In the Chinese lunar calendar,2026 ushers in the Year of the Horse,a creature that has carried humanity across continents and through centuries.More than a marker of time,the horse embodies vitality,courage,and the re...In the Chinese lunar calendar,2026 ushers in the Year of the Horse,a creature that has carried humanity across continents and through centuries.More than a marker of time,the horse embodies vitality,courage,and the relentless spirit to move forward,qualities that resonate not only in China but across the landscapes of many African societies.展开更多
Hepatitis B Virus(HBV)infection and heavy alcohol consumption are the two primary pathogenic causes of liver cirrhosis.In this paper,we proposed a deterministic mathematical model and a logistic equation to investigat...Hepatitis B Virus(HBV)infection and heavy alcohol consumption are the two primary pathogenic causes of liver cirrhosis.In this paper,we proposed a deterministic mathematical model and a logistic equation to investigate the dynamics of liver cirrhosis progression as well as to explain the implications of variations in alcohol consumption on chronic hepatitis B patients,respectively.The intricate interactions between liver cirrhosis,recovery,and treatment dynamics are captured by the model.This study aims to show that alcohol consumption by Hepatitis B-infected individuals accelerates liver cirrhosis progression while treatment of acutely infected individuals reduces it.We proved that a unique solution of the proposed model exists,which is positive and bounded.Using the next-generation matrix approach,two basic reproductive numbers R_(A_(0))and R_(A_(max))are calculated to identify future recurrence.The equilibrium points are calculated,and both equilibria are proved locally and globally asymptotically stable when R_(0)is below and above one,respectively.It is shown that bifurcation exists at R_(0)=1 and a detailed proof for forward bifurcation is given.Furthermore,we performed the sensitivity analysis of the model parameters on R_(0).For the confirmation of analytical work,we performed numerical simulations,and the results indicate that the treatment and the inhibitory effects reduce the risk of developing liver cirrhosis in individuals,while heavy alcohol consumption accelerates markedly the liver cirrhosis progression in patients with chronic hepatitis B.展开更多
文摘In the Chinese lunar calendar,2026 ushers in the Year of the Horse,a creature that has carried humanity across continents and through centuries.More than a marker of time,the horse embodies vitality,courage,and the relentless spirit to move forward,qualities that resonate not only in China but across the landscapes of many African societies.
文摘Hepatitis B Virus(HBV)infection and heavy alcohol consumption are the two primary pathogenic causes of liver cirrhosis.In this paper,we proposed a deterministic mathematical model and a logistic equation to investigate the dynamics of liver cirrhosis progression as well as to explain the implications of variations in alcohol consumption on chronic hepatitis B patients,respectively.The intricate interactions between liver cirrhosis,recovery,and treatment dynamics are captured by the model.This study aims to show that alcohol consumption by Hepatitis B-infected individuals accelerates liver cirrhosis progression while treatment of acutely infected individuals reduces it.We proved that a unique solution of the proposed model exists,which is positive and bounded.Using the next-generation matrix approach,two basic reproductive numbers R_(A_(0))and R_(A_(max))are calculated to identify future recurrence.The equilibrium points are calculated,and both equilibria are proved locally and globally asymptotically stable when R_(0)is below and above one,respectively.It is shown that bifurcation exists at R_(0)=1 and a detailed proof for forward bifurcation is given.Furthermore,we performed the sensitivity analysis of the model parameters on R_(0).For the confirmation of analytical work,we performed numerical simulations,and the results indicate that the treatment and the inhibitory effects reduce the risk of developing liver cirrhosis in individuals,while heavy alcohol consumption accelerates markedly the liver cirrhosis progression in patients with chronic hepatitis B.