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Intelligent back analysis of geotechnical parameters for time-dependent rock mass surrounding mine openings using grey Verhulst model 被引量:3
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作者 Un Chol HAN Chung Song CHOE +1 位作者 Kun Ui HONG Hyon Il HAN 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2021年第10期3099-3116,共18页
In this paper,we present a new method of intelligent back analysis(IBA)using grey Verhulst model(GVM)to identify geotechnical parameters of rock mass surrounding tunnel,and validate it via a test for a main openings o... In this paper,we present a new method of intelligent back analysis(IBA)using grey Verhulst model(GVM)to identify geotechnical parameters of rock mass surrounding tunnel,and validate it via a test for a main openings of−600 m level in Coal Mine“6.13”,Democratic People's Republic of Korea.The displacement components used for back analysis are the crown settlement and sidewalls convergence monitored at the end of the openings excavation,and the final closures predicted by GVM.The non-linear relation between displacements and back analysis parameters was obtained by artificial neural network(ANN)and Burger-creep viscoplastic(CVISC)model of FLAC3D.Then,the optimal parameters were determined for rock mass surrounding tunnel by genetic algorithm(GA)with both groups of measured displacements at the end of the final excavation and closures predicted by GVM.The maximum absolute error(MAE)and standard deviation(Std)between calculated displacements by numerical simulation with back analysis parameters and in situ ones were less than 6 and 2 mm,respectively.Therefore,it was found that the proposed method could be successfully applied to determining design parameters and stability for tunnels and underground cavities,as well as mine openings and stopes. 展开更多
关键词 intelligent back analysis(IBA) grey Verhulst model(gvm) closure prediction mine openings burgercreep viscoplastic(CVISC)model
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灰色量子粒子群优化通用向量机的中国行业间碳排放转移网络预测研究 被引量:11
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作者 吕康娟 胡颖 《中国管理科学》 CSSCI CSCD 北大核心 2020年第8期196-208,共13页
针对行业间碳排放转移量预测问题,以中国1997-2017年间9年度28个行业间碳排转移量数据为样本,本文提出了基于小样本随机振荡序列的灰色量子粒子群优化通用向量机混合预测模型ROGM-QPSO-GVM。该模型首先使用ROGM(1,1)模型得到各行业对其... 针对行业间碳排放转移量预测问题,以中国1997-2017年间9年度28个行业间碳排转移量数据为样本,本文提出了基于小样本随机振荡序列的灰色量子粒子群优化通用向量机混合预测模型ROGM-QPSO-GVM。该模型首先使用ROGM(1,1)模型得到各行业对其他行业碳排放转移量的预测序列和残差序列,然后提出了一种新的量子粒子群优化(QPSO)算法优化GVM模型网络参数,构建了QPSO-GVM模型对残差序列进行修正,再将两部分的预测值相加得到行业间碳排放转移量预测值,最后根据所有预测值构建出行业间碳排放转移网络。结果表明ROGM-QPSO-GVM模型与其他模型相比具有更好的预测效果,并利用该模型对2020年、2025年、2030年中国行业间碳排放转移网络进行了预测及变化趋势分析。 展开更多
关键词 行业碳减排 碳排放转移网络 gvm模型 QPSO算法 混合预测
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