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基于GMS的湘阴县地下水数值模拟及压采分析
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作者 冯馨 鄢曙光 +1 位作者 谷佳琪 张涛 《水利技术监督》 2026年第5期266-272,共7页
为应对湘阴县地下水超采引发的水位下降及漏斗问题,文章基于GMS构建三维非稳定流模型,采用MODFLOW-PEST进行参数反演优化,并通过增设虚拟观测点提高模拟精度,使RMSE降至0.404m, NSE提升至0.997。结果显示,持续开采将使2030年漏斗区最低... 为应对湘阴县地下水超采引发的水位下降及漏斗问题,文章基于GMS构建三维非稳定流模型,采用MODFLOW-PEST进行参数反演优化,并通过增设虚拟观测点提高模拟精度,使RMSE降至0.404m, NSE提升至0.997。结果显示,持续开采将使2030年漏斗区最低水位为-9.82m;而实施压采措施可显著恢复水位,其中地下水备用方案可使2030年水位回升至-1.01m。研究表明,引入虚拟观测点可有效提高模型精度,实施压采与地表水替代工程对恢复区域地下水环境具有重要意义。 展开更多
关键词 地下水压采 数值模拟 gms 参数反演 降落漏斗
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A Novel Semi-Supervised Multi-View Picture Fuzzy Clustering Approach for Enhanced Satellite Image Segmentation
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作者 Pham Huy Thong Hoang Thi Canh +2 位作者 Nguyen Tuan Huy Nguyen Long Giang Luong Thi Hong Lan 《Computers, Materials & Continua》 2026年第3期1092-1117,共26页
Satellite image segmentation plays a crucial role in remote sensing,supporting applications such as environmental monitoring,land use analysis,and disaster management.However,traditional segmentation methods often rel... Satellite image segmentation plays a crucial role in remote sensing,supporting applications such as environmental monitoring,land use analysis,and disaster management.However,traditional segmentation methods often rely on large amounts of labeled data,which are costly and time-consuming to obtain,especially in largescale or dynamic environments.To address this challenge,we propose the Semi-Supervised Multi-View Picture Fuzzy Clustering(SS-MPFC)algorithm,which improves segmentation accuracy and robustness,particularly in complex and uncertain remote sensing scenarios.SS-MPFC unifies three paradigms:semi-supervised learning,multi-view clustering,and picture fuzzy set theory.This integration allows the model to effectively utilize a small number of labeled samples,fuse complementary information from multiple data views,and handle the ambiguity and uncertainty inherent in satellite imagery.We design a novel objective function that jointly incorporates picture fuzzy membership functions across multiple views of the data,and embeds pairwise semi-supervised constraints(must-link and cannot-link)directly into the clustering process to enhance segmentation accuracy.Experiments conducted on several benchmark satellite datasets demonstrate that SS-MPFC significantly outperforms existing state-of-the-art methods in segmentation accuracy,noise robustness,and semantic interpretability.On the Augsburg dataset,SS-MPFC achieves a Purity of 0.8158 and an Accuracy of 0.6860,highlighting its outstanding robustness and efficiency.These results demonstrate that SSMPFC offers a scalable and effective solution for real-world satellite-based monitoring systems,particularly in scenarios where rapid annotation is infeasible,such as wildfire tracking,agricultural monitoring,and dynamic urban mapping. 展开更多
关键词 Multi-view clustering satellite image segmentation semi-supervised learning picture fuzzy sets remote sensing
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基于GMS的三维地质建模与地下水数值模拟研究
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作者 屈元会 《地下水》 2026年第1期101-103,204,共4页
为研究昆明地热田海埂块段地层结构与地下水流场特征,采用GMS软件以研究区内钻孔数据、边界条件、地层高程为依据建立地层三维实体模型;分析研究区水文地质条件,建立研究区水文地质概念模型,使用Modflow模块建立研究区灯影组含水层地下... 为研究昆明地热田海埂块段地层结构与地下水流场特征,采用GMS软件以研究区内钻孔数据、边界条件、地层高程为依据建立地层三维实体模型;分析研究区水文地质条件,建立研究区水文地质概念模型,使用Modflow模块建立研究区灯影组含水层地下水数值模型对研究区未来地下水流场进行模拟预测。结果表明:研究区数值流场模型符合地下水流场的实际情况,研究区灯影组含水层由北向南径流,排泄方式为人工开采,局部出现降落漏斗;应用三维非稳定流地下水数值模型分别模拟出的海埂块段灯影组含水层2030年、2040年、2050年、2060年的地下水流场结果表明研究区水位下降的差异性较大,水位最大降深93 m,地热开采井的布局和开采量需进一步行优化。模拟成果可以应用到研究区未来地热水开发利用中。 展开更多
关键词 gms 三维地质建模 地下水数值模拟 海埂块段
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基于GMS的岩溶隧道涌水量预测
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作者 陈风光 何恩洋 +3 位作者 段建新 孟中华 赵英凡 王全荣 《安全与环境工程》 北大核心 2025年第5期209-219,共11页
岩溶区的隧道工程对现代交通和水利建设具有重要意义,但复杂的水文地质条件和隧道突水及其次生灾害给岩溶深长隧道建设带来了巨大的挑战。依托湖北某高速公路项目,通过深入分析岩溶隧址区的工程地质和水文地质条件,查明了隧址区地下水... 岩溶区的隧道工程对现代交通和水利建设具有重要意义,但复杂的水文地质条件和隧道突水及其次生灾害给岩溶深长隧道建设带来了巨大的挑战。依托湖北某高速公路项目,通过深入分析岩溶隧址区的工程地质和水文地质条件,查明了隧址区地下水流系统的发育特征及其补给、径流和排泄方式;运用地下水模拟系统(groundwater modeling system,GMS)软件构建隧址区三维地质模型,并采用Drain模块模拟了隧道完全开挖后隧址区的三维地下水水流模型;基于隧道围岩级别划分对隧道进行了分段,并分段预测了隧道完全开挖且周围水流系统基本稳定后的最大涌水量;同时,将该预测结果与大气降水入渗法和地下径流模数法的预测结果进行了对比。结果表明:采用数值模拟法、大气降水入渗法和地下径流模数法预测的最大涌水量分别为5044、6337和4270 m^(3)/d,其中采用大气降水入渗法预测的最大涌水量最大,数值模拟法预测的最大涌水量介于地下径流模数法与大气降水入渗法预测的最大涌水量之间;采用数值模拟法预测的最大涌水量1239.0 m^(3)/d出现在崖屋沟和白峪庵水库的周边地带,该地段涌水量较大的主要原因是隧道开挖使含水层应力释放,导致地表水与隧道之间的水力梯度增大,致使该地段内地表水补给含水层;隧道开挖后至水流系统基本稳定期间,白峪庵水库对含水层的补水量为748 m^(3)/d,崖屋沟引水隧洞对含水层的补给量为13 m^(3)/d。研究结果可为隧道施工和安全运营提供水文地质依据,也可为岩溶区隧道涌水量预测提供理论模型支撑,且通过分析不同方法预测结果的差异性,可为实际隧道的涌水量预测研究提供指导。 展开更多
关键词 岩溶隧道 涌水量预测 高速公路 数值模拟 地下水模拟系统(gms)
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基于GMS的管道敷设对地下水渗流场影响分析
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作者 赵海阔 林牧 冯伟 《黑龙江水利科技》 2025年第12期97-102,共6页
针对输水管道敷设可能对周边环境造成浸没影响,本文通过模拟区现场水文地质勘察、地下水长期观测、地下水均衡计算,建立基于GMS的三维渗流场模型,并经空间时间离散、模型的识别和校验后,设计了4种情景,进行平水期和枯水期渗流场预测研... 针对输水管道敷设可能对周边环境造成浸没影响,本文通过模拟区现场水文地质勘察、地下水长期观测、地下水均衡计算,建立基于GMS的三维渗流场模型,并经空间时间离散、模型的识别和校验后,设计了4种情景,进行平水期和枯水期渗流场预测研究。通过分析研究,管道敷设对地下水流场影响较小,不会产生浸没问题,可以不采取工程处理措施。 展开更多
关键词 三维渗流场模型 gms 管道敷设 地下水壅高
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基于GMS的岩溶地下河水流与溶质运移过程模拟研究 被引量:1
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作者 解子轩 江峰 +3 位作者 王若帆 吉勤克补子 史浙明 赵良杰 《中国岩溶》 北大核心 2025年第1期57-69,共13页
文章针对合肥市龙洞地下河系统,采用地下水模拟软件GMS(Groundwater Modeling System)构建数值模型。通过构建大渗透系数K概化岩溶地下河的水流特性,旨在通过较少的参数达成较高的模拟效率;利用2022-2023年地下河出口流量数据进行模型... 文章针对合肥市龙洞地下河系统,采用地下水模拟软件GMS(Groundwater Modeling System)构建数值模型。通过构建大渗透系数K概化岩溶地下河的水流特性,旨在通过较少的参数达成较高的模拟效率;利用2022-2023年地下河出口流量数据进行模型识别和验证,确保模拟结果的可靠性;之后通过示踪试验比较模拟与观测数据,揭示当前溶质运移模拟中存在的时间和空间尺度误差,尤其用大渗透系数达西流表征岩溶地下河特性的局限性。结果表明GMS在模拟岩溶地下水流动方面表现出较好的一致性,但在溶质运移模拟方面的精度有待提高,特别是在渗透系数大(9000 m·d^(-1))的情况下,预测结果与实际观测存在一定偏差。通过调整模型渗透系数和设置缓冲带,改善模拟精度,并阐明其对溶质运移范围和速度的显著影响,表明参数优化是提高模型预测准确度的关键。提出针对岩溶地下水模拟的改进措施,包括优化模型的参数设置、引入更复杂的水动力学模型(如EPM、DC和CDC模型)以及提高模型在非达西流动条件下的应用能力。未来应继续探索模型参数的最优化,并通过更多实地验证来提高模型的预测能力和适用性,以期为岩溶区水资源管理和保护提供科学的决策支持。 展开更多
关键词 gms 地下水 数值模拟 岩溶管道
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结合ARIMA方法与GMS模拟洋河流域地下水水位 被引量:2
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作者 孙福宝 童菊秀 +1 位作者 梁畅 仝锦威 《水资源与水工程学报》 北大核心 2025年第1期18-28,共11页
传统地下水数值模型在预测未来地下水水位时,常受限于难以获取的降水与蒸发数据。为解决这一问题,基于ARIMA模型预测降水与蒸发时间序列数据,并结合GMS地下水流模型,模拟洋河流域地下水水位变化过程,提出一种改进的地下水水位预测方法... 传统地下水数值模型在预测未来地下水水位时,常受限于难以获取的降水与蒸发数据。为解决这一问题,基于ARIMA模型预测降水与蒸发时间序列数据,并结合GMS地下水流模型,模拟洋河流域地下水水位变化过程,提出一种改进的地下水水位预测方法。通过分析洋河流域2000—2020年的历史气象数据,使用ARIMA模型预测2021年的降水与蒸发量,将预测结果输入GMS模型,开展地下水水位模拟实验。结果表明:GMS模型对洋河流域地下水水位的模拟效果较好,大多数NSE值分布在0.71~0.96之间,RMSE值均在0.05~0.45 m之间,整体精度较高;ARIMA模型对气象数据的预测精度较高,蒸发数据的预测效果优于降水;结合ARIMA模型与GMS模型的研究方法在精度和适用性上表现良好,为区域地下水资源管理提供了科学依据。研究提出的方法克服了传统模型对未来数据依赖性强的局限性,可为类似区域预测地下水水位提供参考。 展开更多
关键词 地下水水位 降水与蒸发数据 时间序列分析ARIMA方法 gms 洋河流域
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基于GMS的平原区浅层地下水潜在硝酸盐点源污染预测研究——以秦皇岛为例
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作者 胡博文 范琳琳 +4 位作者 王磊 李振雄 王振华 解志旺 李毅 《北京师范大学学报(自然科学版)》 北大核心 2025年第2期151-160,共10页
为研究秦皇岛平原区浅层地下水中硝酸盐污染潜在发展动态,本文利用GMS构建地下水水流与溶质迁移耦合模型,对地下水中硝酸盐潜在点源在未来20 a间的迁移和污染风险进行预测,探讨了切断污染源的不同时间情景对水源地的污染影响.结果表明:... 为研究秦皇岛平原区浅层地下水中硝酸盐污染潜在发展动态,本文利用GMS构建地下水水流与溶质迁移耦合模型,对地下水中硝酸盐潜在点源在未来20 a间的迁移和污染风险进行预测,探讨了切断污染源的不同时间情景对水源地的污染影响.结果表明:构建的地下水流动模型和36个野外统测数据拟合较好,能够反映区域地下水流动情况;浅层地下水中硝酸盐污染羽主延伸方向从西北向东南沿海扩散;水源地的地下水开采影响了局部地下水流动方向,昌黎县后孟营水源地存在较显著的污染风险.此外,研究发现切断污染源后,迁移和稀释的过程是缓解后孟营水源地硝酸盐污染风险的主要因素,及时切断污染源能够有效降低污染风险. 展开更多
关键词 浅层地下水 秦皇岛平原区 gms数值模拟 硝酸盐 点源污染预测
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基于GMS的武威盆地地下水开发利用评价 被引量:1
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作者 曾海涛 马金珠 +1 位作者 郭玉宁 张丽 《水利规划与设计》 2025年第10期94-100,124,共8页
为推动武威市地下水资源规划管理、优化水资源配置以及加强生态环境保护的合理决策,以武威盆地为研究对象,采用GMS(Groundwater Modeling System)地下水模拟软件模拟并比对武威盆地地下水埋深在时空上的分布情况。结果表明,虽然武威盆... 为推动武威市地下水资源规划管理、优化水资源配置以及加强生态环境保护的合理决策,以武威盆地为研究对象,采用GMS(Groundwater Modeling System)地下水模拟软件模拟并比对武威盆地地下水埋深在时空上的分布情况。结果表明,虽然武威盆地经过治理后地下水水位相较于过去几年降速有所减缓,地下水漏斗规模逐渐缩小,但持续的超采仍然对区域生态环境和农业用水安全造成了不利影响。研究明确了地下水资源的空间分布及开采现状,为武威盆地地下水超采区精准治理提供科学依据。 展开更多
关键词 武威盆地 gms 地下水 开发利用
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基于GMS模拟地下水中污染物溶质运移
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作者 冯克印 魏茂杰 +4 位作者 贾超 张博 赵云青 王金晓 吕沛璐 《山东国土资源》 2025年第3期10-16,共7页
本文运用GMS软件,以巨淀湖湿地及其周边区域为研究区,建立了地下水流和溶质运移模型,并进行模拟预测。结果表明:研究区地下水位观测资料与水流模型的模拟水位拟合结果较好。硝酸盐污染质主要集中在研究区南部区域,典型污染质迁移中以椭... 本文运用GMS软件,以巨淀湖湿地及其周边区域为研究区,建立了地下水流和溶质运移模型,并进行模拟预测。结果表明:研究区地下水位观测资料与水流模型的模拟水位拟合结果较好。硝酸盐污染质主要集中在研究区南部区域,典型污染质迁移中以椭圆伞状由污染源处向研究区中部扩散迁移,在漏斗区产生聚集。污染质运移中不同浓度区间确定的影响范围随时间推移增加的速率在减小,到一定时间趋于稳定。该研究为湿地生态系统的污染防治提供依据,为黄河流域湿地的保护修复提供了范例。 展开更多
关键词 地下水 硝酸盐 溶质运移 gms
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Mechanistic insights into cluster strengthening and grain refinement toughening in fully oxidized AgMgNi alloys 被引量:1
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作者 Haicheng Zhu Bingrui Liu +9 位作者 Shaohong Liu Limin Zhou Hao Cui Manmen Liu Li Chen Ming Wen Haigang Dong Feng Liu Song Li Liang Zuo 《Journal of Materials Science & Technology》 2025年第20期252-263,共12页
The pursuit of Ag-based alloys with both high strength and toughness has posed a longstanding chal-lenge.In this study,we investigated the cluster strengthening and grain refinement toughening mecha-nisms in fully oxi... The pursuit of Ag-based alloys with both high strength and toughness has posed a longstanding chal-lenge.In this study,we investigated the cluster strengthening and grain refinement toughening mecha-nisms in fully oxidized AgMgNi alloys,which were internally oxidized at 800℃ for 8 h under an oxy-gen atmosphere.We found that Mg-O clusters contributed to the hardening(138 HV)and strengthening(376.9 MPa)of the AgMg alloy through solid solution strengthening effects,albeit at the expense of duc-tility.To address this limitation,we introduced Ni nanoparticles into the AgMg alloy,resulting in signifi-cant grain refinement within its microstructure.Specifically,the grain size decreased from 67.2μm in the oxidized AgMg alloy to below 6.0μm in the oxidized AgMgNi alloy containing 0.3 wt%Ni.Consequently,the toughness increased significantly,rising from toughness value of 2177.9 MJ m^(-3) in the oxidized AgMg alloy to 6186.1 MJ m^(-3) in the oxidized AgMgNi alloy,representing a remarkable 2.8-fold enhancement.Furthermore,the internally oxidized AgMgNi alloy attained a strength of up to 387.6 MPa,comparable to that of the internally oxidized AgMg alloy,thereby demonstrating the successful realization of concurrent strengthening and toughening.These results collectively offer a novel approach for the design of high-performance alloys through the synergistic combination of cluster strengthening and grain refinement toughening. 展开更多
关键词 Ag-based alloys Mg-O cluster Grain refining Internal oxidation HARDENING
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Generalized Energy-Based Fragmentation DLPNO-CCSD(T)Approach at Complete Basis Set Limit and Its Application to Benzene Clusters
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作者 Yan Sun Benkun Hong +1 位作者 Wei Li Shuhua Li 《Chinese Journal of Chemical Physics》 2025年第3期347-355,I0061-I0105,I0109,共55页
Accurate description of noncova-lent interactions in large systems is challenging due to the require-ment of high-level electron corre-lation methods.The generalized energy-based fragmentation(GEBF)approach,in conjunc... Accurate description of noncova-lent interactions in large systems is challenging due to the require-ment of high-level electron corre-lation methods.The generalized energy-based fragmentation(GEBF)approach,in conjunc-tion with the domain-based local pair natural orbital(DLPNO)method,has been applied to assess the average binding energies(ABEs)of large benzene clus-ters,specifically(C6H6)13,at the coupled cluster singles and doubles with perturbative triples correction[CCSD(T)]level and the complete basis set(CBS)limit.Utilizing GEBF-DLPNO-CCSD(T)/CBS ABEs as benchmarks,various DFT functionals were evaluated.It was found that several functionals with empirical dispersion correction,including M06-2X-D3,B3LYP-D3(BJ),and PBE-D3(BJ),provide accurate descriptions of the ABEs for(C6H6)13 clusters.Additionally,the M06-2X-D3 functional was used to calculate the ABEs and relative stabili-ties of(C6H6)n clusters for n=11,12,13,14,and 15 revealing that the(C6H6)13 cluster ex-hibits the highest relative stability.These findings align with experimental evidence suggest-ing that n=13 is one of the magic numbers for benzene clusters(C6H6)n,with n≤30. 展开更多
关键词 Generalized energy-based fragmentation approach Coupled cluster Complete basis set limit Benzene cluster Dispersion interactions
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Interscale analysis of sediment clusters amid turbulence 被引量:1
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作者 Wai Hong Ronald Chan Ahmed Elnahhas +3 位作者 Hanul Hwang Lucy J.Brown Andrew J.Banko S.Balachandar 《Acta Mechanica Sinica》 2026年第1期73-80,共8页
Noncohesive particle clusters are identified and tracked in turbulent flows to determine the breakdown and time evolution of cluster statistics and their implications for interscale mass transfer,which has connections... Noncohesive particle clusters are identified and tracked in turbulent flows to determine the breakdown and time evolution of cluster statistics and their implications for interscale mass transfer,which has connections to the classical turbulent energy cascade and its mass cascade counterpart running in parallel.In particular,the formation and dynamics of sediment and larvae clusters are of interest to coral larvae settlement in coastal regions and particularly the resilience of green-gray coastal protection solutions.Analogous cluster behavior is relevant to cloud microphysics and precipitation initiation,radiation transport and light transmission through colloids and suspensions,heat and mass transfer in particle-laden flows,and viral and pollutant transmission.Following a comparison between various clustering techniques,we adopt a density-based cluster identification algorithm based on its simplicity and efficiency,where particles are clustered based on the number of neighboring particles in their individual spheres of influence.We establish parallels with lattice-based percolation theory,as evident in the power-law scaling of the cluster size distribution near the percolation threshold.The degree of discontinuity of the phase transition associated with this percolation threshold is observed to broaden with larger Stokes numbers and thereby large-scale clustering.The sensitivity of our findings to the employed clustering algorithm is discussed.A novel cluster tracking algorithm is deployed to determine the interscale transfer rate along the particle-number phase-space dimension via accounting of cluster breakup and merger events,extending previous work on the bubble breakup cascade beneath surface breaking waves.Our findings shed light on the interaction between particle clusters and their carrier turbulent flows,with an eye toward transport models incorporating cluster characteristics and dynamics. 展开更多
关键词 Particle-laden flows Particle-laden turbulence Sediment transport Computational fluid dynamics Multiphase turbulence Particle clustering Percolation theory
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The Bayesian Gaussian mixture model with nearest-neighbor distance(BGMM-NND)algorithm:A new earthquake clustering method and its application to the Sichuan–Yunnan Block
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作者 JieYi Hou Feng Hu +1 位作者 Yang Zang LingYuan Meng 《Earth and Planetary Physics》 2025年第4期828-841,共14页
We propose a robust earthquake clustering method:the Bayesian Gaussian mixture model with nearest-neighbor distance(BGMM-NND)algorithm.Unlike the conventional nearest neighbor distance method,the BGMM-NND algorithm el... We propose a robust earthquake clustering method:the Bayesian Gaussian mixture model with nearest-neighbor distance(BGMM-NND)algorithm.Unlike the conventional nearest neighbor distance method,the BGMM-NND algorithm eliminates the need for hyperparameter tuning or reliance on fixed thresholds,offering enhanced flexibility for clustering across varied seismic scales.By integrating cumulative probability and BGMM with principal component analysis(PCA),the BGMM-NND algorithm effectively distinguishes between background and triggered earthquakes while maintaining the magnitude component and resolving the issue of excessively large spatial cluster domains.We apply the BGMM-NND algorithm to the Sichuan–Yunnan seismic catalog from 1971 to 2024,revealing notable variations in earthquake frequency,triggering characteristics,and recurrence patterns across different fault zones.Distinct clustering and triggering behaviors are identified along different segments of the Longmenshan Fault.Multiple seismic modes,namely,the short-distance mode,the medium-distance mode,the repeating-like mode,the uniform background mode,and the Wenchuan mode,are uncovered.The algorithm's flexibility and robust performance in earthquake clustering makes it a valuable tool for exploring seismicity characteristics,offering new insights into earthquake clustering and the spatiotemporal patterns of seismic activity. 展开更多
关键词 earthquake clustering BgmM-NND algorithm Sichuan–Yunnan Block seismic modes
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基于Markov优化的灰色GM(1,1)模型在建筑物沉降监测中的应用
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作者 何青平 《测绘与空间地理信息》 2026年第1期185-187,共3页
针对传统灰色GM(1,1)模型在建筑物沉降监测预测精度低的问题,本文提出了一种基于Markov优化的灰色GM(1,1)模型。首先推导了模型的数学理论,结合实际工程案例对模型精度进行分析,结果表明:预测值残差最大值为1.5 mm,预测值残差最小值为0.... 针对传统灰色GM(1,1)模型在建筑物沉降监测预测精度低的问题,本文提出了一种基于Markov优化的灰色GM(1,1)模型。首先推导了模型的数学理论,结合实际工程案例对模型精度进行分析,结果表明:预测值残差最大值为1.5 mm,预测值残差最小值为0.2 mm,整体精度优于2 mm。与传统灰色GM(1,1)模型相比,基于Markov优化的灰色GM(1,1)模型在建筑物沉降监测预报中具有优越性,预测结果精度更高。基于Markov优化的灰色GM(1,1)模型解决了建筑物沉降监测预测精度低问题,同时其预测结果可为建筑物工程管理运维部门提供科学数据支撑。 展开更多
关键词 马尔可夫 灰色gm(1 1)模型 建筑物 沉降监测
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基于GM(1,1)模型深圳港物流需求预测研究
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作者 王妮娜 刘红利 《西安交通工程学院学术研究》 2026年第1期89-93,103,共6页
在“双循环”战略与《粤港澳大湾区发展规划纲要》推进背景下,深圳港虽2024年货物吞吐量居全球第四,但在高端增值服务、多式联运比例等方面存在短板。为助力其从“大港”向“强港”跨越,本文采用GM(1,1)模型,以2017-2023年深圳港货物吞... 在“双循环”战略与《粤港澳大湾区发展规划纲要》推进背景下,深圳港虽2024年货物吞吐量居全球第四,但在高端增值服务、多式联运比例等方面存在短板。为助力其从“大港”向“强港”跨越,本文采用GM(1,1)模型,以2017-2023年深圳港货物吞吐量为样本数据进行物流需求预测。经级比检验及精度计算,样本数据符合建模条件。预测结果显示,2024-2028年深圳港货物吞吐量将稳定增长,年均增速约3.4%,2024年至2028年依次为30613.13万吨、31665.93万吨、32754.94万吨、33881.39万吨、35046.59万吨(2028年突破3.5亿吨)。基于此,本文从拓宽高端物流服务、构建港口供应链联盟、布局“海空港铁”多式联运等方面提出对策,以承接需求增长、解决发展痛点,后续研究可引入外生变量与组合模型提升预测精度。 展开更多
关键词 深圳港 需求预测 gm(1 1)模型 港口物流
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Ligand-directed construction of cobalt-oxo cluster-based organic frameworks:Structural modulation,semiconductor,and antiferromagnetic properties
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作者 SHI Jinlian LIU Xiaoru XU Zhongxuan 《无机化学学报》 北大核心 2026年第1期45-54,共10页
Under hydrothermal and solvothermal conditions,two novel cobalt-based complexes,{[Co_(2)(CIA)(OH)(1,4-dtb)]·3.2H_(2)O}n(HU23)and{[Co_(2)(CIA)(OH)(1,4-dib)]·3.5H2O·DMF}n(HU24),were successfully construct... Under hydrothermal and solvothermal conditions,two novel cobalt-based complexes,{[Co_(2)(CIA)(OH)(1,4-dtb)]·3.2H_(2)O}n(HU23)and{[Co_(2)(CIA)(OH)(1,4-dib)]·3.5H2O·DMF}n(HU24),were successfully constructed by coordinatively assembling the semi-rigid multidentate ligand 5-(1-carboxyethoxy)isophthalic acid(H₃CIA)with the Nheterocyclic ligands 1,4-di(4H-1,2,4-triazol-4-yl)benzene(1,4-dtb)and 1,4-di(1H-imidazol-1-yl)benzene(1,4-dib),respectively,around Co^(2+)ions.Single-crystal X-ray diffraction analysis revealed that in both complexes HU23 and HU24,the CIA^(3-)anions adopt aκ^(7)-coordination mode,bridging six Co^(2+)ions via their five carboxylate oxygen atoms and one ether oxygen atom.This linkage forms tetranuclear[Co4(μ3-OH)2]^(6+)units.These Co-oxo cluster units were interconnected by CIA^(3-)anions to assemble into 2D kgd-type structures featuring a 3,6-connected topology.The 2D layers were further connected by 1,4-dtb and 1,4-dib,resulting in 3D pillar-layered frameworks for HU23 and HU24.Notably,despite the similar configurations of 1,4-dtb and 1,4-dib,differences in their coordination spatial orientations lead to topological divergence in the 3D frameworks of HU23 and HU24.Topological analysis indicates that the frameworks of HU23 and HU24 can be simplified into a 3,10-connected net(point symbol:(4^(10).6^(3).8^(2))(4^(3))_(2))and a 3,8-connected tfz-d net(point symbol:(4^(3))_(2)((4^(6).6^(18).8^(4)))),respectively.This structural differentiation confirms the precise regulatory role of ligands on the topology of metal-organic frameworks.Moreover,the ultraviolet-visible absorption spectra confirmed that HU23 and HU24 have strong absorption capabilities for ultraviolet and visible light.According to the Kubelka-Munk method,their bandwidths were 2.15 and 2.08 eV,respectively,which are consistent with those of typical semiconductor materials.Variable-temperature magnetic susceptibility measurements(2-300 K)revealed significant antiferromagnetic coupling in both complexes,with their effective magnetic moments decreasing markedly as the temperature lowered.CCDC:2457554,HU23;2457553,HU24. 展开更多
关键词 semi-rigid carboxylic acid ligands three-dimensional framework tetranuclear cobalt-oxo cluster semiconductor material antiferromagnetic magnetism
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基于GM(1,1)-BP神经网络组合预测模型的快递网点业务量需求预测
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作者 刘林 李莉 《甘肃科学学报》 2026年第1期69-76,共8页
快递网点业务量预测直接影响网点的选址、人员配备、经营成本等。为提高快递网点业务量需求预测精度,采用GM(1,1)-BP神经网络组合预测模型预测未来快递网点业务量需求。选取宜宾市叙州区S快递公司N网点2012—2023年9个影响快递业务量需... 快递网点业务量预测直接影响网点的选址、人员配备、经营成本等。为提高快递网点业务量需求预测精度,采用GM(1,1)-BP神经网络组合预测模型预测未来快递网点业务量需求。选取宜宾市叙州区S快递公司N网点2012—2023年9个影响快递业务量需求的指标,应用灰色关联度模型分析各需求指标与人均快递业务量的亲疏程度,选出叙州区人均GDP、第三产业GDP、税收收入、城镇居民人均消费支出、农村居民人均消费支出、社会消费品零售总额6个指标建立快递网点业务量需求预测指标体系,构建GM(1,1)-BP神经网络组合预测模型,并同GM(1,1)预测模型、BP神经网络预测模型进行对比。结果表明,组合预测模型2024—2026年人均快递业务量分别为24.8358件、26.97055件和29.19719件,MAE为0.55798,MAPE为4.433%,对比GM(1,1)模型MAE降低0.00694,MAPE降低0.452%,对比BP神经网络模型预测MAE降低0.452,MAPE降低0.409%。 展开更多
关键词 快递网点业务量 gm(1 1)模型 BP神经网络 组合预测 灰色关联度
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Progress in clustering algorithms for astronomical spectra over a decade
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作者 Jianing Tian Haifeng Yang +4 位作者 Jianghui Cai Yuqing Yang Xiangru Li Zhenping Yi Lili Wang 《Astronomical Techniques and Instruments》 2026年第1期10-25,共16页
As large-scale astronomical surveys,such as the Sloan Digital Sky Survey(SDSS)and the Large Sky Area Multi-Object Fiber Spectroscopic Telescope(LAMOST),generate increasingly complex datasets,clustering algorithms have... As large-scale astronomical surveys,such as the Sloan Digital Sky Survey(SDSS)and the Large Sky Area Multi-Object Fiber Spectroscopic Telescope(LAMOST),generate increasingly complex datasets,clustering algorithms have become vital for identifying patterns and classifying celestial objects.This paper systematically investigates the application of five main categories of clustering techniques-partition-based,density-based,model-based,hierarchical,and“others”-across a range of astronomical research over the past decade.This review focuses on the six key application areas of stellar classification,galaxy structure analysis,detection of galactic and interstellar features,highenergy astrophysics,exoplanet studies,and anomaly detection.This paper provides an in-depth analysis of the performance and results of each method,considering their respective suitabilities for different data types.Additionally,it presents clustering algorithm selection strategies based on the characteristics of the spectroscopic data being analyzed.We highlight challenges such as handling large datasets,the need for more efficient computational tools,and the lack of labeled data.We also underscore the potential of unsupervised and semi-supervised clustering approaches to overcome these challenges,offering insight into their practical applications,performance,and results in astronomical research. 展开更多
关键词 clusterING Stellar types Astronomical techniques CLASSIFICATION GALAXIES
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Systematic study of laser-assisted cluster radioactivity for deformed nuclei
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作者 Leng-Jun Liao Lin-Jing Qi +2 位作者 Xi-Jun Wu Xiao-Hua Li Ming Li 《Nuclear Science and Techniques》 2026年第4期232-242,共11页
In this study,the effects of laser fields that can be achieved in the near future on cluster penetration probability and half-life are quantitatively investigated.The calculation results show that extreme laser fields... In this study,the effects of laser fields that can be achieved in the near future on cluster penetration probability and half-life are quantitatively investigated.The calculation results show that extreme laser fields can slightly change the cluster-decay half-life by affecting the penetration probability within a narrow range.Subsequently,we discuss the correlation between the change rate of the penetration probability and the tunneling path.The results indicate that for different parent nuclei emitting the same cluster,nuclei with longer tunneling paths are more easily affected by the laser fields.The shell effect on this correlation is also observed.In addition,the impact of laser fields on the penetration probability in any direction is investigated. 展开更多
关键词 cluster radioactivity HALF-LIFE Extreme laser field Penetration probability
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