This study developed a modeling methodology for statistical optimization-based geologic hazard susceptibility assessment,aiming to enhance the comprehensive performance and classification accuracy of the assessment mo...This study developed a modeling methodology for statistical optimization-based geologic hazard susceptibility assessment,aiming to enhance the comprehensive performance and classification accuracy of the assessment models.First,the cumulative probability method revealed that a low probability(15%)of geologic hazards between any two geologic hazard points occurred outside a buffer zone with a radius of 2297 m(i.e.,the distance threshold).The training dataset was established,consisting of negative samples(non-hazard points)randomly generated based on the distance threshold,positive samples(i.e.,historical hazards),and 13 conditioning factors.Then,models were built using five machine learning algorithms,namely random forest(RF),gradient boosting decision tree(GBDT),naive Bayes(NB),logistic regression(LR),and support vector machine(SVM).The comprehensive performance of the models was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve(AUC)and overall accuracy(OA)as indicators,revealing that RF exhibited the best performance,with OA and AUC values of 2.7127 and 0.981,respectively.Furthermore,the machine learning models constructed by considering the distance threshold outperformed those built using the unoptimized dataset.The characteristic factors were ranked using the mutual information method,with their scores decreasing in the order of rainfall(0.1616),altitude(0.06),normalized difference vegetation index(NDVI;0.04),and distance from roads(0.03).Finally,the geologic hazard susceptibility classification was assessed using the natural breaks method combined with a clustering algorithm.The results indicate that the clustering algorithm exhibited higher classification accuracy than the natural breaks method.The findings of this study demonstrate that the proposed model optimization scheme can provide a scientific basis for the prevention and control of geologic hazards.展开更多
This study investigated the impacts of random negative training datasets(NTDs)on the uncertainty of machine learning models for geologic hazard susceptibility assessment of the Loess Plateau,northern Shaanxi Province,...This study investigated the impacts of random negative training datasets(NTDs)on the uncertainty of machine learning models for geologic hazard susceptibility assessment of the Loess Plateau,northern Shaanxi Province,China.Based on randomly generated 40 NTDs,the study developed models for the geologic hazard susceptibility assessment using the random forest algorithm and evaluated their performances using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve(AUC).Specifically,the means and standard deviations of the AUC values from all models were then utilized to assess the overall spatial correlation between the conditioning factors and the susceptibility assessment,as well as the uncertainty introduced by the NTDs.A risk and return methodology was thus employed to quantify and mitigate the uncertainty,with log odds ratios used to characterize the susceptibility assessment levels.The risk and return values were calculated based on the standard deviations and means of the log odds ratios of various locations.After the mean log odds ratios were converted into probability values,the final susceptibility map was plotted,which accounts for the uncertainty induced by random NTDs.The results indicate that the AUC values of the models ranged from 0.810 to 0.963,with an average of 0.852 and a standard deviation of 0.035,indicating encouraging prediction effects and certain uncertainty.The risk and return analysis reveals that low-risk and high-return areas suggest lower standard deviations and higher means across multiple model-derived assessments.Overall,this study introduces a new framework for quantifying the uncertainty of multiple training and evaluation models,aimed at improving their robustness and reliability.Additionally,by identifying low-risk and high-return areas,resource allocation for geologic hazard prevention and control can be optimized,thus ensuring that limited resources are directed toward the most effective prevention and control measures.展开更多
If progress is to be made toward improving geohazard management and emergency decision-making,then lessons need to be learned from past geohazard information.A geologic hazard report provides a useful and reliable sou...If progress is to be made toward improving geohazard management and emergency decision-making,then lessons need to be learned from past geohazard information.A geologic hazard report provides a useful and reliable source of information about the occurrence of an event,along with detailed information about the condition or factors of the geohazard.Analyzing such reports,however,can be a challenging process because these texts are often presented in unstructured long text formats,and contain rich specialized and detailed information.Automatically text classification is commonly used to mine disaster text data in open domains(e.g.,news and microblogs).But it has limitations to performing contextual long-distance dependencies and is insensitive to discourse order.These deficiencies are most obviously exposed in long text fields.Therefore,this paper uses the bidirectional encoder representations from Transformers(BERT),to model long text.Then,utilizing a softmax layer to automatically extract text features and classify geohazards without manual features.The latent Dirichlet allocation(LDA)model is used to examine the interdependencies that exist between causal variables to visualize geohazards.The proposed method is useful in enabling the machine-assisted interpretation of text-based geohazards.Moreover,it can help users visualize causes,processes,and other geohazards and assist decision-makers in emergency responses.展开更多
There is a great difference between the distribution and evolvement characteristics of slope geological hazard in the same geographical location and climatic conditions,taking the similar structural-genetic connection...There is a great difference between the distribution and evolvement characteristics of slope geological hazard in the same geographical location and climatic conditions,taking the similar structural-genetic connection in Wudongde reservoir area of Jinshajiang River valley for example. In all engineering geological conditions,the chronologic age and attitude of strata,and the lithologic association factors control the distributions and evolvement characteristics of slope geological hazard in the studied area. The study shows that the slopes in geological evolution are in different stages. The conclusion helps to understand the types and the intensity of geological disasters.展开更多
On 18 December 2023,a MS 6.2 earthquake struck the Jishishan area in Northwest China,located at the border of the Qinghai-Tibet and Loess Plateau.The earthquake triggered shallow loess landslides,small rock failures,a...On 18 December 2023,a MS 6.2 earthquake struck the Jishishan area in Northwest China,located at the border of the Qinghai-Tibet and Loess Plateau.The earthquake triggered shallow loess landslides,small rock failures,and soil cracks,mainly along hilly gullies and cut slopes at the edges of terraced fields.A rare large-scale flowslide also occurred in irrigated farmland.These seismic landslides and collapses blocked roads,buried farmland,damaged houses,and resulted in many casualties.Field investigations revealed that these geological hazards were concentrated around cultivated land.Consequently,cultivated land was introduced as an engineering geological zoning factor into the seismic geological hazard risk assessment for Jishishan area.The Newmark cumulative displacement model was refined by incorporating lithological uncertainties via the Monte Carlo method.Comparative analysis of coseismic geohazards with and without considering cultivated land suggests that,in loess-covered areas with cultivation activities,the consideration of the disturbed characteristics of soils provides a more accurate probabilistic risk assessment of seismic geohazards.Human cultivation and irrigation activities affect the physical properties of surface soil,the terraced fields around earthquake prone areas have a risk of earthquake-induced geological hazards.This study may offer valuable insights for hazard prevention and mitigation in high fortification intensity loess covered areas.展开更多
This study develops a geological hazard evaluation index system for Shouning County,a key area for disaster prevention in Fujian Province.Through detailed investigation reports and field surveys,six factors were selec...This study develops a geological hazard evaluation index system for Shouning County,a key area for disaster prevention in Fujian Province.Through detailed investigation reports and field surveys,six factors were selected,including elevation,slope gradient,slope aspect,stratigraphic lithological group,distance from the water systems,and geological structures.A geological hazard susceptibility zoning map was created using the Information Quantity Method(IQM).The evaluation showed that elevation,slope aspect,and distance from the water systems are primary risk factors,with high and extremely high susceptibility areas covering 168.57 km^(2)(52.63%of the study area)and a disaster point density of 3.07 points/km^(2).The model achieved an accuracy of 0.73,validating its effectiveness in hazard assessment.These findings provide a valuable reference for disaster prediction and mitigation in Shouning County,supporting improved planning and risk management efforts.展开更多
Slope units are divided according to the real topography and have clear geological characteristics,making them ideal units for evaluating the susceptibility to geological disasters.Based on the results of automaticall...Slope units are divided according to the real topography and have clear geological characteristics,making them ideal units for evaluating the susceptibility to geological disasters.Based on the results of automatically and manually corrected hydrological slope unit division,the Longhua District,Shenzhen City,Guangdong Province,was selected as the study area.A total of 15 influencing factors,namely Fluctuation,slope,slope aspect,curvature,topographic witness index(TWI),stream power index(SPI),topographic roughness index(TRI),annual average rainfall,distance to water system,engineering rock group,distance to fault,land use,normalized difference vegetation index(NDVI),nighttime light,and distance to road,were selected as evaluation indicators.The information volume model(IV)and random points were used to select non-geological disaster units,and then the random forest model(RF)was used to evaluate the susceptibility to geological disasters.The automatic slope unit and the hydrological slope unit were compared and analyzed in the random forest and information volume random forest models.The results show that the area under the curve(AUC)values of the automatic slope unit evaluation results are 0.931 for the IV-RF model and 0.716 for the RF model,which are 0.6%(IV-RF model)and 1.9%(RF model)higher than those for the hydrological slope unit.Based on a comparison of the evaluation methods based on the two types of slope units,the hydrological slope unit evaluation method based on manual correction is highly subjective,is complicated to operate,and has a low evaluation accuracy,whereas the evaluation method based on automatic slope unit division is efficient and accurate,is suitable for large-scale efficient geological disaster evaluation,and can better deal with the problem of geological disaster susceptibility evaluation.展开更多
The complicated geological conditions and geological hazards are challenging problems during tunnel construction,which will cause great losses of life and property.Therefore,reliable prediction of geological defective...The complicated geological conditions and geological hazards are challenging problems during tunnel construction,which will cause great losses of life and property.Therefore,reliable prediction of geological defective features,such as faults,karst caves and groundwater,has important practical significances and theoretical values.In this paper,we presented the criteria for detecting typical geological anomalies using the tunnel seismic prediction（TSP） method.The ground penetrating radar（GPR） signal response to water-bearing structures was used for theoretical derivations.And the 3D tomography of the transient electromagnetic method（TEM） was used to develop an equivalent conductance method.Based on the improvement of a single prediction technique,we developed a technical system for reliable prediction of geological defective features by analyzing the advantages and disadvantages of all prediction methods.The procedure of the application of this system was introduced in detail.For prediction,the selection of prediction methods is an important and challenging work.The analytic hierarchy process（AHP） was developed for prediction optimization.We applied the newly developed prediction system to several important projects in China,including Hurongxi highway,Jinping II hydropower station,and Kiaochow Bay subsea tunnel.The case studies show that the geological defective features can be successfully detected with good precision and efficiency,and the prediction system is proved to be an effective means to minimize the risks of geological hazards during tunnel construction.展开更多
Geological hazard is an adverse geological condition that can cause loss of life and property.Accurate prediction and analysis of geological hazards is an important and challenging task.In the past decade,there has be...Geological hazard is an adverse geological condition that can cause loss of life and property.Accurate prediction and analysis of geological hazards is an important and challenging task.In the past decade,there has been a great expansion of geohazard detection data and advancement in data-driven simulation techniques.In particular,great efforts have been made in applying deep learning to predict geohazards.To understand the recent progress in this field,this paper provides an overview of the commonly used data sources and deep neural networks in the prediction of a variety of geological hazards.展开更多
Tibet is one of the areas with most serious geological hazards in China, and the distribution of disasters has obvious local charac teristics. Tibet can be classified as three parts through zoning the danger degree, t...Tibet is one of the areas with most serious geological hazards in China, and the distribution of disasters has obvious local charac teristics. Tibet can be classified as three parts through zoning the danger degree, the mountain canyon high danger zone of east and southeast Tibet, the plateau mountain lake basin and valley middle danger zone of south Tibet, and the Plateau Mountain lake basin low danger zone of south Tibet. This paper takes the debris flow, collapse, landslide as the key points to analyze the distribution characteristics of geological hazards, and analyze the factors which influence the distribution of geological hazards, such as terrain landform, formation lithology, geologic structure pattern, precipitation, earthquake, human activity and so on. finally, as a conclusion., in whole Tibet, the geological hazards are more in southeast than in northwest, more in mountainous area which in the edge of plateau and river valley than in the interior of plateau and lake basin. And most hazards distribute in the regions where human activity is stronger than in other regions, for example towns or strips along the highway.展开更多
There are two co-seismic faults which developed when the Wenchuan earthquake happened. One occurred along the active fault zone in the central Longmen Mts. and the other in the front of Longmen Mts. The length of whic...There are two co-seismic faults which developed when the Wenchuan earthquake happened. One occurred along the active fault zone in the central Longmen Mts. and the other in the front of Longmen Mts. The length of which is more than 270 kin and about 80 km respectively. The co-seismic fault shows a reverse flexure belt with strike of N45°-60°E in the ground, which caused uplift at its northwest side and subsidence at the southeast. The fault face dips to the northwest with a dip angle ranging from 50° to 60°. The vertical offset of the co-seismic fault ranges 2.5-3.0 m along the Yingxiu- Beichuan co-seismic fault, and 1.5-1.1 m along the Doujiangyan-Hanwang fault. Movement of the coseismic fault presents obvious segmented features along the active fault zone in central Longmen Mts. For instance, in the section from Yingxiu to Leigu town, thrust without evident slip occurred; while from Beichuan to Qingchuan, thrust and dextral strike-slip take place. Main movement along the front Longmen Mts. shows thrust without slip and segmented features. The area of earthquake intensity more than IX degree and the distribution of secondary geological hazards occurred along the hanging wall of co-seismic faults, and were consistent with the area of aftershock, and its width is less than 40km from co-seismic faults in the hanging wall. The secondary geological hazards, collapses, landslides, debris flows et al., concentrated in the hanging wall of co-seismic fault within 0-20 km from co-seismic fault.展开更多
Gas outbursts from "three-soft" coal seams (soft roof,soft floor and soft coal) constitute a very serious prob-lem in the Ludian gliding structure area in western Henan. By means of theories and methods of g...Gas outbursts from "three-soft" coal seams (soft roof,soft floor and soft coal) constitute a very serious prob-lem in the Ludian gliding structure area in western Henan. By means of theories and methods of gas geology,structural geology,coal petrology and rock tests,we have discussed the effect of control of several physical properties of soft roof on gas preservation and proposed a new method of forecasting gas geological hazards under open structural conditions. The result shows that the areas with type Ⅲ or Ⅳ soft roofs are the most dangerous areas where gas outburst most likely can take place. Therefore,countermeasures should be taken in these areas to prevent gas outbursts.展开更多
Many detailed data on past geological hazard events are buried in geological hazard reports and have not been fully utilized. The growing developments in geographic information retrieval and temporal information retri...Many detailed data on past geological hazard events are buried in geological hazard reports and have not been fully utilized. The growing developments in geographic information retrieval and temporal information retrieval offer opportunities to analyse this wealth of data to mine the spatiotemporal evolution of geological disaster occurrence and enhance risk decision making. This study presents a combined NLP and ontology matching information extraction framework for automatically recognizing semantic and spatiotemporal information from geological hazard reports. This framework mainly extracts unstructured information from geological disaster reports through named entity recognition, ontology matching and gazetteer matching to identify and annotate elements, thus enabling users to quickly obtain key information and understand the general content of disaster reports. In addition, we present the final results obtained from the experiments through a reasonable visualization and analyse the visual results. The extraction and retrieval of semantic information related to the dynamics of geohazard events are performed from both natural and human perspectives to provide information on the progress of events.展开更多
Aiming at the geological features of highway engineering in mountainous area of Enshi, Hubei Province, the principles to set up an integrated evaluation system for highway engineering geological hazard are formulated....Aiming at the geological features of highway engineering in mountainous area of Enshi, Hubei Province, the principles to set up an integrated evaluation system for highway engineering geological hazard are formulated. Then, the integrated evaluation system for highway engineering geological hazard in mountainous area of Enshi is established. In the evaluation system, the first-level evaluation indices are geological development degree, geological conditions, and damaging power, whereas the second-level indices including key factors affecting main kinds of geological hazard. Meanwhile, the borders of indices are determined. At last, the method of Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation （FCE） is adopted to quantitatively evaluate the highway engineering geological hazard in mountainous area of Enshi.展开更多
Information model is adopted to integrate factors of various geosciences to estimate the susceptibility of geological hazards. Further combining the dynamic rainfall observations, Logistic regression is used for model...Information model is adopted to integrate factors of various geosciences to estimate the susceptibility of geological hazards. Further combining the dynamic rainfall observations, Logistic regression is used for modeling the probabilities of geological hazard occurrences, upon which hierarchical warnings for rainfall-induced geological hazards are produced. The forecasting and warning model takes numerical precipitation forecasts on grid points as its dynamic input, forecasts the probabilities of geological hazard occurrences on the same grid, and translates the results into likelihoods in the form of a 5-level hierarchy. Validation of the model with observational data for the year 2004 shows that 80% of the geological hazards of the year have been identified as ＂likely enough to release warning messages＂. The model can satisfy the requirements of an operational warning system, thus is an effective way to improve the meteorological warnings for geological hazards.展开更多
Based on the practical application of Geology Information System（GIS） throughout the world, combined with the characters of road＇s geological hazard and it＇s supervision, the paper introduces on the importance of ...Based on the practical application of Geology Information System（GIS） throughout the world, combined with the characters of road＇s geological hazard and it＇s supervision, the paper introduces on the importance of the research on road＇s geological hazards information management and decision-making support system. The paper also analyzes the system＇s target, the principles and key techniques in developing the system. In the research, we developed the GIS-based road＇s geological hazard information management and decision-making support system and applied it to one speedway in the west of China where contains typical geological hazards. The system based on the database of road＇s geological hazard on the grounds of spatial graphic information and attribute information. By virtue of the scientific assessment and prediction mathematical model, integrating the GIS＇s strongpoint on spatial analyzing, the system is capable of visualizing the regionalization of road according to the geological hazards it contains, and accurately assessing and predicting geological hazards, thus efficiently assists the road construction and management units in the decision making on controlling the geological hazards and reducing the related loss.展开更多
The current researches on risk assessment of geological disasters mainly focus on unexpected disasters such as collapses, landslides and mud-rock flows etc. As the convergence zone of land and sea, coastal zone is the...The current researches on risk assessment of geological disasters mainly focus on unexpected disasters such as collapses, landslides and mud-rock flows etc. As the convergence zone of land and sea, coastal zone is the most active and complex area of interactions of lithosphere, hydrosphere, atmosphere, biosphere and anthroposphere. The ecological environment of coastal zone is very fragile, so further systematical research on coastal geological hazard assessment and prevention is in urgent need. The author begins with the definition and research contents and selects three typical coastal geological disasters, namely, the seawater intrusion, coastline change and sea-level rise as the objects of study. The systematic analysis and study on assessment system and methods are conducted, hazard assessment factors are selected, and a completely set of coastal disaster assessment system is established based on the technique of GIS. We took Bao’an District of Shenzhen City as an example and carried out a case study.展开更多
With the continuous development of the oblique photography technique, it has been used more and more widely in the field of geological disasters. It can quickly obtain the three-dimensional(3D) real scene model of dan...With the continuous development of the oblique photography technique, it has been used more and more widely in the field of geological disasters. It can quickly obtain the three-dimensional(3D) real scene model of dangerous mountainous areas under the premise of ensuring the safety of personnel while restoring the real geographic information as much as possible. However, geological disaster areas are often accompanied by many adverse factors such as cliffs and dense vegetation. Based on this, the paper introduced the flight line design of oblique photogrammetry, analyzed the multi-platform data fusion processing, studied the multi-period data dynamic evaluation technology and proposed the application methods of data acquisition, early warning, disaster assessment and decision management suitable for geological disaster identification through the analysis of actual cases, which will help geologists to plan and control geological work more scientifically and rationally, improve work efficiency and reduce the potential personnel safety hazards in the process of geological survey, to offer technical support to the application of oblique photogrammetry in geological disaster identification and decision making and provide the scientific basis for personal and property safety protection and later-stage geological disaster management in disaster areas.展开更多
In the process of human survival and development, it is inevitable to transform the original state of the world, thus forming a contradiction between the earth and the earth. The violent form of this contradiction is ...In the process of human survival and development, it is inevitable to transform the original state of the world, thus forming a contradiction between the earth and the earth. The violent form of this contradiction is geological disasters. Geological disasters pose a threat to human life and property, and cause damage caused by natural or human factors, often causing casualties. The destruction process of geological disasters is usually a gradual process, showing many pre-disaster symptoms, such as local landslides, surface cracks, building deformation, tree skew, and ground sound. Evacuation can be avoided in advance according to the disaster precursors, so as to avoid casualties and achieve successful prediction. By reviewing the general situation of geological disasters in Shaanxi Province and the casualties in 2020, the difficulties in the prevention and control of geological disasters are summarized. In view of these difficulties, an on-site investigation, visit and analysis of geological disaster points and successful forecast points in Shaanxi Province in 2020 were conducted. In addition, combined with actual cases and years of work experience, the successful prediction experience of geological disasters was discussed from 8 aspects. Finally, the “Regulations on the Reward for Successful Geological Disaster Forecasting in Shaanxi Province” was revised in order to improve the successful prediction ability of geological disasters in Shaanxi Province and even the whole country, provide reference for future prevention and control of geological disasters, and effectively protect the safety of people’s lives and property.展开更多
The formation and development of geologicalhazards are extremely complex,depending on factorssuch as the topography,geology,meteorology,project,human activity,and so on;the geologicalhazards data include remarkable sp...The formation and development of geologicalhazards are extremely complex,depending on factorssuch as the topography,geology,meteorology,project,human activity,and so on;the geologicalhazards data include remarkable spatial characteristicsand complex attribute information.As the amount ofgeological hazards data is rapidly growing,it hasbecome an urgent demand for geologists to effectivelystore,manage,exchange,and then take full advantageof these hazards information,and to provide thedecision-making basis for the prediction,forecast andcomprehensive prevention of geological hazards.展开更多
基金supported by a project entitled Loess Plateau Region-Watershed-Slope Geological Hazard Multi-Scale Collaborative Intelligent Early Warning System of the National Key R&D Program of China(2022YFC3003404)a project of the Shaanxi Youth Science and Technology Star(2021KJXX-87)public welfare geological survey projects of Shaanxi Institute of Geologic Survey(20180301,201918,202103,and 202413)。
文摘This study developed a modeling methodology for statistical optimization-based geologic hazard susceptibility assessment,aiming to enhance the comprehensive performance and classification accuracy of the assessment models.First,the cumulative probability method revealed that a low probability(15%)of geologic hazards between any two geologic hazard points occurred outside a buffer zone with a radius of 2297 m(i.e.,the distance threshold).The training dataset was established,consisting of negative samples(non-hazard points)randomly generated based on the distance threshold,positive samples(i.e.,historical hazards),and 13 conditioning factors.Then,models were built using five machine learning algorithms,namely random forest(RF),gradient boosting decision tree(GBDT),naive Bayes(NB),logistic regression(LR),and support vector machine(SVM).The comprehensive performance of the models was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve(AUC)and overall accuracy(OA)as indicators,revealing that RF exhibited the best performance,with OA and AUC values of 2.7127 and 0.981,respectively.Furthermore,the machine learning models constructed by considering the distance threshold outperformed those built using the unoptimized dataset.The characteristic factors were ranked using the mutual information method,with their scores decreasing in the order of rainfall(0.1616),altitude(0.06),normalized difference vegetation index(NDVI;0.04),and distance from roads(0.03).Finally,the geologic hazard susceptibility classification was assessed using the natural breaks method combined with a clustering algorithm.The results indicate that the clustering algorithm exhibited higher classification accuracy than the natural breaks method.The findings of this study demonstrate that the proposed model optimization scheme can provide a scientific basis for the prevention and control of geologic hazards.
基金supported by a project entitled Loess Plateau Region-Watershed-Slope Geological Hazard Multi-Scale Collaborative Intelligent Early Warning System of the National Key R&D Program of China(2022YFC3003404)a project of the Shaanxi Youth Science and Technology Star(2021KJXX-87)public welfare geological survey projects of Shaanxi Institute of Geologic Survey(20180301,201918,202103,and 202413).
文摘This study investigated the impacts of random negative training datasets(NTDs)on the uncertainty of machine learning models for geologic hazard susceptibility assessment of the Loess Plateau,northern Shaanxi Province,China.Based on randomly generated 40 NTDs,the study developed models for the geologic hazard susceptibility assessment using the random forest algorithm and evaluated their performances using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve(AUC).Specifically,the means and standard deviations of the AUC values from all models were then utilized to assess the overall spatial correlation between the conditioning factors and the susceptibility assessment,as well as the uncertainty introduced by the NTDs.A risk and return methodology was thus employed to quantify and mitigate the uncertainty,with log odds ratios used to characterize the susceptibility assessment levels.The risk and return values were calculated based on the standard deviations and means of the log odds ratios of various locations.After the mean log odds ratios were converted into probability values,the final susceptibility map was plotted,which accounts for the uncertainty induced by random NTDs.The results indicate that the AUC values of the models ranged from 0.810 to 0.963,with an average of 0.852 and a standard deviation of 0.035,indicating encouraging prediction effects and certain uncertainty.The risk and return analysis reveals that low-risk and high-return areas suggest lower standard deviations and higher means across multiple model-derived assessments.Overall,this study introduces a new framework for quantifying the uncertainty of multiple training and evaluation models,aimed at improving their robustness and reliability.Additionally,by identifying low-risk and high-return areas,resource allocation for geologic hazard prevention and control can be optimized,thus ensuring that limited resources are directed toward the most effective prevention and control measures.
基金supported by the Natural Science Foundation of China(No.42301492)the National Key Research and Development Program(No.2022YFB3904200)+4 种基金the Open Fund of Key Laboratory of Urban Land Resources Monitoring and Simulation,Ministry of Natural Resources(No.KF-2022-07-014)the Natural Science Foundation of Hubei Province of China(No.2022CFB640)the Open Fund of Hubei Key Laboratory of Intelligent Vision Based Monitoring for Hydroelectric Engineering(No.2022SDSJ04)the Opening Fund of Key Laboratory of Geological Survey and Evaluation of Ministry of Education(No.GLAB 2023ZR01)the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities.
文摘If progress is to be made toward improving geohazard management and emergency decision-making,then lessons need to be learned from past geohazard information.A geologic hazard report provides a useful and reliable source of information about the occurrence of an event,along with detailed information about the condition or factors of the geohazard.Analyzing such reports,however,can be a challenging process because these texts are often presented in unstructured long text formats,and contain rich specialized and detailed information.Automatically text classification is commonly used to mine disaster text data in open domains(e.g.,news and microblogs).But it has limitations to performing contextual long-distance dependencies and is insensitive to discourse order.These deficiencies are most obviously exposed in long text fields.Therefore,this paper uses the bidirectional encoder representations from Transformers(BERT),to model long text.Then,utilizing a softmax layer to automatically extract text features and classify geohazards without manual features.The latent Dirichlet allocation(LDA)model is used to examine the interdependencies that exist between causal variables to visualize geohazards.The proposed method is useful in enabling the machine-assisted interpretation of text-based geohazards.Moreover,it can help users visualize causes,processes,and other geohazards and assist decision-makers in emergency responses.
文摘There is a great difference between the distribution and evolvement characteristics of slope geological hazard in the same geographical location and climatic conditions,taking the similar structural-genetic connection in Wudongde reservoir area of Jinshajiang River valley for example. In all engineering geological conditions,the chronologic age and attitude of strata,and the lithologic association factors control the distributions and evolvement characteristics of slope geological hazard in the studied area. The study shows that the slopes in geological evolution are in different stages. The conclusion helps to understand the types and the intensity of geological disasters.
基金funded by the Basic Scientific Research Fund,Science and Technology Innovation Base of Lanzhou,Institute of Earthquake Forecasting,China Earthquake Administration(Grants No.2020IESLZ03 and 2015IESLZ05)the National Key R&D program of China(Grant No.2017YFC1500906)
文摘On 18 December 2023,a MS 6.2 earthquake struck the Jishishan area in Northwest China,located at the border of the Qinghai-Tibet and Loess Plateau.The earthquake triggered shallow loess landslides,small rock failures,and soil cracks,mainly along hilly gullies and cut slopes at the edges of terraced fields.A rare large-scale flowslide also occurred in irrigated farmland.These seismic landslides and collapses blocked roads,buried farmland,damaged houses,and resulted in many casualties.Field investigations revealed that these geological hazards were concentrated around cultivated land.Consequently,cultivated land was introduced as an engineering geological zoning factor into the seismic geological hazard risk assessment for Jishishan area.The Newmark cumulative displacement model was refined by incorporating lithological uncertainties via the Monte Carlo method.Comparative analysis of coseismic geohazards with and without considering cultivated land suggests that,in loess-covered areas with cultivation activities,the consideration of the disturbed characteristics of soils provides a more accurate probabilistic risk assessment of seismic geohazards.Human cultivation and irrigation activities affect the physical properties of surface soil,the terraced fields around earthquake prone areas have a risk of earthquake-induced geological hazards.This study may offer valuable insights for hazard prevention and mitigation in high fortification intensity loess covered areas.
基金2024 Guiding Science and Technology Program of Fujian Province(No.2024H0026)2025 Innovation Fund Project of Fujian Province(No.2025C0004).
文摘This study develops a geological hazard evaluation index system for Shouning County,a key area for disaster prevention in Fujian Province.Through detailed investigation reports and field surveys,six factors were selected,including elevation,slope gradient,slope aspect,stratigraphic lithological group,distance from the water systems,and geological structures.A geological hazard susceptibility zoning map was created using the Information Quantity Method(IQM).The evaluation showed that elevation,slope aspect,and distance from the water systems are primary risk factors,with high and extremely high susceptibility areas covering 168.57 km^(2)(52.63%of the study area)and a disaster point density of 3.07 points/km^(2).The model achieved an accuracy of 0.73,validating its effectiveness in hazard assessment.These findings provide a valuable reference for disaster prediction and mitigation in Shouning County,supporting improved planning and risk management efforts.
文摘Slope units are divided according to the real topography and have clear geological characteristics,making them ideal units for evaluating the susceptibility to geological disasters.Based on the results of automatically and manually corrected hydrological slope unit division,the Longhua District,Shenzhen City,Guangdong Province,was selected as the study area.A total of 15 influencing factors,namely Fluctuation,slope,slope aspect,curvature,topographic witness index(TWI),stream power index(SPI),topographic roughness index(TRI),annual average rainfall,distance to water system,engineering rock group,distance to fault,land use,normalized difference vegetation index(NDVI),nighttime light,and distance to road,were selected as evaluation indicators.The information volume model(IV)and random points were used to select non-geological disaster units,and then the random forest model(RF)was used to evaluate the susceptibility to geological disasters.The automatic slope unit and the hydrological slope unit were compared and analyzed in the random forest and information volume random forest models.The results show that the area under the curve(AUC)values of the automatic slope unit evaluation results are 0.931 for the IV-RF model and 0.716 for the RF model,which are 0.6%(IV-RF model)and 1.9%(RF model)higher than those for the hydrological slope unit.Based on a comparison of the evaluation methods based on the two types of slope units,the hydrological slope unit evaluation method based on manual correction is highly subjective,is complicated to operate,and has a low evaluation accuracy,whereas the evaluation method based on automatic slope unit division is efficient and accurate,is suitable for large-scale efficient geological disaster evaluation,and can better deal with the problem of geological disaster susceptibility evaluation.
基金Supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China (50625927,50727904)the National Basic Research Program (973) of China (2007CB209407)Ministry of Communications’Scientific and Technological Program of Transportation Development in Western China(2009318000008)
文摘The complicated geological conditions and geological hazards are challenging problems during tunnel construction,which will cause great losses of life and property.Therefore,reliable prediction of geological defective features,such as faults,karst caves and groundwater,has important practical significances and theoretical values.In this paper,we presented the criteria for detecting typical geological anomalies using the tunnel seismic prediction（TSP） method.The ground penetrating radar（GPR） signal response to water-bearing structures was used for theoretical derivations.And the 3D tomography of the transient electromagnetic method（TEM） was used to develop an equivalent conductance method.Based on the improvement of a single prediction technique,we developed a technical system for reliable prediction of geological defective features by analyzing the advantages and disadvantages of all prediction methods.The procedure of the application of this system was introduced in detail.For prediction,the selection of prediction methods is an important and challenging work.The analytic hierarchy process（AHP） was developed for prediction optimization.We applied the newly developed prediction system to several important projects in China,including Hurongxi highway,Jinping II hydropower station,and Kiaochow Bay subsea tunnel.The case studies show that the geological defective features can be successfully detected with good precision and efficiency,and the prediction system is proved to be an effective means to minimize the risks of geological hazards during tunnel construction.
文摘Geological hazard is an adverse geological condition that can cause loss of life and property.Accurate prediction and analysis of geological hazards is an important and challenging task.In the past decade,there has been a great expansion of geohazard detection data and advancement in data-driven simulation techniques.In particular,great efforts have been made in applying deep learning to predict geohazards.To understand the recent progress in this field,this paper provides an overview of the commonly used data sources and deep neural networks in the prediction of a variety of geological hazards.
文摘Tibet is one of the areas with most serious geological hazards in China, and the distribution of disasters has obvious local charac teristics. Tibet can be classified as three parts through zoning the danger degree, the mountain canyon high danger zone of east and southeast Tibet, the plateau mountain lake basin and valley middle danger zone of south Tibet, and the Plateau Mountain lake basin low danger zone of south Tibet. This paper takes the debris flow, collapse, landslide as the key points to analyze the distribution characteristics of geological hazards, and analyze the factors which influence the distribution of geological hazards, such as terrain landform, formation lithology, geologic structure pattern, precipitation, earthquake, human activity and so on. finally, as a conclusion., in whole Tibet, the geological hazards are more in southeast than in northwest, more in mountainous area which in the edge of plateau and river valley than in the interior of plateau and lake basin. And most hazards distribute in the regions where human activity is stronger than in other regions, for example towns or strips along the highway.
基金supported by the Department of Science and Technology and International Cooperation,The Ministry of Land and Resources,P.R.ChinaFinancial supported by the research of"Longmenshan fault zone and dynamical condition analysis of Wenchuan earthquake"(No.2008CB425702)
文摘There are two co-seismic faults which developed when the Wenchuan earthquake happened. One occurred along the active fault zone in the central Longmen Mts. and the other in the front of Longmen Mts. The length of which is more than 270 kin and about 80 km respectively. The co-seismic fault shows a reverse flexure belt with strike of N45°-60°E in the ground, which caused uplift at its northwest side and subsidence at the southeast. The fault face dips to the northwest with a dip angle ranging from 50° to 60°. The vertical offset of the co-seismic fault ranges 2.5-3.0 m along the Yingxiu- Beichuan co-seismic fault, and 1.5-1.1 m along the Doujiangyan-Hanwang fault. Movement of the coseismic fault presents obvious segmented features along the active fault zone in central Longmen Mts. For instance, in the section from Yingxiu to Leigu town, thrust without evident slip occurred; while from Beichuan to Qingchuan, thrust and dextral strike-slip take place. Main movement along the front Longmen Mts. shows thrust without slip and segmented features. The area of earthquake intensity more than IX degree and the distribution of secondary geological hazards occurred along the hanging wall of co-seismic faults, and were consistent with the area of aftershock, and its width is less than 40km from co-seismic faults in the hanging wall. The secondary geological hazards, collapses, landslides, debris flows et al., concentrated in the hanging wall of co-seismic fault within 0-20 km from co-seismic fault.
文摘Gas outbursts from "three-soft" coal seams (soft roof,soft floor and soft coal) constitute a very serious prob-lem in the Ludian gliding structure area in western Henan. By means of theories and methods of gas geology,structural geology,coal petrology and rock tests,we have discussed the effect of control of several physical properties of soft roof on gas preservation and proposed a new method of forecasting gas geological hazards under open structural conditions. The result shows that the areas with type Ⅲ or Ⅳ soft roofs are the most dangerous areas where gas outburst most likely can take place. Therefore,countermeasures should be taken in these areas to prevent gas outbursts.
基金the IUGS Deep-time Digital Earth (DDE) Big Science Programfinancially supported by the National Key R & D Program of China (No.2022YFB3904200)+4 种基金the Natural Science Foundation of Hubei Province of China (No.2022CFB640)the Open Fund of Key Laboratory of Urban Land Resources Monitoring and Simulation,Ministry of Natural Resources (No.KF-202207-014)the Opening Fund of Hubei Key Laboratory of Intelligent Vision-Based Monitoring for Hydroelectric Engineering (No.2022SDSJ04)the Opening Fund of Key Laboratory of Geological Survey and Evaluation of Ministry of Education (No.GLAB 2023ZR01)the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities。
文摘Many detailed data on past geological hazard events are buried in geological hazard reports and have not been fully utilized. The growing developments in geographic information retrieval and temporal information retrieval offer opportunities to analyse this wealth of data to mine the spatiotemporal evolution of geological disaster occurrence and enhance risk decision making. This study presents a combined NLP and ontology matching information extraction framework for automatically recognizing semantic and spatiotemporal information from geological hazard reports. This framework mainly extracts unstructured information from geological disaster reports through named entity recognition, ontology matching and gazetteer matching to identify and annotate elements, thus enabling users to quickly obtain key information and understand the general content of disaster reports. In addition, we present the final results obtained from the experiments through a reasonable visualization and analyse the visual results. The extraction and retrieval of semantic information related to the dynamics of geohazard events are performed from both natural and human perspectives to provide information on the progress of events.
文摘Aiming at the geological features of highway engineering in mountainous area of Enshi, Hubei Province, the principles to set up an integrated evaluation system for highway engineering geological hazard are formulated. Then, the integrated evaluation system for highway engineering geological hazard in mountainous area of Enshi is established. In the evaluation system, the first-level evaluation indices are geological development degree, geological conditions, and damaging power, whereas the second-level indices including key factors affecting main kinds of geological hazard. Meanwhile, the borders of indices are determined. At last, the method of Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation （FCE） is adopted to quantitatively evaluate the highway engineering geological hazard in mountainous area of Enshi.
基金the New Technology Generalization Project of China Meteorological Administration (CMATG2004M05)
文摘Information model is adopted to integrate factors of various geosciences to estimate the susceptibility of geological hazards. Further combining the dynamic rainfall observations, Logistic regression is used for modeling the probabilities of geological hazard occurrences, upon which hierarchical warnings for rainfall-induced geological hazards are produced. The forecasting and warning model takes numerical precipitation forecasts on grid points as its dynamic input, forecasts the probabilities of geological hazard occurrences on the same grid, and translates the results into likelihoods in the form of a 5-level hierarchy. Validation of the model with observational data for the year 2004 shows that 80% of the geological hazards of the year have been identified as ＂likely enough to release warning messages＂. The model can satisfy the requirements of an operational warning system, thus is an effective way to improve the meteorological warnings for geological hazards.
基金the Foundation of Project of Development of Transportation in Western of Ministry of Communication of China (200331880201)
文摘Based on the practical application of Geology Information System（GIS） throughout the world, combined with the characters of road＇s geological hazard and it＇s supervision, the paper introduces on the importance of the research on road＇s geological hazards information management and decision-making support system. The paper also analyzes the system＇s target, the principles and key techniques in developing the system. In the research, we developed the GIS-based road＇s geological hazard information management and decision-making support system and applied it to one speedway in the west of China where contains typical geological hazards. The system based on the database of road＇s geological hazard on the grounds of spatial graphic information and attribute information. By virtue of the scientific assessment and prediction mathematical model, integrating the GIS＇s strongpoint on spatial analyzing, the system is capable of visualizing the regionalization of road according to the geological hazards it contains, and accurately assessing and predicting geological hazards, thus efficiently assists the road construction and management units in the decision making on controlling the geological hazards and reducing the related loss.
文摘The current researches on risk assessment of geological disasters mainly focus on unexpected disasters such as collapses, landslides and mud-rock flows etc. As the convergence zone of land and sea, coastal zone is the most active and complex area of interactions of lithosphere, hydrosphere, atmosphere, biosphere and anthroposphere. The ecological environment of coastal zone is very fragile, so further systematical research on coastal geological hazard assessment and prevention is in urgent need. The author begins with the definition and research contents and selects three typical coastal geological disasters, namely, the seawater intrusion, coastline change and sea-level rise as the objects of study. The systematic analysis and study on assessment system and methods are conducted, hazard assessment factors are selected, and a completely set of coastal disaster assessment system is established based on the technique of GIS. We took Bao’an District of Shenzhen City as an example and carried out a case study.
基金supported by the National Key R&D Program of China(2019YFC1510700)the Sichuan Science and Technology Program(2023YFS0380, 2023YFS0377, 2019YFG0460, 2022YFS0539)。
文摘With the continuous development of the oblique photography technique, it has been used more and more widely in the field of geological disasters. It can quickly obtain the three-dimensional(3D) real scene model of dangerous mountainous areas under the premise of ensuring the safety of personnel while restoring the real geographic information as much as possible. However, geological disaster areas are often accompanied by many adverse factors such as cliffs and dense vegetation. Based on this, the paper introduced the flight line design of oblique photogrammetry, analyzed the multi-platform data fusion processing, studied the multi-period data dynamic evaluation technology and proposed the application methods of data acquisition, early warning, disaster assessment and decision management suitable for geological disaster identification through the analysis of actual cases, which will help geologists to plan and control geological work more scientifically and rationally, improve work efficiency and reduce the potential personnel safety hazards in the process of geological survey, to offer technical support to the application of oblique photogrammetry in geological disaster identification and decision making and provide the scientific basis for personal and property safety protection and later-stage geological disaster management in disaster areas.
文摘In the process of human survival and development, it is inevitable to transform the original state of the world, thus forming a contradiction between the earth and the earth. The violent form of this contradiction is geological disasters. Geological disasters pose a threat to human life and property, and cause damage caused by natural or human factors, often causing casualties. The destruction process of geological disasters is usually a gradual process, showing many pre-disaster symptoms, such as local landslides, surface cracks, building deformation, tree skew, and ground sound. Evacuation can be avoided in advance according to the disaster precursors, so as to avoid casualties and achieve successful prediction. By reviewing the general situation of geological disasters in Shaanxi Province and the casualties in 2020, the difficulties in the prevention and control of geological disasters are summarized. In view of these difficulties, an on-site investigation, visit and analysis of geological disaster points and successful forecast points in Shaanxi Province in 2020 were conducted. In addition, combined with actual cases and years of work experience, the successful prediction experience of geological disasters was discussed from 8 aspects. Finally, the “Regulations on the Reward for Successful Geological Disaster Forecasting in Shaanxi Province” was revised in order to improve the successful prediction ability of geological disasters in Shaanxi Province and even the whole country, provide reference for future prevention and control of geological disasters, and effectively protect the safety of people’s lives and property.
文摘The formation and development of geologicalhazards are extremely complex,depending on factorssuch as the topography,geology,meteorology,project,human activity,and so on;the geologicalhazards data include remarkable spatial characteristicsand complex attribute information.As the amount ofgeological hazards data is rapidly growing,it hasbecome an urgent demand for geologists to effectivelystore,manage,exchange,and then take full advantageof these hazards information,and to provide thedecision-making basis for the prediction,forecast andcomprehensive prevention of geological hazards.
