Solar radiation modification,a scheme aimed at mitigating rapid global warming triggered by anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions,has been explored through the G1ext experiment under the Geoengineering Model Intercom...Solar radiation modification,a scheme aimed at mitigating rapid global warming triggered by anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions,has been explored through the G1ext experiment under the Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project(GeoMIP) framework,utilizing the Chinese Academy of Sciences Earth System Model version 2(CAS-ESM2.0).This paper briefly describes the basic configuration and experimental design of the CAS-ESM2.0 for G1ext,which involves a sudden reduction in solar irradiance to counterbalance the radiative forcing of an abrupt quadrupling of atmospheric CO_(2) concentration,running for 100 years.Preliminary results show that this model can reproduce well the compensatory effect of a uniform decrease in global solar radiation on the radiative forcing resulting from an abrupt quadrupling of CO_(2) concentration.Like other Earth system models,CAS-ESM2.0 reasonably captures variations in radiative adjustments,surface air temperature,and precipitation patterns,both globally and locally,under the G1ext scenario.The generated datasets have been released on the Earth System Grid Federation data server,providing insight into the potential efficacy and impact of solar geoengineering strategies.展开更多
The Thwaites Glacier in western Antarctica(Fig. 1) keeps glaciologists and climate scientists awake at night. The 120 kmwide glacier loses about 45 billion tonnes of ice each year, accounting for about 4% of global se...The Thwaites Glacier in western Antarctica(Fig. 1) keeps glaciologists and climate scientists awake at night. The 120 kmwide glacier loses about 45 billion tonnes of ice each year, accounting for about 4% of global sea level rise [1]. If it melted completely, sea levels would climb 65 cm, and follow-on effects could lead to a 3 m increase [2]. But if some scientists' vision becomes reality, in 10–15 years construction crews will sail into the Amundsen Sea off Antarctica to begin building an 80 km long underwater curtain that will shield the glacier from the warm currents that are accelerating its decline [3].展开更多
Deep learning,a pivotal technology within artificial intelligence,has made significant strides across various domains,including geoengineering.This paper explores the practical applications and challenges of integrati...Deep learning,a pivotal technology within artificial intelligence,has made significant strides across various domains,including geoengineering.This paper explores the practical applications and challenges of integrating deep learning techniques,such as Fully Connected Neural Networks(FCNNs)and Convolutional Neural Networks(CNNs),into geoengineering tasks,particularly in disaster prediction,resource exploration,and infrastructure health monitoring.The complexities of applying deep learning in geoengineering are multifaceted,involving mathematical,computational,and data processing challenges.However,the emergence of deep learning libraries,notably TensorFlow,has substantially lowered the technical barriers,enabling researchers and engineers to deploy these technologies more efficiently.Through case studies and practical examples,this paper demonstrates how TensorFlow can streamline the model development process,making deep learning more accessible to a broader audience in the field of geoengineering.The paper concludes with a discussion on the future prospects and potential advancements in the integration of deep learning within geoengineering,highlighting both the opportunities and the ongoing challenges.展开更多
Geoengineering （also called climate engineering）, which refers to large-scale intervention in the Earth＇s climate system to counteract greenhouse gas-induced warming, has been one of the most rapidly growing areas ...Geoengineering （also called climate engineering）, which refers to large-scale intervention in the Earth＇s climate system to counteract greenhouse gas-induced warming, has been one of the most rapidly growing areas of climate research as a potential option for tackling global warming. Here, we provide an overview of the scientific background and research progress of proposed geoengineering schemes. Geo- engineering can be broadly divided into two categories： solar geoengineering （also called solar radiation management, or SRM）, which aims to reflect more sunlight to space, and carbon dioxide removal （CDR）, which aims to reduce the CO2 content in the atmosphere. First, we review different proposed geoengineering methods involved in the solar radiation management and carbon dioxide removal schemes. Then, we discuss the fundamental science underlying the climate response to the carbon dioxide removal and solar radiation management schemes. We focus on two basic issues： 1） climate response to the reduction in solar irradiance and 2） climate response to the reduction in atmospheric COe. Next, we introduce an ongoing geoengineering research project in China that is supported by National Key Basic Research Program. This research project, being the first coordinated geoengineering research program in China, will systematically investigate the physical mechanisms, climate impacts, and risk and governance of a few targeted geoengineering schemes. It is expected that this research program will help us gain a deep understanding of the physical science underlying geoengineering schemes and the impacts of geoengineering on global climate, in particular, on the Asia monsoon region.展开更多
On 2019-03-04,the largest induced earthquake(ML4.18)occurred in the East Shale Basin,Alberta,and the underlying physical mechanisms have not been fully understood.This paper proposes a synthetical geoengineering metho...On 2019-03-04,the largest induced earthquake(ML4.18)occurred in the East Shale Basin,Alberta,and the underlying physical mechanisms have not been fully understood.This paper proposes a synthetical geoengineering methodology to comprehensively characterize this earthquake caused by hydraulic fracturing.Based on 3D structural,petrophysical,and geomechanical models,an unconventional fracture model is constructed by considering the stress shadow between adjacent hydraulic fractures and the interactions between hydraulic and natural fractures.Coupled poroelastic simulations are conducted to reveal the triggering mechanisms of induced seismicity.It is found that four vertical basement-rooted faults were identified via focal mechanisms analysis.The brittleness index(BI)along two horizontal wells has a high magnitude(BI>0.5),indicating the potential susceptibility of rock brittleness.Due to the presence of overpressure,pre-existing faults in the Duvernay Formation are highly susceptible to fault reactivation.The occurrence of the earthquake clusters has been attributed to the fracturing fluid injection during the west 38^(th)-39^(th) stage and east 38^(th) stage completions.Rock brittleness,formation overpressure,and large fracturing job size account for the nucleation of earthquake clusters,and unconventional natural-hydraulic fracture networks provide fluid flow pathways to cause fault reactivation.This workflow can be used to mitigate potential seismic risks in unconventional reservoirs in other fields.展开更多
The Paris Agreement introduced a 1.5 ℃ target to control the rise in global temperature, but clear arrangements for feasible implementation pathways were not made. Achieving the 1.5 ℃ target imposes high requirement...The Paris Agreement introduced a 1.5 ℃ target to control the rise in global temperature, but clear arrangements for feasible implementation pathways were not made. Achieving the 1.5 ℃ target imposes high requirements on global emission reduction. Nationally Determined Con- tributions of all Parties are far from the 1.5 ℃ target, and conventional emission reduction technologies and policies will also have difficulty in fulfilling this task. In this context, geoengineering is gaining interest in the international arena. The Paris Agreement includes afforestation, carbon capture, utilization and storage, and negative emission technologies such as bio-energy with carbon capture and store. All of these techniques are CO2 removal technologies that belong to geoengineering. Solar radiation management, which is highly controversial, has also attracted increased attention in recent years. Although the outline of the IPCC Special Report on 1.5 ℃ does not include a specific section on geoengineering issues yet, geoengineering is an unconventional technical option that cannot be avoided in research and discussions on impact assessment, technical options, ethics, and international governance under the 1.5 ℃ target. On the basis of analyzing and discussing abovementioned issues, this paper proposes several policy suggestions for China to strengthen research on and response to geoengineering.展开更多
The new Austrian tunneling method （NATM） is widely applied in design and construction of underground engineering projects. When the type and distribution of unfavorable geological bodies （UGBs） associated with the...The new Austrian tunneling method （NATM） is widely applied in design and construction of underground engineering projects. When the type and distribution of unfavorable geological bodies （UGBs） associated with their influences on geoengineering are complicated or unfortunately are overlooked, we should pay more attentions to internal features of rocks grades IV and V （even in local but mostly controlling zones）. With increasing attentions to the characteristics, mechanism and influences of engineering construction-triggered geohazards, it is crucial to fully understand the disturbance of these geohazards on project construction. A reasonable determination method in construction procedure, i.e. the shape of working face, the type of engineering support and the choice of feasible procedure, should be considered in order to mitigate the construction-triggered geohazards. Due to their high sensitivity to groundwater and in-situ stress, various UGBs exhibit hysteretic nature and failure modes. To give a complete understanding on the internal causes, the emphasis on advanced comprehensive geological forecasting and overall reinforcement treatment is therefore of more practical significance. Compre- hensive evaluation of influential factors, identification of UGB, and measures of discontinuity dynamic controlling comprises the geoengineering condition evaluation and dynamic controlling method. In a case of a cut slope, the variations of UGBs and the impacts of key environmental factors are presented, where more severe construction-triggered geohazards emerged in construction stage than those predicted in design and field investigation stages. As a result, the weight ratios of different influential factors with respect to field investigation, design and construction are obtained.展开更多
Microbial geoengineering technology,as a new eco-friendly rock and soil improvement and reinforcement technology,has a wide application prospect.However,this technology still has many deficiencies and is difficult to ...Microbial geoengineering technology,as a new eco-friendly rock and soil improvement and reinforcement technology,has a wide application prospect.However,this technology still has many deficiencies and is difficult to achieve efficient curing,which has become the bottleneck of large-scale field application.This paper reviews the research status,hot spots,difficulties and future development direction microbial induced calcium carbonate precipitation(MICP)technology.The principle of solidification and the physical and mechanical properties of improved rock and soil are systematically summarized.The solidification efficiency is mainly affected by the reactant itself and the external environment.At present,the MICP technology has been preliminarily applied in the fields of soil solidification,crack repair,anti-seepage treatment,pollution repair and microbial cement.However,the technology is currently mainly limited to the laboratory level due to the difficulty of homogeneous mineralization,uneconomical reactants,short microbial activity period and large environmental interference,incidental toxicity of metabolites and poor field application.Future directions include improving the uniformity of mineralization by improving grouting methods,improving urease persistence by improving urease activity,and improving the adaptability of bacteria to the environment by optimizing bacterial species.Finally,the authors point out the economic advantages of combining soybean peptone,soybean meal and cottonseed as carbon source with phosphogypsum as calcium source to induce CaCO3.展开更多
On 17 October 2024,the American Geophysical Union(AGU)in Washington,DC,USA,released the Ethical Framework Principles for Climate Intervention Research[1],a set of guidelines designed to help scientists,funders,policym...On 17 October 2024,the American Geophysical Union(AGU)in Washington,DC,USA,released the Ethical Framework Principles for Climate Intervention Research[1],a set of guidelines designed to help scientists,funders,policymakers,and private entities research and govern geoengineering technologies as ethically as possible.Commissioned in 2022 by the AGU Board of Directors and produced with internal funding only,the document advocates that geoengineering research projects fully consider all possible risks and benefits-environmental,sociocultural,and geopolitical-and include input from any groups such projects might impact.展开更多
Solar geoengineering has been proposed as a potential mechanism to counteract global wanning. Here we use the University of Victoria Earth System Model （UVic） to simulate the effect of idealized sunshade geoengineer...Solar geoengineering has been proposed as a potential mechanism to counteract global wanning. Here we use the University of Victoria Earth System Model （UVic） to simulate the effect of idealized sunshade geoengineering on the global carbon cycle. We conduct two simulations. The first is the A2 simulation, where the model is driven by prescribed emission scenario based on the SRES A2 COz emission pathway. The second is the solar geoengineering simulation in which the model is driven by the A2 CO2 emission scenario combined with sunshade solar geoengineering. In the model, solar geoengineering is represented by a spatially uniform reduction in solar insolation that is implemented at year 2020 to offset CO2-induced global mean surface temperature change. Our results show that solar geoengineering increases global carbon uptake relative to A2, in particular CO2 uptake by the terrestrial biosphere. The increase in land carbon uptake is mainly associated with increased net primary production （NPP） in the tropics in the geoengineering simulation, which prevents excess warming in tropics. By year 2100, solar geoengineering decreases A2-simulated atmospheric CO2 by 110 ppm （12%） and causes a 60% （251 Pg C） increase in land carbon accumulation compared to A2. Solar geoengineering also prevents the reduction in ocean oxygen concentration caused by increased ocean temperatures and decreased ocean ventilation, but reduces global ocean NPE Our results suggest that to fully access the climate effect of solar geoengineering, the response of the global carbon cycle should be taken into account.展开更多
Geoengineering is a proposed response to anthropogenic global warming (AGW). Conventionally it consists of two strands: Solar Radiation Management (SRM), which is fast-acting, incomplete but inexpensive, and Carbon Di...Geoengineering is a proposed response to anthropogenic global warming (AGW). Conventionally it consists of two strands: Solar Radiation Management (SRM), which is fast-acting, incomplete but inexpensive, and Carbon Dioxide Removal (CDR), which is slower acting, more expensive, and comprehensive. Pairing SRM and CDR offers a contractually complete solution for future emissions if effectively-scaled and coordinated. SRM offsets warming, while CDR takes effect. We suggest coordination using a blockchain, i.e. smart contracts and a distributed ledger. Specifically, we integrate CDR futures with time and volume-matched SRM orders, to address emissions contractually before release. This provides an economically and environmentally proportionate solution to CO2 emissions at the wellhead, with robust contractual transparency, and minimal overhead cost. Our proposal offers a 'polluter pays' implementation of Long & Shepherds SRM 'bridge' concept. This 'polluter geoengineers' approach mandates and verifies emissionslinked payments with minimal friction, delay, or cost. Finally, we compare alternative market designs against this proposal, finding that this proposal offers several advantages. We conclude that blockchain implementation of the 'polluter geoengineers' approach is attractive and feasible for larger wellhead contracts. We also identify a handful of advantages and disadvantages that merit further study.展开更多
Solar Radiation Management (SRM) geoengineering is a proposed response to anthropogenic global warming (AGW)(National Academy of Sciences, 2015). There may be profound - even violent - disagreement on preferred temper...Solar Radiation Management (SRM) geoengineering is a proposed response to anthropogenic global warming (AGW)(National Academy of Sciences, 2015). There may be profound - even violent - disagreement on preferred temperature. SRM disruption risks dangerous temperature rise (termination shock). Concentrating on aircraft-delivered Stratospheric Aerosol Injection (SAI), we appraise threats to SRM and defense methodologies. Civil protest and minor cyberattacks are almost inevitable but are manageable (unless state-sponsored). Overt military attacks are more disruptive, but unlikely - although superpowers' symbolic overt attacks may deter SRM. Unattributable attacks are likely, and mandate use of widely-available weapons. Risks from unsophisticated weapons are therefore higher. An extended supply chain is more vulnerable than a secure airbase - necessitating supply-chain hardening. Recommendations to improve SRM resilience include heterogeneous operations from diverse, secure, well-stocked bases (possibly ocean islands or aircraft carriers);and avoidance of single-point-of failure risks (e.g. balloons). A distributed, civilianoperated system offers an alternative strategy. A multilateral, consensual SRM approach reduces likely attack triggers.展开更多
Geoengineering(deliberate climate modification)is a possible way to limit Anthropogenic Global Warming(AGW)(Shepherd,2009;National Research Council,2015).Solar Radiation Management geoengineering(SRM)offers relatively...Geoengineering(deliberate climate modification)is a possible way to limit Anthropogenic Global Warming(AGW)(Shepherd,2009;National Research Council,2015).Solar Radiation Management geoengineering(SRM)offers relatively inexpensive,rapid temperature control.However,this low cost leads to a risk of controversial unilateral intervention—the“free-driver”problem(Weitzman,2015).Consequently,this creates a risk of counter-geoengineering(deliberate warming)(Parker et al.,2018),resulting in governance challenges(Svoboda,2017)akin to an arms race.Free-driver deployment scenarios previously considered include the rogue state,Greenfinger(Bodansky,2013),or power blocs(Ricke et al.,2013),implying disagreement and conflict.We propose a novel distributed governance model of consensually-constrained unilateralism:Countries’authority is limited to each state’s fraction of the maximum realistic intervention(e.g.,pre-industrial temperature).We suggest a division of authority based on historical emissions(Rocha et al.,2015)—noting alternatives(e.g.,population).To aid understanding,we offer an analogue:An over-heated train carriage,with passenger-controlled windows.We subsequently discuss the likely complexities,notably Coasian side-payments.Finally,we suggest further research:Algebraic,bot and human modeling;and observational studies.展开更多
Global warming and algal blooms have been two of the most pressing problems faced by the world today.In recent decades,numerous studies indicated that global warming promoted the expansion of algal blooms.However,rese...Global warming and algal blooms have been two of the most pressing problems faced by the world today.In recent decades,numerous studies indicated that global warming promoted the expansion of algal blooms.However,research on how algal blooms respond to global warming is scant.Global warming coupled with eutrophication promoted the rapid growth of phytoplankton,which resulted in an expansion of algal blooms.Algal blooms are affected by the combined effects of global warming,including increases in temperatures,CO_(2)concentration,and nutrient input to aquatic systems by extreme weather events.Since the growth of phytoplankton requires CO_(2),they appear to act as a carbon sink.Unfortunately,algal blooms will release CH4,CO_(2),and inorganic nitrogen when they die and decompose.As substrate nitrogen increases from decompose algal biomass,more N2O will be released by nitrification and denitrification.In comparison to CO_(2),CH4has 28-fold and N2O has 265-fold greenhouse effect.Moreover,algal blooms in the polar regions may contribute to melting glaciers and sea ice(will release greenhouse gas,which contribute to global warming)by reducing surface albedo,which consequently would accelerate global warming.Thus,algal blooms and global warming could form feedback loops which prevent human survival and development.Future researches shall examine the mechanism,trend,strength,and control strategies involved in this mutual feedback.Additionally,it will promote global projects of environmental protection combining governance greenhouse gas emissions and algal blooms,to form a geoengineering for regulating the cycles of carbon,nitrogen,and phosphorus.展开更多
Solar radiation modification(SRM,also termed as geoengineering)has been proposed as a potential option to counteract anthropogenic warming.The underlying idea of SRM is to reduce the amount of sunlight reaching the at...Solar radiation modification(SRM,also termed as geoengineering)has been proposed as a potential option to counteract anthropogenic warming.The underlying idea of SRM is to reduce the amount of sunlight reaching the atmosphere and surface,thus offsetting some amount of global warming.Here,the authors use an Earth system model to investigate the impact of SRM on the global carbon cycle and ocean biogeochemistry.The authors simulate the temporal evolution of global climate and the carbon cycle from the pre-industrial period to the end of this century under three scenarios:the RCP4.5 CO_(2) emission pathway,the RCP8.5 CO_(2) emission pathway,and the RCP8.5 CO_(2) emission pathway with the implementation of SRM to maintain the global mean surface temperature at the level of RCP4.5.The simulations show that SRM,by altering global climate,also affects the global carbon cycle.Compared to the RCP8.5 simulation without SRM,by the year 2100,SRM reduces atmospheric CO_(2) by 65 ppm mainly as a result of increased CO_(2) uptake by the terrestrial biosphere.However,SRM-induced change in atmospheric CO_(2) and climate has a small effect in mitigating ocean acidification.By the year 2100,relative to RCP8.5,SRM causes a decrease in surface ocean hydrogen ion concentration([H^(+)])by 6% and attenuates the seasonal amplitude of[H^(+)]by about 10%.The simulations also show that SRM has a small effect on globally integrated ocean net primary productivity relative to the high-CO_(2) simulation without SRM.This study contributes to a comprehensive assessment of the effects of SRM on both the physical climate and the global carbon cycle.展开更多
The Mississippi River and its vast basin play a critical role in supporting ecological,economic,and social systems in the United States.However,managing this extensive watershed has become increasingly challenging due...The Mississippi River and its vast basin play a critical role in supporting ecological,economic,and social systems in the United States.However,managing this extensive watershed has become increasingly challenging due to a range of complex issues.This paper explores the historical developments in the watershed management of the Mississippi River,including navigation,flood control,sediment management,water supply,and pollution control.The current issues affecting the resilience,sustainability,and equity of the river and its basin are analyzed,leading to the formulation of a vision for its future.To realize this vision,various strategies are proposed,including embracing integrated water resources management,leveraging information technologies,synergizing green,grey,and blue infrastructure measures,and preparing for extreme weather events.Additionally,addressing equity issues,recognizing the water-energy-food nexus,exploring the river as a carbon capture reservoir,and investigating geoengineering concepts are also discussed.The paper concludes with essential research needs and provides recommendations to foster a resilient,sustainable,and equitable Mississippi River and its basin.展开更多
To address global warming and its impact on the Sahel,particularly rising tem-peratures and changing precipitation patterns,this study explores Solar Radi-ation Management(SRM)through stratospheric aerosol injection(S...To address global warming and its impact on the Sahel,particularly rising tem-peratures and changing precipitation patterns,this study explores Solar Radi-ation Management(SRM)through stratospheric aerosol injection(SAI).Using the IPSL-CM5A-LR model,we simulate the effects of SO2 injection on temper-ature and precipitation.We analyze data across three scenarios:historical greenhouse gas concentrations,RCP4.5 without SO2 injection,and RCP4.5 combined with SO2 geoengineering(G3).Climate data for two future periods(2020-2050 and 2050-2080)are compared to historical data(1950-2005)to as-sess seasonal and spatial variations in climate parameters.This study aims to evaluate the impact of SAI on temperature and precipitation in the Sahel,com-paring historical data with RCP4.5 and SAI scenarios.It seeks to determine SAI’s effectiveness in mitigating warming and identify potential side effects on the region’s climate from 2020 to 2080.Results indicate that stratospheric SO2 injection in the Sahel moderates seasonal temperatures,sustaining reductions through 2050-2080.The injection stabilizes temperatures,especially in sum-mer,potentially mitigating heat stress during the hot season.However,SAI ex-hibits varied impacts on precipitation patterns across seasons.While it en-hances rainfall in June and July,it generally reduces precipitation intensity in May,June,and August.These effects underscore the complex interplay be-tween SAI and regional climate dynamics.Overall,stratospheric SO2 injection emerges as a promising tool for climate mitigation in the Sahel,offering both opportunities and challenges that warrant further investigation as global efforts to address climate change intensify.Understanding these dynamics is crucial for informed decision-making regarding climate intervention strategies in vul-nerable regions like the Sahel.展开更多
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.41875126)the National Key Scientific and Technological Infrastructure project “Earth System Numerical Simulation Facility”(EarthLab)。
文摘Solar radiation modification,a scheme aimed at mitigating rapid global warming triggered by anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions,has been explored through the G1ext experiment under the Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project(GeoMIP) framework,utilizing the Chinese Academy of Sciences Earth System Model version 2(CAS-ESM2.0).This paper briefly describes the basic configuration and experimental design of the CAS-ESM2.0 for G1ext,which involves a sudden reduction in solar irradiance to counterbalance the radiative forcing of an abrupt quadrupling of atmospheric CO_(2) concentration,running for 100 years.Preliminary results show that this model can reproduce well the compensatory effect of a uniform decrease in global solar radiation on the radiative forcing resulting from an abrupt quadrupling of CO_(2) concentration.Like other Earth system models,CAS-ESM2.0 reasonably captures variations in radiative adjustments,surface air temperature,and precipitation patterns,both globally and locally,under the G1ext scenario.The generated datasets have been released on the Earth System Grid Federation data server,providing insight into the potential efficacy and impact of solar geoengineering strategies.
文摘The Thwaites Glacier in western Antarctica(Fig. 1) keeps glaciologists and climate scientists awake at night. The 120 kmwide glacier loses about 45 billion tonnes of ice each year, accounting for about 4% of global sea level rise [1]. If it melted completely, sea levels would climb 65 cm, and follow-on effects could lead to a 3 m increase [2]. But if some scientists' vision becomes reality, in 10–15 years construction crews will sail into the Amundsen Sea off Antarctica to begin building an 80 km long underwater curtain that will shield the glacier from the warm currents that are accelerating its decline [3].
基金supported by National High-level Innovative Talents Scientific Research Project in Hebei Province,China(Grant No.405492).
文摘Deep learning,a pivotal technology within artificial intelligence,has made significant strides across various domains,including geoengineering.This paper explores the practical applications and challenges of integrating deep learning techniques,such as Fully Connected Neural Networks(FCNNs)and Convolutional Neural Networks(CNNs),into geoengineering tasks,particularly in disaster prediction,resource exploration,and infrastructure health monitoring.The complexities of applying deep learning in geoengineering are multifaceted,involving mathematical,computational,and data processing challenges.However,the emergence of deep learning libraries,notably TensorFlow,has substantially lowered the technical barriers,enabling researchers and engineers to deploy these technologies more efficiently.Through case studies and practical examples,this paper demonstrates how TensorFlow can streamline the model development process,making deep learning more accessible to a broader audience in the field of geoengineering.The paper concludes with a discussion on the future prospects and potential advancements in the integration of deep learning within geoengineering,highlighting both the opportunities and the ongoing challenges.
基金supported by National Key Basic Research Program of China (2015CB953601)National Natural Science Foundation of China (41422503, 41276073)+1 种基金the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities (2015XZZX00405)Zhejiang University K. P. Chao's High Technology Development Foundation
文摘Geoengineering （also called climate engineering）, which refers to large-scale intervention in the Earth＇s climate system to counteract greenhouse gas-induced warming, has been one of the most rapidly growing areas of climate research as a potential option for tackling global warming. Here, we provide an overview of the scientific background and research progress of proposed geoengineering schemes. Geo- engineering can be broadly divided into two categories： solar geoengineering （also called solar radiation management, or SRM）, which aims to reflect more sunlight to space, and carbon dioxide removal （CDR）, which aims to reduce the CO2 content in the atmosphere. First, we review different proposed geoengineering methods involved in the solar radiation management and carbon dioxide removal schemes. Then, we discuss the fundamental science underlying the climate response to the carbon dioxide removal and solar radiation management schemes. We focus on two basic issues： 1） climate response to the reduction in solar irradiance and 2） climate response to the reduction in atmospheric COe. Next, we introduce an ongoing geoengineering research project in China that is supported by National Key Basic Research Program. This research project, being the first coordinated geoengineering research program in China, will systematically investigate the physical mechanisms, climate impacts, and risk and governance of a few targeted geoengineering schemes. It is expected that this research program will help us gain a deep understanding of the physical science underlying geoengineering schemes and the impacts of geoengineering on global climate, in particular, on the Asia monsoon region.
基金This research was supported by Science Foundation of China University of Petroleum,Beijing(No.2462023BJRC001)National Natural Science Foundation of China Project(No.52204039).
文摘On 2019-03-04,the largest induced earthquake(ML4.18)occurred in the East Shale Basin,Alberta,and the underlying physical mechanisms have not been fully understood.This paper proposes a synthetical geoengineering methodology to comprehensively characterize this earthquake caused by hydraulic fracturing.Based on 3D structural,petrophysical,and geomechanical models,an unconventional fracture model is constructed by considering the stress shadow between adjacent hydraulic fractures and the interactions between hydraulic and natural fractures.Coupled poroelastic simulations are conducted to reveal the triggering mechanisms of induced seismicity.It is found that four vertical basement-rooted faults were identified via focal mechanisms analysis.The brittleness index(BI)along two horizontal wells has a high magnitude(BI>0.5),indicating the potential susceptibility of rock brittleness.Due to the presence of overpressure,pre-existing faults in the Duvernay Formation are highly susceptible to fault reactivation.The occurrence of the earthquake clusters has been attributed to the fracturing fluid injection during the west 38^(th)-39^(th) stage and east 38^(th) stage completions.Rock brittleness,formation overpressure,and large fracturing job size account for the nucleation of earthquake clusters,and unconventional natural-hydraulic fracture networks provide fluid flow pathways to cause fault reactivation.This workflow can be used to mitigate potential seismic risks in unconventional reservoirs in other fields.
文摘The Paris Agreement introduced a 1.5 ℃ target to control the rise in global temperature, but clear arrangements for feasible implementation pathways were not made. Achieving the 1.5 ℃ target imposes high requirements on global emission reduction. Nationally Determined Con- tributions of all Parties are far from the 1.5 ℃ target, and conventional emission reduction technologies and policies will also have difficulty in fulfilling this task. In this context, geoengineering is gaining interest in the international arena. The Paris Agreement includes afforestation, carbon capture, utilization and storage, and negative emission technologies such as bio-energy with carbon capture and store. All of these techniques are CO2 removal technologies that belong to geoengineering. Solar radiation management, which is highly controversial, has also attracted increased attention in recent years. Although the outline of the IPCC Special Report on 1.5 ℃ does not include a specific section on geoengineering issues yet, geoengineering is an unconventional technical option that cannot be avoided in research and discussions on impact assessment, technical options, ethics, and international governance under the 1.5 ℃ target. On the basis of analyzing and discussing abovementioned issues, this paper proposes several policy suggestions for China to strengthen research on and response to geoengineering.
基金support by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 41372324)support from the Chinese Special Funds for Major State Basic Research Project under Grant No. 2010CB732001
文摘The new Austrian tunneling method （NATM） is widely applied in design and construction of underground engineering projects. When the type and distribution of unfavorable geological bodies （UGBs） associated with their influences on geoengineering are complicated or unfortunately are overlooked, we should pay more attentions to internal features of rocks grades IV and V （even in local but mostly controlling zones）. With increasing attentions to the characteristics, mechanism and influences of engineering construction-triggered geohazards, it is crucial to fully understand the disturbance of these geohazards on project construction. A reasonable determination method in construction procedure, i.e. the shape of working face, the type of engineering support and the choice of feasible procedure, should be considered in order to mitigate the construction-triggered geohazards. Due to their high sensitivity to groundwater and in-situ stress, various UGBs exhibit hysteretic nature and failure modes. To give a complete understanding on the internal causes, the emphasis on advanced comprehensive geological forecasting and overall reinforcement treatment is therefore of more practical significance. Compre- hensive evaluation of influential factors, identification of UGB, and measures of discontinuity dynamic controlling comprises the geoengineering condition evaluation and dynamic controlling method. In a case of a cut slope, the variations of UGBs and the impacts of key environmental factors are presented, where more severe construction-triggered geohazards emerged in construction stage than those predicted in design and field investigation stages. As a result, the weight ratios of different influential factors with respect to field investigation, design and construction are obtained.
基金This work was financed by the Second Tibetan Plateau Scientific Expedition and Research Program(STEP)(Grant No.2019QZKK0904)the Key Research and Development Plan of Yunnan Province(Grant No.202103AA080013).
文摘Microbial geoengineering technology,as a new eco-friendly rock and soil improvement and reinforcement technology,has a wide application prospect.However,this technology still has many deficiencies and is difficult to achieve efficient curing,which has become the bottleneck of large-scale field application.This paper reviews the research status,hot spots,difficulties and future development direction microbial induced calcium carbonate precipitation(MICP)technology.The principle of solidification and the physical and mechanical properties of improved rock and soil are systematically summarized.The solidification efficiency is mainly affected by the reactant itself and the external environment.At present,the MICP technology has been preliminarily applied in the fields of soil solidification,crack repair,anti-seepage treatment,pollution repair and microbial cement.However,the technology is currently mainly limited to the laboratory level due to the difficulty of homogeneous mineralization,uneconomical reactants,short microbial activity period and large environmental interference,incidental toxicity of metabolites and poor field application.Future directions include improving the uniformity of mineralization by improving grouting methods,improving urease persistence by improving urease activity,and improving the adaptability of bacteria to the environment by optimizing bacterial species.Finally,the authors point out the economic advantages of combining soybean peptone,soybean meal and cottonseed as carbon source with phosphogypsum as calcium source to induce CaCO3.
文摘On 17 October 2024,the American Geophysical Union(AGU)in Washington,DC,USA,released the Ethical Framework Principles for Climate Intervention Research[1],a set of guidelines designed to help scientists,funders,policymakers,and private entities research and govern geoengineering technologies as ethically as possible.Commissioned in 2022 by the AGU Board of Directors and produced with internal funding only,the document advocates that geoengineering research projects fully consider all possible risks and benefits-environmental,sociocultural,and geopolitical-and include input from any groups such projects might impact.
基金supported by the National Key Basic Research Program of China (Grant No. 2015CB953601)the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos. 41675063 & 41422503)the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities
文摘Solar geoengineering has been proposed as a potential mechanism to counteract global wanning. Here we use the University of Victoria Earth System Model （UVic） to simulate the effect of idealized sunshade geoengineering on the global carbon cycle. We conduct two simulations. The first is the A2 simulation, where the model is driven by prescribed emission scenario based on the SRES A2 COz emission pathway. The second is the solar geoengineering simulation in which the model is driven by the A2 CO2 emission scenario combined with sunshade solar geoengineering. In the model, solar geoengineering is represented by a spatially uniform reduction in solar insolation that is implemented at year 2020 to offset CO2-induced global mean surface temperature change. Our results show that solar geoengineering increases global carbon uptake relative to A2, in particular CO2 uptake by the terrestrial biosphere. The increase in land carbon uptake is mainly associated with increased net primary production （NPP） in the tropics in the geoengineering simulation, which prevents excess warming in tropics. By year 2100, solar geoengineering decreases A2-simulated atmospheric CO2 by 110 ppm （12%） and causes a 60% （251 Pg C） increase in land carbon accumulation compared to A2. Solar geoengineering also prevents the reduction in ocean oxygen concentration caused by increased ocean temperatures and decreased ocean ventilation, but reduces global ocean NPE Our results suggest that to fully access the climate effect of solar geoengineering, the response of the global carbon cycle should be taken into account.
文摘Geoengineering is a proposed response to anthropogenic global warming (AGW). Conventionally it consists of two strands: Solar Radiation Management (SRM), which is fast-acting, incomplete but inexpensive, and Carbon Dioxide Removal (CDR), which is slower acting, more expensive, and comprehensive. Pairing SRM and CDR offers a contractually complete solution for future emissions if effectively-scaled and coordinated. SRM offsets warming, while CDR takes effect. We suggest coordination using a blockchain, i.e. smart contracts and a distributed ledger. Specifically, we integrate CDR futures with time and volume-matched SRM orders, to address emissions contractually before release. This provides an economically and environmentally proportionate solution to CO2 emissions at the wellhead, with robust contractual transparency, and minimal overhead cost. Our proposal offers a 'polluter pays' implementation of Long & Shepherds SRM 'bridge' concept. This 'polluter geoengineers' approach mandates and verifies emissionslinked payments with minimal friction, delay, or cost. Finally, we compare alternative market designs against this proposal, finding that this proposal offers several advantages. We conclude that blockchain implementation of the 'polluter geoengineers' approach is attractive and feasible for larger wellhead contracts. We also identify a handful of advantages and disadvantages that merit further study.
文摘Solar Radiation Management (SRM) geoengineering is a proposed response to anthropogenic global warming (AGW)(National Academy of Sciences, 2015). There may be profound - even violent - disagreement on preferred temperature. SRM disruption risks dangerous temperature rise (termination shock). Concentrating on aircraft-delivered Stratospheric Aerosol Injection (SAI), we appraise threats to SRM and defense methodologies. Civil protest and minor cyberattacks are almost inevitable but are manageable (unless state-sponsored). Overt military attacks are more disruptive, but unlikely - although superpowers' symbolic overt attacks may deter SRM. Unattributable attacks are likely, and mandate use of widely-available weapons. Risks from unsophisticated weapons are therefore higher. An extended supply chain is more vulnerable than a secure airbase - necessitating supply-chain hardening. Recommendations to improve SRM resilience include heterogeneous operations from diverse, secure, well-stocked bases (possibly ocean islands or aircraft carriers);and avoidance of single-point-of failure risks (e.g. balloons). A distributed, civilianoperated system offers an alternative strategy. A multilateral, consensual SRM approach reduces likely attack triggers.
文摘Geoengineering(deliberate climate modification)is a possible way to limit Anthropogenic Global Warming(AGW)(Shepherd,2009;National Research Council,2015).Solar Radiation Management geoengineering(SRM)offers relatively inexpensive,rapid temperature control.However,this low cost leads to a risk of controversial unilateral intervention—the“free-driver”problem(Weitzman,2015).Consequently,this creates a risk of counter-geoengineering(deliberate warming)(Parker et al.,2018),resulting in governance challenges(Svoboda,2017)akin to an arms race.Free-driver deployment scenarios previously considered include the rogue state,Greenfinger(Bodansky,2013),or power blocs(Ricke et al.,2013),implying disagreement and conflict.We propose a novel distributed governance model of consensually-constrained unilateralism:Countries’authority is limited to each state’s fraction of the maximum realistic intervention(e.g.,pre-industrial temperature).We suggest a division of authority based on historical emissions(Rocha et al.,2015)—noting alternatives(e.g.,population).To aid understanding,we offer an analogue:An over-heated train carriage,with passenger-controlled windows.We subsequently discuss the likely complexities,notably Coasian side-payments.Finally,we suggest further research:Algebraic,bot and human modeling;and observational studies.
基金Supported by the Chongqing Water Conservancy Bureau Project(No.5000002021BF40001)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.41601537)+1 种基金the Opening Fund of the State Key Laboratory of Environmental Geochemistry(No.SKLEG2021202)the Strategic Pilot Science and Technology(Class A,No.XDA23040303)。
文摘Global warming and algal blooms have been two of the most pressing problems faced by the world today.In recent decades,numerous studies indicated that global warming promoted the expansion of algal blooms.However,research on how algal blooms respond to global warming is scant.Global warming coupled with eutrophication promoted the rapid growth of phytoplankton,which resulted in an expansion of algal blooms.Algal blooms are affected by the combined effects of global warming,including increases in temperatures,CO_(2)concentration,and nutrient input to aquatic systems by extreme weather events.Since the growth of phytoplankton requires CO_(2),they appear to act as a carbon sink.Unfortunately,algal blooms will release CH4,CO_(2),and inorganic nitrogen when they die and decompose.As substrate nitrogen increases from decompose algal biomass,more N2O will be released by nitrification and denitrification.In comparison to CO_(2),CH4has 28-fold and N2O has 265-fold greenhouse effect.Moreover,algal blooms in the polar regions may contribute to melting glaciers and sea ice(will release greenhouse gas,which contribute to global warming)by reducing surface albedo,which consequently would accelerate global warming.Thus,algal blooms and global warming could form feedback loops which prevent human survival and development.Future researches shall examine the mechanism,trend,strength,and control strategies involved in this mutual feedback.Additionally,it will promote global projects of environmental protection combining governance greenhouse gas emissions and algal blooms,to form a geoengineering for regulating the cycles of carbon,nitrogen,and phosphorus.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China[grant number 41975103].
文摘Solar radiation modification(SRM,also termed as geoengineering)has been proposed as a potential option to counteract anthropogenic warming.The underlying idea of SRM is to reduce the amount of sunlight reaching the atmosphere and surface,thus offsetting some amount of global warming.Here,the authors use an Earth system model to investigate the impact of SRM on the global carbon cycle and ocean biogeochemistry.The authors simulate the temporal evolution of global climate and the carbon cycle from the pre-industrial period to the end of this century under three scenarios:the RCP4.5 CO_(2) emission pathway,the RCP8.5 CO_(2) emission pathway,and the RCP8.5 CO_(2) emission pathway with the implementation of SRM to maintain the global mean surface temperature at the level of RCP4.5.The simulations show that SRM,by altering global climate,also affects the global carbon cycle.Compared to the RCP8.5 simulation without SRM,by the year 2100,SRM reduces atmospheric CO_(2) by 65 ppm mainly as a result of increased CO_(2) uptake by the terrestrial biosphere.However,SRM-induced change in atmospheric CO_(2) and climate has a small effect in mitigating ocean acidification.By the year 2100,relative to RCP8.5,SRM causes a decrease in surface ocean hydrogen ion concentration([H^(+)])by 6% and attenuates the seasonal amplitude of[H^(+)]by about 10%.The simulations also show that SRM has a small effect on globally integrated ocean net primary productivity relative to the high-CO_(2) simulation without SRM.This study contributes to a comprehensive assessment of the effects of SRM on both the physical climate and the global carbon cycle.
文摘The Mississippi River and its vast basin play a critical role in supporting ecological,economic,and social systems in the United States.However,managing this extensive watershed has become increasingly challenging due to a range of complex issues.This paper explores the historical developments in the watershed management of the Mississippi River,including navigation,flood control,sediment management,water supply,and pollution control.The current issues affecting the resilience,sustainability,and equity of the river and its basin are analyzed,leading to the formulation of a vision for its future.To realize this vision,various strategies are proposed,including embracing integrated water resources management,leveraging information technologies,synergizing green,grey,and blue infrastructure measures,and preparing for extreme weather events.Additionally,addressing equity issues,recognizing the water-energy-food nexus,exploring the river as a carbon capture reservoir,and investigating geoengineering concepts are also discussed.The paper concludes with essential research needs and provides recommendations to foster a resilient,sustainable,and equitable Mississippi River and its basin.
文摘To address global warming and its impact on the Sahel,particularly rising tem-peratures and changing precipitation patterns,this study explores Solar Radi-ation Management(SRM)through stratospheric aerosol injection(SAI).Using the IPSL-CM5A-LR model,we simulate the effects of SO2 injection on temper-ature and precipitation.We analyze data across three scenarios:historical greenhouse gas concentrations,RCP4.5 without SO2 injection,and RCP4.5 combined with SO2 geoengineering(G3).Climate data for two future periods(2020-2050 and 2050-2080)are compared to historical data(1950-2005)to as-sess seasonal and spatial variations in climate parameters.This study aims to evaluate the impact of SAI on temperature and precipitation in the Sahel,com-paring historical data with RCP4.5 and SAI scenarios.It seeks to determine SAI’s effectiveness in mitigating warming and identify potential side effects on the region’s climate from 2020 to 2080.Results indicate that stratospheric SO2 injection in the Sahel moderates seasonal temperatures,sustaining reductions through 2050-2080.The injection stabilizes temperatures,especially in sum-mer,potentially mitigating heat stress during the hot season.However,SAI ex-hibits varied impacts on precipitation patterns across seasons.While it en-hances rainfall in June and July,it generally reduces precipitation intensity in May,June,and August.These effects underscore the complex interplay be-tween SAI and regional climate dynamics.Overall,stratospheric SO2 injection emerges as a promising tool for climate mitigation in the Sahel,offering both opportunities and challenges that warrant further investigation as global efforts to address climate change intensify.Understanding these dynamics is crucial for informed decision-making regarding climate intervention strategies in vul-nerable regions like the Sahel.
