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Data-Driven Prediction in Complex Systems of Virus Evolution and Global Warming 被引量:1
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作者 LUO Liaofu LÜJun 《内蒙古大学学报(自然科学版)》 2025年第1期1-7,共7页
A complex system is inherently high-dimensional.Recent studies indicate that,even without complete knowledge of its evolutionary dynamics,the future behavior of such a system can be predicted using time-series data(da... A complex system is inherently high-dimensional.Recent studies indicate that,even without complete knowledge of its evolutionary dynamics,the future behavior of such a system can be predicted using time-series data(data-driven prediction).This suggests that the essential dynamics of a complex system can be captured through a low-dimensional representation.Virus evolution and climate change are two examples of complex,time-varying systems.In this article,we show that mutations in the spike protein provide valuable data for predicting SARS-CoV-2 variants,forecasting the possible emergence of the new macro-lineage Q in the near future.Our analysis also demonstrates that carbon dioxide concentration is a reliable indicator for predicting the evolution of the climate system,extending global surface air temperature(GSAT)forecasts through 2500. 展开更多
关键词 data-drivenprediction complex system virus evolution global warming
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Potential reduction of global colorectal cancer,1990–2021 被引量:1
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作者 Zilin Luo Xuesi Dong +10 位作者 Le Wang Yadi Zheng Chenran Wang Jiaxin Xie Xiaolu Chen Liang Zhao Yongjie Xu Wei Cao Fei Wang Lingbin Du Ni Li 《Journal of the National Cancer Center》 2025年第3期313-321,共9页
Objectives Primary prevention targeting modifiable risk factors would reduce the global burden of colorectal cancer,but the quantitative results are uncertain.We aimed to assess the global burden of colorectal cancer ... Objectives Primary prevention targeting modifiable risk factors would reduce the global burden of colorectal cancer,but the quantitative results are uncertain.We aimed to assess the global burden of colorectal cancer attributed to modifiable lifestyle factors and quantify the potential increase in life expectancy resulting from the elimination of these risk factors.Methods Based on the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021,we examined colorectal cancer deaths and disability-adjusted life years attributed to modifiable risk factors(including smoking,diet low in whole grains,diet low in milk,diet high in red meat,diet low in calcium,diet high in processed meat,and diet low in fiber)at the global,regional,and national levels from 1990 to 2021.The abridged period life table method was utilized to quantify the potential gain in life expectancy from eliminating these risk factors.Results Globally in 2021,57.1%of colorectal cancer deaths and 56.4%of disability-adjusted life years were preventable,with rates of 7.55(4.94–9.64)and 174.67(114.54–222.24)per 100,000 population,respectively.The modifiable burden has diminished in the high,high-middle,and low socio-demographic index quintiles and remained steady in the middle one.However,there is a concerning increase in the low-middle one.In 2021,the elimination of global colorectal cancer attributed to modifiable factors would increase the life expectancy for males and females by 0.107 and 0.109 years,respectively.Conclusion Our results quantitatively demonstrate the substantial burden reduction in colorectal cancer and the significant gain in life expectancy that can be achieved by eliminating modifiable lifestyle factors. 展开更多
关键词 Colorectal cancer Modifiable Risk factors global burden of disease
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Global Piecewise Analysis of HIV Model with Bi-Infectious Categories under Ordinary Derivative and Non-Singular Operator with Neural Network Approach
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作者 Ghaliah Alhamzi Badr Saad TAlkahtani +1 位作者 Ravi Shanker Dubey Mati ur Rahman 《Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences》 SCIE EI 2025年第1期609-633,共25页
This study directs the discussion of HIV disease with a novel kind of complex dynamical generalized and piecewise operator in the sense of classical and Atangana Baleanu(AB)derivatives having arbitrary order.The HIV i... This study directs the discussion of HIV disease with a novel kind of complex dynamical generalized and piecewise operator in the sense of classical and Atangana Baleanu(AB)derivatives having arbitrary order.The HIV infection model has a susceptible class,a recovered class,along with a case of infection divided into three sub-different levels or categories and the recovered class.The total time interval is converted into two,which are further investigated for ordinary and fractional order operators of the AB derivative,respectively.The proposed model is tested separately for unique solutions and existence on bi intervals.The numerical solution of the proposed model is treated by the piece-wise numerical iterative scheme of Newtons Polynomial.The proposed method is established for piece-wise derivatives under natural order and non-singular Mittag-Leffler Law.The cross-over or bending characteristics in the dynamical system of HIV are easily examined by the aspect of this research having a memory effect for controlling the said disease.This study uses the neural network(NN)technique to obtain a better set of weights with low residual errors,and the epochs number is considered 1000.The obtained figures represent the approximate solution and absolute error which are tested with NN to train the data accurately. 展开更多
关键词 HIV infection model qualitative scheme approximate solution piecewise global operator neural network
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Inspiring the Global South
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作者 NI YANSHUO 《ChinAfrica》 2025年第12期14-15,共2页
South African scholars highlight the importance of Xi Jinping:The Governance of China China is playing an increasingly active and important role in global politics and economy,especially in the development of the Glob... South African scholars highlight the importance of Xi Jinping:The Governance of China China is playing an increasingly active and important role in global politics and economy,especially in the development of the Global South. 展开更多
关键词 global economy Chinas governance global politics DEVELOPMENT development global south xi jinping global South
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The Dilemma of Multilateralism in Global Governance and Its Remedies
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作者 Zhao Qinghai 《China International Studies》 2025年第4期126-144,共19页
Today,the world is undergoing profound changes unseen in a century,and a host of global challenges continue to emerge.The international community urgently requires effective global governance.As Chinese President Xi J... Today,the world is undergoing profound changes unseen in a century,and a host of global challenges continue to emerge.The international community urgently requires effective global governance.As Chinese President Xi Jinping has pointed out,multilateralism is the inevitable choice for addressing the world’s difficulties and challenges.1 However,various negative trends in international politics are undermining or impeding the effectiveness of multilateralism and aggravating the global governance deficit.Against this backdrop,it is essential to reassess the importance of multilateralism in global governance,identify the challenges it faces,and explore feasible pathways for collective action to advance global governance. 展开更多
关键词 MULTILATERALISM effective global governanceas global governance deficit collective action international politics global challenges global governance
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A Review on Modeling Environmental Loading Effects and Their Contributions to Nonlinear Variations of Global Navigation Satellite System Coordinate Time Series 被引量:1
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作者 Zhao Li Weiping Jiang +3 位作者 Tonie van Dam Xiaowei Zou Qusen Chen Hua Chen 《Engineering》 2025年第4期26-37,共12页
Nonlinear variations in the coordinate time series of global navigation satellite system(GNSS) reference stations are strongly correlated with surface displacements caused by environmental loading effects,including at... Nonlinear variations in the coordinate time series of global navigation satellite system(GNSS) reference stations are strongly correlated with surface displacements caused by environmental loading effects,including atmospheric, hydrological, and nontidal ocean loading. Continuous improvements in the accuracy of surface mass loading products, performance of Earth models, and precise data-processing technologies have significantly advanced research on the effects of environmental loading on nonlinear variations in GNSS coordinate time series. However, owing to theoretical limitations, the lack of high spatiotemporal resolution surface mass observations, and the coupling of GNSS technology-related systematic errors, environmental loading and nonlinear GNSS reference station displacements remain inconsistent. The applicability and capability of these loading products across different regions also require further evaluation. This paper outlines methods for modeling environmental loading, surface mass loading products, and service organizations. In addition, it summarizes recent advances in applying environmental loading to address nonlinear variations in global and regional GNSS coordinate time series. Moreover, the scientific questions of existing studies are summarized, and insights into future research directions are provided. The complex nonlinear motion of reference stations is a major factor limiting the accuracy of the current terrestrial reference frame. Further refining the environmental load modeling method, establishing a surface mass distribution model with high spatiotemporal resolution and reliability, exploring other environmental load factors such as ice sheet and artificial mass-change effects, and developing an optimal data-processing model and strategy for reprocessing global reference station data consistently could contribute to the development of a millimeter-level nonlinear motion model for GNSS reference stations with actual physical significance and provide theoretical support for establishing a terrestrial reference frame with 1 mm accuracy by 2050. 展开更多
关键词 Environmental loading global navigation satellite system Nonlinear variations Time series analysis Surface mass distribution Green’s function Spherical harmonic function
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Reform of the Global Economic Governance System Under the Trend of Re-Globalization
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作者 Chen Weiguang 《Contemporary World》 2025年第4期41-45,共5页
Economic globalization is a process of forming a global market under the conditions of technological progress and national opening-up.Influenced by factors such as national policies,the international environment and g... Economic globalization is a process of forming a global market under the conditions of technological progress and national opening-up.Influenced by factors such as national policies,the international environment and geopolitics,the values,concepts and choices of the participants of globalization will change accordingly,thus affecting the mode,scale and speed of globalization. 展开更多
关键词 global economic governance system re globalization technological progress national opening up economic globalization international environment forming global market national policies
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The Power of Global Dialogues
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作者 Zhang Hui 《China Today》 2025年第8期2-2,共1页
At a time when humanity grapples with intersecting deficits in peace,development,security and governance,civilizations stand at a crossroads.As traditional Western-led solutions falter,China’s Global Civilization Ini... At a time when humanity grapples with intersecting deficits in peace,development,security and governance,civilizations stand at a crossroads.As traditional Western-led solutions falter,China’s Global Civilization Initiative(GCI)emerges as a transformative framework,translating historical wisdom into actionable strategies.Recent forums like the 11th Nishan Forum on World Civilizations and the Global Civilizations Dialogue Ministerial Meeting underscore growing consensus on core principles:equality,mutual learning,inclusive dialogue,and collaborative response to global challenges.As Chinese President Xi Jinping pointed out in his congratulatory letter to the Global Civilizations Dialogue Ministerial Meeting,“History shows that exchanges and mutual learning among civilizations are essential for civilizations to flourish and for human progress to be made.” 展开更多
关键词 security global civilizations GOVERNANCE global civilization initiative gci emerges development global dialogues Chinas global Civilization Initiative intersecting deficits
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Global Strong Solutions to the Nonhomogeneous Boussinesq Equations for Magnetohydrodynamics Convection with Zero Heat Diffusion and Large Initial Data
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作者 YANG Wanji 《数学进展》 北大核心 2025年第5期992-1014,共23页
We study the two-dimensional(2D)Cauchy problem of nonhomogeneous Boussinesq system for magnetohydrodynamics convection without heat diffusion in the whole plane.Based on delicate weighted estimates,we derive the globa... We study the two-dimensional(2D)Cauchy problem of nonhomogeneous Boussinesq system for magnetohydrodynamics convection without heat diffusion in the whole plane.Based on delicate weighted estimates,we derive the global existence and uniqueness of strong solutions.In particular,the initial data can be arbitrarily large and the initial density may contain vacuum states and even have compact support. 展开更多
关键词 nonhomogeneous Boussinesq-MHD system global well-posedness Cauchy problem zero heat diffusion large initial data
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Exploring the potential carbon emissions and net-zero path of international flights:A case study in Macao
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作者 Haoxuan Wang Ni Sheng +2 位作者 Qingbin Song Liujie Xu Jing Bai 《Journal of Environmental Sciences》 2025年第10期288-299,共12页
With the rapid development of aviation industry and its increasing impact on the global climate change,the contributions of carbon emissions frominternational flights are attracting more and more attention worldwide.T... With the rapid development of aviation industry and its increasing impact on the global climate change,the contributions of carbon emissions frominternational flights are attracting more and more attention worldwide.This study,taking Macao as the aviation hub,established the cross-border aviation carbon emission evaluation model to explore dynamic carbon emissions and net-zero path of international flights.The aviation hubmainly covers 58 routes and five types of civil aircraft from 12 countries or regions during 2000-2022.The results show that the aviation transportation in Macao emitted about 1.44 million tons CO_(2)eq in 2019,which is high 3.6 times that of 2000.The COVID-19 has led to a rapid decline in aviation carbon emissions in a short period of time,carbon emissions in 2020 decreased by 80%compared to 2019.In terms of cumulative carbon emissions from 2000 to 2019,the A321 and A320 Airbus contribute to 80%of carbon emissions.And the Chinese mainland(37%)and Taiwan(29%)are the main sources of emissions.In 2000-2019,the proportion of carbon emissions from China(including Taiwan and Hong Kong)decrease from 91%to 53%,while the contribution from Southeast Asia(from 5% to 26%),Japan and South Korea(from 2% to 19%)keep the growth trends.In the optimal scenario(B3C3),net zero emissions of cross-border aviation in Macao can be not achieved,and there is still only by removing 0.3 million tons CO_(2)eq.Emission reduction technology and new energy usage are priorities for the aviation emission reduction. 展开更多
关键词 International flight Cross-border aviation Carbon emissions Scenario analysis Covid-19 net-zero emissions
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Valuable Experiences--China-Africa cooperation serves as a catalyst for a fairer Global South future
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作者 ZHONG YINING SHI XINYU 《ChinAfrica》 2025年第6期14-15,共2页
Global South,representing the collective of emerging markets and developing countries,is becoming a pivotal force in reshaping the international order.It plays a vital role in driving global governance reforms with th... Global South,representing the collective of emerging markets and developing countries,is becoming a pivotal force in reshaping the international order.It plays a vital role in driving global governance reforms with the principle of fairness and equity. 展开更多
关键词 fairness equity global southrepresenting emerging markets developing global south international order driving global governance reforms fairer global future China Africa cooperation
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Re-globalization:Path out of Plight to Revival for Multilateral Mechanisms
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作者 Wang Zhongmei 《Contemporary World》 2025年第1期29-33,共5页
After the 2008 global financial crisis, the global governance architecture underwent significant changes, accompanied by transformations in political, economic, diplomatic, and social spheres. What we had learnt since... After the 2008 global financial crisis, the global governance architecture underwent significant changes, accompanied by transformations in political, economic, diplomatic, and social spheres. What we had learnt since the end of World War Ⅱ was unable to make sense of the evolution and direction of this architecture. 展开更多
关键词 political transformation diplomatic transformation global financial crisis global governance architecture multilateral mechanisms re globalization economic transformation
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The Global Trust Deficit and China’s Rebuilding Proposal
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作者 Sun Jisheng 《China International Studies》 2025年第3期32-60,共29页
The international order and global system are undergoing complex and profound changes nowadays.Unparalleled transformations in the world,the speed at which they happen,and the course of history are unfolding in unprec... The international order and global system are undergoing complex and profound changes nowadays.Unparalleled transformations in the world,the speed at which they happen,and the course of history are unfolding in unprecedented ways,ushering in a new period of turbulence and transition.Geopolitical and geo-economic competition among major powers is intensifying;global economic growth remains sluggish;crises and conflicts continue to emerge;and both regional and global peace and security are repeatedly challenged. 展开更多
关键词 global system complex profound changes global trust deficit international order Chinas rebuilding proposal global economic growth geopolitical competition unparalleled transformations
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Standards help build global trust and enable innovation in the AI era
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《China Standardization》 2025年第5期2-3,共2页
Nowadays,we are witnessing the tremendous changes brought by AI technologies.What role can standards play in this process?How can we build global trust and enable responsible innovation?
关键词 STANDARDS build global trust responsible innovation AI global trust
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China contributes to the establishment of ISO/TC 8/SC 27 for global coordinated port development
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作者 Fang Luofan 《China Standardization》 2025年第4期50-55,共6页
Ports,the core hub of global supply chains,serve as vital links in the economic and trade exchanges among countries.Efficient,safe,green and smart ports are essential for the smooth operation of global trade.Recently,... Ports,the core hub of global supply chains,serve as vital links in the economic and trade exchanges among countries.Efficient,safe,green and smart ports are essential for the smooth operation of global trade.Recently,ISO established ISO/TC 8/SC 27,Ports and terminals,the secretariat of which is held by China.This is a big breakthrough of China’s participation in the international standardization activities in the area of transportation. 展开更多
关键词 economic trade exchanges global supply chainsserve China safe ports ISO TC SC efficient ports global supply chains global coordinated port development
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Global transplantation:Lessons from organ transplantation organizations worldwide
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作者 Solonas Symeou Eleni Avramidou +1 位作者 Vassilios Papalois Georgios Tsoulfas 《World Journal of Transplantation》 2025年第1期44-56,共13页
Although national transplant organizations share common visions and goals,the creation of a unified global organization remains impractical.Differences in ethnicity,culture,religion,and education shape local practices... Although national transplant organizations share common visions and goals,the creation of a unified global organization remains impractical.Differences in ethnicity,culture,religion,and education shape local practices and infrastructure,making the establishment of a single global entity unfeasible.Even with these social disparities aside,logistical factors such as time and distance between organ procurement and transplantation sites pose significant challenges.While technological advancements have extended organ preservation times,they have yet to support the demands of transcontinental transplantations effectively.This review presents a comparative analysis of the structures,operational frameworks,policies,and legislation governing various transplant organizations around the world.Key differences pertain to the administration of these organizations,trends in organ donation,and organ allocation policies,which reflect the financial,cultural,and religious diversity across different regions.While a global transplant organization may be out of reach,agreeing on best practices for the benefit of patients is essential. 展开更多
关键词 Organ transplantation National transplant organizations Organ donation global transplantation Transplant systems
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China’s path to a global ecological civilization:Concepts and practices for sustainable development
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作者 Liang Dong Haoning Chen 《Chinese Journal of Population,Resources and Environment》 2025年第3期295-300,共6页
China actively fosters practical green cooperation to advance global sustainable development,and strengthens global environmental governance initiatives,including the implementation of the Sustainable Development Goal... China actively fosters practical green cooperation to advance global sustainable development,and strengthens global environmental governance initiatives,including the implementation of the Sustainable Development Goals(SDGs).However,this approach has often positioned China as more of a doer than a talker,leading to insufficient recognition in the international community.Domestic Chinese research has frequently highlighted these issues within the ecological civilization,especially in its global dimension.Building on existing research,this study contends that the disparity in recognition stems from three crucial gaps:a conceptual gap between ecological civilization as a new narrative and established international governance frameworks;a practical gap between how China’s ecological civilization advances sustainable development governance versus international understanding;and a communication gap between its substantial achievements and inadequate communication of these experiences.To address these gaps,this paper recommends that China strengthen its efforts in three key areas:First,maintain strategic resolve by deepening green practices and strengthening corporate environmental standards to advance green norms.Second,promote the global co-construction of ecological civilization and strengthen global governance featuring extensive consultation and joint contributions for shared benefits.Third,enhance fairness,representativeness,and inclusiveness in international sustainable de‐velopment negotiations.Finally,China,along with Global South countries,should continue advancing global ecological civilization.This serves as both a response to current environmental governance challenges and a long-term pathway toward a global community of shared future. 展开更多
关键词 global ecological civilization global community of shared future Sustainable development global environmental governance China’s role International green cooperation
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Global urbanization indirectly‘enhances’the carbon sequestration capacity of urban vegetation
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作者 Jieming Kang Baolei Zhang +6 位作者 Qian Zhang Chunlin Li Jun Ma Jiabo Yin Kailiang Yu Yuanman Hu Elie Bou-Zeid 《Geography and Sustainability》 2025年第3期240-250,共11页
Urbanization radically alters the climatic environment and landscape patterns of urban areas,but its impact on the carbon sequestration capacity of vegetation remains uncertain.Given the limitations of current small-s... Urbanization radically alters the climatic environment and landscape patterns of urban areas,but its impact on the carbon sequestration capacity of vegetation remains uncertain.Given the limitations of current small-scale ground-based in situ experiments,the response of vegetation carbon sequestration capacity to urbanization and the factors influencing it remain unclear at the global scale.Using multisource remote sensing data,we quanti-fied and differentiated the direct and indirect impacts of urbanization on the carbon sequestration capacity of vegetation in 508 large urban areas globally from 2000 to 2020.The results revealed that the direct impacts of urbanization were generally negative.However,446 cities experienced an indirect enhancement in vegetation carbon sequestration capacity during urbanization,averaging 19.6%globally and offsetting 14.7%of the di-rect loss due to urbanization.These positive indirect effects were most pronounced in environments with limited hydrothermal conditions and increased most in densely populated temperate and cold regions.Furthermore,indi-rect impacts were closely related to urbanization intensity,human footprint,and level of urban development.Our study enhances the understanding of how the carbon sequestration capacity of vegetation dynamically responds to changes in the urban environment,which is crucial for improving future urban vegetation management and building sustainable cities. 展开更多
关键词 global urbanization Vegetation carbon sequestration capacity Net ecosystem productivity global change
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US-tariffs are disrupting the global textile and apparel value chains resulting in higher prices in the U.S.
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《China Textile》 2025年第2期11-11,共1页
The U.S.administration's decision tounilaterally impose sweeping tariff increas-es on tmported goods represents a signifi-cant challenge to the existing global tradingsystem,which has long been structuredaround mu... The U.S.administration's decision tounilaterally impose sweeping tariff increas-es on tmported goods represents a signifi-cant challenge to the existing global tradingsystem,which has long been structuredaround multilateral(WTO),regional,andbilateral(FTA)trade agreements. 展开更多
关键词 global trading system regional trade agreements bilateral trade agreements us tariffs unilateral tariff increases multilateral trade agreements global textile apparel value chains global tradingsystemwhich
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Dilemma for Global Climate Finance The UN Climate Conference(COP29)agreed on a package of US$300 billion per year for developing countries to adapt to climate change by 2035.Will that be enough?
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作者 Liu Xueyun 《China Report ASEAN》 2025年第1期40-43,共4页
On November 24,2024,the 29th Session of the Conference of the Parties to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change(COP29)concluded in Baku,Azerbaijan.After two weeks of negotiations and a delay of more... On November 24,2024,the 29th Session of the Conference of the Parties to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change(COP29)concluded in Baku,Azerbaijan.After two weeks of negotiations and a delay of more than 30 hours,the conference finally set the goal for developed countries to mobilize at least US$300 billion per year for developing countries to adapt to climate change by 2035.It was no easy job to get 200 countries on the same page of a complex climate finance agreement.Two days before the conclusion of the conference,the Global South rejected a US$250 billion package offered by developed countries,which nearly derailed the final agreement. 展开更多
关键词 CLIMATE global ENOUGH
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