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GEOCLIM模型高分辨率模拟现代全球大陆硅酸盐风化通量:分布特征与控制因素
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作者 黄湘通 崔育华 +5 位作者 柳宇 李芳兵 郭玉龙 邓凯 李超 杨守业 《中国科学:地球科学》 北大核心 2025年第8期2815-2828,共14页
陆地硅酸盐风化是移除大气二氧化碳、维持地球气候长期稳定的重要负反馈机制.然而,如何量化大陆硅酸盐风化速率与通量是大陆风化研究的关键难题.本研究在GEOCLIM碳循环模型框架下,利用现代高分辨率(0.1°×0.1°)的地表温... 陆地硅酸盐风化是移除大气二氧化碳、维持地球气候长期稳定的重要负反馈机制.然而,如何量化大陆硅酸盐风化速率与通量是大陆风化研究的关键难题.本研究在GEOCLIM碳循环模型框架下,利用现代高分辨率(0.1°×0.1°)的地表温度、径流、地形和岩性数据,模拟了全球硅酸盐风化通量的空间分布.结果显示,流域模拟与水文观测结果存在显著相关关系,在误差范围内二者风化速率一致.硅酸盐风化通量有明显的纬向分布特征,高值区集中于南北纬30°以内,占全球比例为76.9%.从各大洲汇总数据来看,亚洲流域对全球硅酸盐风化的贡献最高,占比为36.9%,其主要贡献区域依次为东南亚(17.4%)、南亚(8.2%)与东亚流域(6.6%);南美洲和非洲流域的占比分别为29.2%与21.7%.现代构造活跃区硅酸盐化学风化通量占全球的21.9%,而构造稳定区的贡献更高,为72.6%.经机器学习RF、XGBoost算法多元回归分析发现,地表径流是影响地表硅酸盐风化通量的主要因素.构造稳定区的风化主要受径流与侵蚀速率控制,而构造活跃区风化主要受温度控制.GEOCLIM模型为定量研究大陆风化过程提供了有利模拟框架,未来研究需进一步考虑有机碳氧化-埋藏以及硫化物氧化等过程对碳循环的影响,以揭示不同气候背景下大陆风化的响应特征及其对气候的负反馈作用. 展开更多
关键词 硅酸盐风化 geoclim模型 流域 风化通量 碳循环
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High-resolution modeling of modern global continental silicate weathering fluxes within the GEOCLIM model framework:Spatial patterns and controlling factors
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作者 Xiangtong HUANG Yuhua CUI +5 位作者 Yu LIU Fangbing LI Yulong GUO Kai DENG Chao LI Shouye YANG 《Science China Earth Sciences》 2025年第8期2697-2710,共14页
Continental silicate weathering acts as a crucial negative feedback mechanism for removing atmospheric CO_(2) and maintaining Earth's long-term climate stability.However,quantifying continental silicate weathering... Continental silicate weathering acts as a crucial negative feedback mechanism for removing atmospheric CO_(2) and maintaining Earth's long-term climate stability.However,quantifying continental silicate weathering rates and fluxes continues to pose a fundamental challenge in Earth system science.This study utilizes the GEOCLIM carbon cycle model,which integrates modern high-resolution(0.1°×0.1°)datasets on surface temperature,runoff,topography,and lithology to model the spatial distribution of global silicate weathering fluxes.Results indicate a strong correlation between modeled basin-scale outputs and hydrological observations,with weathering rates falling within consistent error margins.Silicate weathering fluxes exhibit distinct latitudinal patterns,with the highest values concentrated within 30°of the equator,accounting for 76.9%of the global total.Continental contributions differ significantly,with Asian river basins representing 36.9%of global fluxes,primarily from Southeast Asia(17.4%),South Asia(8.2%),and East Asia(6.6%).They are followed by South America(29.2%)and Africa(21.7%).Tectonically active regions contribute 21.9%of global silicate weathering,while stable regions account for 72.6%.Multivariate regression analyses using RF and XGBoost machine learning algorithms identify runoff as the primary controlling factor of weathering on a global scale.Weathering in stable regions is jointly regulated by runoff and erosion rates,whereas temperature is the prevailing factor in tectonically active zones.The GEOCLIM model offers a robust framework for quantifying continental weathering processes.Future studies should incorporate organic carbon oxidation,burial,and sulfide oxidation dynamics to clarify carbon cycle interactions and reveal climate-dependent mechanisms for weathering responses and feedback. 展开更多
关键词 Silicate weathering geoclim model River basins Weathering fluxes Carbon cycle
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Climate Change Vulnerability and Impacts Analysis in Kenya 被引量:1
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作者 Samwel N. Marigi 《American Journal of Climate Change》 2017年第1期52-74,共23页
In this paper, observed climate change impacts in the country were collated and tabulated to provide the baseline information on the prevalent climate hazards associated with the impacts. Available climate and socio-e... In this paper, observed climate change impacts in the country were collated and tabulated to provide the baseline information on the prevalent climate hazards associated with the impacts. Available climate and socio-economic datasets for the country were then subjected to the GeoClim software analyses in order to generate the spatial patterns of exposure, sensitivity and adaptive capacity parameters. Composite layers of these parameters were overlayed to generate the vulnerability map. Finally, effectiveness of the country’s existing policies and capacities in addressing the vulnerabilities has been evaluated. Results have revealed that the entire country is vulnerable. However, the Northern parts as well as the Southern tip of the coastal strip are the most vulnerable. Flood and drought hazards result in the greatest impacts to the Kenyan society. Significant gaps and weaknesses have been observed in the existing policies and capacities which render them inadequate to effectively address the vulnerability. It is concluded that the country urgently requires a raft of measures to address the current and future vulnerabilities presented by climate change. 展开更多
关键词 CLIMATE CHANGE Hazards VULNERABILITY IMPACTS geoclim SOFTWARE
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