负径向速度块和最大速度模糊,并在南北侧出现“弓形”负径向速度区的辐合特征,强烈的辐合上升气流有利于大冰雹的形成、维持和增长。(5)降雹集中区回波强度≥45 dBZ的区域面积与降雹实际影响区域面积具有相对应的一致关系,降雹点主要集中在回波强度≥55 dBZ的区域内,单点降雹所对应回波强度≥45 dBZ持续时间段与实际降雹起止时间具有一致性。 展开更多
关键词 雹暴单体 分层结构 算法检验 降雹集中区 单点降雹持续时间
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1991—2020年暖季河套灌区强对流天气主要流型及环境参量特征分析 被引量:3
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作者 张玉荣 姚晓娟 +1 位作者 白舜耀 赵明明 《沙漠与绿洲气象》 2024年第2期76-82,共7页
利用常规气象观测资料、区域自动站观测资料及ERA5再分析资料,对河套灌区1991—2020年542个冰雹个例和281个短时强降水个例主要流型及环境参量特征进行分析。结果显示:(1)短时强降水天气主要有新疆低槽(涡)、东北冷涡、蒙古冷涡、西南气... 利用常规气象观测资料、区域自动站观测资料及ERA5再分析资料,对河套灌区1991—2020年542个冰雹个例和281个短时强降水个例主要流型及环境参量特征进行分析。结果显示:(1)短时强降水天气主要有新疆低槽(涡)、东北冷涡、蒙古冷涡、西南气流4类影响系统,冰雹天气主要有蒙古冷涡、西北气流、东北冷涡、巴尔喀什湖冷涡4类影响系统;(2)河套灌区短时强降水和冰雹各关键参数预报阈值均有差异,最低阈值的建议值采用箱线图25%百分位值,其中△T_(850-500)分别为26和33℃,K指数均值分别为27和35℃,CAPE均值分别为515和405 J·kg^(-1),0~6 km垂直风切变均为7×10^(-3)s^(-1),0℃层高度均值分别为4656和4069 m,-20℃层高度均值分别为8070和7054 m;(3)冰雹需要更大的K指数、△T_(850-500)以及更强的低层暖空气,同时冰雹有更低的0℃层和-20℃层高度,较低的0℃层高度可以防止冰雹下落过程融化。此外,下垫面因子对不同强对流天气的影响程度也不同,海拔高度是影响河套灌区冰雹分布的主要因素。 展开更多
关键词 强对流天气 短时强降水 冰雹 物理量
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一次超级单体引发的秋季特大冰雹和龙卷雷达探测分析 被引量:5
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作者 龚佃利 朱君鉴 +1 位作者 林曲凤 郭建 《气象》 CSCD 北大核心 2024年第5期561-576,共16页
利用烟台S波段双偏振多普勒雷达和荣成CINRAD/SA新一代天气雷达探测数据,结合探空、地面气象观测、ERA5再分析和冰雹、龙卷实地调查等资料,对2021年10月1日在山东半岛东部烟台、威海发生的特大冰雹和龙卷风暴的天气形势、环境参量和雷... 利用烟台S波段双偏振多普勒雷达和荣成CINRAD/SA新一代天气雷达探测数据,结合探空、地面气象观测、ERA5再分析和冰雹、龙卷实地调查等资料,对2021年10月1日在山东半岛东部烟台、威海发生的特大冰雹和龙卷风暴的天气形势、环境参量和雷达探测特征进行分析。主要结果为:与气候平均场相比,造成本次强对流过程的500 hPa东北冷涡异常强盛,850 hPa自华南到东北地区西部有持续偏南水汽输送;在此异常环流背景下,山东半岛东部具有上干冷下暖湿、强的0~6 km垂直风切变和对流有效位能等有利于强冰雹、龙卷发生的环境条件;近地面的风暴前低压、雷暴高压和冷池特征明显。降雹时的风暴呈现典型超级单体特征,低层具有明显的钩状回波和倒“V”字型前侧入流缺口,垂直剖面显示出明显的有界弱回波区、差分反射率柱(Z DR柱)特征;根据大冰雹落点和降雹开始时间等信息,统计对应雹云的反射率因子、Z DR、相关系数(CC)的中位数分别为48.7 dBz、0.89 dB和0.90;地面出现龙卷和大冰雹时,风暴顶辐散强度最大达到71.5 m·s^(-1)。后侧阵风锋对应的出流边界北端的偏北气流与风暴前侧的偏南气流形成强涡旋上升运动,导致EF1级龙卷产生;龙卷发生在钩状回波的顶端,大冰雹多出现在入流缺口的北侧。地面发现龙卷发生前约5 min,雷达探测到龙卷碎片特征,Z DR和CC分别最低至-0.1 dB和0.81;龙卷发生前约11 min,探测到风暴低层的Z DR弧和风暴右后侧的下沉反射率因子核特征;荣成、烟台雷达分别提前22 min、5 min识别出中气旋和龙卷涡旋,可为龙卷预警提供重要参考。基于观测分析,给出了本次超级单体风暴的低层流场及龙卷、大冰雹落区的示意图。 展开更多
关键词 超级单体 冰雹 龙卷涡旋(TVS) 龙卷碎片(TDS) 下沉反射率因子核(DRC)
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