Accurate gas viscosity determination is an important issue in the oil and gas industries.Experimental approaches for gas viscosity measurement are timeconsuming,expensive and hardly possible at high pressures and high...Accurate gas viscosity determination is an important issue in the oil and gas industries.Experimental approaches for gas viscosity measurement are timeconsuming,expensive and hardly possible at high pressures and high temperatures(HPHT).In this study,a number of correlations were developed to estimate gas viscosity by the use of group method of data handling(GMDH)type neural network and gene expression programming(GEP)techniques using a large data set containing more than 3000 experimental data points for methane,nitrogen,and hydrocarbon gas mixtures.It is worth mentioning that unlike many of viscosity correlations,the proposed ones in this study could compute gas viscosity at pressures ranging between 34 and 172 MPa and temperatures between 310 and 1300 K.Also,a comparison was performed between the results of these established models and the results of ten wellknown models reported in the literature.Average absolute relative errors of GMDH models were obtained 4.23%,0.64%,and 0.61%for hydrocarbon gas mixtures,methane,and nitrogen,respectively.In addition,graphical analyses indicate that the GMDH can predict gas viscosity with higher accuracy than GEP at HPHT conditions.Also,using leverage technique,valid,suspected and outlier data points were determined.Finally,trends of gas viscosity models at different conditions were evaluated.展开更多
This paper proposes the use of Group Method of Data Handling (GMDH) technique for modeling Magneto-Rheological (MR) dampers in the context of system identification. GMDH is a multilayer network of quadratic neurons th...This paper proposes the use of Group Method of Data Handling (GMDH) technique for modeling Magneto-Rheological (MR) dampers in the context of system identification. GMDH is a multilayer network of quadratic neurons that offers an effective solution to modeling non-linear systems. As such, we propose the use of GMDH to approximate the forward and inverse dynamic behaviors of MR dampers. We also introduce two enhanced GMDH-based solutions. Firstly, a two-tier architecture is proposed whereby an enhanced GMD model is generated by the aid of a feedback scheme. Secondly, stepwise regression is used as a feature selection method prior to GMDH modeling. The proposed enhancements to GMDH are found to offer improved prediction results in terms of reducing the root-mean-squared error by around 40%.展开更多
A major goal of coastal engineering is to develop models for the reliable prediction of short-and longterm near shore evolution.The most successful coastal models are numerical models,which allow flexibility in the ch...A major goal of coastal engineering is to develop models for the reliable prediction of short-and longterm near shore evolution.The most successful coastal models are numerical models,which allow flexibility in the choice of initial and boundary conditions.In the present study,evolutionary algorithms(EAs)are employed for multi-objective Pareto optimum design of group method data handling(GMDH)-type neural networks that have been used for bed evolution modeling in the surf zone for reflective beaches,based on the irregular wave experiments performed at the Hydraulic Laboratory of Imperial College(London,UK).The input parameters used for such modeling are significant wave height,wave period,wave action duration,reflection coefficient,distance from shoreline and sand size.In this way,EAs with an encoding scheme are presented for evolutionary design of the generalized GMDH-type neural networks,in which the connectivity configurations in such networks are not limited to adjacent layers.Also,multi-objective EAs with a diversity preserving mechanism are used for Pareto optimization of such GMDH-type neural networks.The most important objectives of GMDH-type neural networks that are considered in this study are training error(TE),prediction error(PE),and number of neurons(N).Different pairs of these objective functions are selected for two-objective optimization processes.Therefore,optimal Pareto fronts of such models are obtained in each case,which exhibit the trade-offs between the corresponding pair of the objectives and,thus,provide different non-dominated optimal choices of GMDH-type neural network model for beach profile evolution.The results showed that the present model has been successfully used to optimally prediction of beach profile evolution on beaches with seawalls.展开更多
Current minimization programs do not permit full control over different aspects of minimization algorithm such as distance or probability measures and may not allow for unequal allocation ratios. This article describe...Current minimization programs do not permit full control over different aspects of minimization algorithm such as distance or probability measures and may not allow for unequal allocation ratios. This article describes the implementation of “MinimPy” an open-source minimization program in Python programming language, which provides full customizetion of minimization features. MinimPy supports naive and biased coin minimization together with various new and classic distance measures. Data syncing is provided to facilitate minimization of multicenter trial over the network. MinimPy can easily be modified to fit special needs of clinical trials and in particular change it to a pure web application, though it currently supports network syncing of data in multi-center trials using network repositories.展开更多
Accurate reservoir permeability determination is crucial in hydrocarbon exploration and production.Conventional methods relying on empirical correlations and assumptions often result in high costs,time consumption,ina...Accurate reservoir permeability determination is crucial in hydrocarbon exploration and production.Conventional methods relying on empirical correlations and assumptions often result in high costs,time consumption,inaccuracies,and uncertainties.This study introduces a novel hybrid machine learning approach to predict the permeability of the Wangkwar formation in the Gunya oilfield,Northwestern Uganda.The group method of data handling with differential evolution(GMDH-DE)algorithm was used to predict permeability due to its capability to manage complex,nonlinear relationships between variables,reduced computation time,and parameter optimization through evolutionary algorithms.Using 1953 samples from Gunya-1 and Gunya-2 wells for training and 1563 samples from Gunya-3 for testing,the GMDH-DE outperformed the group method of data handling(GMDH)and random forest(RF)in predicting permeability with higher accuracy and lower computation time.The GMDH-DE achieved an R^(2)of 0.9985,RMSE of 3.157,MAE of 2.366,and ME of 0.001 during training,and for testing,the ME,MAE,RMSE,and R^(2)were 1.3508,12.503,21.3898,and 0.9534,respectively.Additionally,the GMDH-DE demonstrated a 41%reduction in processing time compared to GMDH and RF.The model was also used to predict the permeability of the Mita Gamma well in the Mandawa basin,Tanzania,which lacks core data.Shapley additive explanations(SHAP)analysis identified thermal neutron porosity(TNPH),effective porosity(PHIE),and spectral gamma-ray(SGR)as the most critical parameters in permeability prediction.Therefore,the GMDH-DE model offers a novel,efficient,and accurate approach for fast permeability prediction,enhancing hydrocarbon exploration and production.展开更多
Short-term traffic flow forecasting is a significant part of intelligent transportation system.In some traffic control scenarios,obtaining future traffic flow in advance is conducive to highway management department t...Short-term traffic flow forecasting is a significant part of intelligent transportation system.In some traffic control scenarios,obtaining future traffic flow in advance is conducive to highway management department to have sufficient time to formulate corresponding traffic flow control measures.In hence,it is meaningful to establish an accurate short-term traffic flow method and provide reference for peak traffic flow warning.This paper proposed a new hybrid model for traffic flow forecasting,which is composed of the variational mode decomposition(VMD)method,the group method of data handling(GMDH)neural network,bi-directional long and short term memory(BILSTM)network and ELMAN network,and is optimized by the imperialist competitive algorithm(ICA)method.To illustrate the performance of the proposed model,there are several comparative experiments between the proposed model and other models.The experiment results show that 1)BILSTM network,GMDH network and ELMAN network have better predictive performance than other single models;2)VMD can significantly improve the predictive performance of the ICA-GMDH-BILSTM-ELMAN model.The effect of VMD method is better than that of EEMD method and FEEMD method.To conclude,the proposed model which is made up of the VMD method,the ICA method,the BILSTM network,the GMDH network and the ELMAN network has excellent predictive ability for traffic flow series.展开更多
The Wireless Sensor Network(WSN)is a promising technology that could be used to monitor rivers’water levels for early warning flood detection in the 5G context.However,during a flood,sensor nodes may be washed up or ...The Wireless Sensor Network(WSN)is a promising technology that could be used to monitor rivers’water levels for early warning flood detection in the 5G context.However,during a flood,sensor nodes may be washed up or become faulty,which seriously affects network connectivity.To address this issue,Unmanned Aerial Vehicles(UAVs)could be integrated with WSN as routers or data mules to provide reliable data collection and flood prediction.In light of this,we propose a fault-tolerant multi-level framework comprised of a WSN and a UAV to monitor river levels.The framework is capable to provide seamless data collection by handling the disconnections caused by the failed nodes during a flood.Besides,an algorithm hybridized with Group Method Data Handling(GMDH)and Particle Swarm Optimization(PSO)is proposed to predict forthcoming floods in an intelligent collaborative environment.The proposed water-level prediction model is trained based on the real dataset obtained fromthe Selangor River inMalaysia.The performance of the work in comparison with other models has been also evaluated and numerical results based on different metrics such as coefficient of determination(R2),correlation coefficient(R),RootMean Square Error(RMSE),Mean Absolute Percentage Error(MAPE),and BIAS are provided.展开更多
In order to reduce both the weight of vehicles and the damage of occupants in a crash event simultaneously, it is necessary to perform a multi-objective optimal design of the automotive energy absorbing components. Mo...In order to reduce both the weight of vehicles and the damage of occupants in a crash event simultaneously, it is necessary to perform a multi-objective optimal design of the automotive energy absorbing components. Modified non-dominated sorting genetic algorithm II(NSGA II) was used for multi-objective optimization of automotive S-rail considering absorbed energy(E), peak crushing force(Fmax) and mass of the structure(W) as three conflicting objective functions. In the multi-objective optimization problem(MOP), E and Fmax are defined by polynomial models extracted using the software GEvo M based on train and test data obtained from numerical simulation of quasi-static crushing of the S-rail using ABAQUS. Finally, the nearest to ideal point(NIP)method and technique for ordering preferences by similarity to ideal solution(TOPSIS) method are used to find the some trade-off optimum design points from all non-dominated optimum design points represented by the Pareto fronts. Results represent that the optimum design point obtained from TOPSIS method exhibits better trade-off in comparison with that of optimum design point obtained from NIP method.展开更多
This paper uses Abductive network to predict global solar radiation in any location in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia （KSA） based on sunshine duration, month number, latitude, longitude, and altitude of the location. R...This paper uses Abductive network to predict global solar radiation in any location in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia （KSA） based on sunshine duration, month number, latitude, longitude, and altitude of the location. Results indicate good agreement between measured and predicted GSR values for each of the 35 locations with known GSR values. Finally, the data from all available stations are used to train an abductive network to estimate the GSR values anywhere in the Kingdom based on latitude and longitude. GSR values are estimated using the developed method at 25 additional locations throughout the kingdom and used with the measured data from the 35 available measurement stations to draw a comprehensive contour map of GSR values for KSA.展开更多
文摘Accurate gas viscosity determination is an important issue in the oil and gas industries.Experimental approaches for gas viscosity measurement are timeconsuming,expensive and hardly possible at high pressures and high temperatures(HPHT).In this study,a number of correlations were developed to estimate gas viscosity by the use of group method of data handling(GMDH)type neural network and gene expression programming(GEP)techniques using a large data set containing more than 3000 experimental data points for methane,nitrogen,and hydrocarbon gas mixtures.It is worth mentioning that unlike many of viscosity correlations,the proposed ones in this study could compute gas viscosity at pressures ranging between 34 and 172 MPa and temperatures between 310 and 1300 K.Also,a comparison was performed between the results of these established models and the results of ten wellknown models reported in the literature.Average absolute relative errors of GMDH models were obtained 4.23%,0.64%,and 0.61%for hydrocarbon gas mixtures,methane,and nitrogen,respectively.In addition,graphical analyses indicate that the GMDH can predict gas viscosity with higher accuracy than GEP at HPHT conditions.Also,using leverage technique,valid,suspected and outlier data points were determined.Finally,trends of gas viscosity models at different conditions were evaluated.
文摘This paper proposes the use of Group Method of Data Handling (GMDH) technique for modeling Magneto-Rheological (MR) dampers in the context of system identification. GMDH is a multilayer network of quadratic neurons that offers an effective solution to modeling non-linear systems. As such, we propose the use of GMDH to approximate the forward and inverse dynamic behaviors of MR dampers. We also introduce two enhanced GMDH-based solutions. Firstly, a two-tier architecture is proposed whereby an enhanced GMD model is generated by the aid of a feedback scheme. Secondly, stepwise regression is used as a feature selection method prior to GMDH modeling. The proposed enhancements to GMDH are found to offer improved prediction results in terms of reducing the root-mean-squared error by around 40%.
文摘A major goal of coastal engineering is to develop models for the reliable prediction of short-and longterm near shore evolution.The most successful coastal models are numerical models,which allow flexibility in the choice of initial and boundary conditions.In the present study,evolutionary algorithms(EAs)are employed for multi-objective Pareto optimum design of group method data handling(GMDH)-type neural networks that have been used for bed evolution modeling in the surf zone for reflective beaches,based on the irregular wave experiments performed at the Hydraulic Laboratory of Imperial College(London,UK).The input parameters used for such modeling are significant wave height,wave period,wave action duration,reflection coefficient,distance from shoreline and sand size.In this way,EAs with an encoding scheme are presented for evolutionary design of the generalized GMDH-type neural networks,in which the connectivity configurations in such networks are not limited to adjacent layers.Also,multi-objective EAs with a diversity preserving mechanism are used for Pareto optimization of such GMDH-type neural networks.The most important objectives of GMDH-type neural networks that are considered in this study are training error(TE),prediction error(PE),and number of neurons(N).Different pairs of these objective functions are selected for two-objective optimization processes.Therefore,optimal Pareto fronts of such models are obtained in each case,which exhibit the trade-offs between the corresponding pair of the objectives and,thus,provide different non-dominated optimal choices of GMDH-type neural network model for beach profile evolution.The results showed that the present model has been successfully used to optimally prediction of beach profile evolution on beaches with seawalls.
文摘Current minimization programs do not permit full control over different aspects of minimization algorithm such as distance or probability measures and may not allow for unequal allocation ratios. This article describes the implementation of “MinimPy” an open-source minimization program in Python programming language, which provides full customizetion of minimization features. MinimPy supports naive and biased coin minimization together with various new and classic distance measures. Data syncing is provided to facilitate minimization of multicenter trial over the network. MinimPy can easily be modified to fit special needs of clinical trials and in particular change it to a pure web application, though it currently supports network syncing of data in multi-center trials using network repositories.
基金supported by the Major National Science and Technology Programs in the“Thirteenth Five-Year”Plan period(Grant No.2017ZX05032-002-004)the Innovation Team Funding of Natural Science Foundation of Hubei Province,China(Grant No.2021CFA031)the Chinese Scholarship Council(CSC)and Silk Road Institute for their support in terms of stipend.
文摘Accurate reservoir permeability determination is crucial in hydrocarbon exploration and production.Conventional methods relying on empirical correlations and assumptions often result in high costs,time consumption,inaccuracies,and uncertainties.This study introduces a novel hybrid machine learning approach to predict the permeability of the Wangkwar formation in the Gunya oilfield,Northwestern Uganda.The group method of data handling with differential evolution(GMDH-DE)algorithm was used to predict permeability due to its capability to manage complex,nonlinear relationships between variables,reduced computation time,and parameter optimization through evolutionary algorithms.Using 1953 samples from Gunya-1 and Gunya-2 wells for training and 1563 samples from Gunya-3 for testing,the GMDH-DE outperformed the group method of data handling(GMDH)and random forest(RF)in predicting permeability with higher accuracy and lower computation time.The GMDH-DE achieved an R^(2)of 0.9985,RMSE of 3.157,MAE of 2.366,and ME of 0.001 during training,and for testing,the ME,MAE,RMSE,and R^(2)were 1.3508,12.503,21.3898,and 0.9534,respectively.Additionally,the GMDH-DE demonstrated a 41%reduction in processing time compared to GMDH and RF.The model was also used to predict the permeability of the Mita Gamma well in the Mandawa basin,Tanzania,which lacks core data.Shapley additive explanations(SHAP)analysis identified thermal neutron porosity(TNPH),effective porosity(PHIE),and spectral gamma-ray(SGR)as the most critical parameters in permeability prediction.Therefore,the GMDH-DE model offers a novel,efficient,and accurate approach for fast permeability prediction,enhancing hydrocarbon exploration and production.
基金Project(61873283)supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of ChinaProject(KQ1707017)supported by the Changsha Science&Technology Project,ChinaProject(2019CX005)supported by the Innovation Driven Project of the Central South University,China。
文摘Short-term traffic flow forecasting is a significant part of intelligent transportation system.In some traffic control scenarios,obtaining future traffic flow in advance is conducive to highway management department to have sufficient time to formulate corresponding traffic flow control measures.In hence,it is meaningful to establish an accurate short-term traffic flow method and provide reference for peak traffic flow warning.This paper proposed a new hybrid model for traffic flow forecasting,which is composed of the variational mode decomposition(VMD)method,the group method of data handling(GMDH)neural network,bi-directional long and short term memory(BILSTM)network and ELMAN network,and is optimized by the imperialist competitive algorithm(ICA)method.To illustrate the performance of the proposed model,there are several comparative experiments between the proposed model and other models.The experiment results show that 1)BILSTM network,GMDH network and ELMAN network have better predictive performance than other single models;2)VMD can significantly improve the predictive performance of the ICA-GMDH-BILSTM-ELMAN model.The effect of VMD method is better than that of EEMD method and FEEMD method.To conclude,the proposed model which is made up of the VMD method,the ICA method,the BILSTM network,the GMDH network and the ELMAN network has excellent predictive ability for traffic flow series.
基金This work was supported by Ministry of Higher Education,Fundamental Research Grant Scheme,Vote Number 21H14,and Faculty of Information Science and Technology,Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia(Grant ID:GGPM-2020-029 and Grant ID:PPFTSM-2020).
文摘The Wireless Sensor Network(WSN)is a promising technology that could be used to monitor rivers’water levels for early warning flood detection in the 5G context.However,during a flood,sensor nodes may be washed up or become faulty,which seriously affects network connectivity.To address this issue,Unmanned Aerial Vehicles(UAVs)could be integrated with WSN as routers or data mules to provide reliable data collection and flood prediction.In light of this,we propose a fault-tolerant multi-level framework comprised of a WSN and a UAV to monitor river levels.The framework is capable to provide seamless data collection by handling the disconnections caused by the failed nodes during a flood.Besides,an algorithm hybridized with Group Method Data Handling(GMDH)and Particle Swarm Optimization(PSO)is proposed to predict forthcoming floods in an intelligent collaborative environment.The proposed water-level prediction model is trained based on the real dataset obtained fromthe Selangor River inMalaysia.The performance of the work in comparison with other models has been also evaluated and numerical results based on different metrics such as coefficient of determination(R2),correlation coefficient(R),RootMean Square Error(RMSE),Mean Absolute Percentage Error(MAPE),and BIAS are provided.
文摘In order to reduce both the weight of vehicles and the damage of occupants in a crash event simultaneously, it is necessary to perform a multi-objective optimal design of the automotive energy absorbing components. Modified non-dominated sorting genetic algorithm II(NSGA II) was used for multi-objective optimization of automotive S-rail considering absorbed energy(E), peak crushing force(Fmax) and mass of the structure(W) as three conflicting objective functions. In the multi-objective optimization problem(MOP), E and Fmax are defined by polynomial models extracted using the software GEvo M based on train and test data obtained from numerical simulation of quasi-static crushing of the S-rail using ABAQUS. Finally, the nearest to ideal point(NIP)method and technique for ordering preferences by similarity to ideal solution(TOPSIS) method are used to find the some trade-off optimum design points from all non-dominated optimum design points represented by the Pareto fronts. Results represent that the optimum design point obtained from TOPSIS method exhibits better trade-off in comparison with that of optimum design point obtained from NIP method.
文摘This paper uses Abductive network to predict global solar radiation in any location in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia （KSA） based on sunshine duration, month number, latitude, longitude, and altitude of the location. Results indicate good agreement between measured and predicted GSR values for each of the 35 locations with known GSR values. Finally, the data from all available stations are used to train an abductive network to estimate the GSR values anywhere in the Kingdom based on latitude and longitude. GSR values are estimated using the developed method at 25 additional locations throughout the kingdom and used with the measured data from the 35 available measurement stations to draw a comprehensive contour map of GSR values for KSA.
