Based on the perception of flood risk factors derived from the lessons learned by the main stakeholders, namely the members of the National Emergency Response Plan (ORSEC) and the people affected by floods in the stud...Based on the perception of flood risk factors derived from the lessons learned by the main stakeholders, namely the members of the National Emergency Response Plan (ORSEC) and the people affected by floods in the study area (Thies, Senegal), this work consists of modelling the flood risk using Hierarchical Process Analysis (HPA). This modelling made it possible to determine the coherence index (CI) and the coherence ratio, which were evaluated respectively at 0.27% and 5% according to the perception of the members of the ORSEC Plan, and at 0.28% and 5% according to the perception of the disaster victims. These results show that the working approach is coherent and acceptable. We then carried out Hierarchical Fuzzy Process Analysis (HFPA), an extension of HFPA, which seeks to minimize the margins of error. FPHA uses fuzzification of perception contributions, interference rules and defuzzification to determine the Net Flood Risk Index (NFRI). Integrated with ArcGIS software, the NFRI is used to generate flood risk maps that reveal a high risk of vulnerability of the main outlets occupied by human settlements.展开更多
In this paper, by considering the fuzzy nature of the data in real-life problems, single machine scheduling problems with fuzzy processing time and multiple objectives are formulated and an efficient genetic algorithm...In this paper, by considering the fuzzy nature of the data in real-life problems, single machine scheduling problems with fuzzy processing time and multiple objectives are formulated and an efficient genetic algorithm which is suitable for solving these problems is proposed. As illustrative numerical examples, twenty jobs processing on a machine is considered. The feasibility and effectiveness of the proposed method have been demonstrated in the simulation.展开更多
Renewable energy sources,including wind,solar,and biofuels,are essential for promoting sustainable economic development and mitigating environmental challenges.As China’s overseas investments in renewable energy expa...Renewable energy sources,including wind,solar,and biofuels,are essential for promoting sustainable economic development and mitigating environmental challenges.As China’s overseas investments in renewable energy expand,effective risk assessment and management have become critical.This study develops a comprehensive risk evaluation framework for China’s overseas renewable energy investments using the Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process(FAHP).The framework incorporates political,economic,and project-specific risks,organized through three primary criteria,nine sub-criteria,and thirty tertiary indicators.By integrating expert judgments with fuzzy set theory,the FAHP methodology assigns accurate weights to risk factors and ensures consistency in evaluation.The findings identify political risks as the most significant,emphasizing their influence on investment strategies.These insights offer valuable guidance for policymakers and investors to enhance risk management strategies and ensure the sustainability of China’s renewable energy initiatives abroad.展开更多
A dissertation is a research report or scientific paper written by an author to obtain a certain degree. It reflects postgraduates’ research achievements and the educational quality of an institute, even a country. T...A dissertation is a research report or scientific paper written by an author to obtain a certain degree. It reflects postgraduates’ research achievements and the educational quality of an institute, even a country. To construct an optimized quality evaluation system for postgraduate dissertation (QESPD), we summarized the influencing factors and invited 10 experienced specialists to rate and prioritize them based on fuzzy analytic hierarchy process. Four primary indicators (innovation, integrity, scientificity and normativity) and 16 sub-indicators were selected to form the evaluation system. The order of primary indicators by weight, was innovation (0.4269), scientificity (0.2807), integrity (0.1728) and normativity (0.1196). The top five sub-dimensions were theoretical originality, scientific value, data reliability, design rationality and evidence credibility. To demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed system, a case study was performed. In the case study, it was demonstrated that the established two-index-hierarchy QESPD in this study was a more scientific and reasonable evaluation system worthy of promotion and application.展开更多
Concentrating Solar Power(CSP)is one of the most promising solar technologies for sustainable power generation in countrieswith high solar potential,likeChad.Identifying suitable sites is of great importance for deplo...Concentrating Solar Power(CSP)is one of the most promising solar technologies for sustainable power generation in countrieswith high solar potential,likeChad.Identifying suitable sites is of great importance for deploying solar power plants.This work focuses on the identification of potential sites for the installation of solar power plants in Chad as well as a comparative analysis using the Analytical Hierarchy Process(AHP),Fuzzy Analytical Hierarchy Process(FAHP),and Full Consistency Method(FUCOM).The results show that 35%of the Chadian territory,i.e.,an area of 449,400 km2,is compatible with the implementation of Concentrating Solar Power.The North,North,East,Southeast,and East zones are the most suitable.The main criteria for influence are direct normal irradiation,the soil slope,and the water resource.FUCOM gave a weight of 41.9%for Direct Normal Irradiation(DNI)compared to 32.71%and 31.81%for AHP and FAHP.This method can be applied to other renewable energy technologies such as photovoltaics,wind power,and biomass.Combining its different analyses will be a valuable tool for planning any renewable energy project in Chad.This work should also facilitate the techno-economic analysis of future CSP plants in Chad.展开更多
Two-stage hybrid flow shop scheduling has been extensively considered in single-factory settings.However,the distributed two-stage hybrid flow shop scheduling problem(DTHFSP)with fuzzy processing time is seldom invest...Two-stage hybrid flow shop scheduling has been extensively considered in single-factory settings.However,the distributed two-stage hybrid flow shop scheduling problem(DTHFSP)with fuzzy processing time is seldom investigated in multiple factories.Furthermore,the integration of reinforcement learning and metaheuristic is seldom applied to solve DTHFSP.In the current study,DTHFSP with fuzzy processing time was investigated,and a novel Q-learning-based teaching-learning based optimization(QTLBO)was constructed to minimize makespan.Several teachers were recruited for this study.The teacher phase,learner phase,teacher’s self-learning phase,and learner’s self-learning phase were designed.The Q-learning algorithm was implemented by 9 states,4 actions defined as combinations of the above phases,a reward,and an adaptive action selection,which were applied to dynamically adjust the algorithm structure.A number of experiments were conducted.The computational results demonstrate that the new strategies of QTLBO are effective;furthermore,it presents promising results on the considered DTHFSP.展开更多
In operation,risk arising from power transformer faults is of much uncertainty and complicacy.To timely and objectively control the risks,a transformer risk assessment method based on fuzzy analytic hierarchy process(...In operation,risk arising from power transformer faults is of much uncertainty and complicacy.To timely and objectively control the risks,a transformer risk assessment method based on fuzzy analytic hierarchy process(FAHP) and artificial neural network(ANN) from the perspective of accuracy and quickness is proposed.An analytic hierarchy process model for the transformer risk assessment is built by analysis of the risk factors affecting the transformer risk level and the weight relation of each risk factor in transformer risk calculation is analyzed by application of fuzzy consistency judgment matrix;with utilization of adaptive ability and nonlinear mapping ability of the ANN,the risk factors with large weights are used as input of neutral network,and thus intelligent quantitative assessment of transformer risk is realized.The simulation result shows that the proposed method increases the speed and accuracy of the risk assessment and can provide feasible decision basis for the transformer risk management and maintenance decisions.展开更多
The optimal selection of schemes of water transportation projects is a process of choosing a relatively optimal scheme from a number of schemes of water transportation programming and management projects, which is of ...The optimal selection of schemes of water transportation projects is a process of choosing a relatively optimal scheme from a number of schemes of water transportation programming and management projects, which is of importance in both theory and practice in water resource systems engineering. In order to achieve consistency and eliminate the dimensions of fuzzy qualitative and fuzzy quantitative evaluation indexes, to determine the weights of the indexes objectively, and to increase the differences among the comprehensive evaluation index values of water transportation project schemes, a projection pursuit method, named FPRM-PP for short, was developed in this work for selecting the optimal water transportation project scheme based on the fuzzy preference relation matrix. The research results show that FPRM-PP is intuitive and practical, the correction range of the fuzzy rained is both stable and accurate; preference relation matrix A it produces is relatively small, and the result obtherefore FPRM-PP can be widely used in the optimal selection of different multi-factor decision-making schemes.展开更多
Recently, plant construction throughout the world, including nuclear power plant construction, has grown significantly. The scale of Korea’s nuclear power plant construction in particular, has increased gradually sin...Recently, plant construction throughout the world, including nuclear power plant construction, has grown significantly. The scale of Korea’s nuclear power plant construction in particular, has increased gradually since it won a contract for a nuclear power plant construction project in the United Arab Emirates in 2009. However, time and monetary resources have been lost in some nuclear power plant construction sites due to lack of risk management ability. The need to prevent losses at nuclear power plant construction sites has become more urgent because it demands professional skills and large-scale resources. Therefore, in this study, the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process (FAHP) were applied in order to make comparisons between decision-making methods, to assess the potential risks at nuclear power plant construction sites. To suggest the appropriate choice between two decision-making methods, a survey was carried out. From the results, the importance and the priority of 24 risk factors, classified by process, cost, safety, and quality, were analyzed. The FAHP was identified as a suitable method for risk assessment of nuclear power plant construction, compared with risk assessment using the AHP. These risk factors will be able to serve as baseline data for risk management in nuclear power plant construction projects.展开更多
In order to solve the problem that determining decision factors weights is of subjectivity in heterogeneous wireless network selection algorithm, a network selection algorithm based on extension theory and fuzzy analy...In order to solve the problem that determining decision factors weights is of subjectivity in heterogeneous wireless network selection algorithm, a network selection algorithm based on extension theory and fuzzy analytic hierarchy process （FAHP） is proposed in this paper. In addition, user and operator codetermine the optimal network using the proposed algorithm, which can give consideration to user and operator benefits. The fuzzy judgment matrix is coustructed by membership degree of decision factors which is calculated according to extension theory. The comprehensive weight of each decision factor is obtained using FAHP. Finally, the optimal network is selected through total property value ranldng of each candidate network under user preference and operator preference. The simulation results show that the proposed algorithm can select the optimal network efficiently and accurately, satisfy user preference, and implement load balance between networks.展开更多
Alunite is the most important non bauxite resource for alumina. Various methods have been proposed and patented for processing alunite, but none has been performed at industrial scale and no technical,operational and ...Alunite is the most important non bauxite resource for alumina. Various methods have been proposed and patented for processing alunite, but none has been performed at industrial scale and no technical,operational and economic data is available to evaluate methods. In addition, selecting the right approach for alunite beneficiation, requires introducing a wide range of criteria and careful analysis of alternatives.In this research, after studying the existing processes, 13 methods were considered and evaluated by 14 technical, economic and environmental analyzing criteria. Due to multiplicity of processing methods and attributes, in this paper, Multi Attribute Decision Making methods were employed to examine the appropriateness of choices. The Delphi Analytical Hierarchy Process(DAHP) was used for weighting selection criteria and Fuzzy TOPSIS approach was used to determine the most profitable candidates. Among 13 studied methods, Spanish, Svoronos and Hazan methods were respectively recognized to be the best choices.展开更多
Sale-leaseback is paid special focus on for its great application in China in recent years.By giving a detailed analysis,an analysis of the features of sale-leaseback and a study of the risks of it are given in this p...Sale-leaseback is paid special focus on for its great application in China in recent years.By giving a detailed analysis,an analysis of the features of sale-leaseback and a study of the risks of it are given in this paper.Then a quantitative analysis of commercial real estate sale-leaseback is carried out.The scientific theoretical analysis is provided in this paper for risk assessment in commercial real estate sale-leaseback mode in China.An effective approach is put forward for sale-leaseback project evaluation and prevention of risk.A useful means is given to supervise commerciai real estate sale-leaseback mode for relevant departments and a certain contribution is made to a further sound development of commercial real estate sale-leaseback mode.展开更多
The aim of this work is to develop an Internet and fuzzy based control and data acquisition system for an industrial process plant which can ensure remote running and fuzzy control of a cement factory. Cases studies o...The aim of this work is to develop an Internet and fuzzy based control and data acquisition system for an industrial process plant which can ensure remote running and fuzzy control of a cement factory. Cases studies of the proposed system application in three cement factories in Algeria, SCAEK（Setif）, SCIMAT（Batna）, and SCT（Tebessa）, are discussed. The remote process control consists of alarms generated during running of the processes while maintaining and synchronizing different regulation loops thus ensuring automatic running of processes smoothly. In addition, fuzzy control of the kiln and the other two mills ensures that the system is operational at all times with minimal downtime. The process control system contains different operator station（OP）, alarms table and a provision to monitor trends analysis. The operator can execute any operation according to his authorised access assigned by the system administrator using user administration tool. The Internet technology is used for human security by avoiding all times presence of operators at site for maintenance. Further, in case of a breakdown, the problem would be remotely diagnosed and resolved avoiding requirement of an expert on site thus eliminating traveling cost, security risks, visa formalities, etc. These trips are difficult to organize（costs, visas, risks）. So the enterprise can reduce downtimes and travel costs. In order to realize a process control system guided by operators in the main control room or through Internet, the process control is based on programming in PCS 7 utilizing Cemat library and Fuzzy Control＋＋ Siemens tools.展开更多
Green manufacturing is a mode to realize environmental friendliness by considering the environmental impact and energy consumption in manufacturing process.In order to make an environmental friendly assessment for man...Green manufacturing is a mode to realize environmental friendliness by considering the environmental impact and energy consumption in manufacturing process.In order to make an environmental friendly assessment for manufacturing process,a multi-criteria decision making( MCDM) model combined with fuzzy analytic hierarchy process( FAHP) and fuzzy technique for order preference by similarity to ideal solution( FTOPSIS) is proposed in this work.The environmental and resource criteria and manufacturing process objects are identified as the first step.Then,the weights of the criteria are calculated by FAHP.Finally,based on experts' evaluation using fuzzy words,the manufacturing process objects are ranked by FTOPSIS.The proposed methodology is applied to a gear shaft manufacturing.The sensitivity analysis and comparisons are implemented to prove its robustness and effectiveness for the ecofriendly assessment for process objects.展开更多
For a more accurate and comprehensive assessment of the trustworthiness of component-based soft- ware system, the fuzzy analytic hierarchy process is introduced to establish the analysis model. Combine qualitative and...For a more accurate and comprehensive assessment of the trustworthiness of component-based soft- ware system, the fuzzy analytic hierarchy process is introduced to establish the analysis model. Combine qualitative and quantitative analyses, the impacts to overall trustworthiness by the different types of components are distinguished. Considering the coupling relationship between components, dividing the system into several layers from target layer to scheme layer, evaluating the scheme advantages disadvantages by group decision-making, the trustworthiness of a typical J2EE structured component-based software is assessed. The trustworthiness asses model of the software components provides an effective methods of operation.展开更多
Drought conditions at a given location evolve randomly through time and are typically characterized by severity and duration. Researchers interested in modeling the economic effects of drought on agriculture or other ...Drought conditions at a given location evolve randomly through time and are typically characterized by severity and duration. Researchers interested in modeling the economic effects of drought on agriculture or other water users often capture the stochastic nature of drought and its conditions via multiyear, stochastic economic models. Three major sources of uncertainty in application of a multiyear discrete stochastic model to evaluate user preparedness and response to drought are: (1) the assumption of independence of yearly weather conditions, (2) linguistic vagueness in the definition of drought itself, and (3) the duration of drought. One means of addressing these uncertainties is to re-cast drought as a stochastic, multiyear process using a “fuzzy” semi-Markov process. In this paper, we review “crisp” versus “fuzzy” representations of drought and show how fuzzy semi-Markov processes can aid researchers in developing more robust multiyear, discrete stochastic models.展开更多
The supply chain risk in the automotive industry caused by the shortage of supply of chips in 2021 has made it even more difficult for auto dealers with high debt ratio and high capital pressure to return capital, whi...The supply chain risk in the automotive industry caused by the shortage of supply of chips in 2021 has made it even more difficult for auto dealers with high debt ratio and high capital pressure to return capital, which has significantly increased the risk of capital chain breakage. As a result, the news of car dealers' withdrawal from the network, running away from the road and closing down has been heard all the time, and it is showing a trend of expansion. In the case of difficult financing for auto dealers, this paper conducts a quantitative study on the financing of confirmed warehouse based on the fuzzy analytic hierarchy process, in order to provide new ideas for auto dealers to solve the financing problem.展开更多
为了客观评价地下空间开发地质适宜性并为评价工作提供一种新思路和参考,提出了一种基于三角模糊数的模糊层次分析法(fuzzy analytic hierarchy process based on triangular fuzzy numbers,FAHP)和优劣解距离法(technique for order pr...为了客观评价地下空间开发地质适宜性并为评价工作提供一种新思路和参考,提出了一种基于三角模糊数的模糊层次分析法(fuzzy analytic hierarchy process based on triangular fuzzy numbers,FAHP)和优劣解距离法(technique for order preference by similarity to ideal solution,TOPSIS)相结合的评价方法。通过地质调查研究构建基于土体工程地质性质、水文地质条件、不良地质作用、地形地貌等影响因素为主的层次分析关系模型。基于专家判别利用FAHP计算各评价因素的权重,以各评价指标层的分级临界值作为典型评价样本,利用TOPSIS法对适宜性等级进行非等分划分,基于区间值优化的TOPSIS法建立最终评价模型,通过ArcGIS的空间分析功能等确定每个评价单元适宜性等级。该方法与传统方法相比一定程度上减少了评价过程中专家评判的过多主观影响,评价过程更倾向于定量化,结果更为客观。利用该方法对无锡市区浅层地下空间开发地质适宜性进行评价,评价结果与实际工程经验相符,证明了该方法的有效性,因此该方法对地下空间开发适宜性评价工作具有一定借鉴意义。展开更多
This study developed specific criteria and a fuzzy analytic network process(FANP)to assess and select portfolios on the Tehran Stock Exchange(TSE).Although the portfolio selection problem has been widely investigated,...This study developed specific criteria and a fuzzy analytic network process(FANP)to assess and select portfolios on the Tehran Stock Exchange(TSE).Although the portfolio selection problem has been widely investigated,most studies have focused on income and risk as the main decision-making criteria.However,there are many other important criteria that have been neglected.To fill this gap,first,a literature review was conducted to determine the main criteria for portfolio selection,and a Likert-type questionnaire was then used to finalize a list of criteria.Second,the finalized criteria were applied in an FANP to rank 10 different TSE portfolios.The results indicated that profitability,growth,market,and risk are the most important criteria for portfolio selection.Additionally,portfolios 6,7,2,4,8,1,5,3,9,and 10(A6,A7,A2,A4,A8,A1,A5,A3,A9,and A10)were found to be the best choices.Implications and directions for future research are discussed.展开更多
In the conceptual design stage of complex products, CBR（Case-Based Reasoning） tool is useful to offer a feasible set of schemes. Then the most adaptive scheme can be generated through a procedure of comparison and e...In the conceptual design stage of complex products, CBR（Case-Based Reasoning） tool is useful to offer a feasible set of schemes. Then the most adaptive scheme can be generated through a procedure of comparison and evaluation. The procedure is essentially a multiple criteria decision-making problem. The traditional multiple criteria programming is not flexible enough in executing the system evaluation algorithm due to both the limited experimental data and the lack of human experiences. To make the CBR tool to be more efficient, a new method for the best choice among the feasible schemes based on the Fuzzy AHP using Fuzzy numbers （FFAHP） is proposed. Since the final results become a problem of ranking the mean of fuzzy numbers by the optimism of decision-maker using the FFAHP, its execution is much more intuitive and effective than with the traditional method.展开更多
文摘Based on the perception of flood risk factors derived from the lessons learned by the main stakeholders, namely the members of the National Emergency Response Plan (ORSEC) and the people affected by floods in the study area (Thies, Senegal), this work consists of modelling the flood risk using Hierarchical Process Analysis (HPA). This modelling made it possible to determine the coherence index (CI) and the coherence ratio, which were evaluated respectively at 0.27% and 5% according to the perception of the members of the ORSEC Plan, and at 0.28% and 5% according to the perception of the disaster victims. These results show that the working approach is coherent and acceptable. We then carried out Hierarchical Fuzzy Process Analysis (HFPA), an extension of HFPA, which seeks to minimize the margins of error. FPHA uses fuzzification of perception contributions, interference rules and defuzzification to determine the Net Flood Risk Index (NFRI). Integrated with ArcGIS software, the NFRI is used to generate flood risk maps that reveal a high risk of vulnerability of the main outlets occupied by human settlements.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(NNSFC)(the grant No.60274043)supported by the National High-tech Research&Development Project(863)(the grant No.2002AA412610)
文摘In this paper, by considering the fuzzy nature of the data in real-life problems, single machine scheduling problems with fuzzy processing time and multiple objectives are formulated and an efficient genetic algorithm which is suitable for solving these problems is proposed. As illustrative numerical examples, twenty jobs processing on a machine is considered. The feasibility and effectiveness of the proposed method have been demonstrated in the simulation.
基金supported by the project VSB-TU Ostrava,SP2024/045.
文摘Renewable energy sources,including wind,solar,and biofuels,are essential for promoting sustainable economic development and mitigating environmental challenges.As China’s overseas investments in renewable energy expand,effective risk assessment and management have become critical.This study develops a comprehensive risk evaluation framework for China’s overseas renewable energy investments using the Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process(FAHP).The framework incorporates political,economic,and project-specific risks,organized through three primary criteria,nine sub-criteria,and thirty tertiary indicators.By integrating expert judgments with fuzzy set theory,the FAHP methodology assigns accurate weights to risk factors and ensures consistency in evaluation.The findings identify political risks as the most significant,emphasizing their influence on investment strategies.These insights offer valuable guidance for policymakers and investors to enhance risk management strategies and ensure the sustainability of China’s renewable energy initiatives abroad.
文摘A dissertation is a research report or scientific paper written by an author to obtain a certain degree. It reflects postgraduates’ research achievements and the educational quality of an institute, even a country. To construct an optimized quality evaluation system for postgraduate dissertation (QESPD), we summarized the influencing factors and invited 10 experienced specialists to rate and prioritize them based on fuzzy analytic hierarchy process. Four primary indicators (innovation, integrity, scientificity and normativity) and 16 sub-indicators were selected to form the evaluation system. The order of primary indicators by weight, was innovation (0.4269), scientificity (0.2807), integrity (0.1728) and normativity (0.1196). The top five sub-dimensions were theoretical originality, scientific value, data reliability, design rationality and evidence credibility. To demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed system, a case study was performed. In the case study, it was demonstrated that the established two-index-hierarchy QESPD in this study was a more scientific and reasonable evaluation system worthy of promotion and application.
文摘Concentrating Solar Power(CSP)is one of the most promising solar technologies for sustainable power generation in countrieswith high solar potential,likeChad.Identifying suitable sites is of great importance for deploying solar power plants.This work focuses on the identification of potential sites for the installation of solar power plants in Chad as well as a comparative analysis using the Analytical Hierarchy Process(AHP),Fuzzy Analytical Hierarchy Process(FAHP),and Full Consistency Method(FUCOM).The results show that 35%of the Chadian territory,i.e.,an area of 449,400 km2,is compatible with the implementation of Concentrating Solar Power.The North,North,East,Southeast,and East zones are the most suitable.The main criteria for influence are direct normal irradiation,the soil slope,and the water resource.FUCOM gave a weight of 41.9%for Direct Normal Irradiation(DNI)compared to 32.71%and 31.81%for AHP and FAHP.This method can be applied to other renewable energy technologies such as photovoltaics,wind power,and biomass.Combining its different analyses will be a valuable tool for planning any renewable energy project in Chad.This work should also facilitate the techno-economic analysis of future CSP plants in Chad.
文摘Two-stage hybrid flow shop scheduling has been extensively considered in single-factory settings.However,the distributed two-stage hybrid flow shop scheduling problem(DTHFSP)with fuzzy processing time is seldom investigated in multiple factories.Furthermore,the integration of reinforcement learning and metaheuristic is seldom applied to solve DTHFSP.In the current study,DTHFSP with fuzzy processing time was investigated,and a novel Q-learning-based teaching-learning based optimization(QTLBO)was constructed to minimize makespan.Several teachers were recruited for this study.The teacher phase,learner phase,teacher’s self-learning phase,and learner’s self-learning phase were designed.The Q-learning algorithm was implemented by 9 states,4 actions defined as combinations of the above phases,a reward,and an adaptive action selection,which were applied to dynamically adjust the algorithm structure.A number of experiments were conducted.The computational results demonstrate that the new strategies of QTLBO are effective;furthermore,it presents promising results on the considered DTHFSP.
基金Project(50977003) supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China
文摘In operation,risk arising from power transformer faults is of much uncertainty and complicacy.To timely and objectively control the risks,a transformer risk assessment method based on fuzzy analytic hierarchy process(FAHP) and artificial neural network(ANN) from the perspective of accuracy and quickness is proposed.An analytic hierarchy process model for the transformer risk assessment is built by analysis of the risk factors affecting the transformer risk level and the weight relation of each risk factor in transformer risk calculation is analyzed by application of fuzzy consistency judgment matrix;with utilization of adaptive ability and nonlinear mapping ability of the ANN,the risk factors with large weights are used as input of neutral network,and thus intelligent quantitative assessment of transformer risk is realized.The simulation result shows that the proposed method increases the speed and accuracy of the risk assessment and can provide feasible decision basis for the transformer risk management and maintenance decisions.
基金The authors would like to acknowledge the funding support of the National Natural Science Foundation of China （Nos. 50579009, 70425001 ） the National 10th Five Year Scientific Project of China for Tackling the Key Problems （2004BA608B-02-02）the Excellence Youth Teacher Sustentation Fund Program of the Ministry of Education of China （Department of Education and Personnel [ 2002 ] 350）.
文摘The optimal selection of schemes of water transportation projects is a process of choosing a relatively optimal scheme from a number of schemes of water transportation programming and management projects, which is of importance in both theory and practice in water resource systems engineering. In order to achieve consistency and eliminate the dimensions of fuzzy qualitative and fuzzy quantitative evaluation indexes, to determine the weights of the indexes objectively, and to increase the differences among the comprehensive evaluation index values of water transportation project schemes, a projection pursuit method, named FPRM-PP for short, was developed in this work for selecting the optimal water transportation project scheme based on the fuzzy preference relation matrix. The research results show that FPRM-PP is intuitive and practical, the correction range of the fuzzy rained is both stable and accurate; preference relation matrix A it produces is relatively small, and the result obtherefore FPRM-PP can be widely used in the optimal selection of different multi-factor decision-making schemes.
文摘Recently, plant construction throughout the world, including nuclear power plant construction, has grown significantly. The scale of Korea’s nuclear power plant construction in particular, has increased gradually since it won a contract for a nuclear power plant construction project in the United Arab Emirates in 2009. However, time and monetary resources have been lost in some nuclear power plant construction sites due to lack of risk management ability. The need to prevent losses at nuclear power plant construction sites has become more urgent because it demands professional skills and large-scale resources. Therefore, in this study, the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process (FAHP) were applied in order to make comparisons between decision-making methods, to assess the potential risks at nuclear power plant construction sites. To suggest the appropriate choice between two decision-making methods, a survey was carried out. From the results, the importance and the priority of 24 risk factors, classified by process, cost, safety, and quality, were analyzed. The FAHP was identified as a suitable method for risk assessment of nuclear power plant construction, compared with risk assessment using the AHP. These risk factors will be able to serve as baseline data for risk management in nuclear power plant construction projects.
文摘In order to solve the problem that determining decision factors weights is of subjectivity in heterogeneous wireless network selection algorithm, a network selection algorithm based on extension theory and fuzzy analytic hierarchy process （FAHP） is proposed in this paper. In addition, user and operator codetermine the optimal network using the proposed algorithm, which can give consideration to user and operator benefits. The fuzzy judgment matrix is coustructed by membership degree of decision factors which is calculated according to extension theory. The comprehensive weight of each decision factor is obtained using FAHP. Finally, the optimal network is selected through total property value ranldng of each candidate network under user preference and operator preference. The simulation results show that the proposed algorithm can select the optimal network efficiently and accurately, satisfy user preference, and implement load balance between networks.
文摘Alunite is the most important non bauxite resource for alumina. Various methods have been proposed and patented for processing alunite, but none has been performed at industrial scale and no technical,operational and economic data is available to evaluate methods. In addition, selecting the right approach for alunite beneficiation, requires introducing a wide range of criteria and careful analysis of alternatives.In this research, after studying the existing processes, 13 methods were considered and evaluated by 14 technical, economic and environmental analyzing criteria. Due to multiplicity of processing methods and attributes, in this paper, Multi Attribute Decision Making methods were employed to examine the appropriateness of choices. The Delphi Analytical Hierarchy Process(DAHP) was used for weighting selection criteria and Fuzzy TOPSIS approach was used to determine the most profitable candidates. Among 13 studied methods, Spanish, Svoronos and Hazan methods were respectively recognized to be the best choices.
文摘Sale-leaseback is paid special focus on for its great application in China in recent years.By giving a detailed analysis,an analysis of the features of sale-leaseback and a study of the risks of it are given in this paper.Then a quantitative analysis of commercial real estate sale-leaseback is carried out.The scientific theoretical analysis is provided in this paper for risk assessment in commercial real estate sale-leaseback mode in China.An effective approach is put forward for sale-leaseback project evaluation and prevention of risk.A useful means is given to supervise commerciai real estate sale-leaseback mode for relevant departments and a certain contribution is made to a further sound development of commercial real estate sale-leaseback mode.
文摘The aim of this work is to develop an Internet and fuzzy based control and data acquisition system for an industrial process plant which can ensure remote running and fuzzy control of a cement factory. Cases studies of the proposed system application in three cement factories in Algeria, SCAEK（Setif）, SCIMAT（Batna）, and SCT（Tebessa）, are discussed. The remote process control consists of alarms generated during running of the processes while maintaining and synchronizing different regulation loops thus ensuring automatic running of processes smoothly. In addition, fuzzy control of the kiln and the other two mills ensures that the system is operational at all times with minimal downtime. The process control system contains different operator station（OP）, alarms table and a provision to monitor trends analysis. The operator can execute any operation according to his authorised access assigned by the system administrator using user administration tool. The Internet technology is used for human security by avoiding all times presence of operators at site for maintenance. Further, in case of a breakdown, the problem would be remotely diagnosed and resolved avoiding requirement of an expert on site thus eliminating traveling cost, security risks, visa formalities, etc. These trips are difficult to organize（costs, visas, risks）. So the enterprise can reduce downtimes and travel costs. In order to realize a process control system guided by operators in the main control room or through Internet, the process control is based on programming in PCS 7 utilizing Cemat library and Fuzzy Control＋＋ Siemens tools.
基金National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.51475459)the Priority Academic Program Development of Jiangsu Higher Education Institutions of China(No.PAPD)
文摘Green manufacturing is a mode to realize environmental friendliness by considering the environmental impact and energy consumption in manufacturing process.In order to make an environmental friendly assessment for manufacturing process,a multi-criteria decision making( MCDM) model combined with fuzzy analytic hierarchy process( FAHP) and fuzzy technique for order preference by similarity to ideal solution( FTOPSIS) is proposed in this work.The environmental and resource criteria and manufacturing process objects are identified as the first step.Then,the weights of the criteria are calculated by FAHP.Finally,based on experts' evaluation using fuzzy words,the manufacturing process objects are ranked by FTOPSIS.The proposed methodology is applied to a gear shaft manufacturing.The sensitivity analysis and comparisons are implemented to prove its robustness and effectiveness for the ecofriendly assessment for process objects.
基金Sponsored by the National High Technology Research and Development Program of China ("863"Program) (2009AA01Z433)
文摘For a more accurate and comprehensive assessment of the trustworthiness of component-based soft- ware system, the fuzzy analytic hierarchy process is introduced to establish the analysis model. Combine qualitative and quantitative analyses, the impacts to overall trustworthiness by the different types of components are distinguished. Considering the coupling relationship between components, dividing the system into several layers from target layer to scheme layer, evaluating the scheme advantages disadvantages by group decision-making, the trustworthiness of a typical J2EE structured component-based software is assessed. The trustworthiness asses model of the software components provides an effective methods of operation.
文摘Drought conditions at a given location evolve randomly through time and are typically characterized by severity and duration. Researchers interested in modeling the economic effects of drought on agriculture or other water users often capture the stochastic nature of drought and its conditions via multiyear, stochastic economic models. Three major sources of uncertainty in application of a multiyear discrete stochastic model to evaluate user preparedness and response to drought are: (1) the assumption of independence of yearly weather conditions, (2) linguistic vagueness in the definition of drought itself, and (3) the duration of drought. One means of addressing these uncertainties is to re-cast drought as a stochastic, multiyear process using a “fuzzy” semi-Markov process. In this paper, we review “crisp” versus “fuzzy” representations of drought and show how fuzzy semi-Markov processes can aid researchers in developing more robust multiyear, discrete stochastic models.
文摘The supply chain risk in the automotive industry caused by the shortage of supply of chips in 2021 has made it even more difficult for auto dealers with high debt ratio and high capital pressure to return capital, which has significantly increased the risk of capital chain breakage. As a result, the news of car dealers' withdrawal from the network, running away from the road and closing down has been heard all the time, and it is showing a trend of expansion. In the case of difficult financing for auto dealers, this paper conducts a quantitative study on the financing of confirmed warehouse based on the fuzzy analytic hierarchy process, in order to provide new ideas for auto dealers to solve the financing problem.
文摘为了客观评价地下空间开发地质适宜性并为评价工作提供一种新思路和参考,提出了一种基于三角模糊数的模糊层次分析法(fuzzy analytic hierarchy process based on triangular fuzzy numbers,FAHP)和优劣解距离法(technique for order preference by similarity to ideal solution,TOPSIS)相结合的评价方法。通过地质调查研究构建基于土体工程地质性质、水文地质条件、不良地质作用、地形地貌等影响因素为主的层次分析关系模型。基于专家判别利用FAHP计算各评价因素的权重,以各评价指标层的分级临界值作为典型评价样本,利用TOPSIS法对适宜性等级进行非等分划分,基于区间值优化的TOPSIS法建立最终评价模型,通过ArcGIS的空间分析功能等确定每个评价单元适宜性等级。该方法与传统方法相比一定程度上减少了评价过程中专家评判的过多主观影响,评价过程更倾向于定量化,结果更为客观。利用该方法对无锡市区浅层地下空间开发地质适宜性进行评价,评价结果与实际工程经验相符,证明了该方法的有效性,因此该方法对地下空间开发适宜性评价工作具有一定借鉴意义。
文摘This study developed specific criteria and a fuzzy analytic network process(FANP)to assess and select portfolios on the Tehran Stock Exchange(TSE).Although the portfolio selection problem has been widely investigated,most studies have focused on income and risk as the main decision-making criteria.However,there are many other important criteria that have been neglected.To fill this gap,first,a literature review was conducted to determine the main criteria for portfolio selection,and a Likert-type questionnaire was then used to finalize a list of criteria.Second,the finalized criteria were applied in an FANP to rank 10 different TSE portfolios.The results indicated that profitability,growth,market,and risk are the most important criteria for portfolio selection.Additionally,portfolios 6,7,2,4,8,1,5,3,9,and 10(A6,A7,A2,A4,A8,A1,A5,A3,A9,and A10)were found to be the best choices.Implications and directions for future research are discussed.
基金This project was partly supported bythe Key Programof the National Natural Science Foundation of China (79990580) .
文摘In the conceptual design stage of complex products, CBR（Case-Based Reasoning） tool is useful to offer a feasible set of schemes. Then the most adaptive scheme can be generated through a procedure of comparison and evaluation. The procedure is essentially a multiple criteria decision-making problem. The traditional multiple criteria programming is not flexible enough in executing the system evaluation algorithm due to both the limited experimental data and the lack of human experiences. To make the CBR tool to be more efficient, a new method for the best choice among the feasible schemes based on the Fuzzy AHP using Fuzzy numbers （FFAHP） is proposed. Since the final results become a problem of ranking the mean of fuzzy numbers by the optimism of decision-maker using the FFAHP, its execution is much more intuitive and effective than with the traditional method.
