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基于GIPL2对阿拉斯加多年冻土不同深度地温的模拟研究 被引量:1
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作者 马鹏 刘桂民 +4 位作者 成倬鋆 王莉 李羽莹 王耀新 吴晓东 《兰州交通大学学报》 CAS 2023年第2期115-123,共9页
准确模拟多年冻土地温变化,对深入了解多年冻土土壤温度变化特征、不同下垫面条件的土壤热物性以及对气候变化预测均有重要意义。运用GIPL2模型模拟阿拉斯加不同土壤类型地温,并对其实用性进行了评估。模拟结果表明:在土壤粒径较大的区... 准确模拟多年冻土地温变化,对深入了解多年冻土土壤温度变化特征、不同下垫面条件的土壤热物性以及对气候变化预测均有重要意义。运用GIPL2模型模拟阿拉斯加不同土壤类型地温,并对其实用性进行了评估。模拟结果表明:在土壤粒径较大的区域,用模型的默认参数可以模拟出土壤温度随季节变化的趋势,且在浅层的模拟值比深层更接近观测值,当深度超过0.5 m时模拟值与观测值存在较大的误差。在土壤质地复杂的区域由于土壤含水率等一系列参数对模型的影响,要准确模拟试验点的温度变化,需要可靠的观测数据。在同一地点安装气象站点和土壤参数传感器来监测多年冻土,可以为评估多年冻土热状况对气候持续变化的响应提供必要的数据。总体而言,当有足够的数据支撑时,GIPL2模型对土壤热状况的模拟精度较好,是一种模拟多年冻土区不同深度土壤热物性较为理想的模型。 展开更多
关键词 阿拉斯加 gipl2模型 不同土壤类型 地温模拟
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Distribution and changes of active layer thickness(ALT) and soil temperature(TTOP) in the source area of the Yellow River using the GIPL model 被引量:16
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作者 LUO DongLiang JIN HuiJun +1 位作者 Sergei MARCHENKO Vladimir ROMANOVSKY 《Science China Earth Sciences》 SCIE EI CAS 2014年第8期1834-1845,共12页
Active layer thickness(ALT) is critical to the understanding of the surface energy balance, hydrological cycles, plant growth, and cold region engineering projects in permafrost regions. The temperature at the botto... Active layer thickness(ALT) is critical to the understanding of the surface energy balance, hydrological cycles, plant growth, and cold region engineering projects in permafrost regions. The temperature at the bottom of the active layer, a boundary layer between the equilibrium thermal state(in permafrost below) and transient thermal state(in the atmosphere and surface canopies above), is an important parameter to reflect the existence and thermal stability of permafrost. In this study, the Geophysical Institute Permafrost Model(GIPL) was used to model the spatial distribution of and changes in ALT and soil temperature in the Source Area of the Yellow River(SAYR), where continuous, discontinuous, and sporadic permafrost coexists with seasonally frozen ground. Monthly air temperatures downscaled from the CRU TS3.0 datasets, monthly snow depth derived from the passive microwave remote-sensing data SMMR and SSM/I, and vegetation patterns and soil properties at scale of 1:1000000 were used as input data after modified with GIS techniques. The model validation was carried out carefully with in-situ ALT in the SAYR interpolated from the field-measured soil temperature data. The results of the model indicate that the average ALT in the SAYR has significantly increased from 1.8 m in 1980 to 2.4 m in 2006 at an average rate of 2.2 cm yr–1. The mean annual temperature at the bottom of the active layer, or temperature at the top of permafrost(TTOP) rose substantially from –1.1°C in 1980 to –0.6°C in 2006 at an average rate of 0.018°C yr–1. The increasing rate of the ALT and TTOP has accelerated since 2000. Regional warming and degradation of permafrost has also occurred, and the changes in the areal extent of regions with a sub-zero TTOP shrank from 2.4×104 to 2.2×104 km2 at an average rate of 74 km2 yr–1. Changes of ALT and temperature have adversely affected the environmental stability in the SAYR. 展开更多
关键词 gipl model active layer thickness TTOP degradation of permafrost
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Remote Sensing, Model-Derived and Ground Measurements of Snow Water Equivalent and Snow Density in Alaska
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作者 Reginald R. Muskett 《International Journal of Geosciences》 2012年第5期1127-1136,共10页
Snow water equivalent (SWE) is important for investigations of annual to decadal-scale changes in Arctic environment and energy-water cycles. Passive microwave satellite-based retrieval algorithm estimates of SWE now ... Snow water equivalent (SWE) is important for investigations of annual to decadal-scale changes in Arctic environment and energy-water cycles. Passive microwave satellite-based retrieval algorithm estimates of SWE now span more than three decades. SWE retrievals by the Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer for the Earth Observation System (AMSR-E) onboard the NASA-Aqua satellite ended at October 2011. A critical parameter in the AMSR-E retrieval algorithm is snow density assumed from surveys in Canada and Russia from 1940s-1990s. We compare ground SWE measurements in Alaska to those of AMSR-E, European Space Agency GlobSnow, and GIPL model. AMSR-E SWE underperforms (is less than on average) ground SWE measurements in Alaska through 2011. Snow density measurements along the Alaska permafrost transect in April 2009 and 2010 show a significant latitude-gradient in snow density increasing to the Arctic coast at Prudhoe Bay. Large differences are apparent in comparisons of our measured mean snow densities on a same snow cover class basis March-April 2009-2011 Alaska to those measured in Alaska winter 1989-1992 and Canadian March-April 1961-1990. Snow density like other properties of snow is an indicator of climate and a non-stationary variable of SWE. 展开更多
关键词 AMSR-E GlobSnow gipl MODEL GROUND MEASUREMENTS SNOW Water EQUIVALENT SNOW Density Alaska
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青藏高原工程走廊3个监测点多年冻土温度序列重建 被引量:1
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作者 殷路辉 赵林 +10 位作者 胡国杰 赵建婷 幸赞品 孙哲 张钰鑫 刘广岳 邹德富 杜二计 肖敏轩 乔永平 史健宗 《科学通报》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2023年第15期1985-2000,共16页
连续、长时间序列的多年冻土温度数据在开展气候变化对多年冻土的影响及其生态、水文效应研究中有着重要的科学意义.本文利用西大滩、五道梁、唐古拉3个观测点的实测地温数据首先对多年冻土模型及其参数化方案进行了验证、优化和标校,... 连续、长时间序列的多年冻土温度数据在开展气候变化对多年冻土的影响及其生态、水文效应研究中有着重要的科学意义.本文利用西大滩、五道梁、唐古拉3个观测点的实测地温数据首先对多年冻土模型及其参数化方案进行了验证、优化和标校,以实测数据和经过校正的CMIP6逐月5 cm地表土壤温度数据作为模型的驱动数据,模拟了3个观测点1900~2019年多年冻土地温变化,并对1920年以后的模拟温度变化序列进行分析.结果表明:(1)多年冻土模型对处于地温年变化深度以下地温的模拟误差低于0.1℃,表明模型对于多年冻土的热状态具有较好的模拟能力;(2)1920~2019年西大滩、五道梁、唐古拉各模拟深度的年平均温度均呈现升温趋势,年地温变化(15 m)处的平均升温速率为0.07℃/10 a(0.05~0.09),不同深度岩土层的热状态对气候变化具有不同的响应时间,深层地温对气候变化的响应相较于浅层有20年左右的滞后;(3)多年冻土上限下降速率相差不大,平均为0.6 cm/a;多年冻土下限的上升速率分别为13.4、4.0和4.0 cm/a;多年冻土厚度分别减少13.9、4.6、4.7 m;(4)3个观测点多年冻土对气候变化的反应存在差异,处于多年冻土北部下界附近西大滩的多年冻土相对不稳定,对气候变化反应剧烈,而处于连续多年冻土区的五道梁和唐古拉多年冻土相对稳定.本研究重建的不同深度100年月尺度地温变化序列可以较好地反映青藏高原多年冻土温度的变化历史,与近40年来观测到的多年冻土变化的实际情况较为一致.地温序列是对目前青藏高原多年冻土地温数据时间短、连续性差的补充和完善,可被用作研究青藏高原多年冻土热状态变化的重要参考数据. 展开更多
关键词 青藏高原 gipl2模型 多年冻土 温度模拟 温度重建
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