Short-term load forecast plays an important role in the day-to-day operation and scheduling of generating units. Season and temperature are the most important factors that affect the load change, but random factors su...Short-term load forecast plays an important role in the day-to-day operation and scheduling of generating units. Season and temperature are the most important factors that affect the load change, but random factors such as big sport events or popular TV shows can change demand consumption in particular hours, which will lead to sudden load changes. A weighted time-variant slide fuzzy time-series model (WTVS) for short-term load forecasting is proposed to improve forecasting accuracy. The WTVS model is divided into three parts, including the data preprocessing, the trend training and the load forecasting. In the data preprocessing phase, the impact of random factors will be weakened by smoothing the historical data. In the trend training and load forecasting phase, the seasonal factor and the weighted historical data are introduced into the Time-variant Slide Fuzzy Time-series Models (TVS) for short-term load forecasting. The WTVS model is tested on the load of the National Electric Power Company in Jordan. Results show that the proposed WTVS model achieves a significant improvement in load forecasting accuracy as compared to TVS models.展开更多
The rapid integration of Internet of Things(IoT)technologies is reshaping the global energy landscape by deploying smart meters that enable high-resolution consumption monitoring,two-way communication,and advanced met...The rapid integration of Internet of Things(IoT)technologies is reshaping the global energy landscape by deploying smart meters that enable high-resolution consumption monitoring,two-way communication,and advanced metering infrastructure services.However,this digital transformation also exposes power system to evolving threats,ranging from cyber intrusions and electricity theft to device malfunctions,and the unpredictable nature of these anomalies,coupled with the scarcity of labeled fault data,makes realtime detection exceptionally challenging.To address these difficulties,a real-time decision support framework is presented for smart meter anomality detection that leverages rolling time windows and two self-supervised contrastive learning modules.The first module synthesizes diverse negative samples to overcome the lack of labeled anomalies,while the second captures intrinsic temporal patterns for enhanced contextual discrimination.The end-to-end framework continuously updates its model with rolling updated meter data to deliver timely identification of emerging abnormal behaviors in evolving grids.Extensive evaluations on eight publicly available smart meter datasets over seven diverse abnormal patterns testing demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed full framework,achieving average recall and F1 score of more than 0.85.展开更多
It is crucial to predict future mechanical behaviors for the prevention of structural disasters.Especially for underground construction,the structural mechanical behaviors are affected by multiple internal and externa...It is crucial to predict future mechanical behaviors for the prevention of structural disasters.Especially for underground construction,the structural mechanical behaviors are affected by multiple internal and external factors due to the complex conditions.Given that the existing models fail to take into account all the factors and accurate prediction of the multiple time series simultaneously is difficult using these models,this study proposed an improved prediction model through the autoencoder fused long-and short-term time-series network driven by the mass number of monitoring data.Then,the proposed model was formalized on multiple time series of strain monitoring data.Also,the discussion analysis with a classical baseline and an ablation experiment was conducted to verify the effectiveness of the prediction model.As the results indicate,the proposed model shows obvious superiority in predicting the future mechanical behaviors of structures.As a case study,the presented model was applied to the Nanjing Dinghuaimen tunnel to predict the stain variation on a different time scale in the future.展开更多
Red tide is an ecological disaster caused by the excessive proliferation of photosynthetic algae in the ocean.The frequent occurrences of red tide have brought serious harms to the marine aquaculture and caused signif...Red tide is an ecological disaster caused by the excessive proliferation of photosynthetic algae in the ocean.The frequent occurrences of red tide have brought serious harms to the marine aquaculture and caused significant economic losses to the marine industry.Red tide prediction can alleviate and even stop the long-term damages to marine ecosystems,which helps maintain the ecological balance of the ocean environment and contributes to the Sustainable Development Goal of“life below water”formulated by the United Nations.Aiming at red tide prediction using remote sensing technology,this study proposed a novel approach of red tide prediction using time-series hyperspectral observations,and examined the proposed method in the Xinghai Bay,China.Three spectral indices,namely the twoband ratio(TBR),the three-band spectral index(TBSI),and the fluorescence baseline height(FLH),were used to reduce the dimensionality of hyperspectral data and extract spectral features.Two machine learning models including the random forest(RF)and the support vector machine(SVM)were employed to predict whether red tide would occur on a target day based on the time-series spectral indices obtained in the previous days.By comparing and analyzing the prediction results of multiple machine learning models trained with different spectral indices and temporal lengths,it is found that both the RF and the SVM models can predict the red tide outbreaks at the accuracies over 0.9 using adequate temporal lengths of input data.When the temporal length of input data is limited,however,it is suggested to use the RF model,which accurately predicts red tide outbreaks using the temporal input of the 2-d TBSI.The proposed method is expected to provide oceanic and maritime agencies with early warnings on red tide outbreaks and ensure the safety of the coastal environment in large spatial scales using optical remote sensing technology.展开更多
As financial markets grow increasingly complex and volatile,timeseriesbased stock price forecasting has become a critical research focus in the field of finance.Traditional forecasting methods face significant limitat...As financial markets grow increasingly complex and volatile,timeseriesbased stock price forecasting has become a critical research focus in the field of finance.Traditional forecasting methods face significant limitations in handling nonlinear and high-dimensional data,while neural networks(NNs)have demonstrated great potential due to their powerful feature extraction and pattern recognition capabilities.Although several existing surveys discuss the applications of NNs in stock forecasting,they often lack a detailed examination of models that use time-series data as input and fail to cover the latest research developments.In response,this paper reviews relevant literature from 2015 to 2025 and classifies timeseriesbased stock forecasting methods into four categories:NNs,recurrent NNs(RNNs),convolutional NNs(CNNs),Transformers and other models.We analyze their performance under different market conditions,highlight strengths and limitations,and identify recent trends in model design.Our findings show that hybrid architectures and attention-based models consistently achieve superior forecasting stability and adaptability across volatile market scenarios.This survey offers a systematic reference for researchers and practitioners and outlines promising future research directions.展开更多
Recently,the outbreak and spread of larch caterpillar(Dendrolimus superans)pests have emerged as significant contributors to forest degradation in the Changbai Mountains,China.Understanding the spatiotemporal distribu...Recently,the outbreak and spread of larch caterpillar(Dendrolimus superans)pests have emerged as significant contributors to forest degradation in the Changbai Mountains,China.Understanding the spatiotemporal distribution patterns of these pests is crucial for effective management and protection of forest ecosystems.This study proposes a pest monitoring approach based on Sentinel imagery.Through time-series analysis,we extracted pest-sensitive features and developed a random forest classifier that integrated Sentinel-1,Sentinel-2,and field sampling data from 2019–2023 to monitor larch caterpillar pests in the Changbai Mountains National Nature Reserve(CMNNR),Northeast China.Our findings indicated that bands green(B3),near-infrared(B8),short wave infrared(B11 and B12)from Sentinel-2 remote sensing images exhibited notable discriminative capabilities for identifying larch caterpillar pests.Specifically,the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index(NDVI)at the end of the growing season emerged as the most valuable feature for pest extraction.Incorporating Synthetic Aperture Radar(SAR)features along with optical data marginally enhances model performance.Furthermore,our approach unveiled the outbreak of larch caterpillar pests,achieving classification map with overall accuracy exceeding 85%and Kappa coefficient surpassing 0.8 for five study years.The pest outbreak began in 2019 and progressively intensified over time.In September 2019,the affected area spanned 114.23 km^(2).The infested area exhibited a declining trend from 2020 to 2023.This study introduces a novel method for the high-precision identification of larch caterpillar pests,offering technical advancements and theoretical underpinnings to support forest management strategies.展开更多
This paper introduces a fuzzy C-means-based pooling layer for convolutional neural networks that explicitly models local uncertainty and ambiguity.Conventional pooling operations,such as max and average,apply rigid ag...This paper introduces a fuzzy C-means-based pooling layer for convolutional neural networks that explicitly models local uncertainty and ambiguity.Conventional pooling operations,such as max and average,apply rigid aggregation and often discard fine-grained boundary information.In contrast,our method computes soft membershipswithin each receptive field and aggregates cluster-wise responses throughmembership-weighted pooling,thereby preserving informative structure while reducing dimensionality.Being differentiable,the proposed layer operates as standard two-dimensional pooling.We evaluate our approach across various CNN backbones and open datasets,including CIFAR-10/100,STL-10,LFW,and ImageNette,and further probe small training set restrictions on MNIST and Fashion-MNIST.In these settings,the proposed pooling consistently improves accuracy and weighted F1 over conventional baselines,with particularly strong gains when training data are scarce.Even with less than 1%of the training set,ourmethodmaintains reliable performance,indicating improved sample efficiency and robustness to noisy or ambiguous local patterns.Overall,integrating soft memberships into the pooling operator provides a practical and generalizable inductive bias that enhances robustness and generalization in modern CNN pipelines.展开更多
Deep learning attentionmechanisms have achieved remarkable progress in computer vision,but still face limitations when handling images with ambiguous boundaries and uncertain feature representations.Conventional atten...Deep learning attentionmechanisms have achieved remarkable progress in computer vision,but still face limitations when handling images with ambiguous boundaries and uncertain feature representations.Conventional attention modules such as SE-Net,CBAM,ECA-Net,and CA adopt a deterministic paradigm,assigning fixed scalar weights to features without modeling ambiguity or confidence.To overcome these limitations,this paper proposes the Fuzzy Attention Network Layer(FANL),which integrates intuitionistic fuzzy set theory with convolutional neural networks to explicitly represent feature uncertainty through membership(μ),non-membership(ν),and hesitation(π)degrees.FANLconsists of four coremodules:(1)feature dimensionality reduction via global pooling,(2)fuzzymodeling using learnable clustering centers,(3)adaptive attention generation through weighted fusion of fuzzy components,and(4)feature refinement through residual connections.A cross-layer guidance mechanism is further introduced to enhance hierarchical feature propagation,allowing high-level semantic features to incorporate fine-grained texture information from shallow layers.Comprehensive experiments on three benchmark datasets—PathMNIST-30000,full PathMNIST,and Blood MNIST—demonstrate the effectiveness and generalizability of FANL.The model achieves 84.41±0.56%accuracy and a 1.69%improvement over the baseline CNN while maintaining lightweight computational complexity.Ablation studies show that removing any component causes a 1.7%–2.0%performance drop,validating the synergistic contribution of each module.Furthermore,FANL provides superior uncertainty calibration(ECE=0.0452)and interpretable selective prediction under uncertainty.Overall,FANL presents an efficient and uncertaintyaware attention framework that improves both accuracy and reliability,offering a promising direction for robust visual recognition under ambiguous or noisy conditions.展开更多
Pull-ups are a very common fitness exercise that can be seen in many gyms.For athletes,it is very important to perform pull-ups correctly and scientifically.The pull-up scoring method designed in this paper can score ...Pull-ups are a very common fitness exercise that can be seen in many gyms.For athletes,it is very important to perform pull-ups correctly and scientifically.The pull-up scoring method designed in this paper can score the quality of pull-up movement scientifically and objectively,and provide guidance to help athletes better complete the pull-up movement.In this method,the OpenPose algorithm is used to identify the coordinates of skeleton points,and then the coordinate data are processed by a Kalman filter to obtain coordinates closer to the true values.Finally,the filtered data are input into the scoring algorithm designed based on the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation algorithm,and the results of the pull-up quality score and the corresponding guidance are obtained.展开更多
In this paper,we propose a fuzzy logic-based coded event-triggered control with self-adjustable prescribed performance(FL-CEC-SPP)to address the trade-off between control performance and communication efficiency in re...In this paper,we propose a fuzzy logic-based coded event-triggered control with self-adjustable prescribed performance(FL-CEC-SPP)to address the trade-off between control performance and communication efficiency in resource-constrained networked control systems.The method integrates a fuzzy-coded event-triggered controller into a coded control framework to dynamically adjust the triggering threshold,thereby reducing unnecessary transmissions while maintaining system stability.A self-adjustable prescribed performance constraint is also incorporated to ensure that the tracking error remains within predefined bounds under arbitrary initial conditions.Theoretical analyses and simulation comparisons show that the method proposed in this paper maintains good tracking performance and stability while reducing the communication burden,and has wide applications in resource-constrained network control systems.展开更多
Internet of Things(IoT)interconnects devices via network protocols to enable intelligent sensing and control.Resource-constrained IoT devices rely on cloud servers for data storage and processing.However,this cloudass...Internet of Things(IoT)interconnects devices via network protocols to enable intelligent sensing and control.Resource-constrained IoT devices rely on cloud servers for data storage and processing.However,this cloudassisted architecture faces two critical challenges:the untrusted cloud services and the separation of data ownership from control.Although Attribute-based Searchable Encryption(ABSE)provides fine-grained access control and keyword search over encrypted data,existing schemes lack of error tolerance in exact multi-keyword matching.In this paper,we proposed an attribute-based multi-keyword fuzzy searchable encryption with forward ciphertext search(FCS-ABMSE)scheme that avoids computationally expensive bilinear pairing operations on the IoT device side.The scheme supportsmulti-keyword fuzzy search without requiring explicit keyword fields,thereby significantly enhancing error tolerance in search operations.It further incorporates forward-secure ciphertext search to mitigate trapdoor abuse,as well as offline encryption and verifiable outsourced decryption to minimize user-side computational costs.Formal security analysis proved that the FCS-ABMSE scheme meets both indistinguishability of ciphertext under the chosen keyword attacks(IND-CKA)and the indistinguishability of ciphertext under the chosen plaintext attacks(IND-CPA).In addition,we constructed an enhanced variant based on type-3 pairings.Results demonstrated that the proposed scheme outperforms existing ABSE approaches in terms of functionalities,computational cost,and communication cost.展开更多
Satellite image segmentation plays a crucial role in remote sensing,supporting applications such as environmental monitoring,land use analysis,and disaster management.However,traditional segmentation methods often rel...Satellite image segmentation plays a crucial role in remote sensing,supporting applications such as environmental monitoring,land use analysis,and disaster management.However,traditional segmentation methods often rely on large amounts of labeled data,which are costly and time-consuming to obtain,especially in largescale or dynamic environments.To address this challenge,we propose the Semi-Supervised Multi-View Picture Fuzzy Clustering(SS-MPFC)algorithm,which improves segmentation accuracy and robustness,particularly in complex and uncertain remote sensing scenarios.SS-MPFC unifies three paradigms:semi-supervised learning,multi-view clustering,and picture fuzzy set theory.This integration allows the model to effectively utilize a small number of labeled samples,fuse complementary information from multiple data views,and handle the ambiguity and uncertainty inherent in satellite imagery.We design a novel objective function that jointly incorporates picture fuzzy membership functions across multiple views of the data,and embeds pairwise semi-supervised constraints(must-link and cannot-link)directly into the clustering process to enhance segmentation accuracy.Experiments conducted on several benchmark satellite datasets demonstrate that SS-MPFC significantly outperforms existing state-of-the-art methods in segmentation accuracy,noise robustness,and semantic interpretability.On the Augsburg dataset,SS-MPFC achieves a Purity of 0.8158 and an Accuracy of 0.6860,highlighting its outstanding robustness and efficiency.These results demonstrate that SSMPFC offers a scalable and effective solution for real-world satellite-based monitoring systems,particularly in scenarios where rapid annotation is infeasible,such as wildfire tracking,agricultural monitoring,and dynamic urban mapping.展开更多
Facing the economic challenges of significant frequency regulation wear and tear on thermal power units and short energy storage lifespan in thermal-energy storage combined systems participating in grid primary freque...Facing the economic challenges of significant frequency regulation wear and tear on thermal power units and short energy storage lifespan in thermal-energy storage combined systems participating in grid primary frequency regulation(PFR),this paper proposes a novel hybrid energy storage system(HESS)control strategy based on Newton-Raphson optimization algorithm(NRBO)-VMD and a fuzzy neural network(FNN)for PFR.In the primary power allocation stage,the high inertia and slow response of thermal power units prevent them from promptly responding to the high-frequency components of PFR signals,leading to increased mechanical stress.To address the distinct response characteristics of thermal units and HESS,an NRBO-VMD based decomposition method for PFR signals is proposed,enabling a flexible system response to grid frequency deviations.Within the HESS,an adaptive coordinated control strategy and a State of Charge(SOC)self-recovery strategy are introduced.These strategies autonomously adjust the virtual inertia and droop coefficients based on the depth of frequency regulation and the real-time SOC.Furthermore,a FNN is constructed to perform secondary refinement of the internal power distribution within the HESS.Finally,simulations under various operational conditions demonstrate that the proposed strategy effectively mitigates frequent power adjustments of the thermal unit during PFR,adaptively achieves optimal power decomposition and distribution,maintains the flywheel energy storage’s SOC within an optimal range,and ensures the long-term stable operation of the HESS.展开更多
The construction of spot electricity markets plays a pivotal role in power system reforms,where market clearing systems profoundly influence market efficiency and security.Current clearing systems predominantly adopt ...The construction of spot electricity markets plays a pivotal role in power system reforms,where market clearing systems profoundly influence market efficiency and security.Current clearing systems predominantly adopt a single-system architecture,with research focusing primarily on accelerating solution algorithms through techniques such as high-efficiency parallel solvers and staggered decomposition of mixed-integer programming models.Notably absent are systematic studies evaluating the adaptability of primary-backup clearing systems incontingency scenarios—a critical gap given redundant systems’expanding applications in operational environments.This paper proposes a comprehensive evaluation framework for analyzing dual-system adaptability,demonstrated through an in-depth case study of the Inner Mongolia power market.First,we establish the innovative“Dual-Active Heterogeneous”architecture that enables independent parallelized operation and fault-isolated redundancy.Subsequently,key performance indices are quantitatively evaluated across four critical dimensions:unit commitment decisions,generator output constraints,transmission section congestion patterns,and clearing price formation mechanisms.An integrated fuzzy evaluation methodology incorporating grey relational analysis is employed for objective indicator weighting,enabling systematic quantification of system superiority under specific grid operating states.Empirical results based on actual operational data from 200 generation units demonstrate the framework’s efficacy in guiding optimal system selection,with particularly strong performance observed during peak load periods.The proposed approach shows high generalization potential for other regional markets employing redundant clearing mechanisms—particularly those with increasing renewable penetration and associated uncertainty.展开更多
This paper is dedicated to solving the problem of adaptive fuzzy fault-tolerant tracking control for a class of time-varying high-order uncertain nonlinear systems.The motivation comes from how to construct a compact ...This paper is dedicated to solving the problem of adaptive fuzzy fault-tolerant tracking control for a class of time-varying high-order uncertain nonlinear systems.The motivation comes from how to construct a compact set large enough in which the approximation of any unknown continuous function by a fuzzy logic system(FLS)is effective while compensating sensor/actuator faults and external disturbances.The difficulty is to verify the boundedness of closed-loop signals on the constructed compact set and to reduce the number of the variables of the fuzzy membership functions as many as possible.By a new lemma,linear/nonlinear terms are introduced in adaptive laws to dominate unknown residual terms.With adding a power integrator method,a unified fault-tolerant controller is designed to drive the tracking error to converge to a small compact set of the origin within a fixed time,regardless of whether the system suffers from faults and disturbances.Superior to the existing results,in the presence of time-varying factors the scheme of this paper clarifies the logical relationship between the compactness of the approximation and the boundedness of the state variables.Finally,the application of control strategy is demonstrated by numerical/practical examples.展开更多
With the large-scale integration of new energy sources,various resources such as energy storage,electric vehicles(EVs),and photovoltaics(PV) have participated in the scheduling of active distribution networks(ADNs),po...With the large-scale integration of new energy sources,various resources such as energy storage,electric vehicles(EVs),and photovoltaics(PV) have participated in the scheduling of active distribution networks(ADNs),posing new challenges to the operation and scheduling of distribution networks.Aiming at the uncertainty of PV and EV,an optimal scheduling model for ADNs based on multi-scenario fuzzy set based charging station resource forecasting is constructed.To address the scheduling uncertainties caused by PV and load forecasting errors,a day-ahead optimal scheduling model based on conditional value at risk(CVaR) for cost assessment is established,with the optimization objectives of minimizing the operation cost of distribution networks and the risk cost caused by forecasting errors.An improved subtractive optimizer algorithm is proposed to solve the model and formulate day-ahead optimization schemes.Secondly,a forecasting model for dispatchable resources in charging stations is constructed based on event-based fuzzy set theory.On this basis,an intraday scheduling model is built to comprehensively utilize the dispatchable resources of charging stations to coordinate with the output of distributed power sources,achieving optimal scheduling with the goal of minimizing operation costs.Finally,an experimental scenario based on the IEEE-33 node system is designed for simulation verification.The comparison of optimal scheduling results shows that the proposed method can fully exploit the potential scheduling resources of charging stations,improving the operation stability of ADNs and the accommodution capacity of new energy.展开更多
For mission-oriented unmanned aerial vehicle(UAV)swarms,mission capability assessment provides an important reference in the design and development process,and is a precondition for mission success.For this multi-crit...For mission-oriented unmanned aerial vehicle(UAV)swarms,mission capability assessment provides an important reference in the design and development process,and is a precondition for mission success.For this multi-criteria decisionmaking(MCDM)problem,the current literature lacks a way to unambiguously present criteria and the popular fuzzy analytic network process(ANP)approaches neglect the hesitancy of subjective judgments.To fill these research gaps,an MCDM method based on unified architecture framework(UAF)and interval-valued spherical fuzzy ANP(IVSF-ANP)is proposed in this paper.Firstly,selected viewpoints in UAF are extended to construct criteria models with standardized representation.Secondly,interval-valued spherical fuzzy sets are introduced to ANP to weight interdependent criteria,handling fuzziness and hesitancy in pairwise comparisons.A method of adjusting weights of experts based on their decision similarities is also included in this process to reduce ambiguity brought by multiple experts.Next,performance characteristics are non-linearly transformed regarding to expectations to get final results.This proposition is applied to assess the mission capability of UAV swarms to search and strike surface vessels.Comparative analysis shows that the proposed method is valid and reasonable.展开更多
Various factors,including weak tie-lines into the electric power system(EPS)networks,can lead to low-frequency oscillations(LFOs),which are considered an instant,non-threatening situation,but slow-acting and poisonous...Various factors,including weak tie-lines into the electric power system(EPS)networks,can lead to low-frequency oscillations(LFOs),which are considered an instant,non-threatening situation,but slow-acting and poisonous.Considering the challenge mentioned,this article proposes a clustering-based machine learning(ML)framework to enhance the stability of EPS networks by suppressing LFOs through real-time tuning of key power system stabilizer(PSS)parameters.To validate the proposed strategy,two distinct EPS networks are selected:the single-machine infinite-bus(SMIB)with a single-stage PSS and the unified power flow controller(UPFC)coordinated SMIB with a double-stage PSS.To generate data under various loading conditions for both networks,an efficient but offline meta-heuristic algorithm,namely the grey wolf optimizer(GWO),is used,with the loading conditions as inputs and the key PSS parameters as outputs.The generated loading conditions are then clustered using the fuzzy k-means(FKM)clustering method.Finally,the group method of data handling(GMDH)and long short-term memory(LSTM)ML models are developed for clustered data to predict PSS key parameters in real time for any loading condition.A few well-known statistical performance indices(SPI)are considered for validation and robustness of the training and testing procedure of the developed FKM-GMDH and FKM-LSTM models based on the prediction of PSS parameters.The performance of the ML models is also evaluated using three stability indices(i.e.,minimum damping ratio,eigenvalues,and time-domain simulations)after optimally tuned PSS with real-time estimated parameters under changing operating conditions.Besides,the outputs of the offline(GWO-based)metaheuristic model,proposed real-time(FKM-GMDH and FKM-LSTM)machine learning models,and previously reported literature models are compared.According to the results,the proposed methodology outperforms the others in enhancing the stability of the selected EPS networks by damping out the observed unwanted LFOs under various loading conditions.展开更多
文摘Short-term load forecast plays an important role in the day-to-day operation and scheduling of generating units. Season and temperature are the most important factors that affect the load change, but random factors such as big sport events or popular TV shows can change demand consumption in particular hours, which will lead to sudden load changes. A weighted time-variant slide fuzzy time-series model (WTVS) for short-term load forecasting is proposed to improve forecasting accuracy. The WTVS model is divided into three parts, including the data preprocessing, the trend training and the load forecasting. In the data preprocessing phase, the impact of random factors will be weakened by smoothing the historical data. In the trend training and load forecasting phase, the seasonal factor and the weighted historical data are introduced into the Time-variant Slide Fuzzy Time-series Models (TVS) for short-term load forecasting. The WTVS model is tested on the load of the National Electric Power Company in Jordan. Results show that the proposed WTVS model achieves a significant improvement in load forecasting accuracy as compared to TVS models.
文摘The rapid integration of Internet of Things(IoT)technologies is reshaping the global energy landscape by deploying smart meters that enable high-resolution consumption monitoring,two-way communication,and advanced metering infrastructure services.However,this digital transformation also exposes power system to evolving threats,ranging from cyber intrusions and electricity theft to device malfunctions,and the unpredictable nature of these anomalies,coupled with the scarcity of labeled fault data,makes realtime detection exceptionally challenging.To address these difficulties,a real-time decision support framework is presented for smart meter anomality detection that leverages rolling time windows and two self-supervised contrastive learning modules.The first module synthesizes diverse negative samples to overcome the lack of labeled anomalies,while the second captures intrinsic temporal patterns for enhanced contextual discrimination.The end-to-end framework continuously updates its model with rolling updated meter data to deliver timely identification of emerging abnormal behaviors in evolving grids.Extensive evaluations on eight publicly available smart meter datasets over seven diverse abnormal patterns testing demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed full framework,achieving average recall and F1 score of more than 0.85.
基金National Key Research and Development Program of China,Grant/Award Number:2018YFB2101003National Natural Science Foundation of China,Grant/Award Numbers:51991395,U1806226,51778033,51822802,71901011,U1811463,51991391Science and Technology Major Project of Beijing,Grant/Award Number:Z191100002519012。
文摘It is crucial to predict future mechanical behaviors for the prevention of structural disasters.Especially for underground construction,the structural mechanical behaviors are affected by multiple internal and external factors due to the complex conditions.Given that the existing models fail to take into account all the factors and accurate prediction of the multiple time series simultaneously is difficult using these models,this study proposed an improved prediction model through the autoencoder fused long-and short-term time-series network driven by the mass number of monitoring data.Then,the proposed model was formalized on multiple time series of strain monitoring data.Also,the discussion analysis with a classical baseline and an ablation experiment was conducted to verify the effectiveness of the prediction model.As the results indicate,the proposed model shows obvious superiority in predicting the future mechanical behaviors of structures.As a case study,the presented model was applied to the Nanjing Dinghuaimen tunnel to predict the stain variation on a different time scale in the future.
基金The National Natural Science Foundation of China under contract No.42406188the Natural Science Foundation of Liaoning Province under contract No.2024-BS-022+1 种基金the Dalian High-Level Talent Innovation Program under contract No.2022RG02the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities under contract No.3132025107.
文摘Red tide is an ecological disaster caused by the excessive proliferation of photosynthetic algae in the ocean.The frequent occurrences of red tide have brought serious harms to the marine aquaculture and caused significant economic losses to the marine industry.Red tide prediction can alleviate and even stop the long-term damages to marine ecosystems,which helps maintain the ecological balance of the ocean environment and contributes to the Sustainable Development Goal of“life below water”formulated by the United Nations.Aiming at red tide prediction using remote sensing technology,this study proposed a novel approach of red tide prediction using time-series hyperspectral observations,and examined the proposed method in the Xinghai Bay,China.Three spectral indices,namely the twoband ratio(TBR),the three-band spectral index(TBSI),and the fluorescence baseline height(FLH),were used to reduce the dimensionality of hyperspectral data and extract spectral features.Two machine learning models including the random forest(RF)and the support vector machine(SVM)were employed to predict whether red tide would occur on a target day based on the time-series spectral indices obtained in the previous days.By comparing and analyzing the prediction results of multiple machine learning models trained with different spectral indices and temporal lengths,it is found that both the RF and the SVM models can predict the red tide outbreaks at the accuracies over 0.9 using adequate temporal lengths of input data.When the temporal length of input data is limited,however,it is suggested to use the RF model,which accurately predicts red tide outbreaks using the temporal input of the 2-d TBSI.The proposed method is expected to provide oceanic and maritime agencies with early warnings on red tide outbreaks and ensure the safety of the coastal environment in large spatial scales using optical remote sensing technology.
文摘As financial markets grow increasingly complex and volatile,timeseriesbased stock price forecasting has become a critical research focus in the field of finance.Traditional forecasting methods face significant limitations in handling nonlinear and high-dimensional data,while neural networks(NNs)have demonstrated great potential due to their powerful feature extraction and pattern recognition capabilities.Although several existing surveys discuss the applications of NNs in stock forecasting,they often lack a detailed examination of models that use time-series data as input and fail to cover the latest research developments.In response,this paper reviews relevant literature from 2015 to 2025 and classifies timeseriesbased stock forecasting methods into four categories:NNs,recurrent NNs(RNNs),convolutional NNs(CNNs),Transformers and other models.We analyze their performance under different market conditions,highlight strengths and limitations,and identify recent trends in model design.Our findings show that hybrid architectures and attention-based models consistently achieve superior forecasting stability and adaptability across volatile market scenarios.This survey offers a systematic reference for researchers and practitioners and outlines promising future research directions.
基金Under the auspices of National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.42171407,42077242)Key Program of National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.42330607)。
文摘Recently,the outbreak and spread of larch caterpillar(Dendrolimus superans)pests have emerged as significant contributors to forest degradation in the Changbai Mountains,China.Understanding the spatiotemporal distribution patterns of these pests is crucial for effective management and protection of forest ecosystems.This study proposes a pest monitoring approach based on Sentinel imagery.Through time-series analysis,we extracted pest-sensitive features and developed a random forest classifier that integrated Sentinel-1,Sentinel-2,and field sampling data from 2019–2023 to monitor larch caterpillar pests in the Changbai Mountains National Nature Reserve(CMNNR),Northeast China.Our findings indicated that bands green(B3),near-infrared(B8),short wave infrared(B11 and B12)from Sentinel-2 remote sensing images exhibited notable discriminative capabilities for identifying larch caterpillar pests.Specifically,the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index(NDVI)at the end of the growing season emerged as the most valuable feature for pest extraction.Incorporating Synthetic Aperture Radar(SAR)features along with optical data marginally enhances model performance.Furthermore,our approach unveiled the outbreak of larch caterpillar pests,achieving classification map with overall accuracy exceeding 85%and Kappa coefficient surpassing 0.8 for five study years.The pest outbreak began in 2019 and progressively intensified over time.In September 2019,the affected area spanned 114.23 km^(2).The infested area exhibited a declining trend from 2020 to 2023.This study introduces a novel method for the high-precision identification of larch caterpillar pests,offering technical advancements and theoretical underpinnings to support forest management strategies.
文摘This paper introduces a fuzzy C-means-based pooling layer for convolutional neural networks that explicitly models local uncertainty and ambiguity.Conventional pooling operations,such as max and average,apply rigid aggregation and often discard fine-grained boundary information.In contrast,our method computes soft membershipswithin each receptive field and aggregates cluster-wise responses throughmembership-weighted pooling,thereby preserving informative structure while reducing dimensionality.Being differentiable,the proposed layer operates as standard two-dimensional pooling.We evaluate our approach across various CNN backbones and open datasets,including CIFAR-10/100,STL-10,LFW,and ImageNette,and further probe small training set restrictions on MNIST and Fashion-MNIST.In these settings,the proposed pooling consistently improves accuracy and weighted F1 over conventional baselines,with particularly strong gains when training data are scarce.Even with less than 1%of the training set,ourmethodmaintains reliable performance,indicating improved sample efficiency and robustness to noisy or ambiguous local patterns.Overall,integrating soft memberships into the pooling operator provides a practical and generalizable inductive bias that enhances robustness and generalization in modern CNN pipelines.
文摘Deep learning attentionmechanisms have achieved remarkable progress in computer vision,but still face limitations when handling images with ambiguous boundaries and uncertain feature representations.Conventional attention modules such as SE-Net,CBAM,ECA-Net,and CA adopt a deterministic paradigm,assigning fixed scalar weights to features without modeling ambiguity or confidence.To overcome these limitations,this paper proposes the Fuzzy Attention Network Layer(FANL),which integrates intuitionistic fuzzy set theory with convolutional neural networks to explicitly represent feature uncertainty through membership(μ),non-membership(ν),and hesitation(π)degrees.FANLconsists of four coremodules:(1)feature dimensionality reduction via global pooling,(2)fuzzymodeling using learnable clustering centers,(3)adaptive attention generation through weighted fusion of fuzzy components,and(4)feature refinement through residual connections.A cross-layer guidance mechanism is further introduced to enhance hierarchical feature propagation,allowing high-level semantic features to incorporate fine-grained texture information from shallow layers.Comprehensive experiments on three benchmark datasets—PathMNIST-30000,full PathMNIST,and Blood MNIST—demonstrate the effectiveness and generalizability of FANL.The model achieves 84.41±0.56%accuracy and a 1.69%improvement over the baseline CNN while maintaining lightweight computational complexity.Ablation studies show that removing any component causes a 1.7%–2.0%performance drop,validating the synergistic contribution of each module.Furthermore,FANL provides superior uncertainty calibration(ECE=0.0452)and interpretable selective prediction under uncertainty.Overall,FANL presents an efficient and uncertaintyaware attention framework that improves both accuracy and reliability,offering a promising direction for robust visual recognition under ambiguous or noisy conditions.
文摘Pull-ups are a very common fitness exercise that can be seen in many gyms.For athletes,it is very important to perform pull-ups correctly and scientifically.The pull-up scoring method designed in this paper can score the quality of pull-up movement scientifically and objectively,and provide guidance to help athletes better complete the pull-up movement.In this method,the OpenPose algorithm is used to identify the coordinates of skeleton points,and then the coordinate data are processed by a Kalman filter to obtain coordinates closer to the true values.Finally,the filtered data are input into the scoring algorithm designed based on the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation algorithm,and the results of the pull-up quality score and the corresponding guidance are obtained.
基金supported by Singapore RIE2025 Manufacturing,Trade and Connectivity Industry Alignment Fund-Pre-Positioning(IAF-PP)under Grant M24N2a0039 through WP2-Intelligent Switching Controlthe National Research Foundation Singapore under its AI Singapore Programme under Grant AISG4-GC-2023-007-1B.
文摘In this paper,we propose a fuzzy logic-based coded event-triggered control with self-adjustable prescribed performance(FL-CEC-SPP)to address the trade-off between control performance and communication efficiency in resource-constrained networked control systems.The method integrates a fuzzy-coded event-triggered controller into a coded control framework to dynamically adjust the triggering threshold,thereby reducing unnecessary transmissions while maintaining system stability.A self-adjustable prescribed performance constraint is also incorporated to ensure that the tracking error remains within predefined bounds under arbitrary initial conditions.Theoretical analyses and simulation comparisons show that the method proposed in this paper maintains good tracking performance and stability while reducing the communication burden,and has wide applications in resource-constrained network control systems.
文摘Internet of Things(IoT)interconnects devices via network protocols to enable intelligent sensing and control.Resource-constrained IoT devices rely on cloud servers for data storage and processing.However,this cloudassisted architecture faces two critical challenges:the untrusted cloud services and the separation of data ownership from control.Although Attribute-based Searchable Encryption(ABSE)provides fine-grained access control and keyword search over encrypted data,existing schemes lack of error tolerance in exact multi-keyword matching.In this paper,we proposed an attribute-based multi-keyword fuzzy searchable encryption with forward ciphertext search(FCS-ABMSE)scheme that avoids computationally expensive bilinear pairing operations on the IoT device side.The scheme supportsmulti-keyword fuzzy search without requiring explicit keyword fields,thereby significantly enhancing error tolerance in search operations.It further incorporates forward-secure ciphertext search to mitigate trapdoor abuse,as well as offline encryption and verifiable outsourced decryption to minimize user-side computational costs.Formal security analysis proved that the FCS-ABMSE scheme meets both indistinguishability of ciphertext under the chosen keyword attacks(IND-CKA)and the indistinguishability of ciphertext under the chosen plaintext attacks(IND-CPA).In addition,we constructed an enhanced variant based on type-3 pairings.Results demonstrated that the proposed scheme outperforms existing ABSE approaches in terms of functionalities,computational cost,and communication cost.
基金funded by the Research Project:THTETN.05/24-25,VietnamAcademy of Science and Technology.
文摘Satellite image segmentation plays a crucial role in remote sensing,supporting applications such as environmental monitoring,land use analysis,and disaster management.However,traditional segmentation methods often rely on large amounts of labeled data,which are costly and time-consuming to obtain,especially in largescale or dynamic environments.To address this challenge,we propose the Semi-Supervised Multi-View Picture Fuzzy Clustering(SS-MPFC)algorithm,which improves segmentation accuracy and robustness,particularly in complex and uncertain remote sensing scenarios.SS-MPFC unifies three paradigms:semi-supervised learning,multi-view clustering,and picture fuzzy set theory.This integration allows the model to effectively utilize a small number of labeled samples,fuse complementary information from multiple data views,and handle the ambiguity and uncertainty inherent in satellite imagery.We design a novel objective function that jointly incorporates picture fuzzy membership functions across multiple views of the data,and embeds pairwise semi-supervised constraints(must-link and cannot-link)directly into the clustering process to enhance segmentation accuracy.Experiments conducted on several benchmark satellite datasets demonstrate that SS-MPFC significantly outperforms existing state-of-the-art methods in segmentation accuracy,noise robustness,and semantic interpretability.On the Augsburg dataset,SS-MPFC achieves a Purity of 0.8158 and an Accuracy of 0.6860,highlighting its outstanding robustness and efficiency.These results demonstrate that SSMPFC offers a scalable and effective solution for real-world satellite-based monitoring systems,particularly in scenarios where rapid annotation is infeasible,such as wildfire tracking,agricultural monitoring,and dynamic urban mapping.
基金supported by the Lanzhou Science and Technology Plan Project(XM1753694781389).
文摘Facing the economic challenges of significant frequency regulation wear and tear on thermal power units and short energy storage lifespan in thermal-energy storage combined systems participating in grid primary frequency regulation(PFR),this paper proposes a novel hybrid energy storage system(HESS)control strategy based on Newton-Raphson optimization algorithm(NRBO)-VMD and a fuzzy neural network(FNN)for PFR.In the primary power allocation stage,the high inertia and slow response of thermal power units prevent them from promptly responding to the high-frequency components of PFR signals,leading to increased mechanical stress.To address the distinct response characteristics of thermal units and HESS,an NRBO-VMD based decomposition method for PFR signals is proposed,enabling a flexible system response to grid frequency deviations.Within the HESS,an adaptive coordinated control strategy and a State of Charge(SOC)self-recovery strategy are introduced.These strategies autonomously adjust the virtual inertia and droop coefficients based on the depth of frequency regulation and the real-time SOC.Furthermore,a FNN is constructed to perform secondary refinement of the internal power distribution within the HESS.Finally,simulations under various operational conditions demonstrate that the proposed strategy effectively mitigates frequent power adjustments of the thermal unit during PFR,adaptively achieves optimal power decomposition and distribution,maintains the flywheel energy storage’s SOC within an optimal range,and ensures the long-term stable operation of the HESS.
基金supported by NARI Relays Electric Co.,Ltd.under the Project“Research on Evaluation of Clearing Results and Switching Criteria for Primary-Backup Systems in Electricity SpotMarkets”(Project No.CGSQ240800443).
文摘The construction of spot electricity markets plays a pivotal role in power system reforms,where market clearing systems profoundly influence market efficiency and security.Current clearing systems predominantly adopt a single-system architecture,with research focusing primarily on accelerating solution algorithms through techniques such as high-efficiency parallel solvers and staggered decomposition of mixed-integer programming models.Notably absent are systematic studies evaluating the adaptability of primary-backup clearing systems incontingency scenarios—a critical gap given redundant systems’expanding applications in operational environments.This paper proposes a comprehensive evaluation framework for analyzing dual-system adaptability,demonstrated through an in-depth case study of the Inner Mongolia power market.First,we establish the innovative“Dual-Active Heterogeneous”architecture that enables independent parallelized operation and fault-isolated redundancy.Subsequently,key performance indices are quantitatively evaluated across four critical dimensions:unit commitment decisions,generator output constraints,transmission section congestion patterns,and clearing price formation mechanisms.An integrated fuzzy evaluation methodology incorporating grey relational analysis is employed for objective indicator weighting,enabling systematic quantification of system superiority under specific grid operating states.Empirical results based on actual operational data from 200 generation units demonstrate the framework’s efficacy in guiding optimal system selection,with particularly strong performance observed during peak load periods.The proposed approach shows high generalization potential for other regional markets employing redundant clearing mechanisms—particularly those with increasing renewable penetration and associated uncertainty.
基金supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China[grant number 62173208]Taishan Scholar Project of Shandong Province of China[grant number tsqn202103061]。
文摘This paper is dedicated to solving the problem of adaptive fuzzy fault-tolerant tracking control for a class of time-varying high-order uncertain nonlinear systems.The motivation comes from how to construct a compact set large enough in which the approximation of any unknown continuous function by a fuzzy logic system(FLS)is effective while compensating sensor/actuator faults and external disturbances.The difficulty is to verify the boundedness of closed-loop signals on the constructed compact set and to reduce the number of the variables of the fuzzy membership functions as many as possible.By a new lemma,linear/nonlinear terms are introduced in adaptive laws to dominate unknown residual terms.With adding a power integrator method,a unified fault-tolerant controller is designed to drive the tracking error to converge to a small compact set of the origin within a fixed time,regardless of whether the system suffers from faults and disturbances.Superior to the existing results,in the presence of time-varying factors the scheme of this paper clarifies the logical relationship between the compactness of the approximation and the boundedness of the state variables.Finally,the application of control strategy is demonstrated by numerical/practical examples.
基金Supported by the Technology Project of State Grid Corporation Headquarters(No.5100-202322029A-1-1-ZN)the 2024 Youth Science Foundation Project of China (No.62303006)。
文摘With the large-scale integration of new energy sources,various resources such as energy storage,electric vehicles(EVs),and photovoltaics(PV) have participated in the scheduling of active distribution networks(ADNs),posing new challenges to the operation and scheduling of distribution networks.Aiming at the uncertainty of PV and EV,an optimal scheduling model for ADNs based on multi-scenario fuzzy set based charging station resource forecasting is constructed.To address the scheduling uncertainties caused by PV and load forecasting errors,a day-ahead optimal scheduling model based on conditional value at risk(CVaR) for cost assessment is established,with the optimization objectives of minimizing the operation cost of distribution networks and the risk cost caused by forecasting errors.An improved subtractive optimizer algorithm is proposed to solve the model and formulate day-ahead optimization schemes.Secondly,a forecasting model for dispatchable resources in charging stations is constructed based on event-based fuzzy set theory.On this basis,an intraday scheduling model is built to comprehensively utilize the dispatchable resources of charging stations to coordinate with the output of distributed power sources,achieving optimal scheduling with the goal of minimizing operation costs.Finally,an experimental scenario based on the IEEE-33 node system is designed for simulation verification.The comparison of optimal scheduling results shows that the proposed method can fully exploit the potential scheduling resources of charging stations,improving the operation stability of ADNs and the accommodution capacity of new energy.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(62073267,61903305)the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities(HXGJXM202214)。
文摘For mission-oriented unmanned aerial vehicle(UAV)swarms,mission capability assessment provides an important reference in the design and development process,and is a precondition for mission success.For this multi-criteria decisionmaking(MCDM)problem,the current literature lacks a way to unambiguously present criteria and the popular fuzzy analytic network process(ANP)approaches neglect the hesitancy of subjective judgments.To fill these research gaps,an MCDM method based on unified architecture framework(UAF)and interval-valued spherical fuzzy ANP(IVSF-ANP)is proposed in this paper.Firstly,selected viewpoints in UAF are extended to construct criteria models with standardized representation.Secondly,interval-valued spherical fuzzy sets are introduced to ANP to weight interdependent criteria,handling fuzziness and hesitancy in pairwise comparisons.A method of adjusting weights of experts based on their decision similarities is also included in this process to reduce ambiguity brought by multiple experts.Next,performance characteristics are non-linearly transformed regarding to expectations to get final results.This proposition is applied to assess the mission capability of UAV swarms to search and strike surface vessels.Comparative analysis shows that the proposed method is valid and reasonable.
基金supported by the Deanship of Research at the King Fahd University of Petroleum&Minerals,Dhahran,31261,Saudi Arabia,under Project No.EC241001.
文摘Various factors,including weak tie-lines into the electric power system(EPS)networks,can lead to low-frequency oscillations(LFOs),which are considered an instant,non-threatening situation,but slow-acting and poisonous.Considering the challenge mentioned,this article proposes a clustering-based machine learning(ML)framework to enhance the stability of EPS networks by suppressing LFOs through real-time tuning of key power system stabilizer(PSS)parameters.To validate the proposed strategy,two distinct EPS networks are selected:the single-machine infinite-bus(SMIB)with a single-stage PSS and the unified power flow controller(UPFC)coordinated SMIB with a double-stage PSS.To generate data under various loading conditions for both networks,an efficient but offline meta-heuristic algorithm,namely the grey wolf optimizer(GWO),is used,with the loading conditions as inputs and the key PSS parameters as outputs.The generated loading conditions are then clustered using the fuzzy k-means(FKM)clustering method.Finally,the group method of data handling(GMDH)and long short-term memory(LSTM)ML models are developed for clustered data to predict PSS key parameters in real time for any loading condition.A few well-known statistical performance indices(SPI)are considered for validation and robustness of the training and testing procedure of the developed FKM-GMDH and FKM-LSTM models based on the prediction of PSS parameters.The performance of the ML models is also evaluated using three stability indices(i.e.,minimum damping ratio,eigenvalues,and time-domain simulations)after optimally tuned PSS with real-time estimated parameters under changing operating conditions.Besides,the outputs of the offline(GWO-based)metaheuristic model,proposed real-time(FKM-GMDH and FKM-LSTM)machine learning models,and previously reported literature models are compared.According to the results,the proposed methodology outperforms the others in enhancing the stability of the selected EPS networks by damping out the observed unwanted LFOs under various loading conditions.
