This paper provides a comparative analysis of the performance of a high-resolution regional ocean-atmosphere coupled model in predicting tropical cyclone(TC)gales over the northern South China Sea.The atmosphere and o...This paper provides a comparative analysis of the performance of a high-resolution regional ocean-atmosphere coupled model in predicting tropical cyclone(TC)gales over the northern South China Sea.The atmosphere and ocean components of the coupled system are represented by the China Meteorological Administration’s Tropical Regional Atmosphere Model for the South China Sea(CMA-TRAMS)and the LASG/IAP Climate system Ocean Model(LICOM),respectively.The Ocean Atmosphere Sea Ice Soil VersionH 3(OASIS3)software has been utilized for the exchange of momentum,heat,and freshwater fluxes between these two components.An assessment of the coupled model’s three-day predictions for five TCs’gales was conducted.Preliminary findings indicate that the predicted TC tracks show less sensitivity to oceanic influences than the predicted TC intensities.Significant improvement in predicting the surface TC gales has been achieved through coupling the ocean model.This improvement is attributed to the impact of the warmer ocean’s effect on TC intensification,counteracting the cooling effect of the cold wake.In summary,coupling has enhanced the model’s predictive capabilities for TC gales.A detailed assessment of the coupled model’s performance in predicting other tropical weather phenomena is forthcoming.展开更多
针对设备到设备(device to device, D2D)直连技术复用蜂窝网络资源导致用户间干扰的问题,提出了一种基于K-means与Gale-Shapley稳定匹配算法的D2D通信干扰管理资源分配方案。通过分析信号与干扰加噪声比公式,采用K-means聚类算法进行用...针对设备到设备(device to device, D2D)直连技术复用蜂窝网络资源导致用户间干扰的问题,提出了一种基于K-means与Gale-Shapley稳定匹配算法的D2D通信干扰管理资源分配方案。通过分析信号与干扰加噪声比公式,采用K-means聚类算法进行用户分组,降低用户间干扰,实现多对一资源复用;为提高通信系统容量且保证用户的公平性,采用Gale-Shapley稳定匹配算法在用户分组基础上实现信道资源共享。仿真结果表明,与基于贪婪的图着色资源分配算法相比,本文算法在保证系统容量基本稳定的情况下,系统干扰降低了10%~30%。展开更多
Based on the daily sea surface wind field prediction data of Japan Meteorological Agency(JMA) forecast model,National Centers for Environmental Prediction(NCEP GFS) model and U.S.Navy Operational Global Atmospheric Pr...Based on the daily sea surface wind field prediction data of Japan Meteorological Agency(JMA) forecast model,National Centers for Environmental Prediction(NCEP GFS) model and U.S.Navy Operational Global Atmospheric Prediction System(NOGAPS) model at 12:00 UTC from June 28 to August 10 in 2009,the bias-removed ensemble mean(BRE) was used to do the forecast test on the sea surface wind fields,and the root-mean-square error(RMSE) was used to test and evaluate the forecast results.The results showed that the BRE considerably reduced the RMSEs of 24 and 48 h sea surface wind field forecasts,and the forecast skill was superior to that of the single model forecast.The RMSE decreases in the south of central Bohai Sea and the middle of the Yellow Sea were the most obvious.In addition,the BRE forecast improved evidently the forecast skill of the gale process which occurred during July 13-14 and August 7 in 2009.The forecast accuracy of the wind speed and the gale location was also improved.展开更多
Based on semi - order fuzzy supermaringales andsubmartingales, the semi- order fuzzy supermartingaleand submartingale theory is developed. The main resultis to generalize the Doob decomposition and the Riesz de-compos...Based on semi - order fuzzy supermaringales andsubmartingales, the semi- order fuzzy supermartingaleand submartingale theory is developed. The main resultis to generalize the Doob decomposition and the Riesz de-composition theorems of standard martingale theory tosemi - order fuzzy supermaringales and submartingales.The structure of semi - order fuzzy supermaringales andsubmartingales and the conditions of that they has Doobdecomposition (resp. Riesz decomposition) are discussedin detail.展开更多
Arctic changes influence not only temperature and precipitation in the midlatitudes but also contribute to severe convection.This study investigates an extreme gale event that occurred on 30 April 2021 in East China a...Arctic changes influence not only temperature and precipitation in the midlatitudes but also contribute to severe convection.This study investigates an extreme gale event that occurred on 30 April 2021 in East China and was forced by an Arctic potential vorticity(PV)anomaly intrusion.Temperature advection steered by storms contributed to the equatorward propagation of Arctic high PV,forming the Northeast China cold vortex(NCCV).At the upper levels,a PV southward intrusion guided the combination of the polar jet and the subtropical jet,providing strong vertical wind shear and downward momentum transportation to the event.The PV anomaly cooled the upper troposphere and the northern part of East China,whereas the lower levels over southern East China were dominated by local warm air,thus establishing strong instability and baroclinicity.In addition,the entrainment of Arctic dry air strengthened the surface pressure gradient by evaporation cooling.Capturing the above mechanism has the potential to improve convective weather forecasts under climate change.This study suggests that the more frequent NCCV-induced gale events in recent years are partly due to high-latitude waviness and storm activities,and this hypothesis needs to be investigated using more cases.展开更多
Based on the gale observation data in 5 observation stations in Jinzhou area from 1973 to 2007,the gale trend and the periodic change in Jinzhou area were analyzed by using the linear trend estimation method and the s...Based on the gale observation data in 5 observation stations in Jinzhou area from 1973 to 2007,the gale trend and the periodic change in Jinzhou area were analyzed by using the linear trend estimation method and the spectral analysis method. Meanwhile,the circulation situation characteristics and the spatial-temporal distribution characteristics of gale in four seasons were discussed by surveying generally the weather charts. The results showed that the gale in Jinzhou area presented the fluctuation decline trend and had 3.5,7.0 years periodic changes. The gale in spring is the most and in summer was the least. It was less in winter and autumn. Seen from the analysis on the circulation situation,the gale circulation situation in Jinzhou area was similar to in Liaoning. The circulation situation in spring was basically consistent with in autumn,winter. The main situations had 3 kinds:north high south low(west high east low) ,two high clipping low,south high north low(east high west low) . In summer,the regional gale weather was mainly caused by the meso-micro scale system.展开更多
基金supported by the National Key R&D Program of China [grant number 2023YFC3008005]the Guangdong Basic and Applied Basic Research Foundation [grant numbers 2022A1515011288 and 2024A1515030210]+1 种基金the Key Innovation Team of the China Meteorological Administration [grant number CMA2023ZD08]the Guangdong Provincial Marine Meteorology Science Data Center [grant number 2024B1212070014]。
文摘This paper provides a comparative analysis of the performance of a high-resolution regional ocean-atmosphere coupled model in predicting tropical cyclone(TC)gales over the northern South China Sea.The atmosphere and ocean components of the coupled system are represented by the China Meteorological Administration’s Tropical Regional Atmosphere Model for the South China Sea(CMA-TRAMS)and the LASG/IAP Climate system Ocean Model(LICOM),respectively.The Ocean Atmosphere Sea Ice Soil VersionH 3(OASIS3)software has been utilized for the exchange of momentum,heat,and freshwater fluxes between these two components.An assessment of the coupled model’s three-day predictions for five TCs’gales was conducted.Preliminary findings indicate that the predicted TC tracks show less sensitivity to oceanic influences than the predicted TC intensities.Significant improvement in predicting the surface TC gales has been achieved through coupling the ocean model.This improvement is attributed to the impact of the warmer ocean’s effect on TC intensification,counteracting the cooling effect of the cold wake.In summary,coupling has enhanced the model’s predictive capabilities for TC gales.A detailed assessment of the coupled model’s performance in predicting other tropical weather phenomena is forthcoming.
文摘针对设备到设备(device to device, D2D)直连技术复用蜂窝网络资源导致用户间干扰的问题,提出了一种基于K-means与Gale-Shapley稳定匹配算法的D2D通信干扰管理资源分配方案。通过分析信号与干扰加噪声比公式,采用K-means聚类算法进行用户分组,降低用户间干扰,实现多对一资源复用;为提高通信系统容量且保证用户的公平性,采用Gale-Shapley稳定匹配算法在用户分组基础上实现信道资源共享。仿真结果表明,与基于贪婪的图着色资源分配算法相比,本文算法在保证系统容量基本稳定的情况下,系统干扰降低了10%~30%。
基金Supported by Chinese Meteorological Administration's Special Funds(Meteorology) for Scientific Research on Public Causes( GYHY200906007)Gale Forecast Item of the Shengli Oil Field Observatory (2008001)~~
文摘Based on the daily sea surface wind field prediction data of Japan Meteorological Agency(JMA) forecast model,National Centers for Environmental Prediction(NCEP GFS) model and U.S.Navy Operational Global Atmospheric Prediction System(NOGAPS) model at 12:00 UTC from June 28 to August 10 in 2009,the bias-removed ensemble mean(BRE) was used to do the forecast test on the sea surface wind fields,and the root-mean-square error(RMSE) was used to test and evaluate the forecast results.The results showed that the BRE considerably reduced the RMSEs of 24 and 48 h sea surface wind field forecasts,and the forecast skill was superior to that of the single model forecast.The RMSE decreases in the south of central Bohai Sea and the middle of the Yellow Sea were the most obvious.In addition,the BRE forecast improved evidently the forecast skill of the gale process which occurred during July 13-14 and August 7 in 2009.The forecast accuracy of the wind speed and the gale location was also improved.
文摘Based on semi - order fuzzy supermaringales andsubmartingales, the semi- order fuzzy supermartingaleand submartingale theory is developed. The main resultis to generalize the Doob decomposition and the Riesz de-composition theorems of standard martingale theory tosemi - order fuzzy supermaringales and submartingales.The structure of semi - order fuzzy supermaringales andsubmartingales and the conditions of that they has Doobdecomposition (resp. Riesz decomposition) are discussedin detail.
基金supported by the China National Science Foundation (Grant No. 41705029)Anhui Joint Foundation (Grant No.2208085UQ11)+2 种基金China Meteorological Administration special grants on innovation and development (Grant No. CXFZ2023J017)China Meteorological Administration special grants on decision-making meteorological service (Grant No. JCZX2022005)support from the innovation team at Anhui Meteorological Bureau
文摘Arctic changes influence not only temperature and precipitation in the midlatitudes but also contribute to severe convection.This study investigates an extreme gale event that occurred on 30 April 2021 in East China and was forced by an Arctic potential vorticity(PV)anomaly intrusion.Temperature advection steered by storms contributed to the equatorward propagation of Arctic high PV,forming the Northeast China cold vortex(NCCV).At the upper levels,a PV southward intrusion guided the combination of the polar jet and the subtropical jet,providing strong vertical wind shear and downward momentum transportation to the event.The PV anomaly cooled the upper troposphere and the northern part of East China,whereas the lower levels over southern East China were dominated by local warm air,thus establishing strong instability and baroclinicity.In addition,the entrainment of Arctic dry air strengthened the surface pressure gradient by evaporation cooling.Capturing the above mechanism has the potential to improve convective weather forecasts under climate change.This study suggests that the more frequent NCCV-induced gale events in recent years are partly due to high-latitude waviness and storm activities,and this hypothesis needs to be investigated using more cases.
文摘Based on the gale observation data in 5 observation stations in Jinzhou area from 1973 to 2007,the gale trend and the periodic change in Jinzhou area were analyzed by using the linear trend estimation method and the spectral analysis method. Meanwhile,the circulation situation characteristics and the spatial-temporal distribution characteristics of gale in four seasons were discussed by surveying generally the weather charts. The results showed that the gale in Jinzhou area presented the fluctuation decline trend and had 3.5,7.0 years periodic changes. The gale in spring is the most and in summer was the least. It was less in winter and autumn. Seen from the analysis on the circulation situation,the gale circulation situation in Jinzhou area was similar to in Liaoning. The circulation situation in spring was basically consistent with in autumn,winter. The main situations had 3 kinds:north high south low(west high east low) ,two high clipping low,south high north low(east high west low) . In summer,the regional gale weather was mainly caused by the meso-micro scale system.
