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Research on Flood Control Design Based on Joint Distribution of Flood Levels and Flood Peak Discharges
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作者 Zishen CHEN Qiang HUANG Chunqiong HUANG 《Meteorological and Environmental Research》 CAS 2020年第6期73-77,共5页
The return level of the joint distribution of flood levels and flood peak discharges was analyzed by Archimedean Gumbel-Hougaard copula and Kendall distribution functions.Using the annual maximum level(H)and discharge... The return level of the joint distribution of flood levels and flood peak discharges was analyzed by Archimedean Gumbel-Hougaard copula and Kendall distribution functions.Using the annual maximum level(H)and discharge(Q)of flood peak at Boluo Hydrologic Station in the Dongjiang River in last 56 years,the"OR"return period,"AND"return period and Kendall return period of their joint distribution and the most likely design flood value were calculated.The main conclusions of this study can be summarized as follows:the Kendall return period can more accurately reflect the risk rate of the combination of flood elements,relative to"OR"return period and"AND"return period.The design value of univariate flood element based on the current specification can meet the design standard.While the design value calculated according to"OR"return period was on the high side,and the design value calculated by the"AND"return period was on low side.Based on the principle of maximum probability,the calculated design value of Kendall return period under the different combinations of flood peak discharge and water level can provide new options for flood control project safety and risk management. 展开更多
关键词 flood risk assessment "OR"return period "AND"return period Kendall return period Design flood return level
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Influence of the Repeated Flooding on Growth and Development of Acorus calamus Vegetation in Water-level-fluctuation Zone of the Three Gorges Reservoir
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作者 LI Qiang 《Meteorological and Environmental Research》 2012年第7期23-27,共5页
[ Objective] The research aimed to study influence of the repeated flooding on growth and development of A. calamus in water-level-fluc- tuation zone of the Three Gorges Reservoir. [ Method] A. calamus plants were exp... [ Objective] The research aimed to study influence of the repeated flooding on growth and development of A. calamus in water-level-fluc- tuation zone of the Three Gorges Reservoir. [ Method] A. calamus plants were exposed to water under the dark conditions respectively in Septem- ber 2009 and September 2010. Then, they were taken away from the water, and grew in natural conditions in the following March and April respec- tively ( marked as S1, S2, S1 and S2). The plant number was conducted statistics respectively. On May 7, the leaf number was made statistics. Length, width and rapid light responding curve of the leaf were determined. [ Result] Repeated flooding restrained significantly plant germination un- der the dark condition. Plant number in S1 and S2 groups decreased by 38.9% and 33.3% respectively compared with the control. It also reduced survival rate of the plant. Plant number in S2 group decreased by 16.7% (P 〈 0.05) compared with that of S2 group when they were taken away from the water. Both of flooding promoted elongation of the leaves, restrained leaves to grow wider, and also restrained leaf formation of the plants except for S1 and S1 groups. Total leaf length of a plant decreased markedly after the second flooding which in S1 and S2 groups were 50.6% and 36.9% respectively less than that after the first flooding. Total leaf number of the plant in S1and S2 groups reduced significantly, and they were only 63.1% and 38.5% respectively of the control. Compared with the first flooding, total leaf length of a plant in the control increased signifi- cantly and decreased remarkably in S2 group after the second flooding. Furthermore, light response ability of the relative electronic transfer rate (rETR) in S1 group wasn't significantly different from the control, and rETRmax, in S2 group was significantly less than the control. Moreover, non- photochemical quenching (NPQ) decreased remarkably in S1 and S2 groups. It indicated that A. calamus had good restore ability of the light re- sponse, but restoring of its heat dissipation capacity was slower. [ Conclusion] Repeated flooding inhibited plant growth and population recovery of A. calamus under the dark condition. 展开更多
关键词 A. calamus floodING Water-level-fluctuation zone Growth and development China
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IMPACT OF FUTURE SEA LEVEL RISE ON FLOOD AND WATER LOGGING DISASTERS IN LIXIAHE REGION
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作者 许朋柱 《Chinese Geographical Science》 SCIE CSCD 1996年第1期35-48,共14页
Lixiahe region is one of the susceptible area to flood and waterlogging disasters in China due to its low topographic relief and having difficulty in draining floodwater away.The condition will be more serious if sea ... Lixiahe region is one of the susceptible area to flood and waterlogging disasters in China due to its low topographic relief and having difficulty in draining floodwater away.The condition will be more serious if sea level rises in the future.The estimated results by some scientists indicate that the sea level could rise probably 20-100 cm by 2050.However,what the effect will future sea level rise exerts on flood drainage and on flood or waterlogging disasters? A hydrological system model has been developed to study the problem in the lower reaches of the Sheyang River basin.Predicted results from the model show that,if sea level rises,drainage capacity of each drainage river will decrease obviously,and the water level will also rise.From the change of drainage capacity of drainage rivers the trends of flood and waterlogging disasters are analyzed in the paper if the severe flood that happened in the past meets with future sea level rise.Some countermeasures for disaster reduction and prevention against sea-level rise are put forward. 展开更多
关键词 SEA level RISE flood/waterlogging DISASTERS Lixiahe REGION river network hydrological system model
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MIKE FLOOD在区域洪涝水位计算中的应用
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作者 宋靖 《云南水力发电》 2025年第4期156-159,共4页
MIKE Flood模型在城市洪涝分析管理中已得到广泛应用,软件模块丰富,功能齐全,对城市洪涝风险分析提供了理论依据和技术支持。文章主要根据某建设项目所在排水区域的地形、排水管网、周边河道等基础资料,利用MIKE FLOOD软件进行建模,耦... MIKE Flood模型在城市洪涝分析管理中已得到广泛应用,软件模块丰富,功能齐全,对城市洪涝风险分析提供了理论依据和技术支持。文章主要根据某建设项目所在排水区域的地形、排水管网、周边河道等基础资料,利用MIKE FLOOD软件进行建模,耦合计算区域设计工况下洪涝水位、淹没水深、淹没范围,并提出相应工作建议,为城市防灾减灾工作提供支持。 展开更多
关键词 MIKE flood 洪涝水位 洪涝风险 淹没水深
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Mike Flood在中小河流洪涝风险分析中的应用 被引量:28
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作者 施露 董增川 +2 位作者 付晓花 王雪薇 寇嘉玮 《河海大学学报(自然科学版)》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2017年第4期350-357,共8页
为了加强对中小河流的洪水管理,分别构建中小河流域水文学模型、Mike11模型以及Mike21FM模型,运用Mike Flood对一、二维模型进行耦合计算,对中小河流进行洪涝风险分析。以徐州市丰县复新河左岸地区为例,建立洪水演进数值模型,分析复新... 为了加强对中小河流的洪水管理,分别构建中小河流域水文学模型、Mike11模型以及Mike21FM模型,运用Mike Flood对一、二维模型进行耦合计算,对中小河流进行洪涝风险分析。以徐州市丰县复新河左岸地区为例,建立洪水演进数值模型,分析复新河的防洪能力以及不同暴雨情况下研究区内涝情况。结果表明:研究区域基本满足20年一遇防洪能力,部分中小河流排涝能力不足,导致部分地区内涝较严重。 展开更多
关键词 MIKE flood 中小河流 洪涝风险 河道水位 淹没面积 复新河流域
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湖南镇水库动态汛限水位分析
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作者 马赟杰 江会昌 +1 位作者 张真奇 代维成 《浙江水利科技》 2026年第1期27-31,36,共6页
为充分发挥水库防洪、供水、发电等综合效益,探讨一种考虑降雨概率随时间变化规律的动态汛限水位控制方法,并对钱塘江流域主要控制水库——湖南镇水库水位进行计算分析。动态汛限水位法以长系列日径流资料为基础,通过统计汛期每日作为... 为充分发挥水库防洪、供水、发电等综合效益,探讨一种考虑降雨概率随时间变化规律的动态汛限水位控制方法,并对钱塘江流域主要控制水库——湖南镇水库水位进行计算分析。动态汛限水位法以长系列日径流资料为基础,通过统计汛期每日作为起点的固定时段水量,求出对应时段设计频率的洪量,选取合适的典型洪水过程线进行调洪计算,得出每日的汛限水位。相较于常用的固定汛限水位法,动态汛限水位有效节约水资源,能充分发挥水库综合效益。 展开更多
关键词 水资源综合利用 动态汛限水位 钱塘江流域 湖南镇水库
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跨流域湖泊群洪水资源利用优化调度研究——以南水北调东线工程为例
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作者 刘振 《广东水利电力职业技术学院学报》 2026年第1期1-5,25,共6页
洪水资源利用对缓解缺水地区用水压力、提升水资源利用效率具有重要价值。聚焦跨流域调水工程中湖泊群的洪水资源利用,采用“湖泊群汛限水位分期运用”的洪水资源利用模式,以“系统洪水调用量最大化、泵站总抽水量最小化”为目标,构建... 洪水资源利用对缓解缺水地区用水压力、提升水资源利用效率具有重要价值。聚焦跨流域调水工程中湖泊群的洪水资源利用,采用“湖泊群汛限水位分期运用”的洪水资源利用模式,以“系统洪水调用量最大化、泵站总抽水量最小化”为目标,构建调水工程湖泊群洪水资源优化调度模型。将该模型应用于南水北调东线一期北延应急调水工程的结果表明:后期汛限水位抬高,使洪水资源蓄滞量增加8.35亿m^(3);不同来水组合下,优化调度方案的平均洪水调用量达4.186亿m^(3),较常规调度增加1.092亿m^(3),系统总抽水量减少43.728亿m^(3)。研究成果可为相关调度方案的制定提供科学参考。 展开更多
关键词 洪水资源利用 汛限水位 湖泊群优化调度
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The relationship between water level change and river channel geometry adjustment in the downstream of the Three Gorges Dam 被引量:13
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作者 杨云平 张明进 +2 位作者 孙昭华 韩剑桥 王建军 《Journal of Geographical Sciences》 SCIE CSCD 2018年第12期1975-1993,共19页
In this study, data measured from 1955–2016 were analysed to study the relationship between the water level and river channel geometry adjustment in the downstream of the Three Gorges Dam(TGD) after the impoundment... In this study, data measured from 1955–2016 were analysed to study the relationship between the water level and river channel geometry adjustment in the downstream of the Three Gorges Dam(TGD) after the impoundment of the dam. The results highlight the following facts:(1) for the same flow, the low water level decreased, flood water level changed little, lowest water level increased, and highest water level decreased at the hydrological stations in the downstream of the dam;(2) the distribution of erosion and deposition along the river channel changed from "erosion at channels and deposition at bankfulls" to "erosion at both channels and bankfulls;" the ratio of low-water channel erosion to bankfull channel erosion was 95.5% from October 2002 to October 2015, with variations between different impoundment stages;(3) the low water level decrease slowed down during the channel erosion in the Upper Jingjiang reach and reaches upstream but sped up in the Lower Jingjiang reach and reaches downstream; measures should be taken to prevent the decrease in the channel water level;(4) erosion was the basis for channel dimension upscaling in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River; the low water level decrease was smaller than the thalweg decline; both channel water depth and width increased under the combined effects of channel and waterway regulations; and(5) the geometry of the channels above bankfulls did not significantly change; however, the comprehensive channel resistance increased under the combined effects of riverbed coarsening, beach vegetation, and human activities; as a result, the flood water level increased markedly and moderate flood to high water level phenomena occurred, which should be considered. The Three Gorges Reservoir effectively enhances the flood defense capacity of the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River; however, the superposition effect of tributary floods cannot be ruled out. 展开更多
关键词 low water level flood water level riverbed adjustment cause analysis Three Gorges Dam middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River
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Flood management of Dongting Lake after operation of Three Gorges Dam 被引量:8
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作者 Xi-jun Lai Zi-ming Wang 《Water Science and Engineering》 EI CAS CSCD 2017年第4期303-310,共8页
Full operation of the Three Gorges Dam(TGD) reduces flood risk of the middle and lower parts of the Yangtze River Basin. However,Dongting Lake, which is located in the Yangtze River Basin, is still at high risk for po... Full operation of the Three Gorges Dam(TGD) reduces flood risk of the middle and lower parts of the Yangtze River Basin. However,Dongting Lake, which is located in the Yangtze River Basin, is still at high risk for potentially severe flooding in the future. The effects of the TGD on flood processes were investigated using a hydrodynamic model. The 1998 and 2010 flood events before and after the operation of the TGD, respectively, were analyzed. The numerical results show that the operation of the TGD changes flood processes, including the timing and magnitude of flood peaks in Dongting Lake. The TGD can effectively reduce the flood level in Dongting Lake, which is mainly caused by the flood water from the upper reach of the Yangtze River. This is not the case, however, for floods mainly induced by flood water from four main rivers in the catchment. In view of this, a comprehensive strategy for flood management in Dongting Lake is required. Non-engineering measures, such as warning systems and combined operation of the TGD and other reservoirs in the catchment, as well as traditional engineering measures, should be further improved. Meanwhile, a sustainable philosophy for flood control, including natural flood management and lake restoration, is recommended to reduce the flood risk. 展开更多
关键词 THREE Gorges DAM flood control Water level HYDRODYNAMIC model Dongting LAKE
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A New View of the Mass Extinctions and the Worldwide Floods 被引量:2
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作者 Alexander N. Safronov 《International Journal of Geosciences》 2020年第4期251-287,共37页
In this study, the reasons for mass extinction in Jurassic were investigated. It was shown that galactic compression led to the activation of terrestrial nuclear reactors, which in turn led to the changes in tectonic ... In this study, the reasons for mass extinction in Jurassic were investigated. It was shown that galactic compression led to the activation of terrestrial nuclear reactors, which in turn led to the changes in tectonic activity, volcano eruptions, LIPs, MORBs, paleoclimate change, drift of continents, narrowing of the Earth, worldwide floods, tsunami, changes in mantle and core structures, in magnetic fields and in sedimentary isotopes. It was shown that the mass extinctions occurred during worldwide floods, caused by the narrowing of the Earth at the time of galactic gravitational compression. It was shown that the average statistical altitude distribution of dinosaurs has a bimodal distribution and corresponds to permanent migrations between the plains and the hills. It has been suggested that the skeletons of dinosaurs are well preserved as a result of covering the bodies of dinosaurs with mud flows of coastal sediments and the soil layers at worldwide tsunami. It was formulated the requirement to paleontology, consisting in the obligatory registration of altitudes of the actual place of the fossils found. The simple explanation of the presence of boundaries in the structure of the Earth is given: the 40K nuclear layer corresponds to the boundary between upper and lower mantle;the 137Cs layer located on the boundary between the lower mantle and the outer core;the Th-U nuclear layer is a border between outer and inner core. The previously abstract theories of subduction and continents drift have a clear and obvious physical sense. It was shown that the standard geological table is a registration book of galactic events during Paleozoic. It is proposed to restore the structure of the galactic arms by the geological deposits on the Earth. It was suggested to create the stations on elevated hills for rescue and regeneration of biological forms in the future. 展开更多
关键词 PLANET Size Milky Way Galaxy Natural Nuclear Reactor Mass EXTINCTION Sea level WORLDWIDE flood JURASSIC FOSSILS
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Floodwater utilization of the Three Gorges Project
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作者 董前进 《Journal of Chongqing University》 CAS 2009年第2期82-88,共7页
Floods are both risks and resources. Floodwater utilization is an important part of flood management. Considering the rising shortage of water resources, serious water pollution, and undersupply of electric power, it... Floods are both risks and resources. Floodwater utilization is an important part of flood management. Considering the rising shortage of water resources, serious water pollution, and undersupply of electric power, it’s imperative to strengthen flood management. In light of the hydrological characteristics of the Three Gorges Project (TGP) on the Yangtze River in P. R. China, we investigated the necessity and feasibility of TGP floodwater utilization, proprosed dynamic control of limited water level during flood season of the reservoir and basin-wide integrated floodwater management as strategies, and identified problems that might occur in practice. 展开更多
关键词 flood control flood managementi floodwater utilization limited water level in flood seasons Three Gorges Project .
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三门峡水库汛期分期汛限水位运用方案研究 被引量:2
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作者 娄书建 刘世帆 《泥沙研究》 北大核心 2025年第2期32-36,50,共6页
防洪安全与库区泥沙淤积一直是制约三门峡水库综合效益发挥的关键因子。进入21世纪,黄河来沙量的趋势性减少和黄河流域生态保护与高质量发展战略的实施,为三门峡水库运用方式调整创造了有利的内在条件和外部环境。基于水库历年运用实践... 防洪安全与库区泥沙淤积一直是制约三门峡水库综合效益发挥的关键因子。进入21世纪,黄河来沙量的趋势性减少和黄河流域生态保护与高质量发展战略的实施,为三门峡水库运用方式调整创造了有利的内在条件和外部环境。基于水库历年运用实践与体会,提出了三门峡水库后汛期抬高库水位至310/312 m的运用方案,分析了其防洪安全、库区淤积风险及综合效益,结果表明,三门峡水库后汛期抬高库水位至310/312 m运用较当前305 m运用,基本不会对水库防洪安全、库区多年冲淤平衡及潼关高程的稳定产生不利的附加影响,同时能够充分发挥三门峡水库水资源利用、水生态保护及水能发电等综合效益。 展开更多
关键词 三门峡水库 分期汛限水位 风险 效益
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FORECAST OF IMPACTS OF SEA-LEVEL RISE ON THELOW COLONIZED ISLANDS AND THEIR SURROUNDING WATERS IN THE CHANGJIANG RIVER MOUTH
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作者 YANG Shi-lun ZHAO Qing-ying +1 位作者 XIE Wen-hui WANG Xing-fang(State Key Laboratory of Estuarine & Coastal Research, East China Normal University, Shanghai 200062, P R. China) 《Chinese Geographical Science》 SCIE CSCD 2000年第2期113-118,共6页
As a worldwide authoritative, IPCC forecasted in 1990 that the world- s sea level would most probably rise by 0. 66 m by the end of the 21 st century. Combined with the local depression caused by the sink of the earth... As a worldwide authoritative, IPCC forecasted in 1990 that the world- s sea level would most probably rise by 0. 66 m by the end of the 21 st century. Combined with the local depression caused by the sink of the earth’s crust and the human activity, the relative sea level in the Chanaiiang River mouth will rise by about 1. 0 m during the same peried. Based on this figure, the article forecasted the impacts of sea-level rise on the safety coefficient of coastal structures and civil facilities, loss of wetlands, flood hazard as well as water intrusion. The results show that: 1 ) 40% as large as the present engil1eering mass should be added to the coastal structures in order to maintain the safety coefficient; 2 ) a dynamic loss of 60 km2 of wetlands, as much as 15% of the present total area, would be caused; 3) to hinder the increase inflood hazard dy11amic capacity to drain water must increase by at least 34 times as large as the present; 4) to maintain the present navigation conditions, about 100 million yuan (RMB) is needed to reconstruct over 30(X) bridges and 30 sluices;and 5 ) the disastrous salt water intrusion caused by the sea-level rise could be encountered by the increase in water discharge from the Three Gorge Reservoir in the dry season. 展开更多
关键词 SEA-level rise flood hazard loss of wetland salt water INTRUSION CHANGJIANG River MOUTH
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Case Study on Identification of Flood Hazard in the Lower Catchment Area of the Attanagalu Oya River Basin 被引量:1
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作者 Kithulgasmulle Lekamlage Nadeeka Chathurani Hatanpola Acharilage Sampath Arunashantha +2 位作者 Bamunu Arachchilage Sumanajith Kumara Pattinaya Marakkala Udara Idunil Thilakarathna Gargi Arachchilage Anudi Nishika Kaushalya 《Journal of Geoscience and Environment Protection》 2022年第7期305-318,共14页
The present work aims to identify flood hazards and risks, particularly to the Attanagalu Oya river basin in Gampaha district, the western province in Sri Lanka. Attanagalu Oya river catchment area periodically faced ... The present work aims to identify flood hazards and risks, particularly to the Attanagalu Oya river basin in Gampaha district, the western province in Sri Lanka. Attanagalu Oya river catchment area periodically faced flood hazards. The flood is categorized by complex like 2008, 2010, 2016, 2017, and it chose 2016 as the primary flood event. Study areas have been selected depending on data availability. Attanagalu Oya river basin is mainly focused as a study area. However, here selected only four Grama Niladhari Divisions are as a sample area. Those are;Kirindivita, Ambanvita, Thammita West, Gonagaha1. Furthermore, many flood hazards can be identified when considering the flood events history. But here selected only two years were 2010 and 2016. These two years were selected with high flood events. For the study, that flood series used 1 feet elevation contours used to identify flood levels and used LiDAR image to identify risk areas in the study site. Due to the blockage of the main waterways that discharge water into the Negombo Lagoon, limited water transportation, low lying land reclamation for development, mainly affect paddy lands and roads, and flood as a major problem identified temporarily and spatially. Eventually, the study could identify flood-prone areas and map the risk zones within the study area. 展开更多
关键词 flood Hazards GIS and RS Attanagalu Oya Risk levels
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滚动预报优化调度模式下水库防洪和发电效益分析 被引量:1
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作者 黎良辉 曹志明 +3 位作者 万迪文 何中政 李邦浩 兰芳 《水利水电技术(中英文)》 北大核心 2025年第8期192-203,共12页
【目的】水库调度是目前水资源综合利用的重要非工程措施。近年来,随着水文预报技术水平的提升,结合水文预报开展水库优化调度日渐受到关注。然而水库滚动预报优化调度下防洪和发电效益影响机制尚不明晰。【方法】针对此问题,研究建立... 【目的】水库调度是目前水资源综合利用的重要非工程措施。近年来,随着水文预报技术水平的提升,结合水文预报开展水库优化调度日渐受到关注。然而水库滚动预报优化调度下防洪和发电效益影响机制尚不明晰。【方法】针对此问题,研究建立了水库滚动预报优化调度模型,采用控制变量法分析了不同的洪水量级、预见期和汛期水位动态控制上限对水库防洪和发电效益的影响,以峡江水库为对象开展实例研究。【结果】结果表明:(1)水库洪水削峰率随汛期水位动态控制上限增加呈现逐渐减小的趋势;(2)水库发电量随着汛期水位动态控制上限的增高而增大,同时最大下泄流量也在增加;(3)洪水量级越大,水库调度达到最大削峰效果所需预见期逐渐减少;(4)考虑预报不确定性和确定性来水条件下的防洪滚动预报优化调度结果差别较小。【结论】综上所述,在水库防洪滚动预报优化调度模式下,洪水量级、预见期和汛期水位动态控制上限对水库防洪和发电效益影响存在规律,结合可靠的预报信息,提高水库汛限水位在风险可控的前提下能够提高发电效益。以50 a一遇洪水为例,当预见期为72 h时,汛期水位动态控制上限为43.5 m与46 m条件相比,平均削峰率仅仅提高0.46%(约104 m^(3)/s),但平均发电量减少30.55%(约1555.57万kWh)。 展开更多
关键词 滚动预报优化调度 防洪调度 发电调度 洪水预见期 汛限水位 洪水预报 流量 数值模拟
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Numerical analysis and evaluation of groundwater recession in a flood detention basin
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作者 XU Jun-xiang WANG Shao-juan +1 位作者 LI Chang-suo XING Li-ting 《Journal of Groundwater Science and Engineering》 2019年第3期253-263,共11页
This study analyzes the groundwater environment in the Yangzhuang flood detention basin in Henan Province,China.A numerical model of groundwater flow is established based on the hydrogeological conditions in the basin... This study analyzes the groundwater environment in the Yangzhuang flood detention basin in Henan Province,China.A numerical model of groundwater flow is established based on the hydrogeological conditions in the basin and changes of groundwater level in the flood detention basin under flood detention and recession conditions.The results show that during flood diversion and storage,the groundwater level in the basin rises,mainly in four flood detention zones,with a maximum rise of 1.0 m.After the floodwater recedes,the groundwater level slowly drops in the detention basin along with flood discharge,finally returning to its original level fifty days later.This study indicates that groundwater recession in the flood detention basin is a slow process,where the rise of groundwater level may cause environmental problems such as soil swamping. 展开更多
关键词 flood DETENTION BASIN NUMERICAL method GROUNDWATER level RECESSION analysis
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纽约滨海韧性规划研究进展与实践综述 被引量:1
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作者 陈飞 曹诗茵 +2 位作者 蔡军 许世光 胡秦兰 《西部人居环境学刊》 北大核心 2025年第3期188-195,共8页
海平面上升冲击滨海地区安全,全球越来越多的滨海城市开展以防洪减灾为核心的韧性规划研究与实践。本文聚焦纽约滨海韧性规划研究和实践,回顾纽约市早期开展的气候变化研究,重点分析2012年“桑迪飓风”之后滨海韧性规划研究与实践,包括... 海平面上升冲击滨海地区安全,全球越来越多的滨海城市开展以防洪减灾为核心的韧性规划研究与实践。本文聚焦纽约滨海韧性规划研究和实践,回顾纽约市早期开展的气候变化研究,重点分析2012年“桑迪飓风”之后滨海韧性规划研究与实践,包括重新绘制洪水地图,颁布多项目技术指南文件、提升建筑和海岸防护要求,组织构建覆盖全域的滨海防护体系,并开展试点建设等方面内容。综合分析纽约市多年研究与实践经验,以期在构建多层次跨部门的滨海韧性研究、治理体系,建设多机构衔接的灾后保障快速响应体系,开展广泛公众参与提升公众滨海韧性的防护意识工作等方面为我国滨海韧性规划研究和实践提供借鉴。 展开更多
关键词 海平面上升 沿海洪水 滨海韧性规划 基于自然的解决方法
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三峡水库8月份运行水位动态控制研究 被引量:2
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作者 陈桂亚 《水科学进展》 北大核心 2025年第2期284-295,共12页
三峡水库运行水位动态控制已有一定基础,8月份动态控制条件仍需进一步深入研究。实施三峡水库8月份运行水位动态控制,能够减轻三峡水库蓄水期对湖区水生态、水环境的影响,也可提升三峡水库的综合效益。本文从城陵矶地区防洪需求及洪水... 三峡水库运行水位动态控制已有一定基础,8月份动态控制条件仍需进一步深入研究。实施三峡水库8月份运行水位动态控制,能够减轻三峡水库蓄水期对湖区水生态、水环境的影响,也可提升三峡水库的综合效益。本文从城陵矶地区防洪需求及洪水组合效应的角度出发,通过构建不同水情边界条件下的莲花塘水位水动力模拟模型,分析了三峡水库8月份运行水位动态控制幅度及条件。结果表明:(1)当三峡水库和四水合成来水合计小于51 000m3/s时,城陵矶地区不会超过警戒水位;(2)8月1日以后,当实时四水合成来水流量小于15 000 m3/s,且莲花塘站水位低于29.5m、预报洞庭湖水系未来一周无中等强度以上降雨过程时,三峡水库动态运行水位可控制在145~155 m之间。研究成果可为三峡水库的水资源综合利用提供技术支撑,尤其是可为8月份及之后出现涝旱急转不利条件时贮备抗旱水资源,实现旱涝同防同治。 展开更多
关键词 水位动态控制 8月份 城陵矶防洪 三峡水库
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岸基GNSS用于洪涝水位及大气可降水量监测研究 被引量:1
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作者 刘宁 江波 +6 位作者 张双成 盛磊 张毅 王恒利 郝耘庆 刘攀 辛勇军 《全球定位系统》 2025年第2期61-69,共9页
近年来,洪涝灾害频发,给社会带来严重影响,而洪涝灾害期间往往伴随着显著的河流水位变化和大气可降水量(precipitable water vapor,PWV)变化.本文以2024年发生在巴西阿雷格里港的洪涝灾害为例,选取GNSS站观测数据,分别开展了洪涝水位和... 近年来,洪涝灾害频发,给社会带来严重影响,而洪涝灾害期间往往伴随着显著的河流水位变化和大气可降水量(precipitable water vapor,PWV)变化.本文以2024年发生在巴西阿雷格里港的洪涝灾害为例,选取GNSS站观测数据,分别开展了洪涝水位和PWV监测研究.结果表明,暴雨前SPH4站水位反演与水文站数据的相关系数为0.993,均方根误差(root mean square error,RMSE)为0.02 m;暴雨期间,河流两岸的SPH4站与IDP1站的水位反演结果相关系数达到0.997,RMSE为0.06 m,降雨峰值与水位峰值存在2~5 d不等的时间差.GNSS站反演的PWV与探空站实测PWV的相关系数为0.992,RMSE仅为1.9 mm,PWV值达到峰值的5 h内出现降雨最大值.实验证明,岸基GNSS设备能够准确反演出洪涝水位变化和PWV变化,在洪涝灾害的预防和监测方面具有广阔的应用前景. 展开更多
关键词 岸基GNSS 洪涝灾害 全球导航卫星系统干涉反射测量(GNSS-IR) 水位监测 大气可降水量(PWV)
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基于社会网络的县域洪灾应急指挥能力成熟度评估模型及实证
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作者 钱洪伟 李欣垚 《中国安全科学学报》 北大核心 2025年第4期241-246,共6页
为深入了解并评估县域应对洪涝灾害时的指挥能力和现状,通过文献分析法,确定12个主要影响因素;利用Ucinet软件进行社会网络分析,利用Netdraw软件进行可视化处理,绘制出影响因素之间的社会网络关系图;通过计算影响因素的出入度、中心度,... 为深入了解并评估县域应对洪涝灾害时的指挥能力和现状,通过文献分析法,确定12个主要影响因素;利用Ucinet软件进行社会网络分析,利用Netdraw软件进行可视化处理,绘制出影响因素之间的社会网络关系图;通过计算影响因素的出入度、中心度,做指标分级处理,并借鉴指挥控制能力成熟度模型,构建出基于社会网络的县域洪灾应急指挥能力成熟度评估模型;选择濮阳县作为实证研究对象,通过问卷调查法和访谈法,收集来自濮阳县24个乡镇共342条数据,评估濮阳县洪灾应急指挥能力。结果表明:用社会网络进行指标分级具有可行性,该指标体系能科学准确反映县域洪灾应急指挥综合水平,该评估模型可有效评价县域洪灾应急指挥能力成熟度等级。 展开更多
关键词 社会网络 县域洪灾 应急指挥能力 成熟度 评估模型
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