针对中国民航高速增长与深度脱碳的矛盾,单一可持续航空燃料(SAF)路径面临技术天花板与需求增长抵消困境。构建融合混合整数规划(MIP)与系统动力学(SD)的FLEET(Flight Legs per Equivalent aircraft Turnover)模型,建立“微观运营-宏观...针对中国民航高速增长与深度脱碳的矛盾,单一可持续航空燃料(SAF)路径面临技术天花板与需求增长抵消困境。构建融合混合整数规划(MIP)与系统动力学(SD)的FLEET(Flight Legs per Equivalent aircraft Turnover)模型,建立“微观运营-宏观政策”双向反馈机制,量化多路径(SAF、新技术飞机及运营优化)协同减排效应。研究发现:SAF掺混比例在0~30%区间,每提升10%可减排12.7%;超30%后,边际效益显著递减,受原料缺口和PtL(Power-to-Liquid)技术瓶颈制约。强制掺混情景(SAF为50%+GDP年增速5.5%)下,2050年,碳排放较2019年仍增73%,其增幅受运输量波动(±0.5%)和SAF实际掺混效率(±5%)影响;最优组合情景(SAF为65%+新技术飞机40%+运营优化30%+市场机制15%)可实现2050年减排49.19%,单位政策激励减排量是单一SAF路径的2.3倍,形成技术互补、成本协同、减排乘数效应,证明了多路径协同的必要性。碳配额价格突破200元·t^(-1)是触发航司技术跃迁的关键阈值,响应存在主体与区域异质性(东部枢纽减排效率1.35 t·万元^(-1)大于西部支线0.87 t·万元^(-1))。本文揭示了中国民航减排需突破单一技术依赖,提出“技术-原料-政策”三阶段协同路线图(2025—2035年HEFA(Hydroprocessed Esters and Fatty Acids)规模化;2035—2045年原料多元化;2045—2050年政策深化),为分阶段政策设计和工程应用提供量化依据。展开更多
Global warming has led to a gradual extension of the navigable window for the Arctic Route,providing a realistic possibility for the normalized commercial operation of the Northeast Passage(NEP).Based on the changes i...Global warming has led to a gradual extension of the navigable window for the Arctic Route,providing a realistic possibility for the normalized commercial operation of the Northeast Passage(NEP).Based on the changes in the navigable window of the NEP,Russia’s proposed nuclear-powered icebreaker construction scheme,and China’s potential development of a moderately sized ice-class fleet,this study establishes three scenarios for the commercial operation of the NEP.These scenarios include:(a)normalized summer operational scenario(from July to October each year),(b)normalized summer-autumn operational scenario(from June to January of the following year),and(c)normalized year-round operational scenario(12 months per year).The cargo transportation potential of the NEP under three normalized operational scenarios was predicted based on the grey prediction model.On this basis,construction scale plans for China’s ice-class fleet to meet cargo transportation demands under the three normalized operational scenarios were designed.The economic benefits of different plans were evaluated using a profit-maximization linear programming model.The research results show the following:(1)The cargo transportation potential of the NEP demonstrates a rapid growth trend in the future,with annual throughput under year-round normalized operations expected to exceed 100 million tonnes and reach 297 million tonnes.(2)Under different normalized operational scenarios,the fleet scale and vessel type composition vary.Under the normalized summer operational scenario,the optimal scale for China’s ice-class fleet is 20 vessels,consisting solely of ships classed as PC7 by the International Association of Classification Societies(IACS).Under the normalized summer-autumn operational scenario,the optimal fleet scale is 31 vessels,including 30 IACS PC7 ships and 1 IACS PC3 ship.Under the normalized year-round operational scenario,the optimal fleet scale is 45 vessels,composed of 30 IACS PC7 ships,8 IACS PC3 ships,and 7 IACS PC2 ships.(3)Among the three normalized operational scenarios,the normalized year-round operational scenario yields the best economic benefits for the fleet scale,while the normalized summer operational scenario yields the lowest economic benefits.展开更多
Reducing the operation and maintenance (O & M) cost is one of the potential actions that could reduce the cost of energy produced by offshore wind farms. This article attempts to reduce O & M cost by improving...Reducing the operation and maintenance (O & M) cost is one of the potential actions that could reduce the cost of energy produced by offshore wind farms. This article attempts to reduce O & M cost by improving the utilization of the maintenance resources, specifically the efficient scheduling and routing of the maintenance fleet. Scheduling and routing of maintenance fleet is a non-linear optimization problem with high complexity and a number of constraints. A heuristic algorithm, Ant Colony Optimization (ACO), was modified as Multi-ACO to be used to find the optimal scheduling and routing of maintenance fleet. The numerical studies showed that the proposed methodology was effective and robust enough to find the optimal solution even if the number of offshore wind turbine increases. The suggested approaches are helpful to avoid a time-consuming process of manually planning the scheduling and routing with a presumably suboptimal outcome.展开更多
Forty-five years is nearly half a century, but merely a fleeting moment in the long course of history. This year marks the 45th anniversary of China-Malaysia diplomatic relations. Over the years, the two countries hav...Forty-five years is nearly half a century, but merely a fleeting moment in the long course of history. This year marks the 45th anniversary of China-Malaysia diplomatic relations. Over the years, the two countries have witnessed tremendous changes and remained good friends and good partners. To commemorate this heart-warming occasion of friendship, artists from the two countries have worked together on songs, films and other art works to present special gifts for the people of the two countries.展开更多
A multi-agent based fleet maintenance personnel configuration method is proposed to solve the mission oriented aircraft fleet maintenance personnel configuration problem. The mainte- nance process of an aircraft fleet...A multi-agent based fleet maintenance personnel configuration method is proposed to solve the mission oriented aircraft fleet maintenance personnel configuration problem. The mainte- nance process of an aircraft fleet is analyzed first. In the process each aircraft contains multiple parts, and different parts are repaired by personnel with different majors and levels. The factors and their relationship involved in the process of maintenance are analyzed and discussed. Then the whole maintenance process is described as a 3-layer multi-agent system （MAS） model. A com- munication and reasoning strategy among the agents is put forward. A fleet maintenance personnel configuration algorithm is proposed based on contract net protocol （CNP）. Finally, a fleet of 10 aircraft is studied for verification purposes. A mission type with 3 waves of continuous dispatch is imaged. Compared with the traditional methods that can just provide configuration results, the proposed method can provide optimal maintenance strategies as well.展开更多
Allocation of fleet's spare parts is rarely studied due to its complexity. However, this task is extremely important because the warship's service level highly relies on the maintenance logistics' level. I...Allocation of fleet's spare parts is rarely studied due to its complexity. However, this task is extremely important because the warship's service level highly relies on the maintenance logistics' level. In this study, the readiness ratio is proposed as a critical index in measuring the system's reliability. A well-established mathematical model adopting the optimization method of spare part allocation is also introduced. The objective is to minimize the number of each spare part while satisfying the fleet's system reliability. The fault tree analysis(FTA) is applied to analyze the system's failure logic and stratify the units on ship. As a result, the strategy of spare part sharing can be introduced in detail. The solution algorithm is developed, and the simulation experiments to obtain the key parameters are conducted. The proposed model and algorithm are applied to an actual fleet of two warships, and results show that the method above is feasible and can be directly applied into practice.展开更多
One of the key factors in a profitable open-pit mine is the efficiency of the waste disposal system. Using GPS-technology, the truck-dispatching decisions can be made in real-time but the chosen strategy has a crucial...One of the key factors in a profitable open-pit mine is the efficiency of the waste disposal system. Using GPS-technology, the truck-dispatching decisions can be made in real-time but the chosen strategy has a crucial role. Therefore, finding the optimal dispatching strategy for truck-shovel operations is extremely important. Dispatching strategies have been reported in the literature, but the comparison of these strategies is still missing. This paper illustrates the differences between the strategies by conducting a stochastic simulation study based on the data gathered from an actual mine. The findings underline the importance of the global vision in dispatching decisions.展开更多
Taxi trajectories from urban environments allow inferring various information about the transport service qualities and commuter dynamics.It is possible to associate starting and end points of taxi trips with requirem...Taxi trajectories from urban environments allow inferring various information about the transport service qualities and commuter dynamics.It is possible to associate starting and end points of taxi trips with requirements of individual groups of people and even social inequalities.Previous research shows that due to service restrictions,boro taxis have typical customer destination locations on selected Saturdays:many drop-off clusters appear near the restricted zone,where it is not allowed to pick up customers and only few drop-off clusters appear at complicated crossing.Detected crossings imply recent infrastructural modifications.We want to follow up on these results and add one additional group of commuters:Citi Bike users.For selected Saturdays in June 2015,we want to compare the destinations of boro taxi and Citi Bike users.This is challenging due to manifold differences between active mobility and motorized road users,and,due to the fact that station-based bike sharing services are restricted to stations.Start and end points of trips,as well as the volumes in between rely on specific numbers of bike sharing stations.Therefore,we introduce a novel spatiotemporal assigning procedure for areas of influence around static bike sharing stations for extending available computational methods.展开更多
A neighborhood search algorithm was proposed to simultaneously schedule the waste removal quantity and the equipment fleet profile over the mine life for open pit mines.An initial search domain was first defined and a...A neighborhood search algorithm was proposed to simultaneously schedule the waste removal quantity and the equipment fleet profile over the mine life for open pit mines.An initial search domain was first defined and a good schedule was obtained as the current best schedule by searching in this domain.Then,progressively narrower neighborhood search domains were constructed around the current best schedule to search for better schedules.The objective is to minimize the present value of waste removal costs over the mine life.The resulting schedule from this algorithm provides a complete fleet profile for each year over the mine life:the selected equipment models,the number of equipment units of each model,the age of each unit,as well as the quantity of waste removed.A numerical example of application was provided to demonstrate the feasibility and merits of the algorithm.展开更多
This article introduces a fleet composition algorithm for a fleet of intermediate carriers, which should deliver a swarm of miniature unmanned aerial vehicles （mini-UAVs） to a mission area. The algorithm is based on...This article introduces a fleet composition algorithm for a fleet of intermediate carriers, which should deliver a swarm of miniature unmanned aerial vehicles （mini-UAVs） to a mission area. The algorithm is based on the sequential solution of several knapsack problems with various constraints. The algorithm allows both to form an initial set of required types of intermediate carriers, and to generate a fleet of intermediate carriers. The formation of a fleet of intermediate carriers to solve a suppression of enemy air defense （SEAD） problem is presented to illustrate the proposed algorithm.展开更多
文摘针对中国民航高速增长与深度脱碳的矛盾,单一可持续航空燃料(SAF)路径面临技术天花板与需求增长抵消困境。构建融合混合整数规划(MIP)与系统动力学(SD)的FLEET(Flight Legs per Equivalent aircraft Turnover)模型,建立“微观运营-宏观政策”双向反馈机制,量化多路径(SAF、新技术飞机及运营优化)协同减排效应。研究发现:SAF掺混比例在0~30%区间,每提升10%可减排12.7%;超30%后,边际效益显著递减,受原料缺口和PtL(Power-to-Liquid)技术瓶颈制约。强制掺混情景(SAF为50%+GDP年增速5.5%)下,2050年,碳排放较2019年仍增73%,其增幅受运输量波动(±0.5%)和SAF实际掺混效率(±5%)影响;最优组合情景(SAF为65%+新技术飞机40%+运营优化30%+市场机制15%)可实现2050年减排49.19%,单位政策激励减排量是单一SAF路径的2.3倍,形成技术互补、成本协同、减排乘数效应,证明了多路径协同的必要性。碳配额价格突破200元·t^(-1)是触发航司技术跃迁的关键阈值,响应存在主体与区域异质性(东部枢纽减排效率1.35 t·万元^(-1)大于西部支线0.87 t·万元^(-1))。本文揭示了中国民航减排需突破单一技术依赖,提出“技术-原料-政策”三阶段协同路线图(2025—2035年HEFA(Hydroprocessed Esters and Fatty Acids)规模化;2035—2045年原料多元化;2045—2050年政策深化),为分阶段政策设计和工程应用提供量化依据。
基金Funding by Social Science Research of Ministry of Education of the People’s Republic of China“Study on issues related on the development and utilization of the Arctic Passage”(Grant no.20JHQ016)is acknowledged.
文摘Global warming has led to a gradual extension of the navigable window for the Arctic Route,providing a realistic possibility for the normalized commercial operation of the Northeast Passage(NEP).Based on the changes in the navigable window of the NEP,Russia’s proposed nuclear-powered icebreaker construction scheme,and China’s potential development of a moderately sized ice-class fleet,this study establishes three scenarios for the commercial operation of the NEP.These scenarios include:(a)normalized summer operational scenario(from July to October each year),(b)normalized summer-autumn operational scenario(from June to January of the following year),and(c)normalized year-round operational scenario(12 months per year).The cargo transportation potential of the NEP under three normalized operational scenarios was predicted based on the grey prediction model.On this basis,construction scale plans for China’s ice-class fleet to meet cargo transportation demands under the three normalized operational scenarios were designed.The economic benefits of different plans were evaluated using a profit-maximization linear programming model.The research results show the following:(1)The cargo transportation potential of the NEP demonstrates a rapid growth trend in the future,with annual throughput under year-round normalized operations expected to exceed 100 million tonnes and reach 297 million tonnes.(2)Under different normalized operational scenarios,the fleet scale and vessel type composition vary.Under the normalized summer operational scenario,the optimal scale for China’s ice-class fleet is 20 vessels,consisting solely of ships classed as PC7 by the International Association of Classification Societies(IACS).Under the normalized summer-autumn operational scenario,the optimal fleet scale is 31 vessels,including 30 IACS PC7 ships and 1 IACS PC3 ship.Under the normalized year-round operational scenario,the optimal fleet scale is 45 vessels,composed of 30 IACS PC7 ships,8 IACS PC3 ships,and 7 IACS PC2 ships.(3)Among the three normalized operational scenarios,the normalized year-round operational scenario yields the best economic benefits for the fleet scale,while the normalized summer operational scenario yields the lowest economic benefits.
文摘Reducing the operation and maintenance (O & M) cost is one of the potential actions that could reduce the cost of energy produced by offshore wind farms. This article attempts to reduce O & M cost by improving the utilization of the maintenance resources, specifically the efficient scheduling and routing of the maintenance fleet. Scheduling and routing of maintenance fleet is a non-linear optimization problem with high complexity and a number of constraints. A heuristic algorithm, Ant Colony Optimization (ACO), was modified as Multi-ACO to be used to find the optimal scheduling and routing of maintenance fleet. The numerical studies showed that the proposed methodology was effective and robust enough to find the optimal solution even if the number of offshore wind turbine increases. The suggested approaches are helpful to avoid a time-consuming process of manually planning the scheduling and routing with a presumably suboptimal outcome.
文摘Forty-five years is nearly half a century, but merely a fleeting moment in the long course of history. This year marks the 45th anniversary of China-Malaysia diplomatic relations. Over the years, the two countries have witnessed tremendous changes and remained good friends and good partners. To commemorate this heart-warming occasion of friendship, artists from the two countries have worked together on songs, films and other art works to present special gifts for the people of the two countries.
文摘A multi-agent based fleet maintenance personnel configuration method is proposed to solve the mission oriented aircraft fleet maintenance personnel configuration problem. The mainte- nance process of an aircraft fleet is analyzed first. In the process each aircraft contains multiple parts, and different parts are repaired by personnel with different majors and levels. The factors and their relationship involved in the process of maintenance are analyzed and discussed. Then the whole maintenance process is described as a 3-layer multi-agent system （MAS） model. A com- munication and reasoning strategy among the agents is put forward. A fleet maintenance personnel configuration algorithm is proposed based on contract net protocol （CNP）. Finally, a fleet of 10 aircraft is studied for verification purposes. A mission type with 3 waves of continuous dispatch is imaged. Compared with the traditional methods that can just provide configuration results, the proposed method can provide optimal maintenance strategies as well.
文摘Allocation of fleet's spare parts is rarely studied due to its complexity. However, this task is extremely important because the warship's service level highly relies on the maintenance logistics' level. In this study, the readiness ratio is proposed as a critical index in measuring the system's reliability. A well-established mathematical model adopting the optimization method of spare part allocation is also introduced. The objective is to minimize the number of each spare part while satisfying the fleet's system reliability. The fault tree analysis(FTA) is applied to analyze the system's failure logic and stratify the units on ship. As a result, the strategy of spare part sharing can be introduced in detail. The solution algorithm is developed, and the simulation experiments to obtain the key parameters are conducted. The proposed model and algorithm are applied to an actual fleet of two warships, and results show that the method above is feasible and can be directly applied into practice.
文摘One of the key factors in a profitable open-pit mine is the efficiency of the waste disposal system. Using GPS-technology, the truck-dispatching decisions can be made in real-time but the chosen strategy has a crucial role. Therefore, finding the optimal dispatching strategy for truck-shovel operations is extremely important. Dispatching strategies have been reported in the literature, but the comparison of these strategies is still missing. This paper illustrates the differences between the strategies by conducting a stochastic simulation study based on the data gathered from an actual mine. The findings underline the importance of the global vision in dispatching decisions.
文摘Taxi trajectories from urban environments allow inferring various information about the transport service qualities and commuter dynamics.It is possible to associate starting and end points of taxi trips with requirements of individual groups of people and even social inequalities.Previous research shows that due to service restrictions,boro taxis have typical customer destination locations on selected Saturdays:many drop-off clusters appear near the restricted zone,where it is not allowed to pick up customers and only few drop-off clusters appear at complicated crossing.Detected crossings imply recent infrastructural modifications.We want to follow up on these results and add one additional group of commuters:Citi Bike users.For selected Saturdays in June 2015,we want to compare the destinations of boro taxi and Citi Bike users.This is challenging due to manifold differences between active mobility and motorized road users,and,due to the fact that station-based bike sharing services are restricted to stations.Start and end points of trips,as well as the volumes in between rely on specific numbers of bike sharing stations.Therefore,we introduce a novel spatiotemporal assigning procedure for areas of influence around static bike sharing stations for extending available computational methods.
基金Projects(51474049,51674062)supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of ChinaProject(51604061)supported by the National Science Foundation for Young Scientists of China+3 种基金Projects(201202075,2014020040)supported by the Liaoning Natural Science Founds,ChinaProject(LZ2014020)supported by the Liaoning Province’s Key Laboratory Construction,ChinaProject(20130042110012)supported by the Specialized Research Fund for the Doctoral Program of Higher Education of ChinaProject(F14-231-1-07)supported by the Shenyang Technical Plan Project,China
文摘A neighborhood search algorithm was proposed to simultaneously schedule the waste removal quantity and the equipment fleet profile over the mine life for open pit mines.An initial search domain was first defined and a good schedule was obtained as the current best schedule by searching in this domain.Then,progressively narrower neighborhood search domains were constructed around the current best schedule to search for better schedules.The objective is to minimize the present value of waste removal costs over the mine life.The resulting schedule from this algorithm provides a complete fleet profile for each year over the mine life:the selected equipment models,the number of equipment units of each model,the age of each unit,as well as the quantity of waste removed.A numerical example of application was provided to demonstrate the feasibility and merits of the algorithm.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(60774064)the Aerospace Science Foundation (20085153015)
文摘This article introduces a fleet composition algorithm for a fleet of intermediate carriers, which should deliver a swarm of miniature unmanned aerial vehicles （mini-UAVs） to a mission area. The algorithm is based on the sequential solution of several knapsack problems with various constraints. The algorithm allows both to form an initial set of required types of intermediate carriers, and to generate a fleet of intermediate carriers. The formation of a fleet of intermediate carriers to solve a suppression of enemy air defense （SEAD） problem is presented to illustrate the proposed algorithm.
